Effect of propensity of seeking medical care on the bias of the estimated effectiveness of rotavirus vaccines from studies using a test-negative case-control design

BackgroundRotavirus is the leading cause of severe diarrhea among children worldwide, and vaccines can reduce morbidity and mortality by 50–98%. The test-negative control (TNC) study design is increasingly used for evaluating the effectiveness of vaccines against rotavirus and other vaccine-preventable diseases. In this study design, symptomatic patients who seek medical care are tested for the pathogen of interest. Those who test positive (negative) are classified as cases (controls).MethodsWe use a probability model to evaluate the bias of estimates of rotavirus vaccine effectiveness (VE) against rotavirus diarrhea resulting in hospitalization in the presence of possible confounding and selection biases due to differences in the propensity of seeking medical care (PSMC) between vaccinated and unvaccinated children.ResultsThe TNC-based VE estimate corrects for confounding bias when the confounder’s effects on the probabilities of rotavirus and non-rotavirus related hospitalizations are equal. If this condition is not met, then the estimated VE may be substantially biased. The bias is more severe in low-income countries, where VE is known to be lower. Under our model, differences in PSMC between vaccinated and unvaccinated children do not result in selection bias when the TNC study design is used.ConclusionsIn practice, one can expect the association of PSMC (or other potential confounders) with the probabilities of rotavirus and non-rotavirus related hospitalization to be similar, in which case the confounding effects will only result in small bias in the VE estimate from TNC studies. The results of this work, along with those of our previous paper, confirm the TNC design can be expected to provide reliable estimates of rotavirus VE in both high- and low-income countries.     

Comparison of two control groups for estimation of oral cholera vaccine effectiveness using a case-control study design

BackgroundCase-control studies to quantify oral cholera vaccine effectiveness (VE) often rely on neighbors without diarrhea as community controls. Test-negative controls can be easily recruited and may minimize bias due to differential health-seeking behavior and recall. We compared VE estimates derived from community and test-negative controls and conducted bias-indicator analyses to assess potential bias with community controls.MethodsFrom October 2012 through November 2016, patients with acute watery diarrhea were recruited from cholera treatment centers in rural Haiti. Cholera cases had a positive stool culture. Non-cholera diarrhea cases (test-negative controls and non-cholera diarrhea cases for bias-indicator analyses) had a negative culture and rapid test. Up to four community controls were matched to diarrhea cases by age group, time, and neighborhood.ResultsPrimary analyses included 181 cholera cases, 157 non-cholera diarrhea cases, 716 VE community controls and 625 bias-indicator community controls. VE for self-reported vaccination with two doses was consistent across the two control groups, with statistically significant VE estimates ranging from 72 to 74%. Sensitivity analyses revealed similar, though somewhat attenuated estimates for self-reported two dose VE. Bias-indicator estimates were consistently less than one, with VE estimates ranging from 19 to 43%, some of which were statistically significant.ConclusionsOCV estimates from case-control analyses using community and test-negative controls were similar. While bias-indicator analyses suggested possible over-estimation of VE estimates using community controls, test-negative analyses suggested this bias, if present, was minimal. Test-negative controls can be a valid low-cost and time-efficient alternative to community controls for OCV effectiveness estimation and may be especially relevant in emergency situations.     

Methodologic issues regarding the use of three observational study designs to assess influenza vaccine effectiveness

BACKGROUND: Influenza causes substantial morbidity and annual vaccination is the most important prevention strategy. Accurately measuring vaccine effectiveness (VE) is difficult. The clinical syndrome most closely associated with influenza virus infection, influenza-like illness (ILI), is not specific. In addition, laboratory confirmation is infrequently done, and available rapid diagnostic tests are imperfect. The objective of this study was to estimate the joint impact of rapid diagnostic test sensitivity and specificity on VE for three types of study designs: a cohort study, a traditional case-control study, and a case-control study that used as controls individuals with ILI who tested negative for influenza virus infection. METHODS: We developed a mathematical model with five input parameters: true VE, attack rates (ARs) of influenza-ILI and non-influenza-ILI and the sensitivity and specificity of the diagnostic test. RESULTS: With imperfect specificity, estimates from all three designs tended to underestimate true VE, but were similar except if fairly extreme inputs were used. Only if test specificity was 95% or more or if influenza attack rates doubled that of background illness did the case-control method slightly overestimate VE. The case-control method usually produced the highest and most accurate estimates, followed by the test-negative design. The bias toward underestimating true VE introduced by low test specificity increased as the AR of influenza- relative to non-influenza-ILI decreases and, to a lesser degree, with lower test sensitivity. CONCLUSIONS: Demonstration of a high influenza VE using tests with imperfect sensitivity and specificity should provide reassurance that the program has been effective in reducing influenza illnesses, assuming adequate control of confounding factors.     

The case test-negative design for studies of the effectiveness of influenza vaccine

Background

A modification to the case–control study design has become popular to assess vaccine effectiveness (VE) against viral infections. Subjects with symptomatic illness seeking medical care are tested by a highly specific polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assay for the detection of the infection of interest. Cases are subjects testing positive for the virus; those testing negative represent the comparison group. Influenza and rotavirus VE studies using this design are often termed “test-negative case-control” studies, but this design has not been formally described or evaluated. We explicitly state several assumptions of the design and examine the conditions under which VE estimates derived with it are valid and unbiased.

Methods

We derived mathematical expressions for VE estimators obtained using this design and examined their statistical properties. We used simulation methods to test the validity of the estimators and illustrate their performance using an influenza VE study as an example.

Results

Because the marginal ratio of cases to non-cases is unknown during enrollment, this design is not a traditional case-control study; we suggest the name “case test-negative” design. Under sets of increasingly general assumptions, we found that the case test-negative design can provide unbiased VE estimates. However, differences in health care-seeking behavior among cases and non-cases by vaccine status, strong viral interference, or modification of the probability of symptomatic illness by vaccine status can bias VE estimates.

Conclusions

Vaccine effectiveness estimates derived from case test-negative studies are valid and unbiased under a wide range of assumptions. However, if vaccinated cases are less severely ill and seek care less frequently than unvaccinated cases, then an appropriate adjustment for illness severity is required to avoid bias in effectiveness estimates. Viral interference will lead to a non-trivial bias in the vaccine effectiveness estimate from case test-negative studies only when incidence of influenza is extremely high and duration of transient non-specific immunity is long.     

Comparison of test-negative and syndrome-negative controls in SARS-CoV-2 vaccine effectiveness evaluations for preventing COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States

BackgroundTest-negative design (TND) studies have produced validated estimates of vaccine effectiveness (VE) for influenza vaccine studies. However, syndrome-negative controls have been proposed for differentiating bias and true estimates in VE evaluations for COVID-19. To understand the use of alternative control groups, we compared characteristics and VE estimates of syndrome-negative and test-negative VE controls.MethodsAdults hospitalized at 21 medical centers in 18 states March 11–August 31, 2021 were eligible for analysis. Case patients had symptomatic acute respiratory infection (ARI) and tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. Control groups were test-negative patients with ARI but negative SARS-CoV-2 testing, and syndrome-negative controls were without ARI and negative SARS-CoV-2 testing. Chi square and Wilcoxon rank sum tests were used to detect differences in baseline characteristics. VE against COVID-19 hospitalization was calculated using logistic regression comparing adjusted odds of prior mRNA vaccination between cases hospitalized with COVID-19 and each control group.Results5811 adults (2726 cases, 1696 test-negative controls, and 1389 syndrome-negative controls) were included. Control groups differed across characteristics including age, race/ethnicity, employment, previous hospitalizations, medical conditions, and immunosuppression. However, control-group-specific VE estimates were very similar. Among immunocompetent patients aged 18–64 years, VE was 93 % (95 % CI: 90–94) using syndrome-negative controls and 91 % (95 % CI: 88–93) using test-negative controls.ConclusionsDespite demographic and clinical differences between control groups, the use of either control group produced similar VE estimates across age groups and immunosuppression status. These findings support the use of test-negative controls and increase confidence in COVID-19 VE estimates produced by test-negative design studies.     

Impact and effectiveness of monovalent rotavirus vaccine in Tajik children

BackgroundIn 2015, Tajikistan became the second country in Central Asia to introduce rotavirus vaccine into its national immunization program. Before vaccine introduction, rotavirus was estimated to cause > 40% of pediatric diarrhea hospitalizations in Tajikistan. We aimed to assess the impact of rotavirus vaccine introduction on rotavirus disease burden and estimate rotavirus vaccine effectiveness (VE).MethodsUsing surveillance data from 2013 through 2019, we examined trends in monthly hospital admissions among children < 5 years old, before and after rotavirus vaccine introduction. Poisson regression was used to quantify decreases. VE was estimated using a test-negative case control design, with data from admissions during 2017 – 2019. Immunization records were obtained from clinics.ResultsAmong enrolled children, rotavirus positivity declined from 42% to 25% in the post-vaccine introduction period, a decrease of 41% (95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 36 – 45%). Declines were greatest in children < 12 months of age. Estimated VE of a complete course of rotavirus vaccine was 55% (95% CI: 21 – 73%) among children 5 – 59 months of age and 64% (95% CI: 36 – 80%) among children 5 – 23 months of age. VE point estimates were higher among children receiving both doses of rotavirus vaccine non-concurrently with OPV and among children receiving their first dose of rotavirus vaccine at 4 – 11 months of age, but CIs were wide and overlapping.ConclusionsOur data demonstrate that rotavirus vaccine introduction was associated with a substantial reduction in pediatric rotavirus hospitalization burden in Tajikistan, and that rotavirus vaccination is effective in Tajik children.     

Influenza vaccine effectiveness by test-negative design – Comparison of inpatient and outpatient settings

BackgroundObservational studies of influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) are increasingly using the test-negative design. Studies are typically based in outpatient or inpatient settings, but these two approaches are rarely compared directly. The aim of our study was to assess whether influenza VE estimates differ between inpatient and outpatient settings.MethodsWe searched the literature from Medline, PubMed and Web of Science using a combination of keywords to identify published studies of influenza VE using the test-negative design. Studies assessing any type of influenza vaccine among any population in any setting were considered, while interim studies or re-analyses were excluded. Retrieved articles were reviewed, screened and categorized based on study setting, location and influenza season. We searched for parallel studies in inpatient and outpatient settings that were done in the same influenza season, in the same location, and in the same or similar age groups. For each of the pairs identified, we estimated the difference in VE estimates between settings, and we tested whether the average difference was significant using a paired t-test.ResultsIn total 25 pairs of estimates were identified that permitted comparisons between VE estimates in inpatient and outpatient study settings. Within pairs, the prevalence of influenza was generally higher among patients enrolled in the outpatient studies, while influenza vaccination coverage among the test-negative control groups was generally higher in the inpatient studies. There was no heterogeneity in the paired differences in VE, and the pooled difference in VE between inpatient and outpatient studies was −2% (95% confidence interval: −12%, 10%).ConclusionsWe found no differences in VE estimates between inpatient and outpatient settings by studies using the test-negative design. Further research involving direct comparisons of VE estimates from the two settings in the same populations and years would be valuable.     

Rotavirus vaccine effectiveness in low-income settings: An evaluation of the test-negative design

BackgroundThe test-negative design (TND), an epidemiologic method currently used to measure rotavirus vaccine (RV) effectiveness, compares the vaccination status of rotavirus-positive cases and rotavirus-negative controls meeting a pre-defined case definition for acute gastroenteritis. Despite the use of this study design in low-income settings, the TND has not been evaluated to measure rotavirus vaccine effectiveness.MethodsThis study builds upon prior methods to evaluate the use of the TND for influenza vaccine using a randomized controlled clinical trial database. Test-negative vaccine effectiveness (VE-TND) estimates were derived from three large randomized placebo-controlled trials (RCTs) of monovalent (RV1) and pentavalent (RV5) rotavirus vaccines in sub-Saharan Africa and Asia. Derived VE-TND estimates were compared to the original RCT vaccine efficacy estimates (VE-RCTs). The core assumption of the TND (i.e., rotavirus vaccine has no effect on rotavirus-negative diarrhea) was also assessed.ResultsTND vaccine effectiveness estimates were nearly equivalent to original RCT vaccine efficacy estimates. Neither RV had a substantial effect on rotavirus-negative diarrhea.ConclusionsThis study supports the TND as an appropriate epidemiologic study design to measure rotavirus vaccine effectiveness in low-income settings.     

Effectiveness of rotavirus vaccines in preventing cases and hospitalizations due to rotavirus gastroenteritis in Navarre, Spain

Two rotavirus vaccines have been available since 2006. This study evaluates the effectiveness of these vaccines using a test-negative case-control design in Navarre, Spain. We included children 3-59 months of age who sought medical care for gastroenteritis and for whom stool samples were taken between January 2008 and June 2011. About 9% had received the pentavalent vaccine (RotaTeq) and another 8% received the monovalent vaccine (Rotarix). Cases were the 756 children with confirmed rotavirus and controls were the 6036 children who tested negative for rotavirus. Thirty-five percent of cases and 9% of controls had required hospitalization (p < 0.0001). The adjusted effectiveness of complete vaccination was 78% (95% CI: 68-85%) in preventing rotavirus gastroenteritis and 83% (95% CI: 65-93%) in preventing hospitalization for rotavirus gastroenteritis. No differences between the two vaccines were detected (p = 0.4523). Both vaccines were highly effective in preventing cases and hospital admissions in children due to rotavirus gastroenteritis.     

Effectiveness of enterovirus A71 vaccine in severe hand,foot, and mouth disease cases in Guangxi,China

BackgroundHand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) caused by enterovirus A71 (EV-A71) is a major public health issue in China that poses severe risks to children’s health, especially those under the age of 3. Since 2016, EV71 vaccines developed by three Chinese manufacturers have been approved for use, and clinical trials of these vaccines have demonstrated protection against EV-A71 infection. However, few studies have assessed the effectiveness of these vaccines in real-world settings.MethodsA test-negative design case-control study was used to estimate vaccine effectiveness (VE) in cases of severe HFMD. We obtained information including EV-A71 vaccination status from the Local Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) on all severe HFMD cases under 12 years in age in Guangxi, China, from Jan. 1, 2017, to Dec. 31, 2018. Enterovirus infection was laboratory confirmed by local CDCs. Individuals with a positive EV-A71 nucleic acid test result were assigned to the case group, and those with negative EV-A71 nucleic acid test results were assigned to the control group. We estimated VE using logistic regression.ResultsA total of 2779 severe HFMD cases were enrolled in the study; 838 children were EV-A71 positive cases, and 1941 children were EV-A71 negative controls. The proportion of EV-A71 positive cases aged 6–36 months was lower than that for EV-A71 negative controls. EV-A71 infection was associated with an increased risk of mortality (aOR, 8.8; 95% CI, 1.3–61.6). The adjusted VE was 81.4% and 88.3% for one dose and two doses, respectively.ConclusionOur findings suggest that the rate of EV-A71 has fallen among severe HFMD cases in Guangxi and that the risk for EV-A71 infection in 6–36-month-old children has been reduced by use of the vaccine. Inactivated vaccines performed well in severe HFMD cases in a real-world setting.     

Effectiveness of monovalent rotavirus vaccine in a high-income,predominant-use setting

Background and objectivesWe assessed monovalent rotavirus (RV1) vaccine effectiveness (VE) in a high-income setting with RV1 predominant use, and examined the burden of pediatric rotavirus gastroenteritis following the implementation of an RV1-only vaccination program.MethodsWe conducted active rotavirus gastroenteritis surveillance among children 8 weeks to <3 years of age at three hospitals. Participant information and vaccination histories were collected via parent/guardian interview and medical records. Stool specimens were tested for rotavirus; positive specimens were genotyped. The effect of increasing RV1 coverage on rotavirus prevalence was examined as a weekly time series via binomial regression with a log link function, using either categorical season or mean 2-dose rotavirus seasonal vaccine coverage as the exposure variable. As compared with RV1 vaccine formulation, rotavirus genotypes were classified as homotypic, partly-heterotypic, or heterotypic; prevalence of each was compared by season. A test-negative case-control design was used to examine RV1 VE against hospitalization or emergency visits.ResultsWe enrolled 866 participants in active surveillance; of these, 384 (44.3%) were eligible for VE analyses. After adjustment for season, we detected a 70.1% (95% CI: 21.9%, 88.6%) relative decrease in rotavirus prevalence in the 2013–14 season compared with 2012–13 season. On average, a 1% increase in ≥2-dose rotavirus coverage among children 1 year of age was associated with a 3.8% (95% CI: 1.8%, 5.8%) relative decrease in rotavirus prevalence. Rotavirus homotypic strain prevalence decreased, with 77% (95% CI: 68%, 89%) versus 8% (95% CI: 0%, 36%) prevalence during the 2011–12 and 2013–14 seasons, respectively. Adjusted 2-dose RV1 VE was 91.2% (95% CI: 61.6%, 98.0%).ConclusionsRV1 vaccine was highly effective to prevent rotavirus hospitalizations and emergency visits among children <3 years of age in a high-income setting with its predominant use. Our estimates were similar to high-income settings with concurrent RV1 and pentavalent vaccine use.     

Outbreak of rotavirus gastroenteritis with high mortality, Nicaragua, 2005.

OBJECTIVES: We investigated a nationwide outbreak of severe rotavirus gastroenteritis in Nicaragua in children under 5 years old, leading to many consultations, hospitalizations, and deaths. We questioned whether a vaccine might have prevented these illnesses and deaths, sought to identify risk factors for death, and developed a clinical profile of children hospitalized with diarrhea. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study to determine whether children who died had access to routine immunizations, a proxy predicting access to a rotavirus vaccine. We identified risk factors for death among children who died in the outbreak compared with surviving age-matched controls with diarrhea. We collected stools, clinical data, and immunization data on children hospitalized for diarrhea to test for rotavirus, develop the profile, and forecast future access to a rotavirus vaccine. RESULTS: The outbreak from February to April 2005 caused 47 470 consultations and 52 deaths. Approximately 80% of cases and controls and 60% of children hospitalized with diarrhea had access to routine immunizations and would likely have had access to a rotavirus vaccine. With a vaccine efficacy of 85%, up to 51% of severe rotavirus cases and up to 68% of deaths could have been prevented if a rotavirus vaccine were available as part of routine childhood immunizations. Study of 35 case-control pairs indicated that severe illnesses, malnutrition, and care by traditional healers were risk factors for death. Rotavirus was found in 42% of samples from hospitalized children and was associated with severe disease and dehydration. CONCLUSIONS: The impact of the seasonal outbreaks of rotavirus disease could be diminished with a rotavirus vaccine, improvements in oral rehydration programs, and training of traditional healers in the proper management of children with acute diarrhea.     

On the bias of estimates of influenza vaccine effectiveness from test–negative studies

Estimates of the effectiveness of influenza vaccines are commonly obtained from a test-negative design (TND) study, where cases and controls are patients seeking care for an acute respiratory illness who test positive and negative, respectively, for influenza infection. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates from TND studies are usually interpreted as vaccine effectiveness against medically-attended influenza (MAI). However, it is also important to estimate VE against any influenza illness (symptomatic influenza (SI)) as individuals with SI are still a public health burden even if they do not seek medical care. We present a numerical method to evaluate the bias of TND-based estimates of influenza VE with respect to MAI and SI. We consider two sources of bias: (a) confounding bias due to a (possibly unobserved) covariate that is associated with both vaccination and the probability of the outcome of interest and (b) bias resulting from the effect of vaccination on the probability of seeking care. Our results indicate that (a) VE estimates may suffer from substantial confounding bias when a confounder has a different effect on the probabilities of influenza and non-influenza ARI, and (b) when vaccination reduces the probability of seeking care against influenza ARI, then estimates of VE against MAI may be unbiased while estimates of VE against SI may be have a substantial positive bias.     

Basic principles of test-negative design in evaluating influenza vaccine effectiveness

Based on the unique characteristics of influenza, the concept of “monitoring” influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) across the seasons using the same observational study design has been developed. In recent years, there has been a growing number of influenza VE reports using the test-negative design, which can minimize both misclassification of diseases and confounding by health care-seeking behavior. Although the test-negative designs offer considerable advantages, there are some concerns that widespread use of the test-negative design without knowledge of the basic principles of epidemiology could produce invalid findings. In this article, we briefly review the basic concepts of the test-negative design with respect to classic study design such as cohort studies or case-control studies. We also mention selection bias, which may be of concern in some countries where rapid diagnostic testing is frequently used in routine clinical practices, as in Japan.     

Rotavirus vaccination effectiveness: A case–case study in the EDICS project,Castellón (Spain)

In Spain, in 2006, two oral live-attenuated vaccines against rotavirus disease were licensed for infants up to 6 months. Recent data suggest that vaccine efficacy may vary by region. This makes the real-life postmarketing monitoring of rotavirus vaccination effectiveness an important aspect of rotavirus epidemiologic surveillance. We carried out a case–case study to assess the rotavirus vaccination effectiveness in children from 2 to 35 months of age during the year 2009 in Castellón. As a second- and counterfactual objective to evaluate the possible selection bias and the specificity of the association, we evaluated the “effectiveness” of pneumococcal vaccination against rotavirus diarrhea. Cases were 71 children with confirmed rotavirus gastroenteritis, and controls were 261 children with positive results to any other organism that was not rotavirus. The immunization status of each child, the number of doses and dates of vaccination were assessed by consulting the Regional Immunization Registry. The lowest proportion of vaccinated cases was observed among rotavirus diarrhea (2.8%). The proportion of vaccinated children among the control group was 21.8%. The effectiveness of vaccination with at least one dose of vaccine against rotavirus was 87.7% (45.5–99.7%). If we restrict the analysis to non-hospitalized children, this figure was slightly lower, 83.5% (25.4–96.3%). As expected, pneumococcal vaccination was not protective against rotavirus infection showing the specificity of the association found. The immunization information systems in combination with population-based studies of the incidence of infectious gastroenteritis, such as EDICS offer appropriate conditions for postmarketing monitoring of vaccine effectiveness.     

Comparing influenza vaccine effectiveness between cell-derived and egg-derived vaccines, 2017–2018 influenza season

The Department of Defense Global Respiratory Pathogen Surveillance Program conducted a study to compare the differences in vaccine effectiveness (VE) of the cell-derived and egg-derived vaccines. DoD healthcare beneficiaries, excluding service members, that presented with influenza-like illness for the period of 1 October 2017 through 28 April 2018 were included in a test-negative case-control study examining laboratory confirmed influenza infections. Three VE analyses were performed (1) influenza infection among those vaccinated with cell-derived vaccines (2) influenza infection among those vaccinated with egg-derived vaccines and a (3) relative VE which directly compared the odds of influenza infection with cell-derived vaccine against those with egg-derived vaccines. The cell-derived and egg-derived vaccines were moderately protective against all influenza types with significant VE estimates for all dependents at 46% (95% confidence interval, 33, 56) and 53% (45, 60), respectively. Of the subtype analyses, influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 performed the best. In the cell-derived vaccine, the adult age group was moderate to high at 71% (44, 85) and children moderate at 56% (15, 75). In the egg-derived vaccine, the children age group was at a high 88% (80, 93) effectiveness and adults at 81% (56, 92). When comparing cell-derived vaccine directly to the egg-derived vaccine, the relative VE found significant results only for influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 which favored the egg-derived vaccine with odds ratios of 2.0 (1.1, 3.6) for all dependents and 2.9 (1.3, 6.3) for children. In the influenza A(H3N2) analysis, statistical significance was not gained; however, the odds favored the cell-derived vaccine.     

The test-negative design for estimating influenza vaccine effectiveness

Objective

The test-negative design has emerged in recent years as the preferred method for estimating influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) in observational studies. However, the methodologic basis of this design has not been formally developed.

Methods

In this paper we develop the rationale and underlying assumptions of the test-negative study. Under the test-negative design for influenza VE, study subjects are all persons who seek care for an acute respiratory illness (ARI). All subjects are tested for influenza infection. Influenza VE is estimated from the ratio of the odds of vaccination among subjects testing positive for influenza to the odds of vaccination among subjects testing negative.

Results

With the assumptions that (a) the distribution of non-influenza causes of ARI does not vary by influenza vaccination status, and (b) VE does not vary by health care-seeking behavior, the VE estimate from the sample can generalized to the full source population that gave rise to the study sample. Based on our derivation of this design, we show that test-negative studies of influenza VE can produce biased VE estimates if they include persons seeking care for ARI when influenza is not circulating or do not adjust for calendar time.

Conclusions

The test-negative design is less susceptible to bias due to misclassification of infection and to confounding by health care-seeking behavior, relative to traditional case-control or cohort studies. The cost of the test-negative design is the additional, difficult-to-test assumptions that incidence of non-influenza respiratory infections is similar between vaccinated and unvaccinated groups within any stratum of care-seeking behavior, and that influenza VE does not vary across care-seeking strata.     

Immune response and protective efficacy of the S particle presented rotavirus VP8* vaccine in mice

Rotaviruses cause severe diarrhea in infants and young children, leading to significant morbidity and mortality. Despite implementation of current rotavirus vaccines, severe diarrhea caused by rotaviruses still claims ∼200,000 lives of children with great economic loss worldwide each year. Thus, new prevention strategies with high efficacy are highly demanded. Recently, we have developed a polyvalent protein nanoparticle derived from norovirus VP1, the S particle, and applied it to display rotavirus neutralizing antigen VP8* as a vaccine candidate (S-VP8*) against rotavirus, which showed promise as a vaccine based on mouse immunization and in vitro neutralization studies. Here we further evaluated this S-VP8* nanoparticle vaccine in a mouse rotavirus challenge model. S-VP8* vaccines containing the murine rotavirus (EDIM strain) VP8* antigens (S-mVP8*) were constructed and immunized mice, resulting in high titers of anti-EDIM VP8* IgG. The S-mVP8* nanoparticle vaccine protected immunized mice against challenge of the homologous murine EDIM rotavirus at a high efficacy of 97% based on virus shedding reduction in stools compared with unimmunized controls. Our study further supports the polyvalent S-VP8* nanoparticles as a promising vaccine candidate against rotavirus and warrants further development.     

Use of the state immunization information system to assess rotavirus vaccine effectiveness in Connecticut, 2006-2008

Immunization information systems (IIS) contain individual vaccination records and have potential use for evaluating post-licensure vaccine effectiveness (VE). A matched case-control study was performed by using the Connecticut state IIS to calculate rotavirus VE against hospitalization; results were compared with pre-licensure efficacy and with estimates previously obtained by traditional case-control methods using matched controls from medical sources and medical chart abstracted data. Case-patients (n = 54) were vaccine-eligible children with IIS entry and hospitalized for rotavirus gastroenteritis during July 2006-December 2008; each was matched to five control subjects (n = 270) who were randomly selected from IIS based on case-patient's birth date and town of residence. VE of at least one dose was 90.6%, comparable to the pre-licensure efficacy of 96% and to the unadjusted 83.5-90.7% estimates by using traditional case-control methods. IIS can be a convenient and potentially accurate tool for calculating VE.