Secular Trends in Incidence and 30-Day Case Fatality of Acute Pancreatitis in North Jutland County,Denmark: A Register-based Study from 1981-2000

Background: The incidence rate of acute pancreatitis has been reported as having increased during recent decades in Western countries. Reported mortality lies around 10% and has improved during the past 20 years. The incidence rate and 30-day case fatality rate of acute pancreatitis in North Jutland County, Denmark were examined for the period 1981 to 2000. Methods: Data were collected from the Hospital Discharge Registry of North Jutland County for the period 1981-2000. Sex- and age-standardized incidence rates and 30-day case fatality rate of a first attack of acute pancreatitis were calculated. Data on endoscopic procedures were assessed for the period 1992 to 2000 and on certain drugs for 1991 to 1999. Results: The incidence rate of acute pancreatitis in women increased from 17.1 per 100,000 person-years in 1981 (95% confidence interval (CI), 12.6-23.2) to 37.8 per 100,000 person-years in 2000 (95% CI, 31.0-46.1). The corresponding increase in men was from 18 per 100,000 person-years in 1981 (95% CI, 13.3-24.2) to 27.1 per 100,000 person-years in 2000 (95% CI, 21.5-34.3). The incidence rate of acute pancreatitis increased with age in both sexes. The overall 30-day case fatality rate was 7.5% (95% CI, 6.5-8.7) increasing with age, adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 6.4 (95% CI, 3.5-11.6) and decreased with time, adjusted OR = 0.7 (95% CI, 0.4-1.0). Conclusion: The incidence of acute pancreatitis has increased, and in women surpassed that in men in 1999 and 2000. Short-term prognosis has improved.     

Secular trends in incidence and 30-day case fatality of acute pancreatitis in North Jutland County,Denmark: a register-based study from 1981-2000

BACKGROUND: The incidence rate of acute pancreatitis has been reported as having increased during recent decades in Western countries. Reported mortality lies around 10% and has improved during the past 20 years. The incidence rate and 30-day case fatality rate of acute pancreatitis in North Jutland County, Denmark were examined for the period 1981 to 2000. METHODS: Data were collected from the Hospital Discharge Registry of North Jutland County for the period 1981-2000. Sex- and age-standardized incidence rates and 30-day case fatality rate of a first attack of acute pancreatitis were calculated. Data on endoscopic procedures were assessed for the period 1992 to 2000 and on certain drugs for 1991 to 1999. RESULTS: The incidence rate of acute pancreatitis in women increased from 17.1 per 100,000 person-years in 1981 (95% confidence interval (CI), 12.6-23.2) to 37.8 per 100,000 person-years in 2000 (95% CI, 31.0-46.1). The corresponding increase in men was from 18 per 100,000 person-years in 1981 (95% CI, 13.3-24.2) to 27.1 per 100,000 person-years in 2000 (95% CI, 21.5-34.3). The incidence rate of acute pancreatitis increased with age in both sexes. The overall 30-day case fatality rate was 7.5% (95% CI, 6.5-8.7) increasing with age, adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 6.4 (95% CI, 3.5-11.6) and decreased with time, adjusted OR = 0.7 (95% CI, 0.4-1.0). CONCLUSION: The incidence of acute pancreatitis has increased, and in women surpassed that in men in 1999 and 2000. Short-term prognosis has improved.     

Increase in incidence and prevalence of inflammatory bowel disease in northern Denmark: a population-based study, 1978-2002

OBJECTIVES: Although incidence rates of inflammatory bowel disease have been reported worldwide, few long-term population-based studies with current time-trend analyses exist. We therefore examined time trends in the incidence rate of inflammatory bowel disease in a 25-year study period, and estimated the prevalence in 2002. All patients diagnosed between 1978 and 2002 were included as incident cases (n=2,326) and all patients living in North Jutland County on 31 December 2002 were used to estimate prevalent cases (n=2,205). METHODS: Medical records of all patients diagnosed with ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease in the North Jutland County Hospital Discharge Registry were reviewed to examine if the diagnostic criteria were fulfilled. Age-specific and gender-specific standardized incidence rates were calculated. RESULTS: For ulcerative colitis, incidence rates in women increased from 8.3 (95% confidence interval (CI): 6.7-9.9) in 1978-1982 to 17.0 (95% CI: 14.7-19.3) per 100,000 person-years in 1998-2002. The corresponding figures for men were 7.7 (95% CI: 6.1-9.3) and 16.7 (95% CI: 14.4-18.8) per 100,000 person-years. For Crohn's disease, the incidence rates in women increased from 4.1 (95% CI: 3.0-5.2) in 1978-1982 to 10.7 (95% CI: 8.8-12.5) per 100,000 person-years in 1998-2002. The corresponding figures for men were 3.2 (95% CI: 2.1-4.2) and 8.5 (95% CI: 6.9-10.2) per 100,000 person-years. The prevalence of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease was 294 and 151 per 100,000 inhabitants, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A marked and parallel increase was seen in both ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease in both genders during the last 25 years, with a corresponding high prevalence of both diseases.     

Transfusion-dependent congenital dyserythropoietic anaemia with non-specific dysplastic changes in erythroblasts

Abstract: We estimated the risk of bacteremia in patients with monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) compared with the general population; 1237 cases of MGUS were identified by linking information on detected monoclonal components in the North Jutland County with the Danish Cancer Registry. We evaluated the risk of bacteremia in the MGUS cohort during the 13-yr period from 1981 to 1993 by linkage to the Bacteremia Registry in the County. Follow-up for the occurrence of bacteremia started 30 d after detection of the M-component and continued until malignant transformation, death or until 31 December 1993, whichever came first. The expected numbers of bacteremia was based upon county, age, sex and period-specific incidence rates. The median follow-up period was 3.8 yr. Forty episodes of bacteremia occurred during 5500 person-years versus 18 expected. The crude standardized incidence ratio of bacteremia was 2.2 (95% confidence interval, 1.6–3.0). There was no distinct pattern of bacterial etiology in the MGUS cohort. Although we found an association between MGUS and risk of bacteremia, the overall risk is small and this finding hardly affects the clinical handling of MGUS patients.     

The impact of M-component type and immunoglobulin concentration on the risk of malignant transformation in patients with monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: In this study the impact of gender, age, type of M-component and concentration of immunoglobulins on the risk of malignant transformation in monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) was assessed. DESIGN AND METHODS: We identified 1,247 cases of MGUS in the period 1978 to 1993 in North Jutland County, Denmark. Data on cancer occurrence in the MGUS cohort were obtained from the Danish Cancer Registry. The expected numbers of incident cancer cases were calculated from age-, sex-, county-, and period-specific cancer incidence rates. The impact of the variables mentioned above on the risk of malignant transformation was analyzed in Poisson regression models. RESULTS: The relative risk of IgA compared to IgG was 1.8 (95% confidence interval, 1.1-3.0), while the relative risk of IgM compared to IgG was 1.1 (0.7-1.9). For all three types of MGUS, the risk of malignant transformation was higher among females than among males, and the risk increased with increasing concentration of immunoglobulin with very high risks for the patients with the highest levels of immunoglobulin. Hypogammaglobulinemia was associated with malignant transformation in patients with IgG type MGUS. For IgG and IgM MGUS, the risk decreased with increasing age and with follow-up beyond one year. INTERPRETATION AND CONCLUSIONS: Female sex, IgA M-component type and high concentration of the immunoglobulin comprising the M-component were associated with a high risk of malignant transformation. Hypogammaglobulinemia, young age at diagnosis and short follow-up were risk factors in particular for those with IgG MGUS.