Space time clustering of births in SIDS: do perinatal infections play a role?

The aetiology of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) remains uncertain; many causal pathways have been proposed. In this paper we have examined firstly the variation in the risk of SIDS with age, month of death and month of birth; and secondly the space time clustering of SIDS deaths, and, separately, space time clustering of their births. Data were obtained from the Office of Populations, Censuses and Surveys on all certified SIDS deaths in the period; children were assigned grid references for the address of birth and of death. Data on number of births were abstracted from published material. A log-linear modelling technique was used to investigate the separate effects of age, month of death and month of birth on the risk of SIDS. The Knox method was used to investigate space time clustering of deaths and of births of children who died of SIDS. Separate, statistically significant effects were found for age, month of death and month of birth. There was minor space time clustering of SIDS births and deaths at large time and space intervals, and a marked space time clustering of births in short space time intervals in the first quarter of the year. The finding of an effect of month of birth on the risk of SIDS, and of space time clustering of births suggest that a perinatal hazard--possibly of infectious origin--may play a role in the aetiology of SIDS.     

Month of birth as an independent variable in the sudden infant death syndrome

Well-known epidemiological features of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) are age at death and the increased numbers in winter. There are more SIDS deaths in late autumn/early winter and there is a seasonal rhythm of births with a peak in late summer and early autumn. The data set was 14 033 SIDS deaths from Scotland, England and Wales over the 11 years 1982–92. Using log-linear models, which accounted for age at death and month of death, birth month was found to be a statistically significant risk factor for SIDS independent of age at death and winter environment ( P <0.001). Although winter season had the largest effect (relative risk 2.7 in January compared with August), the independent effect of birth month was of clinical as well as statistical significance with a relative risk for August births of 1.37 compared with those born in April. The analysis of each birth month cohort revealed a change in age distribution with infants born in early winter (December) dying at a younger age (mean 108 days) than those born in midsummer (June) (mean 146 days). Although winter season and age are the most influential factors, the substantial effect of month of birth requires explanation and points to as yet unidentified environmental influences during pregnancy.     

Sudden infant death syndrome: seasonality and a biphasic model of pathogenesis.

STUDY OBJECTIVE--This paper examines the relationship between season, age, and the sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS). It provides a theoretical model for the pathogenesis of SIDS and uses it as a framework to consider risk factor mechanism. DESIGN--A case series analysis was used to examine season and age in relation to SIDS and seasonal pattern and age at death distribution of perinatal risk factors. SETTING--The source population for the SIDS cases in this study was all live births in the state of Tasmania, Australia, 1975 to 1987 inclusive. SUBJECTS--Cases were all infants born 1975 to 1987 who died of SIDS on whom birth notification information was available (n = 348). The live birth cohort 1980-87 (n = 55,944) was used as the control population for risk factor identification. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS--The median ages of death for spring, summer, autumn, and winter born infants were 115, 103.5, 91 and 78 days. Spring and summer born infants died at a significantly older median age than winter born infants. The month of birth distribution of SIDS cases did not alter significantly from a uniform, nonseasonal distribution (p greater than 0.25) but month of death was seasonally distributed (p less than 0.01). Premature and low birthweight infants died at an older median age (p less than 0.05) than term and non-low-birthweight infants. An excess of male infant deaths and infant deaths to older mothers occurred during winter (p less than 0.05). CONCLUSIONS--The pathogenesis of SIDS can be represented as a biphasic model with three pathways of risk factor operation. In this study, season influenced the age at death of SIDS infants. We propose that risk factors with a strong seasonal distribution are likely to be operating in the postnatal period.     

Epidemiologic comparisons of the sudden infant death syndrome with other major components of infant mortality

All 1998 resident infant deaths in the 1969--1977 King County, Washington birth cohort of 139,132 resident live births comprise the data base for epidemiologic comparisons of the sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) with eight other major infant mortality components: hyaline membrane disease; respiratory distress syndrome; asphyxia of the newborn; immaturity; birth injury; congenital malformation; infection; and "all other." These components were compared with respect to age at death; sex; race; prior fetal loss; prior live-born, now dead; birth plurality; birth weight; maternal age; birth order; marital status; prenatal care; and season of death in an attempt to determine the uniqueness of these purported SIDS risk factors. Only the age at death distribution unequivocally distinguished SIDS from the other components. The combination of low maternal age and multiparity was demonstrated to be putatively synergistic for risk of SIDS, hyaline membrane disease, and respiratory disease syndrome. Only deaths from infection exhibited seasonal variation similar to SIDS. These observations probably reflect secondary associations with as yet unidentified primary risk factors relatable to maternal experience.     

Postneonatal mortality, sudden infant death syndrome: factors preventing the decline of infant mortality in France from 1979 to 1985

The sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) is known to be associated with a peak in mortality rates at 3 months of age, and a seasonal peak in winter. The aim of this study was to analyse the relationship between the month of death, month of birth and age at death for cohorts of monthly births in France between 1979 and 1985. Statistics concerning the causes of death were collected and used to calculate life-tables firstly from SIDS and secondly from all other causes. They show that the specific age distribution at death was not the same for babies born in late summer or autumn as for other newborns. Total infant death rates were higher for cohorts born in the autumn, because of the peak in deaths from SIDS at about three months of age.     

The epidemiology of sudden infant death in upstate New York: II: birth characteristics.

This study describes the epidemiology of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) among infants born during 1974 to upstate New York residents. Birth certificate characteristics for 184 SIDS cases are compared with those of 417 infants dying from other causes in the same age range, 7-365 days. The results confirm the following as infant risk factors: fall or winter birth, low birthweight for gestational age, twin birth, and live birth order three or more. Maternal risk factors include: age under 20, abnormal uterine bleeding during pregnancy, late initiation of prenatal care, less than 12 years of education and single marital status. The increased risk for mothers who first gave birth in their teens and for second-born twins has not been previously reported. The evidence that SIDS babies are small for gestational age, that twins, especially the second born, and babies whose mothers experienced abnormal uterine bleeding during pregnancy are all at increased risk of SIDS suggests that perinatal stress leading to hypoxia is one of the components that determine the risk of SIDS.     

Recent national trends in sudden, unexpected infant deaths: more evidence supporting a change in classification or reporting

The recent US decline in sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) rates may be explained by a shift in how these deaths are classified or reported. To examine this hypothesis, the authors compared cause-specific mortality rates for SIDS, other sudden, unexpected infant deaths, and cause unknown/unspecified, and they evaluated trends in the age and month of death for these causes using 1989-2001 US linked birth/death certificate data. Reported deaths in state and national data were compared to assess underreporting or overreporting. SIDS rates declined significantly from 1989-1991 to 1995-1998, while deaths reported as cause unknown/unspecified and other sudden, unexpected infant deaths, such as accidental suffocation and strangulation in bed (ASSB), remained stable. From 1999-2001, the decline in SIDS rates was offset by increasing rates of cause unknown/unspecified and ASSB. Changes in the cause-specific age at death and month of death distributions suggest that cases once reported as SIDS are now being reported as ASSB and cause unknown/unspecified. Most of the decline in SIDS rates since 1999 is likely due to increased reporting of cause unknown/unspecified and ASSB. Standardizing data collection at death scenes and improving the reporting of cause of death on death certificates should improve national vital records data and enhance prevention efforts.     

Preterm delivery and age of SIDS death

PURPOSE: The aim of the study is to (i) reexamine risk factors for sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) and (ii) describe the relationship between length of gestation and age at death from SIDS. METHODS: To evaluate risk factors for SIDS, we used multivariable logistic regression and included maternal demographic characteristics, maternal health and behavioral factors, and infant characteristics, including fetal growth, using US national linked birth and death files from 1996 to 1998. We used multivariable linear regression with mean postnatal age of death as the outcome of interest, controlling for the factors listed (referent length of gestation, 40 to 41 weeks). RESULTS: The crude SIDS rate was 0.7 deaths/1000 live births (8199 deaths). Length of gestation was a strong risk factor for SIDS, with the adjusted odds ratio (OR) greatest at shorter gestations: 28 to 32 weeks (OR, 2.9; 95% confidence interval, 2.6-3.2). Infants with gestations of 22 to 27 and 28 to 32 weeks died at mean ages of 20.9 (SD = 0.8) and 15.3 (SD = 0.5) weeks, respectively (p < or = 0.002). Term infants (40 to 41 weeks) died of SIDS at an adjusted mean age of 14.5 (SD = 0.4) weeks. CONCLUSIONS: Preterm birth continues to be a strong risk factor for SIDS after controlling for fetal growth. With increasing gestational age, mean age of SIDS death decreases considerably, with the postnatal age of death of very preterm infants 6 weeks later than that of term infants.     

A statistical analysis of the seasonality in sudden infant death syndrome

Sudden Infant Death Syndrome (SIDS) has a characteristic peak incidence in the winter months and a peak incidence at the age of two to four months. The present study examines whether the seasonality is related to the time of birth-the time of death or both. The data for the study relates to 116 cases of SIDS, representing 95% of all registered cases of SIDS in eastern Denmark in a three-year period 1981 to 1983. They were all autopsied at the Institute of Forensic Medicine in Copenhagen and evaluated by the same people. The framework of the analysis is a multiplicative Poisson-model with three sets of parameters describing the effects of the age of the infant, the time of death and the time of birth. The analysis proved the seasonality related alone to the time of death. An identical analysis was performed for 123 infants who in the period 1973-83 in eastern Denmark died from infectious diseases. In these cases no significant effect of the month of birth or the month of death was shown.     

The development of a model for predicting infants at high risk of sudden infant death syndrome in Tasmania

A statutory 'Notification of Birth' form, containing obstetric and perinatal information, has been routinely collected for Tasmanian deliveries since 1974. For the period 1980 to 1984, birth notification data was collected for over 99% of Tasmanian deliveries. This data was examined for the 130 cases of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) that occurred from 1980 to 1984 and for 610 controls. It was then used to construct an at-birth scoring system to predict infants at higher risk of SIDS in the postneonatal period. A predictive model of the relative risk of SIDS was developed by fitting a binomial/logistic generalised linear model to the binary 1980-1984 case control data with birth variables used as predictors. The final predictive model contained five variables (maternal age, infant sex, birth weight, month of birth and feeding practice) and had a sensitivity of 62% and specificity of 73%. The model was then tested on independent birth cohorts from 1985 and 1986 and found to have a sensitivity of 47% and specificity of 77%. The risk of SIDS in the group of infants classified as high risk was 7.9 per 1000 live births and in the group at low risk it was 2.5 per 1000 live births. In addition, the model predicted 74% of neonatal deaths occurring during these 2 years. This compares well with other predictive models developed elsewhere. The predictive model will be used to identify infants at high risk for SIDS in a prospective cohort study.     

Maternal pre-eclampsia/eclampsia and the risk of sudden infant death syndrome in offspring

To determine whether maternal exposure to pre-eclampsia/eclampsia during pregnancy increases the risk of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) in offspring, we conducted a population-based case-control study using the California linked birth and death certificate data. All infants who died of SIDS (ICD-9 code 798.0) during 1989-91 were identified as cases. More than 96% of the identified SIDS cases were diagnosed through autopsy. Ten controls who did not die from SIDS were randomly selected for each case from the birth certificate matched to the case on the year of birth. Among 2,029 cases and 21,037 controls included in the final analysis, mothers of 49 cases (2.4%) and 406 controls (1.9%) had a diagnosis of either pre-eclampsia or eclampsia noted on the birth certificate. After adjustment for maternal age, prenatal smoking, race/ethnicity, parity, maternal education, gestational age at the initial visit for prenatal care, infant year of birth and infant sex, maternal pre-eclampsia/ eclampsia during pregnancy was associated with a 50% increased risk of SIDS in the offspring (odds ratio = 1.5, 95% confidence interval 1.1, 2.0). Potential under-reporting of pre-eclampsia/eclampsia on the birth certificates was likely to be non-differential and is unlikely to explain the finding. Fetal hypoxia resulting from pre-eclampsia/ eclampsia or immunological aetiology affecting the risk of both pre-eclampsia/eclampsia and SIDS may explain the finding.     

Epidemiological aspects of sudden infant death syndrome in Leningrad: anthropometric findings in victims.

Some 155 victims of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) who were officially registered in Leningrad in 1983-1986 entered the study. Body weight and length at birth and at death were analysed. The highest relative risk for future occurrence of SIDS was associated, in the neonatal period, with proportionally decreased weight and length in respect to gestational age. The greatest relative risk of SIDS in postneonatal life was also associated with low weight and length, but weight lagged behind length. Infants who died from SIDS may be characterized as having evidence of intrauterine growth retardation present at birth, and which does not disappear postnatally.     

Secular trends of sudden infant death syndrome in Norway 1967–1988: application of a method of case identification to Norwegian registry data

Summary. In Norway, towards the end of the 1980s, sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) was the most frequent cause of infant death. Both SIDS and the total post-perinatal mortality rates had increased. This paper presents a procedure for identifying SIDS from death certificates. Supplemented with additional information, a database was established to evaluate secular trends of SIDS and for further analytical research. The Medical Birth Registry of Norway comprises 1.3 million births from 1967 to 1988. Of these, 5447 infants died in the post-perinatal period. The cause of death was reviewed by an expert panel and 1984 cases of SIDS were retrieved.
Low maternal age, higher birth order, male gender, and lower birthweight were confirmed as risk factors for SIDS. In 1988, the rate for SIDS and for total post-perinatal deaths reached 2.69 and 5.02 per 1000 infants at risk. The incidence of SIDS increased 2.2 times from the period 1967–1971 to the period 1987–1988. Adjusted for maternal age, birth order, and birthweight, the odds ratio was 3.1. The increase is due to factors not yet accounted for. Adjusted mortality rates for the other post-perinatal deaths were not different from the crude rates.     

Are race and length of gestation related to age at death in the sudden infant death syndrome?

Summary. Although race and preterm delivery are known to be associated with sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS), the relationships between age at death from SIDS and these factors have not been well described. To examine these relationships, we used linked infant birth and death records for the cohort of 1 204 375 White and 283 776 Black postneonates who were born from 1979 to 1981 in five states: California, Georgia, Missouri, South Carolina and Tennessee. Deaths attributable to SIDS occurred to 1404 White postneonates and to 696 Black postneonates. Although postneonatal SIDS rate among Black infants was twice that of White infants, the relative risk was smaller among infants with gestations of <35 weeks. For White postneonates, the median postneonatal age at death sharply declined for gestations from 28–29 weeks to 36–37 weeks and levelled off for longer gestations. For Black postneonates, the results do not support an association between length of gestation and age at death. The findings suggest that practitioners investigating approaches to avert SIDS need to maintain their interventions to an older age among White preterm infants. Researchers investigating the causes of SIDS need to consider the relationship between length of gestation and age at death from SIDS as well as possible developmental differences between White and Black preterm infants.     

Are race and length of gestation related to age at death in the sudden infant death syndrome?

Although race and preterm delivery are known to be associated with sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS), the relationships between age at death from SIDS and these factors have not been well described. To examine these relationships, we used linked infant birth and death records for the cohort of 1,204,375 White and 283,776 Black postneonates who were born from 1979 to 1981 in five states: California, Georgia, Missouri, South Carolina and Tennessee. Deaths attributable to SIDS occurred to 1404 White postneonates and to 696 Black postneonates. Although postneonatal SIDS rate among Black infants was twice that of White infants, the relative risk was smaller among infants with gestations of less than 35 weeks. For White postneonates, the median postneonatal age at death sharply declined for gestations from 28-29 weeks to 36-37 weeks and levelled off for longer gestations. For Black postneonates, the results do not support an association between length of gestation and age at death. The findings suggest that practitioners investigating approaches to avert SIDS need to maintain their interventions to an older age among White preterm infants. Researchers investigating the causes of SIDS need to consider the relationship between length of gestation and age at death from SIDS as well as possible developmental differences between White and Black preterm infants.     

The development of a model for predicting infants at high risk of sudden infant death syndrome in Tasmania

Summary. A statutory 'Notification of Birth' form, containing obstetric and perinatal information, has been routinely collected for Tasmanian deliveries since 1974. For the period 1980 to 1984, birth notification data was collected for over 99% of Tasmanian deliveries. This data was examined for the 130 cases of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) that occurred from 1980 to 1984 and for 610 controls. It was then used to construct an at-birth scoring system to predict infants at higher risk of SIDS in the postneonatal period. A predictive model of the relative risk of SIDS was developed by fitting a binomial/logistic generalised linear model to the binary 1980–1984 case control data with birth variables used as predictors. The final predictive model contained five variables (maternal age, infant sex, birth weight, month of birth and feeding practice) and had a sensitivity of 62% and specificity of 73%. The model was then tested on independent birth cohorts from 1985 and 1986 and found to have a sensitivity of 47% and specificity of 77%. The risk of SIDS in the group of infants classified as high risk was 7.9 per 1000 live births and in the group at low risk it was 2.5 per 1000 live births. In addition, the model predicted 74% of neonatal deaths occurring during these 2 years. This compares well with other predictive models developed elsewhere, The predictive model will be used to identify infants at high risk for SIDS in a prospective cohort study.     

Ethnic differences in the incidence of the sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) in Victoria, Australia 1985–1989

Summary. In order to describe ethnic differences in the incidence of the sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) records of all livebirths in the State of Victoria, Australia, 1985–1989, excluding those who died in the first month of life, were linked to death certificates. Cases were defined as infants dying with a diagnosis of SIDS between 1 month and 1 year of age ( n = 601) from the cohort of 308052 neonatal survivors. Ethnicity was defined by the mother's country of birth. The SIDS incidence was 2.04/1000 in infants of Australian-born mothers. The relative risk of SIDS was 0.28 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.15,0.55) in infants whose mothers had been born in Southern Europe and 0.48 (95% CI 0.29, 0.78) in infants whose mothers had been born in Asia. SIDS in infants of Australian-born mothers was associated with low maternal age, high parity, marital status other than married, male sex, multiple birth, low birthweight and preterm birth. After adjustment for those factors in a case-control analysis using a logistic regression model the adjusted odds ratio for SIDS was 0.34 (95% CI 0.17, 0.69) comparing infants whose mothers were born in Southern Europe with infants of Australian-born mothers, and 0.60 (95% CI 0.35, 1.04) for infants whose mothers were born in Asia, compared with infants of the Australian-born. Thus there are substantial ethnic differences in SIDS which are not explained by the classic social and perinatal risk factors.     

Sudden infant death syndrome: does winter affect poor and rich babies equally?

STUDY OBJECTIVE--The aim was to investigate whether the winter increase in risk of sudden infant death was similar across social classes. DESIGN--This was an unmatched case-control study using routine data. SETTING--Cases and controls were selected from files holding routine birth and death certificate data for England and Wales for 1986. SUBJECTS--Cases were deaths in the first year of life occurring in the summer or the winter of 1986 with mention of sudden infant death or SIDS in the death certificate. Controls were a 1% random sample of all children born in the same year. Only children whose parents were married or living together at the time of birth registration were included. MAIN RESULTS--Data on age and season of death for cases, and on date of birth, social class of father, and birth weight were abstracted from the file. Season of birth and birth weight were treated as confounding variables. The increase in risk of SIDS in winter was calculated for each age group and social class. The winter increase in SIDS was more marked among the higher social classes for all ages, but not to a statistically significant degree: the p values for heterogeneity were 0.26 for age 0-3 months, 0.42 for 4-7 months, and 0.41 for 8-12 months. CONCLUSIONS--There is no direct association between seasonal variation in sudden infant death and social class.     

Prenatal and intrapartum events and sudden infant death syndrome

The purpose of this study was to evaluate specific pregnancy and labour and delivery events that may increase the risk of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS). A matched case-control study was conducted in five counties in southern California, using California death certificate records. The sample consisted of 239 Caucasian, African-American, Hispanic and Asian mothers of SIDS infants and 239 mothers of control infants matched on sex, race, birth hospital and date of birth. Mothers participated in a detailed telephone interview and provided access to obstetric and paediatric records. More case than control mothers reported a family history of anaemia (OR=2.12, P < 0.001). Placental abruptions were strongly associated with SIDS (unadjusted OR=7.94, [95% CI 1.34,47.12]). There was an increased risk of SIDS death associated with maternal anaemia during pregnancy (OR=2.51, [95% CI 1.25,5.03]), while simultaneously adjusting for maternal smoking during pregnancy, maternal years of education and age, parity, infant birthweight, gestational age, medical conditions at birth, infant sleep position and post-natal smoking. Interactions of anaemia and prenatal smoking as well as anaemia and post-natal smoking were not statistically significant. There were no other statistically significant differences between case and control mothers for pregnancy conditions, labour and delivery events (e.g. caesarean sections, anaesthesia, forceps) or newborn complications (e.g. nuchal cord, meconium aspiration). Anaemia and placental abruptions were significantly associated with an increased risk of SIDS; both are circumstances in which a fetus may become hypoxic, thereby compromising the subsequent growth, development and ultimate survival of the infant.     

Maternal placental abnormality and the risk of sudden infant death syndrome

To determine whether placental abnormality (placental abruption or placental previa) during pregnancy predisposes an infant to a high risk of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS), the authors conducted a population-based case-control study using 1989-1991 California linked birth and death certificate data. They identified 2,107 SIDS cases, 96% of whom were diagnosed through autopsy. Ten controls were randomly selected for each case from the same linked birth-death certificate data, matched to the case on year of birth. About 1.4% of mothers of cases and 0.7% of mothers of controls had either placental abruption or placenta previa during the index pregnancy. After adjustment for potential confounders, placental abnormality during pregnancy was associated with a twofold increase in the risk of SIDS in offspring (odds ratio = 2.1, 95% confidence interval 1.3-3.1). The individual effects of placental abruption and placenta previa on the risk of SIDS did not differ significantly. An impaired fetal development due to placental abnormality may predispose an infant to a high risk of SIDS.