Limitations of the pediatric risk of mortality score in assessing children with acute renal failure

The pediatric risk of mortality score (PRISM) incorporates 14 physiological and laboratory variables to calculate a patient's score, which is then adjusted for operative status and age to determine the probability of death. Because of the ethical issues surrounding the initiation of dialysis in critically ill children, a scoring system which could differentiate survivors from nonsurvivors prior to the initiation of dialysis would be useful to the clinician. Similarly, a score which could accurately estimate the probability of mortality in children with acute renal failure would be useful to third party payors attempting to evaluate the performance of individual care providers. We calculated PRISM scores on the day dialysis was initiated, retrospectively, in 31 children seen from 1984–1988 with the diagnosis of acute renal failure and requiring dialysis, in order to determine if the PRISM score was accurate in prediction of mortality. In addition, we calculated scores on the day of admission to the intensive care unit (DICU) in order to see if DICU scores accurately reflected mortality risk. The mean PRISM scores of nonsurvivors were significantly higher than the mean scores of survivors on the day dialysis therapy was initiated. However, overlap in the scores of survivors and nonsurvivors would limit the applicability of PRISM scores for clinical decision making. Children that developed acute renal failure requiring dialysis due to extrarenal diseases had a higher mortality rate than those that had primary renal disease (57% versus 12.5%,P<0.05). DICU scores underestimated the mortality of these patients. The decision to institute dialysis for children with acute renal failure cannot be based on PRISM scores calculated during the hospital course. The use of PRISM scores in quality assurance activities for children with acute renal failure is inappropriate.     

Can SAPS II Predict Operative Mortality More Accurately Than POSSUM and P-POSSUM in Patients with Colorectal Carcinoma Undergoing Resection?

Background This study assessed the APACHE II (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II), SAPS II (Simplified Acute Physiology Score-II), POSSUM (Physiologic and Operative Severity Score for Enumeration of Morbidity and Mortality), and P-POSSUM (Portsmouth-POSSUM) in patients with colorectal cancer undergoing curative or palliative resection. Methods Predicted mortality rates and the observed/expected mortality ratio were computed by means of each scoring system. The results were compared between survivors and nonsurvivors and between elective and emergency operations. Each model was assessed for its accuracy to predict the risk of death using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, and risk stratification was generated as well. Results Some 224 patients were enrolled in the study. The overall 30-day mortality rate was 3.6% (n = 8). Predicted mortality rates generated by APACHE II, SAPS II, POSSUM, and P-POSSUM were 9.1%, 3.7%, 13.4%, and 5.2%, respectively. All the scoring systems assigned higher scores to those patients who died than to those who survived. Areas under the curve calculated by ROC curve analysis for APACHE II, SAPS II, POSSUM, and P-POSSUM were 0.786, 0.854, 0.793, and 0.831, respectively. Best stratification was achieved by the SAPS II score. Conclusions SAPS II and P-POSSUM were determined to be better predictors for patients with colorectal cancer undergoing resection. SAPS II also was found to have a higher degree of discriminatory power in colorectal resection for carcinoma. The predictive value of this useful severity score in several surgical subgroups must be examined to evaluate its routine use in risk-adjusted audit.     

APACHEⅡ与TRISS评分系统对急诊重症创伤患者预后预测的比较

目的比较急性生理和慢性健康状况评价系统(APACHE)Ⅱ与创伤严重程度评分(TRISS)对急诊重症创伤患者死亡率的预测能力。方法将2010年4月至2011年5月在本院急诊抢救室治疗的重症创伤患者纳入本研究。统计患者的一般资料、受伤机制、手术、APACHEⅡ和TRISS评分等,并预测死亡率,预测结果与实际死亡率比较,通过受试者操作工作特征曲线下面积(ROC曲线)和诊断结果判断两种评分模型对死亡率的预测能力。结果 282例患者中,33例死亡(11.7%),249例存活(88.3%)。死亡患者和存活患者两组比较,APACHEⅡ、RTS、ISS和年龄均有显著差异。通过ROC曲线下面积分析,急诊APACHEⅡ和TRISS的ROC曲线面积为0.90±0.03和0.76±0.05。APACHEII的预测能力更好,P<0.05。以0.5为判断死亡标准,经Kappa检验,APACHEⅡ、TRISS与实际死亡率的一致性为0.64(P<0.05)和0.43(P<0.05)。结论急诊APACHEⅡ和TRISS都能准确预测急诊重症创伤患者的死亡率,APAHCEⅡ的预测价值更高。     

Longitudinal outcomes of intra-abdominal infection complicated by critical illness

BACKGROUND: Critically ill surgical patients remain at high risk of adverse outcomes as a result of intra-abdominal infections, including prolonged length of stay, organ dysfunction, and death despite advances in critical care and innovations in management of the peritoneal cavity. We evaluated the causes and consequences of intra-abdominal infections among critically ill surgical patients in a single tertiary-care intensive care unit (ICU) over a decade. METHODS: Prospective study of 465 critically ill surgical patients with hollow viscus perforation and peritonitis or abscess from 1991-2002. Data collected were age, gender, admission APACHE III score, multiple organ dysfunction score, ICU and hospital length of stay, abscess (yes/no), site and type of perforation (colon vs. other), de novo vs. nosocomial origin, and mortality. Statistical analysis was by univariate ANOVA for coordinate data, Fisher exact test for continuous data, and logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The incidence of intra-abdominal infection was 5.75%, 73.7% of the patients developed organ dysfunction, and mortality was 22.6%. Females comprised 46.8% of the patients. De novo infection represented 71.8% of cases, whereas nosocomial infection comprised 28.2% of cases. Perforations were of the colon (including the appendix) 49.9% of the time. An abscess formed in 22.3% of patients; the remainder had peritonitis but no abscess. Patients in the cohort with peritonitis were older (p = 0.0157), sicker on admission (p = 0.0411) and developed more organ dysfunction (p = 0.0072), but had the same rate of mortality. Despite steadily increasing acuity since 1991 (r(2) = .71, p < 0.0001), the magnitude of organ dysfunction (r(2) = 0.11) and the mortality rate remained constant (r(2) = .01). By logistic regression, abscess correlated with less severe organ dysfunction (score > or = 5 [odds ratio 0.54, 95% CI 0.33-0.90] and > or =9 points [odds ratio 0.38, 95% CI 0.20-0.74]), and increasing magnitude of organ dysfunction was associated with mortality (each point [odds ratio 1.46, 95% CI 1.32-1.61]). CONCLUSIONS: Although outcomes are improving, generalized peritonitis still causes high organ dysfunction-related mortality among critically ill surgical patients. Further improvements in resuscitation, surgical technique, and pharmacotherapy of severe intra-abdominal infections are needed.     

Admission serum lactate levels do not predict mortality in the acutely injured patient

INTRODUCTION: The conventional view that admission lactate levels predict outcome in trauma patients stems from simple comparisons of mean blood levels between groups and small sample sizes. To better address this question, we performed more rigorous statistical analyses of lactate in a larger patient sample. METHODS: We prospectively collected data on admission lactate and outcomes in 5,995 patients admitted to an urban, university-based trauma center. The ability of admission lactate to predict mortality was assessed by logistic regression, calculation of positive predictive values (PPV), and measurement of areas under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. RESULTS: Differences between survivors and nonsurvivors in means of most proposed prognosticators was again demonstrated. However, the large overlap in these variables between survivors and nonsurvivors prevented clinically useful predictions. The overall PPV of elevated lactate was only 5.4%. Even in severely injured patients (Injury Severity Score >20; mortality 23%), elevated admission lactate level was a poor predictor of outcome. ROC analyses found no useful sensitivity threshold overall or after stratification by age, sex, Glasgow Coma Scale score, revised trauma score, or mechanism of injury. CONCLUSIONS: This large retrospective examination of admission lactate levels failed to show useful predictive accuracy for hospital death. Serum lactate levels need not be obtained routinely but can be reserved for patients who will be admitted to the intensive care unit and/or require an emergency operation.     

Prognostic factors for mortality in left colonic peritonitis: a new scoring system

Background: Perforating lesions of the colon affect a heterogeneous group of patients, often elderly, and usually present as abdominal emergencies, with high morbidity and mortality. The aims of this study were to assess the prognostic value of specific factors in patients with left colonic peritonitis and to evaluate the utility of a scoring method that allows one to define groups of patients with different mortality risks.

Study Design: Between January 1994 and December 1999, 156 patients (77 men and 79 women), with a mean (SD) age of 63.2 years (15.5 years) (range 22 to 87 years), underwent emergency operation for a distal colonic perforation. Intraoperative colonic lavage was the first choice operation and it was performed in 74 patients (47.4%). There were three alternative procedures: the Hartmann operation was performed in 69 patients (44.2%), subtotal colectomy in 9, and colostomy in 4 patients. We analyzed specific variables for their possible relation to death including gender, age, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, immunocompromised status, etiology, and degree of peritonitis, preoperative organ failure, time (hours) between hospital admission and surgical intervention, and degree of temperature elevation (38°C). Univariate relations between predictors and outcomes (death) were analyzed using logistic regression. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to assess the prognostic value of combinations of the variables. Significant factors identified in univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to define a left colonic Peritonitis Severity Score (PSS). Factors that were significant only in univariate analysis scored 2 points if present and 1 if not. Variables significant in multivariate analysis were scored from 1 to 3 points. Patients were randomly split into two groups, one to calculate the scoring system and the other to validate it.

Results: Overall postoperative mortality rate was 22.4%. Septic-related mortality was observed in 24 patients (15.4%). Age, peritonitis grade, ASA score, immunocompromised status, and ischemic colitis were significant for postoperative death in univariate analysis. But only ASA score and preoperative organ failure were significantly associated with postoperative mortality in multivariate logistic regression analysis. The PSS, as defined in this study, was related to outcomes of patients. Mortality rate increased from 0%, when PSS was 6 points (minimum possible score), to 100% in patients with a PSS of 13 (maximum possible PSS = 14).

Conclusions: Left colonic peritonitis continues to have a persistently high mortality in patients with septic complications. ASA score and preoperative organ failure are the only factors that are significantly associated with mortality in the multivariate analysis. The PSS classification may help uniformly define the mortality risk of patients with distal large bowel peritonitis, and may help to increase the comparability of studies carried out at different centers.     

Comparative study of left colonic Peritonitis Severity Score and Mannheim Peritonitis Index

BACKGROUND: Prognostic evaluation of patients with left colonic perforation is useful in predicting mortality. The aims of this prospective study were to determine the prognostic value of the left colonic Peritonitis Severity Score (PSS) and to compare it with the Mannheim Peritonitis Index (MPI). METHODS: One-hundred and fifty-six patients underwent emergency operation for distal colonic peritonitis. The PSS and MPI were calculated for each patient. The Spearman rank correlation coefficient was used to measure the association between the two scores. The predictive power of the two scoring systems and their differences were studied using the area under the receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS: Forty-one patients died (26.3 per cent). The relationship between scores and mortality was statistically significant for each scoring system (P < 0.001). The Spearman rank correlation coefficient for the correlation between the MPI and PSS was 0.55 (P < 0.001). There was no difference between areas under the ROC curves for the two systems. CONCLUSION: The PSS and MPI are both well validated scoring systems for left colonic peritonitis. Their routine use might allow stratification of patients according to mortality risk.     

Conservative management of idiopathic pneumoperitoneum masquerading as peritonitis: Report of a case

Pneumoperitoneum is most commonly caused by the perforation of a hollow viscus, in which case an emergency laparotomy is indicated. We report herein the case of a patient who, presented with the signs and symptoms of peritonitis, but who was found to have idiopathic pneumoperitoneum which was successfully managed by conservative treatment. A 70-year-old man presented with epigastric pain, nausea, and a severely distended and tympanitic abdomen. Abdominal examination revealed diffuse tenderness with guarding, but no rebound tenderness. He was febrile with leukocytosis and high C-reactive protein. Chest X-ray and abdominal computed tomography demonstrated a massive pneumoperitoneum without pneumothorax, pneumomediastinum, pneumortroperitoneum, or subcutaneous emphysema, and subsequent examinations failed to demonstrate perforation of a hollow viscus. Thus, a diagnosis of idiopathic pneumoperitoneum was made, and the patient was managed conservatively, which resulted in a successful outcome. This experience and a review of the literature suggest that idiopathic pneumoperitoneum is amenable to conservative management, even when the signs and symptoms of peritonitis are present.     

An unusual presentation of spontaneous pneumoperitoneum secondary to the rupture of a gas-containing pyogenic liver abscess: Report of a case

We describe a rare case of spontaneous pneumoperitoneum secondary to the rupture of a gas-containing pyogenic liver abscess in a 59-year-old man. The patient was diagnosed as having a hollow viscus perforation based on a sudden onset of acute abdominal pain along with radiological evidence of bilateral subphrenic feee air (pneumoperitoneum), and underwent an emergency laparotomy. Contrary to expectations, the surgery revealed no perforations of the hollow viscus, but instead a ruptured liver abscess at the dome of the right hepatic lobe was identified associated with suppurative peritonitis. To the best of our knowledge, such a case of spontaneous pneumoperitoneum secondary to the rupture of a gas-containing liver abscess is extremely rare.     

Unusual pneumoperitoneum secondary to ruptured liver abscess-A case report

IntroductionPyogenic liver abscess is important cause of hospitalization and life threatening disease in low-middle income countries. Clinical spectrum of ruptured GFPLA can mimic hollow viscus perforation as it usually accompanied by pneumoperitoneum and peritonitis.Case presentationWe reported here a case with pneumoperitoneum caused by ruptured liver abscess in a 27-year-old man with a history of uncontrolled type II diabetes mellitus. He had an abdominal pain, distension of abdomen associated with a high fever. Patient was diagnosed peritonitis and pneumoperitoneum presumed to be secondary to perforation of a hollow viscus and subjected to emergency laparotomy. We did not find any gastrointestinal perforation. Surprisingly, we detected a ruptured liver abscess in the right lobe of the liver.. The patient was in septic shock and hence shifted to ICU with inotropic support. Antibiotic therapy was started according to pus culture sensitivity. Even with the above treatment patient was not improved and on 4th postoperative day the patient collapsed and declared dead.DiscussionPneumoperitoneum secondary to ruptured gas containing pyogenic liver abscess is rare and could represent as life threatening infection. It should be distinguished from perforation of hollow organ by clinical symptoms and image examinations, particularly like CT. Accurate diagnosis with adequate drainage and antibiotic therapy would bring good outcome.ConclusionWe are aware that not every case of pneumoperitoneum is attributable to a perforated hollow viscus. A rapid and prompt surgical intervention with appropriate antibiotics are essential to save a life.     

Pneumoperitoneum caused by a perforated peptic ulcer in a peritoneal dialysis patient: Difficulty in diagnosis

Peritonitis due to viscus perforation in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients can be catastrophic. We describe the first reported case of perforated peptic ulcer (PPU) in a PD patient. This 78-year-old man presented with a 1-day history of mild abdominal pain. He had been receiving nocturnal intermittent PD for 2 years and had ischemic heart disease and cirrhosis of the liver. Pneumoperitoneum and peritonitis were documented, but the symptoms were mild. The “board-like abdomen” sign was not noted. Air inflation and contrast radiography indicated a perforation in the upper gastrointestinal tract, and laparotomy disclosed a perforation in the prepyloric great curvature. Unfortunately, the patient died during surgery. This case illustrates that the “board-like abdomen” sign may be absent in PD patients with PPU because of dilution of gastric acid by the dialysate. Free air in the abdomen, although suggestive of PPU, is also not uncommon in PD patients without viscus perforation. Because PD has to be discontinued after laparotomy and exploratory laparotomy may be fatal in high-risk patients, other diagnostic methods should be used to confirm viscus perforation before surgery. PPU, which can be proved by air inflation and contrast radiography, should be suspected in PD patients with pneumoperitoneum and peritonitis.     

Severity and predicted outcome of postoperative Pseudomonas aeruginosa infections

The severity and predicted outcome of postoperative Pseudomonas aeruginosa (P. aeruginosa) infections (PPAI) was evaluated using a severity scoring system based on a simplification and modification of the APACHE II system. A total of 86 patients in whom P. aeruginosa was isolated from various sources were examined. PPAI developed in 50 patients, resulting in an overall mortality rate of 24%. An increased severity score (SS) correlated with an increased risk of developing PPAI. Thus, PPAI developed in 33% of the patients with an SS of 0–1, in 66.7% of those with an SS of 2–3, and in 100% of those with an SS of 6 or higher. Moreover, the mortality rate of the patients with an initial score of 6 or higher was 50%. The mean (±SD) initial severity score was 5.4±2.9 for survivors and 2.9±2.6 for nonsurvivors (P<0.01). In the patients who subsequently died, the SS remained high throughout the clinical course despite therapy, whereas in the survivors the SS decreased progressively, reflecting a favorable clinical course. These results suggest that our severity scoring system was useful for predicting outcome and monitoring the response of PPAI to therapy.     

Spontaneous pneumoperitoneum. A surgical dilemma

Pneumoperitoneum is usually the result of hollow viscus perforation with associated peritonitis. Nonsurgical spontaneous pneumoperitoneum incidental to intrathoracic, intra-abdominal, gynecologic, iatrogenic, and other miscellaneous causes not associated with perforated viscus have been documented in the literature. Seven cases of spontaneous pneumoperitoneum admitted over 3-year period to Grady Memorial Hospital, Atlanta, Georgia are reported. Six patients with pneumoperitoneum underwent exploratory laparotomy when clinical examination suggested an acute abdomen; no intra-abdominal pathology was documented in any of these patients. A seventh patient, on ventilatory support, was managed conservatively after performing a diagnostic peritoneal lavage that was negative. There were no cases of radiographically misdiagnosed pneumoperitoneum. Pneumoperitoneum, preceded by a reasonable incidental cause in a patient with a adequate abdominal examination, may warrant continued observation thus avoiding an unnecessary laparotomy.     

Predictive factors of mortality due to polymicrobial peritonitis with Candida isolation in peritoneal fluid in critically ill patients

BACKGROUND: Candida peritonitis (CP) is generally considered to be a severe disease, but its impact on outcome in critically ill patients remains unknown. HYPOTHESIS: The predictive factors of mortality due to CP can be determined by study of a population of patients with CP. DESIGN: A retrospective review of a prospective surgical intensive care unit (ICU) database of patients (January 1, 1994, through December 31, 2000). SETTING: University hospital in Paris, France. PATIENTS: Eighty-three patients with generalized CP. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Demographic and microbiologic data and outcome were collected, and nonsurvivors were compared with survivors. RESULTS: Overall ICU mortality due to CP was 43 (52%) of 83 patients. In a stepwise multivariate logistic regression, the following 4 variables were independently associated with mortality: APACHE II (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II) score on admission of at least 17 (odds ratio [OR], 28.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 5.7-142.5; P<.001), respiratory failure on admission (OR, 10.6; 95% CI, 2.2-51.2; P =.003), upper gastrointestinal tract site of peritonitis (OR, 7.7; 95% CI, 1.7-34.7; P =.007), and results of direct examination of peritoneal fluid that were positive for Candida (OR, 4.7; 95% CI, 1.2-19.7; P =.002). CONCLUSIONS: These results confirm the severity of CP in ICU patients and emphasize the prognostic value of direct examination of peritoneal fluid for Candida in this context.     

Early indicators of prognosis in fulminant hepatic failure: an assessment of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and King's College Hospital criteria.

While King's Hospital Criteria (KCH) criteria are used worldwide, the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) is a more recently developed scoring system that has been validated as an independent predictor of patient survival in conditions for liver transplantation (LT). The aim of the present study was to compare MELD and KCH criteria with other early clinical prognostic indicators (CPI) in a cohort of patients with fulminant hepatic failure (FHF). A total of 144 patients (mean age 31.7 +/- 14.7 yr; range 12-82 yr; 62 males) with FHF due to acute viral hepatitis were included into the study. Variables found significant on univariate analysis were entered into a multivariate logistic regression analysis. A total of 52 (36.1%) patients survived, the remaining 92 (63.9%) died. Univariate analysis showed that age, duration of jaundice, jaundice-encephalopathy interval (JEI), grade of encephalopathy, presence of cerebral edema, bilirubin, prothrombin time, creatinine, and MELD score were significantly different between survivors and nonsurvivors. Multivariate logistic regression identified 6 independent CPI of adverse outcome on admission: age >or=50 yr, JEI >7 days, grade 3 or 4 encephalopathy, presence of cerebral edema, prothrombin time >or=35 seconds, and creatinine >or=1.5 mg/dL. Presence of any 3 of 6 CPI was optimum in identifying survivors and nonsurvivors. A MELD score of >or=33 was found to be best discriminant between survivors and nonsurvivors by the construction of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Any 3 CPI were superior to MELD and KCH criteria in predicting the outcome (c-statistic [95% confidence interval]: CPI 0.802 [0.726-0.878], MELD 0.717 [0.636-0.789], and KCH criteria 0.676 (0.588-0.764); P values: CPI vs. MELD 0.045, CPI vs. KCH criteria 0.019, and MELD vs. KCH criteria 0.472). In conclusion, MELD and KCH criteria are not as useful as a combination of other early CPI in predicting adverse outcome in patients with FHF due to acute viral hepatitis.     

Simple scoring system for the prediction of the prognosis of severe acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND: In severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), it is important clinically to predict the prognosis at the time of admission. Most scoring systems for severity of acute pancreatitis consist of multiple factors and are complicated. This investigation aimed to propose a simple scoring system for the prediction of the prognosis of SAP. METHODS: Prognostic factors were evaluated by receiver operator characteristic curve analyses and multivariate analysis from data that were obtained on admission of 137 patients with SAP. A simple scoring system with 3 most useful factors was made, and its usefulness was investigated in comparison with conventional scoring systems. RESULTS: Three prognostic factors were selected: serum blood urea nitrogen > or = 25 mg/dL, serum lactate dehydrogenase > or = 900 IU/L, and contrast-enhanced computed tomography finding with pancreatic necrosis. On admission, 137 patients were classified from 0 to 3 by the number of positive items (simple prognostic score [SPS]). Mortality rates for patients whose SPS was 0, 1, 2, and 3 were 2% (1/42 patients), 18% (7/40 patients), 48% (12/25 patients), and 67% (20/30 patients), respectively. Furthermore, when usefulness of SPS was compared with conventional scoring systems, the area under the curve by receiver operator characteristic curve analyses in SPS was 0.83; the Ranson score was 0.83; the Japanese severity score was 0.83; the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score was 0.81, and the Glasgow score was 0.75. After onset, SPS kept almost same levels from day 2 to day 6, and a significant difference was observed between survivors and nonsurvivors from day 1 to day 6. CONCLUSION: This scoring system that comprised 3 items is simple, is feasible for the prediction of prognosis and conventional scoring systems, and is useful for the selection of the extremely severe patients with SAP on admission.     

Preoperative risk stratification in patients undergoing elective infrarenal aortic aneurysm surgery: evaluation of five risk scoring methods.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate five risk scoring methods in predicting the immediate postoperative outcome after elective open repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). DESIGN: Retrospective evaluation of the Eagle score, Glasgow aneurysm score, Leiden score, modified Leiden score and Vanzetto score in a consecutive series of patients. PATIENTS: Two hundred and eighty-six consecutive patients undergoing elective infrarenal aortic aneurysm repair. RESULTS: Nine patients (3.1%) died in hospital and another 35 (12%) experienced severe postoperative complications. For the Glasgow aneurysm score, Leiden score, modified Leiden score and Vanzetto score receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis for prediction of in-hospital mortality showed area under the curve (AUC) of 0.749 (p=0.01), 0.777 (p=0.008), 0.788 (p=0.006) and 0.794 (p=0.005), respectively. The Eagle risk score was less accurate for predicting in-hospital mortality. The risk-scoring systems did not perform well in predicting post-operative complications, but multivariate analysis showed that the modified Leiden score was an independent predictor of postoperative complications. CONCLUSION: All scoring systems predict, with reasonable accuracy, the risk of in-hospital death in patients undergoing elective open repair of AAA, whereas the accuracy in predicting severe postoperative complications is less.     

Acute perforation of the colon.

Acute perforation of the colon causes fecal peritonitis, which is associated with high rates of morbidity and mortality. Findings in 78 patients with perforation of the colon showed that the commonest causative condition was diverticulitis (in 42%) and that the commonest site was the sigmoid colon (in 65%). The overall mortality in this series was 49%, most of the deaths being due to peritonitis; the extent of anatomic spread of peritonitis was a major factor. The form of treatment was also a factor in mortality: mortality was lowest in patients treated by diversionary colostomy (only 38%) and highest in those treated by exteriorization of perforation (71%) and in those not treated operatively (71%). With respect to postoperative complications in patients who underwent operation, wound infection and pulmonary abnormalities each occurred in 50%. This review suggests that current methods of management of patients with perforation of the colon are less than satisfactory.     

Determinants of mortality in pediatric patients with greater than 70% full-thickness total body surface area thermal injury treated by early total excision and grafting

Recent advancements in burn care have improved the survival rates of victims with severe burn injuries. The total mortality rate in a series of 1,057 pediatric patients admitted to Shriners Burns Institute Galveston Unit between 1982 and 1986 was 2.7%. The burn size resulting in a 50% death rate was 95% of the total body surface area (TBSA). In this study 19 survivors and 13 nonsurvivors with greater than 70% full-thickness TBSA burn injuries were compared. All survivors were adequately resuscitated upon arrival 11% sustained an inhalation injury. Forty-six per cent of the nonsurvivors sustained an inhalation injury; 31% were not initially adequately resuscitated. The presence of preadmission shock and inhalation injury were early determinants of mortality with secondary renal, pulmonary, or cardiovascular collapse being the later predictors of mortality in these massively burned pediatric patients.     

Is the use of specific scoring system still justified in early evaluation of acute pancreatitis?

STUDY AIM: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a potentially life-threatening disease in which specific severity scoring system has been developed. The aim of this prospective study was to compare efficiency of the general severity of illness scoring system and the most widely used specific scoring system of AP in order to simplify the initial monitoring of AP at the time of admission. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Eighty-seven patients with AP were hospitalized in the same center. There were 47 men and 40 women (mean age: 57 +/- 16 years). Specific scores (Ranson, Imrie, Blarney) and general severity of illness scores (SAPSI, SAPS II, Apache II) were calculated for each patient. Radiological scores (Hill, Balthazar) were also calculated when TDM was early performed (80%). Each scoring system was correlated with severity, morbidity and mortality of AP and its predictive value evaluated by the area under the ROC curve. RESULTS: Aetiology of AP was predominantly biliary (20%) and alcoholic (70%). Eight per cent of the patients died and 29% of AP were classified as severe according to the Atlanta Congress Score. Morbidity rate was 40%. All the scoring systems were significantly correlated with mortality and exhibit ROC curve area between 0.77 and 0.84, resulting in a similar prediction of death. CONCLUSION: Specific scoring system and general severity of illness scoring system have the same predictive efficiency in acute pancreatitis. The use of the specificity scoring system seems to be no more justified in acute pancreatitis.