An increase in the incidence of multiple sclerosis in Western Norway

Abstract– In the county of Hordaland, Western Norway, the prevalence of MS has been shown to have increased from 20/100,000 in 1963 to 60/100,000 in 1983. This study shows that the increase in prevalence was caused by a highly significant and marked increase in incidence over a 30-year period. The average annual incidence of about 2 per 100,000 population in 1953–1962 increased to 4 per 100,000 in the period 1968–1977. The rise in incidence was parallel for both sexes until 1970. In the last 10 years, the incidence has continued to increase among females, whereas a decrease has been observed among males.     

Frequency of MS in the province of Modena, 1970–1990

Before 1975 the multiple sclerosis (MS) prevalence rate in Italy ranged from 4 to 21 cases per 100000 inhabitants. In more recent studies the MS prevalence rate exceeded 30 cases per 100000. We decided to perform an epidemiological survey in the province of Modena, Northern Italy, in order to clarify whether Italy should be considered as an area at high risk for MS like the countries of continental Europe. The mean annual incidence for the disease for the period 1970–1990 was 1.49 per 100000, and the prevalence rate was 38.91 per 100000 on December 31, 1990. These results indicate Modena is a high risk MS area.     

Reflection on the geographic distribution of multiple sclerosis in France

The geographic distribution of multiple sclerosis within the 95 Départements and the 21 Régions of France was defined from a 1986 nationwide prevalence series derived from questionnaires. This indicated a significant clustering of high frequency regions in the northeastern part of the country with most significantly low areas in the south and west. Distributions were similar to those for MS death rates by Département and Région for 1968–1977, indicating geographic stability over time; but there was also evidence of diffusion over time. The 1986 prevalence distribution was also compared with all published prevalence rates for communities of France. From all these resources we conclude that all of France falls within the "high frequency zone" for MS, that the nationwide prevalence rate is at least 50 per 100000 population, and that there is evidence of geographic clustering of the disease with temporal spread of the cluster.     

Multiple sclerosis in North Norway, and first appearance in an indigenous population

This study was performed to determine the prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) in 1993 and annual incidence rates 1983-1992, and to examine whether the disease occurs among the Sami people. According to earlier reports the two northernmost counties of Norway, Troms and Finnmark with 225,000 inhabitants, have a relatively low prevalence of MS: 20.6 per 100,000 in 1973 and 31.5 in 1983. Also no person who is of pure Sami heritage (i.e., with both parents speaking Sami natively) has been found with the disease. Except for the introduction of magnetic resonance imaging as a diagnostic tool, there has been no significant change in the neurological service in the area during the past 20 years. Files of patients with the diagnosis of MS were reviewed, and questionnaires were sent to all patients alive on the prevalence day of 1 January 1993. The prevalence in 1993 was 73.0 per 100,000. The mean crude annual incidence rate was 3.5 per 100,000 during the period 1983-1992 compared with 3.0 during 1974-1982. In 1983 there were no pure Sami among the MS patients, but one had a Sami father. On 1 January 1993 there were three patients with both Sami parents and three with only one Sami parent, which is a rate that is still lower than would be expected if the prevalence of MS among the Sami were similar to that in the rest of the Norwegian population. The study shows that the incidence of MS in Troms and Finnmark has been increasing over the past 10 years, but is still lower than on the western coast and in the eastern part of Norway. The lowest incidence is found in Finnmark, where the Sami population is highest. During the past 10 years MS has also been diagnosed among the Sami population.     

Disability and mortality in multiple sclerosis in Western Norway

Introduction – Continued studies of frequency trends in carefully selected sites around the world can provide clues to the cause of multiple sclerosis (MS). Material and methods – Based on information from three different, semi-independant sources of information, we have examined the temporal trends in the average annual age-adjusted rates of disability pension incidence, mortality, and incidence of MS from 1966 to 1991 in More and Romsdal County, Norway. Results – The average annual age-adjusted disability pension incidence rates (1966–68 = 3.62/100,000; 1990–91 = 7.33/100,000), the mortality rates (1966–68=0.91/100,000; 1990–91 = 1.88/100,000), and the incidence rates (1966–68 = 4.22/100,000; 1990–91 = 5.02/100,000) all showed a statistically significant increase. The difference in the development of MS-specific disability pension prevalence rates in the county compared to the nation is notable. Conclusions – We consider that the increase in disability pension incidence, mortality, and incidence of MS is of biological significance. Thus three different sources of information corroborate corresponding trends indicating that better case ascertainment and improved diagnostic facilities only partially can explain the reported MS increase in western Norway.     

Epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in London and Middlesex County, Ontario, Canada

A case-controlled epidemiologic study of multiple sclerosis (MS) was carried out in London, Ontario, and its surrounding Middlesex County for the period 1974-1983. The prevalence rates for clinically definite/probable MS on January 1, 1984 were 94/100,000 for the city and 91/100,000 for the county. The estimated annual incidence rate for the decade 1974-83 was 3.4/100,000. The female-to-male sex ratio was 2.5:1. A familial history of MS was recorded in 14.4% of close relatives and a total of 17% when distant relatives are included. The MS group is predominantly of British (70%) and European (23%) origin. The urban-rural residence pattern analysis indicates no significant regional influence on the risk of developing MS.     

High prevalence and fast rising incidence of multiple sclerosis in Caltanissetta, Sicily, southern Italy

BACKGROUND: Epidemiological studies conducted in Sicily and Sardinia, the two major Mediterranean islands, showed elevated incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS)and a recent increase in disease frequency. OBJECTIVE: To confirm the central highlands of Sicily as areas of increasing MS prevalence and elevated incidence, we performed a follow-up study based on the town of Caltanissetta (Sicily), southern Italy. METHODS: We made a formal diagnostic reappraisal of all living patients found in the previous study performed in 1981. All possible information sources were used to search for patients affected by MS diagnosed according to the Poser criteria. We calculated prevalence ratios, for patients affected by MS who were living and resident in the study area on December 31, 2002. Crude and age- and sex-specific incidence ratios were computed for the period from January 1, 1993, to December 31, 2002. RESULTS: The prevalence of definite MS rose in 20 years from 69.2 (retrospective prevalence rate) to 165.8/100,000 population. We calculated the incidence of definite MS for the period 1970-2000. These rates calculated for 5-year periods increased from 2.3 to 9.2/100,000/year. CONCLUSION: This survey shows the highest prevalence and incidence figures of MS in the Mediterranean area and confirms central Sicily as a very-high-risk area for MS.     

Multiple sclerosis in southern Europe: Monreale City, Italy. A twenty-year follow-up incidence and prevalence study

BACKGROUND: Several follow-up studies showed increasing prevalence and incidence rates for multiple sclerosis (MS). OBJECTIVE: To ascertain, throughout a follow-up study, the incidence and prevalence of MS in the city of Monreale, Sicily, southern Italy. METHODS: We calculated crude and age- and sex-specific prevalence rates on December 31, 2000, and determined incidence rates for the period January 1, 1992 to December 31, 2000. RESULTS: The prevalence of MS was 71.2 per 100,000 population (48,5/100,000 in men; 93,0/100,000 in women). The incidence rate of MS for the period 1992-2000 was 4.0/100,000 per year. CONCLUSION: This study showed a nonsignificant increase in MS incidence rates in Monreale city for 1992-2000 compared to 1981-1991. Prevalence rates were similar to those of the previous follow-up study. Intervals between onset of symptoms and diagnosis seemed shorter than in prior studies. There is no evidence that the high prevalence and incidence rates have changed in this interval but numbers are too small for firm statements. These findings indicate that in Monreale city MS prevalence is stable and confirm Sicily as a high-risk area for MS.     

Steadiness of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis in the province of Parma, Italy, 1960–1990

A clinical and epidemiological study on amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) was conducted in the province of Parma, Italy, from 1960–1990. A total of 121 cases were collected from hospital records. The average annual incidence was 0.98 per 100000 inhabitants, with a male/female ratio of 1.1. Age-specific incidence was maximal in the age group 60–69 years. No difference between rural and urban areas was found. Prevalence on October 26th, 1981 was 2.5 per 100000. Mean age at onset was 60 years, with no significant sex difference. Mean duration of the disease was 30 (sd 21.4) months. Bulbar forms were significantly (p<0.05) shorter than conventional forms, with a mean duration of 23.4 (sd 21.4) months. Age at onset did not influence prognosis. A comparison of three decades was made, to verify whether possible variations of the disease had occurred with time. From our data a definite stability was found in such epidemiological parameters as incidence, prevalence, mean duration and mortality of ALS in the period.     

Epidemiology of ALS in Padova district, Italy, from 1992 to 2005

Background and purpose:  Several studies have reported an increase in ALS incidence in recent years but population-based studies in Europe do not confirm this trend. To analyze ALS incidence over time we conducted a retrospective incidence study in the Padova district of Italy (1992 to 2005). We had previously conducted a survey in the same area in the years 1980–1991.
Methods:  We used the archives of all the neurological wards of the Padova district to identify all subjects with a discharge diagnosis of ALS or motor neuron disease and resident in the Padova district.
Results:  We ascertained 182 patients (85 males and 97 females; male:female ratio 0.88:1) over the 14-year study period. The annual incidence rates adjusted by sex and age increased from 1.31/100000/year in the years 1992–1994 to 1.92/100000/year in the years 2004–2005.
Conclusions:  This study confirmed an ALS incidence increase over the last 25 years in the Padova district. The increase in incidence may be partially explained by the ageing of the general population rather than by an improved diagnostic assessment.     

Prevalence and incidence of multiple sclerosis in Catania, Sicily

OBJECTIVE: An epidemiologic survey was conducted to determine the prevalence and incidence of MS in the city of Catania, Sicily, Italy. Prevalence rate was calculated as point prevalence at January 1,1995, and incidence during 1974 to 1995. METHODS: The authors studied the frequency of MS in the community of Catania in a population of 333,075 inhabitants according to the 1991 census. The primary sources for the case ascertainment were the neurologic and motor rehabilitation departments, the MS Center, the Italian MS Association, private neurologists, and family doctors. All patients who satisfied the Poser criteria for clinically definite MS, laboratory-supported definite MS, clinically probable MS, and laboratory-supported probable MS were considered prevalent and incident cases. RESULTS: One hundred ninety-five patients with MS who had had the onset of disease on prevalence day in a population of 333,075 inhabitants were detected. The prevalence rate was 58.5 per 100,000 (95% CI 50.7 to 67.5). Prevalence was higher in women (62.0/100,000) than in men (54.8/100,000). The age-specific prevalence showed a peak in the group aged 35 to 44 (145.1/100,000). From 1975 to 1994, 170 subjects with MS had the clinical onset of the disease. The mean annual incidence was 2.3 per 100,000 (95% CI 2.0 to 2.6). Age-specific incidence showed a peak in the group aged 25 to 34 (6.32/100,000). Incidence for 5-year intervals increased from 1.3 during 1975 to 1979 to 3.9 during 1990 to 1994. CONCLUSIONS: These prevalence and incidence rates are close to those reported in other similar surveys carried out in Italy and southern Europe.     

Epidemiologic survey of multiple sclerosis in the Bucharest city and suburban area

Epidemiologic survey over a restricted area of Romanian territory, i.e. the city of Bucharest with a population of 1,934,052 and a surface of 605 km², established the following values for the MS parameters studied.
On January 5, 1977 the prevalence rate for "probable" and "possible" cases was 46.4 per 100,000 inhabitants and for "probable" cases alone (with certain clinical diagnosis) 41.3 per 100,000.
The specific 20- to 60-year age adjusted prevalence rate was 79.4 per 100,000. The incidence rate over the 1969–1976 period was 1.78 per 100,000.
The prevalence and incidence rates in this survey are similar to those reported for two other large urban centers of Romania (population over 100,000 each), Romania being therefore situated in a geographical area of "high risk" for MS.
The 0.61 per 100,000 nationwide and the 0.65 per 100,000 Bucharest mortality rates are lower than those reported in other geographical areas of "high risk" for MS.     

Clustering of multiple sclerosis in the county of Hordaland, Western Norway

We studied the distribution of MS cases in the county of Hordaland, Western Norway. The total MS population comprised 426 patients. The prevalence on January 1st, 1963, and on January 1st, 1983, and the average annual incidence in the period 1963-1982 were all lower in the coastal area compared to the inland area. An increase in incidence started in the urban area and was followed some 10 years later in the rural area. The Knox method revealed no statistically significant evidence of clustering either for time/place of onset or for time/place of birth. Indications of clustering according to year of onset were, however, observed in the rural area.     

Increasing prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Finland

Objectives – To follow‐up the prevalence trends of MS from 1983 to 1993 in western and southern Finland. MS epidemiology has been previously followed from 1964 to 1978 in these regions. The updated prevalences were correlated with incidence trends in the same period. Methods– Age‐adjusted and age‐specific MS prevalence rates were calculated for cases classified by Poser's criteria. Results– In the western health‐care districts, Seinäjoki and Vaasa, prevalences in 1993 were 202/10⁵ and 111/10⁵. In the southern district Uusimaa the respective figure was 108/10⁵. In Seinäjoki a significant 1.7‐fold increase was found in 1993 as compared to 1983, mainly due to increased incidence. In Uusimaa a significant 1.2‐fold increase in prevalence was found in the presence of stable incidence. In Vaasa prevalence was stable, although incidence was declining. Conclusion– The prevalence of MS is increasing in Seinäjoki and Uusimaa but not in Vaasa. Both the prevalence and incidence in Seinäjoki are now among the highest reported.     

Epidemiologic trends in multiple sclerosis in M?re and Romsdal, Norway: a prevalence/incidence study in a stable population

The western part of Norway has been a low-to medium-frequency area for multiple sclerosis (MS). The prevalence of definite/probable MS on January 1, 1961, was 24.3/100,000 in the county of M?re and Romsdal, western Norway. Based on the same diagnostic criteria, the prevalence of definite/probable MS increased to 75.4/100,000 on January 1, 1985. The average annual incidence rate increased from 1.94/100,000 in the period 1950-1954 to 3.78/100,000 from 1975-1979. Remitting MS in the younger age groups of both sexes increased the most. We consider this increase of MS to be due to alteration in exogenous factors as variation in genetic susceptibility cannot account for the increase in the stable western Norwegian population. The rise in prevalence/incidence over the last 20 to 25 years in western Norway supports the theory that MS is a disease influenced by exogenous factors that show variation over time.     

Multiple sclerosis: changing times

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is distributed about the world in three zones of high, medium, and low frequency. All high- and medium-risk areas are among predominantly white populations. Migration studies indicate MS is already acquired by age 15 in high-risk endemic areas and that low-to-high migrants increase their risk from age 11 years. Therefore MS is an environmental disease ordinarily acquired in adolescence with a long incubation before symptom onset. Susceptibility is limited to the period from about age 11 to 47. In general, MS death rates have been declining over time while prevalence rates have increased. Incidence rates have also increased, however, in: northeastern Scotland; Turku, Finland; Hordaland, Norway; Rochester, Minn.; Lower Saxony; several areas of Italy. Incidence was unchanged in northernmost Norway. Conversely, incidence and prevalence rates have decreased in the Shetland-Orkneys; there was a cyclical pattern in incidence in Rostock, GDR; and there was a transient doubling of incidence in Iceland in the post-World War II decade. In the Faroe Islands, MS was absent before 1943 when a major point-source epidemic began, reaching an incidence rate of 10 per 100,000 population in 1945. This was followed by two consecutively smaller epidemics with respective peaks each about 12 years later, and there is now a new epidemic IV on these islands. Explanations for changing incidence of MS over time should bring us closer to solving the etiology of this disease.     

A possible spatial and temporal cluster of multiple sclerosis in the town of Linguaglossa,Sicily

We carried out an epidemiological survey to determine prevalence and incidence of multiple sclerosis in the little town of Linguaglossa in the Province of Catania. We calculated prevalence rate as point prevalence at 1 January 2001 and incidence during 1991–2000.We studied the frequency of multiple sclerosis in the community of Linguaglossa in a population of 5,422 inhabitants in the 2001 census. The primary sources for the case ascertainment were the general practitioners of Linguaglossa, the local Italian Multiple Sclerosis Association and the neurological departments, Multiple Sclerosis Centers and private neurologists of the province of Catania. We considered as prevalent and incident cases all patients who satisfied the Poser’s diagnostic criteria. We detected 11 patients with multiple sclerosis who had had the onset of disease on prevalent day (P.D.). The onset–adjusted prevalence rate was 203/100,000 (95% CI 107–352).Prevalence was higher in women (247/100,000) than in men (154/100,000). From 1991 to 2000, 10 subjects with MS had clinical onset of disease. The mean annual incidence risk was 18.2/100,000 (C. I. 95 % 5.9–42.5).Conversely in the same population prevalence on 1 January 1991 was 37/100,000 while the onset adjusted annual incidence risk during the previous decade (1981–1991) was 3.6/100,000. Prevalence and incidence rates of MS during the last decade in the little town of Linguaglossa are higher than those found in the same area during the previous ten years and also than those reported in other Sicilian and Italian surveys suggesting a possible cluster of MS.     

Contribution of incidence to increasing prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Alberta, Canada

Alberta Health Care Insurance Plan (AHCIP) data were used to calculate prevalence and incidence rates for multiple sclerosis (MS) in the general population of Alberta from 1990 to 2004. Multiple sclerosis prevalence rose steadily each year over this time period, from 217.6/100,000 individuals in 1990 to 357.6/100,000 in 2004. Multiple sclerosis incidence fluctuated with a slight increase from 1990 to 2004, at 20.9/100,000 and 23.9/100,000, respectively. Age-specific prevalence rates were higher between ages 30 and 60 in 2004 than in 1990. The pattern of age-specific incidence rates was similar in 1990 and 2004, with a slight shift toward diagnosis in younger years. Gender-specific prevalence rates were higher for females in both 1990 and 2004, with a greater increase in females (43%) than males (29%). Gender-specific incidence rates were higher for females than males in both years, but there was no differential increase in incidence by gender from 1990 to 2004. The 2004 Alberta MS prevalence rate remains among the highest reported worldwide. Both increasing incidence and longer duration have likely contributed to increasing MS prevalence in the province.