P53 alteration and microsatellite instability have predictive value for survival benefit from chemotherapy in stage III colorectal carcinoma.

PURPOSE: We recently presented evidence for tumor site and gender-specificity in the survival benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy in Stage III colorectal cancer (CRC). In the current study, we examined whether p53 alteration or the microsatellite instability (MSI) phenotype provide additional predictive information in CRC patients. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: A retrospective series of 891 Stage III CRC patients with negative surgical margins was investigated. Thirty percent (270 of 891) received postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy with curative intent and comprising of 5-fluorouracil/levamisole. Adjuvant treatment and nontreatment patient groups were well matched for tumor site, grade, p53 alterations, and MSI. Surgical tumor specimens were investigated for p53 overexpression using immunohistochemistry and for p53 mutation and MSI using single-strand conformation polymorphism analysis. The predictive value of these markers was evaluated by comparing the survival of adjuvant-treated and nonadjuvant treated patients. RESULTS: A strong inverse correlation was observed between p53 alteration and MSI (P < 0.0001). In univariate analysis, the factors of sex, site, p53 alteration, and MSI were each strong predictors of a survival benefit from chemotherapy. Multivariate analysis revealed that chemotherapy provided maximal survival benefit for female patients (P = 0.005) and for patients whose tumors contained normal p53 (P = 0.041). Males whose tumors contained a p53 alteration and were negative for MSI appeared not to benefit from chemotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that p53 alteration and MSI could be clinically useful molecular predictive markers for the identification of CRC patients who might benefit from 5-fluorouracil-based chemotherapy.     

STRAP is a strong predictive marker of adjuvant chemotherapy benefit in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND: Molecular predictors for the effectiveness of adjuvant chemotherapy in colorectal cancer are of considerable clinical interest. To this aim, we analyzed the serine threonine receptor-associated protein (STRAP), an inhibitor of TGF-beta signaling, with regard to prognosis and prediction of adjuvant 5-FU chemotherapy benefit. METHODS: The gene copy status of STRAP was determined using quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction in 166 colorectal tumor biopsies, which had been collected from a randomized multicenter trial of 5-fluorouracil (5-FU)/mitomycin C (MMC) adjuvant chemotherapy of the Swiss Group for Clinical Cancer Research (SAKK). RESULTS: Amplification of STRAP was found in 22.8% of the tumors. When left without adjuvant chemotherapy, patients bearing tumors with a STRAP amplification had a significantly better prognosis (hazard ratio for death: 0.26; P=.004). Interestingly, these patients, when receiving adjuvant treatment, had a worse survival (hazard ratio for death: 3.48; P=.019) than without chemotherapy, whereas patients carrying tumors with diploidy or deletion of STRAP benefited from the treatment (hazard ratio for death: 0.44; P=.052). This suggests the amplification of STRAP as a strong predictor of an unfavorable effect of 5-FU-based adjuvant chemotherapy. CONCLUSION: If confirmed, the STRAP gene copy status might provide a parameter to decide about the use of 5-FU-based adjuvant chemotherapy.     

Microsatellite instability: a predictive marker in metastatic colorectal cancer?

Microsatellite instability (MSI) status is a good prognostic factor for colorectal cancer (CRC), but its predictive value for chemosensitivity remains controversial. We recently performed a meta-analysis (MA) in adjuvant setting showing that MSI high (MSI-H) status did not predict the efficacy of chemotherapy. Studies were identified by electronic search through PubMed, Embase and ASCO proceedings online databases, using several keywords (colorectal cancer, chemotherapy, microsatellite instability). For each study, we calculated the ratio of response rate, complete and partial responses divided by stable disease and progression. Our MA dealt with the predictive value of MSI status on the effect of metastatic chemotherapy using various combinations of 5FU, oxaliplatin or CPT11. From 159 articles and 76 abstracts, we selected only seven independent studies. Data were analysed with a random-effect model (due to heterogeneity between studies) using EasyMA software. Statistical calculations were performed on five studies representing 860 patients (mean age 63 years; 87 MSI-H; 733 microsatellite stable [MSS] tumors). A total of 287 patients received 5FU-based chemotherapy, whereas 574 patients received combinations of 5FU or capecitabine with oxaliplatin and/or irinotecan. Our MA found no benefit of metastatic chemotherapy in terms of response rate for MSI-H patients compared with MSS patients. The global hazard ratio for response rate was 0.83 (95% confidence interval: 0.95; 0.65–1.05; p = 0.11). In conclusion, MSI status did not predict the effect of chemotherapy for metastatic CRC. Metastatic chemotherapy had a similar effect on both MSI-H or on MSS tumors.     

DCR3 locus is a predictive marker for 5-fluorouracil-based adjuvant chemotherapy in colorectal cancer

Adjuvant chemotherapy reduces the incidence of distant metastasis and increases survival of patients with colorectal cancer. However, predictive markers are needed to define subsets of patients with stage II and III disease that may benefit from adjuvant treatment. A secreted member of the TNF receptor superfamily, the decoy receptor 3 (DcR3), was reported to be amplified in colorectal cancer as a negative regulator of Fas-mediated apoptosis. We analyzed DcR3 gene copy number and protein expression in a large series of tumors from a randomized multicenter trial of 5-fluorouracil/mitomycin C (FU/MMC) adjuvant chemotherapy of the Swiss Group for Clinical Cancer Research (SAKK 40/81), using real-time quantitative PCR and immunohistochemistry on tumor microarrays. Results of gene status and protein expression of DcR3 were correlated with disease-free and overall survival of patients. We observed amplification of the DcR3 gene in 185/294 (63%) and overexpression of the DcR3 protein in 163/223 (73%) of colorectal tumors. Multivariate analysis showed no prognostic effect of DcR3 gene amplification and protein overexpression. However, adjuvant chemotherapy was significantly more beneficial in patients with normal DcR3 gene copy number than in patients with amplification (DFS: HR 2.84, 95% CI 1.16-6.98, p = 0.02; OS: HR 3.15, 95% CI 1.19-8.32, p = 0.02), whereas DcR3 protein overexpression did not influence the effect of adjuvant chemotherapy (DFS: HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.65-1.60, p = 0.95; OS: HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.61-1.49, p = 0.83). We conclude that amplification of the 20q13 locus is a predictive marker for adjuvant chemotherapy in colorectal cancer.     

Thymidylate synthase expression in colorectal cancer: a prognostic and predictive marker of benefit from adjuvant fluorouracil-based chemotherapy.

PURPOSE: We studied the prognostic value of thymidylate synthase (TS) expression in primary colorectal cancer (CRC) and the role of TS expression as a predictor of chemotherapeutic benefit in patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: TS expression was immunohistochemically assessed on tumor sections from 862 patients with CRC Dukes' stages B and C enrolled onto randomized trials evaluating fluorouracil (5-FU)-based adjuvant chemotherapy. RESULTS: TS expression was an independent prognostic factor for disease-free (P =.05) and overall survival (P =.05). In the subgroup treated with surgery alone, TS was an independent prognostic factor for disease-free (P <.001) and overall survival (P =.001), whereas this was not the case in the subgroup of adjuvantly treated patients. Patients whose tumors expressed high TS levels had a tendency to improved outcome after adjuvant therapy (not significant). The group whose tumors expressed the highest TS grade, grade 3 (34% of the patients), had a significantly longer disease-free survival if they were treated with adjuvant therapy compared with surgery alone (multivariate analyses, P =.02), whereas patients whose tumors expressed low TS levels (28% of the patients) had an impaired outcome after adjuvant therapy (multivariate analyses: disease-free survival, P =.01; overall survival, P =.01). CONCLUSION: TS expression predicts for survival independent of Dukes' stage in patients with CRC treated with surgery alone. The study indicates that patients with high TS levels may benefit from adjuvant 5-FU-based chemotherapy. However, patients with low TS levels seem to have a worse outcome when treated with adjuvant chemotherapy.     

Prognosis and value of adjuvant chemotherapy in stage III mucinous colorectal carcinoma

BackgroundColorectal mucinous adenocarcinoma (MC) has been associated with impaired prognosis compared with nonmucinous adenocarcinoma (NMC). Response to palliative chemotherapy is poor in metastatic disease, but the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapeutic treatment has never been assessed in large patient groups. This study analyses overall survival and efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy in terms of survival in patients following radical resection for MC.Patients and methodsThis population-based study involved 27 251 unselected patients diagnosed with colorectal carcinoma between 1990 and 2010 and recorded in a prospective pathology-based registry. Kaplan–Meier analysis and log-rank testing were used to estimate survival. Cox proportional hazard model was used to calculate multivariate hazard ratios for death.ResultsMC was found in 12.3% (N = 3052) of colorectal tumors with a different distribution compared with NMC, with 24.4% located in the rectum and 54.3% in the proximal colon (versus 38.0% and 30.6%), P < 0.0001. NMC was more often classified as stage I disease than MC (20.5% versus 10.9%), P < 0.0001. After adjustments for covariates, MC was associated with a higher risk of death only when located in the rectum [hazard ratio 1.22; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.11–1.34]. Multivariate regression analysis showed a similar survival after adjuvant chemotherapy for stage III MC and NMC patients.ConclusionsThe poor prognosis for MC is only present in rectal cancer. In the adjuvant setting, there is no difference in the efficacy of chemotherapy between MC and NMC; therefore, current adjuvant treatment recommendations should not take histology into account.     

Cross-validation study of class III beta-tubulin as a predictive marker for benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy in resected non-small-cell lung cancer: analysis of four randomized trials

BackgroundThe IALT, JBR.10, ANITA and Cancer and Leukemia Group B 9633 trials compared adjuvant chemotherapy with observation for patients with resected non-small-cell lung cancer (R-NSCLC). Data from the metastatic setting suggest high tumor class III beta-tubulin (TUBB3) expression is a determinant of insensitivity to tubulin-targeting agents (e.g. vinorelbine, paclitaxel). In 265 patients from JBR.10 (vinorelbine–cisplatin versus observation), high TUBB3 was an adverse prognostic factor and was associated (nonsignificantly) with ‘greater’ survival benefit from chemotherapy. We explored this further in additional patients from JBR.10 and the other three trials.Patients and methodsTUBB3 immunohistochemical staining was scored for 1149 patients on the four trials. The original JBR.10 cut-off scores were used to classify tumors as TUBB3 high or low. The prognostic and predictive value of TUBB3 on disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) was assessed by Cox models stratified by trial and adjusted for clinical factors.ResultsHigh TUBB3 expression was prognostic for OS [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.27 (1.07–1.51), P = 0.008) and DFS [HR = 1.30 (1.11–1.53), P = 0.001). TUBB3 was not predictive of a differential treatment effect [interaction P = 0.20 (OS), P = 0.23 (DFS)]. Subset analysis (n = 420) on vinorelbine–cisplatin gave similar results.ConclusionsThe prognostic effect of high TUBB3 expression in patients with R-NSCLC has been validated. We were unable to confirm a predictive effect for TUBB3.     

Failure to complete adjuvant chemotherapy is associated with adverse survival in stage III colon cancer patients

Two recent North American studies have shown that completion of 5-fluorouracil (5FU)-based adjuvant chemotherapy is a major prognostic factor for the survival of elderly stage III colon cancer patients. The aim of the present study was to confirm this finding in a population-based series from Australia. The study cohort comprised 851 stage III colon cancer patients treated by surgery alone and 461 who initiated the Mayo chemotherapy regime. One-third of patients who initiated chemotherapy failed to complete more than three cycles of treatment. Independent predictors for failure to complete were treatment in district or rural hospitals, low socioeconomic index and treatment by a low-volume surgeon. Patients who failed to complete chemotherapy showed worse cancer-specific survival compared not only to those who completed treatment (HR=2.24; 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.66-3.03), P<0.001) but also to those treated by surgery alone (HR=1.37; 95% CI (1.09-1.72), P=0.008). The current and previous studies demonstrate the importance of completing adjuvant 5-FU-based chemotherapy for colon cancer. Further prospective studies are required to identify better the physiological and socioeconomic factors responsible for failure to complete chemotherapy so that appropriate improvements in health service delivery can be made.     

SMAD4 is a predictive marker for 5-fluorouracil-based chemotherapy in patients with colorectal cancer

The gene for the transducer of transforming growth factor-beta/bone morphogenetic protein signalling SMAD4, a potential suppressor of colorectal carcinogenesis, is located at the chromosomal region 18q21. In order to evaluate the clinical relevance of SMAD4 deletion, gene copy alterations were determined by copy dosage using real-time quantitative PCR in 202 colorectal tumour biopsies from a previous randomised study of adjuvant chemotherapy. Patients with normal SMAD4 diploidy turned out to have a three-fold higher benefit of 5-fluorouracil-based adjuvant chemotherapy with a border line significance (overall survival: 3.23, P=0.056; disease-free survival: 2.89, P=0.045). These data are consistent with the previous observation that patients whose cancer had retention of the 18q21 region had a significantly higher benefit from 5-fluorouracil-based therapy. Moreover, these results may provide a refinement at the gene level of the clinical relevance of 18q21 deletion, thereby suggesting SMAD4 as a predictive marker in colorectal cancer. This data also indicate that integrity of this component of the transforming growth factor-beta/bone morphogenetic protein signalling pathway may be a critical factor for benefit of chemotherapy in patients with colorectal cancer.     

The benefit of microsatellite instability is attenuated by chemotherapy in stage II and stage III gastric cancer: Results from a large cohort with subgroup analyses

We previously reported that the prognosis of microsatellite instability high (MSI‐H) gastric cancer is similar to that of MSI‐low/microsatellite stable (MSI‐L/MSS) gastric cancer. The reason for this seemed to be related to the effects of chemotherapy. To verify this hypothesis, we expanded the study population and reanalyzed the prognosis of MSI‐H gastric cancer. Data from 1,276 patients with Stage II and III gastric cancer who underwent gastrectomy with curative intent between January 2005 and June 2010 were reviewed. The prognosis of MSI‐H tumors in comparison with MSI‐L/MSS tumors was analyzed, according to the administration of chemotherapy and other clinicopathologic features. A total of 361 (28.3%) patients did not receive chemotherapy (MSI‐H = 47 and MSI‐L/MSS = 314), whereas 915 (71.7%) patients did receive chemotherapy (MSI‐H = 58 and MSI‐L/MSS = 857). The hazard ratio of MSI‐H versus MSI‐L/MSS was 0.49 (95% confidence interval: 0.26–0.94, p = 0.031) when chemotherapy was not received and 1.16 (95% confidence interval: 0.78–1.71, p = 0.466) when chemotherapy was received. In subgroup analyses, the prognosis of MSI‐H was better in Stage III, women, with lymph node metastasis, and undifferentiated histology subgroups when chemotherapy was not received. However, in patients treated with chemotherapy, prognosis was worse for MSI‐H tumors in Stage III, undifferentiated histology, and diffuse type subgroups of gastric cancer. In conclusion, MSI‐H tumors were associated with a good prognosis in Stage II and III gastric cancer when patients were treated by surgery alone, and the benefits of MSI‐H status were attenuated by chemotherapy.     

CpG island methylator phenotype is an independent predictor of survival benefit from 5-fluorouracil in stage III colorectal cancer.

PURPOSE: The CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMP) is observed in approximately 30% of colorectal cancer (CRC) cases and is characterized by the concurrent methylation of multiple CpG islands in tumor DNA. This phenotype (CIMP+) is more frequently observed in tumors with proximal location, microsatellite instability, and normal p53. Because it has previously been observed that each of these features is associated with a good survival benefit from 5-fluorouracil (5-FU)-based adjuvant chemotherapy, we investigated in the present study whether CIMP+ has independent predictive value. Experimental Design: CIMP+ status was evaluated in 103 stage III CRCs from patients treated with surgery alone and for an additional 103 cases from patients treated with surgery and adjuvant 5-FU-based chemotherapy. The two cohorts were randomly pair-matched for age, sex, and tumor site, and the median length of follow-up time was 39 months. RESULTS: CIMP+ status predicted survival benefit from 5-FU treatment independently of microsatellite instability and p53 mutation status (relative risk = 0.22; 95% confidence interval, 0.06-0.84; P = 0.027). Unmeasured, high-risk confounding factors could only account for this association if they were unequally distributed between the two patient cohorts by a factor of at least 2-fold. CONCLUSIONS: CIMP+ has independent predictive significance for the survival benefit from 5-FU chemotherapy in CRC. This molecular marker should be incorporated into prospective clinical trials of fluorouracil-based therapies to confirm its clinical value.     

Promotion of the Warburg effect is associated with poor benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy in colorectal cancer

Metabolic reprogramming, including the Warburg effect, is a hallmark of cancer. Indeed, the diversity of cancer metabolism leads to cancer heterogeneity, but accurate assessment of metabolic properties in tumors has not yet been undertaken. Here, we performed absolute quantification of the expression levels of 113 proteins related to carbohydrate metabolism and antioxidant pathways, in stage III colorectal cancer surgical specimens from 70 patients. The Warburg effect appeared in absolute protein levels between tumor and normal mucosa specimens demonstrated. Notably, the levels of proteins associated with the tricarboxylic citric acid cycle were remarkably reduced in the malignant tumors which had relapsed after surgery and treatment with 5‐fluorouracil‐based adjuvant therapy. In addition, the efficacy of 5‐fluorouracil also decreased in the cultured cancer cell lines with promotion of the Warburg effect. We further identified nine and eight important proteins, which are closely related to the Warburg effect, for relapse risk and 5‐fluorouracil benefit, respectively, using a biomarker exploration procedure. These results provide us a clue for bridging between metabolic protein expression profiles and benefit from 5‐fluorouracil adjuvant chemotherapy.     

Maspin is a marker for early recurrence in primary stage III and IV colorectal cancer

Background:

Little is known about the factors that drive metastasis formation in colorectal cancer (CRC). Here, we set out to identify genes and proteins in patients with colorectal liver metastases that correlate with early disease recurrence. Such factors may predict a propensity for metastasis in earlier stages of CRC.

Methods:

Gene expression profiling and proteomics were used to identify differentially expressed genes/proteins in resected liver metastases that recurred within 6 months following liver surgery vs those that did not recur for >24 months. Expression of the identified genes/proteins in stage II (n=243) and III (n=176) tumours was analysed by immunohistochemistry on tissue microarrays. Correlation of protein levels with stage-specific outcome was assessed by uni- and multivariable analyses.

Results:

Both gene expression profiling and proteomics identified Maspin to be differentially expressed in colorectal liver metastases with early (<6 months) and prolonged (>24 months) time to recurrence. Immunohistochemical analysis of Maspin expression on tumour sections revealed that it was an independent predictor of time to recurrence (log-rank P=0.004) and CRC-specific survival (P=0.000) in stage III CRC. High Maspin expression was also correlated with mucinous differentiation. In stage II CRC patients, high Maspin expression did not correlate with survival but was correlated with a right-sided tumour location.

Conclusion:

High Maspin expression correlates with poor outcome in CRC after spread to the local lymph nodes. Therefore, Maspin may have a stage-specific function possibly related to tumour cell dissemination and/or metastatic outgrowth.     

Microsatellite instability is a predictive factor of the tumor response to irinotecan in patients with advanced colorectal cancer

The aim of our study was to assess the relationship between colorectal tumor responsiveness to irinotecan and microsatellite instability (MSI), a feature of colorectal tumors with DNA mismatch repair defect. Seventy-two patients with metastatic colorectal cancer were included in our retrospective study. A complete response to irinotecan was observed in 1 patient and a partial response in 10 patients, whereas 61 patients did not respond to this treatment. We analyzed the protein expression of hMLH1, hMSH2, and BAX by immunohistochemistry, determined the MSI phenotype, and looked for mutations in the coding repeats located in the transforming growth factor beta-RII, BAX, hMSH3, and hMSH6 genes. All 44 tumors analyzed expressed detectable levels of hMLH1; 1 tumor lacked hMSH2 staining, whereas 4 tumors showed a marked decrease in BAX expression. A better response to irinotecan was observed in the patients whose tumors have lost BAX expression (P < 0.001). Among the 7 tumors that displayed a MSI-H phenotype, 4 responded to irinotecan, whereas only 7 of the 65 MSI-L/ microsatellite stable tumors did (P = 0.009). Seven of the 72 tumors had inactivating mutations in the coding repeats of the target genes. Three tumors displayed a mutation in the poly-A10 tract of the transforming growth factor beta-RII gene, associated with a 1-bp deletion in the poly-A8 tract of hMSH3 in one tumor and with a 1-bp deletion in the poly-G8 tract of BAX in another. Four tumors displayed mutations in the poly-G8 repeat of BAX, whereas 2 mutations in hMSH6 and hMSH3 were characterized. Among the 7 tumors with mutations in these target genes, 5 responded to irinotecan, whereas only 6 of the other 65 tumors did (P < 0.001), indicating that MSI-driven inactivation of target genes modifies tumor chemosensitivity. Our observations allowed us to define the first useful predictive criteria for irinotecan response in patients with colorectal cancer.