Serum beta2-microglobulin: a real improvement in the management of multiple myeloma?

Beta 2-microglobulin (B2-m) determinations in serum have recently been introduced as a method of stratifying patients suffering from multiple myeloma. Conflicting results from several studies prompted us to study retrospectively the correlation of B2-m with presenting features and disease stage, as well as the prognostic value of B2-m, in 87 myeloma patients. Significant correlations were found between B2-m and presenting features such as haemoglobin level, serum calcium level and total body myeloma cell mass. The strongest correlation existed between B2-m and serum creatinine (r = 0.68). B2-m did not discriminate between the different disease stages as defined by Durie and Salmon, nor between myeloma Stage IA and monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS). Considered alone, B2-m was found to have prognostic value in terms of survival. This correlation disappeared after correction for serum creatinine level and tumour load (multivariate analysis). Furthermore, changes in tumour load during therapy were not reflected in changes in B2-m levels, thereby rendering B2-m levels invalid as tumour marker. Our findings indicate no value for B2-m determinations in the staging and follow-up of myeloma patients.     

Limited value of the international staging system for predicting long-term outcome of transplant-ineligible,newly diagnosed,symptomatic multiple myeloma in the era of novel agents

We retrospectively investigated clinical outcomes and prognostic factors of 131 patients with transplant-ineligible newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) who received melphalan and prednisolone (MP) as first-line therapy from 2006 to 2013. Eighty-one patients received salvage therapies incorporating bortezomib, lenalidomide, and/or thalidomide. The overall response rate to MP was 54.2 %, including 9.2 % of better than very good partial response. With a median follow-up period of 30.2 months, median overall survival (OS) and median time to next treatment (TNT) were 54.4 and 19.0 months, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed that performance status and serum calcium level significantly associated with both OS and TNT, and multivariate analysis revealed that the higher serum calcium level had a significantly unfavorable impact on OS and TNT. Importantly, staging informed by the international staging system (ISS) was not predictive for OS or TNT in the analyzed cohort. Our study revealed that, in the context of first-line MP therapy for NDMM, the salvage therapy incorporating novel agents produced a survival period of >30 months after the initiation of second-line therapy, suggesting that the predictive value of ISS for OS and TNT may be limited in the era of novel agents.     

Prognostic value of pretreatment serum beta 2 microglobulin in myeloma: a Southwest Oncology Group Study

Six hundred twelve eligible, previously untreated patients with active multiple myeloma and at least some data available for analysis were entered into a randomized trial (Southwest Oncology Group [SWOG] Phase III myeloma study 8229/30), in which the prognostic significance of pretreatment serum beta 2 microglobulin levels was evaluated. Because there was no statistically significant survival difference between the alternating and syncopating VMCP/VBAP regimens, it was possible to evaluate serum beta 2 microglobulin for the total population all together. The serum beta 2 microglobulin measurements showed the highest significance of any prognostic factor, both in the bivariate and multivariate regression analyses. The median survival was 36 months for the 322 patients with pretreatment serum beta 2 microglobulin values of less than 6 micrograms/mL, as compared with a median survival of 23 months for the 225 patients with a beta 2 level of greater than or equal to 6 mcg/mL (P less than .0001). The stepwise multiple regression model first contained serum beta 2 microglobulin, followed by serum albumin, serum calcium, age, and serum creatinine. Serum beta 2 microglobulin was highly correlated with stage: median values ranged from 3.7 micrograms/mL for stage IA, to 10.1 for stage IIIB. It was possible to stratify myeloma patients based on combinations of serum beta 2 microglobulin with both albumin and age, producing excellent separation of patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk categories. It is concluded that serum beta 2 microglobulin is the most powerful prognostic factor currently available for multiple myeloma and that it can be used alone or in combination with other variables for pretreatment stratification.     

Prognostic value of the staging system proposed by Merlini, Waldenstr?m and Jayakar for multiple myeloma

We have reviewed a series of 90 consecutive patients with multiple myeloma (MM) diagnosed in the period 1.1.1971-31.12.1980 and subsequently treated with an intermittent administration of melphalan and prednisone (62 IgG MM, 20 IgA MM and 8 Bence-Jones (BJ) MM). Unfavorable prognostic factors were: presence of micromolecular M component (K or lambda), serum creatinine greater than or equal to 2 mg/dl, serum calcium greater than or equal to 12 mg/dl, presence of BJ proteinuria, Hb less than 10 g/dl, diffuse osteolytic lesions, bone marrow plasma cell percentage greater than or equal to 30%. In particular, according to the recent staging system proposed by Merlini et al. [Blood 55: 1011, 1980], the most important prognostic parameters for IgG and BJ MM were: serum creatinine, BMPC % and serum calcium; for IgA MM the most important were: serum hemoglobin, calcium and M component levels. We have compared the survival curve of 45 patients who died, with the predicted survival curve according to the multivariate regression analysis of Merlini and co-workers; the prediction was equally precise for all the three types of MM considered, thus showing the high sensibility of this new staging system.     

Serum beta2 microglobulin and survival duration in multiple myeloma: a simple reliable marker for staging.

Previous reports have shown serum beta2 microglobulin (SB2M) to be a reliable marker for evaluation of presenting tumour mass, response to chemotherapy and prognosis of patients with multiple myeloma (MM). In the current study, SB2M was evaluated and correlated by bivariate and multivariate regression analyses with the main presenting clinical features, response to chemotherapy and survival duration of 115 untreated myeloma patients. In the bivariate analysis, there was a clear correlation between SB2M and myeloma stage (P = 0.002). Other interesting correlations were between SB2M and creatinine values (P less than 0.001), SB2M and the likelihood of having lambda subtype (P less than 0.001), high SB2M and high uric acid (P less than 0.036), high SB2M and a low haemoglobin (P less than 0.001). In the multivariate regression analyses, SB2M alone completely substituted for the effect of initial staging and gave a very reliable fit for survival prediction. Particularly noteworthy was the dramatic difference in survival duration observed between patients with a high pre-treatment SB2M (greater than 6 micrograms/ml) and those with low SB2M: 26 months versus 52 months (P less than 0.0001). We conclude that SB2M is the major determinant of survival in MM and can be used alone for effective pretreatment stratification of myeloma patients.     

Pretreatment tumor mass, cell kinetics, and prognosis in multiple myeloma

One-hundred fifty patients with multiple (plasma cell) myeloma had pretreatment tumor mass staging, and 79 also had measurement of the pretreatment labeling index (LI%). There were clear differences in survival by pretreatment stage of disease. The pretreatment LI% of bone marrow plasma cells was an independent prognostic factor both in single factor and multivariate regression analyses, including myeloma stage (p less than 0.02). Other important prognostic factors (multivariate) included performance status, serum creatinine, presence of Bence Jones protein, age, and kappa/lambda subtype. A LI% of less than 1% was associated with long survival in each patient group. Patients with benign gammopathy had excellent survival and very low labeling indices. A pretreatment LI% of greater than 3% in high cell mass patients with a high total number of DNA synthesizing cells (S) conferred a very poor prognosis (p = 0.002). This subgroup of patients with high S values also had a high incidence of central nervous system relapse (27%), Bence Jones proteinuria, and elevated serum uric acid levels. We conclude that the pretreatment labeling index provides helpful prognostic information in addition to tumor mass staging.     

Prognostic factors in IgD myeloma: a study of 21 cases

A series of 21 patients with IgD myeloma was studied retrospectively, to assess which parameter present at the time of diagnosis was of prognostic importance for survival and whether the clinical staging system of Durie and Salmon had predictive value for the survival time of these patients. Survival time did not appear to be correlated with haemoglobin concentration, thrombocytopenia, initial level of M-protein, amount of Bence-Jones proteinuria, hypercalcaemia, serum creatinine level, presence of osteolytic lesions or hepatosplenomegaly. Neither did the staging system of Durie and Salmon predict the survival time. It is concluded that clinical staging is of limited value in the management and prediction of the survival time of IgD myeloma patients.     

血清乳酸脱氢酶水平与初诊老年多发性骨髓瘤病人预后的相关性分析

目的探讨血清乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)与初诊老年多发性骨髓瘤(MM)临床指标的相关性及其预后意义。方法回顾性分析我院2009年7月至2016年1月年龄≥65岁的78例初诊老年MM病人的临床资料,并绘制病人的Kaplan-Meier生存曲线,分析初诊时血清LDH水平与病人预后的关系。根据病人的LDH水平分为LDH正常组和LDH升高组,并根据荧光原位杂交技术检测结果对60例资料完整的MM病人进行修正的国际分期系统(R-ISS)分期,比较其与国际分期系统(ISS)分期对预后判断的准确性。结果所有病人中位随访时间为16.5个月,初诊时LDH水平升高者占11.5%(9/78)。LDH正常组中位生存期(OS)和中位无进展生存期(PFS)分别为44.0个月、23.0个月,LDH升高组分别为14.0个月、12.0个月,2组间比较,差异有统计学意义(P<0.01)。COX多因素回归分析显示,LDH水平升高是老年MM病人OS的独立不良预后因素(HR=5.998,95%CI2.454~14.664,P<0.001)。另外,ISS分期Ⅱ期和Ⅲ期病人的中位OS差异无统计学意义(44.0个月比39.0个月,P=0.713),中位PFS差异也无统计学意义(26.0个月比20.0个月,P=0.569);而R-ISS分期Ⅱ期和Ⅲ期病人的中位OS差异有统计学意义(44.0个月比15.5个月,P<0.001),中位PFS差异无统计学意义(21.0个月比14.0个月,P=0.097)。结论LDH水平是判断老年MM病人预后的重要指标,基于其基础上的R-ISS分期在预后判断中要优于ISS分期。     

Serum calcium is an independent predictor of quality of life in multiple myeloma

Bone disease is an important feature of multiple myeloma, and hypercalcaemia is a frequent complication of this disease. We examined the association between serum calcium and quality of life (QOL) scores of 686 multiple myeloma patients at the time of diagnosis. Data from two Nordic studies using the EORTC QLQ-C30 questionnaire were analysed by means of linear regression analysis and a curve fitting program. Serum calcium was independently related to appetite loss, nausea/vomiting and physical functioning (P < 0.001) and to cognitive functioning (P = 0.001), i.e. scores reflecting symptoms that are well known in non-malignant hypercalcaemia. In addition, we found a highly significant independent relationship between serum calcium and the scores for fatigue and pain (P < 0.001). Serum calcium appeared to be as strong a predictor for fatigue as the concentration of haemoglobin. A cubic model (y = a + bx3) fitted the data slightly better than the simple linear model (y = a + bx) and suggested worsening QOL scores at levels of serum calcium above 2.5-3.0 mmol/L. Hypercalcaemia in patients with multiple myeloma seems to be associated with the same symptoms as in non-malignant hypercalcaemia. In addition, an increased level of serum calcium may aggravate the pain and fatigue caused by the skeletal disease itself.     

A new prognostic system for multiple myeloma based on easily available parameters

The prognostic significance of different presenting features in 180 patients with multiple myeloma (MM) from a single institution was analysed. Out of eight variables isolated from the univariate analysis only two (blood urea and serum albumin), were significant in the multivariate model. Derived from these two simple variables, the relative risk of each patient was calculated, and subsequently two subpopulations of patients could be recognized. The first group included patients with a very active myeloma and a high risk of death soon after diagnosis, their median survival being of only 11.6 months, and the second one comprised patients with low risk of death during the first year and a median survival of 28 months. A hazard function derived from two-thirds of the patient population (training group) was successfully validated in the remaining subset of patients (test group). Finally, the three major available myeloma staging systems (Durie & Salmon's, Merlini et al's, and the one proposed by the British Medical Research Council) were tested in the present series, and only the latter one showed prognostic validity.     

Prognostic relevance of cellular morphology in multiple myeloma

Morphological characteristics of tumor cells have been employed in the prognosis of lymphomas and solid tumors. This report documents an attempt to predict survival from the known cytologic heterogeneity in multiple myeloma. Myeloma cells in bone marrow smears from patients at diagnosis were evaluated by assigning them to morphologically defined categories. Cox's multivariate regression model for censored survival data was used to generate optimal weights, which served as coefficients in two regression equations to estimate death risk from cellular morphology. Step-wise procedures excluded redundant parameters. "Myeloma morphology score" (MMS) discriminates significantly (p less than 0.0001) among 3 stages, with median survival times of 42.5, 30.7, and 9.1 mo. For clinical routine application, "myeloma progression score" (MPS), the weight sum of the proportion of plasmablasts and the extent of bone marrow plasma cell infiltration, is suggested as a simple prognostic tool. Its discriminative power is very high [p less than 10(-9)]. Median survival times of greater than 71.5, 23.4, and 6.1 mo were found for good, moderate, and poor risk groups, respectively. However, staging is not confined to three subgroups, grouping is flexible, and pairs of data can be matched. This fact may prove to be valuable in designing prognosis-controlled clinical trials or theoretical studies on cellular differentiation. Preliminary results suggest changes in morphology due to disease progression and/or the effect of therapy on tumor kinetics. Most importantly, staging according to MPS or MMS may facilitate the adaption of therapy to the current state of the disease in patients with multiple myeloma.     

Prognostic evaluation in multiple myeloma: an analysis of the impact of new prognostic factors

We have analysed the prognostic information for survival of presenting features in an unselected series of 394 myeloma patients. 15 variables with significant prognostic information were identified, among these were some not previously or only recently reported: serum levels of hepatocyte growth factor (HGF), interleukin-6 (IL-6), C-terminal cross-linked telopeptide of collagen I (ICTP) and soluble interleukin-6 receptor (sIL-6R). In a multivariate Cox analysis six variables were significantly and independently associated with poor survival: high age, low W.H.O.-performance status (PS), high serum levels of calcium, beta-2-microglobulin (beta-2M), IL-6 and sIL-6R. A risk score formed to predict survival for each percentile of the patient population allowed an efficient separation of prognostic groups. The discriminating power of the model compared favourably with three other previously published staging systems applied to the study population. Exclusion of IL-6 and sIL-6R from the model only marginally decreased the efficacy of the separation. The predictive value of some variables (sIL-6R, beta-2M and W.H.O.-PS) decreased significantly over time. We conclude that formation of a risk score based on independent variables is an efficient way to separate prognostic groups, that the contribution of new and not easily available parameters should be thoroughly evaluated before inclusion in prognostic models for clinical use and that the predictive value of parameters may decrease over time.     

Prognostic variables and clinical staging in multiple myeloma

To evaluate the most important factors in the prognosis and staging of multiple myeloma (MM), the presenting clinical features of 163 previously untreated patients with MM were correlated with survival duration using univariate and multivariate regression analyses. The univariate proportional hazard analysis ranked the parameters in the following order of importance: platelet count, hemoglobin level (Hb), tumor cell mass stage, lytic bone lesions, creatinine, and age. When the individual contribution of each variable was assessed by multivariate regression analysis, platelet count was confirmed to be the dominant feature for prognosis and clinical stage provided additional information. The introduction of platelet count could then be used to improve the reliability of the Durie and Salmon staging, by allowing to separate the high-risk group (stages II and III) into a smaller subgroup (22%) of thrombocytopenic patients (less than 150 x 10(9) platelets/L) whose risk of death was actually very high (median survival, 9 months) and a larger subgroup (46%) of patients with normal platelet count and intermediate or standard risk (median survival, 48 months). This simple change in the prognostic system gave rise to markedly different survival curves also after the exclusion of patients with renal failure and applied successfully to both old and young patients (greater than and less than 50 years, respectively). Finally, platelet count, Hb, and lytic bone lesions could be combined simply to stratify patients with normal renal function into three risk groups: (1) low (39% of cases; median survival, 79 months), (2) intermediate (53% of cases; median survival, 48 months), and (3) high (8% of cases; median survival, 19 months).     

Prognosis of chronic lymphocytic leukemia: a multivariate regression analysis of 325 untreated patients

Three hundred twenty-five previously untreated patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia were analyzed to identify significant prognostic factors for survival. Univariate analysis identified the following characteristics associated with survival: (1) clinical characteristics: age, race, sex, performance status, lymphadenopathy, and hepatosplenomegaly; (2) hematologic parameters: WBC count, absolute lymphocyte and granulocyte counts, hemoglobin level, and platelet count; and (3) biochemical parameters: serum albumin, calcium, uric acid, lactate dehydrogenase, alkaline phosphatase, BUN, and creatinine. Multivariate regression analysis in a randomly selected training subset of 217 patients demonstrated that the combination of uric acid, alkaline phosphatase, lactate dehydrogenase, external lymphadenopathy, and age had the strongest predictive relation to survival time. The resulting model was validated in the remaining independent subset of 108 patients and led to classification of patients into low, intermediate, and high-risk groups with five-year survival rates of 75%, 59%, and 14%, respectively, and with distinctively different annual mortality rates (P less than .01). Both the regression model and Rai staging were highly effective in identifying risk groups among the entire patient population (P less than 0.001). Overall the regression model was superior to Rai staging in defining prognostic risk groups. In addition, it was able to separate patients into significantly different risk categories within each Rai stage, thus improving on the prognostic prediction of individual patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia.     

Clinical significance of p53 antigen and anti-p53 antibodies in the sera of hepatocellular carcinoma patients

Background. To analyze the clinical significance of serum p53 protein and anti-p53 antibodies as serological markers for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods. We studied clinical data, i.e., age, sex, etiology, serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, TMN staging, and Okuda staging in 141 patients with HCC. The sera of these patients were analyzed for serum p53 protein and serum anti-p53 antibodies by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Results. Serum p53 antigen and serum anti-p53 antibodies were detected in the sera of 32 of the 141 (22.7%) patients and 26 of the 141 patients (18.4%), respectively. Of note, the HCC patients who were positive for p53 antigen (32/141) had no circulating anti-p53 antibodies. When both these groups of patients were combined as a serum p53 status-positive group, the total number in this group was 58 (41.1%). Positive status of p53 was not associated with age (P = 0.206), serum alpha-fetoprotein level (P = 0.851), Okuda staging (P = 0.243), or survival (P = 0.078), but was correlated significantly with TMN staging (P = 0.049). Interestingly, a shorter survival time (mean, 3.9 months) was noted in the serum p53 status-positive group, in comparison with the longer survival time (mean, 6.5 months) in the serum p53 status-negative group. Conclusions. Combination of the detection of serum p53 antigen and antibodies by ELISA may represent a suitable noninvasive investigation in assessing the clinical implications and prognoses of patients with HCC. Received: December 8, 2000 / Accepted: June 22, 2001     

Do young hepatocellular carcinoma patients with relatively good liver function have poorer outcomes than elderly patients?

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is known to be age dependent; the influence of age on prognosis is, however, controversial. The aim of this study was to compare the tumor characteristics and survival rates of young and old HCC patients, with respect to tumor stage. METHODS: We reviewed the clinical data and survival times of 71 young HCC patients from 1987 to 2003 and compared these with those of their older counterparts (n = 239). Patients were categorized into three age groups: group A, age <30 years (n = 71); group B, age >/=30 to <61 years (n = 168); and group C, age >/=61 years (n = 81). Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards regression were used to analyze survival. RESULTS: The overall survival time of group A was shorter than groups B or C (P = 0.0071). Survival was not different in the three groups in subgroup analysis according to several tumor staging systems (e.g. Japan Integrated Staging score, Cancer of the Liver Italian Program scoring system and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging classification). The multivariate hazard ratio of group B was 0.840 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.490-1.440) and that of group C was 0.770 (95% CI 0.410-1.446) in reference to group A. CONCLUSIONS: Young HCC patients showed a poorer prognosis than older HCC patients because they have a more advanced tumor stage at diagnosis. However, age was not an independent prognostic factor when stages were matched. Therefore, we suggest that periodic surveillance in young chronic hepatitis B virus carriers would improve outcomes.     

C-reactive protein and beta-2 microglobulin produce a simple and powerful myeloma staging system.

Multiple myeloma (MM) staging procedures are still inadequate for detection of the optimal therapeutic procedure for an individual patient. The Durie & Salmon staging system and serum beta 2-microglobulin (beta 2M) are used worldwide because of their easy clinical application. Other prognostic parameters, such as myeloma cell proliferative activity, are of exceeding importance, but are not as simple as standard methods. Recently, interleukin-6 (IL-6) has been shown to be a major growth factor for MM. IL-6 is a pleiotropic cytokine acting on several cell lineages, and, at the hepatocyte level, stimulates the synthesis of acute phase proteins, such as the well known C-Reactive Protein (CRP). Serum CRP concentration actually reflects the IL-6 activity. A survival analysis carried out in 162 MM patients at diagnosis showed that serum CRP level is a highly significant prognostic factor. Moreover, serum CRP was independent of serum beta 2M. This feature allowed stratification of MM patients into 3 groups according to CRP and beta 2M serum levels: (1) low risk group, CRP and beta 2M less than 6 mg/L (50% of patients); (2) intermediate risk group, CRP or beta 2M greater than or equal to 6 mg/L (35% of patients); (3) high risk group, CRP and beta 2M greater than or equal to 6 mg/L (15% of patients). Survival was 54, 27, and 6 months, respectively (P less than .0001). We thus propose a new and powerful myeloma staging system based on simple and reliable laboratory evaluations.     

Chromosome 1p21 deletion is a novel prognostic marker in patients with multiple myeloma

The combination of fluorescence in situ hybridization with cytoplasmic light chain detection identified chromosome 1p21 deletion in 18 (20%) of 87 patients with multiple myeloma. 1p21 deletion was associated with higher serum calcium level, 13q deletion, and t(4;14). Patients with 1p21 deletions had a significantly shorter progression-free survival (PFS) (median 10.5 vs. 22.3 months, P = 0.0002) and shorter overall survival (OS) (median 33.9 months vs. not reached, P = 0.002) than those without 1p21 deletions. On multivariate analysis, which included deletions of 13q, TP53, t(4;14) and CKS1B amplification, 1p21 deletion remained as an independent risk factor for PFS (P = 0.01) and OS (P = 0.04).     

International prognostic index (IPI)--a critical comparison with five multiple myeloma staging systems in the group of 270 patients treated by conventional chemotherapy

In the group of 270 patients with multiple myeloma (MM) treated during 1991-2004 by conventional chemotherapy, the prognostic value and practical utility of IPI (International Prognostic Index) was assessed and compared with five other actual staging systems. Prognostic significance was assessed using the curves of overall survival (OS) according to Kaplan-Meier and log rank test (p<0.05). Good practical utility and prognostic significance of Durie-Salmon (D-S) system was confirmed (p<0.001). Good overall prognostic significance was observed in simple staging systems based on the measurement of beta2-microglobulin and albumin serum levels according to Bataille (p<0.001), SWOG (South West Oncology Group, p<0.001) and IPI (p<0.001). Regardless of a short 5-year duration of the study, the scoring system according to San Miguel enclosing apart from other parameters also propidium iodide proliferation index (PC-PI) of myeloma plasmocytes seems to be promising with very different characteristics of curves of overall survival (p<0.001). Very good prognostic value and easy practical utility were examined in Olomouc staging system (OSS) based on the measurement of beta2-microglobulin and thymidinekinase serum levels (p<0.001). With regard to detection of patients of stage 1, i. e. "low risk", not requiring an immediate initiation of conventional chemotherapy ("wait and see" approach), the most suitable was the system according to D-S, SWOG and IPI (median OS 77, 76 and 77 months). To select a cohort of "high risk" patients, i.e. stage 3, with very unfavourable disease prognosis, the most advantageous was the system OSS and San Miguel (median OS was 5 and 6 months) and/or SWOG system selecting patients of stage 4, i.e. "worst prognosis", with median OS 8 months. It was found that IPI did not meet expectations for effective identification of "high risk" patients (median OS of stage 3 was 20 months) nor for the distinction of different prognosis of patients during initial 25 months of MM course at stage 2 vs. 3. The study indicates that under conditions of common clinical practice and conventional chemotherapy, the staging system according to D-S is still useful, while practical application of SWOG and IPI as simpler alternative to the assessment of clinical stage should be verified by further comparative studies. In harmony with the progress in cytogenetics and molecular biology as well as a prospective requirement of individual target therapy, a future suitable stratification system should be based on parameters of internal biological properties of myeloma tissue and microenvironment of bone marrow, allowing in addition a continuous evaluation of the disease course and the effect of therapy.     

Biochemical markers in multiple myeloma: a multivariate analysis

The analysis of individual biochemical and clinical variables in 121 patients with multiple myeloma showed that serum beta 2-microglobulin (S-beta 2m) had the most significant relation to survival. Other variables such as serum thymidine kinase (S-TK), serum lactate dehydrogenase (S-LDH), S-creatinine, haemoglobin (Hb), ESR, S-albumin, age and clinical stage were also significant. No such relationship was found with M-component, presence of light chains in urine, type of secreted immunoglobulin or S-calcium. The exclusion of clinical stage in the first multivariate analysis resulted in a model consisting of S-beta 2m, age and S-TK, none of the other variables gave additional information. When in the second multivariate analysis the basic variables involved in staging procedure were excluded and clinical stage included, stage III, but not stage II, was found to give additional information to the model described above. Individual analysis of the variables showed that Hb had the most significant relation to effect of initial therapy. Other significant variables were S-TK, S-beta 2m and age. When using the multivariate approach, Hb alone was found to contain all the relevant information.