Glucose challenge test screening for prediabetes and undiagnosed diabetes

Aims/hypothesis  Diabetes prevention and care are limited by lack of screening. We hypothesised that screening could be done with a strategy similar to that used near-universally for gestational diabetes, i.e. a 50 g oral glucose challenge test (GCT) performed at any time of day, regardless of meal status, with one 1 h sample. Methods  At a first visit, participants had random plasma and capillary glucose measured, followed by the GCT with plasma and capillary glucose (GCTplasma and GCTcap, respectively). At a second visit, participants had HbA_1c measured and a diagnostic 75 g OGTT. Results  The 1,573 participants had mean age of 48 years, BMI 30.3 kg/m² and 58% were women and 58% were black. Diabetes (defined by WHO) was present in 4.6% and prediabetes (defined as impaired glucose tolerance [2 h glucose 7.8–11.1 (140–199 mg/dl) with fasting glucose ≤6.9 (125 mg/dl)] and/or impaired fasting glucose with plasma glucose 6.1–6.9 mmol/l [110–125 mg/dl]) in 18.7%. The GCTplasma provided areas under the receiver-operating-characteristic curves of 0.90, 0.82 and 0.79 for detection of diabetes, diabetes or prediabetes, and prediabetes, respectively, all of which were higher than GCTcap, random and capillary glucose, and HbA_1c (p < 0.02 for all). The performance of GCTplasma was unaffected by time after meals or time of day, and was better in blacks than whites, but otherwise comparable in men and women, and in groups with differing prevalence of glucose intolerance. GCTplasma screening would cost approximately US$84 to identify one person with previously unrecognised diabetes or prediabetes. Conclusions/interpretation  GCT screening for prediabetes and previously unrecognised diabetes would be accurate, convenient and inexpensive. Widespread use of GCT screening could help improve disease management by permitting early initiation of therapy aimed at preventing or delaying the development of diabetes and its complications. Electronic supplementary material  The online version of this article (doi:) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorised users.     

Prediction of moderately severe and severe acute pancreatitis in pregnancy: Several issues

We reviewed a study addressing the development and validation of a prediction model for moderately severe and severe acute pancreatitis in pregnancy. We identified some statistical deficiencies in this article. In addition, we believe that the role of cholesterol as a predictor should be described in more detail.     

Relationship between the exocrine and endocrine pancreas after acute pancreatitis

AIM:To determine the prevalence and time course of pancreatic exocrine insufficiency in individuals with newly diagnosed prediabetes or diabetes mellitus after acute pancreatitis.METHODS:Relevant literature cited in three major biomedical journal databases(EMBASE,MEDLINE,and Scopus)was reviewed independently by two authors.There were no language constraints but the search was limited to human studies.Studies included were cohort studies of adult patients who were discharged after an attack of acute pancreatitis.Patients were excluded if they were under 18 years of age or had a previous diagnosis of prediabetes or diabetes mellitus,pancreatic exocrine insufficiency,or chronic pancreatitis.The main outcome measure was the prevalence of concomitant pancreatic exocrine insufficiency in patients who were diagnosed with prediabetes and diabetes mellitus after an attack of acute pancreatitis.Subgroup analysis was conducted for patients who were diagnosed with prediabetes only and those who were diagnosed withdiabetes mellitus only.Subgroup analysis looking at the time course of concomitant pancreatic exocrine and endocrine insufficiency was also conducted.Pooled prevalence and corresponding 95%confidence intervals were calculated for all outcome measures and P-values<0.05 were deemed statistically significant.RESULTS:Eight clinical studies comprising of 234patients met all eligibility criteria.The pooled prevalence of newly diagnosed prediabetes or diabetes in individuals after acute pancreatitis was 43%(95%CI:30%-56%).The pooled prevalence of pancreatic exocrine insufficiency in individuals after acute pancreatitis was 29%(95%CI:19%-39%).The prevalence of concomitant pancreatic exocrine insufficiency in individuals with newly diagnosed prediabetes or diabetes was 40%(95%CI:25%-55%).The prevalence of concomitant pancreatic exocrine insufficiency among individuals with prediabetes alone and diabetes mellitus alone was 41%(95%CI:12%-75%)and 39%(95%CI:28%-51%),respectively.Further analysis showed that the prevalence of concomitant pancreatic exocrine insufficiency in individuals with prediabetes or diabetes decreases over time after an attack of acute pancreatitis.CONCLUSION:Pancreatic exocrine insufficiency occurs in 40%of individuals with newly diagnosed prediabetes or diabetes mellitus after acute pancreatitis.Further studies are needed to investigate the pathogenesis of diabetes in this setting.     

Analysis of factors influencing survival in patients with severe acute pancreatitis

Objective: Acute pancreatitis (AP) ranges from a mild and self-limiting disease to a fulminant illness with significant morbidity and mortality. Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is defined as persistent organ failure lasting for 48?h. We aimed to determine the factors that predict survival and mortality in patients with SAP.

Methods: We reviewed a consecutive series of patients who were admitted with acute pancreatitis between January 2003 and January 2013. A total of 1213 cases involving 660 patients were evaluated, and 68 cases with SAP were selected for the study. Patients were graded based on the Computer Tomography Severity Index (CTSI), the bedside index for severity (BISAP), and Ranson’s criteria.

Results: The frequency of SAP was 5.6% (68/1213 cases). Among these patients, 17 died due to pancreatitis-induced causes. We compared several factors between the survivor (n?=?51) and non-survivor (n?=?17) groups. On multivariate analysis, there were significant differences in the incidence of diabetes mellitus (p?=?.04), Ranson score (p?=?.03), bacteremia (p?=?.05) and body mass index (BMI) (p?=?.02) between the survivor and non-survivor groups.

Conclusions: Bacteremia, high Ranson score, DM, and lower BMI were closely associated with mortality in patients with SAP. When patients with SAP show evidence of bacteremia or diabetes, aggressive treatment is necessary. For the prediction of disease mortality, the Ranson score might be a useful tool in SAP.     

Development and external validation of models to predict acute respiratory distress syndrome related to severe acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUNDAcute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a major cause of death in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). Although a series of prediction models have been developed for early identification of such patients, the majority are complicated or lack validation. A simpler and more credible model is required for clinical practice. AIMTo develop and validate a predictive model for SAP related ARDS.METHODSPatients diagnosed with AP from four hospitals located at different regions of China were retrospectively grouped into derivation and validation cohorts. Statistically significant variables were identified using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression method. Predictive models with nomograms were further built using multiple logistic regression analysis with these picked predictors. The discriminatory power of new models was compared with some common models. The performance of calibration ability and clinical utility of the predictive models were evaluated.RESULTSOut of 597 patients with AP, 139 were diagnosed with SAP (80 in derivation cohort and 59 in validation cohort) and 99 with ARDS (62 in derivation cohort and 37 in validation cohort). Four identical variables were identified as independent risk factors for both SAP and ARDS: heart rate [odds ratio (OR) = 1.05; 95%CI: 1.04-1.07; P < 0.001; OR = 1.05, 95%CI: 1.03-1.07, P < 0.001], respiratory rate (OR = 1.08, 95%CI: 1.0-1.17, P = 0.047; OR = 1.10, 95%CI: 1.02-1.19, P = 0.014), serum calcium concentration (OR = 0.26, 95%CI: 0.09-0.73, P = 0.011; OR = 0.17, 95%CI: 0.06-0.48, P = 0.001) and blood urea nitrogen (OR = 1.15, 95%CI: 1.09-1.23, P < 0.001; OR = 1.12, 95%CI: 1.05-1.19, P < 0.001). The area under receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.879 (95%CI: 0.830-0.928) and 0.898 (95%CI: 0.848-0.949) for SAP prediction in derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. This value was 0.892 (95%CI: 0.843-0.941) and 0.833 (95%CI: 0.754-0.912) for ARDS prediction, respectively. The discriminatory power of our models was improved compared with that of other widely used models and the calibration ability and clinical utility of the prediction models performed adequately.CONCLUSIONThe present study constructed and validated a simple and accurate predictive model for SAP-related ARDS in patients with AP.     

一种理想的急性坏死性胰腺炎大鼠模型

目的 建立一种理想的急性坏死性胰腺炎(ANP)大鼠模型。方法 用3．5％的牛磺胆酸钠0．1ml／100g逆行注入SD大鼠胰胆管内诱导ANP模型，于造模后15小时采集血和多脏器组织标本，测定血清淀粉酶含量，在光镜下观察多脏器的组织学改变。结果模型组大鼠血清淀粉酶含量比对照组明显升高，并且多脏器出现了病理改变。结论 此大鼠模型可靠、简便、存活时间较长，伴有多脏器损害，是一种理想的ANP的动物模型。     

Clinical features and outcomes of hypertriglyceridemia-induced acute pancreatitis: Propensity score matching analysis from a prospective acute pancreatitis registry

BackgroundHypertriglyceridemia (HTG) is a well-known cause of acute pancreatitis (AP) and elevation of serum triglycerides (TG) to ≥1000 mg/dl is strongly indicative of HTG-induced AP (HTG-AP). HTG-AP is potentially associated with persistent organ failure and poor prognosis. Here, we compared differences in clinical features and outcomes between patients with HTG-AP and patients with AP due to other causes.MethodsA prospective AP registry was constructed in Gil Medical Center between June 2014 and May 2018. In total, 499 patients with AP were included for whom serum TG data at admission were available.ResultsHTG-AP was present in 52 patients (10.4%); these patients were younger than patients with AP due to other causes (39.62 ± 10.12 vs. 51.62 ± 17.41, p < 0.001). After propensity score matching adjusted by age, the factors associated with severity were more common in the HTG-AP group; these factors included the presence of systemic inflammatory response syndrome, Ranson’s score ≥3, acute physiology, age, chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II score ≥8 at admission, and C-reactive protein level >10 mg/dl after 24 h of hospitalization. There were no significant differences in complications or severity based on the revised Atlanta classification 2012. In addition, recurrence was more frequent in the HTG-AP group (25.0% vs. 6.4%, p < 0.001).ConclusionHTG-AP occurred in younger patients and showed more frequent recurrences than AP with other causes. Although factors related to severe feature were more common in HTG-AP during early phase, overall severity and prognosis were not different between the two groups.     

Pancreatic exocrine insufficiency,diabetes mellitus and serum nutritional markers after acute pancreatitis

AIM: To investigate impairment and clinical significance of exocrine and endocrine pancreatic function in patients after acute pancreatitis (AP).METHODS: Patients with AP were invited to participate in the study. Severity of AP was determined by the Atlanta classification and definitions revised in 2012. Pancreatic exocrine insufficiency (PEI) was diagnosed by the concentration of fecal elastase-1. An additional work-up, including laboratory testing of serum nutritional markers for determination of malnutrition, was offered to all patients with low levels of fecal elastase-1 FE. Hemoglobin A1c or oral glucose tolerance tests were also performed in patients without prior diabetes mellitus, and type 3c diabetes mellitus (T3cDM) was diagnosed according to American Diabetes Association criteria.RESULTS: One hundred patients were included in the study: 75% (75/100) of patients had one attack of AP and 25% (25/100) had two or more attacks. The most common etiology was alcohol. Mild, moderately severe and severe AP were present in 67, 15 and 18% of patients, respectively. The mean time from attack of AP to inclusion in the study was 2.7 years. PEI was diagnosed in 21% (21/100) of patients and T3cDM in 14% (14/100) of patients. In all patients with PEI, at least one serologic nutritional marker was below the lower limit of normal. T3cDM was more frequently present in patients with severe AP (P = 0.031), but was also present in some patients with mild and moderately severe AP. PEI was present in all degrees of severity of AP. There were no statistically significantly differences according to gender, etiology and number of AP attacks.CONCLUSION: As exocrine and endocrine pancreatic insufficiency can develop after AP, routine follow-up of patients is necessary, for which serum nutritional panel measurements can be useful.     

Progression to recurrent acute pancreatitis after a first attack of acute pancreatitis in adults

PurposePatients with a first attack of acute pancreatitis (AP) can develop recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP). Hence, this study aimed to investigate the clinical features of the disease and the risk factors for RAP.MethodsWe performed a retrospective study of 522 patients from Jan 1 to Dec 31, 2006. All patients with AP were followed for 36 months. The primary end point was the rate of RAP. The secondary end points were the risk factors that were evaluated by Cox regression analysis. The cumulative risk of RAP was assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis.Results56 of the 522 patients (10.7%) developed RAP. Among those RAP patients, 37 (7.1%) experienced one relapse, 10 (1.9%) experienced two relapses, and 9 (1.7%) experienced three or more relapses. Univariate analysis indicated that age (p = 0.016), male sex, etiology of AP (p = 0.001), local complications (p = 0.001) and Length of stay (LOS) (p = 0.007) were associated with RAP. Multivariate analysis with the Cox proportional hazards model showed that male sex (HR = 2.486, 95% CI, 0.169–0.960, p = 0.04), HTG-associated etiology (HR = 5.690, 95% CI, 2.138–15.146, p = 0.001), alcohol-associated etiology (HR = 5.867, 95% CI, 1.446–23.803, p = 0.013) and current local complications at index admission (HR = 8.917, 95% CI, 3.650–21.789, p = 0.001) were significant independent risk factors for RAP.ConclusionsA first attack of AP led to RAP in 10.7% of patients within 3 years. Male sex was significantly associated with RAP. The etiologies of alcohol and HTG and local complications were the strongest risk factors for recurrent disease. Patients with these characteristics should be given special attention and followed-up closely.     

Long-term outcome of severe acute pancreatitis

Background/Purpose

This study was undertaken to evaluate the post-discharge outcome of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and to clarify the prognostic factors for poor outcome.

Methods

In 45 patients, recurrence of acute pancreatitis (AP), transition to chronic pancreatitis (CP), and development of diabetes mellitus (DM) were evaluated. Relationships of the outcome with the findings on admission and the presence/absence of alcohol intake were analyzed.

Results

The mean follow-up period was 56 ± 6 months. Recurrence of AP was noted in 19% of the patients. The recurrence rate was higher in patients with necrotizing pancreatitis than in those without this feature. C-reactive protein and white blood cell (WBC) count were higher in patients with recurrence of AP. Transition to CP was noted in 22% of patients. The transition rate was higher in those with alcoholic SAP than in those with biliary SAP. In patients with transition to CP, the WBC count, hematocrit, Ranson score, and Japanese severity score were higher, and base excess (BE) was lower, compared with these features in patients without this transition. Development of DM was noted in 39% of patients. Blood glucose and BE were higher in patients who developed DM than in those who did not.

Conclusions

The degree of inflammation and pancreatic necrosis found on admission for SAP may be related to the recurrence of AP. Alcoholic SAP in which the disease is very severe may contribute to the transition to CP. Patients with impaired glucose tolerance readily develop DM after SAP.

     

Risk factors of recurrent pancreatitis after first acute pancreatitis attack: a retrospective cohort study

Abstract

Background and aims: Few studies have been conducted in Asia on the recurrence of acute pancreatitis (AP). This study was designed to investigate characteristics of the disease to predict recurrence.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 617 patients that experienced a first AP attack between January 2009 and December 2014. Based on reviews of clinical and follow-up data, we attempted to identify risk factors of recurrence using Cox regression analysis.

Results: During a median follow-up of 3.2?years (range 3–72?months), 100(16.2%) of the 617 study subjects experienced one or more episodes of recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP). Of these 100 patients, 75(75%) experienced one relapse, 12(12%) two relapses, and 13(13%) three or more relapses. The etiologies of RAP were an alcohol (48%), gallstone (31%), idiopathic (14%), and others (7%). Univariate analysis showed that an age of <60?years, male gender, smoking, an alcohol-associated etiology, and a local complication at index admission were significant risk factors of RAP. Cox regression analysis showed that an age of <60?years (HR = 1.602, 95% CI: 1.029–2.493), male gender (HR = 1.927, 95% CI: 1.127–3.295), and the presence of a local complication (HR = 3.334, 95% CI: 2.211–5.026) were significant risk factors of RAP development.

Conclusion: A local complication at index admission was found to be the strongest risk factor of RAP, and a male gender and an age of <60?years were significantly associated with RAP. Special attention and close follow-up should be afforded to patients with a local complication at index admission or male patients <60?years old.     

Development and validation of a multivariate prediction model for patients with acute pancreatitis in Intensive Care Medicine

Background/objectives

Development and validation of a multivariate prediction model for patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) admitted in Intensive Care Units (ICU).

急性胰腺炎后胰腺外分泌功能研究概况

近年来,急性胰腺炎发病率日益增高,而对于急性期后胰腺外分泌功能的恢复情况研究甚少。本文回顾分析相关国内外文献,对急性胰腺炎后胰腺外分泌功能的情况做一综述。     

A prospective study of the Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) score in acute pancreatitis: An Indian perspective

IntroductionA simple and easily applicable system for stratifying patients with acute pancreatitis is lacking. The aim of our study was to evaluate the ability of BISAP score to predict mortality in acute pancreatitis patients from our institution and to predict which patients are at risk for development of organ failure, persistent organ failure and pancreatic necrosis.MethodsAll patients with acute pancreatitis were included in the study. BISAP score was calculated within 24 h of admission. A Contrast CT was used to differentiate interstitial from necrotizing pancreatitis within seven days of hospitalization whereas Marshall Scoring System was used to characterize organ failure.ResultsAmong 246 patients M:F = 153:93, most common aetiology among men was alcoholism and among women was gallstone disease. 207 patients had no organ failure and remaining 39 developed organ failure. 17 patients had persistent organ failure, 16 of those with BISAP score ≥3. 13 patients in our study died, out of which 12 patients had BISAP score ≥3. We also found that a BISAP score of ≥3 had a sensitivity of 92%, specificity of 76%, a positive predictive value of 17%, and a negative predictive value of 99% for mortality.DiscussionThe BISAP score is a simple and accurate method for the early identification of patients at increased risk for in hospital mortality and morbidity.     

Development and validation of a prediction model for moderately severe and severe acute pancreatitis in pregnancy

BACKGROUNDThe severity of acute pancreatitis in pregnancy (APIP) is correlated with higher risks of maternal and fetal death.AIMTo develop a nomogram that could predict moderately severe and severe acute pancreatitis in pregnancy (MSIP).METHODSPatients with APIP admitted to West China Hospital between January 2012 and December 2018 were included in this study. They were divided into mild acute pancreatitis in pregnancy (MAIP) and MSIP. Characteristic parameters and laboratory results were collected. The training set and test set were randomly divided at a ratio of 7:3. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was used to select potential prognostic factors. A nomogram was developed by logistic regression. A random forest model was used to validate the stability of the prediction factors. Receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration curves were used to evaluate the model’s predictive performance. RESULTSA total of 190 patients were included in this study. A total of 134 patients (70.5%) and 56 patients (29.5%) were classified as having MAIP and MSIP, respectively. Four independent predictors (lactate dehydrogenase, triglyceride, cholesterol, and albumin levels) were identified for MSIP. A nomogram prediction model based on these factors was established. The model had areas under the curve of 0.865 and 0.853 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The calibration curves showed that the nomogram has a good consistency. CONCLUSIONA nomogram including lactate dehydrogenase, triglyceride, cholesterol, and albumin levels as independent predictors was built with good performance for MSIP prediction.     

Etiology and classification of acute pancreatitis in children admitted to ICU using the Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (pSOFA) score

Background: Pediatric acute pancreatitis(AP) is rare but increasing. Severe AP is associated with higher morbidity and mortality. However, there are no universally accepted prognostic criteria for AP. Methods: This retrospective study included children with AP admitted to an intensive care unit(ICU) of our tertiary pediatric center between January 2009 and December 2018. The severity of organ dysfunction in AP was assessed according to the modified Atlanta criteria using the Pediatric Sequential...     

Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute pancreatitis in China (2021)

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common acute abdominal condition of the digestive system. In recent years, treatment concepts, methods, and strategies for the diag...     

Recovery of the pancreas after acute pancreatitis is not necessarily complete

Summary In 38 patients, exocrine pancreatic function was tested by means of the secretin-pancreozymin test (SPT) and pancreatic duct system with endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) 34±36 mo (mean±SD, range 1–156 mo) following acute pancreatitis. SPT and ERCP results were both normal in 19 (50%). They were both abnormal in four (11%) patients (group 1). Fourteen (37%) patients with normal SPT had abnormal ERCP test results (group 2), and one (3%) patient with normal ERCP had abnormal SPT (group 3). All patients except one of group 2 could be followed up within a mean observation time of 105±46 mo (range 24–168 mo): Chronic pancreatitis developed in all four patients of group 1, in one patients of group 2, and in the single patient of group 3, and suspected chronic pancreatitis in another patient of group 2. Elevens of the remaining 12 patients with abnormal ERCP results, but normal exocrine pancreatic function (group 2), showed no signs or symptoms of acute or chronic pancreatitis. It is concluded that (1) recovery to normal does not necessarily occur after acute pancreatitis, (2) progression to chronic pancreatitis is possible at a considerable percentage, and (3) duct changes demonstrated by ERCP may persist without any later signs and symptoms of acute or chronic pancreatitis.     

胰腺腺泡细胞凋亡与急性胰腺炎及其治疗策略

细胞凋亡是由基因控制的细胞自主的有序的死亡,包含了复杂的调控机制,与细胞坏死有着本质区别,不引起炎症刺激.在实验性及临床急性胰腺炎中均观察到胰腺腺泡细胞的凋亡,研究表明其可能是机体有利的保护性反应,与病情严重程度呈负相关关系.本文总结了近年来对急性胰腺炎胰腺腺泡细胞凋亡机制的研究进展,并对治疗方面的相关研究和探索进行了归纳和阐述.