Egy-Score Predicts Severe Hepatic Fibrosis and Cirrhosis in Egyptians With Chronic Liver Diseases: A Pilot Study

Background

Non-invasive methods for assessment of hepatic fibrosis are increasingly needed. Recent studies showed that combined elevation of tumor markers CA 19-9 and CA 125 is predictive of severe hepatic fibrosis or cirrhosis with high specificity.

Objectives

We aimed at developing a new panel of surrogate biomarkers for prediction of the stage of hepatic fibrosis by combining tumor markers with other known biomarkers of hepatic fibrosis.

Patients and Methods

A total of 92 patients with different types of chronic liver diseases (chronic hepatitis B, chronic hepatitis C and autoimmune hepatitis), were prospectively enrolled in our cohort. They were subjected to: ALT, AST, GGT, ALP, total bilirubin, INR, total cholesterol, albumin, platelet count, cancer antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9), cancer antigen 125 (CA 125), cancer antigen 15-3 (CA 15-3), haptoglobin, alpha-2-macroglobulin, apolipoprotein A1, abdominal ultrasound, liver biopsy and histological staging of hepatic fibrosis using the METAVIR system.

Results

Combined elevation of CA 19-9 and CA 125 with a summated value > 37 U/mL is predictive of severe hepatic fibrosis or cirrhosis (stage F3-F4 METAVIR) with a probability of 77.6%. Multivariate analysis showed that the most relevant collection of biomarkers for prediction of stage of hepatic fibrosis is: CA 19-9, age, alpha-2- macroglobulin, total bilirubin, platelet count & albumin. We developed a new score, named the “Egy-Score”, using a regression equation composed of this panel of biomarkers. Egy-Score could differentiate no or early fibrosis (stage F0-F2 METAVIR) from severe fibrosis or cirrhosis (stage F3-F4 METAVIR) with 83.7% accuracy.

Conclusions

Non-invasive assessment of hepatic fibrosis could be done using the Egy-Score. Egy-Score could differentiate no or early fibrosis (stage F0-F2 METAVIR) from severe fibrosis or cirrhosis (stage F3 - F4 METAVIR) with 83.7% accuracy.     

Novel non-invasive biological predictive index for liver fibrosis in hepatitis C virus genotype 4 patients

AIM To investigate the diagnostic ability of a non-invasive biological marker to predict liver fibrosis in hepatitis C genotype 4 patients with high accuracy.METHODS A cohort of 332 patients infected with hepatitis C genotype 4 was included in this cross-sectional study. Fasting plasma glucose, insulin, C-peptide, and angiotensinconverting enzyme serum levels were measured. Insulin resistance was mathematically calculated using the homeostasis model of insulin resistance(HOMA-IR).RESULTS Fibrosis stages were distributed based on Metavir score as follows: F0 = 43, F1 = 136, F2 = 64, F3 = 45 and F4 = 44. Statistical analysis relied upon reclassification of fibrosis stages into mild fibrosis(F0-F) = 179, moderate fibrosis(F2) = 64, and advanced fibrosis(F3-F4) = 89. Univariate analysis indicated that age, log aspartate amino transaminase, log HOMA-IR and log platelet count were independent predictors of liver fibrosis stage(P 0.0001). A stepwise multivariate discriminant functional analysis was used to drive a discriminative model for liver fibrosis. Our index used cut-off values of ≥ 0.86 and ≤-0.31 to diagnose advanced and mild fibrosis, respectively, with receiving operating characteristics of 0.91 and 0.88, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and positive likelihood ratio were: 73%, 91%, 75%, 90% and 8.0 respectively for advanced fibrosis, and 67%, 88%, 84%, 70% and 4.9, respectively, for mild fibrosis.CONCLUSION Our predictive model is easily available and reproducible, and predicted liver fibrosis with acceptable accuracy.     

Assessment of FIBROSpect II to detect hepatic fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C patients

Background

The degree of liver fibrosis in patients with Hepatitis C (HCV) provides important prognostic information; however, the only current method available to obtain this information is by performing a liver biopsy. Liver biopsies are invasive, associated with complications, and costly. There has been recent interest in developing a panel of serum markers that can reliably predict the presence of fibrosis and, thus, obviate the need for a liver biopsy. Our objective was to prospectively validate a panel of serum fibrosis markers (FIBROSpect^SM II) that has been recently developed.

Methods

Serum was obtained from 108 consecutive HCV (15% with HCV/ETOH) patients seen in a hepatology clinic at a single tertiary care center at the time of liver biopsy. The performance of FIBROSpect II (consisting of 3 fibrosis markers: hyaluronic acid, tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases 1, and alpha-2-macroglobulin) in differentiating mild (F0-F1) from significant (F2-F4) fibrosis was assessed by comparing the panel results with performed liver biopsy.

Results

The prevalence of significant fibrosis in the study group was 36.1%. The diagnostic value of the serum marker panel to detect significant fibrosis as assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.826. Performance characteristics are as follows: sensitivity 71.8%, specificity 73.9%, positive predictive value 60.9%, negative predictive value 82.3%, and overall accuracy of 73.1%.

Conclusion

This prospective study supports the clinical utility of serum markers in detecting fibrosis and validates the performance of FIBROSpect II in a prospective cohort of patients. The high negative predictive value of the test provides a reliable alternative to rule out severe fibrosis.     

Elevation of the glycated albumin to glycated hemoglobin ratio during the progression of hepatitis C virus related liver fibrosis

AIM: To analyze the relationship between the glycated albumin (GA) to glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) ratio and the histological grading of liver fibrosis.METHODS: The study retrospectively included consecutive hepatitis C virus positive chronic liver disease patients (n = 142) who had undergone percutaneous liver biopsy between January 2008 and March 2010 at our institution. The ratios of GA/HbA1c were calculated in all patients to investigate the relationship with the degree of the liver fibrosis. The values of the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), an excellent marker for the evaluation of liver fibrosis, were also calculated. In addition, we combined the ratio of GA/HbA1c and the APRI in order to improve our ability to detect the presence of significant liver fibrosis. RESULTS: Sixty-one (43%) patients had either no fibrosis or minimal fibrosis (METAVIR score: F0-F1), while 25 (17%) had intermediate fibrosis (F2). Fifty-six (39%) patients had severe fibrosis (F3-F4) and 27 of them had cirrhosis (F4). The mean values of the GA/HbA1c increased with the progression of the fibrosis (F0-1: 2.83 ± 0.24, F2: 2.85 ± 0.24, F3: 2.92 ± 0.35, F4: 3.14 ± 0.54). There was a significant dif- ference between the F0-F1 vs F4, F2 vs F4, and F3 vs F4 groups (P < 0.01, P < 0.01, P < 0.01 and P < 0.05, respectively). The GA/HbA1c ratio was significantly higher in the patients with cirrhosis (F4) than in those without cirrhosis (F0-F3) (3.14 ± 0.54 vs 2.85 ± 0.28, P < 0.0001). The GA/HbA1c ratio was also significantly higher in the patients with severe fibrosis (F3-F4) than in those without severe liver fibrosis (F0-F2) (3.03 ± 0.41 vs 2.84 ± 0.24, P < 0.001). Furthermore, the GA/ HbA1c ratio was also significantly higher in the patients with significant fibrosis (F2-F4) than in those without significant liver fibrosis (F0-F1) (2.98 ± 0.41 vs 2.83 ± 0.24, P < 0.001). The diagnostic performance of the increased GA/HbA1c ratio (> 3.0) was as follows: its sensitivity and specificity for the detection of liver cirrhosis (F4) were 59.3% and 70.4%, respectively and its sensitivity and specificity for the detection of severe liver fibrosis (F3-F4) were 50.0% and 74.4%,respectively. With regard to the detection of significant fibrosis (F2-F4), its sensitivity was 44.4% and its specificity was 77.0%. Although even the excellent marker APRI shows low sensitivity (25.9%) for distinguishing patients with or without significant fibrosis, the combination of the APRI and GA/HbA1c ratio increased the sensitivity up to 42.0%, with only a modest decrease in the specificity (from 90.2% to 83.6%). CONCLUSION: The GA/HbA1c ratio increased in line with the histological severity of liver fibrosis, thus suggesting that this ratio is useful as a supportive index of liver fibrosis.     

Diagnostic accuracy of a fibrosis serum panel (FIBROSpect II) compared with Knodell and Ishak liver biopsy scores in chronic hepatitis C patients

Liver biopsy is the primary method of assessing liver injury in hepatitis C patients. FIBROSpect II (FS), a diagnostic panel of three extracellular matrix remodelling markers, may be useful as a noninvasive alternative to this procedure. The purpose of this study was to correlate FS results with liver fibrosis scores to determine if this test is sufficiently accurate to be a viable alternative to liver biopsy. A total of 142 serum specimens were evaluated for fibrosis with FS and were compared with Knodell and Ishak fibrosis scores. FS reports an index score ranging from 0.1 to 1.0, which corresponds to the probability of progressive liver fibrosis. Using a FS index cut-off of 0.42, 50 of 54 patients with Ishak 3-6 were classified as having advanced fibrosis (METAVIR F2-F4) and 58 of 88 patients with Ishak 0-2 as having no/mild fibrosis (METAVIR F0-F1), resulting in a sensitivity of 93%, specificity of 66%, and an overall test accuracy of 76%. With a 38% prevalence of advanced fibrosis, the negative predictive value was 94% and positive predictive value was 63%. A biopsy length of > or = 2 cm was associated with higher concordance between FS results and liver fibrosis scores (P = 0.01). FS was clinically useful in ruling out advanced fibrosis in hepatitis C by identifying patients with mild disease in whom treatment could be deferred. The limitation of this test is its decreased sensitivity and specificity in the middle of the test's reporting range between scores of 0.42 and 0.80.     

Real time shear wave elastography in chronic liver diseases: Accuracy for predicting liver fibrosis,in comparison with serum markers

AIM: To evaluate the correlation between liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by real-time shear wave elastography (SWE) and liver fibrosis stage and the accuracy of LSM for predicting significant and advanced fibrosis, in comparison with serum markers.METHODS: We consecutively analyzed 70 patients with various chronic liver diseases. Liver fibrosis was staged from F0 to F4 according to the Batts and Ludwig scoring system. Significant and advanced fibrosis was defined as stage F ≥ 2 and F ≥ 3, respectively. The accuracy of prediction for fibrosis was analyzed using receiver operating characteristic curves.RESULTS: Seventy patients, 15 were belonged to F0-F1 stage, 20 F2, 13 F3 and 22 F4. LSM was increased with progression of fibrosis stage (F0-F1: 6.77 ± 1.72, F2: 9.98 ± 3.99, F3: 15.80 ± 7.73, and F4: 22.09 ± 10.09, P < 0.001). Diagnostic accuracies of LSM for prediction of F ≥ 2 and F ≥ 3 were 0.915 (95%CI: 0.824-0.968, P < 0.001) and 0.913 (95%CI: 0.821-0.967, P < 0.001), respectively. The cut-off values of LSM for prediction of F ≥ 2 and F ≥ 3 were 8.6 kPa with 78.2% sensitivity and 93.3% specificity and 10.46 kPa with 88.6% sensitivity and 80.0% specificity, respectively. However, there were no significant differences between LSM and serum hyaluronic acid and type IV collagen in diagnostic accuracy.CONCLUSION: SWE showed a significant correlation with the severity of liver fibrosis and was useful and accurate to predict significant and advanced fibrosis, comparable with serum markers.     

Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) test accurately identifies liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C

Summary. Assessment of liver fibrosis is important in determining prognosis and evaluating interventions. Due to limitations of accuracy and patient hazard of liver biopsy, non‐invasive methods have been sought to provide information on liver fibrosis, including the European liver fibrosis (ELF) test, shown to have good diagnostic accuracy for the detection of moderate and severe fibrosis. Access to independent cohorts of patients has provided an opportunity to explore if this test could be simplified. This paper reports the simplification of the ELF test and its ability to identity severity of liver fibrosis in external validation studies in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). Paired biopsy and serum samples from 347 naïve patients with CHC in three independent cohorts were analysed. Diagnostic performance characteristics were derived (AUROC, sensitivity and specificity, predictive values), and clinical utility modelling performed to determine the proportion of biopsies that could have been avoided if ELF test was used in this patient group. It was possible to simplify the original ELF test without loss of performance and the new algorithm is reported. The simplified ELF test was able to predict severe fibrosis [pooled AUROC of 0.85 (95% CI 0.81–0.89)] and using clinical utility modelling to predict severe fibrosis (Ishak stages 4–6; METAVIR stages 3 and 4) 81% of biopsies could have been avoided (65% correctly). Issues of spectrum effect in diagnostic test evaluations are discussed. In chronic hepatitis C a simplified ELF test can detect severe liver fibrosis with good accuracy.     

Noninvasive serum markers in the diagnosis of structural liver damage in chronic hepatitis C virus infection.

AIM: Several noninvasive markers are being used to assess the structural liver damage in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). We evaluated the capacity of serum hyaluronic acid (HA), aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/ALT ratio, the AST to platelet ratio index (APRI) and gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT) levels to predict the intensity of hepatic fibrosis in patients with CHC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In a total of 206 hepatitis C virus RNA-positive biopsied patients, AST, ALT, GGT levels, platelet count and serum HA concentration were determined. The APRI was calculated as the ratio of AST to platelets. RESULTS: HA levels were best correlated with disease stage (r=-0.694; P<0.001). In the diagnosis of significant fibrosis (F2-F4), HA levels [AUC=0.879, 95% CI (0.832-0.927)] and APRI [AUC=0.824 (0.772-0.903)] were the markers with the best diagnostic accuracy. These parameters also best identified the presence of cirrhosis (F4), with an AUC of 0.908 (0.868-0.949) for HA and of 0.837 (0.772-0.903) for APRI. CONCLUSION: Serum HA was the parameter that alone presented the best diagnostic accuracy in the assessment of hepatic fibrosis in CHC. The APRI showed a better diagnostic sensitivity than GGT levels or the AST/ALT ratio. Its simple determination and low cost make this index a valid alternative for the noninvasive staging of CHC.     

Diagnostic potential of serum direct markers and non‐invasive fibrosis models in patients with chronic hepatitis B

Aim: Liver biopsy is recommended in the majority of patients with chronic viral hepatitis for fibrosis evaluation. Because of the disadvantages of liver biopsy, many studies related to non‐invasive biomarkers and scores have been performed. In this study, we aimed to assess the diagnostic value of serum direct markers and non‐invasive fibrosis models to predict liver fibrosis in the treatment‐naive chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients and to compare their diagnostic performance. Methods: This study included 58 patients with a diagnosis of CHB virus infection and 30 healthy controls. Hyaluronic acid, tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinase 1 and amino‐terminal propeptide of type III procollagen were measured by enzyme‐linked immunosorbent assay; and the Original European Liver Fibrosis panel, the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) panel, PP score, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) and FIB‐4 indexes were calculated using the formulas taken from previous publications. Fibrosis stage was determined using Ishak's scoring system. Results: The fibrosis stages identified upon liver biopsy was F0 in 12 patients (20.7%), F1–2 in 36 (62.1%) and F3–5 in 10 (17.2%). The diagnostic value of all the non‐invasive indices was low to detect mild fibrosis. We demonstrated that the diagnostic accuracy of HA is the best for predicting fibrosis of F3 or more (area under the receiver–operator curve, 0.902). In our study, the results from a combination of tests showed that ELF and APRI had the highest diagnostic value sensitivity of 90%, specificity of 100%, positive predictive value of 100% and negative predictive value of 96.4% for detection of fibrosis of F3 or more. Conclusion: In CHB patients, combination of ELF and APRI has a better diagnostic value in predicting fibrosis of F3 or more.     

Non-invasive predictive score of fibrosis stages in chronic hepatitis C patients based on epithelial membrane antigen in the blood in combination with routine laboratory markers

Aim: The epithelial membrane antigen (EMA) could detect small deposits of liver malignant cells. However, no information exists regarding the use of EMA in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). Therefore, we attempted to evaluate the diagnostic performance of EMA to distinguish patients with different liver fibrosis stages. Methods: Epithelial membrane antigen was identified in sera of 154 CHC patients using Western blot and enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were used to create a predictive model including EMA in addition to a panel of routine blood markers. A combination algorithm was developed and validated prospectively in 170 CHC additional patients. Results: Epithelial membrane antigen at 130 kDa was identified, purified and quantified in sera of CHC patients using ELISA. Based on these encouraging results, we purified and developed a direct ELISA for the quantitation of EMA in sera of CHC. MDA selected a score for the prediction of significant liver fibrosis patients based on measurements of EMA, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index and albumin. Areas under the ROC curves (AUC) of the score for the three biomarkers were 0.82 for patients with liver fibrosis (F1–F4), 0.86 for significant liver fibrosis (F2–F4), 0.87 for advanced liver fibrosis (F3–F4) and 0.86 for liver cirrhosis (F4). The results of the validation study demonstrated that (74%) of patients could have avoided liver biopsy. Conclusion: This score was validated for the prediction of liver fibrosis stages and may minimize the need for liver biopsy.     

Use of AST platelet ratio index (APRI Score) as an alternative to liver biopsy for treatment indication in chronic hepatitis C

Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) is one of the most important causes of chronic liver disease in the world, potentially resulting in cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and the need for liver transplantation. Liver biopsy is currently performed before therapy indication. Although, it is the golden standard there are many reasons to avoid or delay the procedure. APRI Score is an easy, low cost and practice alternative method which was described as an alternative for assessing structural changes in chronic hepatitis C (CHC). The rationale of this study was to observe the accuracy of APRI Score in comparison to liver biopsy in 400 patients divided into two groups of 200 carriers (Validation and Experimental groups respectively) selected at random or according to liver fibrosis staging (METAVIR). The ROC curves showed a concordance among these two methods of 92% and 88.5% when 1.05 was the cut off (F3 and F4), and 87% and 83%, on 0.75 cut offs (F2-F4). The discordance in advanced fibrosis staging (F3 and F4) was only 16 (8%) and 22 (11%) out of 200 patients in the experimental and validation groups, respectively. In 26 (13%) out of 200 patients in the experimental group and 34 (17%) out of 200 patients in the validation group, there was discordance between APRI Score and liver biopsy in moderate and advanced fibrosis (F2-F4). In conclusion APRI is a serological marker that has satisfactory sensitivity and specificity together with a high predictive value and it can be useful either in the absence of a biopsy or to reduce the frequency with which biopsies need to be carried out to monitor the evolution of chronic hepatitis C and the right moment for treatment indication.     

Noninvasive assessment of liver fibrosis with combined serum aminotransferase/platelet ratio index and hyaluronic acid in patients with chronic hepatitis B

AIM： To construct a noninvasive assessment model consisting of routine laboratory data to predict significant fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B （CHB）. METHODS： A total of 137 consecutive patients with CriB who underwent percutaneous liver biopsy were retrospectively analyzed. These patients were divided into two groups according to their aminotransferase （ALT） level. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value （PPV）, negative predictive value （NPV）, the likelihood ratio （LR） of aminotransferase/platelet ratio index （APRI） ≥ 1.5 or 〈 1.5 in combination with different hyaluronic acid （HA） cut-off points were calculated for the presence of moderate to severe fibrosis/cirrhosis （fibrosis stages 2 and 4） and no to mild fibrosis/cirrhosis （fibrosis stages 0 and 1）. RESULTS： The APRI correlated with fibrosis stage in CriB patients. The APRI ≥1.5 in combination with a cut-off HA cut-off point 〉 300 ng/mL could detect moderate to severe fibrosis （stages 2-4） in Crib patients. The PPV was 93.7%, the specificity was 98.9%. The APRI 〈 1.5 in combination with different HA cut-off points could not detect no to mild fibrosis in CHB patients. CONCLUSION： The APRI ≥ 1.5 in combination with a HA cut-off point 〉 300 ng/mL can detect moderate to severe fibrosis （stages 2-4） in Crib patients.     

血清差异蛋白在慢性乙型肝炎肝纤维化中的诊断价值

目的 探讨慢性乙型肝炎肝纤维化患者血清差异蛋白质表达的临床意义,为肝纤维化的无创诊断提供依据.方法 经肝活体组织检查证实为慢性乙型肝炎患者110例,建模组83例,验证组27例.肝纤维化按Ishak分期F≥3期为明显肝纤维化,建模组明显肝纤维化(F≥3)55例,无-轻度肝纤维化(F0～F2)28例,验证组明显肝纤维化15例,无-轻度肝纤维化12例.用基质辅助激光解析电离高分辨飞行时间串联质谱检测标本的血清蛋白质,得到每个样品的质谱图,应用FlexAnalsis3.0分析软件得到差异蛋白质图谱,并与临床病理诊断进行比较,建立遗传算法的诊断模型,并对模型的诊断效能进行验证.结果 明显肝纤维化组(F≥3)与无-轻度肝纤维化组(F0～F2)患者蛋白质图谱比较,得到差异有统计学意义(P＜0.01)的差异蛋白质15个,其中最显著的蛋白质为2081.73 m/z和1944.41 m/z,以这两个差异最显著的蛋白峰建立坐标系的样品分布,建立6个特征蛋白峰组成的遗传算法模型,采用该模型对12例无-轻度肝纤维化组患者、15例明显肝纤维化组患者进行验证,结果识别率为100%,预测能力为94.14%,准确率为100%.结论 检测血清差异蛋白质表达可早期判断患者肝纤维化的程度.     

Carotid atherosclerosis and chronic hepatitis C: a prospective study of risk associations

There are contrasting results in studies of cardiovascular risk in patients with genotype 1 chronic hepatitis C (G1 CHC). We evaluated the prevalence of carotid atherosclerosis compared with a control population in order to assess the potential association between atherosclerosis, host and viral factors, and liver histological features. In all, 174 consecutive biopsy-proven G1 CHC patients were evaluated by anthropometric and metabolic measurements and 174 patients attending an outpatient cardiology unit were used as controls. Intima-media thickness (IMT) and carotid plaques, defined as focal thickening of >1.3 mm at the level of common carotid, were evaluated using ultrasonography. All G1 CHC biopsies were scored by one pathologist for staging and grading, and graded for steatosis. Carotid plaques were found in 73 (41.9%) G1 CHC patients compared with 40 (22.9%) control patients (P < 0.001). Similarly, G1 CHC patients had a greater IMT compared with control patients (1.04 ± 0.21 versus 0.90 ± 0.16; P < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that older age (odds ratio [OR] 1.047, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.014-1.082, P = 0.005), and severe hepatic fibrosis (OR 2.177, 95% CI: 1.043-4.542, P = 0.03), were independently linked to the presence of carotid plaques. In patients ≤55 years, 15/67 cases with F0-F2 fibrosis (22.3%) had carotid plaques, compared with 11/21 (52.3%) with F3-F4 fibrosis (P = 0.008). By contrast, in patients >55 years the prevalence of carotid plaques was similar in those with or without severe fibrosis (25/43, 58.1% versus 22/43, 51.1%; P = 0.51). CONCLUSION: Severe hepatic fibrosis is associated with a high risk of early carotid atherosclerosis in G1 CHC patients.     

The severity of liver fibrosis is associated with high leptin levels in chronic hepatitis C

Summary.  Recent attention has focused on the liver profibrogenic role of leptin in animal models. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the role of leptin and TNF- α in the severity of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). We used a radioimmunoassay to determine serum leptin concentrations in 77 consecutive patients with CHC and 22 healthy controls. Leptin was correlated with liver histological (METAVIR) and metabolic indices. Sixty five patients had none to moderate liver fibrosis (F0-F2) and twelve severe fibrosis (F3-F4). Steatosis was observed in all but 27 patients. Leptin was significantly increased in patients compared with controls and was significantly more elevated in females both in patients and controls. The age, age at infection, prothrombin index, body mass index (BMI), triglycerides, glycaemia, ferritin, leptin and TNF- α , were associated with severe fibrosis. Steatosis was significantly more pronounced in patients with severe than those without or moderate fibrosis ( P  = 0.04). Only leptin was significantly and independently associated with severe fibrosis (OR = 1.2, CI 95%: 1.1–1.4, P  = 0.03). Leptin was significantly associated with BMI ( r  = 0.64, P  < 0.001) and glycaemia ( r  = 0.43, P  < 0.001). Significant correlations were found between steatosis and BMI ( r  = 0.30, P  < 0.01) and glycaemia ( r  = 0.30, P  < 0.01). In patients with CHC and higher BMI and glycaemia levels, the severity of liver fibrosis is associated with serum leptin. TNF- α is a putative candidate involved in the mechanism.     

Liver fibrosis in women with chronic hepatitis C: evidence for the negative role of the menopause and steatosis and the potential benefit of hormone replacement therapy

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The rates of fibrosis progression in chronic hepatitis C are significantly different between males and females. The antifibrogenic effect of oestrogen has been proposed, possibly via inhibition of stellate cells. The aim of this study was to evaluate the severity of chronic hepatitis C in women, in relation to the menopause, steatosis and hormone replacement therapy (HRT). METHODS: From November 2003 to October 2004, women with chronic hepatitis C were enrolled prospectively. A questionnaire was completed prospectively and a blood sample was obtained on the day of biopsy. We identified characteristics associated with moderate/severe fibrosis using univariate and multivariate analysis. RESULTS: 251 women were included in the study. 122 women (52%) were menopausal and 65 were receiving HRT. 61 (24%) women with moderate/severe fibrosis (F2-F4, Metavir score) had a longer known duration of infection (>15 years), a higher body mass index and presented with steatosis more frequently than 190 (76%) women with mild fibrosis (F0-F1). Women with F2-F4 were more often menopausal (67% v 47%). The probability of fibrosis F2-F4 was lower for menopausal women receiving HRT (p = 0.012). Steatosis was more frequent and more severe in menopausal women. CONCLUSIONS: Severity of fibrosis was associated with a longer duration of infection (>15 years), a higher body mass index, advanced steatosis and the menopause. Menopausal women receiving HRT presented with a lower stage fibrosis. These results reinforce the hypothesis of a protective role of oestrogens in the progression of fibrosis. Steatosis may be implicated in the progression of fibrosis after the menopause.     

Prediction of liver histological lesions with biochemical markers in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND AIMS: Liver biopsy is the gold standard for assessing hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related histology. The aim was to determine the diagnostic utility of noninvasive serum markers in patients with chronic hepatitis B. METHODS: The aminotransferases and indices including alpha(2)-macroglobulin, apolipoprotein A1, haptoglobin, gamma-glutamyl-transpeptidase (GGT), and total bilirubin (Fibrotest), and ALT (Actitest) were compared with liver histology. The primary outcomes were A2-A3 activity and F2-F4 fibrosis (METAVIR). RESULTS: Two hundred and nine patients were included. Forty-one patients (20%) had A2-A3 activity and 61 (29%) had F2-F4 fibrosis. AST and GGT (P<0.001) were independently associated with A2-A3 activity. AST, ALT, and Actitest accurately predicted activity ((areas under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUROC), 0.81-0.82+/-0.04)); an AST or ALT< or =30IU/l excluded significant activity with 96% certainty. Fibrotest accurately predicted F2-F4 fibrosis (AUROC, 0.78+/-0.04). Fibrotest scores (range, 0-1.0) < or =0.20 and >0.80 had negative and positive predictive values of 92%, respectively. Restricting biopsy to patients with intermediate scores (>0.20 and < or =0.80) may prevent liver biopsies in 46% of patients while maintaining 92% accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: The aminotransferases and an index including five biochemical markers are accurate noninvasive markers of HBV-related activity and fibrosis, respectively.     

Aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index for fibrosis and cirrhosis prediction in chronic hepatitis C patients

In chronic hepatitis C (CHC), liver biopsy is the gold standard method for assessing liver histology, however it is invasive and can have complications. Non-invasive markers have been proposed and aspartate aminotransferase (AST)-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) has been shown as an easy and inexpensive marker of liver fibrosis. This study evaluated the diagnostic performance of APRI for significant fibrosis and cirrhosis prediction in CHC patients. This study included treatment-naive CHC patients who had undergone liver biopsy from January 2000 to August 2006. All histological slides were reviewed according to the METAVIR system. APRI was calculated based on laboratory results performed within four months from the biopsy. Twenty-eight (56%) patients had significant fibrosis (F2-F4) and 13 (26%) had cirrhosis (F4). The area under ROC curves of APRI for predicting significant fibrosis and cirrhosis were 0.92 (0.83-1.00) and 0.92 (0.85-1.00), respectively. Using cut-off values recommended by prior studies, significant fibrosis could be identified, in accordance with liver biopsy, in 44% and cirrhosis in 66% of patients. APRI could identify significant fibrosis and cirrhosis at a high degree of accuracy in studied patients.     

The validity of serum markers for fibrosis staging in chronic hepatitis B and C

Assessment of liver fibrosis is critical for successful individualized disease management in persons with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) or chronic hepatitis C (CHC). We expanded and validated serum marker indices to provide accurate, reproducible and easily applied methods of fibrosis assessment. Liver biopsy results from over 284 CHB and 2304 CHC patients in the Chronic Hepatitis Cohort Study (‘CHeCS') were mapped to a F0–F4 equivalent scale. APRI and FIB‐4 scores within a 6‐month window of biopsy were mapped to the same scale. A novel algorithm was applied to derive and validate optimal cut‐offs for differentiating fibrosis levels. For the prediction of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, the FIB‐4 score outperformed the other serum marker indices in the CHC cohort and was similar to APRI in the CHB cohort. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC) for FIB‐4 in differentiating F3–F4 from F0–F2 was 0.86 (95% CI: 0.80–0.92) for CHB and 0.83 (95% CI: 0.81–0.85) for CHC. The suggested cut‐offs based on FIB‐4 model produced high positive predictive values [CHB: 90.0% for F0–F2, 100.0% for cirrhosis (F4); CHC: 89.7% for F0–F2; 82.9% for cirrhosis (F4)]. In this large observational cohort, FIB‐4 predicted the upper and lower end of liver fibrosis stage (cirrhosis and F0–F2, respectively) with a high degree of accuracy in both CHB and CHC patients.     

Noninvasive markers of fibrosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: Validating the European Liver Fibrosis Panel and exploring simple markers

The detection of fibrosis within nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is important for ascertaining prognosis and the stratification of patients for emerging therapeutic intervention. We validated the Original European Liver Fibrosis panel (OELF) and a simplified algorithm not containing age, the Enhanced Liver fibrosis panel (ELF), in an independent cohort of patients with NAFLD. Furthermore, we explored whether the addition of simple markers to the existing panel test could improve diagnostic performance. One hundred ninety-six consecutively recruited patients from 2 centers were included in the validation study. The diagnostic accuracy of the discriminant scores of the ELF panel, simple markers, and a combined panel were compared using receiver operator curves, predictive values, and a clinical utility model. The ELF panel had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.90 for distinguishing severe fibrosis, 0.82 for moderate fibrosis, and 0.76 for no fibrosis. Simplification of the algorithm by removing age did not alter diagnostic performance. Addition of simple markers to the panel improved diagnostic performance with AUCs of 0.98, 0.93, and 0.84 for the detection of severe fibrosis, moderate fibrosis, and no fibrosis, respectively. The clinical utility model showed that 82% and 88% of liver biopsies could be potentially avoided for the diagnosis of severe fibrosis using ELF and the combined panel, respectively. The ELF panel has good diagnostic accuracy in an independent validation cohort of patients with NAFLD. The addition of established simple markers augments the diagnostic performance across different stages of fibrosis, which will potentially allow superior stratification of patients with NAFLD for emerging therapeutic strategies.