Prognostic indices in acute pancreatitis (author's transl)]

In a retrospective study 55 patients with acute pancreatitis were reviewed in order to establish the prognostic value of 11 indices which can be determined either at admission of 48 hours after the onset of the disease. The results show: 1. the 5 indices determined at admission (age, white blood cell count, blood glucose, SGOT, LDH) do not permit a clear identification of the variable courses of acute pancreatitis, 2. a high risk group can be selected; in this group an early intensive care is recommended, i.e. a vigorous fluid replacement, endotracheal intubation and assisted ventilation with PEEP, and, if necessary, peritoneal dialysis. Furthermore these indices are helpful to decide very early whether a patient has to be transmitted to a medical centre for intensive care and/or surgical treatment.     

Acute Renal Failure as a Complication of Acute Pancreatitis

To assess the prevalence of acute renal failure (ARF) inpatients with acute pancreatitis, as well as the factors predictive of a lethal outcome, we retrospectively studied the data of all patients admitted to our hospital over a 5-year period. Between 1989 and 1993, 554 patients presented with acute pancreatitis, of which 24 (4.4%) subsequently developed ARF. Death occurred in 14/24 (58%) of patients with ARF, and was associated with an increased incidence of multiorgan failure. There was no statistically significant difference in the age, admission blood pressure, or admission pulse rate of the patients who survived and those who died. In contrast, death was associated with a higher Ranson score, and the increased prevalence of multiorgan failure. The length of hospitalization of the nonsurviving group was significantly shorter. Acute renal failure is not a common finding in patients with acute pancreatitis. However, when it occurs, it is associated with a poor prognosis, and is predicted by a higher Ranson score and the presence of multiorgan failure.     

Management of gallstone pancreatitis

The clinical course of 143 patients with gallstone pancreatitis is reviewed. Thirty-one patients (22%) had three or more positive prognostic factors on admission and 24 (77%) of these had a complicated course. Thirteen patients died, giving an overall mortality rate of 9%. Patients were divided into three groups on the basis of performance and timing of surgery. In group 1 (n = 56), surgery was undertaken during the first admission with acute pancreatitis; eight of these patients had a complicated course and three died. In group 2 (n = 40), biliary surgery was deferred to a subsequent admission; none of these patients died but 10 experienced further attacks of pancreatitis while awaiting reoperation. Group 3 patients (n = 47) did not undergo surgery; nine patients were diagnosed as having gallstone pancreatitis for the first time at autopsy, five refused operation, seven were lost to follow-up, six were dealt with by endoscopic sphincterotomy, and in 20 cases surgery was not considered appropriate because of general debility or advanced age. Despite the zero mortality rate in group 2, it is advocated that biliary surgery be carried out during the index hospital admission. Endoscopic sphincterotomy can now be considered as an alternative to cholecystectomy and duct clearance in the elderly and unfit, and may be used as a preliminary manoeuvre when severe acute pancreatitis fails to settle promptly on conservative management.     

Timing of cholecystectomy for acute biliary pancreatitis: outcomes of cholecystectomy on first admission and after recurrent biliary pancreatitis

Abstract Biliary stones are the leading cause of acute pancreatitis. Although cholecystectomy and selective endoscopic retrograde cholangiography (ERC) comprise the current treatment in patients with acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP), the time of intervention is still controversial. In this study we evaluated the outcomes of cholecystectomy on first admission for ABP and in patients with recurrent biliary pancreatitis. A series of 43 patients with ABP between January 1997 and November 2000 were evaluated retrospectively. Patients were classified into two groups. Group I included 27 patients who underwent cholecystectomy on first admission before discharge from the hospital. Group II comprised 16 patients who had recurrent biliary pancreatitis and then underwent cholecystectomy. The severity of the pancreatitis was determined by Ranson’s criteria. Age, gender, length of hospital stay, severity of pancreatitis, amylase level, and complications of cholecystectomy were evaluated in both groups. Patients in group I underwent cholecystectomy during the original hospital admission and patients in group II during an admission for a recurrence. There were 24 patients with a Ranson’s score ≤ 3 in group I and 12 in group II. The mean hospital stays were 15.29 days (range 4–48 days) and 36.66 days (range 15–123 days) in groups I and II, respectively (p = 0.006). Morbidity was 11% without mortality in group I and 43% with one mortality in group II (p = 0.023). Definitive treatment of ABP can be accomplished effectively and safely by cholecystectomy following clinical improvement, with selective ERC performed during the first admission (delayed cholecystectomy). Waiting to perform cholecystectomy (interval cholecystectomy) may result in recurrent biliary pancreatitis, which may increase morbidity and the length of the hospital stay. Electronic Publication     

Influence of age on the mortality from acute pancreatitis

The influence of age on the mortality rate of 268 patients with acute pancreatitis was studied. The hospital mortality rate for patients aged below 50 years was 5.9 per cent. The figure increased to 21.3 per cent in patients aged over 75; the high mortality was accounted for by a higher incidence of deaths related to concomitant medical or surgical diseases in the same hospital admission rather than to complications resulting directly from the pathological process of acute pancreatitis. When only deaths due to complications of acute pancreatitis were analysed, the mortality rate was not significantly different between the young and elderly groups. Moreover, the complication rate and the proportion of patients having severe disease (judged by the number of prognostic signs) were not higher in the elderly. Thus acute pancreatitis was intrinsically not more serious were it not for the presence of concomitant diseases with advanced age.     

Identification of admission values predictive of complicated acute alcoholic pancreatitis

BACKGROUND: Hospital admission indexes (serum urea nitrogen level, serum glucose level, heart rate, and white blood cell count) have been previously identified as useful predictors for the development of both severe systemic complications and death in patients with gallstone pancreatitis. HYPOTHESIS: We hypothesized that (1) these same 4 indexes would predict complications and/or death in first-time acute alcoholic pancreatitis and (2) these indexes would compare favorably with an admission Ranson score. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: A university-affiliated, urban, public teaching hospital. PATIENTS: One hundred five patients who experienced first episodes of alcoholic pancreatitis treated between January 1, 1992, and June 30, 2003. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Major systemic complications (pulmonary, cardiac, renal, infectious) requiring intensive care unit admission and/or death. RESULTS: A total of 105 patients were identified. Twenty-six patients (25%) (95% confidence interval [CI], 17%-34%) had a major systemic complication, and 6 patients (6%) (95% CI, 2%-12%) died. A serum glucose level of 160 mg/dL (8.9 mmol/L) or higher combined with a white blood cell count of 17 x 10(3)/ micro L or more had a positive predictive value of 80% (95% CI, 44%-98%), and an admission Ranson score of 3 or higher had a positive predictive value of 100% (95% CI, 48%-100%) for determining the likelihood of a systemic complication. Both an admission Ranson score of 1 or more and a white blood cell count of 17 x 10(3)/ micro L or more, independent of each other, had equally high negative predictive values (100% [95% CI, 94%-100%] and 99% [95% CI, 94%-100%], respectively) with respect to mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Two simple admission laboratory values--white blood cell count and serum glucose level--are useful predictors for development of major systemic complications and/or mortality in patients with first-time alcoholic pancreatitis. The predictive values of leukocytosis and hyperglycemia compare favorably with those of the admission Ranson score.     

Parathyroid hormone levels, hyperparathyroidism and acute pancreatitis

Since 1971, in Glasgow Royal Infirmary 880 patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) have been prospectively studied. Only two (0.23 per cent) have been found with associated hyperparathyroidism (HPT), one of whom also had gallstones. During the period of study daily serum calcium levels were measured routinely in all patients with AP and, in addition, a consecutive series of 200 patients had daily mineral metabolism screening of blood and urine in an attempt to identify patients with hypercalcaemia as an aetiological factor. A separate group of 90 patients had sequential daily serum calcium and parathyroid hormone assays (PTH) performed for the first five days of their hospital admission and one of the patients described in this paper came from this group. She is the first patient, to our knowledge, documented in this manner. The overall pattern of the PTH and calcium response from all these patients is also recorded according to the severity of the AP. Hyperparathyroidism is uncommonly associated with AP and when it is other aetiological factors must be excluded.     

Early ascorbic acid depletion is related to the severity of acute pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND: Ascorbic acid (AA) is an important endogenous antioxidant in plasma and has been shown to be decreased at the time of hospital admission in patients with acute pancreatitis. The aim of this study was to determine whether plasma AA concentration continues to decrease after admission and whether the extent of decrease is related to the severity of pancreatitis. METHODS: Consecutive patients with mild (n = 62) and severe (n = 23) acute pancreatitis had plasma AA concentration measured on the day of recruitment and on days 2 and 5 by high-performance liquid chromatography. RESULTS: The plasma AA concentration in patients with acute pancreatitis was significantly less than that in normal volunteers on days 0, 2 and 5 (P < 0.0001) and this was more marked in those with severe disease. There was a decrease in plasma AA concentration from day 0 to day 2 in patients with mild (P < 0.0001) and severe (P = 0.0005) pancreatitis, and from day 2 to day 5 in patients with severe pancreatitis (P = 0.023). CONCLUSION: Endogenous plasma AA continues to decrease over the first 5 days in hospital and the extent is related to the severity of acute pancreatitis. Presented to a meeting of the Australasian Surgical Research Society, Auckland, New Zealand, August 1995 and published in abstract form as Aust N Z J Surg 1996; 66: 243     

Serum amyloid A is a better early predictor of severity than C-reactive protein in acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND: Serum amyloid A (SAA) is an early and sensitive marker of the extent of tissue trauma and inflammation. The aim of this study was to compare the early prognostic accuracy of SAA with that of serum C-reactive protein (CRP) in acute pancreatitis. METHODS: In a prospective multicentre trial, plasma SAA and CRP levels were measured in patients with severe and mild acute pancreatitis, and in a control group with acute abdominal pain. Plasma samples were collected on admission and at 6-h intervals for 48 h, every 12 h between 48 and 72 h, then daily for 5 days. Plasma SAA was measured by a new enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and CRP was measured by immunoturbidometry. RESULTS: There were 137 patients with mild and 35 with severe acute pancreatitis, and 74 control patients. SAA levels were significantly higher in patients with severe acute pancreatitis than in those with mild acute pancreatitis, on admission, at 24 h or less after symptom onset, and subsequently. Whereas plasma CRP concentration was also significantly higher in patients with severe acute pancreatitis on admission, it failed to distinguish mild from severe acute pancreatitis until 30-36 h after symptom onset. SAA levels predicted severity (sensitivity 67 per cent, specificity 70 per cent, negative predictive value 89 per cent, mean(s.d.) area under curve 0.7(0.05)) significantly better than CRP (57 per cent, 60 per cent, 84 per cent, 0.59(0.06) respectively) on admission (P = 0.02) and at 24 h following symptom onset (area under curve 0.65(0.09) versus 0.58(0.09) respectively; P < or = 0.02). CONCLUSION: Plasma SAA concentration is an early marker of severity in acute pancreatitis and is superior to CRP estimation on hospital admission and at 24 h or less after symptom onset. This study suggests that plasma SAA concentration is clinically useful, with the potential to replace CRP in the management of acute pancreatitis.     

Outcome and quality of life of patients with acute pancreatitis requiring intensive care

BACKGROUND: Patients with severe acute pancreatitis often require intensive care unit (ICU) admission, have multiple complications, spend weeks to months in the hospital, and consume a large amount of resources. The aim of this study was to evaluate the ICU course, costs, mortality, and quality of life of patients who require ICU admission for acute pancreatitis. METHODS: Patients with acute pancreatitis requiring ICU admission were identified retrospectively. Data regarding in-hospital morbidity, mortality, and hospital costs were obtained. Long-term quality of life was assessed using the Short Form-36 Health Survey (SF-36). RESULTS: Fifty-two patients were identified. There were 31 men and 21 women: the mean age was 53 years (range, 22-89). The most common causes of acute pancreatitis were gallstones (44%) and alcoholism (17%). Pulmonary failure (52% required mechanical ventilation) and renal failure (21% required dialysis) were common. There were 39 (75%) hospital survivors and 13 (25%) nonsurvivors. In the first 24 h, the mean Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II scores were 10 +/- 6 in survivors and 16 +/- 4 in the nonsurvivors (<0.01). Mean length of ICU (15 +/- 18 and 28 +/- 31 days) and hospital (40 +/- 34 and 38 +/- 34 days) stays were similar in survivors and nonsurvivors, respectively (NS). The mean hospital cost for survivors was $83,611 +/- 88,434 and that for nonsurvivors was $136,730 +/- 95,045 (P = 0. 09). The estimated cost to obtain one hospital survivor was $129,188. Of the 39 hospital survivors, 5 died later, 21 completed the SF-36, and 13 were lost to follow-up. Long-term quality of life (SF-36) was similar to that of an age-matched population. Twenty of twenty-one felt their general health was at least as good as it had been 1 year previously. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with severe acute pancreatitis need prolonged ICU and hospital stays. APACHE II may be a good predictor of outcome; further, prospective evaluation is needed. Although resource utilization is high, most patients survive and have good long-term quality of life.     

Blood transfusion,independent of shock severity,is associated with worse outcome in trauma

BACKGROUND: We have previously shown that blood transfusion in the first 24 hours is an independent predictor of mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and increased ICU length of stay in the acute trauma setting when controlling for Injury Severity Score, Glasgow Coma Scale score, and age. Indices of shock such as base deficit, serum lactate level, and admission hemodynamic status (systolic blood pressure, heart rate) and admission hematocrit were considered potential confounding variables in that study. The objectives of this study were to evaluate admission anemia and blood transfusion within the first 24 hours as independent predictors of mortality, ICU admission, ICU length of stay (LOS), and hospital LOS, with serum lactate level, base deficit, and shock index (heart rate/systolic blood pressure) as covariates. METHODS: Prospective data were collected on 15,534 patients admitted to a Level I trauma center over a 3-year period (1998-2000) and stratified by age, gender, race, Glasgow Coma Scale score, and Injury Severity Score. Admission anemia and blood transfusion were assessed as independent predictors of mortality, ICU admission, ICU LOS, and hospital LOS by logistic regression analysis, with base deficit, serum lactate, and shock index as covariates. RESULTS: Blood transfusion was a strong independent predictor of mortality (odds ratio [OR], 2.83; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.82-4.40; p < 0.001), ICU admission (OR, 3.27; 95% CI, 2.69-3.99; p < 0.001), ICU LOS (p < 0.001), and hospital LOS (Coef, 4.37; 95% CI, 2.79-5.94; p < 0.001) when stratified by indices of shock (base deficit, serum lactate, shock index, and anemia). Patients who underwent blood transfusion were almost three times more likely to die and greater than three times more likely to be admitted to the ICU. Admission anemia (hematocrit < 36%) was an independent predictor of ICU admission (p = 0.008), ICU LOS (p = 0.012), and hospital LOS (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Blood transfusion is confirmed as an independent predictor of mortality, ICU admission, ICU LOS, and hospital LOS in trauma after controlling for severity of shock by admission base deficit, lactate, shock index, and anemia. The use of other hemoglobin-based oxygen-carrying resuscitation fluids (such as human or bovine hemoglobin substitutes) in the acute postinjury period warrants further investigation.     

Gallstone pancreatitis: a prospective randomized trial of the timing of surgery

The correct timing of surgery in cases of gallstone pancreatitis is debatable. To delineate more clearly the influence of the timing of surgery in the treatment of the disease, a prospective randomized clinical study of early surgery (less than 48 hours after admission) and delayed surgery (more than 48 hours after admission) was conducted in 165 patients. Ranson's prognostic signs of severity of disease were used to classify the patients into two risk groups: mild pancreatitis (three or fewer positive signs) and severe pancreatitis (more than three positive signs). In patients with three or fewer positive Ranson's signs, the time of surgery appeared to have little effect on the outcome, whereas in patients with more than three positive signs, early surgery resulted in a significant increase in rates of morbidity and mortality. Controlled randomization showed that in patients with gallstone pancreatitis, edematous or hemorrhagic necrotizing pancreatitis can develop, with or without impacted stones, early or late in the progression of the disease, during early or delayed surgery. These findings suggest that (1) although a gallstone initiates a bout of pancreatitis, it does not cause the progression of the disease; (2) the fate of the progression of pancreatitis is decided early by the amount of digestive enzymes being activated; (3) early removal of an impacted stone does not ameliorate the progression of pancreatitis; and (4) surgery should be performed during the initial hospital admission after the pancreatitis has subsided.     

Improved prediction of outcome in patients with severe acute pancreatitis by the APACHE II score at 48 hours after hospital admission compared with the APACHE II score at admission. Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation

HYPOTHESIS: The 48-hour APACHE (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation) II score is a better predictor of pancreatic necrosis, organ failure, and mortality in patients with severe acute pancreatitis than the score at hospital admission. DESIGN: A retrospective analysis of 125 patients with acute pancreatitis. SETTING: A tertiary public teaching hospital. PATIENTS: Patients with severe acute pancreatitis as defined by 3 or more Ranson criteria or a hospital stay of longer than 6 days. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Pancreatic necrosis, organ failure, and mortality. RESULTS: A significant association was found between the 48-hour score and the presence of pancreatic necrosis (P<.001), organ failure (P =.001), and death (P<.001). By contrast, the APACHE II score at admission was significantly associated only with the presence of organ failure (P =.007). Deteriorating APACHE II scores over 48 hours were significantly associated with a fatal outcome (P =.03). The combined APACHE II score (defined as the sum of the admission and 48-hour scores) was significantly higher among nonsurvivors than survivors (P<.001), and was strongly associated with the presence of pancreatic necrosis (P =.001) and organ failure (P<.001). The 48-hour and combined scores accurately predicted outcome in 93% of the patients compared with 75% by the admission score. CONCLUSIONS: The 48-hour APACHE II score has improved predictive value compared with the admission score for identifying patients with severe acute pancreatitis who have a poor outcome. A deteriorating APACHE II score at 48 hours after admission may identify patients at risk for an adverse outcome.     

Gallstone pancreatitis: a benign disease in Hispanics

Little is known about ethnic differences among patients with gallstone pancreatitis in the United States. The purpose of this study was to compare Hispanic and non-Hispanic patients with gallstone pancreatitis with regard to severity of disease, level of care required, length of hospital stay, and clinical outcomes. A retrospective cohort study of 198 consecutive patients with gallstone pancreatitis was performed from 2003 to 2005. Overall, 161 patients were Hispanic and 37 were non-Hispanic. The average age of Hispanic patients was 41 years versus 47.5 years in the non-Hispanic group (P = 0.02). Only 16 (10%) Hispanic patients had a Ranson score of 2 or greater versus nine (24%) of the non-Hispanic group (P = 0.03). Only 39 (24%) Hispanic patients were admitted to an intensive care unit or stepdown unit versus 17 (46%) of the non-Hispanic group (P = 0.01). Hispanic patients underwent cholecystectomy at an average of 5.8 days after admission versus 6.6 days for non-Hispanic patients (P = 0.07). There was a 4 per cent complication rate and a 2 per cent readmission rate overall with no statistically significant differences between the two groups and no mortality. The majority of Hispanic patients with gallstone pancreatitis have a benign disease process, presenting at a younger age, with less severe disease that infrequently requires intensive care unit admission.     

Financial Burden Secondary to Delay in Cholecystectomy Following Mild Biliary Pancreatitis

Aim of the study: The guidelines recommend that patients with mild gallstones pancreatitis should undergo a definitive management for gallstones during the same admission or within the next two weeks. The aim of this study was to estimate the financial cost resulting from a delay in surgical management following mild gallstones pancreatitis. This includes the costs of readmissions with biliary events and the subsequent investigations required during these admissions. Materials and methods: A retrospective analysis included patients with gallstone pancreatitis who were admitted to a district general hospital in the United Kingdom over one year. Patients with severe pancreatitis and those unfit for surgery were excluded. Results: Forty patients were included in the study, 27 females (67%) and 13 males (33%). Mean age was 50.2 years. Twenty-two patients of the total presented with a single admission with gallstone pancreatitis prior to an elective surgery; however, 18 patients (45%) required recurrent admissions. The duration between the first admission and surgery ranged from 14 to 389 days (median of 99 days). Only one patient (2.5%) had cholecystectomy within two weeks of admission as per guidelines. Twenty-two ultrasound scans, four computed tomography scans, 15 magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography, and two endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography were the total of the extra-investigations required during readmissions. Estimated costs of extra admissions and extra investigations exceeded £33,000. Conclusions: The delay in cholecystectomy for patients admitted with mild gallstone pancreatitis and fit for surgery has resulted in high readmission rate with biliary events, and subsequently high extrax costs.     

Surgical pathology at early elective operation for suspected acute gallstone pancreatitis: preliminary report of a prospective clinical trial

Fifty-five patients presenting with acute abdominal symptoms and found to be hyperamylasaemic underwent early biliary tract investigation, giving 31 patients in whom the presence of gallstones was suspected. In accordance with the protocol of a randomized controlled trial of early elective biliary tract surgery for patients suspected of having acute gallstone pancreatitis, 19 of these patients underwent laparotomy at a mean of 6.9 days after emergency admission. In this group operation showed that four patients had biliary tract stones and pancreatitis; ten patients had calculous cholecystitis (53 per cent) but no stigmata of pancreatitis; four patients had pancreatitis but no stones; one had a negative laparotomy. None of this group was found to have ampullary obstruction due to an impacted stone. Biliary tract investigations carried out during the first week following admission were unhelpful or misleading in 14 out of the whole group of 55 patients, and in all of those patients (11 per cent) who died or required surgical intervention during the same hospital admission. There appears to be a pathological heterogeneity among patients diagnosed as 'gallstone pancreatitis' on clinical and biochemical grounds alone.     

Early physiological response to intensive care as a clinically relevant approach to predicting the outcome in severe acute pancreatitis

HYPOTHESIS: The physiological response to treatment is a better predictor of outcome in acute pancreatitis than are traditional static measures. DESIGN: Retrospective diagnostic test study. The criterion standard was Organ Failure Score (OFS) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score at the time of hospital admission. SETTING: Intensive care unit of a tertiary referral center, Auckland City Hospital, Auckland, New Zealand. PATIENTS: Consecutive sample of 92 patients (60 male, 32 female; median age, 61 years; range, 24-79 years) with severe acute pancreatitis. Twenty patients were not included because of incomplete data. The cause of pancreatitis was gallstones (42%), alcohol use (27%), or other (31%). At hospital admission, the mean +/- SD OFS was 8.1 +/- 6.1, and the mean +/- SD APACHE II score was 19.9 +/- 8.2. INTERVENTIONS: All cases were managed according to a standardized protocol. There was no randomization or testing of any individual interventions. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Survival and death. RESULTS: There were 32 deaths (pretest probability of dying was 35%). The physiological response to treatment was more accurate in predicting the outcome than was OFS or APACHE II score at hospital admission. For example, 17 patients had an initial OFS of 7-8 (posttest probability of dying was 58%); after 48 hours, 7 had responded to treatment (posttest probability of dying was 28%), and 10 did not respond (posttest probability of dying was 82%). The effect of the change in OFS and APACHE II score was graphically depicted by using a series of logistic regression equations. The resultant sigmoid curve suggests that there is a midrange of scores (the steep portion of the graph) within which the probability of death is most affected by the response to intensive care treatment. CONCLUSION: Measuring the initial severity of pancreatitis combined with the physiological response to intensive care treatment is a practical and clinically relevant approach to predicting death in patients with severe acute pancreatitis.     

Prognostic value of C reactive protein in acute pancreatitis

Controversy still exists regarding the clinical features of acute pancreatitis: it is not known whether this is a disease which progresses from mild to severe forms or which arises immediately as severe acute pancreatitis. An early diagnosis, however, is regarded as mandatory for successful treatment. Over the years many Authors have proposed different scoring systems for the early assessment of the clinical evolution of acute pancreatitis. The most widely used scoring systems (Ranson, Osborne, Apache II) are often cumbersome and difficult to use in clinical practice because of their multifactorial nature. Thus, a number of unifactorial prognostic indices have been employed in routine hospital practice, such as C-reactive protein, serum amylase and serum lipase. These serum enzymes are easy to obtain in normal clinical practice and many authors consider them as reliable as multifactorial scoring systems. One hundred and five patients affected by acute pancreatitis have been hospitalised in the Surgical Department of San Giacomo Hospital (Rome) over an nine-year period. All patients underwent C-reactive protein, amylase, and lipase serum assays on days 1, 3 and 5 after admission. The results show that C-reactive protein assay is highly sensitive in detecting necrotic forms of acute pancreatitis. The authors conclude that C-reactive protein, together with both serum amylase and serum lipase, often provides a precise picture of the clinical situation in patients with acute pancreatitis. On this basis the best therapeutic option can be chosen.     

Early cholecystectomy for mild to moderate gallstone pancreatitis shortens hospital stay

BACKGROUND: The timing of cholecystectomy in gallstone pancreatitis remains controversial. We hypothesized that in patients with mild to moderate gallstone pancreatitis (three or fewer Ranson's criteria), performing early cholecystectomy before resolution of laboratory or physical examination abnormalities would result in shorter hospitalization, without adversely affecting outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: An observational study consisting of a retrospective and a prospective group was conducted. For the prospective group, a deliberate policy of early cholecystectomy (less than 48 hours from admission) was used. The primary end point was total length of hospital stay. Secondary endpoints were time from admission to definitive operation, need for endoscopic retrograde cholangiography, and major complications (organ failure and death). RESULTS: Group I consisted of 177 patients retrospectively reviewed, and Group II was composed of 43 patients prospectively followed. There were no differences between the two groups with respect to demographics. With respect to admission laboratory values, there was a significant difference in median serum amylase, but there were no differences in median serum levels of lipase, total bilirubin, albumin, white blood cell count, or Ranson's score. The median length of hospital stay was 7 days in Group I versus 4 days in Group II (p=or< 0.001). Median time from admission to cholecystectomy was 5 days in Group I versus 2 days in Group II (p=or< 0.0001). Complication rates were similar and there were no deaths in either group. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with mild to moderate gallstone pancreatitis, a policy of early cholecystectomy resulted in a significantly reduced length of hospital stay with no increase in complications or mortality.     

Calcitonin precursors in the prediction of severity of acute pancreatitis on the day of admission

BACKGROUND: Calcitonin precursors are sensitive markers of inflammation and infection. The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of plasma calcitonin precursor levels on the day of admission in the prediction of severity of acute pancreatitis, and to compare this with the Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II scoring system. METHODS: Plasma concentrations of calcitonin precursors were determined on admission in 69 patients with acute pancreatitis. APACHE II scores were calculated on admission. Attacks were classified as mild (n = 55) or severe (n = 14) according to the Atlanta criteria. Plasma calcitonin precursor levels were determined with a sensitive radioimmunoassay. RESULTS: On the day of hospital admission, plasma levels of calcitonin precursors were significantly greater in patients with a severe attack compared with levels in those with a mild attack of pancreatitis (median 64 versus 25 fmol/ml; P = 0.014), but the APACHE II scores were no different (median 9 versus 8; P = 0.2). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive and negative predictive values, and accuracy for the prediction of severe acute pancreatitis were 67, 89, 57, 93 and 85 per cent respectively for plasma calcitonin precursor levels higher than 48 fmol/ml, and 69, 45, 23, 86 and 50 per cent respectively for an APACHE II score greater than 7. Differences in the specificity and accuracy of the two prognostic indicators were significant (P < 0.001 and P = 0.001 respectively). A plasma calcitonin precursor concentration of more than 160 fmol/ml on admission was highly accurate (94 per cent) in predicting the development of septic complications and death. CONCLUSION: The assay of plasma calcitonin precursors on the day of admission to hospital has the potential to provide a more accurate prediction of the severity of acute pancreatitis than the APACHE II scoring system.