A population-based study of the long-term risks associated with atrial fibrillation: 20-year follow-up of the Renfrew/Paisley study

PURPOSE: To describe the effect of atrial fibrillation on long-term morbidity and mortality. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: The Renfrew/Paisley Study surveyed 7052 men and 8354 women aged 45-64 years between 1972 and 1976. All hospitalizations and deaths occurring during the subsequent 20 years were analyzed by the presence or absence of atrial fibrillation at baseline. Lone atrial fibrillation was defined in the absence of other cardiovascular signs or symptoms. Cox proportional hazards models were used to adjust for age and cardiovascular conditions. RESULTS: After 20 years, 42 (89%) of the 47 women with atrial fibrillation had a cardiovascular event (death or hospitalization), compared with 2276 (27%) of the 8307 women without this arrhythmia. Among men, 35 (66%) of 53 with atrial fibrillation had an event, compared with 3151 (45%) of 6999 without atrial fibrillation. In women, atrial fibrillation was an independent predictor of cardiovascular events (rate ratio [RR] = 3.0; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.1-4.2), fatal or nonfatal strokes (RR = 3.2; 95% CI: 1.0-5.0), and heart failure (RR = 3.4; 95% CI: 1.9-6.2). The rate ratios among men were 1.8 (95% CI: 1.3-2.5) for cardiovascular events, 2.5 (95% CI: 1.3-4.8) for strokes, and 3.4 (95% CI: 1.7-6.8) for heart failure. Atrial fibrillation was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in women (RR = 2.2; 95% CI: 1.5-3.2) and men (RR = 1.5; 95% CI: 1.2-2.2). However, lone atrial fibrillation (which occurred in 15 subjects) was not associated with a statistically significant increase in either cardiovascular events (RR = 1.5; 95% CI: 0.6-3.6) or mortality (RR = 1.8; 95% CI: 0.9-3.8). CONCLUSIONS: Atrial fibrillation is associated with an increased long-term risk of stroke, heart failure, and all-cause mortality, especially in women.     

Long-term effect of diuretic-based therapy on fatal outcomes in subjects with isolated systolic hypertension with and without diabetes

Diuretic-based antihypertensive therapy is associated with the development of diabetes but with improved clinical outcomes. It has been proposed that the duration of clinical trials has been too short to detect the adverse effects of diabetes. We assessed the long-term mortality rate of subjects in the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (n = 4,732) who were randomized to stepped-care therapy with 12.5 to 25.0 mg/day of chlorthalidone or matching placebo. If blood pressure remained above the goal, atenolol or matching placebo was added. At a mean follow-up of 14.3 years, cardiovascular (CV) mortality rate was significantly lower in the chlorthalidone group (19%) than in the placebo group (22%; adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.854, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.751 to 0.972). Diabetes at baseline (n = 799) was associated with increased CV mortality rate (adjusted HR 1.659, 95% CI 1.413 to 1.949) and total mortality rate (adjusted HR 1.510, 95% CI 1.347 to 1.693). Diabetes that developed during the trial among subjects on placebo (n = 169) was also associated with increased CV adverse outcome (adjusted HR 1.562, 95% CI 1.117 to 2.184) and total mortality rate (adjusted HR 1.348, 95% CI 1.051 to 1.727). However, diabetes that developed among subjects during diuretic therapy (n = 258) did not have significant associations with CV mortality rate (adjusted HR 1.043, 95% CI 0.745 to 1.459) or total mortality rate (adjusted HR 1.151, 95% CI 0.925 to 1.433). Diuretic treatment in subjects who had diabetes was strongly associated with lower long-term CV mortality rate (adjusted HR 0.688, 95% CI 0.526 to 0.848) and total mortality rate (adjusted HR 0.805, 95% CI 0.680 to 0.952). Thus, chlorthalidone-based treatment improved long-term outcomes, especially among subjects who had diabetes. Subjects who had diabetes associated with chlorthalidone had no significant increase in CV events and had a better prognosis than did those who had preexisting diabetes.     

Left atrial size and risk of major cardiovascular events during antihypertensive treatment: losartan intervention for endpoint reduction in hypertension trial

The influence of left atrial size on cardiovascular events during antihypertensive treatment has not been reported previously from a long-term, prospective, randomized hypertension treatment trial. We recorded left atrial diameter by annual echocardiography and cardiovascular events in 881 hypertensive patients (41% women) with electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy aged 55 to 80 (mean: 66) years during a mean of 4.8 years of randomized losartan- or atenolol-based treatment in the Losartan Intervention for Endpoint Reduction in Hypertension Study. During follow-up, a total of 88 primary end points (combined cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or stroke) occurred. In Cox regression, baseline left atrial diameter/height predicted incidence of cardiovascular events (hazard ratio: 1.98 per cm/m [95% CI: 1.02 to 3.83 per cm/m]; P=0.042) adjusted for significant effects of Framingham risk score and history of atrial fibrillation. Greater left atrial diameter reduction during follow-up was associated with greater reduction in left ventricular hypertrophy, absence of new-onset atrial fibrillation or mitral regurgitation during follow-up, and losartan-based treatment (B=-0.13+/-0.03 cm/m; P<0.001) in multiple linear regression, adjusting for baseline left atrial diameter/height. However, in time-varying Cox regression analysis, left atrial diameter reduction was not independent of left ventricular hypertrophy regression in predicting cardiovascular events during follow-up. In conclusion, left atrial diameter/height predicts risk of cardiovascular events independent of other clinical risk factors in hypertensive patients with left ventricular hypertrophy and may be useful in pretreatment clinical assessment of cardiovascular risk in these patients.     

Hypertension as a risk factor for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in an elderly German population; the prospective STEPHY II study. Starnberg Study on Epidemiology of Parkinsonism and Hypertension in the Elderly.

AIM: To prospectively study the relationship between blood pressure levels and subsequent cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in a population aged 65 years and older. METHODS: Participants of the 1992 baseline survey of the population-based Starnberg Study on Epidemiology of Parkinsonism and Hypertension in the Elderly (STEPHY, 394 men and 588 women above age 65) were followed up for 3 years. Total mortality was assessed by official death data. Cardiovascular morbidity, that is, the occurrence of non-fatal events (new cases of acute myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, and heart failure) could be assessed in 681 of the 863 survivors by a second interview and analysis of general practitioners' records. The mortality and morbidity risks were compared for hypertensives (baseline blood pressure > or = 160/95 mmHg or antihypertensive treatment) and non-hypertensives. RESULTS: During follow-up a total of 55 men and 64 women died resulting in a 2.7-year cumulative mortality in this population of 12%. Mortality was higher in men (14%) than in women (11%). Hypertensives had no increased risk of death compared to non-hypertensives (adjusted relative risk (RR)=0. 92; 95% CI: 0.48-1.76 for men and RR=1.36; 95% CI 0.67-2.78 for women). This was confirmed in age-stratified analyses. However, among survivors hypertension was associated with a significantly higher occurrence of non-fatal cardiovascular events. After controlling for potentially confounding baseline conditions, the relative risk for any event (RR=1.44; 95% CI: 1.04-2.0) and, in particular, of acute myocardial infarction (RR=5.5; 95% CI: 1.6-18. 7) was raised among hypertensives. Higher rates for angina pectoris (RR=1.4; 95% CI: 0.9-2.4) and heart failure (RR 1.7; 95% CI: 0.9-2. 9) were of borderline significance. Positive risk associations were confined to the age group 65 to 75 years and not detected at higher ages. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates for a Central European population older than 65 years the impact of hypertension as a risk factor for cardiovascular and cerebrovascular morbidity. To address the issue that risk of death showed no significant relationship to blood pressure, a longer follow-up period might be necessary.     

Treatment of isolated systolic hypertension in the elderly: evidence from three clinical trials

Isolated systolic hypertension affects over 15% of all subjects older than 60 years. In the elderly, systolic hypertension is the major modifiable cardiovascular risk factor. Three placebo-controlled outcome trials on antihypertensive drug treatment for this disorder have been published. The aim of this article was to briefly review the main findings of each of these three trials and to present pooled estimates of the benefit of antihypertensive drug treatment in isolated systolic hypertension in the elderly. A total of 11 825 patients were enrolled in the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP; N=4736) in the United States, and in the Systolic Hypertension in Europe (Syst-Eur; N=4695) and the Systolic Hypertension in China (Syst-China; N=2394) trials. The outcome results of these trials were pooled by calculating the common odds ratio for active vs. placebo treatment. Overall, compared to placebo, active treatment reduced all-cause mortality by 17%, cardiovascular mortality by 25%, all cardiovascular endpoints by 32%, total stroke by 37%, and myocardial infarction including sudden death by 25%. Thus, the pooled results of the outcome trials in older patients with isolated systolic hypertension prove that antihypertensive drug treatment must be prescribed if, on repeated measurement, systolic blood pressure is 160 mmHg or higher.     

Prognostic relevance of atrial fibrillation in patients with chronic heart failure on long-term treatment with beta-blockers: results from COMET.

AIMS: Atrial fibrillation is common in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). We analysed the risk associated with atrial fibrillation in a large cohort of patients with chronic heart failure all treated with a beta-blocker. METHODS AND RESULTS: In COMET, 3029 patients with CHF were randomized to carvedilol or metoprolol tartrate and followed for a mean of 58 months. We analysed the prognostic relevance on other outcomes of atrial fibrillation on the baseline electrocardiogram compared with no atrial fibrillation and the impact of new onset atrial fibrillation during follow-up. A multivariate analysis was performed using a Cox regression model where 10 baseline covariates were entered together with study treatment allocation. Six hundred patients (19.8%) had atrial fibrillation at baseline. These patients were older (65 vs. 61 years), included more men (88 vs.78%), had more severe symptoms [higher New York Heart Association (NYHA) class] and a longer duration of heart failure (all P<0.0001). Atrial fibrillation was associated with significantly increased mortality [relative risk (RR) 1.29: 95% CI 1.12-1.48; P<0.0001], higher all-cause death or hospitalization (RR 1.25: CI 1.13-1.38), and cardiovascular death or hospitalization for worsening heart failure (RR 1.34: CI 1.20-1.52), both P<0.0001. By multivariable analysis, atrial fibrillation no longer independently predicted mortality. Beneficial effects on mortality by carvedilol remained significant (RR 0.836: CI 0.74-0.94; P=0.0042). New onset atrial fibrillation during follow-up (n=580) was associated with significant increased risk for subsequent death in a time-dependent analysis (RR 1.90: CI 1.54-2.35; P<0.0001) regardless of treatment allocation and changes in NYHA class. CONCLUSION: In CHF, atrial fibrillation significantly increases the risk for death and heart failure hospitalization, but is not an independent risk factor for mortality after adjusting for other predictors of prognosis. Treatment with carvedilol compared with metoprolol offers additional benefits among patients with atrial fibrillation. Onset of new atrial fibrillation in patients on long-term beta-blocker therapy is associated with significant increased subsequent risk of mortality and morbidity.     

Atrial fibrillation is associated with an increased risk for mortality and heart failure progression in patients with asymptomatic and symptomatic left ventricular systolic dysfunction: a retrospective analysis of the SOLVD trials

Objective. This study undertook to determine if the presence of atrial fibrillation in patients with asymptomatic and symptomatic left ventricular dysfunction was associated with increased mortality and, if so, whether the increase could be attributed to progressive heart failure or arrhythmic death.Background. Atrial fibrillation is a common condition in heart failure with the potential to impact hemodynamics and progression of left ventricular systolic dysfunction as well as the electrophysiologic substrate for arrhythmias. The available data do not conclusively define the effect of atrial fibrillation on prognosis in heart failure.Methods. A retrospective analysis of the Studies of Left Ventricular Dysfunction Prevention and Treatment Trials was conducted that compared patients with atrial fibrillation to those in sinus rhythm at baseline for the risk of all-cause mortality, progressive pump-failure death and arrhythmic death.Results. The patients with atrial fibrillation at baseline, compared to those in sinus rhythm, had greater all-cause mortality (34% vs. 23%, p < 0.001), death attributed to pump-failure (16.7% vs. 9.4%, p < 0.001) and were more likely to reach the composite end point of death or hospitalization for heart failure (45% vs. 33%, p < 0.001), but there was no significant difference between the groups in arrhythmic deaths. After multivariate analysis, atrial fibrillation remained significantly associated with all-cause mortality (relative risk [RR] 1.34, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12 to 1.62, p = 0.002), progressive pump-failure death (RR 1.42, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.85, p = 0.01), the composite end point of death or hospitalization for heart failure (RR 1.26, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.42, p = 0.02), but not arrhythmic death (RR 1.13; 95% CI 0.75 to 1.71; p = 0.55).Conclusions. The presence of atrial fibrillation in patients with asymptomatic and symptomatic left ventricular systolic dysfunction is associated with an increased risk for all-cause mortality, largely explained by an increased risk for pump-failure death. These data suggest that atrial fibrillation is associated with progression of left ventricular systolic dysfunction.     

The role of diastolic blood pressure when treating isolated systolic hypertension.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the role of treated diastolic blood pressure (DBP) level in stroke, coronary heart disease (CHD), and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients with isolated systolic hypertension (ISH). DESIGN: An analysis of the 4736 participants in the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP) was undertaken. The SHEP was a randomized multicenter double-blind outpatient clinical trial of the impact of treating ISH in men and women aged 60 years and older. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, with DBP and systolic blood pressure (SBP) as time-dependent covariables. RESULTS: After adjustment for the baseline risk factors of race (black vs other), sex, use of antihypertensive medication before the study, a composite variable (diabetes, previous heart attack, or stroke), age, and smoking history (ever vs never) and adjustment for the SBP as a time-dependent variable, we found, for the active treatment group only, that a decrease of 5 mm Hg in DBP increased the risk for stroke (relative risk, [RR], 1.14; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-1.22), for CHD (RR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.00-1.16), and for CVD (RR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.05-1.16). CONCLUSIONS: Some patients with ISH may be treated to a level that uncovers subclinical disease, and some may be overtreated. Further studies need to determine whether excessively low DBP can be prevented by more careful titration of antihypertensive therapy while maintaining SBP control. It is reassuring that patients receiving treatment for ISH never perform worse than patients receiving placebo in terms of CVD events.     

valsartan in elderly isolated systolic hypertension (VALISH) study: rationale and design.

Although antihypertensive therapy has been proven to reduce cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, it is unclear how much blood pressure should be decreased in elderly patients with hypertension. The Valsartan in Elderly Isolated Systolic Hypertension (VALISH) study is a multicenter parallel-group study comparing the incidence of cardiovascular events between two target systolic blood pressure levels, below 140 mmHg and below 150 mmHg, under treatment with valsartan, an angiotensin II receptor blocker, as an initial antihypertensive drug in elderly patients with isolated systolic hypertension. The number of patients to be recruited is 3,000 and the duration of follow-up is at least 2 years. This 3,000-patient trial was designed with a two-sided alpha level of 0.05 and 80% power to detect the difference in incidence of cardiovascular events between the target blood pressure levels based on estimation of the cardiovascular events ratio as 21.5/1,000 patient-years and 29.1/1,000 patient-years for the two blood pressure levels. The VALISH study, a large-scale investigator-initiated trial in Japan, will determine whether age should be considered in setting target blood pressure in treatment of isolated systolic hypertension in elderly patients.     

Usefulness of total cholesterol/HDL-cholesterol ratio in the management of diabetic dyslipidaemia.

AIMS: Our aim was to evaluate the usefulness of the total cholesterol/HDL-cholesterol ratio (TC/HDL) in predicting the cardiovascular risk of Type 2 diabetic patients. METHODS: Prospective cohort study with inclusion of 418 Type 2 diabetic individuals with follow-up until the appearance of a cardiovascular event. The predictive power of updated mean lipid values during follow-up was analysed by means of Cox proportional hazard models. An estimate was made of the relative risk (RR) conferred by high levels of TC/HDL stratified by LDL-cholesterol levels. RESULTS: Sixty-six cardiovascular events occurred during an average follow-up of 4.7 years (sd 1.5). The main lipid predictor of vascular events was mean TC/HDL ratio [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.46; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25, 1.7; P < 0.0001]. In the multivariate model with simultaneous inclusion of mean TC/HDL and mean LDL-cholesterol, both were significant predictors of cardiovascular disease [HR (1 unit) = 1.37; 95% CI 1.16, 1.62; P = 0.0003 and HR (1 mmol/l) = 1.5; 95% CI 1.04, 2.18; P = 0.03, respectively]. The LDL adjusted RR for cardiovascular events due to high TC/HDL ratio, with 4.5 cut-off point, was 2.5 (95% CI 1.4, 4.3; P = 0.0007). For the stratum of subjects with average LDL cholesterol < 3.5 mmol/l, RR was 1.2 (95% CI 0.5, 2.8; P = NS) and for the stratum of average LDL cholesterol > 3.5 mmol/l, RR was 4 (95% CI 1.8, 9; P = 0.00013), with heterogeneity among strata (P = 0.044). CONCLUSIONS: It could be useful to include the TC/HDL ratio in treatment guides for diabetic dyslipidaemia, given their high predictive value and strong interaction with LDL cholesterol.     

Causes of Death and Influencing Factors in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

Background

Atrial fibrillation is associated with a higher mortality, but causes of death of atrial fibrillation patients and their specific predictors have been less well defined. We aimed to identify the causes of death among atrial fibrillation patients and secondly, clinical predictors for the different modes of deaths.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with atrial fibrillation in a four-hospital institution between 2000 and 2010 were identified. During a follow-up of 929 ± 1082 days (median 456, interquartile 10-1584), 1253 deaths were recorded (yearly rate 5.5%).

Results

Cardiovascular deaths accounted for 54% and noncardiovascular for 43%. The three main causes of death were heart failure (29%), infection (18%), and cancer (12%). Fatal stroke or fatal bleeding each accounted for 7% of all deaths. On multivariate analysis, the strongest predictors of death were permanent atrial fibrillation, heart failure (whether with decreased or with preserved ejection fraction), previous bleeding, and renal failure, which were independently associated with an increase in the risk of all-cause mortality (35%, 78%, 42%, and 79%, respectively), cardiovascular mortality (43%, 129%, 46%, and 93%, respectively), and noncardiovascular mortality (21%, 45%, 40%, and 50%, respectively). Oral anticoagulant use was independently associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.54-0.71; P <.0001), cardiovascular mortality (HR 0.60; 95% CI, 0.49-0.72; P <.0001), and noncardiovascular mortality (HR 0.60; 95% CI, 0.49-0.74; P <.0001).

Conclusions

The majority of deaths were related to a cardiovascular origin, and heart failure was the most common cause of death in atrial fibrillation patients. Despite the high risk of stroke associated with atrial fibrillation, only 7% died from stroke. Optimization of management of any underlying heart disease and associated comorbidities should be a relevant therapeutic target to reduce total mortality in atrial fibrillation patients.     

Higher prevalence of cardiovascular events among patients with abnormal atrial depolarization and coronary artery disease at 18 months' post-exercise tolerance testing

Abnormal atrial depolarization, denoted as interatrial block (IAB; P wave >110 ms), is associated with myocardial ischemia during exercise. The authors conducted an 18-month follow-up for cardiovascular events in 31 consecutive patients with IAB and 60 controls without IAB at rest; participants had coronary artery disease and hypertension and had undergone coronary angiography following positive exercise tolerance test (ETT) results. Atrial fibrillation and need for repeat ETT and coronary artery revascularization were significant with IAB (77.4% vs 20%; P<.001). In patients with such events, IAB, left atrial dilatation, left ventricular hypertrophy, increased left ventricular end-diastolic volume, poorer Duke prognostic treadmill (DPT) scores, and significant coronary artery stenoses were predominant. IAB (hazard ratio [HR], 4.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3-19.7; P=.02) and DPT scores (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.72-0.98; P=.03) were independently associated with these events. At 18 months' follow-up, IAB at rest was associated with cardiovascular events among those with known coronary artery disease and hypertension.     

Clinical trials in isolated systolic hypertension

Isolated systolic hypertension affects 8% to 15% of all people older than 60 years of age. In the elderly, systolic hypertension is the major modifiable cardiovascular risk factor. Three placebo-controlled outcome trials on antihypertensive drug treatment of this disorder have been published. This article briefly reviews the main findings of each of these three trials and presents pooled estimates of the benefit of antihypertensive drug treatment for elderly patients with isolated systolic hypertension. A total of 11,825 patients were enrolled in the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP, n =4736), the Systolic Hypertension in Europe (Syst-Eur, n =4695), and the Systolic Hypertension in China (Syst-China, n =2394) trials. The outcome results of these trials were pooled by calculating the common odds ratio for active versus placebo treatment. The pooled results of the outcome trials in older patients with isolated systolic hypertension prove that antihypertensive drug treatment must be prescribed if, on repeated measurement, systolic blood pressure is 160 mm Hg or higher.     

Overview of the outcome trials in older patients with isolated systolic hypertension

AIMS: Isolated systolic hypertension affects over 8 to 15% of all subjects older than 60 years. In the elderly, systolic hypertension is the major modifiable cardiovascular risk factor. Three placebo-controlled outcome trials on antihypertensive drug treatment of this disorder have been published. The aim of this article was to shortly review each of these three trials and to present the pooled estimates of benefit of antihypertensive drug treatment in isolated systolic hypertension in the elderly. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP) in the United States, the Systolic Hypertension in Europe (Syst-Eur) trial and the Systolic Hypertension in China (Syst-China) trial published their main findings in 1991, 1997 and 1998, respectively. The outcome results of these trials were pooled by calculating the common odds ratio for active versus placebo treatment for five major end-points. Zelen's exact test for homogeneity did not reach statistical significance for any of the end-points considered. Thus, the hypothesis of a common underlying treatment effect across the three trials was not rejected. Overall, active treatment compared with placebo, reduced all-cause mortality by 17%, cardiovascular mortality by 25%, all cardiovascular end-points by 32%, total stroke by 37% and myocardial infarction including sudden death by 25%. CONCLUSIONS: The pooled results of the outcome trials in older patients with isolated systolic hypertension prove that antihypertensive drug treatment must be prescribed, if on repeated measurement systolic blood pressure is 160 mm Hg or higher.     

Benefits of antihypertensive drug treatment in elderly patients with isolated systolic hypertension

Isolated systolic hypertension affects over 15% of all people older than 60 years. In the elderly, systolic hypertension is a major modifiable cardiovascular risk factor. Systolic blood pressure is associated with higher risk of an adverse outcome, whereas diastolic blood pressure is inversely correlated with total mortality, independent of systolic blood pressure, highlighting the role of pulse pressure as risk factor. Three placebo-controlled outcome trials on antihypertensive drug treatment in older patients with isolated systolic hypertension have been published: the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP), the Systolic Hypertension in Europe (Syst-Eur) Trial and the Systolic Hypertension in China (Syst-China) Trial. These three trials demonstrated the benefit of antihypertensive drug treatment. A meta-analysis was performed by pooling the patients from these three trials with a subset of patients with isolated systolic hypertension from five other trials in the elderly. Antihypertensive treatment based on a calcium-channel blocker may provide additional benefits in diabetic patients and in the prevention of dementia and renal dysfunction. The pooled results of 15693 older patients with isolated systolic hypertension prove that antihypertensive drug treatment is justified if on repeated clinic measurements systolic blood pressure is 160 mmHg or higher.     

Catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation is associated with reduced risk of mortality in the elderly: a prospective cohort study and propensity score analysis

BackgroundIt is unclear whether catheter ablation (CA) for atrial fibrillation (AF) affects the long-term prognosis in the elderly. This study aims to evaluate the relationship between CA and long-term outcomes in elderly patients with AF.MethodsPatients more than 75 years old with non-valvular AF were prospectively enrolled between August 2011 and December 2017 in the Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry Study. Participants who underwent CA at baseline were propensity score matched (1:1) with those who did not receive CA. The outcome events included all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA), and cardiovascular hospitalization.ResultsOverall, this cohort included 571 ablated patients and 571 non-ablated patients with similar characteristics on 18 dimensions. During a mean follow-up of 39.75 ± 19.98 months (minimum six months), 24 patients died in the ablation group, compared with 60 deaths in the non-ablation group [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.49, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.30-0.79, P = 0.0024]. Besides, 6 ablated and 29 non-ablated subjects died of cardiovascular disease (HR = 0.25, 95% CI: 0.11–0.61, P = 0.0022). A total of 27 ablated and 40 non-ablated patients suffered stroke/TIA (HR = 0.79, 95% CI: 0.48–1.28, P = 0.3431). In addition, 140 ablated and 194 non-ablated participants suffered cardiovascular hospitalization (HR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.67–1.04, P = 0.1084). Subgroup analyses according to gender, type of AF, time since onset of AF, and anticoagulants exposure in initiation did not show significant heterogeneity.ConclusionsIn elderly patients with AF, CA may be associated with a lower incidence of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.     

Quality of life on randomized treatment for isolated systolic hypertension: results from the Syst-Eur Trial

OBJECTIVE: To compare quality of life in elderly patients with isolated systolic hypertension allocated randomly to groups to receive placebo or active treatment in the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Trial. DESIGN: Double-blind randomized controlled trial. METHODS: Patients aged 60 years were allocated randomly to groups to receive first-line treatment with nitrendipine (with second- and third-line enalapril and hydrochlorothiazide) or placebo. Trained interviewers administered trail-making tests (Trail A and B), Brief Assessment Index (a measure of depressed mood) and four subscales from the Sickness Impact Profile (Ambulation, Social Interaction, Sleep and Rest, and Home work). RESULTS: Six hundred and ten patients completed a baseline and at least one follow-up questionnaire. Trail-making scores were slower in actively treated patients, especially in the first 6 months of follow-up when the between-group effect sizes were 0.25 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.07 to 0.43] for Trail-making A and 0.13 (95% CI -0.05 to 0.31) for Trail-making B. Across the 4 years of follow-up, patients receiving active treatment were more likely to report problems on the Social Interaction scale than were placebo-treated patients (odds ratio 1.32, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.69), equivalent to a 7% difference. There were no significant differences between active and placebo treatment in the other Sickness Impact Profile dimensions or in the measure of depression. CONCLUSIONS: Active treatment in the Systolic Hypertension in Europe trial was associated with some small adverse impacts on quality of life.     

Presence and development of atrial fibrillation in chronic heart failure. Experiences from the MERIT-HF Study

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation is common in heart failure, but data regarding beta-blockade in these patients and its ability to prevent new occurrence of atrial fibrillation are scarce. METHODS: Baseline ECGs in MERIT-HF were coded regarding baseline rhythm, and outcome was analyzed in relation to rhythm. Occurrence of atrial fibrillation during follow-up was also analyzed. RESULTS: At baseline atrial fibrillation was diagnosed in 556 patients (13.9%). Mean metoprolol CR/XL dose in patients in atrial fibrillation (154 mg) and sinus rhythm (158 mg) was similar, as well as decrease in heart rate (14.8 and 13.7 bpm, respectively). Only 61 (total of 362) deaths occurred in those in atrial fibrillation at baseline, 31 on placebo and 30 on metoprolol (RR 1.0; 95% CI 0.61-1.65). During follow-up, new atrial fibrillation was observed in 85 patients on placebo and 47 patients on metoprolol (RR 0.53; 95% CI 0.37-0.76; p=0.0005). CONCLUSION: First, given the wide confidence interval, it was impossible to detect an interaction between metoprolol and mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation and heart failure. Second, in patients with sinus rhythm at baseline, metoprolol reduced the incidence of atrial fibrillation during follow-up. However, we must be extremely cautious in over-interpreting effects in these subgroups.     

Rate-control versus Rhythm-control Strategies and Outcomes in Septuagenarians with Atrial Fibrillation

Background

The prevalence of atrial fibrillation substantially increases after 70 years of age. However, the effect of rate-control versus rhythm-control strategies on outcomes in these patients remains unclear.

Methods

In the randomized Atrial Fibrillation Follow-up Investigation of Rhythm Management (AFFIRM) trial, 4060 patients (mean age 70 years, range 49-80 years) with paroxysmal and persistent atrial fibrillation were randomized to rate-control versus rhythm-control strategies. Of these, 2248 were 70-80 years, of whom 1118 were in the rate-control group. Propensity scores for rate-control strategy were estimated for each of the 2248 patients and were used to assemble a cohort of 937 pairs of patients receiving rate-control versus rhythm-control strategies, balanced on 45 baseline characteristics.

Results

Matched patients had a mean age of 75 years; 45% were women, 7% were nonwhite, and 47% had prior hospitalizations due to arrhythmias. During 3.4 years of mean follow-up, all-cause mortality occurred in 18% and 23% of matched patients in the rate-control and rhythm-control groups, respectively (hazard ratio [HR] associated with rate control, 0.77; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.63-0.94; P = .010). HRs (95% CIs) for cardiovascular and noncardiovascular mortality associated with rate control were 0.88 (0.65-1.18) and 0.62 (0.46-0.84), respectively. All-cause hospitalization occurred in 61% and 68% of rate-control and rhythm-control patients, respectively (HR 0.76; 95% CI, 0.68-0.86). HRs (95% CIs) for cardiovascular and noncardiovascular hospitalization were 0.66 (0.56-0.77) and 1.07 (0.91-1.27), respectively.

Conclusion

In septuagenarian patients with atrial fibrillation, compared with rhythm-control, a rate-control strategy was associated with significantly lower mortality and hospitalization.     

Incident stroke after discharge from the hospital with a diagnosis of atrial fibrillation

PURPOSE: Atrial fibrillation is an important risk factor for stroke. We analyzed stroke risk over time in patients discharged from the hospital with a diagnosis of incident atrial fibrillation as compared with the risk of stroke in the Danish population. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: In a random sample of half of the Danish population, we identified 13,625 men and 13,577 women, aged 50 to 89 years, with a hospital diagnosis of atrial fibrillation and no prior diagnosis of stroke during 1980 to 1993. Data on other medical conditions were also available from 1977 to 1993, but medication data were not available. Patients were followed from the diagnosis of atrial fibrillation until the first diagnosis of stroke (nonfatal or fatal cerebral ischemic infarct and cerebral hemorrhage), death, or the end of 1993. The risk of stroke in these patients was compared with the risk in the Danish population using Poisson regression modeling to estimate relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: For men with atrial fibrillation, the stroke rates increased by age, from 13 per 1,000 person-years in those ages 50 to 59 years, to 22 per 1,000 person-years in those ages 60 to 69 years, to 42 per 1,000 person-years in those ages 70 to 79 years, to 51 per 1,000 person-years in those ages 80 to 89 years. Age-specific stroke rates were similar in women with atrial fibrillation. Patients with a hospital diagnosis of atrial fibrillation had an increased risk of stroke (RR = 2.4; 95% CI, 2.3 to 2.5 in men and RR = 3.0; 95% CI, 2.9 to 3.2 in women) compared with the Danish population. Stroke risk was greatest during the first year after discharge and decreased thereafter. Hypertension, diabetes, and peripheral atherosclerosis were also associated with an increased risk of stroke among patients with atrial fibrillation. Ischemic heart disease and heart failure were risk factors in men only. There was no reduction in the risk of stroke from 1980 to 1993. CONCLUSIONS: Men and women with atrial fibrillation are at a substantially increased risk of stroke, particularly in the first year after the diagnosis.