Exercise workload, coronary risk evaluation and the risk of cardiovascular and all-cause death in middle-aged men.

BACKGROUND: No data exist on exercise workload combined with European Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) with respect to death from cardiovascular diseases and other causes. We therefore investigated the prognostic significance of risk scores and exercise capacity with respect to cardiovascular diseases. DESIGN: A population-based follow-up study. METHODS: Exercise workload was measured by exercise test with an electrically braked cycle ergometer. The study is based on a random population-based sample of 1639 men (42-60 years) without history of type II diabetes or atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease including coronary heart disease, stroke or claudication. RESULTS: During an average follow-up of 16 years, a total of 304 overall deaths and 116 cardiovascular deaths occurred. Relative risk (RR) was 2.50 [95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.71-3.68, P<0.001] for all-cause death and 2.04 (95% CI: 1.14-3.65, P=0.016) for cardiovascular death among men with exercise capacity less than 162 W as compared with those with exercise capacity over 230 W, after adjustment for risk factors. Independent predictors for all-cause death were European SCORE (for 1% increment, RR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.10-1.20, P<0.001), exercise workload (for 20 W increment, RR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.82-0.91, P<0.001), C-reactive protein and alcohol consumption, when adjusted for serum high-density lipoprotein, body mass index, family history of coronary heart disease, exercise-induced ST changes and the use of medications for hypertension, dyslipidemia or aspirin. CONCLUSION: Low exercise workload predicts an especially high risk for death from cardiovascular and any other cause when combined with high risk SCORE.     

The predictive value of cardiorespiratory fitness for cardiovascular events in men with various risk profiles: a prospective population-based cohort study.

AIMS: Few data exist to show if the prognostic value of peak exercise oxygen consumption (VO2peak) for fatal and non-fatal coronary events is different among men with low and high pre-test probability for cardiovascular disease (CVD). Our objective was to determine whether VO2peak could predict fatal and non-fatal cardiac events in 2361 men aged 42-60 years with and without conventional risk predictors of CVD or with documented CVD during a 13-year follow-up. METHODS AND RESULTS: Maximal oxygen consumption (ml/kg/min) was measured directly by using respiratory gas exchange in a cycle ergometer exercise test. Of 204 CVD deaths, 153 were due to coronary disease and 51 were due to other CVDs. A total of 323 non-fatal coronary events occurred during the follow-up. One metabolic equivalent (MET) increment in VO2peak was related to a decreased risk of coronary death in both healthy (RR=0.82, 95% CI 0.66-0.99) and unhealthy (RR=0.72, 95% CI 0.63-0.82) men. VO2peak was predictive of non-fatal and fatal cardiac events among men with or without known risk factors. In subjects with or without common risk factors, one MET increment amounted to an average decrease of 17-29% in non-fatal and 28-51% in fatal cardiac events, after adjustment for age. VO2peak and smoking represented two strongest independent and consistent risk predictors. CONCLUSIONS: VO2peak can be used as a very powerful predictor of future fatal cardiac events beyond that predicted by many conventional risk factors. On the prognostic consideration, unfit men with unfavourable risk profiles or underlying chronic disease are the risk groups that will benefit most from preventive measures.     

Cardiorespiratory fitness and the risk for stroke in men

BACKGROUND: Low cardiorespiratory fitness is considered to be a major public health problem. We examined the relationship of cardiorespiratory fitness, as indicated by maximum oxygen consumption VO(2)max with subsequent incidence of stroke. We also compared VO(2)max with conventional risk factors as a predictor for future strokes. METHODS: Population-based cohort study with an average follow-up of 11 years from Kuopio and surrounding communities of eastern Finland. Of 2011 men with no stroke or pulmonary disease at baseline who participated in the study, 110 strokes occurred, of which 87 were ischemic. The VO(2)max was measured directly during exercise testing at baseline. RESULTS: The relative risk for any stroke in unfit men VO(2)max, <25.2 mL/kg per minute) was 3.2 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.71-6.12; P<.001; P<.001 for the trend across the quartiles); and for ischemic stroke, 3.50 (95% CI, 1.66-7.41; P =.001; P<.001 for trend across the quartiles), compared with fit men VO(2)max, >35.3 mL/kg per minute), after adjusting for age and examination year. The associations remained statistically significant after further adjustment for smoking, alcohol consumption, socioeconomic status, energy expenditure of physical activity, prevalent coronary heart disease, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, and serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level for any strokes or ischemic strokes. Low cardiorespiratory fitness was comparable with systolic blood pressure, obesity, alcohol consumption, smoking, and serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level as a risk factor for stroke. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show that low cardiorespiratory fitness was associated with an increased risk for any stroke and ischemic stroke. The VO(2)max was one of the strongest predictors of stroke, comparable with other modifiable risk factors.     

Proteinuria as a risk factor for cardiovascular disease and mortality in older people: a prospective study

BACKGROUND: The prognostic significance of proteinuria in older people is not well defined. We examined the associations between proteinuria and incident coronary heart disease, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality in older people.SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Casual dipstick proteinuria was determined in 1,045 men (mean [+/- SD] age 68 +/- 7 years) and 1,541 women (mean age 69 +/- 7 years) attending the 15th biennial examination of the Framingham Heart Study. Participants were divided by grade of proteinuria: none (85.3%), trace (10.2%), and greater-than-trace (4.5%). Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to determine the relations of baseline proteinuria to the specified outcomes, adjusting for other risk factors, including serum creatinine level.RESULTS: During 17 years of follow-up, there were 455 coronary heart disease events, 412 cardiovascular disease deaths, and 1,214 deaths. In men, baseline proteinuria was associated with all-cause mortality (hazards ratio [HR] = 1.3, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.0 to 1.7 for trace proteinuria; HR = 1.3, 95% CI 1.0 to 1.8 for greater-than-trace proteinuria; P for trend = 0.02). In women, trace proteinuria was associated with cardiovascular disease death (HR = 1. 6, 95% CI 1.1 to 2.4), and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.4, 95% CI 1.1 to 1.7).CONCLUSION: Proteinuria is a significant, although relatively weak, risk factor for all-cause mortality in men and women, and for cardiovascular disease mortality in women.     

Usefulness of cardiorespiratory fitness as a predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality in men with systemic hypertension

There is an inverse gradient of mortality across levels of cardiorespiratory fitness in healthy adults; however, the association of fitness to mortality in persons with comorbidities such as hypertension is not fully understood. This study quantifies the relation of cardiorespiratory fitness to all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in hypertensive men. In this observational cohort study, we calculated death rates for low, moderate, and high fitness categories in normotensive (n = 15,726) and hypertensive (n = 3,184) men, and in men without a history of hypertension but with elevated blood pressure (BP) (systolic BP > or = 140 or diastolic BP > or = 90 mm Hg) at baseline (n = 3,257). The participants were 22,167 men (average age 42.6 +/- 9.2 years [mean +/- SD]) who underwent a medical examination that included a maximal exercise test during 1970 to 1993, with mortality follow-up to December 31, 1994. We identified 628 deaths (188 from CVD) during 224,173 man-years of observation. There was an inverse linear trend across fitness groups for all-cause and CVD mortality. The relative risk (95% confidence interval [CI]), using the low fitness group as reference, for all-cause mortality in hypertensive men was 0.45 (95% CI 0.31 to 0.65) and 0.42 (95% CI 0.27 to 0.66) for moderate and high fitness groups, respectively, and in men with elevated BP, 0.49 (95% CI 0.34 to 0.70) and 0.44 (95% CI 0.29 to 0.68) for moderate and high fitness groups, respectively. The pattern of results was similar for CVD mortality. There was an inverse linear relation between fitness and death rate for all-cause mortality in both the uncontrolled and controlled hypertensive groups. This study provides evidence that moderate to high levels of cardiorespiratory fitness provide protection against all-cause and CVD mortality in hypertensive men and men without a history of hypertension but with elevated BP at examination.     

Echocardiographic determinants of clinical outcome in subjects with coronary artery disease (the Framingham Heart Study).

Echocardiographic predictors of clinical outcome were examined in subjects from the Framingham Heart Study with overt coronary artery disease. The study population consisted of 185 men and 147 women with coronary artery disease who underwent M-mode echocardiography and were followed for a mean of 3.90 years. At baseline, 37 men (18.4%) and 16 women (10.9%) had reduced fractional shortening, 43 men (23.2%) and 28 women (19%) had left ventricular (LV) dilatation, and 76 men (41%) and 76 women (51.7%) had LV hypertrophy. During the follow-up period new cardiovascular disease events (coronary disease, stroke, transient ischemic attack, claudication, heart failure and deaths from cardiovascular disease) occurred in 60 men (32%) and 58 women (39%). With use of age-adjusted proportional hazards analyses, LV mass/height in men (relative risk [RR] = 1.25/50 g/m increment, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01 to 1.55) and LV end-diastolic diameter in women (RR = 1.36/5 mm increment, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.76) were predictors of new cardiovascular disease events. Cardiovascular risk was also associated with LV end-systolic diameter in both sexes (in men RR = 1.28/1 SD increment, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.63; in women RR = 1.40/1 standard deviation increment, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.82). Reduced fractional shortening alone (RR = 1.91, 95% CI 1.11 to 3.31) and in combination with LV dilatation (RR = 2.13, 95% CI 1.13 to 4.02) was associated with the incidence of new cardiovascular disease outcomes in men.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Comparison of cardiorespiratory fitness versus leisure time physical activity as predictors of coronary events in men aged < or = 65 years and > 65 years

Both high peak oxygen consumption (VO(2)) and high levels of leisure time physical activity (LTPA) are associated with a reduced risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. We examined the contributions of LTPA and peak VO(2) to the risk of coronary events (CEs) in healthy younger (< or = 65 years, n = 522) and older (>65 years, n = 167) men from the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging. LTPA derived from self reports of time spent in 97 activities were converted into METs-minutes/24 hours and grouped into high (> or = 6 METs), moderate- (4 to 5.9 METs), and low-intensity LTPA (<4 METs). Cardiorespiratory fitness was determined by measuring peak VO(2) during a maximal treadmill exercise test. Over a mean follow-up of 13.4 +/- 6.3 years, CEs occurred in 63 men. After accounting for coronary risk factors, proportional-hazards analyses showed a relative CE risk of 0.53 (p <0.0001) for a SD increase in peak VO(2) in younger men and 0.61 (p = 0.024) in older men, whereas total LTPA was unrelated to coronary risk in either age group. When the 3 LTPA intensity levels were substituted for total LTPA in the model, peak VO(2) remained the only predictor of events in younger men, whereas high-intensity LTPA (RR = 0.39 for tertile 3 vs tertiles 1 and 2, p = 0.016) and peak VO(2) (RR = 0.61/SD increase, p = 0.024) were of similar importance in older men. Thus, in healthy younger men, higher cardiorespiratory fitness but not LTPA predicts a reduced risk of coronary heart disease, independent of conventional risk factors. For older men, high-intensity LTPA and fitness appear to be of similar importance in reducing coronary risk.     

Exercise workload, cardiovascular risk factor evaluation and the risk of stroke in middle-aged men

Objective. We investigated the prognostic significance of risk scores and exercise workload with respect to stroke. Background. There are no data on exercise workload combined with European Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) in the prediction of stroke. Methods. Exercise workload was measured by exercise test with an electrically braked cycle ergometer performed at baseline. The study is based on a random population‐based sample of 1639 men (42–60 years) without history of type 2 diabetes or atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease including coronary heart disease, stroke or claudication. Results. During an average follow‐up of 16 years, a total of 97 strokes occurred, of which 71 were ischaemic strokes. Independent predictors for all strokes were European SCORE [for 1% increment, relative risk (RR): 1.12, 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.22, P = 0.017), maximal workload (for 20 W increment, RR: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.80 to 0.95, P = 0.003) and body mass index (for 5 kg m^?2 increment, RR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.14, P = 0.004), when adjusted for serum HDL, alcohol consumption, C‐reactive protein, family history of coronary heart disease, exercise‐induced ST changes and the use of medications for hypertension, dyslipidaemia or aspirin. The risk was 2.54‐fold (95% CI: 1.27–5.09, P = 0.008) for any strokes and 4.43‐fold (95% CI 1.69–11.78, P = 0.003) for ischaemic strokes amongst men with exercise capacity less than 162 W when compared with those with high exercise capacity over 230 W, after adjustment for risk factors. Conclusions. Low exercise workload predicts an especially high risk for stroke in the presence of high risk SCORE.     

Low cardiorespiratory fitness and physical inactivity as predictors of mortality in men with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND: Although physical activity is recommended as a basic treatment for patients with diabetes, its long-term association with mortality in these patients is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association of low cardiorespiratory fitness and physical inactivity with mortality in men with type 2 diabetes. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Preventive medicine clinic. PATIENTS: 1263 men (50+/-10 years of age) with type 2 diabetes who received a thorough medical examination between 1970 and 1993 and were followed for mortality up to 31 December 1994. MEASUREMENTS: Cardiorespiratory fitness measured by a maximal exercise test, self-reported physical inactivity at baseline, and subsequent death determined by using the National Death Index. RESULTS: During an average follow-up of 12 years, 180 patients died. After adjustment for age, baseline cardiovascular disease, fasting plasma glucose level, high cholesterol level, overweight, current smoking, high blood pressure, and parental history of cardiovascular disease, men in the low-fitness group had an adjusted risk for all-cause mortality of 2.1 (95% CI, 1.5 to 2.9) compared with fit men. Men who reported being physically inactive had an adjusted risk for mortality that was 1.7-fold (CI, 1.2-fold to 2.3-fold) higher than that in men who reported being physically active. CONCLUSIONS: Low cardiorespiratory fitness and physical inactivity are independent predictors of all-cause mortality in men with type 2 diabetes. Physicians should encourage patients with type 2 diabetes to participate in regular physical activity and improve cardiorespiratory fitness.     

Peak oxygen intake and cardiac mortality in women referred for cardiac rehabilitation

OBJECTIVES: This study investigated the prognostic importance of measured peak oxygen intake (VO(2peak)) in women with known coronary heart disease referred for outpatient cardiac rehabilitation. BACKGROUND: Exercise capacity is a powerful predictor of prognosis in men with known or suspected coronary disease. Similar findings are described in women, but fewer studies have utilized measured VO(2peak), the most accurate measure of exercise capacity. METHODS: A single-center design took data from 2,380 women, age 59.7 +/- 9.5 years (1,052 myocardial infarctions, 620 coronary bypass procedures, and 708 with proven ischemic heart disease), who underwent cardiorespiratory exercise testing. They were followed for an average of 6.1 +/- 5 years (median 4.5 years, range 0.4 to 25 years) until cardiac and all-cause death. RESULTS: We recorded 95 cardiac deaths and 209 all-cause deaths. Measured VO(2peak) was an independent predictor of risk, values > or =13 ml/kg/min (3.7 multiples of resting metabolic rate) conferring a 50% reduction in cardiac mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.5, p = 0.001). Considered as a continuous variable, a 1 ml/kg/min advantage in initial VO(2peak) was associated with a 10% lower cardiac mortality. Adverse predictors were diabetes (HR 2.73, p = 0.0005) and antiarrhythmic therapy (HR 3.93, p = 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: As in men, measured VO(2peak) is a strong independent predictor of cardiac mortality in women referred for cardiac rehabilitation.     

Serum potassium and risk of cardiovascular disease: the Framingham heart study

BACKGROUND: Published studies of the association between serum potassium concentration and risk for cardiovascular disease in community-based populations have reported conflicting results. We sought to determine the association between serum potassium concentration and cardiovascular disease risk in the Framingham Heart Study. METHODS: A total of 3151 participants (mean age, 43 years; 48% men) in the Framingham Heart Study who were free of cardiovascular disease and not taking medications affecting potassium homeostasis had serum potassium levels measured (1979-1983). Proportional hazards models were used to determine the association of serum potassium concentration at baseline with the incidence of cardiovascular disease at follow-up. RESULTS: During mean follow-up of 16 years, 313 cardiovascular disease events occurred, including 46 cardiovascular disease-related deaths. After adjustment for age, serum potassium level was marginally associated with risk of cardiovascular disease (hazard ratio [HR] per 1 mg/dL increment, 1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-1.05; P =.02). However, after further adjustment for multiple confounders, serum potassium level was not significantly associated with cardiovascular disease risk (HR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.98-1.03). There were no significant associations between serum potassium level and cardiovascular disease-related death in either age- and sex-adjusted models (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.99-1.12) or multivariable-adjusted models (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.97-1.11). CONCLUSION: In our community-based sample of individuals free of cardiovascular disease and not taking medications that affect potassium homeostasis, serum potassium level was not associated with risk of cardiovascular disease.     

Usefulness of improvement in walking distance versus peak oxygen uptake in predicting prognosis after myocardial infarction and/or coronary artery bypass grafting in men

Information is limited on the influence of a change in fitness and/or physical activity on mortality in cardiac patients who undergo exercise rehabilitation. This was studied in 6,956 men (4,713 with myocardial infarctions, 2,243 who underwent coronary bypass surgery) completing a 12-month walking-based training regimen and followed for a median of 9 years (range 4 to 26; 67,820 patient-years). Peak oxygen uptake (VO2peak) was measured at the beginning and the end of the program, and walking distance and pace were recorded weekly. These and other pertinent data were entered into a Cox proportional-hazards model and tested for associations with time to cardiac and all-cause death. In total, 2,016 deaths were recorded (737 cardiac, 1,279 all-cause). The mean increase in VO2peak was 4.9 ml/kg/min (95% confidence interval [CI] 4.7 to 5.0, p <0.0001), and the mean increase in distance walked was 2.1 mi (95% CI 2.0 to 2.1, p <0.0001). Increase in VO2peak was significant on univariate analysis (hazard ratio [HR] 0.98) but not on multivariate analysis. Distance increase was a significant predictor of cardiac and all-cause death on multivariate analysis, with each 1-mi improvement conferring a 20% reduction in cardiac death (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.71 to 0.87, p <0.0001). When categorized into groups of <1.3 (referent), 1.3 to 2.8, and >2.8 mi, increased walking distance of 1.3 to 2.8 and of >2.8 mi yielded 24% (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.62 to 0.92, p = 0.005) and 48% (HR 0.52, 95% CI 0.40 to 0.68, p <0.0001) reductions in cardiac death, respectively. In conclusion, in men who underwent an exercise rehabilitation program, improvement in walking distance was a strong independent predictor, and a greater guide to prognosis, than gains in VO2peak.     

Dietary fiber and risk of coronary heart disease: a pooled analysis of cohort studies

BACKGROUND: Few epidemiologic studies of dietary fiber intake and risk of coronary heart disease have compared fiber types (cereal, fruit, and vegetable) or included sex-specific results. The purpose of this study was to conduct a pooled analysis of dietary fiber and its subtypes and risk of coronary heart disease. METHODS: We analyzed the original data from 10 prospective cohort studies from the United States and Europe to estimate the association between dietary fiber intake and the risk of coronary heart disease. RESULTS: Over 6 to 10 years of follow-up, 5249 incident total coronary cases and 2011 coronary deaths occurred among 91058 men and 245186 women. After adjustment for demographics, body mass index, and lifestyle factors, each 10-g/d increment of energy-adjusted and measurement error-corrected total dietary fiber was associated with a 14% (relative risk [RR], 0.86; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.78-0.96) decrease in risk of all coronary events and a 27% (RR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.61-0.87) decrease in risk of coronary death. For cereal, fruit, and vegetable fiber intake (not error corrected), RRs corresponding to 10-g/d increments were 0.90 (95% CI, 0.77-1.07), 0.84 (95% CI, 0.70-0.99), and 1.00 (95% CI, 0.88-1.13), respectively, for all coronary events and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.63-0.91), 0.70 (95% CI, 0.55-0.89), and 1.00 (95% CI, 0.82-1.23), respectively, for deaths. Results were similar for men and women. CONCLUSION: Consumption of dietary fiber from cereals and fruits is inversely associated with risk of coronary heart disease.     

Hypertension as a risk factor for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in an elderly German population; the prospective STEPHY II study. Starnberg Study on Epidemiology of Parkinsonism and Hypertension in the Elderly.

AIM: To prospectively study the relationship between blood pressure levels and subsequent cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in a population aged 65 years and older. METHODS: Participants of the 1992 baseline survey of the population-based Starnberg Study on Epidemiology of Parkinsonism and Hypertension in the Elderly (STEPHY, 394 men and 588 women above age 65) were followed up for 3 years. Total mortality was assessed by official death data. Cardiovascular morbidity, that is, the occurrence of non-fatal events (new cases of acute myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, and heart failure) could be assessed in 681 of the 863 survivors by a second interview and analysis of general practitioners' records. The mortality and morbidity risks were compared for hypertensives (baseline blood pressure > or = 160/95 mmHg or antihypertensive treatment) and non-hypertensives. RESULTS: During follow-up a total of 55 men and 64 women died resulting in a 2.7-year cumulative mortality in this population of 12%. Mortality was higher in men (14%) than in women (11%). Hypertensives had no increased risk of death compared to non-hypertensives (adjusted relative risk (RR)=0. 92; 95% CI: 0.48-1.76 for men and RR=1.36; 95% CI 0.67-2.78 for women). This was confirmed in age-stratified analyses. However, among survivors hypertension was associated with a significantly higher occurrence of non-fatal cardiovascular events. After controlling for potentially confounding baseline conditions, the relative risk for any event (RR=1.44; 95% CI: 1.04-2.0) and, in particular, of acute myocardial infarction (RR=5.5; 95% CI: 1.6-18. 7) was raised among hypertensives. Higher rates for angina pectoris (RR=1.4; 95% CI: 0.9-2.4) and heart failure (RR 1.7; 95% CI: 0.9-2. 9) were of borderline significance. Positive risk associations were confined to the age group 65 to 75 years and not detected at higher ages. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates for a Central European population older than 65 years the impact of hypertension as a risk factor for cardiovascular and cerebrovascular morbidity. To address the issue that risk of death showed no significant relationship to blood pressure, a longer follow-up period might be necessary.     

Body mass index, physical inactivity and low level of physical fitness as determinants of all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality--16 y follow-up of middle-aged and elderly men and women

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the independent associations and the possible interaction of body mass index (BMI), leisure time physical activity (LTPA) and perceived physical fitness and functional capability with the risk of mortality. DESIGN: Prospective 16y follow-up study. SUBJECTS: A regionally representative cohort of 35-63-y-old Finnish men (n= 1,090) and women (n= 1,122). MEASUREMENTS: All-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality were derived from the national census data until the end of September 1996 while the initial levels of BMI, LTPA, physical fitness and function were determined from self-administered questionnaires. RESULTS: After adjustment for age, marital and employment status, perceived health status, smoking and alcohol consumption, the Cox proportional hazards model showed that BMI was not associated with the risk of death among the men or the women. Compared with the most active subjects the men and women with no weekly vigorous activity had relative risks of 1.61 (95% confidence interval, CI, 0.98-2.64) and 4.68 (95% CI, 1.41-15.57), respectively, for CVD mortality, and for the men there was a relative risk of 1.66 (95% CI, 0.92-2.99) for CHD mortality. When compared with the men who perceived their fitness as better than their age-mates, the men with the 'worse' assessment had a relative risk of 3.29 (95% CI, 1.80-6.02) for all-cause mortality and 4.37 (95% CI, 1.80-10.6) for CVD mortality. Men with at least some difficulty in walking a distance of 2 km had a relative risk of 1.62 (95% CI, 1.05-2.50) for all-cause mortality when compared with those who had no functional difficulties. In addition, in the comparison with subjects with no functional difficulties, the men and women who had some difficulty climbing several flights of stairs had relative risks of 1.47 (95% CI, 0.97-2.23) and 2.39 (95% CI, 1.25-4.60) for all-cause mortality, respectively. For CVD mortality the relative risks were 1.85 (95% CI, 1.04-3.30) and 3.38 (1.22-9.41), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Although BMI did not prove to be an independent risk factor for mortality from CVD, CHD or from all causes combined, perceived physical fitness and functional capability did. An increase in LTPA seems to have a similar beneficial effect on the mortality risk of obese and nonobese men and women, and the effect also seems to be similar for fit and unfit subjects.     

Plasma N-terminal fragments of natriuretic propeptides predict the risk of cardiovascular events and mortality in middle-aged men.

AIMS: The prognostic significance of N-terminal pro-A-type (NT-proANP) and pro-B-type natriuretic peptides (NT-proBNP) is not well documented in population-based prospective studies. We, therefore, studied if both NT-proANP and NT-proBNP are predictive for overall death, cardiovascular events, and atrial fibrillation (AF) among middle-aged men without heart failure or AF at baseline. METHODS AND RESULTS: Plasma NT-proANP and NT-proBNP were measured in a representative population-based sample of 905 men (age 46-65 years) from eastern Finland. There were 110 deaths [58 cardiovascular and 40 coronary heart disease (CHD)] and 59 cases of AF during a follow-up of 10 years. The multivariable adjusted risk for overall was 1.35-fold (95% CI 1.15-1.57) and 1.52-fold (95% CI 1.21-1.91) for CHD death for each SD (160.8 pmol/L) increment in NT-proANP. The respective risks were 1.26-fold (95% CI 1.12-1.42) and 1.44-fold (95% CI 1.22-1.60) for each SD (58.9 pmol/L) increment in NT-proBNP. The adjusted risks for future AF were 1.46 (P<0.001) and 1.72-fold (P<0.001) for each SD increment in NT-proANP and NT-proBNP, respectively. CONCLUSION: The main finding of the present study is that NT-proANP and NT-proBNP are strong predictors of death from cardiovascular and other causes including AF. These natriuretic peptides add to the prognostic value of conventional risk factors and provide a non-invasive measure for identifying men with high risk of death and its co-morbidities.     

A population-based study of the long-term risks associated with atrial fibrillation: 20-year follow-up of the Renfrew/Paisley study

PURPOSE: To describe the effect of atrial fibrillation on long-term morbidity and mortality. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: The Renfrew/Paisley Study surveyed 7052 men and 8354 women aged 45-64 years between 1972 and 1976. All hospitalizations and deaths occurring during the subsequent 20 years were analyzed by the presence or absence of atrial fibrillation at baseline. Lone atrial fibrillation was defined in the absence of other cardiovascular signs or symptoms. Cox proportional hazards models were used to adjust for age and cardiovascular conditions. RESULTS: After 20 years, 42 (89%) of the 47 women with atrial fibrillation had a cardiovascular event (death or hospitalization), compared with 2276 (27%) of the 8307 women without this arrhythmia. Among men, 35 (66%) of 53 with atrial fibrillation had an event, compared with 3151 (45%) of 6999 without atrial fibrillation. In women, atrial fibrillation was an independent predictor of cardiovascular events (rate ratio [RR] = 3.0; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.1-4.2), fatal or nonfatal strokes (RR = 3.2; 95% CI: 1.0-5.0), and heart failure (RR = 3.4; 95% CI: 1.9-6.2). The rate ratios among men were 1.8 (95% CI: 1.3-2.5) for cardiovascular events, 2.5 (95% CI: 1.3-4.8) for strokes, and 3.4 (95% CI: 1.7-6.8) for heart failure. Atrial fibrillation was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in women (RR = 2.2; 95% CI: 1.5-3.2) and men (RR = 1.5; 95% CI: 1.2-2.2). However, lone atrial fibrillation (which occurred in 15 subjects) was not associated with a statistically significant increase in either cardiovascular events (RR = 1.5; 95% CI: 0.6-3.6) or mortality (RR = 1.8; 95% CI: 0.9-3.8). CONCLUSIONS: Atrial fibrillation is associated with an increased long-term risk of stroke, heart failure, and all-cause mortality, especially in women.     

Continuous relation between left ventricular mass and cardiovascular risk in essential hypertension

The detection of left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy on echocardiography is a powerful risk indicator in essential hypertension. However, the prognostic impact of LV mass values within the "normal" range and the shape of the relation between LV mass and prognosis remain unclear. Thus, 1925 white subjects with uncomplicated essential hypertension underwent off-therapy 24-hour blood pressure monitoring and M-mode echocardiography. During 4. 0+/-2 years of follow-up, there were 181 major cardiovascular events (2.4/100 patient-years) and 49 deaths from all causes. In the 5 gender-specific quintiles of LV mass distribution (partition values: 92, 105, 120, and 138 g/m(2) in men and 79, 91, 102, and 116 g/m(2) in women), cardiovascular event rates were 0.8, 1.7, 2.2, 2.9, and 4. 3 per 100 patient-years. After adjustment for several risk factors, including 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure, the relative risk (RR) of developing a cardiovascular event increased progressively from the first quintile (RR 1) to the second (RR 1.6, 95% CI 0.8 to 3.1), third (RR 1.9, 95% CI 1.01 to 4.0), fourth (RR 3.0, 95% CI 1.5 to 5. 8), and fifth (RR 3.5, 95% CI 1.8 to 6.8) quintile. For all-cause death, the RR in the fifth quintile compared with the first quintile was 4.3 (95% CI 1.2 to 13.4). In conclusion, the powerful relation between LV mass and risk of cardiovascular disease in subjects with uncomplicated essential hypertension is continuous over a wide range of LV mass values, even below the current "upper normal" limits. The relation remains significant after control for traditional risk factors, including ambulatory blood pressure.     

A prospective study of maturity-onset diabetes mellitus and risk of coronary heart disease and stroke in women

We examined the relationship of maturity-onset clinical diabetes mellitus with the subsequent incidence of coronary heart disease, stroke, total cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality in a cohort of 116,177 US women who were 30 to 55 years of age and free of known coronary heart disease, stroke, and cancer in 1976. During 8 years of follow-up (889 255 person-years), we identified 338 nonfatal myocardial infarctions, 111 coronary deaths, 259 strokes, 238 cardiovascular deaths, and 1349 deaths from all causes. Diabetes was associated with a markedly increased risk of nonfatal myocardial infarction and fatal coronary heart disease (age-adjusted relative risk [RR] = 6.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 5.3 to 8.4), ischemic stroke (RR = 5.4; 95% CI, 3.3 to 9.0), total cardiovascular mortality (RR = 6.3; 95% CI, 4.6 to 8.6), and all-cause mortality (RR = 3.0; 95% CI, 2.5 to 3.7). A major independent effect of diabetes persisted in multivariate analyses after simultaneous control for other known coronary risk factors (for these end points, RR [95% CI] = 3.1 [2.3 to 4.2], 3.0 [1.6 to 5.7], 3.0 [1.9 to 4.8], and 1.9 [1.4 to 2.4], respectively). The absolute excess coronary risk due to diabetes was greater in the presence of other risk factors, including cigarette smoking, hypertension, and obesity. These prospective data indicate that maturity-onset clinical diabetes is a strong determinant of coronary heart disease, ischemic stroke, and cardiovascular mortality among middle-aged women. The adverse effect of diabetes is amplified in the presence of other cardiovascular risk factors, many of which are modifiable.     

White blood cell count and risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in nationwide sample of Japanese--results from the NIPPON DATA90.

BACKGROUND: The association of white blood cell (WBC) count with all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality were examined in the National Integrated Project for Prospective Observation of Non-communicable Disease and Its Trends in the Aged (NIPPON DATA) 90. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 6,756 Japanese residents (2,773 men and 3,983 women) throughout Japan without a history of CVD were followed for 9.6 years. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to estimate the relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). We documented 576 deaths with 161 deaths from CVD. Overall, after adjusting for several confounders including age, sex, body mass index at baseline, smoking status, alcohol consumption, regular exercise, diastlic blood pressure, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol and hemoglobin A1c, a graded association between WBC count and higher risk of all-cause mortality was observed (WBC of 9,000-10,000 cells/mm(3) vs WBC of 4,000-4,900: RR =1.61, 95% CI: 1.07-2.40, p for trend =0.02). Elevated WBC count was almost significantly associated with high risk of CVD mortality (WBC of 9,000-10,000 vs WBC of 4,000-4,900: RR =1.79, 95% CI: 0.97-3.71). These associations strengthened among women. Stratified by smoking status, never-smokers with WBC counts of 9,000-10,000 had a 3.2 fold elevated risk for CVD death compared with those with WBC counts of 4,000-4,900. CONCLUSIONS: The WBC count may have potential as a predictor for all-cause mortality, particularly CVD mortality.