Delayed viral suppression during antiviral therapy is associated with increased hepatocellular carcinoma rates in HBeAg‐positive high viral load chronic hepatitis B

The treatment option in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with persistent low‐level viremia despite entecavir or tenofovir monotherapy is unclear. This study investigated the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or cirrhosis in hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)‐positive high viral load CHB patients, according to the time needed to achieve complete viral suppression. A total of 325 HBeAg‐positive CHB patients with high viral load who were recently started on antiviral therapy with entecavir or tenofovir were included. The enrolled patients were divided into 2 groups with 4 separate criteria based on the time needed to achieve complete viral suppression: within 1, 2, 3 or 4 years of therapy initiation. The outcomes were development of HCC and cirrhosis. The cumulative incidence of HCC was significantly higher in patients failing complete viral suppression within 1 year (hazard ratio (HR), 4.54; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03‐19.93; P = .045) or 2 years (HR, 3.38; 95% CI, 1.24‐9.23; P = .018), than patients who achieved complete viral suppression within 1 or 2 years, respectively. Cumulative incidence of cirrhosis was also significantly higher in patients failing suppression within 1 year (HR, 1.95; 95% CI, 1.04‐3.66; P = .037) or 2 years (HR, 2.44; 95% CI, 1.41‐4.22; P = .001). When the time for achieving viral suppression exceeded 2 years, the cumulative incidence of HCC or cirrhosis was not different regardless of viral suppression. Complete hepatitis B virus suppression within 2 years of antiviral therapy initiation is associated with risk reduction in HCC or cirrhosis development.     

Comparison of overall survival between antiviral‐induced viral suppression and inactive phase chronic hepatitis B patients

Nucleot(s)ide analogues (NAs) reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. However, the risk of HCC is reportedly higher for NA‐treated patients than for patients in the inactive CHB phase. This study aimed to compare the long‐term outcomes of CHB patients with NA‐induced viral suppression and those of patients with inactive CHB. This retrospective study involved 1118 consecutive CHB patients whose HBV DNA level was continuously <2000 IU/mL during follow‐up with/without antiviral agents. The patients were classified into inactive CHB (n = 373) or NA groups (n = 745). The primary endpoint was overall survival. Secondary endpoints included development of HCC and other liver‐related events. The median duration of follow‐up was 41.0 (interquartile range = 26.5‐55.0) months. The difference in overall survival between the NA group vs. the inactive CHB group was not significant (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.78; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.33‐1.85; P = .57). The NA group showed a significantly higher risk of HCC (HR = 3.44; 95% CI = 1.82‐6.52; P < .01), but comparable risk for non‐HCC liver‐related events (HR = 1.02; 95% CI = 0.66‐1.59; P = .93), compared with the inactive CHB group. Among patients with cirrhosis, the NA group showed a significantly lower risk of death (HR = 0.31; 95% CI = 0.097‐0.998; P = .05) and non‐HCC liver‐related events (HR = 0.51; 95% CI = 0.31‐0.83; P < .01), but a slightly higher risk of HCC (HR = 2.39; 95% CI = 0.85‐6.75; P = .09), compared to the inactive CHB group. The overall survival of untreated patients with inactive CHB and of CHB patients achieving viral suppression with NA was comparable. However, NA treatment of cirrhotic patients was significantly associated with longer overall survival and lower risk of liver‐related events.     

Hepatocellular carcinoma risk in HBeAg‐negative chronic hepatitis B patients with or without cirrhosis treated with entecavir: HepNet.Greece cohort

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may still develop in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients treated with lamivudine. Whether HCC rates are comparable in patients treated with the current first‐line antivirals remains uncertain. We estimated the incidence and evaluated predictors of HCC in a large nationwide prospective cohort (HepNet.Greece) of HBeAg‐negative CHB patients treated with entecavir. HBeAg‐negative CHB patients from the same cohort who were initially treated with lamivudine were used as controls. We included 321 patients treated with entecavir for a median of 40 months and 818 patients treated initially with lamivudine for a median of 60 months. In the entecavir group, HCC developed in 4 of 321 (1.2%) patients at a median of 1.5 (range: 1.0–4.5) years, while the cumulative HCC incidence was significantly higher in cirrhotics than noncirrhotics (1, 3, 5 years: 0%, 3%, 9% vs 1%, 1%, 1%; P = 0.024) and in older patients (P = 0.026). Entecavir compared with lamivudine group patients had lower HCC incidence (1, 3, 5 years: 0.3%, 1.2%, 2.8% vs 0.7%, 3.8%, 5.6%; P = 0.024). However, in multivariable Cox regression analysis, the HCC risk was independently associated with older age (P < 0.001), male gender (P = 0.011) and cirrhosis (P = 0.025), but not with the initial agent. In conclusion , our large nationwide study indicates that the HCC risk remains increased in entecavir‐treated HBeAg‐negative CHB patients with cirrhosis, particularly of older age, at least for the first 5 years. The HCC risk does not seem to be significantly reduced with entecavir compared with antiviral therapy starting with lamivudine.     

Serum Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer level predicts hepatocellular carcinoma development in E-negative chronic hepatitis B patients

BACKGROUND Liver cirrhosis is a major risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)development in chronic hepatitis B(CHB). Serum Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer(M2 BPGi) is a novel serological marker for fibrosis. The role of M2 BPGi in prediction of HCC is unknown.AIM To examine the role of serum M2 BPGi in predicting HCC development in hepatitis B e antigen(HBeAg)-negative patients.METHODS Treatment-naive CHB patients with documented spontaneous HBeAg seroconversion were recruited. Serum M2 BPGi was measured at baseline(within3 years from HBeAg seroconversion), at 5 years and 10 years after HBeAg seroconversion and expressed as cut-off index(COI). Multivariate cox regression was performed to identify predictors for HCC development. ROC analysis was used to determine the cut-off value of M2 BPGi.RESULTS Among 207 patients(57% male, median age at HBeAg seroconversion 40 years old) with median follow-up of 13.1(11.8-15.5) years, the cumulative incidence of HCC at 15 years was 7%. Median M2 BPGi levels were significantly higher in patients with HCC compared to those without HCC(baseline: 1.39 COI vs 0.38 COI, P 0.001; 5-year: 1.45 COI vs 0.47 COI, P 0.001; 10-year: 1.20 COI vs 0.55 COI, P = 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed age at HBeAg seroconversion[odds ratio(OR) = 1.196, 95% confidence interval(CI): 1.034-1.382, P = 0.016] and baseline M2 BPGi(OR = 4.666, 95%CI: 1.296-16.802, P = 0.018) were significant factors predictive of HCC. Using a cut-off value of 0.68 COI, baseline M2 BPGi yielded AUROC of 0.883 with 91.7% sensitivity and 80.8% specificity.CONCLUSION High serum M2 BPGi within 3 years after HBeAg seroconversion was a strong predictor for subsequent HCC development in treatment-naive HBeAg-negative CHB patients.     

Clinical impact of hepatic steatosis on chronic hepatitis B patients in Asia: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and hepatic steatosis (HS) are two prevalent chronic liver diseases in Asia. The incidence of CHB combined with HS is increasing due to the rising obesity rates. However, the impact of HS on CHB remains a topic of debate. Hereby, this meta-analysis aims to examine the effect of HS on Asian patients with CHB. Searches were conducted on four databases to identify articles published from 2005 to 2023. The random-effects or fixed-effects model was used to calculate pooled odds ratios (ORs), weighted mean difference (WMD), and confidence intervals (CIs) for the included articles. Of the 15,959 records screened, 88 studies were included in the analysis of HS prevalence in Asian CHB patients with a prevalence of 36.5% (95% CI: 33.7%–39.3%). In addition, age, sex, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and combined metabolic diseases have varying degrees of impact on HS in CHB patients. Furthermore, the coexistence of HS was negatively associated with the response to antiviral therapy, including hepatitis B surface antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion (OR = 0.69, 95% CI: 0.53–0.89) and ALT normalization (OR = 0.75, 95% CI: 0.61–0.92) in CHB patients after 48 weeks of treatment. Regarding disease prognosis, HS was not significantly associated with fibrosis or cirrhosis in CHB patients, while an inverse association was observed between HS and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (OR = 2.93, 95% CI: 1.23–6.99). This implies that the coexistence of HS in CHB patients may exacerbate the progression of HCC, which needs to be verified by further studies.     

Hepatitis B core‐related antigen levels after HBeAg seroconversion is associated with the development of hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatitis B core‐related antigen (HBcrAg) is a novel serological marker for hepatitis B virus infection. Its clinical significance after HBeAg seroconversion has not been defined. We aimed to determine the relationship between HBcrAg levels after spontaneous HBeAg seroconversion and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). A total of 207 chronic hepatitis B patients with documented time of HBeAg seroconversion were enrolled. HBcrAg and HBsAg were checked within 3 years (as baseline), at 5 and 10 years after HBeAg seroconversion. HBV DNA was measured at the baseline. Multivariate Cox regression model was used to investigate the predictors for HCC development. The median follow‐up time was 13.1 (11.8‐15.5) years. Fourteen patients developed HCC (15‐year cumulative incidence: 7%). The median level of HBcrAg at baseline was significantly higher in patients who developed HCC when compared with patients without HCC (5.68 vs 4.78 log U/ml, respectively; P = .003). Cox proportional hazards model indicated that age of HBeAg seroconversion older than 40 years (hazard ratio (HR): 4.60; P = .049), presence of baseline cirrhosis (HR: 6.23; P = .003) and a higher baseline HBcrAg (HR: 1.75; P = .032) were independently associated with HCC development. A cut‐off value of baseline HBcrAg level ≥5.21 log U/mL yielded an AUROC of 0.74 with a negative predictive value of 97.7%. High HBcrAg levels within 3 years after HBeAg seroconversion were independently associated with the development of HCC in chronic hepatitis B patients.     

Therapeutic vaccination for chronic hepatitis B: A systematic review and meta‐analysis

Therapeutic vaccines may be promising treatments for chronic hepatitis B (CHB), but their clinical efficacy and safety are unclear. We conducted a systematic review of the evidence for the efficacy and safety of therapeutic vaccines in CHB patients. We searched PubMed, EMBASE and Google Scholar from 1990 until present and abstracts from EASL, APASL and AASLD from 2012 to 2017 and selected randomized controlled trials of CHB patients, comparing therapeutic vaccines with no treatment or standard of care. The Cochrane Risk of Bias tool v2.0 and GRADE method were used. Analyses were stratified by hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) status and the comparator (therapeutic vaccines vs no treatment, or therapeutic vaccines + standard of care vs standard of care). Efficacy outcomes were HBeAg seroconversion, hepatitis B virus DNA reduction and hepatitis B virus surface antigen (HBsAg) loss, measured at the end of treatment or end of follow‐up. Effects were reported as risk differences with 95% confidence intervals using a random effects model. Fifteen studies were included. A wide variety of therapeutic vaccines were tested. For HBeAg clearance at the end of follow‐up, when comparing therapeutic vaccines vs no therapy, RD = 0.01, 95% CI ?0.05 to 0.07, and when comparing therapeutic vaccines + standard of care vs standard of care, RD = 0.03, 95% CI ?0.03 to 0.09. For HBVDNA reduction at the end of follow‐up, when comparing therapeutic vaccines vs no therapy, RD = ?0.03, 95% CI ?0.08 to 0.02, and when comparing therapeutic vaccines + standard of care, RD = 0.15, 95% CI 0.02‐0.28. There were only a few studies on HBsAg loss, and hence, the findings were inconclusive. The only efficacy finding was HBVDNA reduction at the end of follow‐up for therapeutic vaccines + standard of care vs standard of care; otherwise, therapeutic vaccines do not appear to be efficacious for the treatment of CHB, but were limited by few RCTs, suboptimal therapeutic vaccines and patient selection.     

Effects of hepatitis B e‐antigen on recurrence of hepatitis B‐related hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection: A meta‐analysis

Aim: The impact of hepatitis B e‐antigen (HBeAg) on recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative resection remains controversial. This meta‐analysis aimed to determine whether the presence of HBeAg influenced the recurrence of HCC after curative resection. Methods: We performed a meta‐analysis including six studies (a total of 865 patients) to assess the effect of HBeAg on recurrence of HCC after curative resection. The pooled odds ratios (OR) were calculated using a random or fixed effects model. PUBMED, MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cochrane Database were searched for articles published from 1990 to March 2012. Sensitivity analysis and publication bias estimate were also performed to evaluate the potential risk bias in the overall results of pooled analysis. Results: Our results showed that the presence of HBeAg significantly increased the overall HCC recurrence risk after curative resection (OR = 1.63, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.11–2.40; P = 0.01). Pooled data from three studies on the risk of early recurrence among HBeAg positive patients compared with HBeAg negative patients showed an increased risk of early recurrence (OR = 1.50, 95% CI = 1.02–2.19; P = 0.04). However, there was no significant difference in late HCC recurrence between HBeAg positive and negative patients (OR = 1.17, 95% CI = 0.62–2.19; P = 0.62). Conclusion: The present study suggested that HBeAg positive patients had a significantly higher risk of early recurrence after curative resection of HCC.     

Higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B vs chronic hepatitis C after achievement of virologic response

It is unclear whether the achievement of virologic response modifies the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) differently in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and chronic hepatitis C (CHC). Our aim was to compare the risk of HCC between patients with CHB and CHC who achieved virological response. We analysed data from patients with CHB treated with entecavir (n=2000) or CHC treated with peg‐interferon and ribavirin (n=733) at a tertiary hospital from 2004 to 2011. Virological response was defined as serum HBV DNA<15 IU/mL at 1 year of treatment for CHB or the achievement of sustained virologic response for CHC. Virological response was achieved in 1520 patients with CHB (76.0%) and 475 patients with CHC (64.8%). During the median follow‐up period of 6 years, 228 patients with CHB (11.4%) and 59 patients with CHC (8.0%) developed HCC. Among patients with virological response, CHB was independently associated with a significantly higher incidence of HCC (hazard ratio, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.30‐3.63; P=.003) than CHC. Among patients without virological response, there were no differences in HCC incidence between the two cohorts (P=.52). In patients with cirrhosis at baseline, the incidence of HCC did not differ between the two cohorts even after achieving virological response (P>.99). In conclusion, patients with CHB treated with entecavir were associated with a higher risk of HCC compared to patients with CHC treated with peg‐interferon and ribavirin after achieving virological response. However, the risk of HCC did not differ between the two cohorts if the patients had cirrhosis at baseline, even if virological response was achieved.     

Combination and evolution of HBV mutant strains in the HBeAg-positive status predict clinical outcomes after HBeAg seroconversion

Purpose

We investigated whether the combined presence and evolution of hepatitis B virus (HBV) mutant strains in the hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive status can predict clinical outcomes after HBeAg seroconversion.

Methods

One hundred and eighty-six patients with spontaneous HBeAg seroconversion were enrolled into this longitudinal study. The sequences of pre-S, core promoter, and precore regions were determined at study entry and at the visit immediately before HBeAg seroconversion.

Results

Age ≥40 years at HBeAg seroconversion, male sex, and higher HBV DNA levels at entry were independent predictors for HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Patients with combined mutations of pre-S deletions and T1762/A1764 had a significantly increased risk of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) compared to patients with the wild type at both genomic regions. Combinations of pre-S deletions and T1762/A1764 were found on the same HBV genome by cloning analysis of full-length HBV genomes. Patients with a persistent presence of pre-S deletions and T1762/A1764 mutations, and new development of pre-S deletions in the HBeAg-positive status were significantly at an increased risk of HBeAg-negative CHB, cirrhosis, and HCC after HBeAg seroconversion than those with a persistent presence of the wild type at both genomic regions. After adjusting the other risk factors, the evolution of pre-S deletions was an independent predictor for cirrhosis [hazard ratio (HR): 1.52, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.02–2.25] and HCC (HR: 4.0, 95 % CI 1.6–10.1).

Conclusions

The combined presence and evolution of pre-S deletions and T1762/A1764 in the HBeAg-positive status was a useful factor significantly predictive of clinical outcomes in patients with spontaneous HBeAg seroconversion.     

Long‐term entecavir or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate therapy in treatment‐naïve chronic hepatitis B patients in the real‐world setting

The aim of this study was to determine the long‐term efficacy of entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) on the natural course of disease in chronic hepatitis B patients (CHB) with/without cirrhosis in clinical practice. A total of 355 treatment‐naïve CHB patients were enrolled into the study. The primary outcome measure was viral suppression as defined by serum HBV DNA level <20 IU/mL. A secondary outcome measure was to determine the development of Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Virological and biochemical responses were similar between the two treatment groups over time. The presence of cirrhosis and hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) positivity did not appear to impact viral suppression. The cumulative probability of HBeAg loss was 41% at 4 years of therapy. Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss occurred in four patients. Model for End‐Stage Liver Disease score was significantly improved from baseline to week 48 and 96 under antiviral therapy (P = 0.013, P = 0.01). HCC was diagnosed in 17 patients (4.8%). The cumulative probability of the development of HCC was 3.3% at 1 year and 7.3% at 4 years of therapy. The development of HCC was independently associated with older age (P = 0.031) and the presence of cirrhosis (P = 0.004). Serum creatinine levels and creatinine clearance remained stable over time. ETV and TDF effectively maintained virological and biochemical responses in long‐term follow‐up of CHB patients with/without cirrhosis. HCC may still develop, although at a lower rate, and is more likely to develop in patients with cirrhosis, especially in older patients.     

Long-term outcome after spontaneous HBeAg seroconversion in patients with chronic hepatitis B

During the course of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion to its antibody (anti-HBe) often coincides with normalization of liver biochemical test and clinical remission, but data regarding long-term outcome after spontaneous seroconversion are still scarce. Excluding patients with other virus(es) concurrent infection, 283 patients with chronic HBV infection were followed up for at least 1 year after spontaneous HBeAg seroconversion to anti-HBe. Follow-up studies included clinical, biochemical, and virologic evaluation and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening with ultrasonography and alpha-fetoprotein assay. During a median follow-up period of 8.6 years (range, 1 to 18.4 years) after HBeAg seroconversion in 283 patients, 189 (66.8%) showed sustained remission, whereas the remaining 94 (33.2%) experienced alanine aminotransferase (ALT) elevation over twice the upper limit of normal: 12 (4.2%) associated with HBeAg reversion, 68 (24%) with detectable serum HBV DNA but HBeAg negative, and 14 (4.9%) of undetermined causes. Of the 269 patients without evidence of cirrhosis at the time of HBeAg seroconversion, 21 (7.8%) developed cirrhosis with a cumulative incidence and relative risk significantly higher in patients developing active hepatitis than in patients with sustained remission (P <.05). HCC developed in 6 (2.2%) of the 283 patients, also with a significantly higher cumulative incidence in patients developing active hepatitis after HBeAg seroconversion (P <.005). In conclusion, the results suggest that spontaneous HBeAg seroconversion confers favorable long-term outcomes. However, active hepatitis still may develop and lead to cirrhosis and HCC.     

Baseline hepatitis B core antibody predicts treatment response in chronic hepatitis B patients receiving long‐term entecavir

Studies regarding the clinical significance of quantitative hepatitis B core antibody (anti‐HBc) in patients with chronic hepatitis B receiving first‐line nucleos(t)ide analogues is limited. The aim of this study was to determine the performance of anti‐HBc as a predictor for hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion in HBeAg‐positive CHB patients treated with entecavir. This was a retrospective cohort study consisting of 139 Chinese patients enrolled in a multicenter clinical trial treated with entecavir or entecavir maleate for up to 240 weeks. Anti‐HBc evaluation was conducted for all the available samples using a newly developed double‐sandwich anti‐HBc immunoassay. At week 240, 35 (25.2%) patients achieved a serological response (HBeAg seroconversion) and these patients at week 240 had significantly higher levels of anti‐HBc (P<.01). We defined 4.65 log₁₀ IU·mL^?1, with a maximum sum of sensitivity and specificity, as the optimal cut‐off value of baseline anti‐HBc level to predict seroconversion. Patients with baseline anti‐HBc ≥4.65 log₁₀ IU·mL^?1 had 28.0% (26/93) and 35.5% (33/93) chance of seroconversion at weeks 144 and 240, respectively. The baseline anti‐HBc level was the strongest predictor for seroconversion at week 144 (OR: 5.78, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.05‐16.34, P=.001). The baseline anti‐HBc level was a strong predictor for seroconversion at week 240 (OR: 5.36, 95% CI: 2.17‐13.25, P<.001). Hence, baseline anti‐HBc titre is a useful predictor of long‐term entecavir therapy efficacy in HBeAg‐positive CHB patients, which could be used to optimize antiviral therapy.     

Relationship between hepatitis B core‐related antigen levels and sustained HBeAg seroconversion in patients treated with nucleo(s)tide analogues

Hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion experienced during nucleo(s)tide analogue (NUC) therapy is often not sustained. We aimed to study whether hepatitis B core‐related antigen (HBcrAg) levels predict sustained HBeAg seroconversion in patients treated with NUCs. We studied HBeAg‐positive patients treated with NUCs for at least 6 months. We quantified HBcrAg at baseline and at the time of HBeAg seroconversion and studied the relationship with HBeAg seroconversion and subsequent relapse. HBcrAg was quantified at baseline in 196 patients; levels varied significantly by HBV genotype and correlated with HBsAg, HBV DNA and HBeAg. Baseline HBcrAg levels were lower in patients who achieved HBeAg seroconversion than in those who did not; the unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) was 0.802 (95% CI: 0.656‐0.980, P = 0.031); and this association was not sustained in multivariate analysis. HBcrAg remained detectable in all patients at the time of HBeAg seroconversion. Higher HBcrAg at the time of seroconversion was an independent predictor of relapse (adjusted HR: 1.855 (95% CI: 1.099‐3.133, P = 0.021), and none of the patients with HBcrAg < 4.90 log U/mL experienced relapse. Baseline HBcrAg is not an independent predictor of HBeAg seroconversion during NUC therapy. HBcrAg remains detectable in patients after HBeAg seroconversion. Patients with lower levels at the time of seroconversion have a higher probability of sustained HBeAg seroconversion.     

Long-term follow-up of cumulative incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in hepatitis B virus patients without antiviral therapy

BACKGROUNDChina has a high prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV), but most chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients do not receive standardized antiviral therapy. There are few relevant reports addressing the outcomes of the large number of CHB patients who do not receive antiviral therapy.AIMTo observe the outcomes of long-term follow-up of patients with CHB without antiviral treatment.METHODSThis study included 362 patients with CHB and 96 with hepatitis B cirrhosis without antiviral treatment and with only liver protection and anti-inflammatory treatment from 1993 to 1998. The median follow-up times were 10 and 7 years, respectively. A total of 203 CHB and 129 hepatitis B cirrhosis patients receiving antiviral therapy were selected as the control groups. The median follow-up times were 8 and 7 years, respectively. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to analyze the cumulative incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and the Cox regression model was used to analyze the risk factors for HCC.RESULTSAmong the patients in the non-antiviral group, 16.9% had spontaneous decreases in HBV DNA to undetectable levels, and 32.8% showed hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion. In the antiviral group, 87.2% of patients had undetectable HBV DNA, and 52% showed HBeAg seroconversion. Among CHB and hepatitis B cirrhosis patients, the cumulative incidence rates of HCC were 14.9% and 53.1%, respectively, in the non-antiviral group and were 10.7% and 31.9%, respectively, in the antiviral group. There was no difference between the two groups regarding the CHB patients (P = 0.842), but there was a difference between the groups regarding the hepatitis B cirrhosis patients (P = 0.026). The cumulative incidence rates of HCC were 1.6% and 22.3% (P = 0.022) in the groups with and without spontaneous HBeAg seroconversion, respectively. The incidence rates of HCC among patients with and without spontaneous declines in HBV DNA to undetectable levels were 1.6% and 19.1%, respectively (P = 0.051). There was no difference in the cumulative incidence of HCC between the two groups regarding the patients with drug-resistant CHB (P = 0.119), but there was a significant difference between the two groups regarding the patients with cirrhosis (P = 0.004). The Cox regression model was used for regression of the corrected REACH-B score, which showed that alanine aminotransferase > 400 U/L, history of diabetes, and family history of liver cancer were risk factors for HCC among men aged > 40 years (P < 0.05). Multifactorial analysis showed that a family history of HCC among men was a risk factor for HCC.CONCLUSIONAntiviral therapy and non-antiviral therapy with liver protection and anti-inflammatory therapy can reduce the risk of HCC. Antiviral therapy may mask the spontaneous serological response of some patients during CHB. Therefore, the effect of early antiviral therapy on reducing the incidence of HCC cannot be overestimated.     

A novel index using routine clinical parameters for predicting significant liver inflammation in chronic hepatitis B

Identifying the degree of liver inflammation is critical for therapeutic judgement of patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). However, we lack indexes which can accurately predict significant liver inflammation in patients with CHB. This study aimed to develop a simple predictive index for liver inflammation in CHB using routine clinical parameters. A total of 519 patients with CHB who underwent liver biopsy were enrolled and randomly divided into training (n = 346) and validation cohorts (n = 173). Based on routine clinical parameters, gamma‐glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT; P = 0.031) and platelets (PLT; P < 0.001) were identified as independent predictors of significant inflammation by multivariable analysis in the training cohort. Accordingly, the GGT to PLT ratio (GPR) was developed to amplify the opposing effects for predicting liver inflammation. In the training cohort, the AUCs of GPR in predicting significant inflammation were 0.791 (95% CI: 0.742‐0.839), 0.783 (95% CI: 0.717‐0.849) and 0.791 (95% CI: 0.716‐0.867) in the entire patients with CHB, HBeAg‐positive CHB patients and HBeAg‐negative CHB patients, respectively. The diagnostic performance of GPR for significant inflammation was significantly superior to that of alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate transaminase (AST) and GGT in all patients with CHB and HBeAg‐positive CHB patients, but was comparable with ALT, AST and GGT in HBeAg‐negative CHB patients. In the validation cohort, the diagnostic performance of GPR in assessing significant liver inflammation was also superior to other indexes in all patients with CHB and HBeAg‐positive CHB patients, but was comparable with GGT in HBeAg‐negative CHB patients. Thus, GPR can be a novel and simple index for predicting significant liver inflammation in CHB, especially for HBeAg‐positive CHB.     

Cumulative incidence and risk factors for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis B who achieved sustained disappearance of viremia by nucleos(t)ide analog treatment

Aim

Nucleos(t)ide analog (NA) therapy has been reported to reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, some patients who achieve hepatitis B virus (HBV)‐DNA disappearance from serum by NA develop HCC. In this study, we investigated the cumulative incidence and risk factors for HCC in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) who achieved sustained disappearance of viremia by NA treatment.

Methods

A total of 133 CHB patients (median age, 51 years; 79 men [59%]; 28 with cirrhosis [21%]) who received NA therapy and achieved HBV‐DNA disappearance from serum were analyzed retrospectively. We evaluated the cumulative incidence of HCC and risk factors associated with HCC based on data collected at the time of HBV‐DNA disappearance.

Results

Thirteen patients developed HCC during the follow‐up period. The 1‐, 3‐, and 5‐year cumulative incidence of HCC was 0.0%, 7.8%, and 11.1%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, advanced age (hazard ratio [HR], 4.601; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.220–17.351; P = 0.024), liver cirrhosis (HR, 5.563; 95% CI, 1.438–21.519; P = 0.013), and higher HBV core‐related antigen (HBcrAg) levels (HR, 13.532; 95% CI, 1.683–108.815; P = 0.014) at the time of HBV‐DNA disappearance were significantly associated with the development of HCC.

Conclusion

Our findings indicate the importance of continuous HCC surveillance especially in patients with advanced age, cirrhosis, and/or higher serum levels of HBcrAg, even if they achieve HBV‐DNA disappearance.     

Use of cyclooxygenase inhibitor and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis B: A nested case‐control study using a nationwide population‐based data

The study aimed to investigate the relationship between the use of COX inhibitors and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) using a nationwide population‐based data. A nested case‐control study was conducted using the National Health Insurance Service–National Sample Cohort (NHIS‐NSC) from 2002 to 2013 in Korea. We compared the use of COX inhibitors between HCC cases and matched controls by categorizing 5 groups according to the cumulative defined daily dose (cDDD, <28, 28‐90, 91‐180, 181‐360, and >360) adjusting the use of antiviral agents. A total of 4980 patients with CHB were analysed as 996 HCC cases and 3984 matched controls. The number of COX inhibitor users (≥28 cDDD) was 358 patients (36%) and 1814 patients (45%) in the HCC group and control group, respectively. The use of COX inhibitors was significantly associated with a decreased risk of HCC development compared with nonusers (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.62, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.52‐0.73, P < .001). There was a dose‐dependent inverse relationship between the use of COX inhibitors and the risk of HCC. The adjusted ORs were 0.75 (95% CI: 0.63‐0.90), 0.41 (95% CI: 0.31‐0.56), 0.38 (95% CI: 0.25‐0.57) and 0.49 (95% CI: 0.31‐0.79) for the 28‐90, 91‐180, 181‐360 and >360 cDDDs, respectively (P < .01). In conclusion, the use of COX inhibitors was associated with a reduced risk of HCC in CHB. COX inhibitor may have a chemopreventive role in HCC development in patients with chronic liver disease.     

Efficacy of lamivudine on hepatitis B viral status and liver function in patients with hepatitis B virus‐related hepatocellular carcinoma

Background/Aims: Treatment of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) depends on the tumour extent and underlying liver function. Antiviral therapy with nucleoside/nucleotide analogues has been shown to be effective in improving the liver function of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. We assessed whether lamivudine could induce biochemical and virological improvements in patients with hepatitis B virus‐related HCC. Patients/Methods: Of 148 CHB patients treated with 100 mg/day lamivudine for at least 6 months, 80 had HCC (CHB/HCC group) and 68 did not (CHB group). Biochemical and virological parameters were serially monitored. Results: Compared with the CHB group, the CHB/HCC group was older, had higher male predominance, bilirubin levels and liver cirrhosis rate, and lower albumin and hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA levels and hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) positivity (P<0.05 each). The two groups showed similar cumulative rates of alanine aminotransferase normalization, HBV DNA seroconversion, HBeAg loss and viral breakthrough during 12 months of lamivudine treatment. After 12 months, the CHB/HCC group showed, relative to baseline, increased albumin levels (3.51±0.5 vs. 3.72±0.5 mg/ml) and decreased ascites scores (1.63±0.7 vs. 1.45±0.6) and Child–Pugh scores (6.92±1.9 vs. 6.02±1.38) (P<0.05 each). Conclusion: Lamivudine had comparable antiviral effects both in patients with CHB and CHB/HCC, and improved underlying liver function in the latter group. Treatment of HBV may increase the chance of curative treatments in patients with HBV‐related HCC.     

Predictive score for hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatitis B e antigen loss in patients treated with entecavir or tenofovir

The risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatitis B e antigen seroclearance (ESC) remains unclear. We established and validated a new risk prediction model for HCC development after ESC in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) receiving antiviral therapy (AVT). Between 2006 and 2016, 769 patients (training cohort) and 1,061 patients (validation cohort) with CHB who experienced ESC during AVT using entecavir (ETV) or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) were recruited. In the multivariate analysis, male sex (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.092; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.152‐3.800), cirrhosis (HR = 5.141; 95% CI = 2.367‐11.167) and fibrosis‐4 index (FIB‐4) of >3.25 (HR = 2.070; 95% CI = 1.184‐3.620) were the independent risk factors for HCC development (all P < .05). Accordingly, a novel HCC‐ESC_AVT model was developed (1x[sex: male = 1, female = 0] + 3x(cirrhosis = 1, noncirrhosis = 0) + 1x(FIB‐4: >3.25 = 1, ≤3.25 = 0). The cumulative risk for HCC development was significantly different among the risk groups based on the HCC‐ESC_AVT category (0‐1, 2‐4 and 5 for the low‐, intermediate‐ and high‐risk groups, respectively) (overall P < .001, log‐rank test). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for predicting HCC development 3, 5 and 10 years after ESC was 0.791, 0.771 and 0.790, respectively (all P < .05). The predictive value of the HCC‐ESC_AVT model was similar in the validation cohort (AUC = 0.802, 0.774 and 0.776 at 3, 5 and 10 years, respectively; all P < .05). Hence, we have developed and validated a new HCC‐ESC_AVT model for HCC development, which includes male sex, cirrhosis and FIB‐4 of >3.25 as constituent variables.