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1.

Objective

A study to validate and calibrate Pediatric Index of Mortality-2 (PIM2) in children admitted to our pediatric intensive care unit (PICU).

Methods

This is a prospective cohort study performed in Bahrami Children''s Hospital affiliated to Tehran University of Medical Sciences. We studied the patients admitted to PICU from May 2007 to November 2008. Clinical measures were identified upon arrival in PICU. We used PIM2 score and logistic regression analysis to compare expected mortality risk with observed mortality rate. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis was done and standardized mortality ratio was calculated. PIM2 Index assessment was performed by use of Hosmer and Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test.

Findings

240 patients were included in this study. The model fit was achieved adequately (P value=0.741). The area under the ROC curve was 0.795 (0.715-0.875 for 95% confidence interval) and standardized mortality ratio was 1.8 (1.28-2.465 for 95% confidence interval) High-risk group diagnosis with adjusted odds ratio (AOR)=14.75, pupil reaction to light (AOR=0.13) and duration of stay in PICU (AOR=1.03) had significant statistical association to pediatric mortality.

Conclusion

PIM2 is a good index for prediction of mortality in our pediatric intensive care unit. This study revealed that there is significant statistical association between the children mortality and the length of hspita;ization, pupillary light reflex and the risk level category on admission.  相似文献   

2.
小儿死亡危险评分的临床应用   总被引:2,自引:2,他引:2  
目的观察小儿死亡危险评分(PRISM评分)与PICU急性危重症患儿预后的关系。方法对2003年2-10月PICU收治急性危重症45例,回顾性评定PRISM评分,并依据评分分组,记录患儿临床资料和住院时间、预后。结果PRISM 评分<15分24例,>15分21例。两组年龄、体质量和院内感染率均无显著差异(P均>0.05)。两组死亡率分别为8.1%(2/ 24例)和38.1%(8/21例),PRISM评分<15分组死亡率明显低于>15分组(x2=4.14 P<0.05)。PRISM>15分组存活病例住院天数(13.2±6.1)d显著长于PRISM<15分组(9.7±8.5)d(t=1.74.P<0.05)。结论PRISM评分越高,死亡率随之增加。PRISM评分增高,患儿住院时间越长。PRISM评分能够准确评估急性危重症病人的严重程度和预后。  相似文献   

3.

Objective

The role of initial serum uric acid on admission in critically ill patients is controversial; we presumed that uric acid level can predict the mortality of the admitted patients to intensive care unit as a simple test.

Methods

Totally, 220 consecutively admitted children (96 girls, 124 boys) with mean age 3.5 years, who were at least 24 hours in pediatric intensive care unit (PICU), were enrolled in a prospective cohort study during January 2006 to December 2007. The subsequent PICU admission in the same hospitalization, those who were discharged from the hospital and then re-admitted to the PICU during the observation period, and the patients with chronic renal failure were excluded. Serum uric acid level was measured during the first day of PICU admission. Death or transfer from PICU was considered as final outcome. The statistical analysis was done by using linear regression analysis, ROC curve, Student t-test, and Chi- square. P value less than 0.05 was considered significant.

Findings

From 44 patients who had serum uric acid level more than 8 mg/dl, 17 cases died showing with a higher relative risk of 1.88, higher mortality (P<0.05). The relative risk of death in patients who had serum uric acid >8 mg/dl and needed vasopressor was 1.04, and in those under mechanical ventilation 1.33. In patients who scored pediatric risk of mortality of >38 it was 1.4, and in septic cases 4 (P<0.05). Stepwise linear regression analysis showed that mainly the need for mechanical ventilation (P=0.001) and vasopressor had statistically significant correlation with the poor outcome (P=0.001).

Conclusion

Uric acid level during the first day of intensive critical care admission is not an independent risk of mortality in PICU. Need for mechanical ventilation or inotropic agents was associated with poor outcome and only higher uric acid level in sepsis played an additive risk factor role.  相似文献   

4.

Objectives

To correlate lactate clearance with Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) mortality.

Methods

45 (mean age 40.15 mo, 60% males) consecutive admissions in the PICU were enrolled between May 2012 to June 2013. Lactate clearance (Lactate level at admission — level 6 hr later × 100 / lactate level at admission) in first 6 hours of hospitalization was correlated to in-hospital mortality and PRISM score.

Results

Twelve out of 45 patients died. 90% died among those with delayed/poor clearance (clearance <30%) compared to 8.5% in those with good clearance (clearance >30%) (P<0.001). Lactate clearance <30% predicted mortality with sensitivity of 75%, specificity of 97%, positive predictive value of 90%, and negative predictive value of 91.42%. Predictability was comparable to PRISM score >30.

Conclusion

Lactate clearance at six hours correlates with mortality in the PICU.  相似文献   

5.

Objective

R-Baux score has obtained an acceptable validity and accuracy in predicting burn-related mortality. However, its usage and efficacy among pediatric burn patients has not been well documented. The aim of this study was to employ Pediatrics-Baux (P-Buax) score as modified version of R-Baux score in these patients to determine how it could be applicable in this population.

Methods

Through a prospective study, 870 pediatric burn patients were enrolled. P-Baux and R-Baux scores were calculated for each patient and they were categorized to different groups according to these scores. Mortality and further death probability were measured for each subject and then analyzed by logistic regression model to reveal how they change in relation with age in pediatric burn patients.

Findings

R-Baux score for 95% probability of death revealed a mean of 73 among patients of this study. Also P-Baux score was measured in these patients with inhalation injury which showed to be 55 for 95% probability of death. Results showed that age had a positive prognostic value in contrast to the negative prognostic value of Total Body Surface Area (TBSA) and inhalation injury.

Conclusion

Our analysis showed that in children under the age of 15 years, age has a positive prognostic value while TBSA and inhalation injuries had negative prognostic values in relation to mortality. Hence, in contrast to the adult population, burn injury related mortality may be predicted by modified R-Baux score as (TBSA - age + [18×R]) which could be named as P-Baux score.  相似文献   

6.

Objective

This study aimed to develop and test the validity of a risk score to be used as a simple tool to identify those children at high risk of sonographic non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

Methods

This cross-sectional study was conducted among 962 participants aged 6–18 years in Isfahan, Iran. They consisted of three groups of nearly equal number of normal-weight, overweight and obese individuals. Coefficients of the logistic regression models were used to assign a score value for each variable and the composite sonographic NAFLD risk score was calculated as the sum of those scores. Performance of model was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve procedure.

Findings

Data of 931 participants was included in the analysis. The sonographic findings of 16.8% of participants were compatible with NAFLD. Age, sex, body mass index, waist circumference and serum triglycerides level were diagnosed as factors associated with NAFLD. The risk score was calculated as 50 for sonographic NAFLD.

Conclusion

This study, to the best of our knowledge is the first of its kind in the pediatric age group, focuses on predicting sonographic NAFLD from easily-measured factors. It may suggest an association of hypertriglyceridemic-waist phenotype with NAFLD in the pediatric age group.  相似文献   

7.

Objective

Mortality of very low birth weight premature infants is of great public health concern. To better guide local intervention program, it is essential that current and reliable statistics be collected to understand the factors associated with mortality of these infants.

Methods

Data of very low birth weight premature infants admitted to a neonatal unit during 2002-2009 was retrospectively collected. Changes in perinatal care between two halves of the study period (2002-2005 and 2006-2009) were identified. Factors associated with in-hospital mortality were found by logistic regression and a predictive score model was established.

Findings

A total of 475 cases were enrolled. In-hospital mortality decreased from 29.8% in 2002-2005 to 28.1% in 2006-2009 (P>0.05). More infants born <28 gestational weeks survived to discharge in the latter epoch (38.1% vs 8.3%, P<0.05). Persistent pulmonary hypertension of newborn, pulmonary hemorrhage, birth weight <000 grams, gestational age <33 weeks, feeding before 3 postnatal days and enteral feeding were found predictors of in-hospital mortality by logistic regression. The discriminating ability of the predictive model was 82.4% and the cutoff point was -0.56.

Conclusion

Survival of very low birth weight premature neonates was not significantly improved in 2006-2009 than 2002-2005. Infants with a score higher than -0.56 were assessed to be at high risk of in-hospital mortality. Multi-center studies of planned follow-up are needed to develop a comprehensive and applicable score system.  相似文献   

8.

Objective

To develop a simple clinical scoring system for severity of illness to help prioritize care and predict outcome in emergency department.

Methods

Prospective hospital based observational study. Out of a total of 874 children who attended emergency department in one year, 777 were included in the study. Data was collected at the time of admission in emergency department. The baseline information like age, gender, etc and variables of ‘toprs’ score viz temperature, oxygen saturation, pulse rate, respiratory rate, sensorium and seizures were recorded. Variables were categorized as normal (score zero) or abnormal (score 1) based on systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria and criteria mentioned in advanced pediatric life support (APLS) and the total scores were computed for each child. The outcome (death/discharge) was correlated with the study variables and total score. The predictive ability of score was calculated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

Findings

Of the six variables, temperature, oxygen saturation and respiratory rate were found to be significantly associated with mortality. Mortality increased with the increase in the number of abnormal variables. Based on the regression coefficients, maximum possible score was 6.68. The predictive ability of score was 81.7 calculated using ROC curve. Maximum discrimination was observed at a score of 2.5.

Conclusion

For triage in emergency, any patient with 2 or more abnormal variables should be closely monitored and evaluated. These patients require admission as they have a potential risk of death.  相似文献   

9.

Objectives

To study the association of fluid overload with mortality and morbidity in critically-ill mechanically ventilated children.

Design

Prospective observational study.

Setting

Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) of a tertiary care hospital, New Delhi, India.

Participants

118 children (age 1 mo - 15 y) requiring mechanical ventilation.

Outcome measures

Primary: Association of fluid overload with mortality. Secondary: Association of fluid overload with oxygenation, organ dysfunction, duration of mechanical ventilation and PICU stay.

Results

Cumulative fluid overload of ≥15% was observed in 74 (62.7%) children. About 50% of these children reached cumulative fluid overload of ≥15% within the first 5 days of PICU stay. The mortality was 40.5% in those with ≥15% cumulative fluid compared to 34% in the rest [OR (95% CI): 1.02 (0.97, 1.07)]. On multivariate analysis, after adjusting for confounders, cumulative fluid overload ≥15% was associated with higher maximum PELOD (pediatric logistic organ dysfunction) score (Median: 21 vs. 12; P = 0.03), longer median duration of mechanical ventilation (10 vs. 4 d; P <0.0001) and PICU stay (13.5 vs. 6 d; P <0.0001). There was no significant association of fluid overload with oxygenation index (P=0.32).

Conclusion

There is no association of fluid overload with mortality. However, it is associated with poor organ function, longer duration of mechanical ventilation and PICU stay in critically-ill, mechanically ventilated children.
  相似文献   

10.
OBJECTIVE: Prediction of mortality by application of Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) score in Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) patients under Indian circumstances. DESIGN: Prospective study. SETTING: PICU of a tertiary care multi-specialty hospital. METHODS: 100 sick pediatric patients admitted consecutively in PICU were taken for this study. PRISM score was calculated. Hospital outcome was recorded as (died/survived). The predicted death was calculated by the formula: RESULTS: Of 100 patients, 18 died and 82 survived. By PRISM score 49 children had the score of 1-9. The expected death in this group was 10.3% (n = 5.03) and the observed death was 8.2% (n = 4). Among 45 children with the score of 10-19, the expected mortality was 21.2% (n = 9.6) and observed was 24.4% (n = 11). There were 3 patients with the score of 20-29, the expected mortality in this group was 39.3% (n = 1.18) and observed mortality 33.3% (n = 1). There were 3 patients with score > or = 30, observed death 66.3% (n = 2) and expected mortality was 74.7% (n = 2.24). There was no significant difference between expected and observed mortality in any group. (p > 0.5). ROC analysis showed area under the curve of 72%. CONCLUSION: PRISM score has good predictive value in assessing the probability of mortality in relation to children admitted to a PICU under Indian circumstances.  相似文献   

11.

Objective

To study the association between red cell distribution width (RDW) and mortality in critically-ill children admitted in a Pediatric intensive care unit (PICU).

Methods

101 participants were recruited consecutively over 3 months. Data collected included demographics, vital parameters, laboratory values, severity and organ failure scores, RDW for the first 5 days of admission, duration of PICU stay and survival outcome.

Results

11 patients died during study period. High RDW at admission (RDW D1) correlated significantly with mortality (P=0.007). The odds of death increased by 15 to 23 times with rise in RDW D1 from 18% to >21%. The optimal RDW D1 cut-off value for mortality was 18.6%, which yielded sensitivity 90.9%, specificity 70.8%, positive predictive value 27.8%, negative predictive value 98.4%, and area under curve (AUC) 0.83 (95%CI 0.737, 0.925). 29 out of 60 (48.3%) patients with RDW D4 >18% had PICU stay of ≥7 days.

Conclusion

High (≥18.6%) RDW at admission and its persistent high levels are associated with high mortality and prolonged stay in PICU, respectively.
  相似文献   

12.
目的评估伴免疫抑制相关基础疾病的儿童重症监护室脓毒症患儿入PICU 28 d内死亡及其危险因素。方法病例对照研究。回顾性收集复旦大学附属儿科医院(我院)因脓毒症/脓毒性休克收入PICU的患儿临床资料,分为免疫抑制组和免疫健全组,考察免疫抑制患儿入PICU 28 d内死亡的危险因素。结果2015年12月1日至2018年12月31日我院PICU出院诊断脓毒症连续病例385例,排除入科后24 h内死亡和PICU获得性脓毒症病例,251例PICU脓毒症/脓毒性休克患儿进入本文分析,免疫抑制组110例 (43.8%),免疫健全组141例。与免疫健全组比较,免疫抑制组以住院转入患儿(70%)为主,PICU维持治疗需求(血管活性药物、有创/无创机械通气)高、24 h PRISM评分高,不明确感染部位比例高,免疫抑制组接受ECMO治疗者全部死亡,持续肾脏代替治疗(CRRT)存活率为17.4%,入PICU第28 d病死率69.1%。免疫健全组和免疫抑制组28 d内存活和死亡患儿比较,除脓毒性休克、有创机械通气、CRRT、PRISM Ⅲ评分、乳酸>2 mmol·L-1比例、PICU住院时间、总住院时间、脱离PICU时间、24 h内放弃治疗、总放弃治疗差异有统计学意义外,应用血管活性药物在免疫抑制组入PICU 28 d内存活和死亡因素比较中差异有统计学意义。多因素COX比例风险模型分析显示,PRISM Ⅲ评分、有创机械通气、乳酸>2 mmol·L-1是免疫抑制组和免疫健全组入PICU 28 d内病死率的共同危险因素,休克是免疫抑制组入PICU 28 d内病死率的危险因素。结论重症监护室脓毒症患儿病死率较高;伴免疫抑制相关基础疾病的脓毒症患儿病死率更高;PRISMⅢ评分、48 h内有创机械通气和入院乳酸值(>2 mmol·L-1)是其预后的重要危险因素。应建立早期预警指标,对免疫抑制患儿进行早期识别,早期干预,可能改善预后。  相似文献   

13.

Objective

This study was conducted to determine the prevalence of low birth weight (LBW) and its related risk factors in an appropriate sample of neonates in Shahroud, northeast Iran.

Methods

At this study, a random sample of 1000 neonates were selected of which 72 neonates were LBWs. We used univariate and multivariate logistic regression methods to evaluate the LBW risk factors in LBWs compared to normal weight infants.

Findings

7.2% of neonates were LBWs and 6.1% born before 37 weeks of gestation. Prematurity, high-risk pregnancy and maternal age have significant statistical association with LBW. Odds Ratio (OR) for prematurity was 42.82 (95%CI; 21.93-83.57), for high risk pregnancy 2.76 (95%CI; 1.47-5.19) and for maternal age group more than 35 years in comparison to 19-35 years age group 0.2 (95%CI; 0.05-0.71).

Conclusion

Based on this study; prematurity and high risk pregnancy were the most important risk factors for LBW. There was also a reverse association between maternal age and LBW.  相似文献   

14.

Objective

To investigate the correlation between hypoglycemia and positive rate of inborn error of metabolism (IEM) in neonatal intensive care unit.

Methods

160 patients from a neonatal intensive care unit were enrolled. Blood glucose was measured by Roche Modular chemistry. The dry blood on filter papers, collected from 160 patients, was tested by tandem mass spectrometry to detect 35 inborn errors of metabolism. Clinical follow-up of all the patients was at least in an interval of 12 months. The mean observation period was 13.5 months per child.

Findings

Based on the ROC curve, the optimal cut-off value of hypoglycemia as an indicator for screening for IEMs was projected to be 2.8 mmol/L, which yielded a sensitivity of 71.4% and a specificity of 76.5%. The patients were divided into two groups: hypoglycemia group (48 cases) and the control group (112 cases). 5(10.4%) of the 48 patients in the hypoglycemia group were positive, while only 2(1.8%) of the 112 patients in the control group were positive. The difference of the positive rate in the screening for IEMs between the two groups was significant (χ2=4.10, P<0.05); the relative risk (RR) was 5.83 (95% CI: 1.06–32.12).

Conclusion

The risk of patients with hypoglycemia suffering from IEMs was significantly higher than that of the non-hypoglycemia patients in NICU, based on cut-off value of 2.8mmol/L.  相似文献   

15.

Objective

The aim of this study was to evaluate the bilirubin albumin (B/A) ratio in comparison with total serum bilirubin (TSB) for predicting acute bilirubin-induced neurologic dysfunction (BIND).

Methods

Fifty two term and near term neonates requiring phototherapy and exchange transfusion for severe hyperbilirubinemia in Children''s Medical Center, Tehran, Iran, during September 2007 to September 2008, were evaluated. Serum albumin and bilirubin were measured at admission. All neonates were evaluated for acute BIND based on clinical findings.

Findings

Acute BIND developed in 5 (3.8%) neonates. B/A ratio in patients with BIND was significantly higher than in patients without BIND (P<0.001). Receiver operation characteristics (ROC) analysis identified a TSB cut off value of 25 mg/dL [area under the curve (AUC) 0.945] with a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 85%. Also, according to the ROC curve, B/A ratio cut off value for predicting acute BIND was 8 (bil mg/al g) (AUC 0.957) with sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 94%.

Conclusion

Based on our results, we suggest using B/A ratio in conjunction with TSB. This can improve the specificity and prevent unnecessary invasive therapy such as exchange transfusion in icteric neonates.  相似文献   

16.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the Pediatric Risk of Mortality score (PRISM score) as a tool to evaluate the vital and neurologic prognosis of patients after submersion. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of the clinical histories of patients admitted to a tertiary pediatric hospital, Hospital Sant Joan de Déu, Barcelona, Spain from December 1977 to December 1999 as a consequence of near-drowning. PRISM score was calculated for each patient with data obtained upon arrival at the hospital. The probability of death was calculated using this score. RESULTS: There were 60 patients, divided into two groups as they were admitted to the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU group, n = 41) or to the Short Stay Unit (SSU group, n = 19). All patients in the SSU group survived without impairments, with PRISM scores or=24 or with probability of death >or=42% either died or had serious neurologic impairment. One third of patients with PRISM scores between 17 and 23 and/or probability of death between 16 and 42% either presented serious neurologic impairment or died. CONCLUSIONS: PRISM score enables the determination of either absence or presence of serious impairment or death in pediatric patients after submersion, if they present extreme values on this scale. However, in patients with intermediate PRISM scores, it is not possible to establish a reliable prognosis.  相似文献   

17.
OBJECTIVE: To determine the discriminative ability and calibration of existing scoring systems in predicting the outcome (mortality) in children admitted to an Indian pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Pediatric Intensive Care Unit, Department of Pediatrics, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, from July 1, 2002, to July 31, 2003. PATIENTS: A total of 246 patients were admitted. After exclusion of 29 neonates and two patients who stayed in the PICU for 0.8. However, all the models underpredicted mortality. The likely reasons for this could be differences in the patient profile and greater load of severity of illness being managed with lesser resources--both physical and human--and differences in the quality of care.  相似文献   

18.

Object?ve

To determine the risk factors for developing candida infections in pediatric intensive care unit (PICU).

Methods

The present study was conducted as a case–control study and included the population of patients who were admitted to PICU during the period of March 2010–March 2011.

Results

During the study period, a total of 57 patients in PICU had candidemia, 4 cases were excluded due to their PICU stay less than 48 h and one due to the insufficient data. The most commonly isolated Candida species was C. albicans, followed by C. parapsilosis. The median duration of hospitalization in PICU was higher (22.0 d) in candidemia patients compared to control group (13.5 d) (p?=?0.037). The patients with candidemia had higher rates of presence of mechanical ventilation, presence of central venous catheter, and being under total parenteral nutrition; compared to the control group.

Conclus?ons

The longer PICU durations, mechanical ventilation, central venous catheter, total parenteral nutrition were the associated factors. Although trials for predicitive models or scoring systems for development of candidemia have been performed; more future studies were required for practical usage in clinics settings in order to prevent candidemia.  相似文献   

19.

Objective

Timely identification and prompt resuscitation of newborns in the delivery room may cause a decline in neonatal morbidity and mortality. We try to identify risk factors in mother and fetus that result in birth of newborns needing resuscitation at birth.

Methods

Case notes of all deliveries and neonates born from April 2010 to March 2011 in Mahdieh Medical Center (Tehran, Iran), a Level III Neonatal Intensive Care Unit, were reviewed; relevant maternal, fetal and perinatal data was extracted and analyzed.

Findings

During the study period, 4692 neonates were delivered; 4522 (97.7%) did not require respiratory assistance. One-hundred seven (2.3%) newborns needed resuscitation with bag and mask ventilation in the delivery unit, of whom 77 (1.6%) babies responded to bag and mask ventilation while 30 (0.65%) neonates needed endotracheal intubation and 15 (0.3%) were given chest compressions. Epinephrine/volume expander was administered to 10 (0.2%) newborns. In 17 patients resuscitation was continued for >10 mins. There was a positive correlation between the need for resuscitation and following risk factors: low birth weight, preterm labor, chorioamnionitis, pre-eclampsia, prolonged rupture of membranes, abruptio placentae, prolonged labor, meconium staining of amniotic fluid, multiple pregnancy and fetal distress. On multiple regression; low birth weight, meconium stained liquor and chorioamnionitis revealed as independent risk factors that made endotracheal intubation necessary.

Conclusion

Accurate identification of risk factors and anticipation at the birth of a high-risk neonate would result in adequate preparation and prompt resuscitation of neonates who need some level of intervention and thus, reducing neonatal morbidity and mortality.  相似文献   

20.

Objective

To determine the epidemiology and outcome of sepsis in children admitted in pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) of a tertiary care hospital.

Methods

Retrospective review of children 1?mo to 14?y old, admitted to the PICU with severe sepsis or septic shock from January 2007 through December 2008 was done. Demographic, clinical and laboratory features of subjects were reviewed. The primary outcome was mortality at the time of discharge from PICU. The independent predictors of mortality were modeled using multiple logistic regression.

Results

In 2?years, 17.3% (133/767) children admitted to the PICU had sepsis. Median age was 18?mo (IQR 6–93?mo), with male: female ratio of 1.6:1. Mean PRISM III score was 9 (±7.8). One third had culture proven infection, majority (20%) having bloodstream infection. The frequency of multi-organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) was 81% (108/133). The case specific mortality rate of sepsis was 24% (32/133). Multi-organ dysfunction (Adjusted OR 18.0, 95% CI 2.2–144), prism score of >10 (Adjusted OR 1.5, 95% CI 0.6–4.0) and the need for?>?2 inotropes (Adjusted OR 3.5, 95% CI 1.3–9.2) were independently associated with mortality due to sepsis.

Conclusions

The presence of septic shock and MODS is associated with high mortality in the PICU of developing countries.  相似文献   

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