Hepatitis B immunization: cost calculation in a community-based study in India.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: In India, approximately 65% of mothers deliver at home, and a community-based study evaluating the cost of vaccinating newborns with the first dose of hepatitis B vaccine within 48 hours has not been undertaken previously. This policy planning study was done to evaluate the costs of such immunization in India. METHODS: All mothers delivering in the study area (population 65,000) over a 1-year period were tested for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg; ELISA), and babies of positive mothers were vaccinated starting at birth. The cost of such selective vaccination was calculated. The cost of nursing time required for universal immunization was calculated from the data on nursing time required for vaccination in the selective vaccination program. The national cost of universal immunization without testing was calculated as well as cost-benefit and cost-utility in terms of cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) saved. Sensitivity testing considering economies of scale was also factored in. RESULTS: 1100 mothers delivered during the study period. 252 were primiparous. Nationwide universal vaccination would cost Rs 48,000 per QALY saved, which was double the per capita GNP of the country; discounted at 3% the cost was Rs 260,000. CONCLUSIONS: Universal immunization vaccination with hepatitis B vaccine is not cost-beneficial in India, since cost of every life-year gained with it will exceed India's per capita GNP.     

Would universal antenatal screening for HIV infection be cost-effective in a setting of very low prevalence? Modelling the data for Australia

BACKGROUND: The economics of universal antenatal human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) screening should be explored if mother-to-child transmission of HIV occurs, the health-service infrastructure for universal screening exists, and optimal risk-reducing treatments can be supplied. METHODS: We evaluated a hypothetical cohort of the antenatal population of Australia during 2001-2002, to examine whether universal antenatal HIV screening is cost-effective in this setting. A quasi-societal perspective was adopted, secondary data sources were used, and sensitivity analyses were undertaken. Costs and benefits incurred in the future were discounted to their present value. RESULTS: The intervention would be cost-effective if the prevalence of undiagnosed HIV in the currently unscreened Australian antenatal population was >or=0.004372%. We predict 6.95 new diagnoses of HIV, 1.73 infections avoided, and 46.97 discounted-life-years gained. Applying favorable and unfavorable values for key variables suggests that the prevalence at which the intervention would be cost-effective is 0.0016%-0.0106%. CONCLUSIONS: Universal antenatal HIV screening would be cost-effective at a very low prevalence and would generate net benefits under many scenarios; accurate statistics on the true prevalence of HIV in the currently unscreened antenatal population are required.     

Cost effectiveness of expanded antenatal HIV testing in London

BACKGROUND: Recently the Department of Health announced the introduction in England of voluntary universal HIV screening in early pregnancy to prevent vertical transmission. New data have shown the importance of HIV infection in infants born to mothers who were HIV-negative in early pregnancy and who acquired HIV later in pregnancy or during lactation. This requires consideration of repeat testing in late pregnancy and testing of partners of pregnant women (expanded antenatal HIV testing). OBJECTIVE: To estimate cost effectiveness of expanded antenatal HIV testing in London (England) within the framework of universal voluntary HIV screening in early pregnancy. DESIGN: Incremental cost-effectiveness analysis. METHODS: Cost estimates of service provision for HIV-positive children and adults by stage of HIV infection were combined with estimates of health benefits for infants and parents and with costs of counselling and testing (testing costs). In a pharmacoeconomic model cost effectiveness was estimated for expanded antenatal HIV testing in London for universal and selective strategies. RESULTS: Testing costs in the plausible range of pounds sterling 4 to pounds sterling 40 translate into favourable incremental cost-effectiveness estimates for expanded antenatal HIV testing in London which is already at low numbers of vertical transmissions averted per 100000 pregnant women who test HIV-negative in early pregnancy. Favourable cost effectiveness for universal expanded testing would require testing costs in the lower range, whereas selective expanded testing may produce favourable cost effectiveness at testing costs close to pounds sterling 40. CONCLUSION: Based on pharmaco-economic considerations, the authors believe that implementation of expanded HIV testing in London should be considered.     

Costs and benefits to the mother of antenatal HIV testing: estimates from simulation modelling.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the health service costs and benefits for the woman of an earlier HIV diagnosis as a result of antenatal HIV testing. DESIGN: A model of maternal disease progression was developed based on the rate of decline in CD4 cell counts and applied to two matched simulated cohorts of women with identical initial CD4 cell levels and decline rates but whose HIV diagnosis occurred at different times as a result of antenatal HIV testing. UK data on CD4 cell count at HIV diagnosis and annual health service costs of care excluding antiretroviral therapy (ART) incurred at defined states of CD4 cell count were taken from published UK data. Costs of triple ART were added and effectiveness modelled by retarding the rate of CD4 cell count decline. Discounting costs at 6% and life-years at 2% per year, the additional costs per life-year gained by screening were calculated. Uncertainty was explored using sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: Costs per life-year gained by antenatal diagnosis of women were pound sterling 51258 ($76887) assuming untested women were diagnosed a median of 20.4 months later than tested women, ART was initiated at a CD4 cell count of 350x10(6) cells/l and ART efficacy retarded decline in CD4 cell counts by 40% for life. Sensitivity analyses showed results were most sensitive to the assumed efficacy of lifetime ART and time assumed to HIV diagnosis for women not tested in pregnancy. CONCLUSION: This model provides a way of estimating the additional costs and benefits of future care for the woman resulting from an earlier HIV diagnosis through antenatal testing. These should be included with the paediatric costs averted and life-years gained from interventions to reduce mother-to-child transmission in order to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of antenatal screening in different populations and settings.     

Cost-effectiveness of screening for anal squamous intraepithelial lesions and anal cancer in human immunodeficiency virus-negative homosexual and bisexual men

PURPOSE: Homosexual and bisexual men are at an increased risk for human papillomavirus-induced squamous intraepithelial lesions and cancer of the anus. Our objective was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of screening for anal squamous intraepithelial lesions in these high-risk patients. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: A Markov model was developed to evaluate alternative screening strategies using anal cytology in a hypothetical cohort of homosexual and bisexual men. Data were obtained from prospective cohort studies, national databases, Medicare reimbursement rates, and the published literature. Model outcomes included life expectancy, quality-adjusted life expectancy, total lifetime costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. RESULTS: The undiscounted life expectancy gain associated with anal cytology screening every 3 years was 5.5 months. Compared with no screening, screening every 3 years increased the discounted quality-adjusted life expectancy by 1.8 months and cost $7,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Screening every 2 years cost $15,100 per QALY gained compared with screening every 3 years. Annual screening provided incremental benefits of less than 0.5 quality-adjusted months and had an incremental cost of $34,800 per QALY gained. Screening every 6 months provided little additional benefit (i.e, 5 days) over that of annual screening and had an incremental cost of $143,500 per QALY gained. CONCLUSION: In homosexual and bisexual men, screening every 2 or 3 years for anal squamous intraepithelial lesions with anal cytology would provide life-expectancy benefits comparable with other accepted preventive health measures, and would be cost-effective.     

Short-and long-term cost-effectiveness analysis of adding clopidogrel to standard therapy in acute coronary syndrome patients in Spain

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: The CURE study showed that adding clopidogrel to standard therapy with acetylsalicylic acid reduces the risk of cardiovascular events (i.e., stroke, myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death) in patients with acute coronary syndrome but without ST-segment elevation. The objective of this study was to carry out short- and long-term cost-effectiveness analyses of administering clopidogrel in addition to standard therapy during the first year of treatment. PATIENTS AND METHOD: For the short-term analysis, clinical data and information on health resource utilization were taken from the CURE study. For the long-term analysis, an adaptation of an internationally used Markov model involving six health states was employed. Clinical data were obtained from clinical trials and epidemiological studies. Information on resource use was obtained from two Spanish registries of patients with acute coronary syndrome, a literature review, and consultations with an expert panel. Results are expressed in terms of incremental cost per event avoided or per life-year gained. RESULTS: In the short-term analysis, the incremental cost per event avoided of adding clopidogrel to standard therapy was ;17 190. In the long-term analysis, the incremental cost per life-year gained was ;8132, which is below the Spanish cost-effectiveness threshold of ;30 000 per life-year gained. CONCLUSIONS: Adding clopidogrel to standard therapy during the first year of treatment is cost-effective in both the short and long term.     

Potential effect of cyclooxygenase-2-specific inhibitors on the prevention of colorectal cancer: a cost-effectiveness analysis

PURPOSE: To estimate the potential cost-effectiveness of colorectal cancer chemoprevention with cyclooxygenase-2-specific inhibitors (COX-2 inhibitors). METHODS: Using a decision analytic Markov model, we estimated the discounted cost per life-year saved for three strategies: a COX-2 inhibitor alone; as an adjunct to colonoscopy every 10 years in persons at average risk of colorectal cancer; and as an adjunct to colonoscopy every 5 years in persons with first-degree relatives who had colorectal cancer. RESULTS: In the base case, the incremental cost per life-year saved with a COX-2 inhibitor alone compared with no screening was 233,300 dollars in persons at average risk of colorectal cancer and 56,700 dollars in persons with 2 first-degree relatives who had the disease. Chemoprevention was both less effective and more costly than screening. The incremental cost per life-year saved with a COX-2 inhibitor as an adjunct to screening was 823,800 dollars in persons at average risk and 404,700 dollars in persons with 2 first-degree relatives who had colorectal cancer. Combining a COX-2 inhibitor with less frequent screening was not as cost-effective as screening at currently recommended intervals. Cost-effectiveness estimates were highly sensitive to the cost of COX-2 inhibitors and their effect on the risk of cancer. CONCLUSION: Chemoprevention of colorectal cancer with COX-2 inhibitors is likely to incur substantially higher costs per life-year saved than are currently recommended screening strategies. COX-2 inhibitor use as an adjunct to screening may increase life expectancy, although at prohibitive costs, and is unlikely to result in less frequent screening.     

Cost-effectiveness of primary prevention of cardiovascular disease with atorvastatin in type 2 diabetes: results from the Collaborative Atorvastatin Diabetes Study (CARDS)

Aims/hypothesis We estimated the cost-effectiveness of atorvastatin treatment in the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease in patients with type 2 diabetes using data from the Collaborative Atorvastatin Diabetes Study (CARDS). Subjects and methods A total of 2,838 patients, who were aged 40 to 75 years and had type 2 diabetes without a documented history of cardiovascular disease and without elevated LDL-cholesterol, were recruited from 32 centres in the UK and Ireland and randomly allocated to atorvastatin 10 mg daily (n = 1,428) or placebo (n = 1,410). These subjects were followed-up for a median period of 3.9 years. Direct treatment costs and effectiveness were analysed to provide estimates of cost per endpoint-free year over the trial period for alternative definitions of endpoint, and of cost per life-year gained and cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained over a patient’s lifetime. Results Over the trial period, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was estimated to be ￡7,608 per year free of any CARDS primary endpoint; the ICER was calculated to be ￡4,896 per year free of any cardiovascular endpoint and ￡4,120 per year free of any study endpoint. Over lifetime, the incremental cost per life-year gained was ￡5,107 and the cost per QALY was ￡6,471 (costs and benefits both discounted at 3.5%). Conclusions/interpretation Primary prevention of cardiovascular disease with atorvastatin is a cost-effective intervention in patients with type 2 diabetes, with the ICER for this intervention falling within the current acceptance threshold (￡20,000 per QALY) specified by the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE). Electronic supplementary material Supplementary material is available in the online version of this article at and is accessible to authorised users.     

Lifetime implications and cost-effectiveness of using finasteride to prevent prostate cancer

PURPOSE: We estimate the lifetime implications of daily treatment with finasteride following the results of the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial (PCPT). In this trial, prostate cancer prevalence was reduced by 25%; however, an increase in the number of high-grade tumors among the treatment group necessitates the long-term projection of the likely benefits and costs. METHODS: We use a Markov decision analysis model with data from the trial, the SEER program, and published literature. The model measures the cost per life-year and cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained for a cohort of men age 55 years who initiate preventive treatment with finasteride. RESULTS: Finasteride is associated with a gain of 6 life-years per 1000 men treated at an incremental cost of 1660000 dollars per life-year gained. The quality-adjusted analysis results in 46 QALYs gained per 1000 men treated at an incremental cost of 200000 dollars per QALY gained, due primarily to the favorable effects of finasteride on benign prostatic hyperplasia. Under the assumption that the increase in high-grade tumors observed among finasteride treated men is a pathologic artifact, the incremental costs are 290000 dollars per life-year gained and 130000 dollars per QALY gained. CONCLUSIONS: The cost burden associated with finasteride is substantial, while its survival benefit is small and only realized many years after initiating treatment. To achieve an incremental cost below 100000 dollars per QALY gained, the price of finasteride must be reduced by 50% from its current average wholesale price and finasteride must be shown to prevent high-grade as well as low-grade disease.     

Cost-effectiveness analysis of population-based screening of hepatocellular carcinoma: Comparing ultrasonography with two-stage screening

AIM: To assess the cost-effectiveness of two populationbased hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC) screening programs, two-stage biomarker-ultrasound method and mass screening using abdominal ultrasonography(AUS).METHODS: In this study, we applied a Markov decision model with a societal perspective and a lifetime horizon for the general population-based cohorts in an area with high HCC incidence, such as Taiwan. The accuracy of biomarkers and ultrasonography was estimated from published meta-analyses. The costs of surveillance, diagnosis, and treatment were based on a combination of published literature, Medicare payments, and medical expenditure at the National Taiwan University Hospital. The main outcome measure was cost per lifeyear gained with a 3% annual discount rate. RESULTS: The results show that the mass screening using AUS was associated with an incremental costeffectiveness ratio of USD39825 per life-year gained, whereas two-stage screening was associated with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of USD49733 per life-year gained, as compared with no screening. Screening programs with an initial screening age of 50 years old and biennial screening interval were the most cost-effective. These findings were sensitive to the costs of screening tools and the specificity of biomarker screening.CONCLUSION: Mass screening using AUS is more cost effective than two-stage biomarker-ultrasound screening. The most optimal strategy is an initial screening age at 50 years old with a 2-year inter-screening interval.     

Towards an improved investment approach for an effective response to HIV/AIDS

Substantial changes are needed to achieve a more targeted and strategic approach to investment in the response to the HIV/AIDS epidemic that will yield long-term dividends. Until now, advocacy for resources has been done on the basis of a commodity approach that encouraged scaling up of numerous strategies in parallel, irrespective of their relative effects. We propose a strategic investment framework that is intended to support better management of national and international HIV/AIDS responses than exists with the present system. Our framework incorporates major efficiency gains through community mobilisation, synergies between programme elements, and benefits of the extension of antiretroviral therapy for prevention of HIV transmission. It proposes three categories of investment, consisting of six basic programmatic activities, interventions that create an enabling environment to achieve maximum effectiveness, and programmatic efforts in other health and development sectors related to HIV/AIDS. The yearly cost of achievement of universal access to HIV prevention, treatment, care, and support by 2015 is estimated at no less than US$22 billion. Implementation of the new investment framework would avert 12·2 million new HIV infections and 7·4 million deaths from AIDS between 2011 and 2020 compared with continuation of present approaches, and result in 29·4 million life-years gained. The framework is cost effective at $1060 per life-year gained, and the additional investment proposed would be largely offset from savings in treatment costs alone.     

Fecal DNA testing compared with conventional colorectal cancer screening methods: a decision analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Fecal DNA testing is an emerging tool to detect colorectal cancer (CRC). Our aims were to estimate the clinical and economic consequences of fecal DNA testing vs. conventional CRC screening. METHODS: Using a Markov model, we estimated CRC incidence, CRC mortality, and discounted cost/life-year gained for screening by fecal DNA testing (F-DNA), fecal occult blood testing (FOBT) and/or sigmoidoscopy, or colonoscopy (COLO) in persons at average CRC risk from age 50 to 80 years. RESULTS: Compared with no screening, F-DNA at a screening interval of 5 years decreased CRC incidence by 35% and CRC mortality by 54% and gained 4560 life-years per 100,000 persons at USD $47,700/life-year gained in the base case. However, F-DNA gained fewer life-years and was more costly than conventional screening. The average number of colonoscopies per person was 3.8 with COLO and 0.8 with F-DNA. In most 1-way sensitivity analyses and Monte Carlo simulation iterations, F-DNA remained reasonably cost-effective compared with no screening, but COLO and FOBT dominated F-DNA. Assuming fecal DNA testing sensitivities of 65% for CRC and 40% for large polyp, and 95% specificity, a screening interval of 2 years and a test cost of USD $195 would be required to make F-DNA comparable with COLO. CONCLUSIONS: Fecal DNA testing every 5 years appears effective and cost-effective compared with no screening, but inferior to other strategies such as FOBT and COLO. Fecal DNA testing could decrease the national CRC burden if it could improve adherence with screening, particularly where the capacity to perform screening colonoscopy is limited.     

Cost-effectiveness of intense insulin treatment after acute myocardial infarction in patients with diabetes mellitus; results from the DIGAMI study.

AIMS: The aim of the present analysis was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of intense insulin treatment after acute myocardial infarction in patients with diabetes mellitus based on the results of the Diabetes Mellitus Insulin Glucose Infusion in Acute Myocardial Infarction (DIGAMI) study. In this study 620 patients with diabetes mellitus and acute myocardial infarction were randomized to intense insulin treatment (insulin group) or to serve as controls given standard antidiabetic therapy. Mortality was significantly reduced in the insulin group. METHODS AND RESULTS: The cost-effectiveness ratio was estimated as the incremental cost per life-year and quality-adjusted life-year gained of intense insulin treatment. The incremental costs were estimated as the difference in health care costs and indirect costs (labour production) during the first year of follow-up plus the future costs of increased survival. The life-years gained were based on the 5-year long-term follow-up experience and an assumed annual 20% mortality risk for all patients thereafter. The health care costs were Euro 975 higher in the insulin group during the first year of follow-up, mainly due to a longer period of initial hospitalization related to the institution of multidose insulin. The estimated discounted gain in life-years of the insulin treatment was 0.94 years without and 0.66 with quality of life adjustment, respectively. The cost per life-year gained by intense insulin treatment was Euro 16 900 and the cost per quality-adjusted life-year gained was Euro 24 100. Thus the estimated cost-effectiveness ratios were relatively low. CONCLUSION: The results of the DIGAMI study indicate that intense insulin treatment after an acute myocardial infarction in patients with diabetes mellitus has an acceptable level of cost-effectiveness.     

Economic evaluation of sorafenib in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma

Background and Aim: A double‐blind, randomized phase III trial of sorafenib in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma demonstrated that sorafenib significantly prolonged overall survival compared to placebo (median overall survival = 10.7 months vs 7.9 months, P < 0.001). Sorafenib is the first and only systemic agent demonstrating survival benefit in these patients. The aim of this study was to assess the cost‐effectiveness of sorafenib versus best supportive care in the treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma in the USA. Methods: A Markov model was developed following time‐to‐progression and survival using phase III trial data. Health effects are expressed as life‐years gained. Resource utilization included drugs, physician visits, laboratory tests, scans, and hospitalizations. Unit costs, expressed in 2007 $US, came from diagnosis‐related groupings, fee schedules, and the Red Book. Costs and effects were evaluated over a patient's lifetime and discounted at 3%. Results: Results are presented as incremental cost/life‐year gained. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted. Life‐years gained were increased for sorafenib compared to best supportive care (mean ± standard deviation: 1.58 ± 0.17 vs 1.05 ± 0.10 life‐years gained/sorafenib patient and best supportive care, respectively). Lifetime total costs were $US40 639 ± $US3052 for sorafenib and $US7 804 ± $US1349 for best supportive care. The incremental cost‐effectiveness ratio was $US62 473/life‐year gained. Conclusions: The economic evaluation indicates that sorafenib is cost‐effective compared to best supportive care, with a cost‐effectiveness ratio within the established threshold that US society is willing to pay (i.e. $US50 000–$US100 000) and significantly lower than alternative thresholds suggested in recent years ($US183 000–$US264 000/life‐year gained, or $US300 000/quality‐adjusted life‐year) in oncology.     

Cost-effectiveness of nucleic acid test screening of volunteer blood donations for hepatitis B, hepatitis C and human immunodeficiency virus in the United States

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to examine the cost-effectiveness of adding nucleic acid testing (NAT) to serological (antibody and antigen) screening protocols for donated blood in the United States (US) with the purpose of reducing the risks of transfusion-transmission of hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). MATERIALS AND METHODS: The costs, health consequences and cost-effectiveness of adding either minipool or individual-donor NAT to serological screening (SS) testing were estimated using a decision-analysis model. RESULTS: With the given modelling assumptions, adding minipool NAT would avoid an estimated 37, 128 and eight cases of HBV, HCV and HIV, respectively, and save approximately 53 additional years of life and 102 additional quality adjusted life years (QALYs) compared with SS, at a net cost of $154 million. SS + minipool NAT - p24 compared with SS alone resulted in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $1.5 million per QALY gained (range in sensitivity analysis $1.0-2.1 million per QALY gained) in this US analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The cost effectiveness of adding NAT screening is outside the typical range for most healthcare interventions, but not for established blood safety measures.     

A computer simulation model for cost-effectiveness analysis of mass screening for Type 2 diabetes mellitus

The cost-effectiveness analysis of mass screening for Type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) was performed to elucidate whether, who and how often it should be conducted in Taiwan. A series of Markov process was developed to model the disease natural history of Type 2 DM. A hypothetical cohort with 30,000 residents aged over 30 years in Taiwan was randomly assigned to three arms of screening regimes, biennial, five-yearly and the control group. A Monte Carlo computer simulation was performed to calculate effectiveness of two screening regimes compared with the control group. Direct costs and utilities were incorporated to each corresponding state to calculate the incremental costs per life-years gained and per quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) for biennial and five-yearly screening regimes. The incremental costs for biennial screening regime were estimated at $26,750 per life-year gained, and $17,833 per QALY. The corresponding figures for five-yearly screening regime were $10,531 per life-year gained and $17,113 per QALY. The incremental costs per life-year gained and per QALY increase with age, ranging from $17,238 for aged 30-39 years to $54,700 for aged over 70 years and from $9193 to 36,467, respectively. In conclusion, mass screening for Type 2 DM, especially in younger subjects, with 5-year inter-screening interval is cost-effective in Taiwan.     

Selective versus universal antenatal HIV testing: epidemiological and implementational factors in policy choice

OBJECTIVE: To develop an epidemiological basis for economic analyses of selective and universal antenatal screening strategies, and to apply it to the UK. METHODS: The prevalence of higher-risk women and the prevalence of undiagnosed infection within groups of high-risk and low-risk women was estimated from surveillance and survey data. The numbers of women tested and the numbers of infected women who would be identified by universal and selective strategies were then calculated under a range of assumptions about the identification of higher-risk women and acceptance of testing. RESULTS: In higher-risk women estimated prevalence of undiagnosed infection was between 0.06% and 2.8%, comparing well with independent estimates. In low-risk women, estimates ranged from 0.014% in London to 0.002% in the rest of the UK. If uptake among the high-risk women was the same in selective and universal strategies, universal testing would entail testing between 7100 (London) and 50000 (rest of England) additional women to detect an additional case. However, if selective screening identified only 60% of those at high risk and achieved only 60% acceptance compared with a universal programme, then universal screening would require only 1150 additional women to identify one additional case in London, compared to 6470 in Scotland and 13140 in the rest of the UK. CONCLUSIONS: Overall prevalence does not form an adequate basis for determining screening strategy. Instead, universal screening can be justified either because the prevalence of HIV in the low-risk group is sufficiently high, or because it achieves sufficiently higher uptake relative to selective screening among those at higher risk.     

The cost-effectiveness of expanded HIV counselling and testing in primary care settings: a first look

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of approaches to expanded HIV counselling and testing. DESIGN: A cost-effectiveness analysis. SETTING: Primary care practices in the USA. PARTICIPANTS: New patient visits. INTERVENTIONS: Two approaches were examined: (i) requesting all patients to complete an HIV-risk screening instrument, with counselling as well as testing offered only to patients disclosing risk factors ('risk histories' option); and (ii) routine offering of voluntary testing to all patients, with consent obtained but no pre-test counselling ('routine testing'). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was the cost per infection identified. We also examined: (i) the costs and numbers of infections averted if individuals change their risk behaviours; and (ii) the additional years of life and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gained as a result of earlier HIV testing and treatment for infected individuals. RESULTS: Routine testing is the most cost-effective approach to identifying infected individuals at an incremental cost of US$4200 per infection identified. Although using risk histories is more costly and less effective than routine testing, it becomes similarly cost-effective using plausible ranges for sensitivity analyses. If at least 10% of HIV-positive individuals change their behavior, both routine testing and using risk histories would save money. If testing identifies infected individuals one year earlier than they otherwise would have been diagnosed, routine testing would cost US$22000 per QALY gained. CONCLUSION: Routine testing is the most cost-effective approach to identifying new HIV infections. However, using risk histories may be similarly cost-effective under various assumptions. Both routine testing and using risk histories are more cost-effective than current practices.     

Routine human immunodeficiency virus testing: an economic evaluation of current guidelines

BACKGROUND: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention guidelines recommend human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) counseling, testing, and referral for all patients in hospitals with an HIV prevalence of >or=1%. The 1% screening threshold has not been critically examined since HIV became effectively treatable in 1995. Our objective was to evaluate the clinical effect and cost-effectiveness of current guidelines and of alternate HIV prevalence thresholds. METHODS: We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis using a computer simulation model of HIV screening and disease as applied to inpatients in U.S. hospitals. RESULTS: At an undiagnosed inpatient HIV prevalence of 1% and an overall participation rate of 33%, HIV screening increased mean quality-adjusted life expectancy by 6.13 years per 1000 inpatients, with a cost-effectiveness ratio of 35,400 dollars per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. Expansion of screening to settings with a prevalence as low as 0.1% increased the ratio to 64,500 dollars per QALY gained. Increasing counseling and testing costs from 53 dollars to 103 dollars per person still yielded a cost-effectiveness ratio below 100,000 dollars per QALY gained at a prevalence of undiagnosed infection of 0.1%. CONCLUSION: Routine inpatient HIV screening programs are not only cost-effective but would likely remain so at a prevalence of undiagnosed HIV infection 10 times lower than recommended thresholds. The current HIV counseling, testing, and referral guidelines should now be implemented nationwide as a way of linking infected patients to life-sustaining care.     

Cost effectiveness of screening perimenopausal white women for osteoporosis: bone densitometry and hormone replacement therapy

Bone mass measurement at menopause to identify and selectively prescribe hormone replacement therapy for women at high risk for fractures has seen limited clinical use. We used epidemiologic, clinical, and economic data in a decision-analytic model to compare the following clinical strategies for perimenopausal, asymptomatic, white women with intact uteri: no intervention; bone mineral density measurement followed by selective, long-term (15-year) estrogen-progestin therapy in women with low bone mass; and unselective, universal hormone replacement therapy. Life expectancy and direct medical cost per patient were estimated for each strategy. Strategies for screening and treating women with perimenopausal bone mineral density less than 0.9 g/cm2 or less than 1.0 g/cm2 would cost $11,700 or $22,100, respectively, per year of additional life gained. If the cost of screening is less than $84, then resource savings from hip fractures prevented would be more than the cost of screening and treatment. Universal treatment without screening would prevent additional fatal fractures but would expose many more women to the adverse effects of hormone replacement therapy and would cost an additional $349,000 per year of life gained compared with the screening strategies. When quality of life was considered, screening was found to be cost effective over a wide range of assumptions. The choice between universal treatment and screening depends on the risks (breast cancer), perceived side effects (menstrual bleeding), and benefits (prevention of ischemic heart disease) of estrogen-progestin therapy. We conclude that screening asymptomatic, perimenopausal white women to detect low bone mass and to target hormone replacement therapy at women who are at the greatest risk for fracture is a reasonably cost-effective use of health care resources. However, cost-effective screening guidelines cannot be explicitly established until further data addressing the association between bone mass measurements in the hip and hip fracture risk are available.