MELD Score: Utility and Comparison with King's College Criteria in Non-Acetaminophen Acute Liver Failure

Objective: To compare Model for End-stage Liver Disease Score (MELD Score, MS) and King's College Hospital (KCH) criteria for finding correlation of mortality in non-acetaminophen induced acute liver failure (NAI-ALF). Study Design: An analytical cross-sectional study. Place and Duration of Study: The Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi, from 2005 to 2007. Methodology: The study included patients with NAI-ALF. KCH criteria were labelled as good and bad prognosis groups. MELD score were calculated by using the MELD calculator. ROC was plotted and sensitivity analysis was done. ETA was used to see correlation between MELD and KCH. Results: Ninety-one patients with mean age of 32.5 + 16.3 years were studied; 49 were males (54%). Out of these, 57 patients died (63%); two leading causes of non-acetaminophen induced acute liver failure (NAI-ALF) were hepatitis hepatitis B virus (HBV) (n = 30, 33%) followed by hepatitis E virus in (n = 23, 25.3%). According to King's College Hospital (KCH) criteria, 50 patients (88%) who died had bad prognosis and 24 patients (70.6%) who survived had good prognosis. The ROC determined MELD score of 32 was the best predictor of mortality with sensitivity and specificity of 79% and 71%, respectively and positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV) of 82% and 67% respectively. There was significant association between mortality and bad prognosis according to KCH criteria (p < 0.001). Overall mean MELD score (MMS) was 35.35 + 8.64. MMS on admission was 38 + 7.32 in patients who died and 30.7 + 8.77 in those who survived (p = < 0.001). MMS correlated equally with KCH criteria (ETA = 0.52). Conclusion: The admission MELD score has an excellent utility and correlates equally with KCH criteria for mortality in NAI- ALF.     

Assessment of a Modified Child-Pugh-Turcotte Score to Predict Early Mortality After Liver Transplantation

Objective

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) predicts mortality on the transplant list; however, it has not been of much use to predict posttransplant outcomes. Several prognostic models have been tested among patients with cirrhosis; nevertheless, their predictive value has not been established in the posttransplant setting. We recently modified the Child-Pugh-Turcotte (CPT) score by adding creatinine levels (CPT + Cr), which has proven useful for patients with alcoholic cirrhosis. This retrospective analysis sought to predict early (1 month) mortality using CPT + Cr versus 5 other prognostic models in patients who underwent orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) at our center.

Materials and Methods

We included 48 consecutive patients (30 males, 18 females, median age 51 years). The predictive values of CPT + Cr were compared with CPT scores without or with the Huo modification, CPT + Na, MELD, and MESO, which is the MELD to serum Na ratio. Pearson correlations and ROC curves as evidenced by the area under the curve (AUC) were determined for each index. P < .05 was considered to be significant.

Results

CPT + Cr showed the highest correlation with the risk of death (r = .368, P = .01); MELD and MESO were the lowest (r = .204, P = NS; and r = .254, P = NS, respectively). ROC analysis showed the best predictive value of CPT and CPT-Crea with AUC of 0.758 (P = .010) and 0.748 (P = .011) respectively, as compared to 0.689 for MESO and 0.659 for MELD (both NS).

Conclusions

A modified CPT score with creatinine levels may be of value to predict early death after OLT. Its usefulness must be validated in a prospective study of a large patient cohort.     

Elevated Alfa-Fetoprotein and Des-Gamma-Carboxy Prothrombin Levels Predict Poor Outcomes After Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Beyond the Japan Criteria

AimThe Japan criteria (Milan criteria + 5-5-500 rule) was established recently to select cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma for liver transplantation. We evaluated factors associated with poor prognosis after liver transplantation and investigated whether a further extension of the criteria would be worthwhile.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed 86 patients who underwent liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma at Kumamoto University Hospital since 2004; 69 patients (80.2%) met the Japan criteria (the JC^IN group), and 17 patients (19.8%) did not (the JC^OUT group).ResultsThe 5-year cancer-specific survival rates of the JC^IN group (92.2%) were significantly better than that of the JC^OUT group (39.2%; P < .001). In univariable analysis, alfa-fetoprotein and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin were significant independent factors associated with cancer-specific survival rates. According to the receiver operating characteristic curves, the cutoff values of alfa-fetoprotein and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin that predicted hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after liver transplantation were 756 ng/mL and 1976 mAU/mL, respectively. The JC^OUT group was divided into 2 subgroups according to alfa-fetoprotein and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin: low risk (alfa-fetoprotein level <756 ng/mL and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin level <1976 mAU/mL) and high risk (alfa-fetoprotein level ≥756 ng/mL and/or des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin level ≥1976 mAU/mL). The 5-year cancer-specific survival rate in the low-risk group (67.5%) was significantly better than that in the high-risk group (0%; P < .001).ConclusionsAlfa-fetoprotein levels of <756 ng/mL and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin levels of <1976 mAU/mL may help identify cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who do not meet the Japan criteria but still benefit from liver transplantation.     

Pretransplant MELD Score As a Predictor of Outcome After Liver Transplantation for Chronic Hepatitis C

The Model of End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, an accurate predictor of mortality in patients awaiting liver transplantation (OLTX), did not predict graft or patient survival in the post-transplant setting. Our aim was to test the model in patients who underwent OLTX for chronic hepatitis C. Two hundred and eighty-seven adult patients who underwent primary OLTX for chronic hepatitis C between December 1993 and September 1999 were studied from a prospectively maintained database. The group was stratified by MELD scores of less than 15, 15-24, and greater than 24. Patient survival, graft survival, and interval liver biopsy pathology were reviewed. Both patient and graft survival at 3, 6, and 12 months were significantly lower in the higher MELD score groups, as was patient survival at 24 months (p-values, 0.01-0.05). The difference in survival between the low, medium, and high MELD score groups increases in time. The survival without bridging fibrosis in the allograft at 1 year post-transplant was significantly lower with higher MELD scores (p = 0.037). The decrease in survival seen in hepatitis C patients with MELD scores greater than 24 raises questions of transplant suitability for these patients. Therapeutic modalities to decrease post-transplant graft injury in these patients should be explored.     

Chronic Kidney Disease After Liver Transplantation for Acute Liver Failure Is Not Associated With Perioperative Renal Dysfunction

Renal dysfunction of acute liver failure (ALF) may have distinct pathophysiological mechanisms to hepatorenal syndrome of cirrhosis. Yet, the impact of perioperative renal function on posttransplant renal outcomes in ALF patients specifically has not been established. The aims of this study were ( 1 ) to describe the incidence and risk factors for chronic renal dysfunction following liver transplantation for ALF and ( 2 ) to compare renal outcomes with age–sex‐matched patients transplanted for chronic liver disease. This was a single‐center study of 101 patients transplanted for ALF. Fifty‐three‐and‐a‐half percent had pretransplant acute kidney injury and 64.9% required perioperative renal replacement therapy. After transplantation the 5‐year cumulative incidence of chronic kidney disease (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m²) was 41.5%. There was no association between perioperative acute kidney injury (p = 0.288) or renal replacement therapy (p = 0.134) and chronic kidney disease. Instead, the independent predictors of chronic kidney disease were older age (p = 0.019), female gender (p = 0.049), hypertension (p = 0.031), cyclosporine (p = 0.027) and nonacetaminophen‐induced ALF (p = 0.039). Despite marked differences in the perioperative clinical condition and survival of patients transplanted for ALF and chronic liver disease, renal outcomes were the same. In conclusion, in patients transplanted for ALF the severity of perioperative renal injury does not predict posttransplant chronic renal dysfunction.     

Survival Outcomes Following Liver Transplantation (SOFT) Score: A Novel Method to Predict Patient Survival Following Liver Transplantation

It is critical to balance waitlist mortality against posttransplant mortality. Our objective was to devise a scoring system that predicts recipient survival at 3 months following liver transplantation to complement MELD‐predicted waitlist mortality. Univariate and multivariate analysis on 21 673 liver transplant recipients identified independent recipient and donor risk factors for posttransplant mortality. A retrospective analysis conducted on 30 321 waitlisted candidates reevaluated the predictive ability of the Model for End‐Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. We identified 13 recipient factors, 4 donor factors and 2 operative factors (warm and cold ischemia) as significant predictors of recipient mortality following liver transplantation at 3 months. The Survival Outcomes Following Liver Transplant (SOFT) Score utilized 18 risk factors (excluding warm ischemia) to successfully predict 3‐month recipient survival following liver transplantation. This analysis represents a study of waitlisted candidates and transplant recipients of liver allografts after the MELD score was implemented. Unlike MELD, the SOFT score can accurately predict 3‐month survival following liver transplantation. The most significant risk factors were previous transplantation and life support pretransplant. The SOFT score can help clinicians determine in real time which candidates should be transplanted with which allografts. Combined with MELD, SOFT can better quantify survival benefit for individual transplant procedures.     

Risk Factors for Development of Acute Renal Failure After Liver Transplantation

Background.?Acute renal failure (ARF) is a common complication after liver transplantation (LTx). Identification of risk factors may prevent the development and attenuate the impact of ARF on patients outcome after LTX. Methods.?Retrospective analysis of variables in the pre, intra, and postoperative periods of 92 patients submitted to LTx was performed in order to identify risk factors for development of ARF after LTx. ARF was defined as serum creatinine ≥2.0 mg/dL in the first 30 days after LTx. Univariate and multivariate analysis by logistic regression were performed. Results.?ARF group comprised 56 patients (61%). Preoperative serum creatinine was higher in ARF group. During the intraoperative period, ARF group required more blood transfusions, developed more episodes of hypotension and presented longer anesthesia time. In the postoperative period, ARF group presented higher serum bilirubin and more episodes of hypotension. Dialysis was required in 10 patients (11%). The identified risk factors for development of ARF were: preoperative serum creatinine >1.0 mg/dL, more than five blood transfusions in the intraoperative period, hypotension during intra and postoperative periods. The identified mortality risk factors were hypotension in the postoperative period and no recovery of renal function after 30 days. Conclusions.?Several factors are involved in the pathogenesis of ARF after LTx and may influence patients outcome and mortality. Pretransplant renal function and hemodynamic conditions in the operative and postoperative periods were identified as risk factors for development of ARF after LTx. Nonrenal function recovery and postoperative hypotension were identified as mortality risk factors after LTx.     

Adult T-Cell Leukemia After Deceased Donor Liver Transplantation for Acute Liver Failure: A Case Report

Human T-cell leukemia virus type 1 (HTLV-1) causes adult T-cell leukemia (ATL); however, the mechanism of its development has yet to be uncovered. A few ATL cases have been reported in HTLV-1-positive recipients after living donor liver transplantation. A 57-year-old HTLV-1-positive Japanese male suffered acute liver failure due to hepatitis B infection. He was transferred to our department to undergo deceased donor liver transplantation (DDLT). Tacrolimus and mycophenolate mofetil were induced for immunosuppression. His clinical outcome was satisfactory. However, he visited his physician 3 years after DDLT reporting abdominal pain and fever. A computed tomography scan showed multiple lymph node enlargement. Lymph node biopsy and his blood sample led to a diagnosis of ATL. He was transferred to the Department of Hematology and Oncology and underwent chemotherapy. To our knowledge, this is the first report of ATL development after DDLT from an HTLV-1-positive recipient. As is the case with our previous report, the current patient had undergone liver transplant for acute liver failure. Unlike living donor liver transplantation, however, DDLT needs no hepatic growth factor for liver regeneration. This finding sheds light on the resolution of the mechanism for the development of ATL from the HTLV-1 carrier.     

Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Transplantation: Validation of a Pathologic Risk Score on Explanted Livers to Predict Recurrence

BackgroundRecurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver transplantation is a major cause of morbidity and mortality. To date, there is no widely accepted pathologic assessment tool to predict HCC recurrence. In 2007, we developed a pathologic risk score that stratified patients into low, intermediate, or high risk for recurrence based on explant pathology. The aim of this study was to externally validate this risk score.MethodsWe retrospectively evaluated 124 patients over a 10-year period who underwent liver transplantation for HCC. Using explanted pathology reports, each patient was stratified according to the pathologic risk score and followed over time for HCC recurrence.ResultsRecurrence occurred in 15 patients (12%) after a mean follow-up of 25 months. Using the pathologic risk score, 10 (8%), 21 (17%), and 93 (75%) patients were stratified into high, intermediate, and low risk of recurrence, respectively. Among these risk groups, recurrence occurred in 50%, 28.5%, and 4.3% (P < .01) of patients, respectively. Using the optimal cutoff value ≤3.5, our risk score had a sensitivity of 80% and specificity of 79% with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of 0.8. Those with lower risk scores had higher recurrence-free survival (P < .0001).ConclusionsOur pathologic risk score accurately risks stratified patients for HCC recurrence after liver transplant. It can be used to tailor surveillance strategies for those deemed to be at elevated risk for recurrence.     

Psychological Functioning, Nonadherence and Health Outcomes After Pediatric Liver Transplantation

The present study empirically assessed the relationships between adherence behaviors and HRQOL, parent and child psychological functioning and family functioning, and investigated the relationship between adherence behaviors and health outcomes in children who were within 5 years of their liver transplantation. Participants included 38 children (mean = 8.5 years, range 28 months to 16 years) and their parent/guardian(s). HRQOL and psychological functioning were examined using well-validated assessment measures. Measures of adherence included the rate of clinic attendance and standard deviations (SDs) of consecutive tacrolimus blood levels, which were collected and evaluated retrospectively. Measures of child health status included the frequency of hospital admissions, liver biopsies, episodes of rejection and graft function for the year prior to study participation. Results indicated that nonadherence was related to lower physical HRQOL, more limitations in social and school activities related to emotional and behavioral problems, parental emotional distress and decreased family cohesion. Nonadherence was also related to frequency and duration of hospitalizations, liver biopsies and rejection episodes. These results suggest that empirically based assessment of HRQOL, parenting stress and family functioning may help identify patients at risk for nonadherence, and may allow for the need-based delivery of appropriate clinical interventions.     

RIFLE Criteria and Hepatic Function in the Assessment of Acute Renal Failure in Liver Transplantation

Renal dysfunction in cirrhotic patients is primary related to disturbances of circulatory function, triggered by portal hypertension with chronic intrarenal vasoconstriction and hypoperfusion. Pretransplant renal function is an important factor implicated in the development of acute renal failure (ARF) after liver transplantation (OLT), but other factors mostly related to liver function seem to influence the development of ARF.The Acute Dialysis Quality Initiative workgroup developed the RIFLE classification to define ARF. We sought to evaluate the incidence of ARF among patients undergoing OLT, to evaluate the association of ARF with pre-OLT renal and hepatic functions, and to evaluate the influence of ARF on chronic kidney disease (CKD) at 1 month post-OLT.Clinical, renal, hepatic function, and donor risk index data of 24 patients who underwent deceased donor OLT were collected before transplantation, in the perioperative period and in the first month post-OLT. ARF occurred in 37.5% of patients with 56% developing the R grade and 44% the I grade; no patient showed the F grade.An association was observed between ARF and a higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and between ARF and a reduced pre-OLT serum albumin. No association was noted between ARF and other pre-OLT parameters. In cirrhotic patients serum creatinine is a bias for renal function assessment and the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease formula overestimates GFR. Post-OLT CKD was present in 6.7% of patients without ARF and in 44.4% of patients with ARF. The R grade developed more frequently among patients with viral cirrhosis.The association of ARF with MELD and hypoalbuminemia may be the result of a close relationship between renal and hepatic functions among cirrhotic patients. Post-OLT CKD may be the result of unrecognized, preexisting CKD and/or the effects of not fully resolved acute damage to an injured kidney.     

Liver Transplantation for Acute Liver Failure due to Yellow Fever: A Case Report

Yellow fever is a noncontagious disease caused by an arbovirus in the Flaviviridae family. It is an endemic disease in the tropical forests of Africa and South America, with the mosquito as a vector. Approximately half of those infected will be asymptomatic, while 15% will develop the severe/malignant form of the disease that includes renal and hepatic failure, bleeding, and neurological impairment as the principal symptoms. The lethality of the severe form reaches up to 70%. The objective of this study was to report on the case of a patient who was transferred to the hepatobiliary unit of our service due to acute liver failure due to yellow fever. He was treated with liver transplantation. The patient progressed satisfactorily, being discharged from the intensive care unit in 10 days and discharged from the hospital within 19 days after transplantation. Despite the encouraging result of our team, this has not been applied to other centers that have also performed this modality of treatment; therefore, the question remains as to whether and when to recommend liver transplantation for treatment of severe yellow fever.     

Predicting Clinical and Economic Outcomes After Liver Transplantation Using the Mayo Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis Model and Child-Pugh Score

Issues in the selection and timing of liver transplantation for primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) remain controversial. Although the Child-Pugh classification (CP) score and Mayo PSC model have similar abilities to estimate pretransplantation survival, a comparison of these 2 scores in predicting survival after liver transplantation has not been conducted. The aim of this study is to compare the Mayo PSC model and CP score in predicting patient survival and related economic outcomes after liver transplantation. Data from 128 patients with PSC, identified from the NIDDK database, were used to calculate patient-specific Mayo PSC and CP scores before transplantation. Levels reflecting a poor outcome were defined a priori. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and regression methods (Cox proportional hazards and linear regression models) were used to assess the relationship between these 2 scores and 5 post liver transplantation outcome measures. CP score was found to be a significantly (P < .05) better predictor of death 4 months or less after liver transplantation than: (a) length of hospital stay >21 days (or death before discharge) and (b) resource utilization >200,000 units (measured by area under the ROC curve). The Cox model identified statistically significant (P < .05) associations between CP score and each outcome after adjusting for the Mayo PSC risk score. Similar results were not observed for the Mayo PSC model when adjusted for CP score. Among patients with PSC undergoing liver transplantation, CP score was a better overall predictor of both survival and economic resource utilization compared with the Mayo PSC model. (Liver Transpl 2000;6:753-758.)     

Relationship Between MELD Severity Score and the Distance Walked and Respiratory Muscle Strength in Candidates for Liver Transplantation

The model end-stage liver disease (MELD) severity scoring system is used in the allocation of organs for liver transplantation. However, there is no evidence of its relationship with the functionality and respiratory muscle strength in these patients. The aim of this study was to analyze the correlation of MELD with distance walked and respiratory muscle strength in patients awaiting liver transplantation. We performed a cross-sectional analysis of 24 individuals (16 male and 8 female) with mean age of 51.8 ± 10.4 years. The MELD score inversely correlated with the 6-minute walking test (6MWT) (r = −0.85; P < .001) and with the maximal inspiratory pressure (MIP) (r = −0.69; P < .001). In addition, there was a correlation between 6MWT and MIP (r = 0.77; P < .001). Thus, MELD scores can be considered to be effective tools to predict the functional capacity and respiratory muscle strength in candidates for liver transplantation.     

Utility of the MAYO End-Stage Liver Disease score, King's College Criteria, and a new in-hospital mortality score in the prognosis of in-hospital mortality in acute liver failure

INTRODUCTION: Several prognostic scores attempt to aid in the selection of patients with acute liver failure (ALF) to be treated either medically or by liver transplantation; however, their lack of fulfillment does not predict spontaneous survival in ALF and refined prognostic criteria are needed to improve such selection. Our aim was to evaluate and compare a new ALF in-hospital mortality prediction score versus King's College Criteria (KCC) and model for End-Stage Disease (MELD) score. METHODS: First-time ALF-diagnosed individuals admitted to our institution (n = 58) were grouped according their final outcome as "alive" or "death," and those significantly different variables between groups entered into a logistic regression and lineal regression models. An ALF in-hospital mortality score (ALFIHMS) was produced and its sensitivity, specificity, and area under receiver operator characteristics were compared with those of KCC and MELD scores. RESULTS: Since no significant differences (P = .81) in mortality rates between fulminant and subfulminant hepatic failure were found, no further analysis according to ALF's classification was performed. After obtaining and comparing ALFIHMS with KCC and MELD, we found that ALFIHMS prediction accuracy is higher than that of KCC and MELD score and that an ALFIHMS cutoff point >15 points is associated with an in-hospital mortality probability >50%. CONCLUSIONS: ALFIHMS has higher prognostic accuracy than KCC and MELD scores in ALF.     

Short- and Long-Term Outcomes After Salvage Liver Transplantation Versus Primary Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Meta-analysis

Background

Salvage liver transplantation (SLT) has been performed for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or deterioration of liver function after primary liver resection. However, the survival outcomes and recurrence rates of SLT versus primary liver transplantation (PLT) for HCC remain controversial. Here we sought to compare the short- and long-term outcomes after SLT and PLT, by conducting a quantitative meta-analysis.

Methods

A systematic literature research was performed to identify comparative studies on SLT and PLT. Perioperative and long-term outcomes constituted the end points. Pooled odds ratios (OR) and weighted mean differences (WMD) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated using either fixed-effects or random-effects model.

Results

A total of 1508 patients from 14 studies were included. Although SLT spent more operative time than SLT (WMD: 28.69min; 95% CI: 11.30–46.08; P = .001), the two groups had no significant differences in the postoperative morbidity, perioperative mortality and length of postoperative hospital stay. No significant difference was observed between two groups for long-term outcomes of overall survival. Although 5-year disease-free survival was inferior in SLT, 1- and 3-year disease-free survivals were similar. After stratifying the various studies by Milan criteria, no difference was seen in 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates between two groups who meet Milan criteria at the time of liver transplantation.

Conclusions

The current study demonstrates SLT for recurrent HCC is feasible and it can achieve the same short- and long-term outcomes as PLT. Therefore, SLT may be accepted as the treatment of choice for patients with recurrent HCC.     

The Ratio of Plasma Interleukin-18 Is a Sensitive Biomarker for Acute Kidney Injury After Liver Transplantation

Background

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is common after liver transplantation (OLT) and is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Previous studies have shown that interleukin-18 (IL-18) levels are associated with AKI. The purpose of this study was to determine whether plasma IL-18 levels were early predictors for AKI after liver transplantation.

Methods

Plasma samples were obtained from 26 patients who underwent OLT at induction of anesthesia (T1), 1 hour after the surgical incision (T2), the time of reperfusion (T3), as well as 1 (T4), 2 (T5), and 4 hours (T6) after reperfusion. Samples were also obtained at 24 hours after surgery (T7). The AKI criteria were taken according to the Acute Kidney Injury Network criteria.

Results

Twelve patients (46%) developed AKI after OLT. The area under the receiver operating curve of plasma IL-18 concentrations (T4/T1) to predict AKI occurrence was 0.842 at T5, 0.905 at T6, 0.726 at T7, and 0.726 at T5 to T7.

Conclusion

Plasma IL-18 concentrations taken 1 hour after reperfusion were predictive of AKI. Therefore, changing IL-18 ratio may be an early predictor for AKI after OLT.     

Early indicators of prognosis in fulminant hepatic failure: an assessment of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and King's College Hospital criteria.

While King's Hospital Criteria (KCH) criteria are used worldwide, the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) is a more recently developed scoring system that has been validated as an independent predictor of patient survival in conditions for liver transplantation (LT). The aim of the present study was to compare MELD and KCH criteria with other early clinical prognostic indicators (CPI) in a cohort of patients with fulminant hepatic failure (FHF). A total of 144 patients (mean age 31.7 +/- 14.7 yr; range 12-82 yr; 62 males) with FHF due to acute viral hepatitis were included into the study. Variables found significant on univariate analysis were entered into a multivariate logistic regression analysis. A total of 52 (36.1%) patients survived, the remaining 92 (63.9%) died. Univariate analysis showed that age, duration of jaundice, jaundice-encephalopathy interval (JEI), grade of encephalopathy, presence of cerebral edema, bilirubin, prothrombin time, creatinine, and MELD score were significantly different between survivors and nonsurvivors. Multivariate logistic regression identified 6 independent CPI of adverse outcome on admission: age >or=50 yr, JEI >7 days, grade 3 or 4 encephalopathy, presence of cerebral edema, prothrombin time >or=35 seconds, and creatinine >or=1.5 mg/dL. Presence of any 3 of 6 CPI was optimum in identifying survivors and nonsurvivors. A MELD score of >or=33 was found to be best discriminant between survivors and nonsurvivors by the construction of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Any 3 CPI were superior to MELD and KCH criteria in predicting the outcome (c-statistic [95% confidence interval]: CPI 0.802 [0.726-0.878], MELD 0.717 [0.636-0.789], and KCH criteria 0.676 (0.588-0.764); P values: CPI vs. MELD 0.045, CPI vs. KCH criteria 0.019, and MELD vs. KCH criteria 0.472). In conclusion, MELD and KCH criteria are not as useful as a combination of other early CPI in predicting adverse outcome in patients with FHF due to acute viral hepatitis.