Acid-base interpretation can be the predictor of outcome among patients with acute organophosphate poisoning before hospitalization

Objectives

Acute organophosphate (OP) poisoning causing alteration in acid-base equilibrium was reported before. Hence, different acid-base statuses may present in patients with acute poisoning due to OP exposure. This study aims to determine the impact of acid-base interpretation in patients with acute OP poisoning before hospitalization in medical care units and to describe the pattern of mortality with different acid-base statuses.

Design and Patients

Over a 9-year retrospective study, from July 1996 to August 2005, a total of 82 consecutive patients with acute OP poisoning were admitted to the China Medical University Hospital (Taichung, Taiwan) within 24 hours after exposure to OP and were enrolled into this study.

Results

Patients with acute OP poisoning were divided into 4 groups: without acidosis, metabolic acidosis, respiratory acidosis, and mixed acidosis. Overall survival (Kaplan-Meier curves) among groups was statistically significant (P < .0001). The mortality rate of acute OP poisoned patients with metabolic acidosis was 25%, and 75% of those patients died of cardiovascular failure. The mortality rate of acute OP poisoning with respiratory acidosis was 50%, and 50% of those patients died of respiratory failure.

Conclusions

Acid-base interpretation can be effective in quick diagnosis and prediction of the outcome of patients with acute OP poisoning (without acidosis < metabolic acidosis < respiratory acidosis < mixed acidosis) before hospitalization. Major causes of death are different between the respiratory acidosis and metabolic acidosis groups of patients with acute OP poisoning.     

A comparison of survival with and without extracorporeal life support treatment for severe poisoning due to drug intoxication

Background

The use of extracorporeal life support (ECLS) as a treatment for severe cardiovascular impairment due to poisoning is unclear. Therefore, we conducted a retrospective cohort analysis to compare survival among critically ill poisoned patients treated with or without ECLS.

Methods

All consecutive patients admitted into 2 university hospitals in northwestern France over the past decade for persistent cardiac arrest or severe shock following poisoning due to drug intoxication were included. ECLS was preferentially performed in 1 of the 2 centers.

Results

Sixty-two patients (39 women, 23 men; mean age 48 ± 17 years) fulfilled inclusion criteria: 10 with persistent cardiac arrest and 42 with severe shock. Fourteen patients were treated with ECLS and 48 patients with conventional therapies. All subjects received vasopressor and fluid loading. Patients treated with or without ECLS at ICU admission had comparable drug ingestion histories, Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS II score) (66 ± 18), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score (median: 11 [IQR, 9–13]), Glasgow Coma Scale score (median: 3 [IQR, 3–11]), need for ventilator support (n = 56) and extra renal support (n = 23). Thirty-five (56%) patients survived: 12/14 (86%) ECLS patients and 23/48 (48%) non-ECLS patients (p = 0.02, by Fisher exact test). None of the patients with persistent cardiac arrest survived without ECLS support. Based on admission data, beta-blocker intoxication (p = 0.02) was also associated with lower mortality. In multivariate analysis, adjusting for SAPS II and beta-blocker intoxication, ECLS support remained associated with lower mortality [Adjusted Odds Ratio, 0.18; 95% CI, 0.03–0.96; p = 0.04].

Conclusion

In the absence of response to conventional therapies, we consider that ECLS may improve survival in critically ill poisoned patients experiencing cardiac arrest and severe shock.     

Full Outline of UnResponsiveness score and Glasgow Coma Scale in medical patients with altered sensorium: Interrater reliability and relation to outcome

Purpose

Full Outline of UnResponsiveness, or FOUR score (FS), is a recently described scoring system for evaluation of altered sensorium. This study examined interrater reliability for FS and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) among medical patients with altered mental status and compared outcome predictability of GCS, FS, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score.

Patients and Methods

Adult patients with altered mental status due to medical causes were rated by neurology consultants and internal medicine residents on FS and GCS. Interobserver reliability for GCS and FS was assessed using κ score. Relation with outcomes was explored using univariate and multivariate analyses.

Main Results

Of the 100 patients (age, 62 ± 17 years), 60 had neurologic conditions; 26, metabolic encephalopathy; 9, infections; and 7, others. Thirty-nine patients died at 3 months. κ Scores ranged from 0.71 to 0.85 for GCS and from 0.71 to 0.95 for FS. On multivariate analysis, GCS was predictive of outcome at 3 months; FS was predictive of mortality. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves suggested equivalent performance of both scoring systems.

Conclusions

Interrater reliability and outcome predictability for FS were comparable with those for GCS. This study supports the use of FS for evaluation of altered mental status in the medical wards.     

Heart rate variability risk score for prediction of acute cardiac complications in ED patients with chest pain

Background

We aimed to develop a risk score incorporating heart rate variability (HRV) and traditional vital signs for the prediction of early mortality and complications in patients during the initial presentation to the emergency department (ED) with chest pain.

Methods

We conducted a prospective observational study of patients with a primary complaint of chest pain at the ED of a tertiary hospital. The primary outcome was a composite of mortality, cardiac arrest, ventricular tachycardia, hypotension requiring inotropes or intraaortic balloon pump insertion, intubation or mechanical ventilation, complete heart block, bradycardia requiring pacing, and recurrent ischemia requiring revascularization, all within 72 hours of arrival at ED.

Results

Three hundred nine patients were recruited, and 25 patients met the primary outcome. Backwards stepwise logistic regression was used to derive a scoring model that included heart rate, systolic blood pressure, respiratory rate, and low frequency to high frequency ratio. For predicting complications within 72 hours, the risk score performed with an area under the curve of 0.835 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.749-0.920); and a cutoff of 4 and higher in the risk score gave a sensitivity of 0.880 (95% CI, 0.677-0.968), specificity of 0.680 (95% CI, 0.621-0.733), positive predictive value of 0.195, and negative predictive value of 0.985. The risk score performed better than ST elevation/depression and troponin T in predicting complications within 72 hours.

Conclusion

A risk score incorporating heart rate variability and vital signs performed well in predicting mortality and other complications within 72 hours after arrival at ED in patients with chest pain.     

Metabolic vs structural coma in the ED—an observational study

Background

Patients presenting unconscious may reasonably be categorized as suffering from a metabolic or structural condition.

Study Objective

The objective was to investigate if some routinely recorded clinical features may help to distinguish between these 2 main forms of coma in the emergency department (ED).

Methods

Adults admitted to an ED in Stockholm between February 2003 and May 2005 with a Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score less than 11 were enrolled prospectively. The GCS score was entered into a protocol that was complemented with available data within 1 month.

Results

The study population of 875 patients was classified into 2 main groups: one with a metabolic (n = 633; 72%) and one with a structural disorder (n = 242; 28%). Among the clinical features recorded in the ED, 3 were found to be strongly associated with a metabolic disorder, namely, young age, low or normal blood pressure, and absence of focal signs in the neurological examination. Patients younger than 51 years with a systolic blood pressure less than 151 mm Hg who did not display signs of focal pathology had a probability of 96% for having a metabolic coma. The mean GCS score on admission was identical in the groups. Hospital mortality was 14% in the metabolic and 56% in the structural group.

Conclusions

These findings indicate that unconscious young adults who present without a traumatic incident with a low or normal blood pressure and without signs of focal pathology most probably suffer from a metabolic disorder, wherefore computed tomography of the brain may be postponed and often avoided.     

Comparative evaluation of Glasgow Coma Score and gag reflex in predicting aspiration pneumonitis in acute poisoning

Purpose

The purpose of the study was to assess the incidence of aspiration pneumonitis (AP) and its association with gag reflex and Glasgow Coma Score (GCS).

Materials and Methods

In a retrospective analysis study after prospective data collection, 155 poisoned patients with GCS less than or equal to 12 were evaluated. An assessment of GCS and the quality of gag reflex was made on arrival and recorded. Intubation status before gastrointestinal decontamination was noted. All patients were subsequently followed for developing of AP.

Results

The incidence of AP was 15.5%, with significant variance among patients with respect to the gag reflex, GCS, and the performance of intubation. A logistic regression model for predicting AP contained the following predictors: GCS (odds ratio [OR], 0.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.30-0.62), intubation (OR, 0.07; 95% CI, 0.01-0.49), organophosphate ingestion (OR, 1.39; 95% CI, 0.96-2.01), and gastric evacuation (OR, 4.29; 95% CI, 0.94-9.51). In patients with reduced gag reflex, variations in GCS were associated with AP (OR, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.20-0.90), whereas in patients with absent gag reflex, age was the most important predictor of AP (OR, 2.67; 95% CI, 0.99-7.22).

Conclusions

A reduced GCS and a nonintubated trachea are associated with an increased incidence of AP.     

Unplanned pediatric intensive care unit readmissions: A single-center experience

Purpose

The purpose of the study was to compare patients readmitted to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) unexpectedly within 48 hours (early), more than 48 hours from transfer (late), or not readmitted during the same hospitalization.

Materials and Methods

A retrospective study (2007-2009) was performed at a tertiary care pediatric academic hospital. Readmitted at-risk patients were grouped by timing of readmission, and a sample of nonreadmitted patients was randomly selected. Early readmissions were compared to late readmissions and to nonreadmissions.

Results

Of 3805 eligible patients, 3.9% had an unplanned PICU readmission with almost half occurring within 48 hours. Median times to readmission were 21.5 hours (early) and 7 days (late). Compared with late readmissions, early readmissions were more often admitted from and transferred to a surgical service, transferred on a weekend, and readmitted with the same primary diagnosis. Compared with nonreadmitted patients, independent risk factors for early readmission were admission source and respiratory support at PICU transfer. Readmitted patients had longer total PICU and hospital lengths of stay than nonreadmitted patients. Late readmissions had a higher mortality than early readmissions.

Conclusions

Patients requiring an unplanned PICU readmission had worse outcomes than those without a readmission. Future studies should focus on identifying modifiable risk factors for targeted interventions.     

Initial fractal exponent of heart rate variability is associated with success of early resuscitation in patients with severe sepsis or septic shock: a prospective cohort study

Introduction

Heart rate variability (HRV) reflects autonomic nervous system tone as well as the overall health of the baroreflex system. We hypothesized that loss of complexity in HRV upon intensive care unit (ICU) admission would be associated with unsuccessful early resuscitation of sepsis.

Methods

We prospectively enrolled patients admitted to ICUs with severe sepsis or septic shock from 2009 to 2011. We studied 30 minutes of electrocardiogram, sampled at 500 Hz, at ICU admission and calculated heart rate complexity via detrended fluctuation analysis. Primary outcome was vasopressor independence at 24 hours after ICU admission. Secondary outcome was 28-day mortality.

Results

We studied 48 patients, of whom 60% were vasopressor independent at 24 hours. Five (10%) died within 28 days. The ratio of fractal alpha parameters was associated with both vasopressor independence and 28-day mortality (P = .04) after controlling for mean heart rate. In the optimal model, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and the long-term fractal α parameter were associated with vasopressor independence.

Conclusions

Loss of complexity in HRV is associated with worse outcome early in severe sepsis and septic shock. Further work should evaluate whether complexity of HRV could guide treatment in sepsis.     

Serum thiamine concentration and oxidative stress as predictors of mortality in patients with septic shock

Purpose

The purpose of the study is to determine the influence of serum thiamine, glutathione peroxidase (GPx) activity, and serum protein carbonyl concentrations in hospital mortality in patients with septic shock.

Materials and Methods

This prospective study included all patients with septic shock on admission or during intensive care unit (ICU) stay, older than 18 years, admitted to 1 of the 3 ICUs of the Botucatu Medical School, from January to August 2012. Demographic information, clinical evaluation, and blood sample were taken within the first 72 hours of the patient's admission or within 72 hours after septic shock diagnosis for serum thiamine, GPx activity, and protein carbonyl determination.

Results

One hundred eight consecutive patients were evaluated. The mean age was 57.5 ± 16.0 years, 63% were male, 54.6% died in the ICU, and 71.3% had thiamine deficiency. Thiamine was not associated with oxidative stress. Neither vitamin B1 levels nor the GPx activity was associated with outcomes in these patients. However, protein carbonyl concentration was associated with increased mortality.

Conclusions

In patients with septic shock, oxidative stress was associated with mortality. On the other hand, thiamine was not associated with oxidative stress or mortality in these patients.     

QTc Prolongation as a Useful Prognostic Factor in Acute Paraquat Poisoning

Background

Acute paraquat poisoning has a high mortality rate. Several prognostic factors have been proposed to predict the mortality risk of paraquat-poisoned patients. However, these prognostic factors are complex and some require a laboratory. Corrected QT (QTc) has been used as a prognostic factor in several clinical conditions, such as acute organophosphate poisoning. In addition, the measurement can be obtained in a reasonable amount of time.

Study Objectives

This study's objective was to investigate whether QTc can predict mortality in paraquat-poisoned patients.

Methods

This was a retrospective study. Potential prognostic factors such as QTc, vital signs at admission, and certain biochemistry variables were analyzed with Cox regression analyses for their ability to predict a patient's survival from paraquat poisoning.

Results

Sixty acute paraquat-poisoned patients were admitted to the emergency department during the study period. The QTc of the survival group ranged from 0.35 to 0.48 s, whereas the nonsurvivor group ranged from 0.32 to 0.63 s. The nonsurvivor group contained a higher percentage of patients with QTc prolongation (≥0.45 s) compared with the survivor group (p = 0.04). The hazard ratio of QTc prolongation for a patient's death was found to be 2.47 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.68–5.67) in patients with a lower potassium level (<3.2 mEq/L) and 3.71 (95% CI 1.53–8.97) in patients with a higher potassium level (≥3.2 mEq/L). In addition, hyperdynamic circulation was observed upon admission of these poisoned patients.

Conclusion

QTc prolongation is a useful prognostic factor for predicting death in acute paraquat-poisoned patients. Cardiovascular collapse may occur in some paraquat-poisoned patients. Physicians can use QTc as an indicator of a patient's severity of poisoning and mortality risk.     

Effects of etomidate on vasopressor use in patients with sepsis or severe sepsis: A propensity-matched analysis

Purpose

The safety of single-bolus etomidate to facilitate intubation in septic patients is controversial due to its potential to suppress adrenal steroidogenesis. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effects of etomidate on the development of shock when used as an induction agent to facilitate intubation in septic patients.

Methods

A multicenter, retrospective, propensity-matched cohort study comparing patients with sepsis or severe sepsis who either received etomidate or did not receive etomidate for intubation was conducted. The primary outcome was the difference in the need for vasopressor support within 72 hours after intubation. Secondary outcomes included the use of multiple vasopressors, intensive care unit length of stay, and in-hospital mortality.

Results

A total of 411 patients were analyzed. Eighty-three patients were matched by propensity score. There was no difference in the matched cohort in regards to vasopressor use within 72 hours of intubation (odds ratio, 0.95; 95% confidence interval, 0.52-1.76; P = .88). Furthermore, there were no significant differences observed with regard to secondary outcomes, including in-hospital mortality (P = .76).

Conclusions

The use of etomidate for intubation in septic patients did not increase vasopressor requirements within 72 hours after intubation.     

Prehospital neurologic deterioration is independent predictor of outcome in traumatic brain injury: analysis from National Trauma Data Bank

Background

The prevalence and impact of prehospital neurologic deterioration (PhND) in patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) have not been investigated. We aimed to determine the prevalence of PhND during emergency medical service (EMS) transportation among patients with TBI and its impact on patient's outcome.

Methods

We used the National Trauma Data Bank, using data files from 2009 to 2010 to identify patients with TBI through International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification diagnosis codes. The initial Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score ascertained at the scene by EMS was compared with the subsequent GCS score evaluation in the emergency department (ED) to identify neurologic deterioration (defined as a decrease in GCS of ≥ 2 points). Patients' demographics, initial injury severity score (ISS), admission GCS score, and hospital outcome were compared between patients with PhND and patients without neurologic deterioration.

Results

A total of 257?127 patients with TBI were identified. Among patients with TBI, 22?254 patients had PhND, which comprised 9% of all patients with TBI. The mean of GCS score decrease during EMS transport was 5 points (± 3). Patients without PhND tended to have higher GCS recorded by EMS (median, 15 vs 12; P < .0001). Patients with TBI who had PhND had significantly higher hospital length of stay and intensive care unit days after adjusting for baseline characteristics and EMS GCS score, EMS transport time, type of injury, presence of intracranial hemorrhages, and ED ISS (P < .0001). These patients had higher rate of in-hospital mortality after adjusting for the same variables (odds ratio, 2.30; 95% confidence interval, 2.18-2.41).

Conclusion

Prehospital neurologic deterioration occurs in 9% of patients with TBI. It is more prevalent in men and associated with lower EMS GCS level and higher ED ISS. Prehospital neurologic deterioration is an independent predictor of worse hospital outcome and higher resource use in patients with TBI.     

Validation of an abbreviated Vitalpac™ Early Warning Score (ViEWS) in 75,419 consecutive admissions to a Canadian regional hospital

Background

The early warning score derived from 198,755 vital sign sets in the Vitalpac™ database (ViEWS) has an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) for death of acute unselected medical patients within 24 h of 88%.

Methods

This study validated an abbreviated version of ViEWS, which did not include mental status, in 75,419 consecutive patients admitted to the Thunder Bay Regional Health Sciences Center between 2005 and 2010.

Results

The abbreviated score had an AUROC for death within 48 h of admission of 93% for all patients and 89% for medical patients – there were no significant differences in the discrimination of the score between surgical and medical patients or patients admitted to different medical sub-specialty services. The AUROC for intensive care patients, however, was significantly lower at 72%. Although medical patients appeared to have a higher mortality than surgical patients with the same score, these only reached statistical significance for surgical patients with a score between 3 and 10 points, stroke patients between 3 and 6 points, oncology patients between 7 and 10 points, and ICU patients with 3 or more points.

Conclusion

The abbreviated ViEWS score has comparable discrimination to the original score and has reasonable “goodness of fit” for most patients except for those requiring intensive care.     

Application of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score in patients with advanced cancer who present to the ED

Background

There is limited literature describing clinical predictors for critically ill patients with cancer who present to the emergency department (ED).

Purpose

The aim of this study was to investigate the usefulness of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score at the time of ED presentation for predicting short-term mortality in patients with advanced cancer.

Methods

This was a prospective observational study of 108 consecutive patients with advanced cancer who presented to the ED. The outcome was defined as death within 14 days after admission.

Results

The median survival time of the study subjects was 26.5 days (interquartile range, 9.0-78.0 days), and 31 patients (28.7%) died within 14 days after admission. In univariate analysis, SOFA score (≥4), previous chemotherapy, and altered mental status were predictive of 14-day mortality. Of those variables, only SOFA score was an independent predictor in multivariate analysis.

Conclusions

The use of the SOFA score is an acceptable method for risk stratification and prognosis of patients with advanced cancer in the ED. This score can help clinicians to predict 14-day mortality and plan appropriate treatment for critically ill patients with cancer who present to the ED.     

Red cell distribution width as a predictor of mortality in organophosphate insecticide poisoning

Objective

Suicide by organophosphate insecticide (OPI) poisoning is a major clinical concern (predominantly in developing countries), and 200 000 deaths occur annually worldwide. Red cell distribution width (RDW) has been used to predict outcome in several clinical conditions. Here, we aimed to investigate the relationship between the RDW and 30-day mortality during OPI poisoning.

Methods

This retrospective analysis was performed between January 2008 and July 2013 in patients admitted to the emergency department after OPI poisoning. A Kaplan-Meier 30-day survival curve was analyzed in patients stratified according to the optimal cut-off point of RDW defined using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses were conducted to determine the independent prognostic factors for 30-day mortality.

Results

Among 102 patients, 21 died, yielding a mortality of 20.6%. Elevated RDW was significantly associated with early mortality in patients with OPI poisoning. Levels of RDW that exceeded 13.5% (hazard ratio, 2.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-6.60) were associated with increased mortality in the multivariate analysis. The area under the ROC curve of RDW was 0.675 (95% CI, 0.522-0.829).

Conclusions

This study showed that RDW is an independent predictor of 30-day mortality in patients with OPI poisoning.     

The motor component does not convey all the mortality prediction capacity of the Glasgow Coma Scale in trauma patients

Purpose

We tested the hypothesis that the motor component of the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) conveys most of the predictive information of triage scores (Triage Revised Trauma Score [T-RTS] and the Mechanism, GCS, Age, arterial Pressure score [MGAP]) in trauma patients.

Method

We conducted a multicenter prospective observational study and evaluated 1690 trauma patients in 14 centers. We compared the GCS, T-RTS, MGAP, and Trauma Related Injury Severity Score (reference standard) using the full GCS or its motor component only using logistic regression model, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, and reclassification technique.

Results

Although some changes were noted for the GCS itself and the Trauma Related Injury Severity Score, no significant change was observed using the motor component only for T-RTS and MGAP when considering (1) the odds ratio of variables included in the logistic model as well as their discrimination and calibration characteristics, (2) the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.827 ± 0.014 vs 0.831 ± 0.014, P = .31 and 0.863 ± 0.011 vs 0.859 ± 0.012, P = .23, respectively), and (3) the reclassification technique. Although the mortality rate remained less than the predetermined threshold of 5% in the low-risk stratum, it slightly increased for MGAP (from 1.9% to 3.9%, P = .048).

Conclusion

The use of the motor component only of the GCS did not change the global performance of triage scores in trauma patients. However, because a subtle increase in mortality rate was observed in the low-risk stratum for MGAP, replacing the GCS by its motor component may not be recommended in every situation.     

Acute bacterial meningitis in the intensive care unit and risk factors for adverse clinical outcomes: Retrospective study

Background

Bacterial meningitis constitutes a medical emergency. Its burden has driven from childhood to the elderly and the immunocompromised population. However, the admission of patients with bacterial meningitis to the intensive care unit (ICU) has been sparsely approached, as have the prognostic factors associated with an adverse clinical outcome.

Methods

We performed a retrospective analysis during a 7-year period of patients older than 18 years admitted to 2 polyvalent ICUs. Clinical, demographic, and outcome data were collected to evaluate its clinical impact on the outcome of patients with acute bacterial meningitis.

Results

We identified 65 patients with the diagnosis of acute bacterial meningitis (mean Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II, 23; hospital mortality, 40%). Upon clinical presentation, their most frequent signs were fever (84%), seizures (21.5%), and a low Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score (GCS < 8; 58.4%). Fifty-five patients (85%) required organ support. A definite microbiological diagnosis was achieved in 45 patients. An adverse clinical outcome was noted in 46 patients (71%). These patients were older (P = .005), had higher Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (P = .022), and had lower GCS (P = .022). In the multivariate analysis, older age (per year; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.059) was associated with an adverse outcome, whereas a higher GCS (per point; aOR, 0.826) and presence of fever upon admission (aOR, 0.142) increase the chance of a good recovery.

Conclusions

Patients with acute bacterial meningitis admitted to ICU had substantial morbidity and mortality. Those with low GCS or absence of fever have a particularly high risk of an adverse outcome.     

The early elevation of interleukin 6 concentration in cerebrospinal fluid and delayed encephalopathy of carbon monoxide poisoning

Objective

This study was designed to investigate whether interleukin 6 (IL-6) in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) in the early phase of carbon monoxide (CO) poisoning can be a predictive marker of delayed encephalopathy (DE).

Methods

Nine patients with CO poisoning were included in the study. Cerebrospinal fluid was sampled within 24 hours of the last exposure to CO, on hospital day 4, and once a week for at least 1 month to determine IL-6 and myelin basic protein concentrations. All patients were followed at least 3 months.

Results

Three patients demonstrated significant early IL-6 elevation in CSF, normal IL-6 level in CSF on day 4, and significant delayed myelin basic protein elevation in CSF. The 2 patients with the highest early IL-6 elevation in CSF developed DE. Interleukin 6 in serum was not related to DE.

Conclusion

Interleukin 6 in CSF at the early phase of CO poisoning may be a predictive marker of DE.     

Hypothermia in a desert climate: severity score and mortality prediction

Introduction

The goal of our study was to characterize patients admitted to the hospital with hypothermia in a desert climate.

Methods

This was a retrospective study (1999-2005) in a 1200-bed tertiary care hospital in southern Israel. Patients' data and weather condition (including mean day high and low temperatures, humidity, wind velocity and precipitation) within 48 hours before admission were assessed.

Results

One hundred sixty-nine patients with hypothermia were admitted. The mean highest environmental temperature over 48 hours before admission was 15.3°C in the severe hypothermia (9 cases, 5.3%), 21.4°C in the moderate (40 cases, 23.7%), and 29.3°C in the mild group (120 cases, 71.0%). Major medical conditions associated with decreased body temperature were sepsis (65, 38.5%), trauma (34, 20.1%), endocrine disorders (19, 11.2%), and substance abuse (15, 8.9%). The inhospital mortality rate was 47.3%. A risk score based on 5 admission variables (age ≥70 years, mean arterial pressure <90 mm Hg, pH <7.35, creatinine >1.5 mg/dL, and confusion) was generated, predicting inhospital mortality with area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.81 (95% confidence interval, 0.75-0.87).

Conclusions

Hypothermia should not be overlooked in geographical areas with temperate climates. Using a prognostication system based upon clinical and laboratory variables may identify hypothermia patients with increased risk of death.     

Scoring systems in acute pancreatitis: Which one to use in intensive care units?

Purpose

The aim of the study was to assess and compare the efficacy of various scoring systems in predicting the severity and outcome of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) admitted in intensive care unit (ICU).

Methods

Prospective, single institution review of 55 consecutive AP patients admitted in ICU during a 2-year period. Disease severity scores and mortality predictions were calculated using the collected data in the first 48 hours of ICU admission for Ranson and Glasgow scores and in the first 24 hours for other scores.

Results

Forty-two patients (76.4%) developed severe pancreatitis. Intensive care unit and 30-day mortality was 18.2% and 27.3%, respectively. Use of mechanical ventilation (MV) was an independent predictor of outcome on multivariate analysis with lack of MV being protective (adjusted odds ratio, 0.003; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.00001-0.67; P = .04). All scoring systems had comparable accuracy in predicting severity and 30-day mortality, but sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score had greater efficacy with its area under curve for predicting severity and 30-day mortality being 0.81 (95% CI, 0.69-0.92) and 0.93 (95% CI, 0.85-0.99), respectively. Sensitivity and specificity (SOFA score, >4) was 76.2% and 69.2%, respectively, for predicting severity, and sensitivity and specificity (SOFA score, >8) was 86.7% and 90%, respectively, for predicting 30-day mortality.

Conclusions

Use of MV is an independent predictor of outcome in AP patients admitted to ICU. Although all scoring systems had reliable accuracy in predicting severity and outcome, SOFA score performed better with additional advantages of easy applicability and timely assessment.