A collaborative exercise on DNA methylation-based age prediction and body fluid typing

DNA methylation has become one of the most useful biomarkers for age prediction and body fluid identification in the forensic field. Therefore, several assays have been developed to detect age-associated and body fluid-specific DNA methylation changes. Among the many methods developed, SNaPshot-based assays should be particularly useful in forensic laboratories, as they permit multiplex analysis and use the same capillary electrophoresis instrumentation as STR analysis. However, technical validation of any developed assays is crucial for their proper integration into routine forensic workflow. In the present collaborative exercise, two SNaPshot multiplex assays for age prediction and a SNaPshot multiplex for body fluid identification were tested in twelve laboratories. The experimental set-up of the exercise was designed to reflect the entire workflow of SNaPshot-based methylation analysis and involved four increasingly complex tasks designed to detect potential factors influencing methylation measurements. The results of body fluid identification from each laboratory provided sufficient information to determine appropriate age prediction methods in subsequent analysis. In age prediction, systematic measurement differences resulting from the type of genetic analyzer used were identified as the biggest cause of DNA methylation variation between laboratories. Also, the use of a buffer that ensures a high ratio of specific to non-specific primer binding resulted in changes in DNA methylation measurement, especially when using degenerate primers in the PCR reaction. In addition, high input volumes of bisulfite-converted DNA often caused PCR failure, presumably due to carry-over of PCR inhibitors from the bisulfite conversion reaction. The proficiency of the analysts and experimental conditions for efficient SNaPshot reactions were also important for consistent DNA methylation measurement. Several bisulfite conversion kits were used for this study, but differences resulting from the use of any specific kit were not clearly discerned. Even when different experimental settings were used in each laboratory, a positive outcome of the study was a mean absolute age prediction error amongst participant’s data of only 2.7 years for semen, 5.0 years for blood and 3.8 years for saliva.     

Epigenome-wide screening of CpG markers to develop a multiplex methylation SNaPshot assay for age prediction

Age prediction can provide important information about the contributors of biological evidence left at crime scenes. DNA methylation has been regarded as the most promising age-predictive biomarker. Measuring the methylation level at the genome-wide scale is an important step to screen specific markers for forensic age prediction. In present study, we screened out five age-related CpG sites from the public EPIC BeadChip data and evaluated them in a training set (115 blood) by multiplex methylation SNaPshot assay. Through full subset regression, the five markers were narrowed down to three, namely cg10501210 (C1orf132), cg16867657 (ELOVL2), and cg13108341 (DNAH9), of which the last one was a newly discovered age-related CpG site. An age prediction model was built based on these three markers, explaining 86.8% of the variation of age with a mean absolute deviation (MAD) of 4.038 years. Then, the multiplex methylation SNaPshot assay was adjusted according to the age prediction model. Considering that bloodstains are one of the most common biological samples in practical cases, three validation sets composed of 30 blood, 30 fresh bloodstains and 30 aged bloodstains were used for evaluation of the age prediction model. The MAD of each set was estimated as 4.734, 4.490, and 5.431 years, respectively, suggesting that our age prediction model was applicable for age prediction for blood and bloodstains in Chinese Han population of 11–71 age. In general, this study describes a workflow of screening CpG markers from public chip data and presents a 3-CpG markers model for forensic age prediction.     

DNA methylation of the ELOVL2, FHL2, KLF14, C1orf132/MIR29B2C,and TRIM59 genes for age prediction from blood,saliva, and buccal swab samples

Many studies have reported age-associated DNA methylation changes and age-predictive models in various tissues and body fluids. Although age-associated DNA methylation changes can be tissue-specific, a multi-tissue age predictor that is applicable to various tissues and body fluids with considerable prediction accuracy might be valuable. In this study, DNA methylation at 5 CpG sites from the ELOVL2, FHL2, KLF14, C1orf132/MIR29B2C, and TRIM59 genes were investigated in 448 samples from blood, saliva, and buccal swabs. A multiplex methylation SNaPshot assay was developed to measure DNA methylation simultaneously at the 5 CpG sites. Among the 5 CpG sites, 3 CpG sites in the ELOVL2, KLF14 and TRIM59 genes demonstrated strong correlation between DNA methylation and age in all 3 sample types. Age prediction models built separately for each sample type using the DNA methylation values at the 5 CpG sites showed high prediction accuracy with a Mean Absolute Deviation from the chronological age (MAD) of 3.478 years in blood, 3.552 years in saliva and 4.293 years in buccal swab samples. A tissue-combined model constructed with 300 training samples including 100 samples from each blood, saliva and buccal swab samples demonstrated a very strong correlation between predicted and chronological ages (r = 0.937) and a high prediction accuracy with a MAD of 3.844 years in the 148 independent test set samples of 50 blood, 50 saliva and 48 buccal swab samples. Although more validation might be needed, the tissue-combined model’s prediction accuracies in each sample type were very much similar to those obtained from each tissue-specific model. The multiplex methylation SNaPshot assay and the age prediction models in our study would be useful in forensic analysis, which frequently involves DNA from blood, saliva, and buccal swab samples.     

Evaluation of marker selection methods and statistical models for chronological age prediction based on DNA methylation

In forensic investigation, retrieving biological information from DNA evidence is a promising field of interest. One of the applications is on the estimation of the age of the donor based on DNA methylation. A large number of studies focused on age prediction using the 450 K Human Methylation Beadchip. Various marker selection methods and prediction models have been considered. However, there is a lack of research evaluating different high-dimensional variable selection methods of CpG sites with various models for age prediction. The aim of this study is to evaluate four variable selection methods (forward selection, LASSO, elastic net and SCAD) combined with a classical statistical model and sophisticated machine learning models based on the mean absolute deviation (MAD) and the root-mean-square error (RMSE). We used publicly available 450 K data set containing 991 whole blood samples (age 19–101 years). We found that the multiple linear regression model with 16 markers selected from the forward selection method performed very well in age prediction (MAD = 3.76 years and RMSE = 5.01 years). On the other hand, the highly advanced ultrahigh dimensional variable selection methods and sophisticated machine learning algorithms appeared unnecessary for age prediction based on DNA methylation.     

DNA methylation-based age prediction from saliva: High age predictability by combination of 7 CpG markers

DNA methylation is currently one of the most promising age-predictive biomarkers. Many studies have reported DNA methylation-based age predictive models, but most of these are based on DNA methylation patterns from blood. Only a few studies have examined age-predictive DNA patterns in saliva, which is one of the most frequently-encountered body fluids at crime scenes. In this study, we generated genome-wide DNA methylation profiles of saliva from 54 individuals and identified CpG markers that showed a high correlation between methylation and age. Because the age-associated marker candidates from saliva differed from those of blood, we investigated DNA methylation patterns of 6 age-associated CpG marker candidates (cg00481951, cg19671120, cg14361627, cg08928145, cg12757011, and cg07547549 of the SST, CNGA3, KLF14, TSSK6, TBR1, and SLC12A5 genes, respectively) in addition to a cell type-specific CpG marker (cg18384097 of the PTPN7 gene) in an independent set of saliva samples obtained from 226 individuals aged 18 to 65 years. Multiplex methylation SNaPshot reactions were used to generate the data. We then generated a linear regression model with age information and the methylation profile from the 113 training samples. The model exhibited a 94.5% correlation between predicted and chronological age with a mean absolute deviation (MAD) from chronological age of 3.13 years. In subsequent validation using 113 test samples, we also observed a high correlation between predicted and chronological age (Spearman’s rho = 0.952, MAD from chronological age = 3.15 years). The model composed of 7 selected CpG sites enabled age prediction in saliva with high accuracy, which will be useful in saliva analysis for investigative leads.     

Developing a DNA methylation assay for human age prediction in blood and bloodstain

Age prediction of an individual based on biological traces remained in a crime scene is of ultimate importance for criminal investigation. Growing evidence indicates that some CpG sites may have age-related methylation changes and thus may be a promising tool for age prediction. In this study, we utilized the pyrosequencing approach to screen age-related CpG (AR-CpG) sites for age prediction. Five AR-CpGs were identified as age-related markers from thirty-eight candidates, among which three CpG sites, ITGA2B_1, NPTX2_3, and NPTX2_4 were never reported in previous studies. We fit a linear regression model for age prediction based on methylation assay for 89 blood samples from donors aged 9–75 years old. The model included four AR-CpG markers in three gene fragments ASPA, ITGA2B and NPTX2 and enabled the age prediction with R² = 0.819. The mean absolute deviation (MAD) from chronological age of the model was 7.870. We validated the linear regression model with a validation set of 40 blood samples, and the prediction MAD was 7.986. There was no statistically significant difference in age prediction between 20 pairs of blood samples and bloodstains. Six pairs of fresh and old bloodstains were analyzed using our assay. The obtained results showed the assay still performed an effective prediction on bloodstains after four-month storage in room conditions. This study indicates that our DNA methylation assay is a reliable and effective method for age prediction for forensic purposes.     

Chronological age prediction based on DNA methylation: Massive parallel sequencing and random forest regression

The use of DNA methylation (DNAm) to obtain additional information in forensic investigations showed to be a promising and increasing field of interest. Prediction of the chronological age based on age-dependent changes in the DNAm of specific CpG sites within the genome is one such potential application. Here we present an age-prediction tool for whole blood based on massive parallel sequencing (MPS) and a random forest machine learning algorithm. MPS allows accurate DNAm determination of pre-selected markers and neighboring CpG-sites to identify the best age-predictive markers for the age-prediction tool. 15 age-dependent markers of different loci were initially chosen based on publicly available 450K microarray data, and 13 finally selected for the age tool based on MPS (DDO, ELOVL2, F5, GRM2, HOXC4, KLF14, LDB2, MEIS1-AS3, NKIRAS2, RPA2, SAMD10, TRIM59, ZYG11A). Whole blood samples of 208 individuals were used for training of the algorithm and a further 104 individuals were used for model evaluation (age 18–69). In the case of KLF14, LDB2, SAMD10, and GRM2, neighboring CpG sites and not the initial 450K sites were chosen for the final model. Cross-validation of the training set leads to a mean absolute deviation (MAD) of 3.21 years and a root-mean square error (RMSE) of 3.97 years. Evaluation of model performance using the test set showed a comparable result (MAD 3.16 years, RMSE 3.93 years). A reduced model based on only the top 4 markers (ELOVL2, F5, KLF14, and TRIM59) resulted in a RMSE of 4.19 years and MAD of 3.24 years for the test set (cross validation training set: RMSE 4.63 years, MAD 3.64 years). The amplified region was additionally investigated for occurrence of SNPs in case of an aberrant DNAm result, which in some cases can be an indication for a deviation in DNAm.Our approach uncovered well-known DNAm age-dependent markers, as well as additional new age-dependent sites for improvement of the model, and allowed the creation of a reliable and accurate epigenetic tool for age-prediction without restriction to a linear change in DNAm with age.     

Development and inter-laboratory validation of the VISAGE enhanced tool for age estimation from semen using quantitative DNA methylation analysis

The analysis of DNA methylation has become an established method for chronological age estimation. This has triggered interest in the forensic community to develop new methods for age estimation from biological crime scene material. Various assays are available for age estimation from somatic tissues, the majority from blood. Age prediction from semen requires different DNA methylation markers and the only assays currently developed for forensic analysis are based on SNaPshot or pyrosequencing. Here, we describe a new assay using massively parallel sequencing to analyse 13 candidate CpG sites targeted in two multiplex PCRs. The assay has been validated by five consortium laboratories of the VISible Attributes through GEnomics (VISAGE) project within a collaborative exercise and was tested for reproducible quantification of DNA methylation levels and sensitivity with DNA methylation controls. Furthermore, DNA extracts and stains on Whatman FTA cards from two semen samples were used to evaluate concordance and mimic casework samples. Overall, the assay yielded high read depths (> 1000 reads) at all 13 marker positions. The methylation values obtained indicated robust quantification with an average standard deviation of 2.8% at the expected methylation level of 50% across the 13 markers and a good performance with 50 ng DNA input into bisulfite conversion. The absolute difference of quantifications from one participating laboratory to the mean quantifications of concordance and semen stains of remaining laboratories was approximately 1%. These results demonstrated the assay to be robust and suitable for age estimation from semen in forensic investigations. In addition to the 13-marker assay, a more streamlined protocol combining only five age markers in one multiplex PCR was developed. Preliminary results showed no substantial differences in DNA methylation quantification between the two assays, indicating its applicability with the VISAGE age model for semen developed with data from the complete 13-marker tool.     

Application of droplet digital PCR method for DNA methylation-based age prediction from saliva

The recent studies reported that DNA methylation markers show changes with age, and expected that the DNA methylation markers can be effectively used for estimation of age in forensic genetics. In this study, we applied droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) method to investigate the DNA methylation pattern in the CpG sites, and we constructed an age prediction model based on the ddPCR method. The ddPCR is capable of highly sensitive quantitation of nucleic acid and detection of sequence variations in gene by separating the sample into large number of partitions and clonally amplifying nucleic acids in each partition. We extracted DNA from saliva samples collected from several age groups. The DNA was bisulfite converted and subjected to ddPCR using specifically designed primers and probes. The methylation ratio of each sample was calculated and correlation between the methylation ratio and the chronological age was analyzed. In the results, methylated DNA ratio at the 4 CpG sites (cg14361627, cg14361627, cg08928145 and cg07547549) showed strong correlation with chronological age. Percent-methylation values at 4 CpG markers and chronological ages of the 76 individuals were analyzed by multiple regression analysis, and we constructed an age prediction model. We observed a strong correlation (Spearman’s rho = 0.922) between predicted and chronological ages of 76 individuals with a MAD from chronological age of 3.3 years. Collectively, the result in this study showed the potential applicability of ddPCR to predict age from saliva.     

Development of a forensically useful age prediction method based on DNA methylation analysis

Forensic DNA phenotyping needs to be supplemented with age prediction to become a relevant source of information on human appearance. Recent progress in analysis of the human methylome has enabled selection of multiple candidate loci showing linear correlation with chronological age. Practical application in forensic science depends on successful validation of these potential age predictors. In this study, eight DNA methylation candidate loci were analysed using convenient and reliable pyrosequencing technology. A total number of 41 CpG sites was investigated in 420 samples collected from men and women aged from 2 to 75 years. The study confirmed correlation of all the investigated markers with human age. The five most significantly correlated CpG sites in ELOVL2 on 6p24.2, C1orf132 on 1q32.2, TRIM59 on 3q25.33, KLF14 on 7q32.3 and FHL2 on 2q12.2 were chosen to build a prediction model. This restriction allowed the technical analysis to be simplified without lowering the prediction accuracy significantly. Model parameters for a discovery set of 300 samples were R² = 0.94 and the standard error of the estimate = 4.5 years. An independent set of 120 samples was used to test the model performance. Mean absolute deviation for this testing set was 3.9 years. The number of correct predictions ±5 years achieved a very high level of 86.7% in the age category 2–19 and gradually decreased to 50% in the age category 60–75. The prediction model was deterministic for individuals belonging to these two extreme age categories. The developed method was implemented in a freely available online age prediction calculator.     

Forensic age prediction for dead or living samples by use of methylation-sensitive high resolution melting

Age prediction with epigenetic information is now edging closer to practical use in forensic community. Many age-related CpG (AR-CpG) sites have proven useful in predicting age in pyrosequencing or DNA chip analyses. In this study, a wide range methylation status in the ELOVL2 and FHL2 promoter regions were detected with methylation-sensitive high resolution melting (MS-HRM) in a labor-, time-, and cost-effective manner. Non-linear-distributions of methylation status and chronological age were newly fitted to the logistic curve. Notably, these distributions were revealed to be similar in 22 living blood samples and 52 dead blood samples. Therefore, the difference of methylation status between living and dead samples suggested to be ignorable by MS-HRM. Additionally, the information from ELOVL2 and FHL2 were integrated into a logistic curve fitting model to develop a final predictive model through the multivariate linear regression of logit-linked methylation rates and chronological age with adjusted R² = 0.83. Mean absolute deviation (MAD) was 7.44 for 74 training set and 7.71 for 30 additional independent test set, indicating that the final predicting model is accurate. This suggests that our MS-HRM-based method has great potential in predicting actual forensic age.     

Improving the age estimation model for toenails

In a previous study, we have provided the first proof that chronological age can be estimated through DNA methylation (DNAm) patterns in fingernails and toenails. DNAm data of 15 CpGs located in 4 genetic markers (ASPA, EDARADD, ELOVL2 and PDE4C) were evaluated, of which variable selection yielded age prediction models with a mean absolute deviation (MAD) ranging from 7.68 to 9.36 years, depending on the sampling location. Three additional age-associated markers (KLF14, MIR29B2CHG and TRIM59) were assessed in the current study with the goal of increasing the prediction accuracy of the model initially constructed for toenails. This new and improved age estimation assay yielded an MAD of 4.82 and 5.61 years for the training and test set, respectively. The feasibility of the application for post-mortem cases was also demonstrated through testing a limited set of samples collected from deceased individuals.     

Some tips on age estimation using DNA methylation in saliva samples as an index across the Japanese and Indonesian ethnicities

Age estimation of unidentified bodies is of marked importance in forensic medicine. In previous studies, the analysis of DNA methylation in body fluids led to the identification of several age-related CpG sites in genes such as EDARADD and FHL2. However, limited information is available on whether interethnic differences may affect the age prediction results. In the present study, we examined the effect of ethnicity on the age prediction method based on methylation scores, which were determined via methylation-sensitive high-resolution melting. We found that there was a significant difference in methylation scores between Japanese and Indonesian participants of early 20 s group, and that the nationality coefficient was significant for age estimation when applying the existing method for the analysis of the methylation status of EDARADD and FHL2. This suggests that when using certain biochemical indicators as a predictor of age, the effects of ethnicity on DNA methylation should be considered to improve the accuracy of the estimation.     

Independent validation of DNA-based approaches for age prediction in blood

Numerous molecular biomarkers have been proposed as predictors of chronological age. Among them, T-cell specific DNA rearrangement and DNA methylation markers have been introduced as forensic age predictors in blood because of their high prediction accuracy. These markers appear highly promising, but for better application to forensic casework sample analysis the proposed markers and genotyping methods must be tested further. In the current study, signal-joint T-cell receptor excision circles (sjTRECs) and DNA methylation markers located in the ELOVL2, C1orf132, TRIM59, KLF14, and FHL2 genes were reanalyzed in 100 Korean blood samples to test their associations with chronological age, using the same analysis platform used in previous reports. Our study replicated the age association test for sjTREC and DNA methylation markers in the 5 genes in an independent validation set of 100 Koreans, and proved that the age predictive performance of the previous models is relatively consistent across different population groups. However, the extent of age association at certain CpG loci was not identical in the Korean and Polish populations; therefore, several age predictive models were retrained with the data obtained here. All of the 3 models retrained with DNA methylation and/or sjTREC data have a CpG site each from the ELOVL2 and FHL2 genes in common, and produced better prediction accuracy than previously reported models. This is attributable to the fact that the retrained model better fits the existing data and that the calculated prediction accuracy could be higher when the training data and the test data are the same. However, it is notable that the combination of different types of markers, i.e., sjTREC and DNA methylation, improved prediction accuracy in the eldest group. Our study demonstrates the usefulness of the proposed markers and the genotyping method in an independent dataset, and suggests the possibility of combining different types of DNA markers to improve prediction accuracy.     

Combining current knowledge on DNA methylation-based age estimation towards the development of a superior forensic DNA intelligence tool

The estimation of chronological age from biological fluids has been an important quest for forensic scientists worldwide, with recent approaches exploiting the variability of DNA methylation patterns with age in order to develop the next generation of forensic ‘DNA intelligence’ tools for this application. Drawing from the conclusions of previous work utilising massively parallel sequencing (MPS) for this analysis, this work introduces a DNA methylation-based age estimation method for blood that exhibits the best combination of prediction accuracy and sensitivity reported to date. Statistical evaluation of markers from 51 studies using microarray data from over 4000 individuals, followed by validation using in-house generated MPS data, revealed a final set of 11 markers with the greatest potential for accurate age estimation from minimal DNA material. Utilising an algorithm based on support vector machines, the proposed model achieved an average error (MAE) of 3.3 years, with this level of accuracy retained down to 5 ng of starting DNA input (~ 1 ng PCR input). The accuracy of the model was retained (MAE = 3.8 years) in a separate test set of 88 samples of Spanish origin, while predictions for donors of greater forensic interest (< 55 years of age) displayed even higher accuracy (MAE = 2.6 years). Finally, no sex-related bias was observed for this model, while there were also no signs of variation observed between control and disease-associated populations for schizophrenia, rheumatoid arthritis, frontal temporal dementia and progressive supranuclear palsy in microarray data relating to the 11 markers.     

Age determination through DNA methylation patterns in fingernails and toenails

Over the past decade, age prediction based on DNA methylation has become a vastly investigated topic; many age prediction models have been developed based on different DNAm markers and using various tissues. However, the potential of using nails to this end has not yet been explored. Their inherent resistance to decay and ease of sampling would offer an advantage in cases where post-mortem degradation poses challenges concerning sample collection and DNA-extraction. In the current study, clippings from both fingernails and toenails were collected from 108 living test subjects (age range: 0–96 years). The methylation status of 15 CpGs located in 4 previously established age-related markers (ASPA, EDARADD, PDE4C, ELOVL2) was investigated through pyrosequencing of bisulphite converted DNA. Significant dissimilarities in methylation levels were observed between all four limbs, hence both limb-specific age prediction models and prediction models combining multiple sampling locations were developed. When applied to their respective test sets, these models yielded a mean absolute deviation between predicted and chronological age ranging from 5.48 to 9.36 years when using ordinary least squares regression. In addition, the assay was tested on methylation data derived from 5 nail samples collected from deceased individuals, demonstrating its feasibility for application in post-mortem cases. In conclusion, this study provides the first proof that chronological age can be assessed through DNA methylation patterns in nails.     

DNA methylation-based forensic age prediction using artificial neural networks and next generation sequencing

The ability to estimate the age of the donor from recovered biological material at a crime scene can be of substantial value in forensic investigations. Aging can be complex and is associated with various molecular modifications in cells that accumulate over a person’s lifetime including epigenetic patterns. The aim of this study was to use age-specific DNA methylation patterns to generate an accurate model for the prediction of chronological age using data from whole blood. In total, 45 age-associated CpG sites were selected based on their reported age coefficients in a previous extensive study and investigated using publicly available methylation data obtained from 1156 whole blood samples (aged 2–90 years) analysed with Illumina’s genome-wide methylation platforms (27 K/450 K). Applying stepwise regression for variable selection, 23 of these CpG sites were identified that could significantly contribute to age prediction modelling and multiple regression analysis carried out with these markers provided an accurate prediction of age (R² = 0.92, mean absolute error (MAE) = 4.6 years). However, applying machine learning, and more specifically a generalised regression neural network model, the age prediction significantly improved (R² = 0.96) with a MAE = 3.3 years for the training set and 4.4 years for a blind test set of 231 cases. The machine learning approach used 16 CpG sites, located in 16 different genomic regions, with the top 3 predictors of age belonged to the genes NHLRC1, SCGN and CSNK1D. The proposed model was further tested using independent cohorts of 53 monozygotic twins (MAE = 7.1 years) and a cohort of 1011 disease state individuals (MAE = 7.2 years). Furthermore, we highlighted the age markers’ potential applicability in samples other than blood by predicting age with similar accuracy in 265 saliva samples (R² = 0.96) with a MAE = 3.2 years (training set) and 4.0 years (blind test). In an attempt to create a sensitive and accurate age prediction test, a next generation sequencing (NGS)-based method able to quantify the methylation status of the selected 16 CpG sites was developed using the Illumina MiSeq^® platform. The method was validated using DNA standards of known methylation levels and the age prediction accuracy has been initially assessed in a set of 46 whole blood samples. Although the resulted prediction accuracy using the NGS data was lower compared to the original model (MAE = 7.5 years), it is expected that future optimization of our strategy to account for technical variation as well as increasing the sample size will improve both the prediction accuracy and reproducibility.     

The correlation between CpG island methylation of hTERT promoter and human age prediction

DNA methylation is an epigenetic modification that occurs during the life cycle of individuals. Its degree is closely associated with the methylation status of CpG sites in its promoter region. Based on the previous screening that the hTERT methylation is both related to tumors and age, we suspected that the age inference based on hTERT methylation would be disturbed by the disease of the tested person. Herein, eight CpG sites in the hTERT promoter region were analyzed by real-time methylation-specific PCR, and we found that CpG2, CpG5, and CpG8 were closely related to the tumor (P < 0.05). The remaining five CpG sites had a large error in predicting age alone. Combining them to establish a model yielded better results, with an average age error of 4.35 years. This study provides a reliable and accurate detection method for the DNA methylation status of multiple CpG sites on the hTERT gene promoter, which can be used for the prediction of forensic age and assistant diagnosis of clinical diseases.     

Age-related DNA methylation analysis for forensic age estimation using post-mortem blood samples from Japanese individuals

As one of external visible characteristics (EVCs) in forensic phenotyping, age estimation is essential to providing additional information about a sample donor. With the development of epigenetics, age-related DNA methylation may be used as a reliable predictor of age estimation. With the aim of building a feasible age estimation model for Japanese individuals, 53 CpG sites distributed between 11 candidate genes were selected from previous studies. The DNA methylation level of each target CpG site was identified and measured on a massive parallel platform (synthesis by sequencing, Illumina, California, United States) from 60 forensic blood samples during the initial training phase. Multiple linear regression and quantile regression analyses were later performed to build linear and quantile age estimation models, respectively. Four CpG sites on four genes— ASPA, ELOVL2, ITGA2B, and PDE4C —, were found to be highly correlated with chronological age in DNA samples from Japanese individuals (|R| > 0.75). Subsequently, an independent validation dataset (n = 30) was used to verify and evaluate the performance of the two models. Comparison of mean absolute deviation (MAD) with other indicators showed that both models provide accurate age predictions (MAD: linear = 6.493 years; quantile = 6.243 years). The quantile model, however, can provide the changeable prediction intervals that grow wider with increasing age, and this tendency is consistent with the natural aging process in humans. Hence, the quantile model is recommended in this study.