Forearm Fractures as Predictors of Subsequent Osteoporotic Fractures

To assess the ability of distal forearm fractures to predict future fractures, we conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study among the 1288 residents (243 men, 1045 women) of Rochester, Minnesota age 35 years or older who experienced their first distal forearm fracture in 1975–94. During 9664 person-years of follow-up, 548 patients experienced 1109 subsequent fractures, excluding 195 that occurred on the same day as the index forearm fracture. The cumulative incidence of any subsequent fracture was 55% by 10 years and 80% by 20 years following the initial distal forearm fracture. Compared to expected fracture rates in the community, the risk of a hip fracture following the index forearm fracture was increased 1.4-fold in women (95% CI, 1.1–1.8) and 2.7-fold in men (95% CI, 0.98–5.8). In women, the risk of hip fracture differed by age, as we had found in a previous study. Women over age 70 had a 1.6-fold increase (95% CI, 1.2–2.0) in subsequent hip fracture risk whereas women who sustained their first forearm fracture before age 70 years did not have significantly increased risk. By contrast, vertebral fractures were significantly increased at all ages, with a 5.2-fold increase (95% CI, 4.5–5.9) in risk among women and a 10.7-fold increase (95% CI, 6.7–16.3) among men following a first distal forearm fracture. The increased risk in men suggests that a sentinel forearm fracture should not be ignored. Among the women, we also found a missed opportunity for intervention as hormone replacement therapy was underutilized. Received: 8 May 1998 / Accepted: 16 October 1998     

Vertebral Fractures Predict Subsequent Fractures

This population-based study documents an increase in most types of fractures following the occurrence of a clinically recognized vertebral fracture among 820 Rochester, Minnesota, residents. During 4349 person-years of follow-up, 896 new fractures were observed. Relative to incidence rates in the community, there was a 2.8-fold increase in the risk of any fracture, which was greater in men (standardized incidence ratio (SIR), 4.2; 95% CI, 3.2–5.3) than women (SIR, 2.7; 95% CI, 2.4–3.0). The estimated cumulative incidence of any fracture after 10 years was 70%. The greatest increase in risk was for subsequent fractures of the axial skeleton, in particular a 12.6-fold increase (95% CI, 11–14) in additional vertebral fractures. There was a lesser increase in most limb fractures, including a 2.3-fold increase (95% CI, 1.8–2.9) in hip fractures and a 1.6-fold increase (95% CI, 1.01–2.4) in distal forearm fractures. There was a slightly greater association with distal forearm fractures among those whose first vertebral fracture occurred before age 70 years but a similar relationship with hip fractures, including cervical and intertrochanteric hip fractures separately, regardless of age at the initial vertebral fracture. There was also an equivalent increase in subsequent fracture risk whether the initial vertebral fracture was attributed to severe or moderate trauma. These data show that vertebral fractures represent an important risk factor for fractures in general, not just those of the spine and hip. Received: 2 September 1998 / Accepted: 9 February 1999     

The Presence and Severity of Vertebral Fractures is Associated with the Presence of Esophageal Hiatal Hernia in Postmenopausal Women

We examined the relationship between the presence of esophageal hiatal hernia (HH) assessed by endoscopy and the presence of vertebral fractures (VFs) in 87 Japanese postmenopausal women (age range 52–87 years). We found that 29 (63%) of 46 patients with HH (71.2 ± 6.1 years, mean ± SD) had one or more VFs, compared with 14 (34%) of 41 patients without HH (70.8 ± 6.8 years), which was a significant difference in the frequency of VFs (c²= 7.242; p= 0.0071). The average number of VFs per patient was significantly higher for the patients with HH than for those without HH (1.67 ± 1.75 vs 0.68 ± 1.21, p= 0.0032). There were no significant differences in absolute or age-matched bone mineral density (BMD) values at the lumbar spine (0.656 ± 0.131 vs 0.662 ± 0.148 g/cm²; Z-score, –0.35 ± 1.17 vs –0.26 ± 1.00) and there were no significant differences in biochemical parameters, age, years since menopause or body mass index (BMI) between the two groups. When patients were divided into those with reflux esophagitis (RE) (n= 30, 70.2 ± 7.3 years) and those without RE (n= 57, 71.4 ± 5.9 years), no significant differences were detected in any of the above parameters including the presence or number of VFs. The patients were further subdivided into four groups: those with ‘HH only’ (n= 23, 72.3 ± 4.6 years), with ‘RE only’ (n= 7, 70.9 ± 7.7 years), with ‘both’ (n= 23, 70.0 ± 7.3 years) and with ‘neither’ (n= 34, 70.8 ± 6.7 years). One or more VFs were found in 12 (52%), 1 (14%), 17 (74%), and 13 (38%) patients in each group, respectively, and the difference in frequency was significant (c²= 10.748; p= 0.0132). The average number of VFs per patient in each group was 1.57 ± 2.06, 0.14 ± 0.38, 1.78 ± 1.41 and 0.79 ± 1.30, respectively, and there were significant differences between the ‘both’ and ‘neither’ groups, and between the ‘both’ and ‘RE only’ groups (p<0.05). When univariate logistic regression analysis was performed with the presence of HH as a dependent variable and each of the presence of VFs, the number of VFs per patient, absolute or age-matched BMD values at the lumbar spine, BMI and plasma albumin as independent variables, the presence of VFs and the number of VFs per patient were selected as indices affecting the presence of HH (odds ratio: 3.29 and 1.59, 95% confidence interval: 1.36–7.94 and 1.14–2.23; p = 0.0080 and 0.0064, respectively). These results show that the presence and severity of VFs are associated with the presence of HH but not of RE in Japanese postmenopausal women, and suggest that kyphosis induced by multiple VFs might predispose elderly women to a complication with HH. Received: 2 March 2001 / Accepted: 11 June 2001     

Randomized Trial of the Effects of Risedronate on Vertebral Fractures in Women with Established Postmenopausal Osteoporosis

The purpose of this randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled study was to determine the efficacy and safety of risedronate in the prevention of vertebral fractures in postmenopausal women with established osteoporosis. The study was conducted at 80 study centers in Europe and Australia. Postmenopausal women (n= 1226) with two or more prevalent vertebral fractures received risedronate 2.5 or 5 mg/day or placebo; all subjects also received elemental calcium 1000 mg/day, and up to 500 IU/day vitamin D if baseline levels were low. The study duration was 3 years; however, the 2.5 mg group was discontinued by protocol amendment after 2 years. Lateral spinal radiographs were taken annually for assessment of vertebral fractures, and bone mineral density was measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry at 6-month intervals. Risedronate 5 mg reduced the risk of new vertebral fractures by 49% over 3 years compared with control (p<0.001). A significant reduction of 61% was seen within the first year (p= 0.001). The fracture reduction with risedronate 2.5 mg was similar to that in the 5 mg group over 2 years. The risk of nonvertebral fractures was reduced by 33% compared with control over 3 years (p= 0.06). Risedronate significantly increased bone mineral density at the spine and hip within 6 months. The adverse-event profile of risedronate, including gastrointestinal adverse events, was similar to that of control. Risedronate 5 mg provides effective and well-tolerated therapy for severe postmenopausal osteoporosis, reducing the incidence of vertebral fractures and improving bone density in women with established disease. Received: 29 September 1999 / Accepted: 10 November 1999     

Risedronate Reduces the Risk of First Vertebral Fracture in Osteoporotic Women

Risedronate treatment reduces the risk of vertebral fracture in women with existing vertebral fractures, but its efficacy in prevention of the first vertebral fracture in women with osteoporosis but without vertebral fractures has not been determined. We examined the risk of first vertebral fracture in postmenopausal women who were enrolled in four placebo-controlled clinical trials of risedronate and who had low lumbar spine bone mineral density (BMD) (mean T-score =–3.3) and no vertebral fractures at baseline. Subjects received risedronate 5 mg (n= 328) or placebo (n= 312) daily for up to 3 years; all subjects were given calcium (1000 mg daily), as well as vitamin D supplementation (up to 500 IU daily) if baseline serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels were low. The incidence of first vertebral fracture was 9.4% in the women treated with placebo and 2.6% in those treated with risedronate 5 mg (risk reduction of 75%, 95% confidence interval 37% to 90%; P= 0.002). The number of patients who would need to be treated to prevent one new vertebral fracture is 15. When subjects were stratified by age, similar significant reductions were observed in patients with a mean age of 64 years (risk reduction of 70%, 95% CI 8% to 90%; P= 0.030) and in those with a mean age of 76 years (risk reduction of 80%, 95% CI 7% to 96%; P= 0.024). Risedronate treatment therefore significantly reduces the risk of first vertebral fracture in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis, with a similar magnitude of effect early and late after the menopause. Received: 12 September 2001 / Accepted: 11 December 2001     

Longitudinal Alveolar Bone Loss in Postmenopausal Osteoporotic/Osteopenic Women

The purpose of this 2-year longitudinal clinical study was to investigate alveolar (oral) bone height and density changes in osteoporotic/osteopenic women compared with women with normal lumbar spine bone mineral density (BMD). Thirty-eight postmenopausal women completed this study; 21 women had normal BMD of the lumbar spine, while 17 women had osteoporosis or osteopenia of the lumbar spine at baseline. All subjects had a history of periodontitis and participated in 3- to 4-month periodontal maintenance programs. No subjects were current smokers. All patients were within 5 years of menopause at the start of the study. Four vertical bitewing radiographs of posterior sextants were taken at baseline and 2-year visits. Radiographs were examined using computer-assisted densitometric image analysis (CADIA) for changes in bone density at the crestal and subcrestal regions of interproximal bone. Changes in alveolar bone height were also measured. Radiographic data were analyzed by the t-test for two independent samples. Osteoporotic/osteopenic women exhibited a higher frequency of alveolar bone height loss (p<0.05) and crestal (p<0.025) and subcrestal (p<0.03) density loss relative to women with normal BMD. Estrogen deficiency was associated with increased frequency of alveolar bone crestal density loss in the osteoporotic/osteopenic women and in the overall study population (p<0.05). These data suggest that osteoporosis/osteopenia and estrogen deficiency are risk factors for alveolar bone density loss in postmenopausal women with a history of periodontitis. Received: 9 April 1998 / Accepted: 18 August 1998     

Fluoride for the Treatment of Postmenopausal Osteoporotic Fractures: A Meta-Analysis

We conducted an efectiveness meta-analysis to determine the efficacy of fluoride therapy on bone loss, vertebral and nonvertebral fractures and side effects in postmenopausal women. A literature search was conducted on MEDLINE, Current Contents and the Cochrane Controlled Trial Registry. Two independent reviewers selected randomized controlled trials which met predetermined inclusion criteria. They independently extracted data using predetermined forms and assessed the methodologic quality of the trials using a validated scale. For dichotomous outcomes, the relative risk (RR) was calculated, and for continuous outcomes, the weighted mean difference (WMD) of percentage change from baseline was calculated. Where heterogeneity existed (determined by a chi-square test) a random effects model was used. Eleven studies (1429 subjects) met the inclusion criteria. The increase in lumbar spine bone mineral density (BMD) was found to be higher in the treatment group than in the control group with a WMD 8.1% (95% CI: 7.15, 9.09) after 2 years of treatment and 16.1% (95% CI: 14.65, 17.5) after 4 years. The RR for new vertebral fractures was not significant at 2 years [0.87 (95% CI: 0.51, 1.46)] or at 4 years [0.9 (95% CI: 0.71, 1.14)]. The RR for new nonvertebral fractures was not significant at 2 years [1.2 (95% CI: 0.68, 2.10)] but was increased at 4 years in the treated group [1.85 (95% CI: 1.36, 2.50)], especially if used at high doses and in a non-slow-release form. The RR for gastrointestinal side effects was not significant at 2 years [2.18 (95% CI: 0.86, 1.21)] but was increased at 4 years in the treated group [2.18 (95% CI: 1.69, 4.57)], especially if fluoride was used at high doses and in a non-slow-release form. The number of withdrawals and dropouts was not different between treated and control groups at 2 and 4 years. Thus, although fluoride has an ability to increase bone mineral density at the lumbar spine, it does not result in a reduction in vertebral fractures. Increasing the dose of fluoride increases the risk of nonvertebral fractures and gastrointestinal side effects without any effect on the vertebral fracture rate. Received: 23 February 2000 / Accepted: 23 February 2000     

Polymorphisms of the VDR, ER and COLIA1 Genes and Osteoporotic Hip Fracture in Elderly Postmenopausal Women

In view of the reported associations between osteoporosis and polymorphisms of the vitamin D receptor (VDR), collagen Iα1 (COLIA1) and estrogen receptor (ER) genes, an association study was performed between VDR, COLIA1, and ER genotypes and bone mineral density, biochemical markers of bone turnover and hip fracture occurrence in Belgian older postmenopausal women. The gene polymorphisms were evaluated by restriction fragment length polymorphism analyses, using the restriction enzymes BsmI (VDR), AccB7I (COLIA1), and PvuII and XbaI (ER), respectively. As expected, bone mineral density and biochemical analyses demonstrated significant differences between hip fracture patients and elderly controls. However, no significant differences in genotype distributions or allele frequencies were observed between the cases (n= 135, age 78 ± 9 years) and controls (n= 239, age 76 ± 4 years) for any of the gene polymorphisms. Stratification of both study populations according to VDR, COLIA1 or ER genotype did not reveal any statistically significant difference in bone density or bone turnover between subgroups with different genotypes. In conclusion, despite its limited statistical power the outcome of this study does not support the hypothesis of a major contribution of the VDR, COLIA1 or ER polymorphisms to explain variations in bone mineral density or bone turnover, or to identify elderly women at risk of osteoporotic hip fracture. Received: 26 May 1999 / Accepted: 10 January 2000     

Performance of COLIA1 Polymorphism and Bone Turnover Markers to Identify Postmenopausal Women with Prevalent Vertebral Fractures

Some studies have suggested that bone turnover markers (BTM) and collagen type I alpha 1 gene (COLIA1) may be useful in the prediction of rates of future bone loss, and may therefore provide information about fracture risk. Our study aimed to examine the association of the COLIA1 genotype with the risk of vertebral fracture and to investigate the predictive value of this genetic factor in comparison with bone mineral density (BMD) and BTM, in ambulatory postmenopausal Spanish women. We determined the COLIA1 polymorphism by polymerase chain reaction, BMD by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry and BTM in 43 postmenopausal women with prevalent vertebral fracture and a control group of 101 postmenopausal women without fracture. There was a significant overrepresentation of the ‘T’ allele in fractured women (p= 0.029). BTM exhibited no differences between women with or without fractures or COLIA1 genotype groups. After adjusting for all other variables, the osteoporosis densitometric criteria variable was the most strongly associated with fracture (OR = 5 [1.8–13.3]) followed by COLIA1 (OR = 2.1 [1–4.3] per copy of the ‘T’ allele). Our study shows that COLIA1 is associated with prevalent vertebral fracture independently of bone mass, and the performance of this genetic factor to assess prevalent vertebral fracture is better than bone turnover markers. Received: 29 June 2001 / Accepted: 11 December 2001     

Direct Medical Costs Attributable to Osteoporotic Fractures

Osteoporotic fractures are a major cause of morbidity in the elderly, the most rapidly growing segment of our population. We characterized the incremental direct medical costs following such fractures in a population-based cohort of men and women in Olmsted County, Minnesota. Cases included all County residents 50 years of age and older with an incident fracture due to minimal or moderate trauma between January 1, 1989 and January 1, 1992. For each case, a control of the same age (± 1 year) and sex who was attended in the local medical system in the same year was identified. Total incremental costs (cases – controls) in the year after fracture were estimated. Unit costs for each health service/procedure were obtained through the Mayo Cost Data Warehouse, which provides a standardized, inflation-adjusted estimate reflecting the national average cost of providing the service. Regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with incremental costs. There were 1263 case/control pairs; their average age was 73.8 years and 78% were female. Median total direct medical costs were $761 and $625, respectively, for cases and nonfracture controls in the year prior to fracture, and $3884 and $712, respectively, in the year following fracture. The highest median incremental costs were for distal femur ($11 756) and hip fractures ($11 241), whereas the lowest were for rib fractures ($213). Although hip fractures resulted in more incremental cost than any other fracture type, this amounted to only 37% of the total incremental cost of all moderate-trauma fractures combined. Regression analyses revealed that age, prior year costs and type of fracture were significant predictors of incremental costs (p<0.03 for all comparisons). The incremental costs of osteoporotic fractures are therefore substantial. Whereas hip fractures contributed disproportionately, they accounted for only one-third of the total incremental cost of fractures in our cohort. The use of incremental costs in economic analyses will provide a more accurate reflection of the true cost-effectiveness of osteoporosis prevention. Received: 13 November 2001 / Accepted: 6 March 2001     

The Influence of Osteoporotic Fractures on Health-Related Quality of Life in Community-Dwelling Men and Women across Canada

Health-related quality of life (HRQL) was examined in relation to prevalent fractures in 4816 community-dwelling Canadian men and women 50 years and older participating in the Canadian Multicentre Osteoporosis Study (CaMos). Fractures were of three categories: clinically recognized main fractures, subclinical vertebral fractures and fractures at other sites. Main fractures were divided and analyzed at the hip, spine, wrist/forearm, pelvis and rib sites. Baseline assessments of anthropometric data, medical history, therapeutic drug use, spinal radiographs and prevalent fractures were obtained from all participants. The SF-36 instrument was used as a tool to measure HRQL. A total of 652 (13.5%) main fractures were reported. Results indicated that hip, spine, wrist/forearm, pelvis and rib fractures had occurred in 78 (1.6%), 40 (0.8%), 390 (8.1%), 19 (0.4%) and 125 (2.6%) individuals, respectively (subjects may have had more than one main fracture). Subjects who had experienced a main prevalent fracture had lower HRQL scores compared with non-fractured participants. The largest differences were observed in the physical functioning (−4.0; 95% confidence intervals (CI): −6.0, −2.0) and role-physical functioning domains (−5.8; 95% CI: −9.5, −2.2). In women, the physical functioning domain was most influenced by hip (−14.9%; 95% CI: −20.9, −9.0) and pelvis (−18.1; 95% CI: −27.6, −8.6) fractures. In men, the role-physical domain was most affected by hip fractures (−35.7; 95% CI: −60.4, −11.1). Subjects who experienced subclinical vertebral fractures had lower HRQL scores than those without prevalent fractures. In conclusion, HRQL was lower in the physical functioning domain in women and the role-physical domain in men who sustained main fractures at the hip. Subclinical vertebral fractures exerted a moderate effect on HRQL. Received: 1 November 2000 / Accepted: 23 March 2001     

Ten Year Probabilities of Osteoporotic Fractures According to BMD and Diagnostic Thresholds

The objectives of the present study were to estimate 10 year probabilities of osteoporotic fractures in men and women according to age and bone mineral density (BMD) at the femoral neck. Risks were computed from the incidence of a first hip, distal forearm, proximal humerus and symptomatic vertebral fracture from patient records in Malmo¨, Sweden and future mortality rates for each year of age from Poisson models using the Swedish patient register and statistical year book. Fracture probability was computed using the Swedish population and cut-off values for T-scores based on the NHANES III female population. We assumed that the risk of fracture increased with decreasing BMD as assessed by meta-analysis in independent studies. The 10-year probability of any fracture was determined from the proportion of individuals fracture-free from the age of 45 years. With the exception of forearm fractures in men, 10 year probabilities increased with age and T-score. In the case of hip and spine fractures, fracture probabilities for any age with low BMD were similar between men and women. The effect of age on risk independently of BMD suggests that intervention thresholds should not be at a fixed T-score but vary according to absolute probabilities. Intervention thresholds based on hip BMD T-scores are similar between sexes. Received: 14 December 2000 / Accepted: 2 July 2001     

Proximal Femur Geometry To Detect and Distinguish Femoral Neck Fractures from Trochanteric Fractures in Postmenopausal Women

Some proximal femur geometry (PFG) parameters, measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), have been reported to discriminate subjects with hip fracture. Relatively few studies have tested their ability to discriminate femoral neck fractures from those of the trochanter. To this end we performed a cross-sectional study in a population of 547 menopausal women over 69 years of age with femoral neck fractures (n= 88), trochanteric fractures (n= 93) or controls (n= 366). Hip axis length (HAL), neck–shaft angle (NSA), femoral neck diameter (FND) and femoral shaft diameter (FSD) were measured by DXA, as well as the bone mineral density (BMD) of the nonfractured hip at the femoral neck, trochanter and Ward’s triangle. In fractured subjects, BMD was lower at each measurement site. HAL was longer and NSA wider in those with femoral neck fractures. With logistic regression the age-adjusted odds ratio (OR) for a 1 standard deviation (SD) decrease in BMD was significantly associated at each measurement site with femoral neck fracture (femoral neck BMD: OR 1.9, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.4–2.5; trochanter BMD: OR 1.6, 95% CI 1.2–2.0; Ward’s triangle BMD: OR 1.7, 95% CI 1.3–2.2) and trochanteric fracture (femoral neck BMD: OR 2.6, 95% CI 1.9–3.6; trochanter BMD: OR 3.0, 95% CI 2.2–4.1; Ward’s triangle BMD: OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.4–2.3). Age-adjusted OR for 1 SD increases in NSA (OR 2.2, 95% CI 1.7–2.8) and HAL (OR 1.3, 95% CI 1.1–1.6) was significantly associated with the fracture risk only for femoral neck fracture. In the best predictive model the strongest predictors were site-matched BMD for both fracture types and NSA for neck fracture. Trochanteric BMD had the greatest area (0.78, standard error (SE) 0.02) under the receiver operating characteristic curve in trochanteric fractures, whereas for NSA (0.72, SE 0.03) this area was greatest in femoral neck fractures. These results confirm the association of BMD with proximal femur fracture and support the evidence that PFG plays a significant role only in neck fracture prediction, since NSA is the best predictive parameter among those tested. Received: 24 April 2001 / Accepted: 1 August 2001     

Multisite Quantitative Ultrasound: Colles’ Fracture Discrimination in Postmenopausal Women

Distal forearm fractures are the most common perimenopausal fracture and are generally associated with osteoporosis. The aim of this study was to evaluate the capability of speed of sound (SOS) measurements in cortical bone at the phalanx, radius, tibia and metatarsal to discriminate Colles’ fracture cases from controls in postmenopausal women and to compare this with bone mineral density (BMD) measurements obtained by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA). Sixty-three postmenpausal Colles’ fracture cases and 191 postmenopausal controls had SOS measurements of the radius, tibia, phalanx and metatarsal using a semi-reflection ultrasound technique and BMD measurements of the lumbar spine and proximal femur using DXA. The age-adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for fracture for the SOS measurement sites were 1.50 [95% CI 1.07–2.10] for the radius, 1.23 [0.86-1.76] for the tibia, 1.85 [1.06–3.23] for the phalanx and 1.74 [1.12–2.71] for the metatarsal site. For the BMD measurements the ORs were 1.95 [1.34–2.85] for the lumbar spine, 2.21 [1.43–3.40] for the femoral neck and 2.62 [1.69–4.08] for the total hip. The benefits of combining sites either by taking their average Z-score or by using the manufacturer’s ORI algorithm were evaluated. The two methods yielded similar results and the ORs for the combination of the radius and phalanx were 2.00 [1.21–3.33], for the radius and metatarsal 1.67 [1.05–2.67], for the phalanx and metatarsal 1.86 [1.11–3.08] and for the radius, phalanx and metatarsal 1.81 [1.07–3.06]. Combinations of DXA sites gave 2.22 [1.44–3.41] for the lumbar spine and femoral neck and 2.41 [1.57–3.70] for the lumbar spine and total hip. In conclusion, semi-reflection ultrasound measurements at the radius, phalanx or metatarsal demonstrated an ability to discriminate fracture cases from controls in postmenopausal Colles’ fracture patients, although the odds ratios were lower than with spine and femur BMD. Received: 6 July 2001 / Accepted: 11 December 2001     

Predictors of Fractures in Elderly Women

In a prospective study of 348 apparently healthy women, aged 70 years and over (mean 80.3 years), we examined bone mineral density (BMD), biochemical markers of bone metabolism, and some easily measurable predictors in relation to hip and osteoporotic fractures. In addition, we constructed risk profiles for hip and osteoporotic fractures. At baseline, BMD at both hips, using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry, body height and body weight were measured. At the same time, serum and urine samples were obtained for biochemical analysis. Serum samples were analyzed for vitamin D metabolites, sex hormone binding globulin, serum intact parathyroid hormone, osteocalcin, alkaline phosphatase, phosphate, albumin, calcium and creatinine. In 2 h fasting urine, hydroxyproline, type I collagen crosslinked N-telopeptide (NTx) and calcium excretion were measured. Furthermore, easily measurable predictors, such as previous fracture, body mass index (BMI) and mobility were assessed. During the follow-up period (mean duration 5.0 years), hip and any osteoporotic fracture (wrist, humerus or hip fracture) occurred in 16 and 33 participants, respectively. Data were analyzed using Cox regression analysis. BMD of the trochanter (per 1 SD decrease) and previous fracture were most strongly associated with hip fractures (adjusted relative risk (RR) = 3.0, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.4–6.6; RR = 4.2, 95% CI: 1.5–11.6, respectively) and osteoporotic fractures (RR = 1.8, 95% CI: 1.1–2.8; RR = 2.9, 95% CI: 1.5–5.7, respectively). Previous fracture, BMI and mobility were identified as easily measurable predictors for hip fractures, whereas previous fracture, use of loop diuretics and age were predictors for osteoporotic fractures in the risk profile model. The risk of fractures can be predicted with three easily measurable predictors. This study confirms the importance of previous fracture as a predictor for hip fractures and other fractures. It also shows that the use of loop diuretics is a predictor for osteoporotic fractures. Received: 28 January 1999 / Accepted: 29 June 1999     

Treatment of Painful Osteoporotic Vertebral Fractures with Percutaneous Vertebroplasty or Kyphoplasty

Vertebral fracture is the most common complication of osteoporosis. It results in significant mortality and morbidity, including prolonged and intractable pain in a minority of patients. Vertebroplasty and kyphoplasty, procedures that involve percutaneous injection of bone cement into a collapsed vertebra, have recently been introduced for treatment of osteoporotic patients who have prolonged pain (several weeks or longer) following vertebral fracture. To determine the details of the procedures and to gather information on their safety and efficacy, we performed a MEDLINE search using the terms “vertebroplasty” and “kyphoplasty.” We reviewed reports of these procedures in patients with osteoporosis. We supplemented the articles found with other papers known to the authors and with presentations at national meetings. Randomized trials of vertebroplasty and kyphoplasty have not been reported. Case reports suggest that these procedures are associated with pain relief in 67% to 100% of cases. Short-term complications, mainly the result of extravasation of cement, include increased pain and damage from heat or pressure to the spinal cord or nerve roots. Proper patient selection and good technique should minimize complications, but rarely, decompressive surgery is needed. Long-term benefits have not yet been shown, but potentially include prevention of recurrent pain at the treated level(s) with both procedures, and, with kyphoplasty, reversal of height loss and spinal deformity, an improved level of function, and avoidance of chronic pain and restriction of internal organs. Possible long-term complications, again not fully evaluated, include local acceleration of bone resorption caused by the treatment itself or by foreign-body reaction at the cement–bone interface, and increased risk of fracture in treated or adjacent vertebrae through changes in mechanical forces. Controlled trials are needed to determine both short-term and long-term safety and efficacy of vertebroplasty and kyphoplasty. Both procedures may be useful for osteoporotic patients who have prolonged pain following acute vertebral fracture. Until there is conclusive evidence for efficacy and long-term safety, these procedures should be done only in carefully selected patients, only by experienced operators with appropriate high-quality imaging equipment, and ideally at centers that are participating in controlled trials. Received: 26 January 2001 / Accepted: 21 February 2001     

Reduced Pulmonary Function in Patients with Spinal Osteoporotic Fractures

Vertebral deformation in spinal osteoporosis results in spinal and thoracic deformation, causing pain, disability and an overall decrease in quality of life. We sought to determine whether thoracic spinal deformation may lead to impaired pulmonary function. We studied expiratory relaxed vital capacity (VC) and forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) in 34 patients with spinal osteoporotic fractures and 51 patients with chronic low back pain (CLBP) due to reasons other than osteoporosis. Measurements of pulmonary function tests were calculated as a percentage of the normal range adjusting for age, sex, and height using the equations for normal values of the EKGS (Europ?ische Gesellschaft für Kohle und Stahl). Severity of osteoporosis was determined by calculation of the spine deformity index (SDI-total and SDI-anterior) on lateral radiographs of the spine and clinical measures of body stature (height reduction, distance from lowest ribs to iliac crest and distance from the occiput to the wall). Patients with osteoporosis had a lower vital capacity (%VC of the reference value) than patients with CLBP. The differences were more prominent (p<0.05) when the previous body height, at age 25 years, was used as reference for calculation of VC (mean ± SD: 93.6%± 15.3% in patients with osteoporosis v 105.6%± 15.1% in patients with CLBP). FEV1 was significantly (p<0.05) lower in patients with osteoporosis when previous body height was considered, in comparison with patients with CLBP (mean ± SD: 85.0%± 14.2% in patients with osteoporosis v 92.4%± 13.6% in patients with CLBP). In patients with osteoporosis VC (standardized on previous body height) was significantly negatively correlated with SDI-anterior (r=–0.4, p<0.03). Furthermore, VC standardized on previous body height showed a weak but significant negative correlation with some clinical measures of osteoporosis (height reduction vs %VC: r=–0.34, p<0.05; distance from the lowest ribs to iliac crest vs %VC: r= 0.35, p<0.04). In conclusion, we found that pulmonary function is significantly diminished in patients with spinal osteoporotic fractures as compared with CLBP patients without evidence of manifest osteoporosis. Reduction of pulmonary function is correlated significantly with clinical and radiological measures of severity of spinal deformation due to osteoporotic fractures. Received: 17 March 1997 / Accepted: 21 October 1997     

An Assessment Tool for Predicting Fracture Risk in Postmenopausal Women

Due to the magnitude of the morbidity and mortality associated with untreated osteoporosis, it is essential that high-risk individuals be identified so that they can receive appropriate evaluation and treatment. The objective of this investigation was to develop a simple clinical assessment tool based on a small number of risk factors that could be used by women or their clinicians to assess their risk of fractures. Using data from the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (SOF), a total of 7782 women age 65 years and older with bone mineral density (BMD) measurements and baseline risk factors were included in the analysis. A model with and without BMD T-scores was developed by identifying variables that could be easily assessed in either clinical practice or by self-administration. The assessment tool, called the FRACTURE Index, is comprised of a set of seven variables that include age, BMD T-score, fracture after age 50 years, maternal hip fracture after age 50, weight less than or equal to 125 pounds (57 kg), smoking status, and use of arms to stand up from a chair. The FRACTURE Index was shown to be predictive of hip fracture, as well as vertebral and nonvertebral fractures. In addition, this index was validated using the EPIDOS fracture study. The FRACTURE Index can be used either with or without BMD testing by older postmenopausal women or their clinicians to assess the 5-year risk of hip and other osteoporotic fractures, and could be useful in helping to determine the need for further evaluation and treatment of these women. Received: 7 November 2000 / Accepted: 23 May 2001     

Digital X-ray Radiogrammetry Predicts Hip,Wrist and Vertebral Fracture Risk in Elderly Women: A Prospective Analysis from the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures

Digital X-ray radiogrammetry (DXR) is a technique that uses automated image analysis of standard hand radiographs to estimate bone mineral density (DXR-BMD). Previous studies have shown that DXR-BMD measurements have high precision, are strongly correlated with forearm BMD and are lower in individuals with prevalent fractures. To determine whether DXR-BMD measurements predict wrist, hip and vertebral fracture risk we conducted a case–cohort study within a prospective study of 9704 community-dwelling elderly women (the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures). We compared DXR-BMD, and BMD of the radius (proximal and distal), calcaneus, femoral neck and posteroanterior lumbar spine in women who subsequently suffered a wrist (n= 192), hip (n= 195), or vertebral fracture (n= 193) with randomly selected controls from the same cohort (n= 392–398). DXR-BMD was estimated from hand radiographs acquired at the baseline visit. The radiographs were digitized and the Pronosco X-posure System was used to compute DXR-BMD from the second through fourth metacarpals. Wrist fractures were confirmed by radiographic reports and hip fractures were confirmed by radiographs. Vertebral fractures were defined using morphometric analysis of lateral spine radiographs acquired at baseline and an average of 3.7 years later. Age-adjusted odds ratio (OR, vertebral fracture) or relative hazard (RH, wrist and hip fracture) for a 1 SD decrease in BMD were computed. All BMD measurements were similar for prediction of wrist (RH = 1.5–2.1) and vertebral fracture (OR = 1.8–2.5). Femoral neck BMD best predicted hip fracture (RH = 3.0), while the relative hazards for all other BMD measurements were similar (RH = 1.5–1.9). These prospective data indicate that DXR-BMD performs as well as other peripheral BMD measurements for prediction of wrist, hip and vertebral fractures. Therefore, DXR-BMD may be useful for prediction of fracture risk in clinical settings where hip BMD is not available. Received: 27 April 2001 / Accepted: 10 October 2001     

Lifetime Risk of Hip Fractures is Underestimated

Estimates of lifetime risk of osteoporotic fracture have assumed that mortality rates do not change. Since mortality in the elderly is decreasing in all regions of the world we assessed the effect of this on lifetime risks for hip fracture using Sweden as a reference country. Lifetime risks of hip fracture at the age of 50 years were 4.6% and 13.9% in men and women respectively, assuming all survive to current average life expectancy. Estimates increased to 8.1% and 19.5% when based on present mortality and to 11.1% and 22.7% respectively based on predicted mortality. We conclude that lifetime risks of hip fracture have been considerably underestimated. Received: 15 September 1997 / Revised: 17 March 1998