When is a postoperative seizure equivalent to “epilepsy recurrence” after epilepsy surgery?

Purpose: Up to one‐half of epilepsy surgery patients will have at least one seizure after surgery. We aim to characterize the prognosis following a first postoperative seizure, and provide criteria allowing early identification of recurrent refractory epilepsy. Methods: Analyzing 915 epilepsy surgery patients operated on between 1990 and 2007, we studied 276 who had ≥1 seizure beyond the immediate postoperative period. The probability of subsequent seizures was calculated using survival analysis. Patients were divided into seizure‐free (no seizures for ≥1 year) and refractory (persistent seizures) and analyzed using multivariate regression analysis. Results: After a first seizure, 50% had a recurrence within 1 month and 77% within a year before the risk slowed down to additional 2–3% increments every two subsequent years. After a second seizure, 50% had a recurrence within 2 weeks, 78% within 2 months, and 83% within 6 months. Having both the first and second seizures within six postoperative months [odds ratio (OR) 4.04; 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.05–8.40; p = 0.0001], an unprovoked initial recurrence (OR 3.92; 95% CI 2.13–7.30; p < 0.0001), and ipsilateral spikes on a 6‐months postoperative electroencephalography (EEG) (OR 2.05; 95% CI 1.10–3.88; p = 0.025) predicted a poorer outcome, with 95% of patients who had all three risk factors becoming refractory. All patients with cryptogenic epilepsy and recurrent seizures developed refractoriness. Discussion: Seizures will recur in most patients who present with their first postoperative event, with one‐third eventually regaining seizure‐freedom. Etiology and early and unprovoked postoperative seizures with epileptiform activity on EEG at six postoperative months may predict recurrent medical refractoriness.     

A follow-up survey on seizures induced by animated cartoon TV program "Pocket Monster"

PURPOSE: To identify the short-term outcome of patients who had seizures while watching an animated cartoon TV program, "Pocket Monster," on December 16, 1997. METHODS: One and three years after the incident, questionnaires were sent to physicians of each patient about seizure recurrence, EEGs, and medication. RESULTS: Among 103 patients in whom epileptic seizures occurred during the TV program and information on the outcomes was available, 25 (24%) patients had a history of unprovoked seizures before the incident (Epilepsy Group), and 78 (76%) did not (Non-Epilepsy Group). Twenty-three (22%) patients were reported to have seizures after the incident, and 15 of them had visually induced seizures. Patients of the Epilepsy Group had more seizure recurrence than did those of the Non-Epilepsy Group (56% vs. 9%; p < 0.0001), either for unprovoked (44% vs. 4%; p < 0.0001) or visually induced seizures (28% vs. 9%; p < 0.05). Of nine patients of the Non-Epilepsy Group who had seizures after the incident, only three developed recurrent unprovoked seizures. In the Non-Epilepsy Group, no difference was found in seizure recurrence between patients in whom valproate (VPA) was prescribed immediately after the incident and in those without medication (one of five (20%) vs. seven of 73 (10%); p > 0.05). EEG was performed at least once in 98 patients after the incident. Photoparoxysmal response (PPR) was present in 45 (46%) patients, and spontaneous epileptiform discharges, in 49 (50%). PPR did not have any correlation with recurrence of seizures, neither spontaneous nor visually induced seizures, whereas spontaneous epileptiform discharges showed a good correlation with seizure recurrence (34% vs. 8%; p < 0.01), including visually induced seizures (24% vs. 2%; p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Short-term outcomes showed that 70 (68%) of 103 patients who had a seizure during the incident had no seizures before and during < or = 3 years of follow-up.     

Long-term seizure outcome and its predictors in patients with recurrent seizures during the first year aftertemporal lobe resective epilepsy surgery

Purpose: The existing data on the implications of the characteristics of seizures that recur during the first year following epilepsy surgery on subsequent seizure outcome are conflicting. We investigated the impact of recurrent seizures in the first postoperative year and their attributes on long‐term seizure outcome. Methods: We studied the postoperative courses of 492 patients who had completed two or more years of follow‐up after temporal lobe resective epilepsy surgery. We used Kaplan‐Meier survival curves to define long‐term seizure outcome and assessed the predictive value of recurrent seizure characteristics on the outcome by univariate and multivariate proportional hazards regression models. Key Findings: In our patients, seizure recurrences during the first postoperative year, irrespective of the attributes of recurrent seizures (such as provoked vs. unprovoked, and timing and number of recurrences), imparted fourfold to sevenfold increased hazards for continued seizures beyond the first postoperative year. Although patients with complex partial seizures with or without secondary generalized tonic–clonic seizures (CPS/GTCS) had a sixfold increased risk, those with auras alone had only a borderline risk for seizures beyond the first postoperative year. In the multivariate model, CPS/GTCS as the predominant seizure type and three or more seizure recurrences during the first postoperative year independently predicted unfavorable long‐term seizure outcome. Significance: Our study provides valuable information that is helpful in prognosticating and counseling patients, and in making rational decisions on the withdrawal of antiepileptic drugs following surgery. Our findings enhance the general understanding of the etiopathogenesis of surgical failure.     

Afebrile seizures associated with minor infections: comparison with febrile seizures and unprovoked seizures

This study aimed to demonstrate that afebrile seizures provoked by minor infections constitute a distinct epilepsy syndrome different from febrile seizures and unprovoked afebrile seizures. Of the children who were admitted to hospitals for their first seizure, 1170 had febrile seizures, 286 had provoked seizures, and 125 had unprovoked afebrile seizures. Children with provoked seizures were afebrile at the time of seizure but manifested definite symptoms or signs of minor infection, for example, cough, coryza, vomiting or diarrhea, normal metabolic and cerebrospinal fluid investigations, and no obvious cause for their seizures. The average follow-up was 6.1 years. The Kaplan-Meier estimate of risk at 5 years for subsequent unprovoked afebrile seizures after a first febrile seizure, provoked seizure, or unprovoked afebrile seizure was 1.6%, 5.7%, and 65.7% respectively. All differences were statistically significant (P < 0.0014). In conclusion, afebrile seizures provoked by minor illnesses constitute a distinct type of situation-related seizures, which have not been previously described. Children with provoked seizures have a much lower risk of subsequent unprovoked afebrile seizures than patients with the first afebrile seizure. Careful inquiry for symptoms of minor infections when children present with their first afebrile seizure will help determine the risk for subsequent seizures and the need for antiepileptic drugs.     

Seizures with Fever After Unprovoked Seizures: An Analysis in Children Followed from the Time of a First Febrile Seizure

Summary: Purpose: To determine how the onset of unprovoked seizures influences recurrence of seizures with fever in children followed from the time of a first febrile seizure.
Methods: In a prospective cohort of children (n = 428) identified at the time of a first febrile seizure, predictors of a second seizure with fever were identified. The occurrence of a first unprovoked seizure was treated as a time-dependent covariate in a Cox regression model rather than as a censoring point as it traditionally has been in the past.
Results: One hundred forty-three (33.4%) children had further seizures. Seven had further seizures with fever only after onset of unprovoked seizures. After adjustment was made for the four previously described predictors of recurrent febrile seizures (age at onset, family history, height of fever, and duration of fever), the onset of unprovoked seizures was associated with a rate ratio of 3.47 (p = 0.0015), indicating a large increase in the risk of further seizures with fever after onset of unprovoked seizures.
Conclusions: Young children who develop unprovoked seizures after a febrile seizure are at substantial risk for further seizures with fever. This may represent part of the spectrum of benign febrile seizures or it may represent the so-called "epilepsy triggered by fever" spectrum. It affects only a small proportion of children with febrile seizures; however, in some children, it may be useful information to consider when making treatment decisions.     

Predicting seizure frequency after epilepsy surgery

OBJECTIVE: To identify clinical features related to seizure frequency after epilepsy surgery in patients with recurrent seizures. BACKGROUND: No studies have examined the differences between patients who have rare seizures and patients who experience frequent seizures after epilepsy surgery. Since seizure frequency correlates with morbidity and quality of life, it is desirable to know which preoperative clinical features predict postoperative seizure frequency. METHODS: Patients with recurrent seizures were placed in two categories: rare postoperative seizures (< or =2 per year) and frequent postoperative seizures (> or =12 per year) using seizure frequency in the second postoperative year. Variables included preoperative seizure frequency, age of first risk, age at first seizure, epilepsy duration, age at surgery, history of febrile convulsions, tonic-clonic seizures, status epilepticus, or family history, IQ, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and positron emission tomography (PET). Variables were analyzed using non-parametric tests to assess relationship to postoperative seizure frequency. RESULTS: Of 475 patients who had epilepsy surgery, 111 had rare or frequent seizures in the second postoperative year. After anterior temporal lobectomy (ATL), age of first risk< or =5 years and presence of mesial temporal sclerosis on MRI were associated with rare seizures (66% of patients), whereas lack of these risk factors was associated with frequent seizures (75% of patients) (p<0.03). For non-ATL operations, preoperative seizure frequency of > or =20 seizures per month was associated with frequent postoperative seizures (p=0.03). No other variables influenced outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Some preoperative clinical features correlate with postoperative seizure frequency in patients with recurrent seizures after epilepsy surgery. This has implications for the surgical decision making process and early postoperative management.     

Clinical and electroencephalographic follow-up after a first unprovoked seizure

We studied the role of clinical and electroencephalographic factors in the follow-up of children and adolescents after a first unprovoked seizure, and their correlation with recurrence and risk for epilepsy. We conducted a 24-month follow-up of 109 patients aged 1 month to 16 years who had a first unprovoked seizure. We analyzed the characteristics of the first seizure, perinatal history, family history of seizures, electroencephalographic patterns and their influence on seizure recurrence, and calculated risk for subsequent epilepsy. Fifty-six patients (51.4%) had recurrent seizures. The bivariate statistical analysis revealed that maternal prenatal disease (relative risk = 2.02, P = 0.03) and an abnormal electroencephalogram (relative risk = 2.89, P = 0.0003) were significantly associated with seizure recurrence. Other factors (male sex, partial first seizure, vaginal delivery, family history of seizures, and sleep state) approached statistical significance. Logistic regression revealed that the only variable significantly associated with recurrence was an abnormal electroencephalographic pattern on the first examination (relative risk = 2.48, P = 0.003). Cumulative risk ranged from 50-68% at 24 months when the first electroencephalogram was abnormal, and from 26-36% when it was normal. We concluded that the electroencephalogram may have an important diagnostic value in the prognosis of epileptic seizure recurrence in children and adolescents.     

Complex Febrile Seizures

In the context of a prospective cohort study, we examined the associations between individual complex features of both first (n = 428) and recurrent (n = 240) febrile seizures and factors shown to predict outcome in children with febrile seizures. Thirty-five percent of first and 33% of recurrent febrile seizures had one or more complex features (focal onset, duration ≥10 min, or multiple seizures during the illness episode). There were strong correlations between focality and prolonged duration for both first and recurrent febrile seizures. A low fever at the time of the seizure was marginally associated with prolonged duration. Most factors associated with either recurrent febrile seizures or subsequent unprovoked seizures were not associated with either the initial seizure being complex or the likelihood that a recurrence would be complex. However, in children with recurrent febrile seizures, complex features tended to repeat. This factor was statistically significant and particularly striking for prolonged duration. Genetic or other constitutional factors may explain why the prolonged feature recurs. Eleven (2.5%) children had three or four risk factors for recurrent febrile seizures and a first febrile seizure that was prolonged. Eight (72.7%) of them experienced a recurrent febrile seizure that was prolonged. This very small group of children may be candidates for abortive therapy to be administered at the onset of a recurrent seizure.     

Mortality in Patients with a First Unprovoked Seizure

Summary:  Purpose: The mortality after a first epileptic seizure is affected by the source of cases, the intensity of the diagnostic work-up, the type and the presumed etiology of the seizure, the length of follow-up, and the modalities of data collection (retrospective vs. prospective). We review the four studies of this topic.
Methods: Four studies have been identified which focused on the mortality of the first unprovoked seizures or the first afebrile (provoked or unprovoked) seizure. These included two population-based surveys, one clinic-based community survey, and a randomized clinical trial on the treatment of the first unprovoked generalized tonic–clonic seizure.
Results: A standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of 2.3 (95% confidence interval, CI 1.5–3.3) for unprovoked first seizures was found in a retrospective cohort study in the population of Rochester, Minnesota. The SMR was higher during the first year after the seizures to progressively decrease thereafter. Acute symptomatic seizures carried the higher risk, followed by remote symptomatic seizures, while idiopathic and cryptogenic seizures carried no risk. The increased SMR found in women and in patients aged 0–19 years enrolled in the randomized trial differs from that seen in other mortality studies in epilepsy (SMR being highest in the youngest age groups) and may be a chance finding.
Conclusions: Mortality is increased in patients with a first unprovoked seizure, particularly during the first year after the seizure. This increased mortality is associated with known etiology of the seizure, and is not present when etiology is unknown.     

Risk of Recurrence After an Initial Unprovoked Seizure

A cohort of 424 patients was followed to determine the patterns of risk for recurrence after an initial unprovoked seizure. Overall, the risk of recurrence was 36% by 1 year, 48% by 3 years, and 56% by 5 years. The risk of subsequent seizures was lower for patients with idiopathic seizures than for those whose seizures had a presumed etiology. Among cases for which initial seizure was classified as idiopathic, EEG abnormalities, abnormal neurologic examination findings, and initial partial seizures were identified as significant independent predictors of higher recurrence risks.     

Predictors of multiple seizures in a cohort of children prospectively followed from the time of their first unprovoked seizure

The objective of this study was to assess the risk of multiple recurrences after an initial seizure recurrence in childhood. In a prospective study, 407 children were followed for a mean of 9.6 years from the time of their first unprovoked seizure. Data regarding each seizure recurrence were obtained and analyzed using statistical methods for survival analysis. The cumulative risk of a second seizure was 29%, 37%, 43%, and 46% at 1, 2, 5, and 10 years, respectively. Of the 182 children who experienced a second seizure, 131 (72%) experienced a third seizure, 105 (58%) have had 4 or more seizures, and 52 (29%) have experienced 10 or more seizures. The cumulative risk of a third seizure was 57%, 63%, and 71% at 1, 2, and 5 years, respectively, after the second seizure. After a third seizure, the cumulative risk of another seizure was 69%, 72%, and 81% at 1, 2, and 5 years, respectively. After a second seizure, factors associated with an increased risk of additional recurrences included a remote symptomatic etiology (rate ratio = 1.7) and the occurrence of a second seizure within 6 months of the first seizure (rate ratio = 1.7). After a second seizure, the risk of subsequent seizures was greater than 50% even in the lowest risk group. With the exception of etiology, factors associated with an increased risk of multiple recurrences after the initial seizure were different than those associated with multiple recurrences after a second seizure. Factors associated with multiple recurrent seizures may be different than those associated with an initial recurrence. As most patients who experience a second seizure experience further seizures, these data suggest that two seizures are a sufficient epidemiological criterion for the definition of epilepsy.     

Early seizures after temporal lobectomy predict subsequent seizure recurrence

Patients are understandably anxious if seizures occur immediately after temporal lobectomy. Such "neighborhood" seizures are commonly regarded as irrelevant to seizure outcome and discounted in outcome measurement. We conducted an in-depth examination of early postoperative seizures (<28 days) and outcome. The risk of recurrence at one postoperative year was calculated using Poisson regression, and statistical adjustments were made for preoperative pathology. Of 321 patients, 69 (22%) experienced early postoperative seizures. These early seizures were associated with subsequent seizure recurrence (rate ratio [RR] 5.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.1-8.4). Among patients with early seizures, the only significant factor was the presence of seizure precipitants, which was associated with a lower recurrence risk. However, when compared with patients with no early seizures, those with precipitants to early seizures had a higher risk of recurrence (RR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.8-5.2). The risk was higher again for patients without precipitants to early seizures (RR, 7.6; 95% CI, 5.0-11.5). Early seizures and other seizure recurrences in the first postoperative year did not differ in their effect on subsequent outcome (X(2) [3] = 3.4, p = 0.33). We conclude that early postoperative seizures are associated with subsequent seizure recurrence. These findings have implications for patient counseling and the measurement of outcome.     

Antiepileptic drug withdrawal after successful surgery for intractable temporal lobe epilepsy

PURPOSE: To investigate the prognosis related to antiepileptic drug (AED) discontinuation after successful surgery for intractable temporal lobe epilepsy. METHODS: The clinical courses after temporal lobectomies (TLs) were retrospectively analyzed in 88 consecutive patients. All the patients had TLs as the only surgical procedure, and they had been followed up for longer than 3 years. AED discontinuation was attempted if the patient had been seizure free without aura for >or=1 year during the follow-up period. RESULTS: Sixty-six (75%) patients achieved complete seizure freedom for >or=1 year; 28 patients were seizure free immediately after surgery (immediate success); and 38 patients became seizure free after some period of recurrent seizures (delayed success). AED discontinuation was attempted in 60 (91%) of 66 patients with a successful outcome. In 13 (22%) patients, seizure relapse developed during AED reduction (n=60), and in seven (12%) patients after discontinuation of AEDs (n=38). The seizure recurrence rate was not different between the immediate-and delayed-success groups. Among 20 patients with seizure relapse related to AED tapering, nine (45%) of them regained seizure freedom after reinstitution of AED treatment, and AEDs were eventually discontinued in six of them. Seizures that recurred after complete AED discontinuation had a better prognosis than did the seizures that recurred during AED reduction (seizure freedom in 86% vs. 23%). At the final assessment, 54 (61%) patients had been seizure free >or=1 year; 37 without AEDs and 17 with AEDs. The successful discontinuation of AEDs was more frequent for patients with a younger age at the time of surgery and for those patients with shorter disease duration. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that seizure freedom without aura at >or=1 year is a reasonable indication for the attempt at AED discontinuation. The subsequent control of recurrent seizures was excellent, especially if seizures relapsed after the complete discontinuation of AEDs. Younger age at the time of surgery and a shorter disease duration seem to affect successful AED discontinuation for a long-term period.     

Seizure recurrence after a first unprovoked seizure in childhood: a prospective study

PURPOSE: To study the risk of recurrence after a first unprovoked seizure in childhood. METHODS: All consecutive patients aged less than 14 years with one or more unprovoked seizures who were attended between January 1, 1987, and June 1, 1996, were included in a prospective study. Clinical features of patients attended after a first seizure and those attended after two or more seizures were compared. Recurrence risk in both groups was estimated by Kaplan-Meier curves. Univariate and multivariate analyses of the potential predictors of recurrence risk were performed for the group of patients attended after a first seizure using the Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: Included in the study were 217 children. Kaplan-Meier estimate of recurrence risk was 64% at 5 years, when only patients being attended after a first epileptic seizure were included, compared with 74% when all patients were included. Significant differences in several clinical features were found between patients attended after a first seizure and those attended after two or more seizures. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that in the overall cohort of patients attended after a first seizure, a symptomatic etiology increased the risk of recurrence, whereas a patient age of 3 to 10 years decreased this risk. In particular, the recurrence risk was 96% at 2 years for symptomatic seizures, compared with 46% for idiopathic/cryptogenic seizures. In the group of patients with idiopathic/cryptogenic seizures, an abnormal electroencephalogram and the occurrence of seizures during sleep increased the recurrence risk, whereas a patient aged 3 to 10 years reduced it. In the group of patients with symptomatic etiology, univariate analysis revealed that there was a lower recurrence risk for patients aged 3 to 10 years. This last finding was not maintained, however, in multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The recurrence risk depends on the inclusion criteria for enrolling patients. Several factors enable us to predict the recurrence risk after a first unprovoked seizure; the most important of these factors is the etiology of the seizures.     

Risk of seizure recurrence after a first unprovoked seizure in childhood

ObjectiveThe aim of this study was to assess the risk of recurrence after a first unprovoked seizure in childhood and to explore the correlation between the first and second seizures in recurrent patients.MethodsIn a prospective study, we included 467 children aged 1 month to 16 years, who were attended to between November 1, 2008 and October 31, 2016 following a first seizure. Children who had been started on treatment with antiepileptic drugs were excluded. Recurrence rates were calculated using Kaplan–Meier survival analyses. Univariate and multivariate analyses for recurrence risk were performed using the Cox proportional hazards model. The kappa coefficient of correlation for categorical data was calculated.ResultsRecurrences occurred in 280 children (60.0%), of which 75 (26.8%) occurred in the first month, 184 (65.7%) within 6 months, and 256 (91.4%) within 2 years. None of the patients had new neurologic sequelae after their first or second seizure. The estimates of seizure recurrence risk were 39.5%, 48.1%, 55.1%, 60.8%, 61.8% and 61.8% at 0.5, 1, 2, 5, 8, and 10 years after the first seizure, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that abnormal electroencephalogram and neuroimaging findings significantly increased the risk of recurrence. First and second seizures were significantly associated with state of arousal, status epilepticus, and multiple seizures in recurrent patients.ConclusionOver half of untreated children had recurrence after a first unprovoked seizure, but prognosis was good overall.     

Seizure recurrence in adults after a newly diagnosed unprovoked epileptic seizure

PURPOSE: To investigate the risk of seizure recurrence after a newly diagnosed unprovoked epileptic seizure in an adult population-based cohort. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A total of 107 patients aged >or=17 years with a newly diagnosed unprovoked epileptic seizure (index seizure) were prospectively identified for the period 1985-87. Patients were followed until the date of death or to the end of 1996 with a median follow-up of 10.3 years for surviving cases. Overall cumulative recurrence rates and possible influencing variables were calculated. RESULTS: At 750 days after the index seizure the recurrence was 58%, and after that no events occurred. Recurrence risk was significantly higher when index seizure was remote symptomatic or preceded by two or more seizures. No other study variable predicted seizure recurrence. CONCLUSION: Etiology and the occurrence of seizures before the index seizure after a newly diagnosed unprovoked epileptic seizure predict seizure recurrence. Thus, particular consideration should be given to these factors in the decision of whether or not to initiate antiepileptic treatment.     

Antiepileptogenesis and Seizure Prevention Trials with Antiepileptic Drugs: Meta-Analysis of Controlled Trials

PURPOSE: To synthesize evidence concerning the effect of antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) for seizure prevention and to contrast their effectiveness for provoked versus unprovoked seizures. METHODS: Medline, Embase, and The Cochrane Clinical Trials Register were the primary sources of trials, but all trials found were included. Minimal requirements: seizure-prevention outcome given as fraction of cases; AED or control assigned by random or quasi-random mechanism. Single abstracter. Aggregate relative risk and heterogeneity evaluated using Mantel-Haenszel analyses; random effects model used if heterogeneity was significant. RESULTS: Forty-seven trials evaluated seven drugs or combinations for preventing seizures associated with fever, alcohol, malaria, perinatal asphyxia, contrast media, tumors, craniotomy, and traumatic brain injury. Effective: Phenobarbital for recurrence of febrile seizures [relative risk (RR), 0.51; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.32-0.82) and cerebral malaria (RR, 0.36; CI, 0.23-0.56). Diazepam for contrast media-associated seizures (RR, 0.10; CI, 0.01-0.79). Phenytoin for provoked seizures after craniotomy or traumatic brain injury (craniotomy: RR, 0.42; CI, 0.25-0.71; TBI: RR, 0.33; CI, 0.19-0.59). Carbamazepine for provoked seizures after traumatic brain injury (RR, 0.39; CI, 0.17-0.92). Lorazepam for alcohol-related seizures (RR, 0.12; CI, 0.04-0.40). More than 25% reduction ruled out valproate for unprovoked seizures after traumatic brain injury (RR, 1.28; CI, 0.76-2.16), and carbamazepine for unprovoked seizures after craniotomy (RR, 1.30; CI, 0.75-2.25). CONCLUSIONS: Effective or promising results predominate for provoked (acute, symptomatic) seizures. For unprovoked (epileptic) seizures, no drug has been shown to be effective, and some have had a clinically important effect ruled out.     

Factors predictive of the outcome of frontal lobe epilepsy surgery

PURPOSE: To identify factors that predict the outcome in seizure control after frontal lobe epilepsy surgery (FLES). FLES is the second most frequent type of epilepsy surgery, but the results are generally not as good as those after anterior temporal lobectomy. METHODS: Our cohort consisted of 68 consecutive patients whose first epilepsy surgery involving the frontal lobe occurred between 1987 and 1994. Clinical history and results of imaging and electroencephalographic studies were reviewed in detail. Excellent outcome was defined as being seizure free or having only nondisabling seizures at last follow up. RESULTS: Forty of the 68 patients (58.8%) had an excellent outcome; none of the patients with a history of childhood febrile seizures had an excellent outcome, whereas outcome was excellent in 63% of those without that history (p 相似文献   

Prognosticating acute symptomatic seizures using two different seizure outcomes

Purpose: This study examined the profiles and prognosis of first acute symptomatic seizure (ASS). Because seizure recurrences may occur in the setting of a persisting or reemerging acute symptomatic cause or in the setting of an unprovoked seizure, we documented the prognosis of ASS in terms of acute symptomatic seizure (AS) or unprovoked seizure (US) recurrence. Methods: We conducted a prospective study of patients with suspected seizures between April 2004 and December 2005. Patients were classified according to medical history taking, routine clinical evaluation, and expert adjudication, and they were followed for a minimum of 2 years or until death. The Kaplan‐Meier method and univariate/multivariate statistical analysis were used to determine prognosis. Results: One hundred five patients with first‐ever ASS were identified. For many, first ASS was associated with status epilepticus (29.5%), multiple‐onset (>1 seizure within 24 h on day of presentation) (35.2%), and multiple etiologies (22.9%), with a mortality of 30% at 2 years (Kaplan‐Meier method). Using AS as outcome, the risk of recurrence following an ASS was 32% at 2 years [mean time to recurrence 20.5 days with epileptiform electroencephalography (EEG) being an independent predictor; p = 0.005, odds ratio (OR) 16, 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.09–62.7]. Using US as outcome, the risk of recurrence following an ASS was 12% at 2 years. Discussion: Although ASS did not associate with a high rate of US recurrence, we demonstrated that ASS was often followed by another AS. This may have implication for short‐ to medium‐term antiepileptic agent therapy, especially when the acute symptomatic cause takes a long time to treat, is prone to reemergence, or is irreversible.     

Risk of seizure recurrence after a first unprovoked seizure: a prospective study among Jordanian children.

PURPOSE: There is wide variation in the reported recurrence rate after a first unprovoked seizure in children. We investigated the risk of recurrence after a first unprovoked seizure in Jordanian children and the risk factors associated with increased recurrence rate. METHODS: All consecutive patients aged 3 months-14 years who presented with their first unprovoked seizures between January 1997 and 2000, were included in a prospective study and followed up for 3 years for possible recurrence. Of the patients studied, there was slight male predominance (56.6%) and 55% of them were 2-9 years of age. Generalised seizures were reported in 75% and the remaining 25% had partial seizures. The duration of seizure was 1-4 minutes in 59%. Family history of epilepsy was positive in 31% and parental consanguinity in 32%. The role of these factors in increasing the risk of recurrence was also investigated. RESULTS: Two hundred sixty-five patients were included in the study and continued follow up for 3 years. Ninety-eight (37%) of them experienced seizure recurrence. Among the predictor factors for recurrence, partial seizure (P = 0.003) and positive family history (P = 0.000) were associated with a statistically significant increased risk. Sex, age, duration of seizure and consanguinity were not associated with increased risk of recurrence. CONCLUSION: Thirty-seven percent of the children studied experienced a second attack after a first unprovoked seizure over the 3 years follows up period. The risk of recurrence was significantly higher in children with a partial seizure (55%) and among those with a positive family history of epilepsy (59%). Age at first seizure, sex, duration of seizure and consanguinity were not significantly related to the risk of recurrence.