Prognostic factors associated with long-term survival in previously untreated metastatic renal cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: To identify prognostic factors (PF) for long-term survival in metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC) patients. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed a metastatic RCC database at the Cleveland Clinic Foundation consisting of 358 previously untreated patients who were enrolled in institutional review board-approved clinical trials of immunotherapy and/or chemotherapy at our institution from 1987 to 2002. In order to identify patient characteristics associated with long-term survival, we compared 226 'short-term' survivors [defined as overall survival (OS) <2 years] with 31 'long-term' survivors (OS >or=5 years). RESULTS: Using logistic regression models, four adverse PF were identified as independent predictors of long-term survival: hemoglobin less than the lower limit of normal, greater than two metastatic sites, involved kidney (left), and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS). Using the number of poor prognostic features present, three distinct risk groups could be identified. Patients with 0 or 1 adverse prognostic feature present had an observed likelihood of long-term survival of 32% (21/66) compared with 9% (8/91) for patients with two adverse features present and only 1% (1/93) for patients with more than two adverse features. CONCLUSIONS: Independent predictors of long-term survival in previously untreated metastatic RCC include baseline hemoglobin level, number of involved sites, involved kidney, and ECOG PS. Incorporation of these factors into a simple prognostic scoring system enables three distinct groups of patients to be identified.     

Clinicopathological and prognostic factors for long-term survival in Chinese patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma treated with sorafenib: a single-center retrospective study

Data on long-term survival and prognostic significance of demographic factors and adverse events (AEs) associated with sorafenib, an orally administered multikinase inhibitor in Chinese population with advanced renal cell carcinoma (RCC) are limited. Outcome data from adult patients (n = 256) with advanced RCC who received sorafenib (400 mg twice daily) either as first-line or second-line therapy between April 2006 and May 2013 were analyzed retrospectively. The primary endpoint was median overall survival (OS), determined to be 22.2 (95% CI: 17.1–27.4) months, and the secondary endpoint was overall median progression-free survival (PFS), determined to be 13.6 (95% CI: 10.7–16.4) months at a median follow-up time of 61.8 (95% CI: 16.2–97.4) months. Analysis of the incidence of AEs revealed the most common side effect as hand-foot skin reactions (60.5%) followed by diarrhea (38.7%), fatigue (35.5%), alopecia (34.0%), rash (24.6%), hypertension (21.5%) and gingival hemorrhage (21.1%). Multivariate regression analysis revealed older age (≥ 58 years), lower Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center score, time from nephrectomy to sorafenib treatment, number of metastatic tumors and best response as significant and independent demographic predictors for improved PFS and/or OS (p ≤ 0.05). Alopecia was identified as a significant and independent predictor of increased OS, whereas vomiting and weight loss were identified as significant predictors of decreased OS (p ≤ 0.05). Sorafenib significantly improved OS and PFS in Chinese patients with advanced RCC. Considering the identified significant prognostic demographic factors along with the advocated prognostic manageable AEs while identifying treatment strategy may help clinicians select the best treatment modality and better predict survival in these patients.     

Prognostic factors for survival in 1059 patients treated with sunitinib for metastatic renal cell carcinoma

Background:

Prognostic factors for progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and long-term OS (⩾30 months) were investigated in sunitinib-treated patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC).

Methods:

Data were pooled from 1059 patients in six trials. Baseline variables, including ethnicity, were analysed for prognostic significance by Cox proportional-hazards model.

Results:

Median PFS and OS were 9.7 and 23.4 months, respectively. Multivariate analysis of PFS and OS identified independent predictors, including ethnic origin, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, time from diagnosis to treatment, prior cytokine use, haemoglobin, lactate dehydrogenase, corrected calcium, neutrophils, platelets, and bone metastases (OS only). Characteristics of long-term survivors (n=215, 20%) differed from those of non-long-term survivors; independent predictors of long-term OS included ethnic origin, bone metastases, and corrected calcium. There were no differences in PFS (10.5 vs 7.2 months; P=0.1006) or OS (23.8 vs 21.4 months; P=0.2135) in white vs Asian patients; however, there were significant differences in PFS (10.5 vs 5.7 months; P<0.001) and OS (23.8 vs 17.4 months; P=0.0319) in white vs non-white, non-Asian patients.

Conclusion:

These analyses identified risk factors to survival with sunitinib, including potential ethnic-based differences, and validated risk factors previously reported in advanced RCC.     

Prognostic factors differ by tumor stage for small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND:

An analysis of 14 small cell lung cancer (SCLC) trials was performed to improve the current understanding of potential prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and progression‐free survival (PFS) in groups of patients with limited‐stage disease SCLC (LD‐SCLC) and extensive‐stage disease SCLC (ED‐SCLC) separately.

METHODS:

Data on 688 patients with LD‐SCLC and 910 patients with ED‐SCLC were included. Clinical and laboratory factors were tested for their prognostic significance using Cox regression models that were stratified by protocol. Recursive partitioning and amalgamation (RPA) analyses were used to identify prognostic subgroups.

RESULTS:

Poorer performance status (PS) led to worse OS and PFS in the ED‐SCLC group but not in the LD‐SCLC group. The prognostic impact of PS was strong for men but weak for women in the ED‐SCLC group (interaction P value <.012 for OS and PFS). Other negative prognostic factors included increased age and men for the LD‐SCLC group and increased age, men, increased number of metastatic sites at baseline, and increased creatinine levels for the ED‐SCLC group. In patients with the ED‐SCLC, RPA analyses identified 5 subgroups with different prognosis based on baseline PS, creatinine levels, sex, and the number of metastatic sites.

CONCLUSIONS:

The current pooled analysis identified baseline creatinine levels and the number of metastatic sites as important prognostic factors in patients with ED‐SCLC in addition to the well established factors of sex, age, and PS. There was a significant interaction between sex and PS within the ED‐SCLC group, suggesting that PS is highly prognostic in men but has no significant impact in women. Within the LD‐SCLC group, only age and sex were identified as important prognostic factors. RPA analyses confirmed many of these findings. Cancer 2009. © 2009 American Cancer Society.     

A systematic review of predictive and prognostic biomarkers for VEGF-targeted therapy in renal cell carcinoma

Background

Vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF)-targeted therapy is the currently standard treatment for advanced and metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC). Multiple candidate predictive and prognostic biomarkers have been evaluated. We performed a systematic review and graded the available evidence on the biomarkers for VEGF-targeted therapy in RCC.

Methods

We conducted an independent review of PubMed and ASCO databases up to August 2013. Studies were included if biomarkers obtained from metastatic clear-cell RCC patients treated with the FDA-approved VEGF-targeted therapy were assessed for their correlation with clinical outcomes. We graded the studies and determined the Level-of-evidence for each biomarker using a previously published framework.

Results

A total of 50 articles were selected for this review. Seven studies assessed the predictive value of biomarkers using the archived specimens from randomized controlled trials. Five predictive biomarkers, such as VEGF, interleukin (IL)-6, hepatocyte growth factor (HGF), osteopontin, single nucleotide polymorphisms in IL-8, satisfied Level II evidence. IL-6 is the most corroborated predictive biomarker based on its consistent predictive value in two different trials. The prognostic value of biomarkers was assessed in 48 studies using the archived specimens from clinical trials, prospective and retrospective observational registries. Three biomarkers, including IL-8, HGF and osteopontin, satisfied Level I evidence for PFS.

Conclusion

Though several promising predictive biomarkers for VEGF-targeted therapy have been found, none of them has satisfied the determination of Level I evidence. A more focused development of biomarkers with prospective assessment in clinical trials and clear intent of use in clinical practice is needed.     

Prognostic factors for progression-free and overall survival with sunitinib targeted therapy and with cytokine as first-line therapy in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma

BackgroundAnalysis of prognostic factors for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) was performed using final data from a randomized phase III trial of sunitinib versus interferon-α (IFN-α) as first-line metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC) therapy.DesignA multivariate Cox regression model analyzed baseline variables for prognostic significance. Each variable was investigated univariately and then multivariately using a stepwise algorithm.ResultsEach treatment arm comprised 375 patients. For sunitinib, multivariate analysis of PFS identified five independent predictors, including serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level, presence of ≥2 metastatic sites, no prior nephrectomy, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status, and baseline platelet count, while multivariate analysis of OS identified serum LDH level, corrected serum calcium level, time from diagnosis to treatment, hemoglobin level, ECOG performance status, and presence of bone metastasis as predictors. For IFN-α, LDH level and presence of ≥2 metastatic sites were common predictors of PFS to those for sunitinib, as were all predictors of OS except ECOG status.ConclusionsThis analysis identified prognostic factors for PFS and OS with sunitinib as first-line metastatic RCC therapy and confirmed that the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center model is applicable in the era of targeted therapy.     

Prognostic factors for overall survival in patients with metastatic colorectal carcinoma treated with vascular endothelial growth factor-targeting agents

Objective: Angiogenesis represents a key element in the pathogenesis of malignancy. There are no robust data on prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer treated with vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF)-targeted therapy. The present study was conducted to establish a prognostic model for patients using an oxaliplatin-based or irinotecan-based chemotherapy plus bevacizumab in metastatic colorectal cancer. Methods: Baseline characteristics and outcomes on 170 patients treated with FOLFIRI or XELOX plus anti-VEGF therapy-naïve metastatic colorectal cancer were collected from three Turkey cancer centers. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify independent prognostic factors for OS. Results: The median OS for the whole cohort was 19 months (95% CI, 14.3 to 23.6 months). Three of the seven adverse prognostic factors according to the Anatolian Society of Medical Oncology (ASMO) were independent predictors of short survival: serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) greater than the upper limit of normal (ULN; p<0.001); neutrophils greater than the ULN (p<0.0014); and progression free survival (PFS) less than 6 months (p =0.001). Conclusion: Serum LDH and neutrophil levels were the main prognostic factors in predicting survival, followed by PFS. This model validates incorporation of components of the ASMO model into patient care and clinical trials that use VEGF-targeting agents.     

Thrombocytosis as a prognostic factor for survival in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND: It has been suggested that thrombocytosis, as defined by a platelet count >400,000/microL, is a negative predictor for survival among patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma. However, this has not been a uniform finding. METHODS: To address this issue, retrospective analysis of 700 previously untreated patients entering on institution review board-approved phase 1, 2, or 3 clinical trials in the United States and Europe was conducted between 1982 and 2002. RESULTS: Thrombocytosis was present at study entry in 25% of patients. Median baseline platelet count was 304,000/microL (range, 86-1,420,000/microL). Eighty-seven percent of patients died with a median survival of 13.0 months. Median follow-up for patients not known to have died was 2.4 years. On univariate analysis, patients with elevated platelet counts had significantly shorter survival than patients with normal platelet counts; median survivals of 8.4 and 14.6 months, respectively, P < .001. However, platelet count was associated with several clinical and biochemical factors, including gender, age, performance status, time from diagnosis to study entry, prior radiotherapy or nephrectomy, presence of liver metastasis, number of metastatic sites, amount of hemoglobin, white blood cell count, amount of lactate dehydrogenase, and amount of serum alkaline phosphatase. Several of these factors have previously been reported as prognostic indicators for survival, and, therefore, multivariable analyses were conducted to determine whether thrombocytosis is an independent predictor of survival. After adjusting for multiple factors, thrombocytosis continued to impact negatively on survival, P < .001. CONCLUSIONS: Thrombocytosis was found to be an independent prognostic factor for survival in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma.     

Survival and prognostic stratification of 670 patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: To identify prognostic factors and a model predictive for survival in patients with metastatic renal-cell carcinoma (RCC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: The relationship between pretreatment clinical features and survival was studied in 670 patients with advanced RCC treated in 24 Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center clinical trials between 1975 and 1996. Clinical features were first examined univariately. A stepwise modeling approach based on Cox proportional hazards regression was then used to form a multivariate model. The predictive performance of the model was internally validated through a two-step nonparametric bootstrapping process. RESULTS: The median survival time was 10 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 9 to 11 months). Fifty-seven of 670 patients remain alive, and the median follow-up time for survivors was 33 months. Pretreatment features associated with a shorter survival in the multivariate analysis were low Karnofsky performance status (<80%), high serum lactate dehydrogenase (> 1.5 times upper limit of normal), low hemoglobin (< lower limit of normal), high "corrected" serum calcium (> 10 mg/dL), and absence of prior nephrectomy. These were used as risk factors to categorize patients into three different groups. The median time to death in the 25% of patients with zero risk factors (favorable-risk) was 20 months. Fifty-three percent of the patients had one or two risk factors (intermediate-risk), and the median survival time in this group was 10 months. Patients with three or more risk factors (poor-risk), who comprised 22% of the patients, had a median survival time of 4 months. CONCLUSIONS: Five prognostic factors for predicting survival were identified and used to categorize patients with metastatic RCC into three risk groups, for which the median survival times were separated by 6 months or more. These risk categories can be used in clinical trial design and interpretation and in patient management. The low long-term survival rate emphasizes the priority of clinical investigation to identify more effective therapy.     

Prognostic/predictive value of 207 serum factors in colorectal cancer treated with cediranib and/or chemotherapy

Background:

The prognostic and predictive value of multiple serum biomarkers was evaluated using samples from a randomised phase III study (HORIZON II) investigating chemotherapy with or without cediranib in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC).

Methods:

Baseline levels of 207 protein markers were measured in serum samples from 582 HORIZON II (FOLFOX/XELOX plus cediranib 20 mg (n=330) or placebo (n=252)) patients. Median baseline values of each biomarker were used to categorise patients as high or low. Markers were then assessed for their association with efficacy, defined by progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). A generalised boosted regression model identified markers of particular interest.

Results:

Correlation of protein levels with PFS and OS suggested that multiple factors had a prognostic value, independent of treatment arm, including IL-6, IL-8, C-reactive protein (CRP), ICAM-1 and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). Among the angiogenesis regulators, low levels of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), VEGF-D, VEGFR-1, VEGFR-3, NRP1 and Tie-2 correlated with better outcome.

Conclusion:

This large data set generated using serum samples from mCRC patients treated with chemotherapy and VEGF inhibitors, defines baseline characteristics for 207 serum proteins. Multiple prognostic factors were identified that could be disease related or predict which patients derive most benefit from 5-fluorouracil (5-FU)-based chemotherapy, meriting further exploration in prospective studies.     

Validation and extension of the Memorial Sloan-Kettering prognostic factors model for survival in patients with previously untreated metastatic renal cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: To validate the Motzer et al prognostic factors model for survival in patients with previously untreated metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC) and to identify additional independent prognostic factors. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data were collected on 353 previously untreated metastatic RCC patients enrolled onto clinical trials between 1987 and 2002. RESULTS: Four of the five prognostic factors identified by Motzer were independent predictors of survival. In addition, prior radiotherapy and presence of hepatic, lung, and retroperitoneal nodal metastases were found to be independent prognostic factors. Using the number of metastatic sites as surrogate for individual sites (none or one v two or three sites), Motzer's definitions of risk groups were expanded to accommodate these two additional prognostic factors. Using this expanded criteria, favorable risk is defined as zero or one poor prognostic factor, intermediate risk is two poor prognostic factors, and poor risk is more than two poor prognostic factors. According to Motzer's definitions, 19% of patients were favorable risk, 70% were intermediate risk, and 11% were poor risk; median overall survival times for these groups were 28.6, 14.6, and 4.5 months, respectively (P < .0001). Using the expanded criteria, 37% of patients were favorable risk, 35% were intermediate risk, and 28% were poor risk; median overall survival times of these groups were 26.0, 14.4, and 7.3 months, respectively (P < .0001). CONCLUSION: These data validate the model described by Motzer et al. Additional independent prognostic factors identified were prior radiotherapy and sites of metastasis. Incorporation of these additional prognostic factors into the Motzer et al model can help better define favorable risk, intermediate risk, and poor risk patients.     

Long-Term Response to Sunitinib Therapy for Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma

BackgroundSunitinib achieves objective response and prolongs progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC). A subset of patients achieves long-term responses. The characteristics of patients who achieved long-term response (defined as patients achieving ongoing complete response [CR] or remaining progression free for > 18 months while receiving sunitinib) are reported.Patients and MethodsA database of 186 patients treated with sunitinib alone (n = 89) or in combination (n = 97) in 9 clinical trials was reviewed; all had 1 year or more follow-up from sunitinib start to data cutoff for analysis. Median PFS was 10.8 months (95% CI, 8.3-13.3); median overall survival (OS) was 30.4 months (95% CI, 21.5-36.8 months) for the 186 patients. Thirty-four patients were identified as long-term responders because they either had durable CR or remained progression free while receiving sunitinib for > 18 months.ResultsBest response for 34 long-term responders was CR in 3 patients, partial response (PR) in 24 patients, and stable disease in 7 patients. The median duration of sunitinib therapy was 24.9 months (range, 18.1-73.9 months). The median PFS among the long-term responders was 17.4 months (95% CI, 7-29.9 months) at a landmark PFS analysis performed after 18 months from treatment start. Univariate analysis from the 186 patients identified bone metastasis, lung metastasis, and intermediate/poor risk groups as adverse prognostic factors for long-term response.ConclusionSunitinib achieves long-term response in a subset of patients with metastatic RCC. Lack of bone metastasis or lung metastasis and good MSKCC risk status may predict long-term response.     

Predicting outcome to VEGF-targeted therapy in metastatic clear-cell renal cell carcinoma: data from recent studies

Attempts to predict outcome in patients with metastatic clear-cell renal cell carcinoma (RCC) have conventionally been based on pretherapy clinical factors such as performance status, disease-free interval, number of metastatic sites and several laboratory variables. These factors were developed before the era of VEGF-targeted therapy. Recent analysis from trials with anti-VEGF agents indicate that these factors continue to be of major importance in patient prognostication. Additionally, several serum and molecular markers, many of which relate to certain alterations of the von Hippel-Lindau pathway, are currently being investigated. Responses to VEGF-targeted agents appear to be related to a greater modulation of serum VEGF and soluble VEGF receptor levels. The impact of von Hippel-Lindau gene status on response to VEGF-targeted therapy was tested in a large study and was not found to predict a higher response rate to these agents. However, a subset of von Hippel-Lindau mutations that predict a 'loss of function' of the von Hippel-Lindau gene seem to have the best response to these agents. Future prognostic models will incorporate molecular markers with clinical variables to refine prognosis and prediction in metastatic clear-cell RCC patients treated with novel VEGF-targeted agents. These models, if externally and prospectively validated, will culminate in the rational selection of patients for specific VEGF-directed therapeutics.     

Prognostic factors for survival in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma treated with targeted therapies

Background:

The most important prognostic factors for survival in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) were evaluated in the era of cytokine therapy, and only recently were revalidating in patients receiving targeted therapies (TTs).

Methods:

Clinical data for consecutive patients with mRCC who received TTs were retrieved from the database of Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori of Milan. Variables with a significant association with overall survival (OS) were estimated by proportional hazard regression, and a backward stepwise multivariate analysis identified the independent prognostic factors.

Results:

Data for 336 consecutive patients treated with TTs for RCC during the period 2004–2011 were evaluated. According to the Motzer classification, 32% patients were low risk, 48% were intermediate risk and 20% were poor risk. One hundred and sixty-seven (49.7%) patients received one TT, 116 (34.5%) received a second-line TT, 42 (12.5%) a third-line TT and 11 (3.3%) patients received a fourth-line TT. The median OS was 24 months (95% CI 20.0, 27.0) and the 5-year OS rate was 24.6% (95% CI 18.7, 30.8%). In the uni- and multivariate analysis Motzer risk classification, Fuhrman grade and previous cytokine therapy were identified as independent prognostic factors (P<0.01).

Conclusion:

The Motzer classification was confirmed as an independent prognostic factor for OS in patients with mRCC receiving TTs. Additionally, Fuhrman grade and previous cytokine therapy were independent prognostic factors for clinical outcome.     

局部晚期及转移性食管鳞癌免疫治疗现状分析

  目的  免疫治疗被批准用于晚期食管鳞癌（esophageal squamous cell carcinoma,ESCC）的二线治疗,但临床研究由于其严格的入排标准不能完全反映真实世界的情况。本研究旨在分析局部晚期和转移性ESCC免疫治疗现状,并探索可能影响预后的因素。  方法  纳入2018年1月至2020年11月在北京大学肿瘤肿瘤医院接受免疫治疗的局部晚期及转移性ESCC患者,分析临床病理资料、治疗情况、疗效、不良反应和无进展生存期（progression-free survival,PFS）。  结果  本研究纳入33例ESCC患者,其中1例合并强制性脊柱炎。患者均接受程序性细胞死亡抑制剂治疗,最常用的药物为信迪利单抗（17/33,52%）。25例（76%）接受免疫联合治疗,包括联合化疗或抗血管靶向治疗。接受一线、二线和三线及以上治疗的ESCC患者分别为19例（58%）、10例（30%）和4例（12%）。1~2级和3~4级治疗相关不良反应发生率分别为64%（21/33）和27%（9/33）。11例（33%）发生免疫相关性不良反应（immune-related adverse events,irAEs）,包括皮疹5例,甲状腺功能减退4例,免疫性肝炎2例,免疫性肠炎2例,反应性毛细血管增生症2例,免疫性肺炎1例。4例irAEs影响免疫治疗使用,其中3例采用类固醇激素治疗。总体客观缓解率为36%（12/33）。中位PFS为9.17个月（95%CI8.23~ 10.11）。多因素分析显示基线白细胞计数（P=0.010）、免疫治疗线数（P=0.004）、免疫治疗疗效（P=0.049）是PFS的独立影响因子。  结论  免疫治疗在晚期ESCC的临床实践中,药物选择和治疗模式更加多样,但是依然产生良好的疗效。早期应用免疫治疗有效患者可以获得更长的PFS,而白细胞计数升高可能为不良预后因素,未来需扩大人群进一步验证。      

A new prognostic classification for overall survival in Asian patients with previously untreated metastatic renal cell carcinoma

The aims of the present study were to: (i) develop a clinically useful prognostic classification in Asian patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC) by combining metastatic features with several pretreatment parameters; and (ii) evaluate the validity of this prognostic classification. Baseline characteristics and outcomes were collected for 361 patients who underwent interferon‐α‐based therapy between 1995 and 2005. Relationships between overall survival (OS) and potential prognostic factors were assessed using Cox's proportional hazard model. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated using bootstrap resampling procedures and by using an independent dataset obtained from randomly selected institutions. The predictive accuracy was measured using the concordance index (c‐index). Four factors were identified as independent prognostic factors: time from initial diagnosis to treatment, anemia, elevated lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and poor prognostic metastatic group (liver only, bone only, or multiple organ metastases). Each patient was assigned to one of three risk groups: favorable risk (none or one factor; n = 120), in which median OS was 51 months; intermediate risk (two factors; n = 101), in which median OS was 21 months; and poor risk (three or four factors; n = 102), in which median OS was 10 months. The c‐index was 0.72 in the original dataset and 0.72 in 500 random bootstrap samples. In the independent dataset for external validation, the c‐index was 0.73. Thus, the new prognostic classification is easily applicable for Asian patients with previously untreated metastatic RCC and should be incorporated into patient care, as well as clinical trials performed in Asia.     

真实世界中阿帕替尼后线治疗胃癌的疗效观察及预后相关因素分析

目的:评估阿帕替尼在晚期胃癌患者中的疗效和安全性,寻找与预后相关的临床特征因素。方法:回顾性分析2014年12月至2019年6月收治的153例服用阿帕替尼治疗晚期胃癌的患者临床资料。观察指标为客观缓解率(objective response rate,ORR)、疾病控制率(disease control rate,DCR)、无进展生存期(progression-free survival,PFS)、总生存期(overall survival,OS)和治疗相关不良反应发生率。结果:总体纳入患者的ORR为6.9%,DCR为44.8%,中位PFS(median PFS,mPFS)为3.1个月(95% 2.863~3.337),中位OS(median OS,mOS)为6.0个月(95%CI 4.392~7.608)。3级及以上不良反应的发生率为47.6%(60/126),其中61.7%(37/60)的患者因此中止治疗。Logistic多因素回归分析显示,转移灶数目≤2个(P=0.008)、存在肝转移(P=0.007)、用药前确诊患癌时间＞1年(P=0.032)、联合全身治疗(P=0.036)是DCR的独立预后因素。COX多因素回归分析显示,用药前确诊患癌时间＞1年(P=0.016)、病理见低黏附性癌成分(P=0.001)、用药4周内耐受良好不发生3级及以上不良反应(P=0.009)是PFS延长的独立预后因素。转移灶数目≤2个(P=0.007)、骨髓抑制程度在2度及2度以下(P=0.014)是OS延长的独立预后因素。结论:阿帕替尼治疗晚期胃癌患者有效、安全可控,转移灶数目、肝转移等临床特征信息可以帮助医生判断预后。     

Prognostic factors in patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma treated with VEGF-targeted agents

The medical treatment of metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) has undergone a paradigm shift during the last decade with the approval of five drugs targeting vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) or its receptors (bevacizumab, sunitinib, sorafenib, pazopanib and axitinib) and of two drugs inhibiting the PI3K/AKT/mTOR (mammalian target of rapamycin) pathway (temsirolimus and everolimus). Median survival has now reached 2 years in mRCC patients receiving first-line targeted treatment. A considerable body of work was conducted on the identification of prognostic factors of survival in the earlier era of immunotherapy of mRCC. The current challenge is to pursue this work on biomarkers of prognosis for targeted therapy and, even more importantly, to identify predictive factors of response to such therapy. This review provides an overview of recent key work on prognostic and predictive factors in patients with advanced clear cell RCC treated with VEGF-targeted agents.     

Differential prognostic factors in low- and high-burden de novo metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer patients

Metastatic burden is a critical factor for therapy decision-making in metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer. The present study aimed to identify prognostic factors in men with high- or low-metastatic burden treated with primary androgen-deprivation therapy. The study included 2450 men with de novo metastatic prostate cancer who were treated with primary androgen-deprivation therapy at 30 institutions across Japan between 2008 and 2017. We investigated the prognostic value of various clinicopathological parameters for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients stratified by low- or high-metastatic burden. Among the 2450 men, 841 (34.3%) and 1609 (65.7%) were classified as having low- and high-metastatic burden, respectively. Median PFS of the low- and high-burden groups were 44.5 and 16.1 months, respectively, and the median OS was 103.2 and 62.7 months, respectively. Percentage of biopsy-positive core, biopsy Gleason grade group, T-stage, and N-stage were identified to be differentially prognostic. M1a was associated with worse PFS than was M1b in the low-burden group, whereas lung metastasis was associated with better PFS and OS than was M1b in the high-burden group. Differential prognostic factors were identified for patients with low- and high-burden metastatic prostate cancer. These results may assist in decision-making to select the optimal therapeutic strategies for patients with different metastatic burdens.     

Phase 3 trial of everolimus for metastatic renal cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND:

A phase 3 trial demonstrated superiority at interim analysis for everolimus over placebo in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) progressing on vascular endothelial growth factor receptor–tyrosine kinase inhibitors. Final results and analysis of prognostic factors are reported.

METHODS:

Patients with mRCC (N = 416) were randomized (2:1) to everolimus 10 mg/d (n = 277) or placebo (n = 139) plus best supportive care. Progression‐free survival (PFS) and safety were assessed to the end of double‐blind treatment. Mature overall survival (OS) data were analyzed, and prognostic factors for survival were investigated by multivariate analyses. A rank‐preserving structural failure time model estimated the effect on OS, correcting for crossover from placebo to everolimus.

RESULTS:

The median PFS was 4.9 months (everolimus) versus 1.9 months (placebo) (hazard ratio [HR], 0.33; P < .001) by independent central review and 5.5 months (everolimus) versus 1.9 months (placebo) (HR, 0.32; P < .001) by investigators. Serious adverse events with everolimus, independent of causality, in ≥5% of patients included infections (all types, 10%), dyspnea (7%), and fatigue (5%). The median OS was 14.8 months (everolimus) versus 14.4 months (placebo) (HR, 0.87; P = .162), with 80% of patients in the placebo arm crossed over to everolimus. By the rank‐preserving structural failure time model, the survival corrected for crossover was 1.9‐fold longer (95% confidence interval, 0.5‐8.5) with everolimus compared with placebo only. Independent prognostic factors for shorter OS in the study included low performance status, high corrected calcium, low hemoglobin, and prior sunitinib (P < .01).

CONCLUSIONS:

These results established the efficacy and safety of everolimus in patients with mRCC after progression on sunitinib and/or sorafenib. Cancer 2010. © 2010 American Cancer Society.