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1.
AIMS: To assess the impact of two paediatric intensive care unit retrieval teams on the performance of three mortality risk scoring systems: pre-ICU PRISM, PIM, and PRISM II. METHODS: A total of 928 critically ill children retrieved for intensive care from district general hospitals in the south east of England (crude mortality 7.8%) were studied. RESULTS: Risk stratification was similar between the two retrieval teams for scores utilising data primarily prior to ICU admission (pre-ICU PRISM, PIM), despite differences in case mix. The fewer variables required for calculation of PIM resulted in complete data collection in 88% of patients, compared to pre-ICU PRISM (24%) and PRISM II (60%). Overall, all scoring systems discriminated well between survival and non-survival (area under receiver operating characteristic curve 0.83-0.87), with no differences between the two hospitals. There was a tendency towards better discrimination in all scores for children compared to infants and neonates, and a poor discrimination for respiratory disease using pre-ICU PRISM and PRISM II but not PIM. All showed suboptimal calibration, primarily as a consequence of mortality over prediction among the medium (10-30%) mortality risk bands. CONCLUSIONS: PIM appears to offer advantages over the other two scores in terms of being less affected by the retrieval process and easier to collect. Recalibration of all scoring systems is needed.  相似文献   

2.
Aims: To assess the impact of two paediatric intensive care unit retrieval teams on the performance of three mortality risk scoring systems: pre-ICU PRISM, PIM, and PRISM II. Methods: A total of 928 critically ill children retrieved for intensive care from district general hospitals in the south east of England (crude mortality 7.8%) were studied. Results: Risk stratification was similar between the two retrieval teams for scores utilising data primarily prior to ICU admission (pre-ICU PRISM, PIM), despite differences in case mix. The fewer variables required for calculation of PIM resulted in complete data collection in 88% of patients, compared to pre-ICU PRISM (24%) and PRISM II (60%). Overall, all scoring systems discriminated well between survival and non-survival (area under receiver operating characteristic curve 0.83–0.87), with no differences between the two hospitals. There was a tendency towards better discrimination in all scores for children compared to infants and neonates, and a poor discrimination for respiratory disease using pre-ICU PRISM and PRISM II but not PIM. All showed suboptimal calibration, primarily as a consequence of mortality over prediction among the medium (10–30%) mortality risk bands. Conclusions: PIM appears to offer advantages over the other two scores in terms of being less affected by the retrieval process and easier to collect. Recalibration of all scoring systems is needed.  相似文献   

3.
Scoring systems that predict the risk of mortality for children in an intensive care unit (ICU) are needed for the evaluation of the effectiveness of pediatric intensive care. The Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) and the Pediatric Index of Mortality (PIM) scores have been developed to predict mortality among children in the ICU. The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether these systems are effective and population-independent. PRISM and PIM scores were calculated prospectively during a 1-year period solely on 105 non-surgical infants admitted to the ICU. Statistical analysis was performed to assess the performance of the scoring systems. There were 29 (27.6 per cent) deaths and 76 (72.4 per cent) survivors. SMR and Z scores for PIM and PRISM signified higher mortality and poor performance. Prediction of mortality by the scoring systems appeared to be underestimated in almost all risk groups. The Hosmer and Lemeshow test showed a satisfactory overall calibration of both scoring systems. Although ROC analysis showed a poor discriminatory function of both scores, a marginally acceptable performance for PIM was observed. The ROC curve also showed an acceptable performance for PIM, for patients with pre-existent chronic disorder. Although care must be taken not to overstate the importance of our results, we believe that when revised according to the characteristics of the population, PIM may perform well in predicting the mortality risk for infants in the ICU, especially in countries where the mortality rate is relatively high and pre-existent chronic disorders are more common.  相似文献   

4.
OBJECTIVE: To compare the performance of the Pediatric Index of Mortality (PIM), PIM2, the Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM), and PRISM III in Australia and New Zealand. DESIGN: A two-phase prospective observational study. Phase 1 assessed the performance of PIM, PRISM, and PRISM III between 1997 and 1999. Phase 2 assessed PIM2 in 2000 and 2001. SETTING: Ten intensive care units in Australia and New Zealand. PATIENTS: Included in the study were 26,966 patients aged <16 yrs; 1,147 patients died in the intensive care unit. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Discrimination between death and survival was assessed by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic plot for each model. The areas (95% confidence interval) for PIM, PIM2, PRISM, and PRISM III were 0.89 (0.88-0.90), 0.90 (0.88-0.91), 0.90 (0.89-0.91), and 0.93 (0.92-0.94). The calibration of the models was assessed by comparing the number of observed to predicted deaths in different diagnostic and risk groups. Prediction was best using PIM2 with no difference between observed and expected mortality (standardized mortality ratio [95% confidence interval] 0.97 [0.86-1.05]). PIM, PRISM III, and PRISM all overpredicted death, predicting 116%, 130%, and 189% of observed deaths, respectively. The performance of individual units was compared during phase 1, using PIM, PRISM, and PRISM III. There was agreement between the models in the identification of outlying units; two units performed better than expected and one unit worse than expected for each model. CONCLUSIONS: Of the models tested, PIM2 was the most accurate and had the best fit in different diagnostic and risk groups; therefore, it is the most suitable mortality prediction model to use for monitoring the quality of pediatric intensive care in Australia and New Zealand. More information about the performance of the models in other regions is required before these results can be generalized.  相似文献   

5.
Aims: To assess the reliability of mortality risk assessment using the Paediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) score and the Paediatric Index of Mortality (PIM) in daily practice. Methods: Twenty seven physicians from eight tertiary paediatric intensive care units (PICUs) were asked to assess the severity of illness of 10 representative patients using the PRISM and PIM scores. Physicians were divided into three levels of experience: intensivists (>3 years PICU experience, n = 12), PICU fellows (6–30 months of PICU experience, n = 6), and residents (<6 months PICU experience, n = 9). This represents all large PICUs and about half of the paediatric intensivists and PICU fellows working in the Netherlands. Results: Individual scores and predicted mortality risks for each patient varied widely. For PRISM scores the average intraclass correlation (ICC) was 0.51 (range 0.32–0.78), and the average kappa score 0.6 (range 0.28–0.87). For PIM scores the average ICC was 0.18 (range 0.08–0.46) and the average kappa score 0.53 (range 0.32–0.88). This variability occurred in both experienced and inexperienced physicians. The percentage of exact agreement ranged from 30% to 82% for PRISM scores and from 28 to 84% for PIM scores. Conclusion: In daily practice severity of illness scoring using the PRISM and PIM risk adjustment systems is associated with wide variability. These differences could not be explained by the physician''s level of experience. Reliable assessment of PRISM and PIM scores requires rigorous specific training and strict adherence to guidelines. Consequently, assessment should probably be performed by a limited number of well trained professionals.  相似文献   

6.
ObjectivesTo assess performance of the age-adapted SOFA score in children admitted into Paediatric Intensive Care Units (PICUs) and whether the SOFA score can compete with the systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) in diagnosing sepsis, as recommended in the Sepsis-3 consensus definitions.MethodsTwo-centre prospective observational study in 281 children admitted to the PICU. We calculated the SOFA, Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM), and Pediatric Index of Mortality-2 (PIM2) scores and assessed for the presence of SIRS at admission. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality.ResultsThe SOFA score was higher in nonsurvivors (P<.001) and mortality increased progressively across patient subgroups from lower to higher SOFA scores. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis revealed that the area under the curve (AUC) of the SOFA score for predicting 30-day mortality was 0.89, compared to AUCs of 0.84 and 0.79 for the PRISM and PIM2 scores, respectively. The AUC of the SOFA score for predicting a prolonged stay in the PICU was 0.67. The SOFA score was correlated to the PRISM score (rs=0.59) and the PIM2 score (rs=0.51). In children with infection, the AUC of the SOFA score for predicting mortality was 0.87 compared to an AUC of 0.60 using SIRS. The diagnosis of sepsis applying a SOFA cutoff of 3 points predicted mortality better than both the SIRS and the SOFA cutoff of 2 points recommended by the Sepsis-3 consensus.ConclusionsThe SOFA score at admission is useful for predicting outcomes in the general PICU population and is more accurate than SIRS for definition of paediatric sepsis.  相似文献   

7.
AIMS: To assess the reliability of mortality risk assessment using the Paediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) score and the Paediatric Index of Mortality (PIM) in daily practice. METHODS: Twenty seven physicians from eight tertiary paediatric intensive care units (PICUs) were asked to assess the severity of illness of 10 representative patients using the PRISM and PIM scores. Physicians were divided into three levels of experience: intensivists (>3 years PICU experience, n = 12), PICU fellows (6-30 months of PICU experience, n = 6), and residents (<6 months PICU experience, n = 9). This represents all large PICUs and about half of the paediatric intensivists and PICU fellows working in the Netherlands. RESULTS: Individual scores and predicted mortality risks for each patient varied widely. For PRISM scores the average intraclass correlation (ICC) was 0.51 (range 0.32-0.78), and the average kappa score 0.6 (range 0.28-0.87). For PIM scores the average ICC was 0.18 (range 0.08-0.46) and the average kappa score 0.53 (range 0.32-0.88). This variability occurred in both experienced and inexperienced physicians. The percentage of exact agreement ranged from 30% to 82% for PRISM scores and from 28 to 84% for PIM scores. CONCLUSION: In daily practice severity of illness scoring using the PRISM and PIM risk adjustment systems is associated with wide variability. These differences could not be explained by the physician's level of experience. Reliable assessment of PRISM and PIM scores requires rigorous specific training and strict adherence to guidelines. Consequently, assessment should probably be performed by a limited number of well trained professionals.  相似文献   

8.
OBJECTIVE: To determine the discriminative ability and calibration of existing scoring systems in predicting the outcome (mortality) in children admitted to an Indian pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Pediatric Intensive Care Unit, Department of Pediatrics, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, from July 1, 2002, to July 31, 2003. PATIENTS: A total of 246 patients were admitted. After exclusion of 29 neonates and two patients who stayed in the PICU for 0.8. However, all the models underpredicted mortality. The likely reasons for this could be differences in the patient profile and greater load of severity of illness being managed with lesser resources--both physical and human--and differences in the quality of care.  相似文献   

9.
Two different illness severity scores, Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) and the Glasgow Meningococcal Sepsis Prognostic Score (GMSPS), were evaluated and compared in meningococcal disease in two paediatric intensive care units. Forty-nine children with a median age of 36 months who had meningococcal sepsis confirmed by laboratory data were evaluated. Overall mortality was 18%. The median GMSPS was 3 in survivors and 8 in non-survivors. A GMSPS > or = 8 was significantly associated with death (p = 0.0001) with a mortality predictivity and specificity of 70% and 92.5%, respectively. The median PRISM score in survivors was 5.5 and 23 in non-survivors. A PRISM score of > or = 11 was significantly related to death (p < 0.0001). The Kendal correlation co-efficient between GMSPS and PRISM showed tau = 0.6859 (p = 0.0000). It is concluded that GMSPS and PRISM are useful methods for identifying and classifying children into low and high risk categories. GMSPS > or = 8 or a PRISM score > or = 11 are significantly predictive of mortality.  相似文献   

10.

Objective  

To validate Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) and Pediatric Index of Mortality (PIM) score.  相似文献   

11.
More reliable methods are needed to identify children at risk for poor outcomes following liver transplantation. The Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) Score is a physiology-based scoring system used to quantify risk of mortality in pediatric intensive care unit (ICU) populations. We evaluated the PRISM Score as a predictor of outcomes including survival in the pediatric liver transplant (LT) population. We retrospectively reviewed the records of 67 consecutive LTs performed between August 1997 and February 2000 at an urban, tertiary children's hospital in Chicago, IL, USA. Four PRISM Scores were calculated to determine which periods were most meaningful. A Classic PRISM Score was calculated during first 24 h of ICU admission, and three PRISM Scores were timed with the patient's transplant: a pre-LT PRISM Score (24 h prior to transplant whether in ICU or not), a 24-h post-LT PRISM Score and a 48-h post-LT PRISM Score. These PRISM Scores and other predictors including transplant number, UNOS status and PELD Score were compared with outcomes including survival using univariate methods. The pre-LT, the 24- and the 48-h PRISM Score were associated with the post-LT number of ventilated days (p < 0.05), ICU days (p < 0.05) and with 1-yr survival (p < 0.04). The PRISM Scores were not related to the post-LT hospital length of stay (LOS) or to 1-yr re-transplantation. The PELD Score correlated with the post-LT hospital LOS, but was not associated with mortality or with the ICU LOS. A patient's UNOS status and Classic PRISM Score were not associated with any of the outcomes measured. PRISM Scores are valid predictors of outcome including survival in pediatric LT recipients. These findings help to demonstrate the importance in this population of a patient's general physiologic condition and its influence on the overall hospital course and survival.  相似文献   

12.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the relation between annual pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) admission volume and mortality. DESIGN: Nonconcurrent cohort design. SETTING: Pediatric patients included in the most currently available research database from the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit Evaluations (PICUEs). PATIENTS: A total of 34,880 consecutive pediatric admissions to a contemporary volunteer sample of 15 U.S. PICUs. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We conducted an instrumental variable analysis and adjusted for similarities between patients admitted to different PICUs using mixed-effects, hierarchical techniques. Case mix and severity of illness was adjusted for using patient-level data and the Pediatric Risk of Mortality, version III (PRISM III). On average, admission to higher-volume PICUs was associated with lower severity-adjusted mortality (odds ratio = 0.68 per 100 patient increase in volume; 95% confidence interval: 0.52-0.89) when volume was analyzed as a linear term; however, when PICU volume was analyzed as a quadratic term, we found the lowest severity-adjusted mortality rates among PICUs with annual admission volumes between 992 and 1,491. Furthermore, lower severity-adjusted mortality rates were primarily found among patients with less than a 10% PRISM III predicted risk of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Although there is an association between lower severity-adjusted mortality among higher volume PICUs, our data suggest that best outcomes are among mid- to large-sized PICUs. These data support minimum annual admission criteria for PICUs but raise the concern that PICUs with very high annual admission volumes may operate beyond an ideal capacity.  相似文献   

13.
BackgroundLittle is known on the impact of risk factors that may complicate the course of critical illness. Scoring systems in ICUs allow assessment of the severity of diseases and predicting mortality.ObjectivesApply commonly used scores for assessment of illness severity and identify the combination of factors predicting patient’s outcome.MethodsWe included 231 patients admitted to PICU of Cairo University, Pediatric Hospital. PRISM III, PIM2, PEMOD, PELOD, TISS and SOFA scores were applied on the day of admission. Follow up was done using SOFA score and TISS.ResultsThere were positive correlations between PRISM III, PIM2, PELOD, PEMOD, SOFA and TISS on the day of admission, and the mortality rate (p < 0.0001). TISS and SOFA score had the highest discrimination ability (AUC: 0.81, 0.765, respectively). Significant positive correlations were found between SOFA score and TISS scores on days 1, 3 and 7 and PICU mortality rate (p < 0.0001). TISS had more ability of discrimination than SOFA score on day 1 (AUC: 0.843, 0.787, respectively).ConclusionScoring systems applied in PICU had good discrimination ability. TISS was a good tool for follow up. LOS, mechanical ventilation and inotropes were risk factors of mortality.  相似文献   

14.
Mortality in severe meningococcal disease.   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
AIM: To evaluate mortality of critically ill children admitted with meningococcal disease. METHODS: Prospective study of all children admitted to a regional paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) between January 1995 and March 1998 with meningococcal disease. Outcome measures were actual overall mortality, predicted mortality (by PRISM), and standardised mortality ratio. RESULTS: A total of 123 children were admitted with meningococcal disease. There was an overall PICU mortality of 11 children (8.9%). The total mortality predicted by PRISM was 24.9. The standardised mortality ratio (SMR) was 0.44. Results were compared with those from four previously published meningococcal PICU studies (USA, Australia, UK, Netherlands) in which PRISM scores were calculated. The overall PICU mortality and SMR were lower than those in the previously published studies. CONCLUSION: Compared with older studies and calibrating for disease severity, this study found a decrease in the mortality of critically ill children with meningococcal disease.  相似文献   

15.
Background: The aim of the present study was to examine short‐term and long‐term mortality following discharge from the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). Methods: This was a prospective observational study. Data collected consisted of demographics, severity scores, procedures, treatment, need for and duration of mechanical ventilation (MV), length of PICU and hospital stay, and mortality at PICU and hospital discharge, at 3 and 6 months and at 1 and 2 years. Results: A total of 300 patients (196 boys and 104 girls), aged 54.26 ± 49.93 months, were included in the study. Median (interquartile range) Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM III‐24) score was 7 (3–11) and predicted mortality rate was 11.16%. MV rate was 67.3% (58.3% at admission) for 6.54 ± 14.15 days, and length of PICU and hospital stay was 8.85 ± 23.28 days and 20.69 ± 28.64 days, respectively. Mortality rate at discharge was 9.7% and cumulative mortality rate thereafter was 12.7%, 15.0%, 16.7%, 19.0%, and 19.0% at hospital discharge, 3 months, 6 months, 1 year and 2 years, respectively. Significant risk factors of PICU mortality were inotrope use, PRISM III‐24 score >8, MV, arterial and central venous catheterization, nosocomial infection, complications, and cancer. Independent predictors of mortality at discharge were inotrope use and PRISM III‐24 score, whereas predictors of mortality at 2 years were comorbidity and cancer. Conclusions: A 2 year follow‐up period seems sufficient for a comprehensive mortality analysis of PICU patients. Severity of critical illness is the key factor of short‐term mortality, whereas comorbidity is the major determinant of long‐term mortality.  相似文献   

16.
OBJECTIVE: To report a novel application of telemedicine and to assess the resulting quality and satisfaction of care.Study design An existing telemedicine program was evaluated through the use of a nonconcurrent cohort design. Cohorts of patients were compared by means of the Pediatric Risk of Mortality, version III (PRISM III), to adjust for severity of illness and assess risk-adjusted mortality rates. Satisfaction and quality of care surveys administered to the pediatric patient's parents and providers were also analyzed. RESULTS: Telemedicine consultations (n=70) were conducted on 47 patients during a 2-year period. Patients receiving telemedicine consultations were sicker than the average pediatric patient cared for in the adult intensive care unit (ICU) (n=180) and compared with historic control pediatric patients (n=116) (mean PRISM III score of 9.6 versus 7.7 and 7.5, respectively). PRISM III-standardized mortality ratios were consistent among the same cohorts of patients (0.24, 0.36, and 0.37, respectively). Overall satisfaction and perception of quality of care was high among parents and rural health care providers. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that a regional pediatric ICU-based telemedicine program providing live interactive consultations to a rural adult ICU can provide quality care that is considered highly satisfactory to a select group of critically ill pediatric patients.  相似文献   

17.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the Pediatric Risk of Mortality score (PRISM score) as a tool to evaluate the vital and neurologic prognosis of patients after submersion. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of the clinical histories of patients admitted to a tertiary pediatric hospital, Hospital Sant Joan de Déu, Barcelona, Spain from December 1977 to December 1999 as a consequence of near-drowning. PRISM score was calculated for each patient with data obtained upon arrival at the hospital. The probability of death was calculated using this score. RESULTS: There were 60 patients, divided into two groups as they were admitted to the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU group, n = 41) or to the Short Stay Unit (SSU group, n = 19). All patients in the SSU group survived without impairments, with PRISM scores or=24 or with probability of death >or=42% either died or had serious neurologic impairment. One third of patients with PRISM scores between 17 and 23 and/or probability of death between 16 and 42% either presented serious neurologic impairment or died. CONCLUSIONS: PRISM score enables the determination of either absence or presence of serious impairment or death in pediatric patients after submersion, if they present extreme values on this scale. However, in patients with intermediate PRISM scores, it is not possible to establish a reliable prognosis.  相似文献   

18.
Abstract Aim: The aim of the present study was to investigate the correlation between neonatal, paediatric and adult disease severity scores and reimbursement by health insurances. Methods: The setting was a university hospital's neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) and paediatric intensive care unit (PICU). We performed a prospective study of all patients admitted over the 3-month study period. Data collected included five scoring systems to predict mortality or to quantify disease severity (Paediatric Index of Mortality [PIM], Paediatric Risk of Mortality [PRISM], Simplified Acute Physiological Score [SAPS], Score for Neonatal Acute Physiology [SNAP], Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System [TISS]) on a daily basis, the total reimbursement as calculated by the grouper according to the German diagnosis-related groups (DRG) system, age of the patient, length of stay (LOS), International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 and DRG diagnosis. Our intention was to determine the correlation between different neonatal, paediatric and adult scores (PIM, PRISM III, SAPS-II, SNAP, Core-10-TISS), and reimbursement by the health insurance on the basis of the German DRG system in its 2005 and 2007 version. Results: No positive correlation between any score applied and reimbursement by the health insurance could be identified. Reimbursement was positively correlated to the length of hospital stay. Positive correlations could also be shown for some of the scores among each other. Conclusion: We conclude that other scoring systems or measures of disease severity urgently need to be established to terminate the chronic underfunding of paediatric intensive care medicine in the developed countries.  相似文献   

19.
OBJECTIVE: Little is known about the use of generic severity scores in severe childhood infectious diseases. The purpose of this prospective study was to evaluate the performance of the Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) scoring system in predicting the outcome of falciparum malaria in African children. DESIGN, SETTING, PATIENTS: All children admitted to a 120-bed pediatric ward in a tertiary care hospital in Dakar, Senegal, with a primary diagnosis of acute malaria were assigned a PRISM score after 24 hrs or at time of death. INTERVENTIONS: None. RESULTS: PRISM discrimination, evaluated by areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC), was good both for all acute malaria cases (n = 311; lethality, 9%; AUC, 0.89; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.85-0.92) and for severe malaria cases (n = 233; lethality, 12%; AUC, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.81-0.90). However, the number of children who died was greater than the number of deaths predicted by PRISM (standardized mortality ratio, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.46-2.87). CONCLUSION: This discrepancy observed in five classes of expected mortality (Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-square test, p < .001) may have been due to chance (sample size too small for a valid test), to a lower standard of care in Dakar than in the American hospitals where PRISM was designed, or to a failure of PRISM to classify risk in severe malaria.  相似文献   

20.
OBJECTIVES: To determine the incidence and outcome of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in children by comparing two commonly used definitions: the lung injury score and the American-European Consensus Conference definition. The causes and risk for developing ARDS were also studied. METHODS: Part prospective and retrospective analysis of 8100 consecutive hospital admissions from 1 June 1995 to 1 April 1997. RESULTS: Twenty one patients fulfilled the criteria for ARDS. Both definitions identified the same group of patients. The incidence was 2.8/1000 hospital admissions or 4.2% of paediatric intensive care unit admissions. The main causes were sepsis and pneumonia. Mortality was 13 of 21. Factors predicting death were a high admission paediatric risk of mortality (PRISM) score (30.38 v 18.75) and the presence of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (92% v 25%). CONCLUSION: Both definitions identified similar groups of patients. The incidence in this population was higher than that reported elsewhere, but mortality and cause were similar to those in developed countries. Poor outcome was associated with sepsis, a high admission PRISM score, and simultaneous occurrence of other organ dysfunction.  相似文献   

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