PREDICTION OF POST-RADICAL PROSTATECTOMY PATHOLOGICAL OUTCOME FOR STAGE T1c PROSTATE CANCER WITH PERCENT FREE PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN: A PROSPECTIVE MULTICENTER CLINICAL TRIAL

PURPOSE: Prostate specific antigen (PSA) exists in bound (complexed) and unbound (free) forms in serum. The percentage of free PSA enhances the specificity of PSA testing for prostate cancer detection. We evaluated the use of percent free PSA preoperatively to predict pathological stage. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 379 men with prostate cancer and 394 with benign prostatic disease 50 to 75 years old were enrolled in this prospective study at 7 medical centers. All subjects had a palpably benign prostate gland, serum PSA 4.0 to 10.0 ng./ml. and a histologically confirmed diagnosis. The Hybritech Tandem PSA and free PSA assays were used. Of the 379 cancer patients 268 (71%) underwent radical prostatectomy. RESULTS: Higher percent free PSA levels were associated with more favorable histopathological findings in prostatectomy specimens. A value of 15% free PSA provided the greatest discrimination in predicting favorable pathological outcome. Organ confined cancer, Gleason sum less than 7 and small tumors (10% or less involvement of the prostate) were noted in 75% of patients with greater than 15% and only 34% with 15% or less free PSA (p<0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed percent free PSA to be the strongest predictor of postoperative pathological outcome (odds ratio 2.25), followed by biopsy Gleason sum (2.06) and patient age (1.35). Total PSA was not predictive in this cohort but has been shown in prior studies to be predictive of outcome when a broader range of PSA values is evaluated. CONCLUSIONS: Percent free PSA may be used for risk assessment of the presence (diagnosis) and stage of prostate cancer in men with PSA between 4 and 10 ng./ml. Percent free PSA may be combined with PSA, digital rectal examination and biopsy findings to help predict postoperative pathological stage and grade, and may assist the patient and physician in making more informed treatment decisions.     

PREDICTING EXTRACAPSULAR EXTENSION OF PROSTATE CANCER IN MEN TREATED WITH RADICAL PROSTATECTOMY: RESULTS FROM THE POPULATION BASED PROSTATE CANCER OUTCOMES STUDY

PURPOSE: We investigated whether clinical information routinely available in community practice could predict extracapsular extension of clinically localized prostate cancer in men undergoing radical prostatectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We examined prostate cancer outcomes in a population based sample of 3,826 patients with primary prostate cancer in 6 regions of the United States covered by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. Stratified and weighted logistic regression was used to identify predictors of and probabilities for extracapsular extension of clinically localized tumors treated with radical prostatectomy. RESULTS: Nearly 47% of men undergoing radical prostatectomy had extraprostatic extension. The strongest predictors were elevated prostate specific antigen (PSA) greater than 20 versus less than 4 ng./ml. (odds ratio 5.88, 95% confidence interval 2.90 to 11.15), Gleason score greater than 8 versus less than 6 (1.73, 1.04 to 2.87) and age greater than 70 versus less than 50 years (1.91, 0.98 to 3.70). Ethnicity and region were not associated with increased risk of extraprostatic extension. A nomogram developed from our model predicts extracapsular extension ranging from 24% in men younger than 50 years with PSA less than 4 ng./ml. and a Gleason score of less than 7 to 85% in those 70 years old or older with PSA greater than 20 ng./ml. and a Gleason score of 8 or more. If prostatectomy were limited to patients with less than 60% probability of extraprostatic extension based on the nomogram, 95% of those with organ confined cancers would undergo definitive surgery and 18% of those with extracapsular extension would be spared the morbidity of surgery. CONCLUSIONS: In a population based analysis of prostate cancer practice patterns PSA, Gleason score and age are clinically useful predictors of extracapsular extension. Although extracapsular extension may be an imperfect predictor of cancer outcomes, our nomogram provides more realistic probabilities for extracapsular extension than those based on institutional series.     

Lower prostate specific antigen outcome than expected following radical prostatectomy in patients with high grade prostate and a prostatic specific antigen level of 4 ng/ml. Or less

PURPOSE: We report the estimates of 10-year prostate specific antigen (PSA) outcome following radical prostatectomy in patients with or without grade 4 or 5 disease in the needle biopsy or prostatectomy specimen stratified by the presenting PSA level. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From 1989 to 2001, 2,254 patients treated with radical prostatectomy for clinically localized prostate cancer comprised the study cohort. PSA outcome was estimated using the actuarial method of Kaplan and Meier, and was stratified by the presenting PSA level and needle biopsy and prostatectomy Gleason score. RESULTS: The 10-year estimates of PSA outcome declined significantly (p 相似文献   

LACK OF ASSOCIATION OF PROSTATE CARCINOMA NUCLEAR GRADING WITH PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN RECURRENCE AFTER RADICAL PROSTATECTOMY

PURPOSE: Grading prostate cancer using the Gleason system relies only on architectural tumor growth, in contrast to other systems, such as the WHO system, which grade prostate carcinoma based on nuclear features as well as architectural patterns. The prognostic significance of nuclear grading remains controversial since most studies were performed before prostate specific antigen (PSA) screening became widely available. We evaluated the significance of nuclear grade for predicting PSA recurrence in a contemporary cohort of patients treated with radical prostatectomy for clinically localized prostate carcinoma. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Nuclear grades 1 to 3 were determined in 141 consecutive radical prostatectomies in 1995. Predominant and worst nuclear grade was determined by a consensus of 3 pathologists. Statistical analysis compared nuclear grade with Gleason score using the chi-square test. The Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed to calculate the ability of nuclear grade, Gleason score and other variables to predict PSA recurrence. RESULTS: We identified a significant association of Gleason score with worst nuclear grade (p = 0.007). All 6 cases with a Gleason score of 8 or greater had a worst nuclear grade of 3, in contrast to 36 of 60 (60%) with a score 6 or less, in which the worst nuclear grade was 3. Of the 141 patients 31 (21.9%) had PSA recurrence at a median followup of 3.7 years. The univariate Cox model revealed significant associations of PSA recurrence with Gleason score 8 or greater (hazards ratio 5.5, p = 0.005), extraprostatic extension (hazards ratio 3.4, p = 0.001), positive surgical margin (hazards ratio 2.6, p = 0.009), seminal vesicle involvement (hazards ratio 7.3, p <0.001), preoperative serum PSA (hazards ratio 1.03, p = 0.007), tumor stage (hazards ratio 3.6, p = 0.001) and maximal tumor dimension (hazards ratio 2.4, p <0.001). However, overall and worst nuclear grade did not predict PSA recurrence (p = 0.89 and 0.13, respectively). Nuclear grade did not fit any multivariate model tested, which otherwise included Gleason score, log(PSA), surgical margin status, extraprostatic extension, seminal vesicle status, tumor size and pathological stage. By varying sample fixation time we also showed that benign prostate tissue in the same section as prostate carcinoma had grade 2 or 3 nuclear changes, that is moderate to marked anaplasia. CONCLUSIONS: High nuclear grade is associated with high Gleason score. However, prostate carcinoma with a Gleason score of 6 or less shows extreme variability. Nuclear grade determined by light microscopy failed to predict PSA recurrence in a contemporary series of men with clinically localized prostate cancer treated with radical prostatectomy. Nuclear morphology is subject to tissue fixation and processing artifact. Any nuclear morphometric study must consider this artifact.     

Predicting recurrence after radical prostatectomy for patients with high risk prostate cancer

PURPOSE: Previous studies have shown that patients with clinical stage T2c-T3 prostate cancer, serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) at diagnosis greater than 20 ng./ml. or a biopsy Gleason score of 8 to 10 are at high risk for disease recurrence after radical prostatectomy. We determined the most important pretreatment predictors of disease recurrence in this high risk population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We identified 547 patients with high risk prostate cancer who underwent radical prostatectomy at University of California, San Francisco or as part of the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urological Research Endeavor data base, a longitudinal disease registry of patients with prostate cancer. High risk disease was defined as 1992 American Joint Committee on Cancer clinical stage T2c-T3 disease in 411 patients, serum PSA at diagnosis greater than 20 ng./ml. in 124 and/or biopsy Gleason score 8 to 10 in 114. Disease recurrence was defined as PSA 0.2 ng./ml. or greater on 2 consecutive occasions after radical prostatectomy or second cancer treatment more than 6 months after surgery. The Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed to determine significant independent predictors of disease recurrence. The likelihood of disease recurrence for clinically relevant patient groups was determined using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log rank test. RESULTS: Median followup after surgery was 3.1 years. Disease recurred in 177 patients (32%). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that serum PSA at diagnosis, biopsy Gleason score, ethnicity and the percent of positive prostate biopsies were significant independent predictors of disease recurrence, while patient age and clinical tumor stage were not. Patients with a Gleason score 8 to 10 tumor and a serum PSA of 10 ng./ml. or less had a significantly higher likelihood of remaining disease-free 5 years after surgery than those with PSA greater than 10 ng./ml. (47% versus 19%, p <0.05). Patients with a serum PSA at diagnosis of greater than 20 ng./ml. and a Gleason score of less than 8 had a significantly higher likelihood of remaining disease-free 5 years after surgery than similar patients with a Gleason score of 8 or greater (45% versus 0%, p <0.05). CONCLUSIONS: PSA, Gleason score, ethnicity and the percent of positive prostate biopsies appear to be the most important pretreatment predictors of disease recurrence in men with high risk prostate cancer. Patients with high grade disease may continue to be appropriate candidates for local therapy if PSA is less than 10 ng./ml. at diagnosis or there are fewer than 66% positive prostate biopsies.     

THE VALUE OF THE RATIO OF FREE-TO-TOTAL PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN FOR STAGING PURPOSES IN PREVIOUSLY UNTREATED PROSTATE CANCER

Purpose

We analyzed the use of the ratio of free-to-total prostate specific antigen (PSA), also termed percentage of the free PSA, for predicting tumor stage, volume and grade in patients with clinically localized prostate cancer.

Materials and Methods

A total of 515 consecutive patients underwent further prostate evaluation due to elevated PSA (greater than 4.0 ng./ml.) or abnormal digital rectal examination. Prostate cancer was diagnosed in 307 patients (59.6%), including 170 (55.4%) who underwent radical retropubic prostatectomy. Data on pathological stage, Gleason grade, and total and Gleason grade 4 cancer volume were available in all patients. In the remaining 208 men (40.4%) benign prostate hyperplasia was diagnosed. Total and free PSA was measured in preoperative serum.

Results

Total PSA was significantly higher (p <0.0001) in the 71 men with stage pT3 tumors than in the 91 with pT2 disease. Eight patients had stage pT4 tumors. Cancer volume correlated well with advancing pathological stage (p <0.0001) and total PSA (p <0.0001). The free-to-total PSA ratio was not significantly different (p = 0.93) in stages pT2 and pT3 tumors, and it did not correlate with total (p = 0.71) or pure Gleason grade 4 (p = 0.94) cancer volume. However, the ratio of free-to-total PSA tended to decrease (p = 0.07) in tumors of increasing Gleason grade.

Conclusions

The ratio of free-to-total PSA does not help in the preoperative prediction of final tumor stage and volume. However, disease grading may alter the free-to-total PSA ratio.     

Improved risk stratification for biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy using a novel risk group system based on prostate specific antigen density and biopsy Gleason score

PURPOSE: Previous studies have suggested that prostate specific antigen (PSA) density is a significant independent predictor of biochemical failure after primary therapy. We determined whether pathological PSA density using surgical weight of the radical prostatectomy specimen was an independent predictor of adverse pathological features or biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy. We also examined whether combining pathological PSA density with biopsy Gleason score improved risk stratification compared with serum PSA and biopsy Gleason score for predicting PSA recurrence after prostatectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Multivariate analysis was used to determine whether pathological PSA density was an independent predictor of adverse pathology or PSA recurrence after radical prostatectomy in 325 patients treated at a Veterans Affairs medical center. Cutoff points of pathological PSA density were generated to identify patients at various risks for biochemical recurrence. These cutoffs were combined with biopsy Gleason cutoff points 2 to 6, 7 and 8 to 10 to generate a risk stratification system that was compared with a previous risk stratification system using PSA and biopsy Gleason score cutoff points. The validity of the risk stratification system using pathological PSA density and biopsy Gleason score was evaluated in another cohort of 490 patients treated with radical prostatectomy at a tertiary care medical center. RESULTS: Pathological PSA density was an independent predictor of positive surgical margins (p <0.001), nonorgan confined disease (p <0.001), seminal vesicle invasion (p = 0.003) and biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy (p <0.001). The cutoff points for pathological PSA density of less than 0.3, 0.3 to 0.7 and greater than 0.7 ng./ml./gm. separated patients into 3 distinct groups at increasing risk for biochemical failure after radical prostatectomy (p <0.001). Pathological PSA density cutoffs combined with biopsy Gleason score cutoffs 2 to 6, 7 and 8 to 10 provided better risk stratification for biochemical failure than cutoffs based on a combination of PSA and biopsy Gleason score in patients treated at the Veterans Affairs (hazards ratio 3.04, confidence interval 2.25 to 4.11, p <0.001) and tertiary care (hazards ratio 2.38, confidence interval 1.78 to 3.18, p <0.001) medical centers. CONCLUSIONS: Pathological PSA density was a strong predictor of advanced pathology and biochemical failure after radical prostatectomy. Pathological PSA density combined with biopsy Gleason score defined a novel risk group system that improved risk stratification compared with a combination of PSA and biopsy Gleason score. These results were validated in another cohort of patients treated with radical prostatectomy at a tertiary care medical center. Further studies are required using PSA density values calculated from preoperative transrectal ultrasound measurements to determine whether a combination of PSA density and biopsy Gleason score provides significant pretreatment risk stratification.     

PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN VARIATION IN PATIENTS WITHOUT CLINICALLY EVIDENT PROSTATE CANCER

PURPOSE: We address long-term within individual variation of serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) in men without clinical or biopsy evidence of prostate cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We studied 943 men from a prostate cancer screening program with 2 PSA (PSA1 and PSA2) measurements available. A third PSA (PSA3) was obtained from 571 men. Only participants with no clinical evidence of cancer were included in the study. Within individual PSA variability was calculated based on indexes of percent coefficient of variation, ratio difference and PSA velocity. The relationship among these indexes, interval between measurements and number of PSA samples was assessed. RESULTS: Mean interval was 670.4 days between PSA1 and PSA2, and 801.8 days between PSA2 and PSA3 (p<0.001). Mean coefficient of variation was 18% after 2 and 15.7% after 3 PSA measurements. Mean ratio differences were -0.047 ng./ml. for 2 and 0.033 ng./ml. for 3 samples. Mean PSA velocity was -0.128 ng./ml. per year for 2 and -0.055 ng./ml. per year for 3 samples, with 95% confidence intervals of 0.634 and 0.315, respectively. Variability was higher if only 2 PSA measurements were done (p<0.001). No clear relationship was found between individual variability and interval between measurements. CONCLUSIONS: PSA velocity is within normal limits in almost all men (more than 95%) without clinically relevant prostate cancer. PSA individual variability is not fully dependent on the time between measurements when intervals are long, and can be substantially decreased with a third PSA sample.     

SERUM FREE PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN AND PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN DENSITY MEASUREMENTS FOR PREDICTING CANCER IN MEN WITH PRIOR NEGATIVE PROSTATIC BIOPSIES

Purpose

We examined the usefulness of measurements of free prostate specific antigen (PSA) and PSA density for predicting prostate cancer in men who had had a prior negative biopsy, a serum PSA level of 4.1 to 10.0 ng./ml. and benign findings on prostate examination.

Materials and Methods

We measured percent free serum PSA and PSA density in 163 male volunteers age 50 years or older who were advised to have repeat prostatic biopsies for a serum PSA level of 4.1 to 10.0 ng./ml.

Results

Of 99 men who had repeat biopsies 20 (20%) had prostate cancer detected. Prostate cancer was significantly associated with lower free PSA level and higher PSA density, with overlap in 83% of the cases. The use of percent free PSA cutoffs of 28 and 30% would have detected 90 and 95% of cancers, respectively, and avoided 13 and 12% of the biopsies, respectively. PSA density cutoffs of 0.10 and 0.08 would have detected 90 and 95% of cancers, respectively, and avoided 31 and 12% of biopsies, respectively.

Conclusions

Free PSA and PSA density predict prostate cancer in men who have had prior negative prostatic biopsies, serum PSA levels of 4.1 to 10.0 ng./ml. and a benign prostate examination. Both parameters may be used to avoid unnecessary biopsies with an acceptable decrease in sensitivity. Further studies are needed to determine cutoffs to be used in clinical practice.     

Biochemical (prostate specific antigen) recurrence probability following radical prostatectomy for clinically localized prostate cancer

PURPOSE: We retrospectively reviewed the clinical followup for a large series of men with clinically localized prostate cancer who underwent radical retropubic prostatectomy to identify clinical and/or pathological indicators of biochemical (prostate specific antigen [PSA]) recurrence. We then used those indicators to develop multivariate models for determination of recurrence probability following radical retropubic prostatectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From 1982 to 1999, 2,091 consecutive men underwent radical retropubic prostatectomy and pelvic lymphadenectomy for clinically localized adenocarcinoma of the prostate (clinical stage T1c or T2 disease with Gleason score 5 or greater). Actuarial analysis was performed comparing freedom from biochemical recurrence after radical retropubic prostatectomy (PSA 0.2 ng./ml. or greater.) using the Kaplan-Meier method. Event time distributions for the time to recurrence were compared using the log rank statistic or the Cox proportional hazards regression model. The first model was developed using preoperative variables only and the second model using all available variables. Observed and predicted recurrence-free survival curves for different models were compared to select a model for calculation of predicted recurrence-free probabilities and confidence intervals. RESULTS: With a median followup of 5.9 years (range 1 to 17) 360 men (17%) had biochemical recurrence. Overall actuarial 5, 10 and 15-year biochemical recurrence-free survival rates were 84%, 72% and 61%, respectively. The relative risk of biochemical recurrence following surgery decreased with time, even after adjusted for other perioperative parameters. Variables identified for the preoperative model were biopsy Gleason score, clinical TNM stage and PSA. Variables identified for the postoperative model were prostatectomy Gleason score, PSA and pathological organ confinement status. Nomograms were generated and corrected for the decreasing relative risk of biochemical recurrence over time. CONCLUSIONS: Using 3 preoperative or postoperative parameters, these nomograms can easily be used to determine the 3, 5, 7 and 10-year biochemical recurrence-free survival probabilities among men who undergo radical retropubic prostatectomy for clinically localized prostate cancer in the modern era.     

AGE SPECIFIC PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN REFERENCE RANGES: POPULATION SPECIFIC

Purpose

We determined whether 60 to 79-year-old men with a negative digital rectal examination and a serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) within age specific PSA reference ranges could safely forgo prostate biopsy.

Materials and Methods

We reviewed the medical records of all 60 to 79-year-old men at the Brooklyn Veterans Administration Medical Center who had a PSA assay, digital rectal examination and subsequent prostate biopsy for an abnormal rectal examination and/or PSA greater than 4.0 ng./ml. from January 1991 through August 1995. We compared our results using the standard reference range of 0 to 4.0 ng./ml. with those obtained had we used any of 4 different age specific PSA reference ranges.

Results

We performed 1,280 prostate biopsies in 1,046 men with available PSA and digital rectal examination data. Using age specific PSA reference ranges 73 of 1,280 biopsies (5.7%) would have been avoided. Of those 73 avoided biopsies 15 (20.5%) had cancer that would have gone undetected and 9 of 15 (60%) undetected cancers had unfavorable histology. Results were not statistically significantly different among the 4 age specific PSA reference ranges. Regarding race, cancer detection rates were significantly higher for black compared with white men but there was no statistically significant difference for missed cancers or missed cancers with unfavorable histology.

Conclusions

In contrast to previous reports of unfavorable histological characteristics in only 5% of missed cancers using age specific PSA reference ranges, 60% of missed cancers in our patients exhibited unfavorable histology. We conclude that age specific PSA reference ranges did not safely eliminate the need for prostate biopsy in our study population. In 60 to 79-year-old men with a negative digital rectal examination we continue to use PSA greater than 4.0 ng./ml. as an indication for prostate biopsy.     

The extent of biopsy involvement as an independent predictor of extraprostatic extension and surgical margin status in low risk prostate cancer: implications for treatment selection

PURPOSE: We identify predictors of extraprostatic extension and positive surgical margins in patients with low risk prostate cancer (prostate specific antigen [PSA] 10 ng./ml. or less, biopsy Gleason score 7 or less and clinical stage T1c-2b). MATERIALS AND METHODS: From August 1997 to January 1999, 143 previously untreated patients underwent radical retropubic prostatectomy for clinically localized prostate cancer. A total of 62 patients were low risk, with PSA 10 ng./ml. or less, biopsy Gleason score 7 or less and clinical stage T1c-2b, and had sextant biopsy with separate pathological evaluation of each sextant cores. PSA, clinical stage, biopsy Gleason score, average percentage of cancer in the entire biopsy specimen, maximum percentage of cancer on the most involved core, number of cores involved and bilaterality were evaluated for association with extraprostatic extension, seminal vesicle involvement and positive surgical margins. RESULTS: Of the 62 patients 13 (21%) had extraprostatic extension, 6 (10%) seminal vesicle involvement and 20 (32%) positive surgical margins. Average percentage greater than 10% and maximum percentage greater than 25% were associated with extraprostatic extension (p = 0.01 and 0.004, respectively). Average percentage greater than 10%, maximum percentage greater than 25%, more than 2 cores involved and bilaterality were associated with positive surgical margins (p = 0.007, 0.01, 0.002 and 0.03, respectively). On multivariate analysis maximum percentage remained the only independent predictor of extraprostatic extension (p = 0.03), and the number of cores involved remained an independent predictor of positive surgical margins (p = 0.01). Biopsy Gleason score, PSA and clinical stage did not correlate with extraprostatic extension or positive surgical margins in this patient population. CONCLUSIONS: In low risk prostate cancer the extent of biopsy involvement significantly correlates with the risk of extraprostatic extension and positive surgical margins. Biopsy information should be considered when selecting and modifying treatment modalities.     

Biochemical and pathological predictors of the recurrence of prostatic adenocarcinoma with seminal vesicle invasion

PURPOSE: We assessed biochemical and pathological factors as predictors of recurrence in men with seminal vesicle invasion. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A consecutive series of 812 men who underwent radical retropubic prostatectomy between 1992 and 2000 included 106 (13%) with seminal vesicle invasion. Disease recurrence was defined as prostate specific antigen (PSA) 0.4 ng./ml. or greater. Patients with less than 12 months of followup, salvage radical retropubic prostatectomy, lymph node metastases and adjuvant therapy were excluded from study. Data on the remaining 66 cases were analyzed using the chi-square test, bivariate logistic regression, Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox proportional regression. Variables included demographics, recurrence, time from surgery to recurrence, positive margins, capsular invasion, extracapsular extension, Gleason score (2 to 6, 7 and 8 to 10), and dichotomized values of preoperative PSA (10 or less versus 10 ng./ml.) and tumor volume (20% or less versus greater than 20%). RESULTS: Mean patient age was 62 years (range 48 to 74). At an average followup of 47.7 months (range 13 to 109) 53% of the patients were free of biochemical recurrence. Mean time to recurrence was 18.6 months (range 1.7 to 51.6). Univariate analyses revealed a statistical significant increased risk of recurrence in patients with PSA greater than 10 ng./ml. (p <0.0001), capsular invasion (p = 0.01) and age (p = 0.036). When adjusting for potential covariates, Cox proportional regression analysis indicated that higher PSA (hazard ratio 7.33, 95% CI 2.57 to 20.95), larger tumor volume (hazard ratio 5.64, 95% CI 1.97 to 16.19) and higher age (hazard ratio 1.13, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.22) were significantly associated with shorter time to recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: PSA greater than 10 ng./ml., tumor volume greater than 20% and age are significant predictors of recurrence after radical retropubic prostatectomy in patients with prostate cancer and seminal vesicle invasion. Hopefully future randomized trials may show a survival benefit of adjuvant therapy in patients at high risk.     

The impact of pretreatment PSA on risk stratification in men with Gleason 6 prostate cancer: Implications for active surveillance

BackgroundThere are limited data to support the safety of active surveillance in men with favorable-intermediate risk prostate cancer due only to a prostate specific antigen (PSA) above 10 ng/ml. We therefore evaluated the impact of pretreatment PSA on risk-stratification in men with Gleason 6 prostate cancer.MethodsWe identified men aged 18 to 75 with cT1-2cN0cM0, pre-treatment PSA < 20 ng/ml, Gleason 6 prostate cancer diagnosed from 2010 to 2016 in the National Cancer Database who underwent radical prostatectomy. The associations of patient and disease features with Gleason score upgrading or adverse pathologic features at prostatectomy were evaluated using logistic regression. To evaluate for non linear relationships between PSA and each outcome, we examined predicted marginal event rates standardized for baseline characteristics with PSA modeled using restricted cubic splinesResultsA total of 75,566 patients were included in the cohort. In unadjusted analyses, patients with pretreatment PSA ≥ 10 ng/ml had higher rates of Gleason core upgrading (58.8% vs. 47.9%; P< 0.001) and adverse pathologic features (19.7% vs. 10.0%; P< 0.001) compared to patients with PSA < 10 ng/ml. In multivariable analyses, PSA ≥ 10 ng/ml was associated with statistically significantly increased risks of Gleason score upgrading (OR 1.47;95%CI 1.39 – 1.55) and adverse pathologic features (OR 2.15;95%CI 2.01 – 2.30). When modeled as a non linear continuous covariate, PSA was associated with increased adjusted rates of Gleason score upgrading and adverse pathologic features without a clear dichotomization at a threshold of 10 ng/ml.ConclusionHigher pretreatment PSA was independently associated with increased risks of Gleason score upgrading and adverse pathologic features at prostatectomy. Flexible modeling of the relationship between PSA and each outcome did not support dichotomization at a threshold of 10 ng/ml. These results can be used to improve patient risk-stratification for active surveillance.     

ACCURACY OF PREDICTING LONG-TERM PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN OUTCOME BASED ON EARLY PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN RECURRENCE RESULTS AFTER RADICAL PROSTATECTOMY

PURPOSE: We determined how prostate specific antigen (PSA) doubling time changed with time and whether an early measure of doubling time would accurately predict long-term PSA values and clinical outcome in a cohort of patients followed expectantly after radical prostatectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analyzed data on 121 patients with PSA recurrence after radical retropubic prostatectomy. Group and individual analyses were performed on 60 patients who met study inclusion criteria. PSA doubling time was calculated and a curve was plotted using logarithmic transformation with linear regression and least squares analysis. In analysis 1 patients were placed into 3 subgroups according to doubling time. Doubling time was calculated per subgroup and the slopes of the aggregate curves were compared to determine how doubling time changed with time. In analysis 2 we calculated early doubling time per patient using only the initial 2 detectable PSA values and compared it with eventual doubling time in each using all PSA values. In addition, we analyzed how doubling time correlated with the clinical course. RESULTS: Using the group methodology there was no statistically significant acceleration or deceleration with time in doubling time slope in any of the 3 subgroups. On individual analysis we noted a weak correlation of early with eventual doubling time (correlation coefficient 0.69, p = 0.01). In 88% of patients eventual doubling time was not within 10% of early doubling time. Metastasis developed in 60% of patients with an eventual DT of 0 to 6 months, while 80% with an eventual doubling time of 6 to 12 months had no evidence of local or metastatic disease. No patients with an eventual doubling time of greater than 12 months have had metastatic disease and only 4 (16%) had local recurrence, which was treated with radiation therapy. In 8 of the 14 patients (23%) with local recurrence or metastatic disease early doubling time predicted eventual doubling time. Early doubling time was more rapid and slower than eventual doubling time in 5 and 1, respectively, of the remaining cases, which would have placed them in a different subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: On group analysis PSA doubling time appeared to be constant with time and there was no evidence that it accelerated with time in our dataset of PSA recurrence after radical prostatectomy. On individual analysis early doubling time showed a weak but statistically significant correlation with eventual doubling time. However, there was significant inaccuracy when predicting PSA doubling time based on early PSA values in individuals. Generally early projections of doubling time tend to over predict tumor biological aggressiveness, that is local recurrence or metastasis. A need remains for more accurate predictors of the rate of disease progression at initial PSA recurrence to determine accurately early in the clinical course the patients who may benefit from additional therapy. Currently no patient in our study has died of prostate cancer.     

The University of California, San Francisco Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment score: a straightforward and reliable preoperative predictor of disease recurrence after radical prostatectomy

PURPOSE: Multivariate prognostic instruments aim to predict risk of recurrence among patients with localized prostate cancer. We devised a novel risk assessment tool which would be a strong predictor of outcome across various levels of risk, and which could be easily applied and intuitively understood. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We studied 1,439 men diagnosed between 1992 and 2001 who had undergone radical prostatectomy and were followed in the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urologic Research Endeavor (CaPSURE) database, a longitudinal, community based disease registry of patients with prostate cancer. Disease recurrence was defined as prostate specific antigen (PSA) 0.2 ng/ml or greater on 2 consecutive occasions following prostatectomy or a second cancer treatment more than 6 months after surgery. The University of California, San Francisco-Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment (UCSF-CAPRA) score was developed using preoperative PSA, Gleason score, clinical T stage, biopsy results and age. The index was developed and validated using Cox proportional hazards and life table analyses. RESULTS: A total of 210 patients (15%) had recurrence, 145 by PSA criteria and 65 by second treatment. Based on the results of the Cox analysis, points were assigned based on PSA (0 to 4 points), Gleason score (0 to 3), T stage (0 to 1), age (0 to 1) and percent of biopsy positive cores (0 to 1). The UCSF-CAPRA score range is 0 to 10, with roughly double the risk of recurrence for each 2-point increase in score. Recurrence-free survival at 5 years ranged from 85% for a UCSF-CAPRA score of 0 to 1 (95% CI 73%-92%) to 8% for a score of 7 to 10 (95% CI 0%-28%). The concordance index for the UCSF-CAPRA score was 0.66. CONCLUSIONS: The UCSF-CAPRA score is a straightforward yet powerful preoperative risk assessment tool. It must be externally validated in future studies.     

CHARACTERISTICS OF SCREENING DETECTED PROSTATE CANCER IN MEN 50 TO 66 YEARS OLD WITH 3 TO 4 NG./ML. PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN

Purpose

We defined the yield and nature of prostate cancer in the setting of population based, randomized prostate specific antigen (PSA) guided screening in men with PSA levels between 3 and 4 ng./ml. who were 50 to 65 years old at the time of randomization.

Materials and Methods

Sextant biopsies were performed in 243 men with PSA of 3 to 4 ng./ml. Therapy decisions were based on core cancer length, histological grade and life expectancy.

Results

Of the men 32 (13.2%) had prostate cancer constituting 23% of all of the 137 prostate cancers to date detected in the first round of our screening study. Age and PSA were similar in men with and without prostate cancer. Men with prostate cancer had significantly lower free PSA and free-to-total PSA ratio, and higher PSA density. Cancer was clinical stage T1c in 27 cases and stage T2 in 5. Hypoechoic areas were noted at transrectal ultrasound in 10 cases. Digital rectal examination and transrectal ultrasound were normal in 21 cases (66%). To date 14 patients have undergone prostatectomy. Surgical specimens showed a mean tumor volume of 1.8 cc (range 0.6 to 4.4) and significant amounts of high grade tumor were present in only 3 cases. Margins were positive in 5 cases, and pathological stage was pT2 in 8 cases and pT3 in 6.

Conclusions

By lowering the PSA cutoff from 4 to 3 ng./ml. an increase in cancer detection by 30% was achieved. While the addition of free-to-total ratio and PSA density may reduce the number of biopsies by about 15% with sensitivity maintained at 90%, systematic sextant biopsies were necessary in most of these men as 66% of the tumors were negative on transrectal ultrasound and digital rectal examination. The majority of these cancers were clinically significant and suitable for curative treatment. If therapy decisions are based on the pathological findings of the biopsies, the risk of treating insignificant cancers seems low.     

PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN ADJUSTED FOR THE TRANSITION ZONE VOLUME AS AN INDICATOR OF PROSTATE CANCER

Purpose

We compared prostate specific antigen (PSA) adjusted for the transition zone volume with PSA and PSA density with regard to value in diagnosing prostate cancer in men with intermediate PSA levels of 4.1 to 10.0 ng./ml. in a community based urology practice.

Materials and Methods

Between October 1994 and May 1996, PSA transition zone was obtained from 92 of 94 men who underwent systematic sextant biopsies and had a PSA value between 4.1 and 10.0 ng./ml. PSA transition zone, calculated by dividing the PSA value by the volume of the transition zone of the prostate, was compared with PSA and PSA density via the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

Results

Of the 92 men 12 (13.0%) had prostate cancer. ROC curve analysis demonstrated that PSA transition zone and PSA density predicted the biopsy outcome significantly better than PSA (p <0.05 and p <0.01, respectively). In a subset of 59 men with normal digital rectal examination PSA transition zone predicted the biopsy outcome better than PSA density, although without significant difference. With a cutoff value of 0.3 PSA transition zone had a sensitivity of 75% and a specificity of 54%.

Conclusions

PSA transition zone is more specific than PSA in distinguishing benign from malignant disease in men with intermediate PSA levels of 4.1 to 10.0 ng./ml., especially in those with normal digital rectal examination. Further study is necessary to discuss whether PSA transition zone is superior to PSA density.     

PREDICTIVE VALUE OF PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN NADIR AFTER SALVAGE CRYOTHERAPY

Purpose

We determined nadir prostate specific antigen (PSA) after salvage cyrotherapy to distinguish patients who are potentially cured from those at risk for subsequent biochemical and biopsy proved failure.

Materials and Methods

A total of 146 patients who underwent salvage cyrotherapy were followed a median of 21 months (range 3 to 47) with regular serum PSA analysis and digital rectal examination. Sextant biopsies were performed at 6 months or earlier when PSA increased greater than 2 ng./ml. from the nadir value (biochemical failure) or there was a palpable local recurrence. We compared the incidence of biochemical failure and biopsy specimens positive for cancer to pretreatment PSA and posttreatment nadir PSA.

Results

In 59 of the 146 patients (40%) PSA decreased to an undetectable level within a median of 3 months. In 85 of the 109 patients (78%) who underwent biopsy the specimens were negative for cancer. Low serum PSA nadir values were associated with low pretreatment PSA and a low incidence of biochemical failure. In 6 of 60 patients (10%) in whom PSA nadir was 0.5 ng./ml. or less and in 18 of 49 (37%) with a higher PSA nadir biopsy was positive for cancer.

Conclusions

A PSA nadir of 0.5 ng./ml. or less should be achieved after salvage cryotherapy. Higher nadirs are more likely to be associated with increasing posttreatment PSA and positive biopsies. PSA nadir is a better prognostic indicator of biochemical and biopsy proved failure after salvage cryotherapy than pretreatment PSA.     

Prostate cancer with large glands treated with 3-dimensional computerized tomography guided pararectal brachytherapy: up to 8 years of followup

PURPOSE: We report post-brachytherapy results in patients with cancer in a large prostate. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From June 1, 1994 to June 30, 2000, 331 consecutive patients with a large prostate of 50 to 180 cm.3 (median 69) were treated with 3-dimensional computerized tomography guided brachytherapy. Patient age was 42 to 90 years (median 69). Of these patients 327 were available for followup for 2 to 8 years (median 4.5). Patients were stratified according to risk profile. The high risk group had 1 or more high risk factors (prostate specific antigen [PSA] greater than 20 ng./ml., Gleason greater than 7, stage T2b, T3a or T3b) or 2 intermediate risk factors (PSA 10 to 20 ng./ml. and Gleason 7). The high risk group was further stratified into subgroups with a similar risk profile. The intermediate risk group had only 1 high risk factor (PSA 10 to 20 ng./ml. or Gleason 7). The low risk group had PSA less than 10 ng./ml., Gleason less than 7 and stage T1a, b, c or T2a. A dose of 144 Gy. with 125I or 120 Gy. with 103Pd was achieved in 90% to 100% of the target. A total of 31 patients (9%) had previously undergone transurethral resection and 198 (60%) were treated with 3 months of neoadjuvant androgen ablation. RESULTS: Biochemical disease-free survival was achieved in 90% of the 182 patients at high risk, 96% of the 52 at intermediate risk and 99% of the 93 at low risk. Seven patients (2%) required catheterization during year 1 for urinary retention, 11 (3%) required transurethral prostate resection 1 to 4 years after implantation, 3 patients (1%) had grade 1 or 2 incontinence after repeat transurethral prostate resection and 4 (1%) had grade 3 or 4 rectal complications. CONCLUSIONS: The 3-dimensional computerized tomography guided pararectal permanent implant results in a high level of biochemical control with low morbidity at 2 to 8 years in patients with prostate cancer who have a large prostate. There was less favorable biochemical control in patients with PSA greater than 20 ng./ml., Gleason 7 or greater and seminal vesicle invasion.