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ObjectiveTo determine which clinical variables infer the highest risk for mortality in patients with notable tricuspid regurgitation (TR) and to develop a clinical assessment tool (the Tricuspid Regurgitation Impact on Outcomes [TRIO] score).Patients and MethodsA single-center retrospective cohort of 13,608 patients with undifferentiated moderate to severe TR at the time of index echocardiography between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2016, was included. Baseline demographic and clinical data were obtained. Patients were randomly assigned to a training (N=10,205) and a validation (N=3403) cohort. Median follow-up was 6.5 years (interquartile range, 0.8 to 11.0 years). Variables associated with mortality were identified by Cox proportional hazards methods. A geographically distinct cohort of 7138 patients was used for further validation. The primary end point was all-cause mortality over 10 years.ResultsThe 5-year probability of death was 53% for moderate TR, 63% for moderate-severe TR (hazard ratio [HR], 1.24 [95% CI, 1.17 to 1.31]; P<.001 vs moderate), and 71% for severe TR (HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.47 to 1.64]; P<.001 vs moderate). Factors associated with all-cause mortality on multivariate analysis included age 70 years or older, male sex, creatinine level greater than 2 mg/dL, congestive heart failure, chronic lung disease, aspartate aminotransferase level of 40 U/L or greater, heart rate of 90 beats/min or greater, and severe TR. Variables were assigned 1 or 2 points (HR, >1.5) and added to compute the TRIO score. The score was associated with all-cause mortality (C statistic = 0.67) and was able to separate patients into risk categories. Findings were similar in the second, independent and geographically distinct cohort.ConclusionThe TRIO score is a simple clinical tool for risk assessment in patients with notable TR. Future prospective studies to validate its use are warranted.  相似文献   

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ObjectiveTo examine the combined and stratified associations of physical activity and adiposity measures, modelled as body mass index (BMI), abdominal adiposity (waist circumference), and body fat percentage (BF) with all-cause mortality.Patients and MethodsUsing the UK Biobank cohort, we extracted quintiles of self-reported weekly physical activity. Categories of measured BMI, waist circumference, and BF were generated. Joint associations between physical activity-adiposity categories and mortality were examined using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for demographic, behavioral, and clinical covariates. Physical activity-mortality associations were also examined within adiposity strata. Participants were followed from baseline (2006 to 2010) through January 31, 2018.ResultsA total of 295,917 participants (median follow-up, 8.9 years, during which 6684 deaths occurred) were included. High physical activity was associated with lower risk of premature mortality in all strata of adiposity except for those with BMI ≥35 kg/m2. Highest risk (HR, 1.54; 95% CI; 1.33 to 1.79) was observed in individuals with low physical activity and high BF as compared with the high physical activity–low BF referent. High physical activity attenuated the risk of high adiposity when using BF (HR, 1.24; 95% CI; 1.04 to 1.49), but the association was weaker with BMI (HR, 1.45; 95% CI; 1.21 to 1.73). Physical activity also attenuated the association between mortality and high waist circumference.ConclusionLow physical activity and adiposity were both associated with a higher risk of premature mortality, but high physical activity attenuated the increased risk with adiposity irrespective of adiposity metric, except in those with a BMI ≥35 kg/m2.  相似文献   

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ObjectiveTo determine whether fitness could improve mortality risk stratification among older adults compared with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors.MethodsWe examined 6509 patients 70 years of age and older without CVD from the Henry Ford ExercIse Testing Project (FIT Project) cohort. Patients performed a physician-referred treadmill stress test between 1991 and 2009. Traditional categorical CVD risk factors (hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, and smoking) were summed from 0 to 3 or more. Fitness was grouped as low, moderate, and high (<6, 6 to 9.9, and ≥10 metabolic equivalents of task). All-cause mortality was ascertained through US Social Security Death Master files. We calculated age-adjusted mortality rates, multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazards, and Kaplan-Meier survival models.ResultsPatients had a mean age of 75±4 years, and 3385 (52%) were women; during a mean follow-up of 9.4 years, there were 2526 deaths. A higher fitness level (P<.001), not lower CVD risk factor burden (P=.31), was associated with longer survival. The age-adjusted mortality rate per 1000 person-years was 56.7 for patients with low fitness and 0 risk factors compared with 24.9 for high fitness and 3 or more risk factors. Among patients with 3 or more risk factors, the adjusted mortality hazard was 0.68 (95% CI, 0.61 to 0.76) for moderate and 0.51 (95% CI, 0.44 to 0.60) for high fitness compared with the least fit.ConclusionAmong persons aged 70 years and older, there was no significant difference in survival of patients with 0 vs 3 or more risk factors, but a higher fitness level identified older persons with good long-term survival regardless of CVD risk factor burden.  相似文献   

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