The impact of gender on presentation, therapy, and mortality of abdominal aortic aneurysm in the United States, 2001-2004

INTRODUCTION: The elective repair of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) may decrease a patient's risk of rupture and confers a significantly lower in-hospital mortality rate than emergency repair. Previous works have shown that AAA rupture rates are higher in women compared to men, and that women have higher associated in-hospital mortality rates. This study was performed to evaluate, currently, to what extent patient gender influences presentation and treatment of AAA and the associated outcomes in the United States. METHODS: The Nationwide Inpatient Sample was used, with pertinent ICD-9 codes, to identify all patient-discharges that occurred with the primary diagnosis of intact (iAAA) or ruptured/dissecting (rAAA) abdominal aortic aneurysms between the years 2001 and 2004. Univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses of variables were performed. RESULTS: An estimated 220,403 AAA patient-discharges were identified during the study period. 37,016 (17%) patients presented with rAAA. A higher percentage of women with AAA presented with rupture compared to men (21% vs 16%; odds ratio [OR] 1.40, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.27-1.54). This rupture rate did not significantly change from 2001 to 2004 (P = .85 for trend). For iAAA, women had higher odds of in-hospital mortality than men (OR 1.60; 95% CI, 1.24-2.07). Compared to men, in-hospital mortality rates for women with iAAA were higher for both endovascular (2.1% vs 0.83%, P < .0001) and open repairs (6.1% vs 4.0%, P < .0001). For iAAA, fewer women underwent endovascular repair (32.4% vs 46.7%, P < .0001; O.R. 0.59, 95% CI, 0.52-0.67). For patients who presented with rAAA, women were less likely to undergo surgical intervention compared to men (59% vs 70%, P < .0001). For those that underwent repair, women had higher in-hospital mortality rates than men (43% vs 36%, P < .0001; OR 1.49, 95% CI, 1.16-1.91). CONCLUSION: A higher percentage of women currently present with aneurysm rupture. They have higher in-hospital mortality rates for both iAAA and rAAA. This gender difference in the outcomes following repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm has persisted over time, the cause of which is not explained by these or previous data, a fact that warrants further investigation.     

Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms in cardiovascular patients

BACKGROUND: The objective of the study was to determine the incidence of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms (AAA) in a population of symptomatic cardiac patients. A retrospective cohort study of investigations was done at the cardiology clinic, Beaumont Hospital, Dublin. MATERIALS AND METHODS: There were 415 men and women recruited by referral to the cardiology clinic. All participants underwent routine ultrasound screening for AAA, and full assessment of all cardiac risk factors. Data were analyzed and correlated with age, sex, and diagnosis. RESULTS: Ultrasonographic diagnosis of aneurysm was based on an anteroposterior diameter of 3 cm or more. Of the 415 patients screened, 47 aneurysms were detected. Total incidence of AAA was 9.9% (male 14.1%, female 3.95%). All aneurysms were detected in patients over 60 years, detection rate 11.7% (male 16.3%, female 3.9%). The incidence of AAA was significantly higher in those who were subsequently proven to have cardiovascular disease, 13.8% (male 18%, female 5.15%). CONCLUSION: Screening the general population for those at risk of AAA is an ongoing debate. This study supports the concept of screening a higher risk population of patients over 60 years with cardiovascular disease.     

Risk factors associated with abdominal aortic aneurysm: a population-based study with historical and current data

OBJECTIVES: To define risk factors associated with the development of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in a population-based case-control study. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Thirty-five patients found to have AAA at screening were compared with 140 age- and sex-matched controls. Three distinct comparisons were made. Current risk factors in both cohorts were compared. Because data were also available for both cohorts from a study conducted 12 years previously, a historical comparison was made between risk factors identified at the time of this initial evaluation. A longitudinal comparison was made between historical and current risk factors. RESULTS: Elevated low-density-lipoprotein cholesterol, total cholesterol, and triglyceride levels 12 years before AAA screening were associated with current AAA with an odds ratio (OR) of 2.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2 to 4.4); OR, 1.9 (95% CI, 1.3 to 2.8); and OR, 1.9 (95% CI,1.2 to 3.1)/mmol/L, respectively. Current variables assessed at AAA screening that were associated with AAA were: A history of atherosclerotic disease, OR, 3.8 (95% CI, 1.7 to 8.5); having a first-degree relative with AAA, OR, 4.4 (95% CI, 1.5 to 13.0); current smoking, OR, 5.2 (95% CI, 1.6 to 16.8); high-density-lipoprotein cholesterol level, OR, 0.1 (95% CI, 0.02 to 0.7)/mmol/L; and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) level, OR, 1.1 (95% CI, 1.01 to 1.2)/mg/L. Hypertension and diabetes were not associated with AAA. A significant increase of hsCRP over time (12 years) was observed in AAA patients ( P = .039) but not among controls. The variables of a history of atherosclerosis, smoking, and family history of AAA appear to interact synergistically to increase the prevalence of AAA ( P < .001). CONCLUSION: Among traditional risk factors for atherosclerosis, some were associated with AAA and others were not, indicating complex and partly different causes. Inflammation and heredity appear to be important factors in the development of AAA.     

SCREENING FOR ABDOMINAL AORTIC ANEURYSMS IN WESTERN AUSTRALIA

A study of ultrasound screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) was performed. During a 6 month period, 1225 men and women aged 60–80 years were screen at a variety of community venues. Screening was well received by the public and logistically simple to perform. Thirty-three AAA were detected with sizes between 30 and 81 mm. In the 60–80 year age group, the prevalence of (AAA) > 30 mm in diameter was 4.7% in men and 0.35% in women, and the prevalence of AAA > 50mm was 0.6% in men and 0.17% in women. Cigarette smoking, but not hypertension or diabetes, was found to be a significant risk factor for AAA. This study confirms that screening for AAA is feasible and yields high prevalence rates in major population centres.     

Initial results of ultrasound screening for aneurysm of the abdominal aorta in Western Australia: relevance for endoluminal treatment of aneurysm disease

BACKGROUND: Increased life expectancy in men during the last thirty years is largely due to the decrease in mortality from cardiovascular disease in the age group 29--69 yr. This change has resulted in a change in the disease profile of the population with conditions such as aneurysm of the abdominal aorta (AAA) becoming more prevalent. The advent of endoluminal treatment for AAA has encouraged prophylactic intervention and fueled the argument to screen for the disease. The feasibility of inserting an endoluminal graft is dependent on the morphology and growth characteristics of the aneurysm. This study used data from a randomized controlled trial of ultrasound screening for AAA in men aged 65--83 yr in Western Australia for the purpose of determining the norms of the living anatomy in the pressurized infrarenal aorta. AIMS: To examine (1) the diameters of the infra-renal aorta in aneurysmal and non-aneurysmal cases, (2) the implications for treatment modalities, with particular reference to endoluminal grafting, which is most dependent on normal and aneurysmal morphology, and (3) any evidence to support the notion that northern Europeans are predisposed to aneurysmal disease. METHODS: Using ultrasound, a randomized control trial was established in Western Australia to assess the value of a screening program in males aged 65--83 yr. The infra-renal aorta was defined as aneurysmal if the maximum diameter was 30 mm or more. Aortic diameter was modelled both as a continuous (in mm) and as a binary outcome variable, for those men who had an infra-renal diameter of 30 mm or more. ANOVA and linear regression were used for modelling aortic diameter as a continuum, while chi-square analysis and logistic regression were used in comparing men with and without the diagnosis of AAA. FINDINGS: By December 1998, of 19,583 men had been invited to undergo ultrasound screening for AAA, 12,203 accepted the invitation (corrected response fraction 70.8%). The prevalence of AAA increased with age from 4.8% at 65 yr to 10.8% at 80 yr (chi(2)=77.9, df=3, P<0.001). The median (IQR) diameter for the non-aneurysmal group was 21.4 mm (3.3 mm) and there was an increase (chi(2)=76.0, df=1, P<0.001) in the diameter of the infra-renal aorta with age. Since 27 mm is the 95th centile for the non-aneurysmal infra-renal aorta, a diameter of 30 mm or more is justified as defining an aneurysm. The risk of AAA was higher in men of Australian (OR=1.0) and northern European origin (OR=1.0, 95%CL: 0.9, 1.2) compared with those of Mediterranean origin (OR=0.5, 95%CL: 0.4, 0.7). CONCLUSION: Although screening has not yet been shown to reduce mortality from AAA, these population-based data assist the understanding of aneurysmal disease and the further development and use of endoluminal grafts for this condition.     

Predictors of repair and effect of gender on treatment of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine factors associated with increased likelihood of patients undergoing surgery to repair ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs). Specifically, we investigated whether men were more likely than women to be selected for surgery after rupture of AAAs. METHODS: All patients with a ruptured AAA who came to a hospital in Ontario between April 1, 1992, and March 31, 2001, were included in this population-based retrospective study. Administrative data were used to identify patients, patient demographic data, and hospital variables. RESULTS: Crude 30-day mortality for the 3570 patients who came to a hospital with a ruptured AAA was 53.4%. Of the 2602 patients (72.9%) who underwent surgical repair, crude 30-day mortality was 41.0%. Older patients (odds ratio [OR], 0.649 per 5 years of age; P<.0001), with a higher Charlson Comorbidity Index (OR, 0.848; P<.0001), were less likely to undergo AAA repair. Patients treated at high-volume centers (OR, 2.674 per 10 cases; P<.0001) and men (OR, 2.214; P<.0001) were more likely to undergo AAA repair. CONCLUSION: Men are more likely to undergo repair of a ruptured AAA than women are, for reasons that are unclear. Given the large magnitude of the effect, further studies are clearly indicated.     

Quantifying the risks of hypertension, age, sex and smoking in patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in a community-based sample of men and women aged 65-79 years was correlated with known risk factors. In addition, the effect of high blood pressure and the use of antihypertensive medication on growth of AAAs were studied. METHODS: Aortic diameter was assessed by ultrasonography and data on risk factors were collected by self-administered questionnaire for 5356 men and women as part of a randomized controlled trial. RESULTS: Current hypertension increased the risk of having an aortic aneurysm by 30-40 per cent while use of antihypertensive medication increased the risk by 70-80 per cent, adjusting for current blood pressure. There was no clear relationship between hypertension and growth rates of existing aneurysms in this study, although these results were largely from data on small aneurysms. Men were nearly six times more likely to develop an AAA than women; the risk increased by 40 per cent every 5 years after the age of 65 years. Smoking was an independent risk factor for AAA, with level of exposure being more significant than duration. CONCLUSION: Male sex, smoking and hypertension are strong risk factors for the development of AAA. In this study hypertension did not significantly increase the growth rate of existing aneurysms. Smoking remains the most important avoidable risk factor for AAA. The analyses presented here suggest that selection for screening, other than by age and sex, is not worthwhile.     

Abdominal aortic aneurysm in women.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to compare abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) associations in men and women. METHODS: Veterans aged 50 to 79 years without a previous history of AAA underwent ultrasound screening for AAA after completing a questionnaire on demographic information and potential risk factors. RESULTS: A total of 122,272 men and 3450 women were successfully screened. An AAA of 3.0 cm or greater in diameter was found in 4.3% of men and 1.0% of women (P <.001). Contrary to a previous report, we did not find suprarenal aortic enlargement accompanying AAA to be more common in women. The principal associations that we have previously reported for AAA in this cohort (age, smoking, family history of AAA, and a negative association with diabetes) were all similar in women compared with men. In age- and smoking-adjusted models, the interaction terms indicated that black race and cancer were more strongly associated with AAA in women than men (P <.05). Height and cerebral vascular disease were also more strongly associated with AAA in women than in men, but these interaction terms did not reach statistical significance (P <.10). Although the other differences were unexpected and require confirmation, the trend toward a stronger association of cerebral vascular disease with AAA in women is consistent with two previous reports. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the much lower prevalence of AAA in women, the most important associations with AAA are similar to those seen in men. Our data provide some support for a previous finding that cerebrovascular disease may be more closely associated with AAA in women than in men.     

Low vitamin B6, and not plasma homocysteine concentration, as risk factor for abdominal aortic aneurysm: a retrospective case-control study

BACKGROUND: Hyperhomocysteinemia has been associated with vascular disease in many epidemiologic studies, but only a few have reported on the relation between hyperhomocysteinemia and aneurysms of the abdominal aorta (AAAs). Although these studies showed higher homocysteine concentrations in patients with AAA than in controls, little attention had been given to possible confounding factors. Most patients with AAA are of older age, have an impaired renal function, and have other risk factors for cardiovascular disease. This matched case-control study investigated the relation between homocysteine concentration (before and after methionine loading) and AAA, taking into account possible confounders such as age, sex, and concentrations of creatinine and B vitamins. METHODS: Patients with a history of AAA were recruited from the outpatient clinic; 60% had already undergone surgery for their AAA. They were asked to invite a friend or neighbor to participate as a control subject (age-matched and sex-matched). Concentrations of homocysteine, vitamin B6, vitamin B12, folate, and creatinine were determined in the fasting state, and blood was taken for methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) mutation analysis. Six hours after oral methionine loading, the postmethionine load homocysteine concentration was determined. RESULTS: Univariate analysis showed an odds ratio (OR) of 2.2 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.9 to 5.5) for the risk of AAA for the highest quartile of homocysteine concentration. After adjustment for creatinine, the OR was markedly reduced to 1.24 (95% CI, 0.42 to 3.66), and this risk further attenuated in the multivariate analysis. Univariate analysis of the B vitamins showed an increased risk of AAA for the bottom quartile of vitamin B6 (OR, 3.75; 95% CI, 1.22 to 11.54), which even increased after adjustments. The relative risk associated with the MTHFR 677TT polymorphism was 2.1 (95% CI, 0.9 to 5.3). CONCLUSION: Vitamin B6, but not homocysteine, is an independent risk factor for AAA. The role of vitamin B6 in the pathogenesis of AAA needs to be further elucidated.     

The population prevalence of undetected abdominal aortic aneurysm in New Zealand Māori

BackgroundThe prevalence of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in Polynesian populations such as the New Zealand Māori has not been characterized. We measured this in a large population-based sample.MethodsA cross-sectional population-based prevalence study was conducted as part of an AAA screening pilot; 2467 Māori men aged 54 to 74 years and 1526 women aged 65 to 74 years registered with a primary care practice in Auckland (New Zealand) were invited to be screened by abdominal ultrasound between June 2016 and March 2018. Patients with pre-existing AAA disease and those with terminal conditions or circumstances that would make them unlikely to benefit from screening were excluded. The prevalence rate of AAA in Māori women was calculated with a cutoff definition of 27 mm as well as with the normal 30-mm definition (used in men). A log-binomial regression model estimated the prevalence rate at exactly 65 years for the purpose of comparison with screened populations in the United Kingdom.ResultsThe crude prevalence rate of undiagnosed AAA in Māori men aged 60 to 74 years was 3.6%. In women, it was 1.7% at the 30-mm threshold and 2.3% at 27 mm. The prevalence rate at exactly 65 years of age was calculated from the log-binomial regression model to be 2.7% (confidence interval [CI], 2.0%-3.8%) in men, 0.9% (CI, 0.4%-2.2%) in women at the 30-mm threshold, and 1.5% (CI, 0.7%-3.0%) in women at the 27-mm threshold. Among smokers, the crude prevalence rates were 7.5% (CI, 4.9%-11.5%) in men and 6.9% (CI, 4.1%-11.5%) in women (30 mm+).ConclusionsThe prevalence of undiagnosed AAA in New Zealand Māori men is considerably higher than in screened populations of equivalent age in the United Kingdom and Sweden. Prevalence rates in New Zealand Māori women are close to those of screened British men. New Zealand should consider implementing a population-based screening program for Māori men and conduct further research into the health impact of screening Māori women.     

Growth predictors and prognosis of small abdominal aortic aneurysms

OBJECTIVE: Evidence regarding the influence of cardiovascular risk factors, comorbidities, and patient characteristics on the growth of small abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) is limited. We assessed, in an observational cohort study, rupture rates, risks of mortality, and the effects of cardiovascular risk factors and patient demographics on growth rates of small AAAs. METHODS: Between September 1996 and January 2005, 5057 patients with manifest arterial vascular disease or cardiovascular risk factors were included in the Second Manifestation of ARTerial disease (SMART) study. Measurements of the abdominal aortic diameter were performed in all patients. All patients with an initial AAA diameter between 30 and 55 mm were selected for this study. All AAA measurements during follow-up until August 2007 were collected. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to calculate the effects of demographic patient characteristics, initial AAA diameter, and cardiovascular risk factors on AAA growth. RESULTS: Included were 230 patients, with a mean age of 66 years and 90% were male. Seven AAA ruptures (six fatal) occurred in 755 patient years of follow-up (rupture rate 0.9% per patient-year). In 147 patients, AAA measurements were performed for a period of more than 6 months. The median follow-up time was 3.3 years (mean 4.0, range 0.5 to 11.1 years, standard deviation (SD) 2.5). Mean AAA diameter was 38.8 mm (SD 6.8) and mean expansion rate 2.5 mm/y. Patients using lipid-lowering drugs had a 1.2 mm/y (95% confidence interval [CI] -2.34 to -0.060 mm/y) lower AAA growth rate compared to nonusers of these drugs. Initial AAA diameter was associated with a 0.09 mm/y (95% CI 0.01 to 0.18 mm/y) higher growth rate per millimetre increase of the diameter. No other factors, including blood lipid values, were independently associated with AAA growth. CONCLUSIONS: Lipid-lowering drug treatment and initial AAA diameter appear to be independently associated with lower AAA growth rates. The risk of rupture of these small abdominal aortic aneurysms was low, which pleads for watchful waiting.     

Klinische Risikoindikatoren für die Entstehung abdominaler Aortenaneurysmen

Background

Evidence for ultrasound screening of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) has been confirmed in several international studies. The efficiency could be increased by taking into account additional information about risk factors and secondary diagnoses to reduce the number of persons to be examined.

Material and methods

Population based studies from the years 2000 to 2014 concerning AAA screening were analyzed under the aspect of clinical risk factors. All randomized controlled studies (RCT) for AAA screening and health technology assessment (HTA) reports about clinical risk indicators were analyzed. The following variables were looked for: age, gender, smoking, family history, cardiovascular disease, peripheral arterial occlusive disease (PAOD), hypertension, obesity, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), hypercholesterolemia and diabetes mellitus. In addition a short survey of rarely studied clinical variables is given.

Results

For the following risk factors a positive correlation for the development of AAA was found: body mass index (BMI), increasing age, male gender, nicotine history and a positive family history for AAA. Coronary artery disease (CAD), COPD and PAOD as comorbidities represent a significantly increased prevalence of AAA. Uncertain results and insufficient research results exist for obesity, hypercholesterolemia, COPD, physical activity and nutrition. The risk factors diabetes mellitus, non-white skin color as well as feminine gender were associated with a decreased probability of AAA.

Discussion

Many of the known risk factors for atherosclerosis are also associated with an increased prevalence of AAA; however, this is not always true. For example, female sex, diabetes mellitus and certain increases in fat metabolism are connected with a decreased prevalence. For female gender a differentiated approach should be recommended as a more sophisticated analysis is able to identify significant risks that need to be taken into account as women have a significantly increased risk of rupture and form a large part of the cases of rupture. A sophisticated algorithm for the identification of individuals who would benefit from an individualized indication for aortic screening could reduce the number needed to screen per identified aortic aneurysm.

Conclusion

In consideration of evident clinical risk factors further groups of patients could be defined which could particularly benefit from AAA screening. Under this aspect population-based prospective studies are necessary.     

Cardiovascular disease risk status in elderly persons with renal insufficiency

BACKGROUND: Renal insufficiency has been independently associated with incident cardiovascular disease events in some, but not all, prospective studies. We determined the prevalence of elevated cardiovascular disease risk status among elderly persons with renal insufficiency. METHODS: This study is a cross-sectional analysis using data collected at the baseline visit of the Cardiovascular Health Study, which enrolled 5888 community dwelling adults aged 65 years or older from four clinical centers in the United States. Renal insufficiency was defined as a serum creatinine level > or =1.3 mg/dL in women and > or =1.5 mg/dL in men. The outcomes of this study included prevalent cardiovascular disease [prior coronary heart disease (CHD) or stroke], subclinical cardiovascular disease (abnormal values of ankle-arm index, carotid ultrasound, and echocardiography) and elevated cardiovascular risk based upon a diagnosis of diabetes and the Framingham equations. The association between renal insufficiency and cardiovascular risk status was estimated with and without adjustment for other cardiovascular predictors. RESULTS: Among the 5808 participants with creatinine levels measured at entry, 15.9% of men (N = 394), and 7.6% of women (N = 254) had renal insufficiency. The prevalence of either clinical or subclinical cardiovascular disease was 64% in persons with renal insufficiency compared with 43% in those without it [odds ratio (OR) 2.34; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.96, 2.80]. After adjustment for other cardiovascular risk factors, renal insufficiency remained significantly associated with clinical and subclinical cardiovascular disease (adjusted OR 1.43; 95% CI, 1.18, 1.75), but the magnitude of association was substantially reduced. After combining clinical and subclinical cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and an estimated risk>20% by the Framingham equations, 78% of men and 61% of women with renal insufficiency had elevated cardiovascular risk status. CONCLUSIONS: Renal insufficiency is a marker for elevated cardiovascular disease risk in community dwelling elderly adults.     

Indicators of infection with Chlamydia pneumoniae are associated with expansion of abdominal aortic aneurysms

PURPOSE: Chlamydia Pneumoniae has been shown to be associated with atherosclerosis, myocardial infarction, and abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs). The possible association between AAA expansion and C pneumoniae infection was therefore assessed. METHODS: Blood samples were taken from patients with an AAA that was considered for surgical repair after having been diagnosed by means of the Chichester aneurysm screening program (UK) as having an initially infrarenal aortic diameter of 3.0 to 5.9 cm. The patients were examined prospectively for as long as 11.5 years (mean, 4.1 years) with ultrasound scanning. Of 110 patients considered for surgery, 90 men and 10 women had blood samples taken. Their IgG and IgA antibodies against C pneumoniae were measured by means of a microimmunofluorescence test. Unpaired t tests, multiple linear regression analyses, and logistic regression analyses were used for statistical analysis. RESULTS: A total of 44% (95% CI, 31%-55%) of the men with an AAA had an IgA titer of 64 or more, an IgG titer of 128 or more, or both, compared with 10% of the women with an AAA (OR = 7.2; 95% CI, 1.05-160.8). A titer of IgG of 128 or more was significantly associated with higher expansion (5.3 vs 2.6 mm per year), even after adjustment for initial AAA size and age. A significant positive correlation between both IgA and IgG titers and mean annual expansion was observed (r = 0.28; 95% CI, 0.05-0.49; and r = 0.45; 95% CI, 0.24-0.62, respectively), persisting after adjusting for initial AAA size and age. An IgG titer of 128 or more was present significantly more often in cases with an expansion greater than 1 cm annually (adjusted OR = 12.6; 95% CI, 1.37-293). CONCLUSION: A high proportion of men with an AAA has signs of infection with C pneumoniae. The progression of their AAAs was positively correlated with the presence of indicators of C pneumoniae infection.     

Atherosclerotic risk factors and renal function in the elderly: the role of hyperfibrinogenaemia and smoking. Results from the Italian Longitudinal Study on Ageing (ILSA).

BACKGROUND: We examined associations between cardiovascular diseases and risk factors with pathological levels of and significant changes in serum creatinine (SCr) in a large prevalence phase and longitudinal phase community-based sample of an elderly Italian population (ILSA Study) showing no clinical evidence of renal impairment. METHODS: The prevalence phase was performed on 2981 subjects, aged 65-84 years, who were negative for renal diseases, had available SCr values and had complete clinical information on their cardiovascular risk factors. Of these, 371 were considered 'healthy' since they were not affected by cardiovascular diseases or diabetes, whereas 2610 tested positive for cardiovascular diseases and were considered 'diseased'. The sex-specific 95th percentiles for SCr (cut-off points) were calculated in the healthy reference sample to define the upper limit for normal SCr values. The distribution and prevalence of diseased subjects having values over the cut-off point values were then estimated. Associations between values over the cut-off point levels and pathological or clinical conditions were analysed from the diseased sample. The longitudinal phase was carried out on 1906 subjects who had SCr values and sufficient clinical information for our investigation. The incidence of an increase of >26.5 micromol/l of SCr was evaluated in the longitudinal cohort. RESULTS: In healthy subjects, the 95th SCr percentiles (cut-off points) were 123.8 micromol/l in men and 97.2 micromol/l in women. In diseased subjects, the prevalence of SCr values over the cut-off point was 4.6% in men and 9.3% in women. In logistic regression analysis, independent variables that correlated with over the cut-off point SCr values were: age >75 years [odds ratio (OR) = 2.2; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.5-3.4], atherosclerosis of the lower limbs (OR = 2.0; 95% CI = 1.2-3.3), cerebrovascular disease (OR = 1.9; 95% CI = 1.2-3.3), angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor medication (OR = 1.8; 95% CI = 1.2-2.8), fibrinogen values >3.5 g/l (OR = 1.2; 95% CI = 1.2-2.7) and diuretic treatment (OR = 1.6; 95% CI = 1.1-2.4). After a mean 3.6 years follow-up, multiple logistic regression analysis showed that risk factors for pathological loss of renal function (rise of SCr >26.5 micromol/l) were: current smokers >20 cigarettes/day (OR = 2.3; 95% CI = 1.0-5.3), fibrinogen values >3.5 g/l (OR = 2.2; 95% CI = 1.6-3.3), diabetes (OR = 1.8; 95% CI = 1.1-2.8), age >75 years (OR = 1.7; 95% CI = 1.2-2.4) and isolated systolic hypertension (OR = 1.6; 95% CI = 1.0-2.6). The loss of renal function examined during the longitudinal phase appeared to be independent of baseline SCr levels. CONCLUSION: The present prevalence and longitudinal studies show that age-associated decline in renal function in elderly subjects is associated with co-existing cardiovascular diseases and risk factors. These observations should be incorporated into clinical practice since some of the factors detrimental to kidney function, such as smoking, altered fibrinogen levels and elevated systolic blood pressure, can be prevented and/or modified when appropriate measures are taken.     

Egypt Information, Prevention, and Treatment of Chronic Kidney Disease (EGIPT-CKD) programme: prevalence and risk factors for microalbuminuria among the relatives of patients with CKD in Egypt

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is increasingly recognized as a public health problem, and is linked to the risk of development of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) with their attendant morbidity, mortality and increased healthcare costs. There is still paucity of data on the prevalence and risk factors for microalbuminuria (MA) and CKD in the Middle East. We report a cross-sectional study of the prevalence and risk factors for MA in the relatives of patients with CKD from a community-based screening programme in Egypt. The study was conducted among participants of the Egypt Information, Prevention, and Treatment of Chronic Kidney Diseases (EGIPT-CKD) Program, a population-based screening program for MA and CKD in Damanhour, Egypt. The screening tools included a questionnaire collating information on demographics, lifestyle, medical and family history of diabetes mellitus, hypertension and CKD. The prevalence of MA was 10.6% in the population screened. The prevalence was 6.2% in the non-diabetic and non-hypertensive subjects. The prevalence of albuminuria increases with age (P = 0.001 for trend). The prevalence was higher in the subjects with diabetes, hypertension, obesity or CVD. There was also a higher burden of MA subjects with low educational attainment (16% vs 5.6%; P = 0.001) and also those with a positive history of smoking (15.7% vs 8.1%; P = 0.01). The independent predictor variables associated with the presence of MA in a mutually adjusted logistic regression model were age (OR = 1.055, 95% CI: 1.01-1.10), mean arterial blood pressure (OR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.102-1.07) and personal history of CVD (OR = 2.34, 95% CI: 2.31-18.1). In this study, we determined the prevalence and risk factors for those having MA among the first-degree relatives of ESRD patients of the EGIPT-CKD program in Damanhour, Lower Egypt.     

Increasing prevalence of abdominal aortic aneurysms. A necropsy study.

OBJECTIVE: To analyse the prevalence of abdominal aortic aneurysms in the city of Malm?. DESIGN: Retrospective demographic study. SETTING: Malm? General Hospital. MATERIAL: Reports of all 45,838 necropsies done at the Department of Pathology, Malm? General Hospital 1958-1986. RESULTS: Abdominal aortic aneurysms were found in 4,300/100,000 men and 2,100/100,000 women. The mean annual age-standardised increase of aortic aneurysmal disease was 4.7% among men and 3.0% among women. The prevalence among men increased rapidly after the age of 55 and reached a peak of 5.9% at the age of 80; that among women increased after the age of 70 and reached a peak of 4.5% above the age of 90 years. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of aortic aneurysmal diseases has increased during the last three decades, and is age and sex-dependent.     

Randomisierte Studien mit EBM-Level 1 beweisen es

Results have been published of randomised controlled studies on the screening of elderly men for abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA). A systematic review and meta-analysis was therefore carried out in order to be able to assess the pooled effects. A Medline search (PubMed) for randomised controlled studies was carried out using the key words “screening” and “aortic aneurysms” in English. The medium-term (3.5-5 years) and long-term (7-15 years) effects were calculated as the odds ratio with a 95% confidence interval. Four studies were identified, the “Chichester Study” (UK/England), the “Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study” (MASS) (UK/England), the “Western Australian Aneurysm Screening Study” (AUS) and the “Viborg Study” (Denmark). The analysis showed that the probability of an AAA rupture fell significantly by 47% as a result of screening, AAA-related mortality (after men over the age of 80 years were excluded) decreased by 49% and overall mortality was also reduced (OR 0.93; 95% CI: 0.90-0.96). The number of planned operations increased 3-fold (p<0.05) and the probability of emergency operations decreased by 45% (p<0.05). The long-term pooled results showed a significant reduction of 47% in the probability of both AAA rupture and AAA-related mortality and a significant decrease in overall mortality (OR 1.77; 95% CI: 0.92-0.97). Overall, 1.7 times more operations were carried out on the men invited for screening than on the controls (OR 1.77; 95% CI: 1.57; 1.99). AAA screening reduces the probability of rupture and AAA-related mortality by about 50% each and overall mortality by about 6-7%, although there are differences which might have an impact on local cost-benefit ratio of the screening.     

High-risk and low-risk screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm both reduce aneurysm-related mortality. A stratified analysis from a single-centre randomised screening trial.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular diseases and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are both associated with abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA). The aim of this study was therefore to analyse whether screening for AAA could be restricted to men with such diseases (high risk group). METHODS: Before the date of randomisation of a population screening trial of 12,639 64-73-year-old males, all discharge diagnoses from the National Patient Registry concerning AAA-related diseases were merged with the screening results on attendance, AAA prevalence, and AAA-related mortality and overall mortality. Differences in proportions were compared by Chi square tests and differences in mortality by Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: The attendance rate was 78.8% and 6.7% had an AAA in the high risk group compared to 75.8% attendance (P<0.001) and 2.9% (P<0.001) in the remaining population. Cumulatively, screening of only high risk men with would have required 72.9% (95% C.I.: 72.3-74.5%) fewer screening invitations, would have discovered 46.1% (95% C.I.: 38.9-53.4%) of the AAA cases diagnosed and prevented 46.7% (95% C.I.: 28.3-65.7%) of the AAA-related deaths. However, screening decreased AAA-related mortality both among men with and without known COPD or cardiovascular diseases: mortality ratio: 0.22 (95% C.I.: 0.08-0.65), P=0.006, and 0.24 (95% C.I: 0.09-0.63, P=0.004, respectively. CONCLUSION: High-risk population screening would prevent less than half of AAA-related deaths. Therefore, restricting screening to such high-risk groups does not seem justified, but cost effectiveness analyses are needed to reach a firm conclusion.