Unbalanced Diet to Lower Serum Cholesterol Level is a Risk Factor for Postmenopausal Osteoporosis and Distal Forearm Fracture

The purpose of this study was to assess whether dietary changes aimed at reducing serum cholesterol can increase the risk of osteoporosis (OP) and fracture. The study group consisted of 311 postmenopausal women with high serum cholesterol levels and following a diet low in dairy products (calcium intake estimated at less than 300 mg/day) for 27.3 ± 29.1 months. This sample was compared with a case–control group of 622 healthy postmenopausal women paired for age and age at menopause and with a calcium intake estimated at more than 1 g/day. Bone mineral density was measured at the lumbar spine by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Prevalence of OP was significantly higher in women with a low dairy calcium intake (42.1% vs 22.3%; p<0.0001), as was the number of Colles” fractures occurring after menopause (4.5% vs 1.6%; p = 0.008). Multiple logistic regression analyses demonstrated that a diet low in dairy calcium was a risk factor for OP (OR = 2.52, 95% CI 1.84–3.45) and Colles” fracture (OR = 2.72, 95% CI 1.18–6.26). In the low dairy calcium group, diet duration significantly influenced the risk of OP (OR = 1.13, 95% CI 1.01–1.25 for 1 year of diet). No differences in further risk factors for coronary heart disease were found between the groups, but the proportion of women physically active was lower in the women with high serum cholesterol levels. A diet that severely limits calcium intake from dairy products in an attempt to correct raised serum cholesterol levels is a risk factor for postmenopausal OP and Colles” fracture. Dietary intervention methods to lower serum cholesterol in postmenopausal women should maintain an adequate calcium intake by providing calcium from low-fat dairy products or calcium supplements. Received: 16 May 2000 / Accepted: 18 November 2000     

Is Distal Forearm Fracture in Men due to Osteoporosis?

Although widely regarded as a disease of women, osteoporosis does cause considerable morbidity and mortality in men. The lifetime risk of an osteoporortic fracture for a man is 1 in 12 and 30% of all hip fractures occur in men. In women, low-trauma distal forearm fracture is widely regarded as a typical early manifestation of postmenopausal osteoporosis. Traditionally, this has not been thought to be the case for men. We present a case–control study of 147 men with distal forearm fracture compared with 198 age-matched controls. The controls were selected from a pre-existing database of dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scans of healthy volunteers. Both groups were sent questionnaires regarding basic demographics, fracture history and risk factors for osteoporosis, and the fracture group was asked to attend for bone densitometry. There were 103 responses from the fracture group (70%), of whom 67 (47%) underwent densitometry. There were 165 (83%) responses from the control group. Secondary causes of osteoporosis could be identified in 51% of the fracture group and 37% of the control group. The fracture group had significantly lower bone mineral density at all sites measured compared with the controls (0.75 g/cm² vs 0.85 g/cm² at the femoral neck, p<0.0001; 0.95 g/cm² vs 1.03 g/cm² at the total femur, p= 0.001; and 0.99 g/cm² vs 1.06 g/cm² at the lumbar spine, p= 0.001). These differences remained after adjusting for age and body mass index (p<0.0005 at all sites). Overall, 41.8% of the fracture group were osteoporotic in at least one site (T-score <−2.5 SD below the mean for young men) compared with only 10.3% of controls. This study is the first to demonstrate that men with distal forearm fractures have lower bone mineral density than their peers and a higher risk of osteoporosis. Received: 28 November 2001 / Accepted: 19 February 2002     

Risk Factors for Ankle Fracture

Ankle fractures are frequently observed in postmenopausal women although the pattern of incidence and risk factor profile suggest that ankle fracture may not be a typical osteoporotic fracture. The aims of this study were to determine the prevalence of osteopenia and vertebral fracture and to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), anthropometry, lifestyle and reproductive factors in women who have sustained an ankle fracture. We studied 103 women aged 50–80 years (mean 63.2, 7.9 SD) with ankle fracture. These were compared with 375 women aged 50–86 years (mean 64.5, 9.1 SD) from a population-based cohort. Bone mineral density (BMD) at the lumbar spine (LS) and contralateral proximal femur (including femoral neck (FN), Ward’s triangle (WT) and trochanteric region (TR)) was measured by DXA. Quantitative ultrasound (QUS) of the calcaneus and proximal digits was measured using three different devices. Radiographs of the thoracolumbar spine were taken (anteroposterior and lateral views). There were no significant differences in the prevalence of osteoporosis (T<–2.5 level) at the LS, FN and WT sites. The population-based cohort had lower TR BMD than the ankle fracture cohort. Age-and weight-adjusted Z-scores of FN BMD were significantly lower in the ankle fracture group. Age- and weight-adjusted Z-scores of QUS gave contradictory results. There were no differences in the receiver operating characteristics of DXA compared with QUS. Twenty-seven women (7%) of the population-based cohort and 10 women (10%) of the ankle fracture cohort were found to have prevalent vertebral fractures; these were not significantly different. Nine percent of the population-based cohort and 26% of the ankle fracture cohort reported previous distal forearm fracture (p<0.001). The ankle fracture cohort had a higher weight and body mass index than the controls. All other lifestyle, medical and reproductive variables did not differ between the two groups. In summary, ankle fracture is not a typical osteoporotic fracture since the BMD was not decreased and the prevalence of vertebral fractures was not increased (although it may be associated with other limb fractures). It is likely that the increased body weight, by increasing the forces applied to the ankle in a fall, is a major risk factor for ankle fracture. Received: 18 April 2000 / Accepted: 25 July 2000     

Incidence of Distal Forearm Fracture in British Men and Women

Fracture of the distal forearm is one of the most frequent osteoporotic fractures. However, there are few data concerning its incidence in Britain. The aim of this study was to determine the incidence of distal forearm fracture in adult British men and women. Six centers took part in the study: Aberdeen, Hull, Nottingham, Portsmouth, Southampton and Truro. At each center, men and women aged 35 years and over with an incident distal forearm fracture and who resided in the catchment area of the main hospital at that center, were identified during a 12 month period. Incident fractures were identified from all possible point-of-contact sources in each locality, including accident and emergency records, fracture clinics, ward listings and plaster room registers. The population at risk was defined geographically according to postcode and the denominator obtained from 1991 census data mapped to these postcodes. During the 12 month study period, 3161 individuals with distal forearm fracture were identified. The age-adjusted incidence, age 35 years and over, was 36.8/10 000 person-years in women and 9.0/10 000 person-years in men. In women, the incidence of fracture increased progressively with age from the perimenopausal period, while in men the incidence remained low until later life. Fractures were more frequently left-sided (55.6%) and 19.4% of subjects required hospitalization. On the basis of these data we estimate that 71 000 adult men and women sustain a distal forearm fracture in Britain each year. Compared with previous British surveys the pattern of incidence with age appears to have changed in women, the reason for this is unclear. Received: August 2000 / Accepted: January 2001     

Risk Factors for Perimenopausal Fractures: A Prospective Study

This prospective study was aimed at determining the risk factors for the development of fractures in perimenopausal women. The study group (n= 3068) was comprised of a stratified population sample of women aged between 47 and 56 years. During the follow-up period of 3.6 years, 257 (8.4%) of the women sustained a total of 295 fractures. After adjustment for covariates, the relative risk (RR) of sustaining a fracture was found to be 1.4 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2–1.6] for a 1 standard deviation (SD) decrease in the spinal and femoral neck bone mineral density (BMD). Women with a previous fracture history were found to have an increased risk of fracture [RR 1.7 (95% CI 1.3–2.2)] and those reporting three or more chronic illnesses exhibited a RR of 1.4 (95% CI 1.0–1.9). Women not using hormone replacement therapy (HRT) had a RR of 1.5 (95% CI 1.1–2.2) for all fracture types. When osteoporotic fractures (vertebral, hip, proximal humerus and wrist fractures; n= 98) were used as an endpoint, the independent risk factors were found to be a low BMD (RR for a 1 SD decrease in both spinal and femoral neck BMD was 1.6, 95% CI 1.3–2.0), a previous fracture history (RR 1.9, 95% CI 1.3–2.9) and nonuse of HRT (RR 2.2, 95% CI 1.3–4.0). The independent risk factors for all other fractures (n = 158) were a low BMD (RR for a 1 SD decrease in the spinal BMD was 1.4, 95% CI 1.2–1.6 and in the femoral neck BMD was 1.3, 95% CI 1.1–1.5), a previous fracture history (RR 1.6, 95% CI 1.1–2.2), smoking (RR 1.8, 95% CI 1.1–2.7) and having had three or more chronic illnesses (RR 1.6, 95% CI 1.1–2.2). Weight, height, age, menopausal status, maternal hip fracture, use of alcohol, coffee consumption or dietary calcium intake were not independently associated with the development of any particular type of fracture. We conclude that the independent risk factors for perimenopausal fractures are a low bone density, previous fracture history, nonuse of HRT, having had three or more chronic illnesses and smoking, the gradient of risk being similar for spinal and femoral neck BMD measurements in the perimenopausal population. The risk factors are slightly different for perimenopausal osteoporotic than for other types of fractures. Received: 6 April 1999 / Accepted: 18 August 1999     

Changes in Bone Mass and Bone Turnover Following Distal Forearm Fracture

Bone loss occurs close to a fracture and is associated with increased bone turnover. Fracture healing itself results in increased markers of bone turnover. But the exact patterns of these changes after different fractures are unclear. We aimed to investigate the changes in bone density and biochemical markers following distal forearm fracture. Twenty women (mean age 63 years) were recruited following fracture of the distal radius and ulna. Bone mineral density (BMD) of the hand and forearm were measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) and quantitative ultrasound (QUS) of the fingers was measured at 0, 6, 12, 26 and 52 weeks after fracture. Serum and urine samples were collected at 0, 3 and 7 days and at 2, 4, 6, 12, 26 and 52 weeks after fracture to measure markers of bone turnover. For bone formation we measured: bone alkaline phosphatase (iBAP), osteocalcin (Oc), procollagen type I N-terminal propeptide (PINP); and for bone resorption: tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase (TRAcP), free deoxypyridinoline (iFDpd), N-telopeptides of type I collagen (NTx). We used the nonfractured limb to calculate values for baseline BMD and amplitude-dependent speed of sound (AD-SoS). There was a decrease in BMD at the hand and in AD-SoS of the fingers after forearm fracture (p<0.001). This bone loss was maximal for BMD by 6 weeks at 9% (p<0.001) and remained decreased at 52 weeks. AD-SoS decreased at 12 weeks by 3% (p<0.01) and recovered completely by 52 weeks. Bone formation markers increased between 2 and 4 weeks by 13–52% (p<0.001), and were still elevated at 52 weeks. Bone resorption markers increased between 2 and 6 weeks by 18–35% and returned to baseline at 52 weeks (TRAcP remained elevated). We conclude that BMD decreased distal and immediately proximal to the fracture line when measured with DXA and QUS. Bone loss after distal forearm fracture did not recover by 52 weeks and most bone turnover markers did not return to baseline. Received: 27 January 1999 / Accepted: 19 April 1999     

Bone Loss from the Hand in Women Following Distal Forearm Fracture

Bone loss occurs after distal forearm fracture, but it is unclear if this bone loss is fully recovered. We designed a cross-sectional study to evaluate the time course of the bone loss from the hand after distal forearm fracture. We identified 40 women who had a fracture of the distal forearm within the previous 4.5 years. Their ages ranged from 42 to 81 (mean 64 years) and time since fracture 6 to 54 (mean 28 months). These were compared with 95 women (mean age 67, range 57 to 80 years) from a population-based cohort. Lumbar spine (LS) and hand bone mineral density (BMD) were measured in all subjects using a Hologic QDR 1000/W densitometer. Ultrasound of the fingers of both hands was measured in the forearm fracture group using a DBM Sonic 1200 R model. Compared to controls, LS BMD was decreased by 6.4% (p<0.001), non-fractured hand by 3.2% (p<0.001) and the fractured hand by 6.1% (p<0.001) in the forearm fracture group. The mean differernce in bone density between the fractured and non-fractured hand was 0.0207 g/cm², the average value for the non-fractured hand being 0.304 g/cm². The decement in hand BMD was equivalent to 6.2% (p<0.0001). The difference in hand BMD between the fractured and non-fractured side was greatest when the time since fracture was short; there was no further difference in hand BMD after 2 years. Ultrasound showed a mean difference of 18.7 m/s in amplitude-dependent speed of sound (AD-SoS) with the average value being 1893 m/s. A 1.0% decrease was observed in the fractured hand AD-SoS (p<0.05). A strong relationship was observed between AD-SoS and BMD in both hands (r= 0.70, p<0.001). We conclude that distal forearm fracture results in a significant decrease in hand BMD that is partially reversible. The decrease in hand BMD is reflected in the ultrasound properties of the finger phalanx. Received: 26 July 2000 / Accepted: 5 January 2001     

Forearm Fractures as Predictors of Subsequent Osteoporotic Fractures

To assess the ability of distal forearm fractures to predict future fractures, we conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study among the 1288 residents (243 men, 1045 women) of Rochester, Minnesota age 35 years or older who experienced their first distal forearm fracture in 1975–94. During 9664 person-years of follow-up, 548 patients experienced 1109 subsequent fractures, excluding 195 that occurred on the same day as the index forearm fracture. The cumulative incidence of any subsequent fracture was 55% by 10 years and 80% by 20 years following the initial distal forearm fracture. Compared to expected fracture rates in the community, the risk of a hip fracture following the index forearm fracture was increased 1.4-fold in women (95% CI, 1.1–1.8) and 2.7-fold in men (95% CI, 0.98–5.8). In women, the risk of hip fracture differed by age, as we had found in a previous study. Women over age 70 had a 1.6-fold increase (95% CI, 1.2–2.0) in subsequent hip fracture risk whereas women who sustained their first forearm fracture before age 70 years did not have significantly increased risk. By contrast, vertebral fractures were significantly increased at all ages, with a 5.2-fold increase (95% CI, 4.5–5.9) in risk among women and a 10.7-fold increase (95% CI, 6.7–16.3) among men following a first distal forearm fracture. The increased risk in men suggests that a sentinel forearm fracture should not be ignored. Among the women, we also found a missed opportunity for intervention as hormone replacement therapy was underutilized. Received: 8 May 1998 / Accepted: 16 October 1998     

An Assessment Tool for Predicting Fracture Risk in Postmenopausal Women

Due to the magnitude of the morbidity and mortality associated with untreated osteoporosis, it is essential that high-risk individuals be identified so that they can receive appropriate evaluation and treatment. The objective of this investigation was to develop a simple clinical assessment tool based on a small number of risk factors that could be used by women or their clinicians to assess their risk of fractures. Using data from the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (SOF), a total of 7782 women age 65 years and older with bone mineral density (BMD) measurements and baseline risk factors were included in the analysis. A model with and without BMD T-scores was developed by identifying variables that could be easily assessed in either clinical practice or by self-administration. The assessment tool, called the FRACTURE Index, is comprised of a set of seven variables that include age, BMD T-score, fracture after age 50 years, maternal hip fracture after age 50, weight less than or equal to 125 pounds (57 kg), smoking status, and use of arms to stand up from a chair. The FRACTURE Index was shown to be predictive of hip fracture, as well as vertebral and nonvertebral fractures. In addition, this index was validated using the EPIDOS fracture study. The FRACTURE Index can be used either with or without BMD testing by older postmenopausal women or their clinicians to assess the 5-year risk of hip and other osteoporotic fractures, and could be useful in helping to determine the need for further evaluation and treatment of these women. Received: 7 November 2000 / Accepted: 23 May 2001     

Risk Factors for Hip Fracture in Men from Southern Europe: The MEDOS Study

The aims of this study were to identify risk factors for hip fracture in men aged 50 years or more. We identified 730 men with hip fracture from 14 centers from Portugal, Spain, France, Italy, Greece and Turkey during the course of a prospective study of hip fracture incidence and 1132 age-stratified controls selected from the neighborhood or population registers. The questionnaire examined aspects of work, physical activity past and present, diseases and drugs, height, weight, indices of co-morbidity and consumption of tobacco, alcohol, calcium, coffee and tea. Significant risk factors identified by univariate analysis included low body mass index (BMI), low sunlight exposure, a low degree of recreational physical activity, low consumption of milk and cheese, and a poor mental score. Co-morbidity including sleep disturbances, loss of weight, impaired mental status and poor appetite were also significant risk factors. Previous stroke with hemiplegia, prior fragility fractures, senile dementia, alcoholism and gastrectomy were associated with significant risk, whereas osteoarthrosis, nephrolithiasis and myocardial infarction were associated with lower risks. Taking medications was not associated with a difference in risk apart from a protective effect with the use of analgesics independent of co-existing osteoarthrosis and an increased risk with the use of anti-epileptic agents. Of the potentially ‘reversible’ risk factors, BMI, leisure exercise, exposure to sunlight and consumption of tea and alcohol and tobacco remained independent risk factors after multivariate analysis, accounting for 54% of hip fractures. Excluding BMI, 46% of fractures could be explained on the basis of the risk factors sought. Of the remaining factors low exposure to sunlight and decreased physical activity accounted for the highest attributable risks (14% and 9% respectively). The use of risk factors to predict hip fractures had relatively low sensitivity and specificity (59.6% and 61.0% respectively). We conclude that lifestyle factors are associated with significant differences in the risk of hip fracture. Potentially remediable factors including a low degree of physical exercise and a low BMI account for a large component of the total risk. Received: 15 May 1997 / Accepted: 27 April 1998     

Factors Associated with Mortality after Hip Fracture

There is a well-known excess mortality subsequent to hip fracture, which is probably restricted to subgroups of hip fracture patients with reduced health status. We studied the association between risk factors and death in 248 hip fracture patients and 248 controls originally enrolled in a population-based case–control study. This cohort was followed for 3 1/2 years with respect to total mortality. A markedly increased mortality was found in hip fracture patients passing a mental status test at a low score [relative risk (RR) = 2.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.4-3.7], in hip fracture patients reporting two or more selected chronic diseases (RR = 3.3, 95% CI 1.8–6.1), in hip fracture patients not walking outdoors before the fracture (RR = 3.2, 95% CI 2.0–5.1) and in hip fracture patients in the lower half of handgrip strength distribution (RR = 2.3, 95% CI 1.6–3.4), all compared with the control group. In contrast, hip fracture patients without these risk factors did not have increased mortality compared with the control group. This study suggests that otherwise healthy and fit patients do not have increased mortality subsequent to hip fracture. The excess mortality is restricted to persons with reduced mental status, reduced somatic health and low physical ability. Special attention should be paid to patients with such risk factors in the treatment and rehabilitation period. Received: 2 March 1999 / Accepted: 17 August 1999     

Identifying Bone-Mass-Related Risk Factors for Fracture to Guide Bone Densitometry Measurements: A Systematic Review of the Literature

Available evidence suggests that fracture prediction with bone densitometry may improve when used on people at high risk of osteoporotic fractures. The objectives of this literature review were: (1) to identify risk factors for fracture that are associated with the development of a low bone mass for both men and women; (2) to describe and assess the relationship between these factors and the risk of fracture; and (3) to classify them according to the strength of their association with fracture incidence. Studies were identified from MEDLINE (1982-1997), HealthSTAR (1975-1997) and The Cochrane Library (1997) databases. Pre-stated inclusion criteria (original analytic studies assessing risk factors for osteoporotic fractures in men and women) and methodologic quality were assessed by two independent investigators. Information on the study design and analysis, characteristics of participants, exposure (risk factor) and outcome measures (relative risk and odds ratios for fracture incidence), control for potential confounding factors and risk estimates was extracted using a standardized protocol. Qualitative and meta-analytic techniques were used for data synthesis. As a result, risk factors were classified into three groups according to their strength of association with fracture: high risk (RR > or = 2), moderate risk (1 < RR < 2) and no risk or protective (RR < or = 1). Of approximately 80 risk factors identified from 94 cohort and 72 case-control studies, 15% were classified in the high-risk group, including low body weight, loss of weight, physical inactivity, the consumption of corticosteroids or anticonvulsants, primary hyperparathyroidism, diabetes mellitus type 1, anorexia nervosa, gastrectomy, pernicious anemia, and aging (> 70-80 years). Eighteen percent and 8% of risk factors were classified in the moderate and no risk group respectively, whereas 60% showed either a lack of scientific evidence confirming their association with fracture or contradictory results. An efficient strategy for bone densitometry provision may thus be its selective use in those individuals who present with several strong or moderate risk factors for fracture related to bone mass loss.     

Long-Term Fracture Risk Following Ischemic Stroke: A Population-Based Study

The overall risk of fracture following stroke has not been well quantified. We addressed this issue in a population-based retrospective cohort study among the 387 Rochester, Minnesota residents who survived for 90 days following their first cerebral infarction during the 10-year period, 1960–69. Cases were matched by age and sex to controls from the general population of Rochester, and subsequent fractures were assessed through review of each subject’s complete (inpatient and outpatient) medical records in the community. With comparable follow-up, the 128 fractures observed among cases were little more than the 118 seen among controls, and the cumulative incidence of any fracture after 25 years was not significantly different (71% versus 66%; p=0.464). Using stratified Cox analysis, there was no increase in the risk of fractures generally (hazard ratio (HR), 1.1; 95% CI, 0.8–1.6) or hip fractures specifically (HR, 1.1; 95% CI, 0.6–2.1) compared with controls. Among the stroke patients with hemiparesis or hemiplegia, the majority of fractures occurred on the impaired side. In a multivariate analysis, fracture risk increased with age (HR per 10 years, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.4–2.0), with hospitalization at onset of stroke (HR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.3–3.2) and with moderate functional impairment (HR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.02–2.5) but not severe disability (HR, 0.8; 95% CI, 0.4–1.6). No other characteristic of the stroke or its treatment was an independent predictor of overall fracture risk. Patients and their caretakers need to be aware of the risk of fracture from falls, particularly when moderate impairment permits the patient to be independently mobile. Received: 29 September 2000 / Accepted: 26 April 2001     

A Population-Based Study of Fracture Incidence in Southern Tasmania: Lifetime Fracture Risk and Evidence for Geographic Variations within the Same Country

Symptomatic fractures are a significant problem in terms of both morbidity and financial cost. Marked variation in both total and site-specific fracture incidence has been documented internationally but there is limited within-country data. This prospective population-based study documented the incidence of all symptomatic fractures occurring from July 1, 1997 to June 30, 1999 in adults ≥50 years of age resident in Southern Tasmania (total population ≥50 years: 64 688). Fractures were ascertained by reviewing reports from all the radiology providers within the area. There were 701 fractures in men and 1309 fractures in women. The corresponding fracture incidence in men and women was 1248 and 1916 per 100 000 person-years, respectively. Residual lifetime fracture risk in a person aged 50 years was 27% for men and 44% for women with fractures other than hip fractures constituting the majority of symptomatic fracture events. These fracture risk estimates remained remarkably constant with increasing age. In comparison to Geelong, there were significantly lower hip fracture rates (males: RR 0.59, 95% CI 0.45–0.76; females: RR 0.61, 95% CI 0.53–0.71) but significantly higher distal forearm fractures (males: RR 1.87, 95% CI 1.10–3.78; females: RR 1.31, 95% CI 1.11–1.55) and total fractures in men (RR 1.31, 95% CI 1.17–1.46) but not women (RR 1.05, 95% CI 0.98–1.13). In contrast, Southern Tasmania had lower age-standardized rates of all fractures compared with Dubbo (RR 0.28–0.79). In conclusion, this study provides compelling evidence that fracture incidence varies between different geographic sites within the same country, which has important implications for health planning. In addition, the combination of high residual fracture risk and short life expectancy in elderly subjects suggests fracture prevention will be most cost-effective in later life. Received: 27 April 2000 / Accepted: 16 August 2000     

Acute and Long-Term Increase in Fracture Risk after Hospitalization for Vertebral Fracture

The aims of this study were to determine the magnitude of the increase in risk of further fracture following hospitalization for vertebral fracture, and in particular to determine the time course of this risk. The records of the Swedish Patient Register were examined from 1987 to 1994 to identify all patients who were admitted to hospital for thoracic or lumbar vertebral fractures. Vertebral fractures were characterized as due to high- or low-energy trauma. Patients were followed for subsequent hospitalizations for hip fracture, and for all fractures combined. A Poisson model was used to determine the absolute risk of subsequent nonvertebral fracture and compared with that of the general population. We analyzed 13.4 million hospital admissions from which 28.869 individuals with vertebral fracture were identified, of which 60% were associated with low-energy trauma. There was a marked increase in subsequent incidence of hip and all fractures within the first year following hospitalization for vertebral fracture in both men and women. Thereafter, fracture incidence declined toward, but did not attain, baseline risk. Increased risks were particularly marked in the young. The increase in fracture risk was more marked following low-energy vertebral fracture than in the case of high-eneergy trauma. We conclude that the high incidence of new fractures within a year of hospitalization for vertebral fractures, irrespective of the degree of trauma involved, indicates that such patients should be preferentially targeted for treatment. It is speculated that short courses of treatment at the time of first vertebral fracture could provide important therapeutic dividends. Received: 6 June 2000 / Accepted: 28 September 2000     

Prevalent Vertebral Deformity Predicts Incident Hip though not distal Forearm Fracture: Results from the European Prospective Osteoporosis Study

The presence of a vertebral deformity increases the risk of subsequent spinal deformities. The aim of this analysis was to determine whether the presence of vertebral deformity predicts incident hip and other limb fractures. Six thousand three hundred and forty-four men and 6788 women aged 50 years and over were recruited from population registers in 31 European centers and followed prospectively for a median of 3 years. All subjects had radiographs performed at baseline and the presence of vertebral deformity was assessed using established morphometric methods. Incident limb fractures which occurred during the follow- up period were ascertained by annual postal questionnaire and confirmed by radiographs, review of medical records and personal interview. During a total of 40 348 person-years of follow-up, 138 men and 391 women sustained a limb fracture. Amongst the women, after adjustment for age, prevalent vertebral deformity was a strong predictor of incident hip fracture, (rate ratio (RR) = 4.5; 95% CI 2.1–9.4) and a weak predictor of ‘other’ limb fractures (RR = 1.6; 95% CI 1.1–2.4), though not distal forearm fracture (RR = 1.0; 95% CI 0.6–1.6). The predictive risk increased with increasing number of prevalent deformities, particularly for subsequent hip fracture: for two or more deformities, RR = 7.2 (95% CI 3.0–17.3). Amongst men, vertebral deformity was not associated with an increased risk of incident limb fracture though there was a nonsignificant trend toward an increased risk of hip fracture with increasing number of deformities. In summary, prevalent radiographic vertebral deformities in women are a strong predictor of hip fracture, and to a lesser extent humerus and ‘other’ limb fractures; however, they do not predict distal forearm fractures. Received: 23 February 2000 / Accepted: 11 August 2000     

Risedronate Reduces the Risk of First Vertebral Fracture in Osteoporotic Women

Risedronate treatment reduces the risk of vertebral fracture in women with existing vertebral fractures, but its efficacy in prevention of the first vertebral fracture in women with osteoporosis but without vertebral fractures has not been determined. We examined the risk of first vertebral fracture in postmenopausal women who were enrolled in four placebo-controlled clinical trials of risedronate and who had low lumbar spine bone mineral density (BMD) (mean T-score =–3.3) and no vertebral fractures at baseline. Subjects received risedronate 5 mg (n= 328) or placebo (n= 312) daily for up to 3 years; all subjects were given calcium (1000 mg daily), as well as vitamin D supplementation (up to 500 IU daily) if baseline serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels were low. The incidence of first vertebral fracture was 9.4% in the women treated with placebo and 2.6% in those treated with risedronate 5 mg (risk reduction of 75%, 95% confidence interval 37% to 90%; P= 0.002). The number of patients who would need to be treated to prevent one new vertebral fracture is 15. When subjects were stratified by age, similar significant reductions were observed in patients with a mean age of 64 years (risk reduction of 70%, 95% CI 8% to 90%; P= 0.030) and in those with a mean age of 76 years (risk reduction of 80%, 95% CI 7% to 96%; P= 0.024). Risedronate treatment therefore significantly reduces the risk of first vertebral fracture in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis, with a similar magnitude of effect early and late after the menopause. Received: 12 September 2001 / Accepted: 11 December 2001     

Prevalence of Low Forearm Bone Density in a Bulgarian Female Referral Population

Osteoporosis is one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality in the elderly population. The prevalence of osteoporosis and osteopenia in Bulgaria is unknown except for preliminary data. We tried to determine retrospectively the prevalence of osteopenia and osteoporosis in a referral female population; 8869 consecutive Bulgarian women (age 20–87 years) were included. Information about known risk factors for low bone mass was recorded. Forearm bone mineral density was measured at the distal radius+ulna site by single X-ray absorptiometry (DTX-100 device). T- and Z-scores were calculated from Bulgarian reference data. In the total study sample 15.16% had osteoporosis and 28.8% had osteopenia. In women aged 50 years and over the corresponding prevalence was 20.45% and 32.5%. Age-adjusted prevalence of osteoporosis and osteopenia started rising after age 55 years. Corresponding mean T-scores also declined and the osteoporosis threshold of –2.5 SD was reached in the age group 70–74 years. Z-scores in all age groups were between 0 and –0.6, thus excluding major selection bias. This is the first large-scale Bulgarian study designed to look for the prevalence of osteopenia and osteoporosis in a referral population. It may become the starting point for future screening and intervention strategies in our country. Received: 30 March 2001 / Accepted: 3 August 2001     

Longitudinal Evaluation of Perimenopausal Femoral Bone Loss: Effects of a Low-Dose Oral Contraceptive Preparation on Bone Mineral Density and Metabolism

To characterize the pattern of biochemical markers of bone metabolism and femoral bone mineral density in eumenorrheic and oligomenorrheic perimenopausal women, and assess the effects of a low-dose oral contraceptive (OC) on bone metabolism and femoral bone density, bone biochemical markers and femoral bone density (measured at the neck, Ward’s triangle and trochanter regions) were evaluated in a longitudinal 2-year follow-up study. The study was conducted in healthy, normally menstruating perimenopausal women (n= 18), perimenopausal oligomenorrheic women (n= 18), and perimenopausal oligomenorrheic women treated with an OC containing 20 mg ethinylestradiol plus 0.15 mg desogestrel (n= 19). The results were analyzed by factorial or repeated measures analysis of variance, as appropriate. During the observation period, in normally menstruating women there were no changes in the menstrual cycle, plasma FSH and estradiol levels, biochemical markers of bone turnover or femoral bone density. In oligomenorrheic untreated women an increase in cycle length with a concomitant decrease in plasma estradiol and an increase in plasma FSH levels were found (p < 0.05). In this group a significant increase in urinary excretion of hydroxyproline and in plasma osteocalcin levels with a concomitant significant decrease in femoral bone density (p < 0.05) occurred. In OC-treated women, osteocalcin plasma levels and urinary excretion of hydroxyproline significantly (p < 0.05) decreased, leading to a significant (p < 0.05) increase in femoral bone density. It is concluded that perimenopausal OC administration can avoid the increase in bone turnover and the decrease in femoral bone density due to the perimenopausal impairment of ovarian function. Received: 20 July 1999 / Accepted: 28 December 1999