Regional differences in mortality from conditions amenable to medical intervention in The Netherlands: a comparison of four time periods.

In The Netherlands, as in many other countries, important geographical variation in mortality from conditions amenable to medical intervention exists. Associations with a number of simple medical care supply characteristics (general practitioner density, hospital bed density, and percentage of regional hospital beds located in university and small hospitals) are generally weak and inconsistent, both before and after controlling for possible confounding factors. We explored one of the possible reasons for this lack of consistency, which is the time dependency of the relationship between medical care supply and avoidable mortality. A comparison of associations in four time periods (1950-54, 1960-64, 1970-74 and 1980-84) shows that the percentage of variance in regional mortality levels which can be "explained" by the medical care supply variables has changed over time. Although the patterns of change differ little from what one would expect on the basis of the time of introduction of medical care innovations, the exact nature of the associations is puzzling. Apart from some expected negative associations between mortality and the presence of university hospitals, we also found a few unexpected positive associations with general practitioner density. Possible explanations for these findings are discussed, and it is concluded that further study is necessary to reveal the causes of a higher or lower mortality level for conditions considered to be amenable to medical intervention.     

Health care expenditure and mortality from amenable conditions in the European Community

This paper addresses the question whether within the European Community a higher national level of health care expenditure is associated with a larger degree of success in eliminating mortality from preventable and curable conditions. An aggregate measure of mortality from 12 amenable conditions was derived, incorporating an adjustment for the level of socio-economic development. In 1980-84, between country variation in this measure was almost 2-fold and showed surprising patterns. Rates are relatively low in Greece, The Netherlands and Denmark, and relatively high in Portugal, Italy and Germany. There was no association at all between this measure and the level of health care expenditure. These disturbing findings, which suggest substantial variation in the cost-effectiveness of different health service systems, warrant further investigation.     

Social inequalities in male mortality amenable to medical intervention in British Columbia

The objective of this study is to examine the rates of mortality among different social classes and socioeconomic groups of British Columbian males from causes of death amenable to medical intervention. We examined the rates of avoidable mortality from the causes of death published by Charlton, excluding causes of death restricted to women as well as perinatal deaths. For the purposes of our study, we determined a population at risk using 20% samples of occupational data for men from the 1981, 1986 and 1991 censuses conducted by Statistics Canada. For the analysis of mortality by social class, individuals were divided into five social class levels based on occupation using an adaptation of the UK Registrar General's Social Class Scale. In addition, three levels of socioeconomic analysis were performed using the Blishen Index classification system. Once individuals were assigned to a social class in each classification system, the death rates from each amenable cause was calculated and standardized to the total population. For almost every cause of death examined, the rate of mortality was higher in individuals of lower social and socioeconomic classes than in individuals of the upper social and socioeconomic classes. These results were consistent regardless of the social class component, education, occupation, or income was being measured. The mortality gradient was most notable in deaths due to hypertensive heart disease, tuberculosis, asthma and pneumonia and bronchitis. Due to the fact that these causes of death were observed to be consistently higher in the lower social classes, we feel that specific measures aimed at improving survival from these conditions in lower social classes could help to amend the social class disparity.     

Area variation in mortality from diseases amenable to medical intervention: the contribution of differences in morbidity

Several conditions, whose timely and appropriate therapy should decrease case fatality, have been proposed as indicators of medical care quality for the National Health Service. Mortality rates for these diseases vary widely within the UK. To evaluate the contribution of varying incidence rates to these mortality differences, routinely collected morbidity and mortality data for 1974-1978 were analysed for 98 Area Health Authorities (AHAs) in England and Wales. Although differences in morbidity (as measured by hospital discharge and disease registration rates) and socioeconomic factors account for some of the area variation in mortality, significant heterogeneity persists after these factors are taken into account. This finding suggests that morbidity and socioeconomic factors are not the only determinants of mortality variation among areas for these particular diseases. Variation in quality of medical care may account for this result, although regional diagnostic and reporting differences and variation in disease severity among areas must also be considered.     

Geographical variations in mortality due to diseases amenable to medical intervention in Europe--Commission of European Communities: atlas of avoidable deaths

The urgent need to develop measures of the outcome of health-care services has led to the collaboration of 10 countries of the European Community in the production of the European Community atlas of avoidable death (1974-1978). Seventeen disease groups were chosen for which it was considered that death within specified age groups should be either wholly or substantially avoidable when appropriate medical care is sought and provided in good time. Mortality from these causes was compared across 360 health-service administrative areas in the participating countries. For all diseases there was considerable variation in mortality both within and between the countries of the European Community and it is suggested that high levels of mortality from these causes should be viewed by health authorities as warning signals of potential failures of health-care services. Work is in progress on a further edition of the Atlas for the years 1980-1984. Changes in avoidable mortality over time could indicate which health authorities have persistent problems and which authorities are succeeding in reducing avoidable mortality.     

The contribution of medical care to changing life expectancy in Germany and Poland

This paper assesses the impact of medical care on changes in mortality in east Germany and Poland before and after the political transition, with west Germany included for comparison. Building upon Rutstein's concept of unnecessary untimely deaths, we calculated the contribution of conditions considered responsive to medical care or health policy to changes in life expectancy between birth and age 75 [e(0-75)] for the periods 1980/1983-1988 and 1991/1992-1996/1997.Temporary life expectancy, between birth and age 75, has been consistently higher in west Germany, intermediate in east Germany and lowest in Poland. Although improving in all three regions between the early 1980s and the late 1990s, the pace of change differed between countries, resulting in a temporary widening of an initial east-west gap by the late 1980s and early 1990s. In the 1980s, in east Germany, 50-60% of the improvement was attributable to declining mortality from conditions responsive to medical care (west Germany: 30-40%). A net positive effect was also observed in Poland, although counterbalanced by deterioration in ischaemic heart disease mortality.In the former communist countries, improvements attributable to medical care in the 1980s were due, largely, to declining infant mortality. In the 1990s, they benefited also adults, specifically those aged 35+ in Poland and 55+ in Germany. A persisting east-west gap in temporary life expectancy in Germany was due, largely, to higher mortality from avoidable conditions in the east, with causes responsive to health policy contributing about half, and medical care 16% (men) to 24% (women) to the differential in 1997.The findings indicate that changes in the health care system related to the political transition were associated with improvements in life expectancy in east Germany and, to a lesser extent, in Poland. Also, differences in the quality of medical care as assessed by the concept of "unnecessary untimely deaths" appear to contribute to a persisting east-west health gap. Especially in Poland and the former German Democratic Republic there remains potential for further progress that would narrow the health gap with the west.     

Health services resources and their relation to mortality from causes amenable to health care intervention: a cross-national study

Gross national product has been found to be negatively associated with age-specific mortality, and the prevalence of medical doctors positively associated with mortality in younger age groups. We studied the relationship between mortality and its determinants among people aged 64 years or less in 25 developed countries. Age-adjusted mortality rates from causes of death amenable to interventions by health services were calculated for the period 1975-8, and, likewise, rates from partly amenable causes, non-amenable causes, and violent causes of death. In regression analysis, log mortality from amenable causes was significantly negatively associated with gross domestic product (GDP) but not with the numbers of medical doctors, nurses and midwives, hospital beds, alcohol consumption, tobacco consumption, or military expenditure. It is argued that cross-sectional comparisons disguise the effects of health services on mortality.     

State intervention in medical care: types, trends and variables.

This article attempts to develop some of the basic elements for a theory of state intervention in medical care. First, a typology of state intervention is proposed based on two dimensions: the form of state control over the production of medical services and the basis for eligibility of the population. The resulting twelve types provide a means of describing national patterns of state intervention at a given point in time. Next, in order to analyse the changing patterns of state intervention in medical care over time, changes in state control and population coverage are used to construct three hypothetical 'paths' of state intervention, which may serve to depict broad historical trends in major groups of countries. In the final section, several variables are analysed according to their expected effect on the patterns of convergence and divergence in the form and degree of state intervention between countries. This cross-national comparative perspective is offered as a strategy for building a theory capable of explaining state intervention, a process that, to a large extent, informs the medical experience of today.     

Contributions of mortality changes by age group and selected causes of death to the increase in Japanese life expectancy at birth from 1950 to 2000

The purpose of this study is to analyze contributions of mortality change by age group and selected causes of death to the increase in life expectancy at birth from 1950 to 2000 in Japan, which has the longest longevity in the world. Using mortality data from Japanese vital statistics from 1950 to 2000, we analyzed contributions of mortality change by age group and selected causes of death to the increase in life expectancy at birth by the method of decomposition of changes and calculated age-adjusted death rates for selected causes of death. Gastroenteritis, tuberculosis and pneumonia largely contributed to an increase in life expectancy in childhood and in the young in the 1950s and 1960s. The largest contributing disease changed from tuberculosis and pneumonia in earlier decades to cerebrovascular diseases in the 1970s. The largest contributing age group also shifted to older age groups. Age-adjusted death rate for cerebrovascular diseases in 2000 was one fifth of the 1965 level. Cerebrovascular diseases contributed to an increase in life expectancy at birth of 2.9years in males and 3.1 years in females from 1970 to 2000. In the 1990s, the largest contributing age group, both among males and among females, was the 75–84 age group. Of the selected causes of death, heart diseases other than ischemic heart disease became the largest contributor to the increase in life expectancy at birth. Unlike cerebrovascular diseases, cancer and ischemic heart disease contributed little to change in life expectancy at birth over the past 50years. In conclusion, although mortality from ischemic heart disease has not increased since 1970 and remained low compared with levels in western countries, mortality from cerebrovascular diseases has dramatically decreased since the mid-1960s in Japan. This gave Japan the longest life expectancy at birth in the world. It is necessary to study future trends in life expectancy at birth in Japan.     

Child and adolescent mortality due to external causes: trends from 1979 to 1995

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the magnitude and trends of mortality due to external causes in specific age groups, from 0 to 19 years old in a population living in the city of Recife, Brazil, from 1979 to 1995. METHODS: Data from the Mortality Data System of the Ministry of Health and Health Department of Pernambuco State was used. The studied population, aged 0 to 19 years old, represented 41.8% of total city population in 1991. A time series exploratory ecological model was created to analyze trends in mortality coefficients due to external causes. Using simple linear regression these coefficients were assessed in specific age groups categorized by gender. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: In the time series, mortality coefficients due to external causes showed an increasing trend, in particular due to homicides among adolescents, where the coefficient increased on average 3.05 per year, yielding a relative increase of 601, 3% over the study period. In 1995, more than 90% of these homicides were perpetrated with fire weapons. These data reinforce the seriousness of this problem and the need to deal with it, taking into account the difficulties in determining the causes of violence.     

Socio-economic mortality differences in The Netherlands in 1950-1984: a regional study of cause-specific mortality

The finding that mortality differences between occupational classes in England and Wales have widened during the postwar period raises the question whether a similar development has occurred in other industrialised countries. In this paper, a comparison is made with results from a geographical study on the Netherlands. This study compares four periods between 1950 and 1984 by means of a standard regional division, a single socio-economic index, uniform cause-of-death groups and a standard regression procedure. During the postwar period, the relationship between socio-economic level and all-cause mortality has become (more) negative. This development can to a large extent be attributed to 'negative' trends for lung cancer, diabetes mellitus, ischaemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease and traffic accidents. High-level regions have fared better partly because favourable changes in national mortality trends seem to have begun first in these regions. The findings from this regional study agree to a large extent with evidence from Dutch studies at the individual level. It is concluded that socio-economic mortality differences in England and Wales and the Netherlands have probably developed similarly in various respects.     

Increasing life expectancy in Germany: quantitative contributions from changes in age- and disease-specific mortality

BACKGROUND: Between 1962 and 2002 the average life expectancy in Germany has increased from 67.1 years to 75.6 years in men and from 72.7 years to 81.3 in women. METHODS: The cumulative and annual contributions of different age- and disease-groups on life expectancy were calculated using Pollard's actuarial method of decomposing mortality rates. Mortality data were provided by the German Statistical Office. RESULTS: Considering the cumulative contribution over the period of 40 years, the largest contributions came from persons with at least 65 years of age (2.9 years in men and 4.0 years in women). Reductions in cardiovascular disease mortality had the greatest cumulative impact on life expectancy (2.7 years in men and 3.0 years in women). The contribution from reduced cancer mortality on life expectancy was substantially lower (0.6 and 0.9 years, respectively). The annual contributions of several disease-groups varied considerably over time. The positive contribution from cardiovascular diseases started only after 1970, and in men it became solid only after 1980. Regarding malignant neoplasms, the largest cumulative contribution came from stomach cancer (0.4 in both sexes). The annual analyses showed increasing contributions from reduced cancer mortality after 1990. These were strongly influenced by lung, stomach, prostate and colorectal cancer in men, and by breast, colorectal and stomach cancer in women. CONCLUSIONS: While life expectancy has increased by about 2.2 years per decade the observed variations in the age- and disease-specific contributions over time have implications for future health care planning and prevention strategies.     

Life expectancy and mortality differences between migrant groups living in Amsterdam,The Netherlands

There is an apparent contradiction between the high level of morbidity and the low level of mortality observed in certain groups of migrants living in Europe. This observation should have some consequences for health policy development and the targeting of resources in a city like Amsterdam. In this paper a number of hypotheses to explain the low mortality in migrant groups are discussed. An analysis is made of mortality in Amsterdam using data from the civil registry as to mortality according to age, sex and nationality group of the deceased. Standard demographic techniques such as the standardised mortality ratio (SMR) and life table analysis were employed. Life table analysis shows that life expectancy in Amsterdam is lowest among residents of Dutch descent (73.3 yr for males and 79.1 yr for females) and highest among those of Mediterranean origin (77.6 yr for males and 86.1 yr for females). This appears to contradict previous research based on the SMR, which showed high mortality in migrant groups. To find the cause of this contradiction, the SMR and risk ratios by age are studied. The conclusion of this paper is that on the basis of life table analysis it appears that some immigrant groups living in Amsterdam have a remarkably high life expectancy. Since the SMR is sensitive to demographic differences between groups compared, questions can be raised about previous studies using the SMR. It has been suggested that the high life expectancy in migrant groups is not really caused by good health but by 'spurious' phenomena, such as problems in mortality registration. However, in view of the available data it seems likely that some migrant groups do in fact have high life expectancy, although the morbidity in these groups can be quite high. These findings should inform health-related policy.     

The influence of chronic diseases and poor working conditions in working life expectancy across educational levels among older employees in The Netherlands

ObjectivesThis study aims to estimate the influence of chronic diseases and poor working conditions – across educational levels – on working life expectancy (WLE) and working years lost (WYL) in the Dutch workforce after age 50.MethodsInformation on demographics, chronic diseases, and working conditions from 11 800 Dutch workers aged 50–66 years participating in the Study on Transitions in Employment, Ability and Motivation (STREAM) from 2010/2015 was enriched with monthly information on employment status from Statistics Netherlands up to 2018. In a multistate model, transitions were calculated between paid employment and involuntary exit (disability benefits, unemployment) and voluntary exit (economic inactivity, early retirement) to estimate the impact of education, chronic diseases, and working conditions on WLE and WYL between age 50 and 66.ResultsWorkers with a chronic disease (up to 1.01 years) or unfavorable working conditions (up to 0.63 years) had more WYL due to involuntary pathways than workers with no chronic disease or favorable working conditions. The differences in WYL between workers with and without a chronic disease were slightly higher among workers with a lower education level (male: 0.85, female: 1.01 years) compared to workers with a high educational level (male: 0.72, female: 0.82 years). Given the higher prevalence of chronic diseases and unfavorable working conditions, WYL among lower educated workers were higher than among higher educated workers.ConclusionsThe presence of a chronic disease or unfavorable working conditions, more prevalent among lower educated workers, contribute substantially to WYL among older workers. This will increase educational inequalities in working careers.     

Temporal trends and ethnic variations in amenable mortality in Singapore 1965-1994: the impact of health care in transition.

BACKGROUND: Amenable mortality is used to assess the effects of health care services on gains in mortality outcomes. Possibly differing patterns of trends in amenable mortality may be expected in economically less developed countries, which have undergone rapid epidemiological transition and recent reforms in health care systems, but such studies are scarce. This study was set up to examine the trends in amenable mortality in Singapore from 1965 to 1994; to estimate the relative impact of medical care and primary preventive policy measures in terms of gains in mortality outcomes; to examine ethnic differences in amenable mortality among Chinese, Malays and Indians. METHODS: Age-standardized mortality rates were calculated for 16 amenable causes of death in Singapore for six 5-year periods (1965-1969,..., 1990-1994), and for each of the three main ethnic groups for three periods (1989-1991, 1992-1994, 1995- 1997). Amenable mortality rates were divided into those which can be reduced by timely therapeutic care for 'treatable' conditions (e.g. asthma and appendicitis), or by primary preventive measures for 'preventable' conditions (e.g. lung cancer and motor vehicle injury). RESULTS: Amenable mortality was higher in males (age-standardized rate 109.7 per 100 000 population) than in females (age-standardized rate 60.7 per 100 000 population). Amenable mortality declined by 1.77% a year in males and 1.72% a year in females. By comparison, the average yearly decline in non-amenable mortality was 0.91% in males and 1.17% in females. The decline in amenable mortality was largely due to 'treatable' causes rather than a decline in mortality due to 'preventable' causes of death. Amenable mortality was lowest for Chinese and highest for Malays. Over the recent 9-year period from 1989 to 1997, amenable mortality declined more in Chinese than in Malays and Indians. However, Indian females showed by far the sharpest decline, whereas Indian males, by contrast, showed an increase in amenable mortality, due to both treatable and preventable causes. CONCLUSIONS: In line with findings from European countries, amenable mortality in Singapore declined more than non-amenable mortality. There were more significant gains in mortality outcomes from medical care interventions than from primary preventive policy measures. Gender and ethnic differences in amenable mortality were also observed, highlighting issues of socioeconomic equities to be addressed in the financing and delivery of health care.     

Mortality due to smoking in the Netherlands: 1.2 million tobacco-related deaths between 1950 and 2015

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the medical consequences of the tobacco use in the Netherlands for the past 50 years and the near future. DESIGN: Theoretical study based on the national death records and published risks by cause of death of tobacco use. METHOD: Observed lung cancer mortality (1950-1999) was related to birth cohort and age by a statistical model (according to Peto), and then projected into the near future. The smoking intensity was defined as the difference between the expected lung-cancer mortality if no one smoked and the observed lung-cancer mortality. Using this smoking intensity and published risks for other smoking-related causes of death, the model provided estimates of smoking-related mortality by age, sex and cause of death. RESULTS: In 1999, 18% (women) and 32% (men) of all mortality before the age of 70 was attributable to smoking. If no one had smoked, Dutch life expectancy for men and women would have been 3 years and 1 year higher, respectively. Between 1950 and 1999, 13% of all deaths were caused by smoking, the large majority (> 90%) of which occurred among men. Between 2000 and 2015, slightly more deaths are to be attributed to smoking (14%), 62% of which will be among men. In 2015, women will have caught up with men in terms of absolute numbers of lung-cancer mortality. CONCLUSION: Around one quarter of premature deaths were caused by smoking. In the near future, women of the baby-boom generation will have reached middle age and the highest (relative) smoking-related risks. It is important that clinical practice takes this increased risk of disease into account among middle-aged women who smoke.     

The effect of a reduction in leading causes of death: potential gains in life expectancy.

The potential gains in total expectation of life and in the working life ages among the United States population are examined when the three leading causes of death are totally or partially eliminated. The impressive gains theoretically achieved by total elimination do not hold up under the more realistic assumption of partial elimination or reduction. The number of years gained by a new-born child, with a 30 per cent reduction in major cardiovascular diseases would be 1.98 years, for malignant neoplasms 0.71 years, and for motor vehicle accidents 0.21 years. Application of the same reduction to the working ages, 15 to 70 years, results in a gain of 0.43, 0.26, and 0.14 years, respectively for the three leading causes of death. Even with a scientific break-through in combating these causes of death, it appears that future gains in life expectancies for the working ages will not be spectacular. The implication of the results in relation to the current debate on the national health care policy is noted.     

Violence and social inequalities: mortality rates due to homicides and life conditions in Salvador, Brazil]

INTRODUCTION: Some studies have been questioning the association between poverty and violence. This study's purpose is to assess the distribution of homicide indicators associated with living conditions in Salvador, Brazil. METHODS: A cluster study for the years 1991 to 1994 was carried out including the 75 data centers of the city of Salvador, BA, Brazil. Using death certificates for the study period, yearly mortality rates and mortality ratios were estimated. The 1991 census data of monthly wages and years of education for all family providers were used to define a four-category variable related to living conditions. Mortality rates due to homicide and the relative risk regarding the lowest living condition area were calculated for each social stratum. The 95% confidence intervals were calculated using the Confidence Interval Analysis software. RESULTS: The highest mortality rates due to homicide were seen in the poorest areas. The relative risk due to homicide for the lowest and the highest living condition areas was statistically significant at 5% level and ranged from 2.9 to 5.1. CONCLUSIONS: The data show a strong association between social inequalities and homicide in this urban area, emphasizing the importance of crime reduction programs.