Post-transplant eosinophilic gastrointestinal disorders and lymphoproliferative disorder in pediatric liver transplant recipients on tacrolimus

AimTo examine and characterize post-transplant eosinophilic gastrointestinal disorders (PTEGID) and post-transplant lymphoproliferative disorder (PTLD) in pediatric liver transplant recipients.MethodsThis is a single center retrospective study of all liver transplant recipients aged 0–18 years from 1999 to 2019 who received tacrolimus as their primary immunosuppressant. Demographic data and clinical/laboratory data including PTEGID, PTLD, liver transplant types, Epstein-Barr virus status, and blood eosinophil count were reviewed. Analysis was done with logistic regression and Mann-Whitney U test.ResultsNinety-eight pediatric liver transplant recipients were included with median age at transplantation of 3.3 years (IQR: 1.1–9.3). The major indication for transplantation was biliary atresia, 51 (52%) cases. Eight (8%) children had PTLD and 14 (14%) had PTEGID. Receiving liver transplantation at an age of ≤1 year was associated with developing PTEGID (OR = 11.9, 95% CI = 3.5–45.6, p < 0.001). Additionally, eosinophilic count of ≥500/μL was associated with having PTLD (OR = 10.7, 95% CI = 1.8–206.0, p = 0.030) as well as having at least one liver rejection (OR = 2.8, 95% CI = 1.2–7.0, p = 0.024). The frequency of food-induced anaphylaxis significantly increased post-transplantation (p = 0.023).ConclusionsPTEGID and PTLD are common in this cohort and are associated with certain risk factors that help screen children to improve recipient survival. Further studies are needed to evaluate the clinical benefits of these findings.     

Are Patients Being Appropriately Selected for Same-Day Discharge Total Knee Arthroplasty?

BackgroundDecreased cost associated with same-day discharge (SDD) total knee arthroplasty (TKA) has led to an increased interest in this topic. The purpose of this study is to investigate whether there is a population of TKA patients in which SDD has similar rates of 30-day complications compared to patients discharged on postoperative day 1 or 2.MethodsUsing the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database from 2012 to 2018, 6,327 TKA patients who had a SDD (length of stay [LOS] = 0) were matched to TKA patients who had an LOS of 1 or 2 days. All SDD patients were successfully matched 1:1 using the morbidity probability variable (a composite variable of demographics, comorbidities, and laboratory values). Patients were divided into quartiles based on their morbidity probability. Bivariate logistic regressions were then used to compare any complication and major complication rates in the SDD quartiles to the corresponding quartiles with an LOS of 1 or 2 days.ResultsWhen comparing the 1st quartiles (healthiest), there was no difference between the cohorts in any complication (odds ratio [OR] = 0.960, 95% CI 0.552-1.670, P = .866) and major complications (OR = 0.999, 95% CI = 0.448-2.231, P = .999). The same was observed in quartile 2 (any complications: OR = 1.161, 95% CI = 0.720-1.874, P = .540). Comparing the third quartiles, there was an increase in all complications with SDD (OR = 1.784, 95% CI = 1.125-2.829, P = .014), but no difference in major complications (OR = 1.635, 95% CI = 0.874-3.061, P = .124). Comparing the fourth quartiles (least healthy), there was an increase in all complications (OR = 1.384, 95% CI = 1.013-1.892, P = .042) and major complications (OR = 1.711, 95% CI = 1.048-2.793, P = .032) with SDD.ConclusionThe unhealthiest 50% of patients in this study who underwent SDD TKA were at an increased risk of having any complication, calling into question the current state of patient selection for SDD TKA.Level of EvidenceIII.     

Genetic polymorphism in hOGG1 is associated with triple-negative breast cancer risk in Chinese Han women

8-hydroxy-2′-deoxyguanine (8-OHdG), a typical product of oxidative stress-induced DNA damage, can cause a G–T transversion during DNA replication if it is not removed. Human 8-oxoguanine glycosylase 1 (hOGG1), a key DNA repair gene, recognizes and excises 8-OHdG from damaged DNA accurately; however, a c.977C>G (Ser326Cys) polymorphism in hOGG1 can inhibit the gene's ability to remove 8-OHdG. The aim of present study was to investigate the association between the c.977C>G polymorphism in hOGG1 and the risk of breast cancer in Chinese Han women. We used high-resolution melting and sequencing to analyze the genotypes of 630 patients with sporadic breast cancer patients and 777 healthy controls. We also performed risk-stratified subgroup analyses to determine the association between the c.977C>G polymorphism and other characteristics of breast cancer subgroups. Breast cancer patients and healthy controls did not have significantly different of c.977C/G genotypes (odds ratio [OR] = 1.10, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.82–1.49, p = 0.57) and c.977G/G genotypes (OR = 1.34, 95% CI = 0.97–1.84, p = 0.09). However, the c.977G/G genotype was especially prevalent in breast cancer patients who were younger than 55 years (OR = 1.58, 95% CI = 1.05–2.39, p = 0.04), were premenopausal status (OR = 1.87, 95% CI = 1.14–3.06, p = 0.02), had triple-negative disease (OR = 2.14, 95% CI = 1.06–4.29, p = 0.04), or p53-positive disease (OR = 1.56, 95% CI = 1.14–2.12, p = 0.005). These findings suggest that the c.977C>G polymorphism in hOGG1 is associated with an increased risk of breast cancer in Chinese Han women who are younger than 55 years, premenopausal, triple-negative, or p53-positive subgroups.     

Predicting Inpatient Status After Primary Total Knee Arthroplasty in Medicare-Aged Patients

BackgroundThe Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) removed total knee arthroplasty (TKA) from its inpatient only (IPO) list as of January 1, 2018. The purpose of this study was to establish a risk-stratifying nomogram to aid in determining the need for inpatient admission among Medicare-aged patients undergoing primary TKA.MethodsThe American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was queried to identify all patients aged ≥65 years who underwent primary TKA between 2006 and 2015. The primary outcome measure was inpatient admission, as defined by hospital length of stay longer than 2 days. Multiple demographic, comorbid, and perioperative variables were incorporated in a multivariate logistic regression model to yield a risk stratification nomogram.ResultsSixty-one thousand two hundred eighty-four inpatient and 26,066 outpatient admissions were analyzed. Age >80 years (odds ratio [OR] = 2.27, P < .0001, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.13-2.42), simultaneous bilateral TKA (OR = 2.02, P < .0001, 95% CI = 1.77-2.30), dependent functional status (OR = 1.95, P < .0001, 95% CI = 1.62-2.35), metastatic cancer (OR = 1.91, P = .055, 95% CI = 0.99-3.73), and female gender (OR = 1.76, P < .0001, 95% CI = 1.70-1.82) were the greatest determinants of inpatient stay. The resulting predictive model demonstrated acceptable discrimination and excellent calibration.ConclusionOur model enabled a reliable and straightforward identification of the most suitable candidates for inpatient admission in Medicare aged–patients undergoing primary TKA. Larger multicenter studies are necessary to externally validate the proposed predictive nomogram.     

Predictors of preoperative deep vein thrombosis in hip fractures: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BackgroundThe predictors of preoperative deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in patients with hip fractures remain unclear. Therefore, this study describes the results of a systematic review and meta-analysis of relevant peer-reviewed literature on this topic.MethodsWe searched PubMed, Google Scholar, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and MEDLINE for articles published in English on the predictors of preoperative DVT in hip fractures. We calculated pooled odds ratios (OR) or mean differences (MD) for the DVT groups as compared with the non-DVT groups for each variable, including gender, age, body mass index, injury side, current smoking status, time from injury to admission, time from injury to surgery, fracture type, hypertension, arrhythmia, coronary artery disease, diabetes, stroke, kidney disease, liver disease, lung disease, malignancy, rheumatoid arthritis, D-dimer, fibrinogen, activated partial thromboplastin time, prothrombin time, thrombin time, hemoglobin, albumin, total cholesterol, and triglycerides.ResultsWe included 9 studies involving 3,123 Asian patients with hip fractures (DVT, n = 570; non-DVT, n = 2,553). Being female (OR = 1.27; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04–1.56; p = 0.02), being of advanced age (MD = 1.63; 95% CI 0.80–2.47; p = 0.0001), having a longer time from injury to admission (MD = 0.80; 95% CI 0.48–1.12; p < 0.00001), having a longer time from injury to surgery (MD = 2.20; 95% CI 1.53–2.88; p < 0.00001), and the presence of kidney disease (OR = 1.76; 95% CI 1.04–2.96; p = 0.03) were correlated with a high risk of DVT. However, we found no significant differences between the two groups in the other predictors.ConclusionsEvidence indicates that being female, being of advanced age, having a longer time from injury to admission, having a longer time from injury to surgery, and having kidney disease are significantly correlated with a high risk of preoperative DVT in Asian patients with hip fracture. Further investigations with patients of other ethnicities are required.     

Risk factors associated with Hepatitis E virus infection in kidney transplant recipients in a single tertiary Center in the United States

BackgroundHepatitis E virus (HEV), the causative agent of hepatitis E, is a common but self-limiting disease. However, in immunosuppressed kidney transplant 47 recipients (KTRs), HEV infection can become chronic. We investigated risk factors associated with HEV infection among 271 KTRs at the Johns Hopkins Hospital transplanted between 1988 and 2012.MethodsHEV infection was defined as having positive anti-HEV IgM, anti-HEV IgG, or HEV RNA. The risk factors included: age at transplant, sex, hemodialysis/peritoneal dialysis, plasmapheresis, transfusions, community urbanization, and other socioeconomic factors. Logistic regression was used to determine independent risk factors associated with HEV infection.ResultsOut of 271 KTRs, 43 (16%) had HEV infection though not active disease. HEV infection in KTRs was associated with older age (≥45 years; OR = 4.04; 95% CI = 1.81–57 10.03; p = 0.001) and living in communities with low proportions of minorities (OR = 0.22; 95% 58 CI = 0.04–0.90; p = 0.046).ConclusionKTRs who had HEV infection may be at an increased risk of developing chronic HEV.     

Smoking Cessation has no Influence on Quality of Life in Patients with Peripheral Arterial Disease 5 Years Post-vascular Surgery

ObjectivesSmoking is an important modifiable risk factor in patients with peripheral arterial disease (PAD). We investigated differences in quality of life (QoL) between patients who quitted smoking during follow-up and persistent smokers.DesignCohort study.MethodsData of 711 consecutively enrolled patients undergoing vascular surgery were collected in 11 hospitals in the Netherlands. Smoking status was obtained at baseline and at 3-year follow-up. A 5-year follow-up to measure QoL was performed with the EuroQol-5D (EQ-5D) and Peripheral Arterial Questionnaire (PAQ).ResultsAfter adjusting for clinical risk factors, patients, who quit smoking within 3 years after vascular surgery, did not report an impaired QoL (EQ-5D: odds ratio (OR) = 0.63, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.28–1.43; PAQ: OR = 0.76, 95% CI = 0.35–1.65; visual analogue scale (VAS): OR = 0.88, 95% CI = 0.42–1.84) compared with patients, who continued smoking. Current smokers were significantly more likely to have an impaired QoL (EQ-5D: OR = 1.86, 95% CI = 1.09–3.17; PAQ: OR = 1.63, 95% CI = 1.00–2.65), although no differences in VAS scores were found (OR = 1.17, 95% CI = 0.72–1.90).ConclusionsThere was no effect of smoking cessation on QoL in PAD patients undergoing vascular surgery. Nevertheless, given the link between smoking, complications and mortality in this patient group, smoking cessation should be a primary target in secondary prevention.     

Recombinant human bone morphogenetic protein is a valid alternative to autologous bone graft for long bone non-unions: a systematic review and meta-analysis

ObjectiveTo compare the efficacy of recombinant human bone morphogenetic proteins (rhBMPs) and autologous bone graft (ABG) on the healing of long bone non-union.MethodsA systematic literature search was conducted on PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and CNKI up to December 2021. Two authors independently screened the studies, extracted data, and assessed the quality of the trials. A Meta-analysis was performed using state software (version 12.0).ResultsA total of 14 studies were included in this meta-analysis. Overall, there was no significant difference between the rhBMPs group and the ABG group in terms of healing rate (RR = 1.04, 95% CI = 0.96–1.12, p = 0.365) and healing time (SMD = −0.31, 95% CI = −0.76–0.14, p = 0.175). Subgroup analysis showed rhBMPs lead to higher healing rates (RR = 1.35, 95% CI = 1.17–1.56, p < 0.001), and shorter healing time (SMD = −0.65, 95% CI = −1.08 to −0.22, p = 0.003) in the subgroup of moderate-quality studies. Sensitivity analysis proved that our conclusions were relatively robust. No significant publication bias was recognized in all studies (Begg’s test, p = 0.193; Egger's test, p = 0.307).ConclusionsRhBMPs or combined with allografts bone, inorganic bone was a valid alternative to ABG for the treatment of long bone non-union.     

The Association of Race/Ethnicity and Total Knee Arthroplasty Outcomes in a Universally Insured Population

BackgroundPrior studies have documented racial/ethnic disparities in the United States for total knee arthroplasty (TKA) outcomes. One factor cited as a potential mediator is unequal access to care. We sought to assess whether racial/ethnic disparities persist in a universally insured TKA population.MethodsA US integrated health system’s total joint replacement registry was used to identify elective primary TKA (2000-2016). Racial/ethnic differences in revision and 90-day postoperative events (readmission, emergency department [ED] visit, infection, venous thromboembolism, and mortality) were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard and logistic regression with adjustment for confounders.ResultsOf 129,402 TKA, 68.8% were white, 16.2% were Hispanic, 8.4% were black, and 6.6% were Asian. Compared to white patients, Hispanic patients had lower risks of septic revision (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.69, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.57-0.83) and infection (odds ratio [OR] = 0.42, 95% CI = 0.30-0.59), but a higher likelihood of ED visit (OR = 1.28, 95% CI = 1.22-1.34). Black patients had higher risks of aseptic revision (HR = 1.61, 95% CI = 1.42-1.83), readmission (OR = 1.13, 95% CI = 1.02-1.24), and ED visit (OR = 1.31, 95% CI = 1.23-1.39). Asian patients had lower risks of aseptic revision (HR = 0.67, 95% CI = 0.54-0.83), septic revision (HR = 0.78, 95% CI = 0.60-0.99), readmission (OR = 0.89, 95% CI = 0.79-1.00), and venous thromboembolism (OR = 0.59, 95% CI = 0.45-0.78).ConclusionWe observed differences in TKA outcome, even within a universally insured population. While lower risks in some outcomes were observed for Asian and Hispanic patients, the higher risks of aseptic revision and readmission for black patients and ED visit for black and Hispanic patients warrant further research to determine reasons for these findings to mitigate disparities.Level of EvidenceLevel III.     

Does Regional Anesthesia Reduce Complications Following Total Hip and Knee Replacement Compared With General Anesthesia? An Analysis From the National Joint Registry for England,Wales, Northern Ireland and the Isle of Man

BackgroundRegional anesthesia is increasingly used in enhanced recovery programs following total hip replacement (THR) and total knee replacement (TKR). However, debate remains about its potential benefit over general anesthesia given that complications following surgery are rare. We assessed the risk of complications in THR and TKR patients receiving regional anesthesia compared with general anesthesia using the world’s largest joint replacement registry.MethodsWe studied the National Joint Registry for England, Wales, Northern Ireland and the Isle of Man linked to English hospital inpatient episodes for 779,491 patients undergoing THR and TKR. Patients received either regional anesthesia (n = 544,620, 70%) or general anesthesia (n = 234,871, 30%). Outcomes assessed at 90 days included length of stay, readmissions, and complications. Regression models were adjusted for patient and surgical factors to determine the effect of anesthesia on outcomes.ResultsLength of stay was reduced with regional anesthesia compared with general anesthesia (THR = −0.49 days, 95% confidence interval [CI] = −0.51 to −0.47 days, P < .001; TKR = −0.47 days, CI = −0.49 to −0.45 days, P < .001). Regional anesthesia also had a reduced risk of readmission (THR odds ratio [OR] = 0.93, CI = 0.90-0.96; TKA OR = 0.91, CI = 0.89-0.93), any complication (THR OR = 0.88, CI = 0.85-0.91; TKA OR = 0.90, CI = 0.87-0.93), urinary tract infection (THR OR = 0.85, CI = 0.77-0.94; TKR OR = 0.87, CI = 0.79-0.96), and surgical site infection (THR OR = 0.87, CI = 0.80-0.95; TKR OR = 0.84, CI = 0.78-0.89). Anesthesia type did not affect the risk of revision surgery or mortality.ConclusionRegional anesthesia was associated with reduced length of stay, readmissions, and complications following THR and TKR when compared with general anesthesia. We recommend regional anesthesia should be considered the reference standard for patients undergoing THR and TKR.     

Chemoprophylaxis for venous thromboembolism in pelvic and/or acetabular fractures: A systematic review

BackgroundIt is unclear which pharmacological agents, and at what dosage and timing, are most effective for venous thromboembolism (VTE) prophylaxis in patients with pelvic/acetabular fractures.MethodsWe searched the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Embase, Web of Science, EBSCO, and PubMed on October 3, 2020, for English-language studies of VTE prophylaxis in patients with pelvic/acetabular fractures. We applied no date limits. We included studies that compared efficacy of pharmacological agents for VTE prophylaxis, timing of administration of such agents, and/or dosage of such agents. We recorded interventions, sample sizes, and VTE incidence, including deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism.ResultsTwo studies (3604 patients) compared pharmacological agents, reporting that patients who received direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) were less likely to develop DVT than those who received low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) (p < 0.01). Compared with unfractionated heparin (UH), LMWH was associated with lower odds of VTE (odds ratio [OR] = 0.37, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.22–0.63) and death (OR = 0.27, 95% CI: 0.10–0.72). Three studies (3107 patients) compared timing of VTE prophylaxis, reporting that late prophylaxis was associated with higher odds of VTE (OR = 1.9, 95% CI: 1.2–3.2) and death (OR = 4.0, 95% CI: 1.5–11) and higher rates of symptomatic DVT (9.2% vs. 2.5%, p = 0.03; and 22% vs. 3.1%, p = 0.01). One study (31 patients) investigated dosage of VTE prophylaxis, reporting that a higher proportion of patients with acetabular fractures were underdosed (23% of patients below range of anti–Factor Xa [aFXa] had acetabular fractures vs. 4.8% of patients within adequate range of aFXa, p<0.01).Conclusions: Early VTE chemoprophylaxis (within 24 or 48 h after injury) was better than late administration in terms of VTE and death. Many patients with acetabular fractures are underdosed with LMWH, with inadequate aFXa levels. Compared with UH, LMWH was associated with lower odds of VTE and death. DOACs were associated with lower risk of DVT compared with LMWH.Level of Evidence: III, systematic review of retrospective cohort studies.     

Incidence,risk factors and clinical implications of postoperative urinary tract infection in geriatric hip fractures

IntroductionPostoperative urinary tract infection (UTI) is common in geriatric patients; however, little is known about the impact of UTI in orthopedic trauma. The present study was designed to determine the risk factors and clinical impact of postoperative urinary tract infection (UTI) in acute geriatric hip fractures.Patients and methodsGeriatric patients (≥65 years of age) undergoing hip fracture surgery were identified within the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program between 2016 and 2019. Patients presenting with UTI at the time of surgery were excluded. Baseline characteristics and outcomes were compared between patients with and without postoperative UTI. Multivariate logistic regression was performed, controlling for potential confounders.ResultsA total of 46,263 patients included in the study. Overall, 1,397 (3.02%) patients had postoperative UTI. Patients who developed postoperative UTI had higher rates of pneumonia (6.44% vs. 3.76%, p < 0.001), DVT (2.22% vs. 1.04%, p < 0.001), sepsis (7.73% vs. 0.62%, p < 0.001), and more frequently experienced postoperative hospital lengths of stay exceeding 6 days (37.94% vs. 20.33%, p < 0.001). Hospital readmission occurred more frequently in patients with postoperative UTI (24.55% vs. 7.85%, p < 0.001), but surprisingly, these patients had a lower mortality rate (1.36% vs. 2.2%, p < 0.001). Adjusted analysis demonstrated the following variables associated with postoperative UTI: age ≥ 85 (OR = 1.37, 95%CI = 1.08 - 1.73), ASA class ≥ 3 (OR = 1.59, 95%CI = 1.21 – 2.08,), chronic steroid use (OR = 1.451, 95%CI = 1.05 - 1.89), blood transfusion (OR = 1.24, 95%CI = 1.05 - 1.48), and >2 days delay from admission to operation (OR = 1.37, 95%CI = 1.05 - 1.79). Postoperative UTI was significantly associated with sepsis (OR = 7.65, 95%CI = 5.72 – 10.21), postoperative length of stay >2 days (OR = 1.83, 95%CI = 1.07 – 3.13), and readmission (OR = 3, 95%CI = 2.54 – 3.55).ConclusionsIn our study, postoperative UTI was found in 3% of geriatric hip fracture patients. Predictors of postoperative UTI were age ≥ 85, ASA class ≥ 3, chronic steroid use, blood transfusion, and time to operation > 2 days from admission. Results showed that postoperative UTI is independently associated with sepsis, postoperative length of stay beyond 2 days, and hospital readmission. To diminish the risk of UTI and its consequences, we recommend operating geriatric hip fractures in 24–48 hours after admission.     

Neuraxial Anesthesia Significantly Reduces 30-Day Venous Thromboembolism Rate and Length of Hospital Stay in Primary Total Hip Arthroplasty: A Stratified Propensity Score–Matched Cohort Analysis

BackgroundGeneral anesthesia (GA) has been the commonly used protocol for total hip arthroplasty (THA); however, neuraxial anesthesia (NA) has been increasingly performed. Our purpose was to compare NA and GA for 30-day postoperative outcomes in United States veterans undergoing primary THA.MethodsA large veteran’s database was utilized to identify patients undergoing primary THA between 1999 and 2019. A total of 56,244 patients had undergone THA and were included in our study. Of these, 44,780 (79.6%) had received GA, and 10,788 (19.2%) had received NA. Patients receiving NA or GA were compared for 30-day mortalities, cardiovascular, respiratory, and renal complications, and wound infections and hospital lengths of stay (LOS). Propensity score matching, multivariate regression analyses, and subgroup analyses by American Society of Anesthesiology classification were performed to control for selection bias and patient baseline characteristics.ResultsUpon propensity-adjusted multivariate analyses, NA was associated with decreased risks for deep venous thrombosis (odds ratio [OR] = 0.63; 95% CI = 0.4-0.9; P = .02), any respiratory complication (OR = 0.63; 95% CI = 0.5-0.9; P = .003), unplanned reintubation (OR = 0.51; 95% CI = 0.3-0.9; P = .009), and prolonged LOS (OR = 0.78; 95% CI = 0.72-0.84; P < .001). Subgroup analyses by American Society of Anesthesiology classes showed NA decreased 30-day venous thromboembolism rate in low-risk (class I/II) patients and decreased respiratory complications in high-risk (class III/IV) patients.ConclusionUsing a patient cohort obtained from a large national database, NA was associated with reduced risk of 30-day adverse events compared to GA in patients undergoing THA. Postoperative adverse events were decreased with NA administration with similar decreases observed across all patient preoperative risk levels. NA was also associated with a significant decrease in hospital LOS.     

Using machine learning methods to predict prolonged operative time in elective total shoulder arthroplasty

BackgroundMachine learning (ML) is a form of artificial intelligence in which computer algorithms improve automatically with experience. Recently, ML has been utilized to predict operative characteristics and patient outcomes for orthopedic procedures, thereby allowing for better patient selection and preoperative planning. This study sought to develop ML models to aid in predicting operative time and 30-day postoperative complications for elective total shoulder arthroplasty and to compare them to regression models.MethodsThis cross-sectional national database study identified patients who underwent elective total shoulder arthroplasty from 2012 to 2018 in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program registry. Boosted decision tree and artificial neural network (ANN) ML models were developed to predict prolonged operative time and 30-day postoperative complication rates. Model performance was measured using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and overall accuracy. Multivariate binary logistic regression analyses were also used to identify variables that predicted prolonged operative time and 30-day postoperative complication rates. ML model performance was then compared to the regression models in predicting outcomes.ResultsIn total, 21,544 elective total shoulder arthroplasty procedures met inclusion criteria. Variables associated with greater odds of prolonged operative time included male sex (odds ratio [OR] = 0.66; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.61-0.71; P < .001), obesity (OR = 1.19; 95% CI = 1.09-1.29; P < .001), age under 70 years (OR = 0.77; 95% CI = 0.71-0.85; P < .001), smoking history (OR = 1.16; 95% CI = 1.03-1.32; P = .022), and history of cancer (OR = 2.91; 95% CI = 1.52-5.54; P = .001). The boosted decision tree model yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.642, with an overall accuracy of 85.6% for predicting prolonged operative time. The ANN model had an AUC of 0.906 and overall accuracy of 84.7%, while the regression model had an AUC of 0.590 with overall accuracy of 85.6%. Thirty-day complication rate (7.7% vs. 3.9%, respectively; P < .001) and reoperation rate (1.8% vs. 1.2%, respectively; P = .006) also differed significantly between the prolonged operative duration and normal operative duration cohorts.ConclusionThis is the first study to successfully develop ML models for predicting operative time in total shoulder arthroplasty and compare them to existing methods of data analysis. The ANN model was superior to the other models in predicting prolonged operative time. With regard to 30-day postoperative complications, both ML models displayed fair predictive capacity, compared to the regression model, which had poor predictive performance.Level of evidenceLevel III; Database Retrospective Comparative Cohort Study     

Disparities in trauma care education: An observational study of the ATLS course within a national trauma system

BackgroundDisparities in trauma systems, including gaps between trauma center levels, affect patient outcomes. Advanced Trauma Life Support (ATLS) is a standard method of care that improves the performance of lower-level trauma systems. We sought to study potential gaps in ATLS education within a national trauma system.MethodsThis prospective observational study examined the characteristics of 588 surgical board residents and fellows taking the ATLS course. The course is required for board certification in adult trauma specialties (general surgery, emergency medicine, and anesthesiology), pediatric trauma specialties (pediatric emergency medicine and pediatric surgery), and trauma consulting specialties (all other surgical board specialties). We compared the differences in course accessibility and success rates within a national trauma system which includes seven level 1 trauma centers (L1TC) and twenty-three non-level 1 hospitals (NL1H).ResultsResident and fellow students were 53% male, 46% employed in L1TC, and 86% were in the final stages of their specialty program. Only 32% were enrolled in adult trauma specialty programs. Students from L1TC had a 10% higher ATLS course pass rate than NL1H (p = 0.003). Trauma center level was associated with higher odds to pass the ATLS course, even after adjustment to other variables (OR = 1.925 [95% CI = 1.151 to 3.219]). Compared to NL1H, the course was two-three times more accessible to students from L1TC and 9% more accessible to adult trauma specialty programs (p = 0.035). The course was more accessible to students at early levels of training in NL1H (p < 0.001). Female students and trauma consulting specialties enrolled in L1TC programs were more likely to pass the course (OR = 2.557 [95% CI = 1.242 to 5.264] and 2.578 [95% CI = 1.385 to 4.800], respectively).ConclusionsPassing the ATLS course is affected by trauma center level, independent of other student factors. Educational disparities between L1TC and NL1H include ATLS course access for core trauma residency programs at early training stages. Some gaps are more pronounced among consulting trauma specialties and female surgeons. Educational resources should be planned to favor lower-level trauma centers, specialties dealing in trauma care, and residents early in their postgraduate training.     

Risk Factors for Mortality in Liver Transplant Recipients With ESKAPE Infection

BackgroundAlthough infections caused by the pathogens Enterococcus faecium, Staphylococcus aureus, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Acinetobacter baumannii, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, and Enterobacter spp (ESKAPE) have recently been identified as serious emerging problems in solid organ transplant, no information in liver transplant (LT) recipients is available. We sought to investigate the risk factors for associated mortality in LT recipients with ESKAPE infections.MethodsA retrospective analysis of infection after LT was reviewed. Risk factors for mortality caused by ESKAPE infection were identified.ResultsFifty-three episodes of infections caused by ESKAPE were documented in 51 LT recipients. The main sites of infection were the bloodstream (49.0%), the lungs (33.3%), and the intra-abdominal/biliary tract (17.6%). The risk factors for mortality independently associated with ESKAPE infection were female sex (odds ratio [OR] = 6.6, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.1–40.8, P = .042), septic shock (OR = 30.1, 95% CI = 3.7–244.8, P = .001), and lymphocyte counts <300/mm³ (OR = 20.2, 95% CI = 2.9–142.2, P = .003).ConclusionsTo improve the results of LT, more effective therapeutic treatments are of paramount importance when female LT recipients with ESKAPE infection present with septic shock and decreased lymphocyte counts.     

Considering extended right lobe grafts as major extended donor criteria in liver transplantation is justified

The outcomes of split-liver transplantation are controversial. This study compared outcomes and morbidity after extended right lobe liver transplantation (ERLT) and whole liver transplantation (WLT) in adults. MEDLINE and Web of Science databases were searched systematically and unrestrictedly for studies on ERLT and its impact on graft and patient survival, and postoperative complications. Graft loss and patient mortality odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were assessed by meta-analyses using Mantel–Haenszel tests with a random-effects model. Vascular and biliary complications, primary nonfunction, 3-month, 1-, and 3-year graft and patient survival, and retransplantation after ERLT and WLT were analyzed. The literature search yielded 10 594 articles. After exclusion, 22 studies (n = 75 799 adult transplant patients) were included in the analysis. ERLT was associated with lower 3-month (OR = 1.43, 95% CI = 1.09–1.89, P = 0.01), 1-year (OR = 1.46, 95% CI = 1.08–1.97, P = 0.01), and 3-year (OR = 1.37, 95% CI = 1.01–1.84, P = 0.04) graft survival. WL grafts were less associated with retransplantation (OR = 0.57; 95% CI = 0.41–0.80; P < 0.01), vascular complications (OR = 0.53, 95% CI = 0.38–0.74, P < 0.01) and biliary complications (OR = 0.67; 95% CI = 0.47–0.95; P = 0.03). Considering ERLT as major Extended Donor Criteria is justified because ERL grafts are associated with vasculobiliary complications and the need for retransplantation, and have a negative influence on graft survival.