Prognostic contributions of the underlying inflammatory disease and acute organ dysfunction in critically ill patients with systemic rheumatic diseases

BackgroundKnowledge about the clinical features, outcomes and predictors of short-term mortality in critically ill patients with systemic rheumatic disease (SRD) requires further characterization.MethodsSingle center retrospective observational cohort study of 149 critically ill patients with SRD followed in a French medical intensive care unit over a 20-year period. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify predictors of day-30 mortality.ResultsMost patients (63%) had systemic lupus erythematosus, rheumatoid arthritis, or systemic sclerosis. The critical illness usually developed late after the diagnosis of SRD (median time to ICU admission 82 months, IQR [9–175] in the 127 patients with a previous diagnosis of SRD). Two-thirds of patients were taking immunosuppressive drugs to treat their SRD. Reasons for ICU admission were infection (47%), SRD exacerbation (48%), and iatrogenic complications (11%); the most common organ failure was acute renal failure. Thirty-day mortality was 16%. Predictors of 30-day mortality were the LODS score on day 1 (OR 1.3 (1.06–1.48)), bacterial pneumonia (OR 3.8 (1.03–14.25)), need for vasoactive drugs (OR 7.1 (1.83–27.68)), SRD exacerbation (OR 4.3 (1.15–16.53)), and dermatomyositis (OR 9.2 (1.05–80.78)) as the underlying disease. Year of ICU admission was not significantly associated with 30-day survival.ConclusionPatients with SRD are mostly admitted in the ICU with infection or SRD exacerbation, and can be treated with immunosuppressive therapy and life-sustaining interventions with acceptable 30-day mortality. Death is associated with both the severity of the acute medical condition and the characteristics of the underlying SRD.     

Prognostic factors associated with six month mortality of critically ill elderly patients admitted to the intensive care unit with severe acute cholangitis

BackgroundLittle is known about the outcomes of elderly patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) with severe acute cholangitis (SAC). The objectives were to describe the 6-month mortality in patients with SAC ≥75 years and to identify factors associated with this mortality.MethodsBi-center retrospective study of critically ill elderly patients with SAC conducted between 2013 and 2017. Demographic and clinical variables of ICU and hospital stays with a 6-month follow-up were analyzed.Results85 patients, with a median [Q1–Q3] age of 83 [80–89] years were enrolled of whom 51 (60%) were men. SAC was due to choledocholithiasis in 72 (85%) patients. Median [Q1–Q3] ICU length of stay was 3 [2–6] days. Median [Q1–Q3] admission SAPS II was 50 [42–70]. The ICU and 6-month mortality rates were 18% and 48% respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that malnutrition (OR = 34.5, 95% CI [1.4–817.9]) and a decrease in SOFA score at 48 h (OR by unit 0.7, 95% CI [0.5–0.9]) were associated with higher 6-month mortality.ConclusionIn their decision-making process, ICU physicians and hepato-pancreato-biliary surgeons could use these data to estimate the probability of survival of an elderly patient presenting with SAC and to offer time-limited trials of intensive care.Trial registrationNCT03831529.     

Elevated cardiac troponin measurements in critically ill patients

BACKGROUND: The clinical significance of elevated cardiac troponin (cTn) level in patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) is uncertain. We reviewed the frequency of cTn elevation and its association with mortality and length of ICU stay in these patients. METHODS: Studies were identified using MEDLINE, EMBASE, and reference list review. We included observational studies of critically ill patients that measured cTn at least once and reported the frequency of elevated cTn or outcome (mortality and length of ICU or hospital stay). We pooled the odds ratios (ORs) using the inverse variance method in studies that conducted multivariable analysis to examine the relationship between elevated cTn and mortality (adjusted analysis). We calculated the weighted mean difference in length of stay between patients with and without elevated cTn and pooled the results using the inverse variance method (unadjusted analysis). RESULTS: A total of 23 studies involving 4492 critically ill patients were included. In 20 studies, elevated cTn was found in a median of 43% (interquartile range, 21% to 59%) of 3278 patients. In adjusted analysis (6 studies comprising 1706 patients), elevated cTn was associated with an increased risk of death (OR, 2.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.9 to 3.4; P < .001). In the unadjusted analysis (8 studies comprising 1019 patients), elevated cTn was associated with an increased length of ICU stay of 3.0 days (95% CI, 1.0 to 5.1 days; P = .004) and an increased length of hospital stay of 2.2 days (95% CI, -0.6 to 4.9; P = .12). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated cTn measurements among critically ill patients are associated with increased mortality and ICU length of stay. Research is needed to clarify the underlying causes of elevated cTn in this population and to examine their clinical significance.     

Acid-base disturbances in critically ill patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: The equilibrium of offsetting metabolic acid-base disorders in stable cirrhosis might be lost during episodes of hepatic decompensation, haemorrhage or sepsis. The purpose of this study was to determine whether the acid-base state is destabilized in critically ill patients with cirrhosis and whether this is associated with mortality. PATIENTS AND METHOD: One-hundred and eighty-one consecutive patients with cirrhosis were investigated in a prospective observational cohort study on admission to a medical intensive care unit (ICU) of a university hospital. Arterial acid-base state was assessed according to the Gilfix methodology. Clinical data, ICU mortality and hospital mortality were recorded. MAIN RESULTS: Patients had net metabolic acidosis owing to unmeasured anions and owing to hyperchloraemic, dilutional and lactic acidosis. Lactic acidosis, acidemia and acute renal failure on ICU admission were associated with increased mortality. Lactate and pH discriminated survivors from non-survivors. The presence of lactic acidosis could not always be recognized by customary acid-base parameters. CONCLUSION: The stable equilibrium of acid-base disorders is lost when patients with cirrhosis become critically ill. Lactic acidosis and acidaemia are associated with increased ICU mortality caused by severe underlying organ dysfunction.     

Outcomes of patients with COVID-19 in the intensive care unit in Mexico: A multicenter observational study

BackgroundAs of June 15, 2020, a cumulative total of 7,823,289 confirmed cases of COVID-19 have been reported across 216 countries and territories worldwide. However, there is little information on the clinical characteristics and outcomes of critically ill patients with severe COVID-19 who were admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) in Latin America. The present study evaluated the clinical characteristics and outcomes of critically ill patients with severe COVID-19 who were admitted to ICUs in Mexico.MethodsThis was a multicenter observational study that included 164 critically ill patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 who were admitted to 10 ICUs in Mexico, from April 1 to April 30, 2020. Demographic data, comorbid conditions, clinical presentation, treatment, and outcomes were collected and analyzed. The date of final follow-up was June 4, 2020.ResultsA total of 164 patients with severe COVID-19 were included in this study. The mean age of patients was 57.3 years (SD 13.7), 114 (69.5%) were men, and 6.0% were healthcare workers. Comorbid conditions were common in patients with critical COVID-19: 38.4% of patients had hypertension and 32.3% had diabetes. Compared to survivors, nonsurvivors were older and more likely to have diabetes, hypertension or other conditions. Patients presented to the hospital a median of 7 days (IQR 4.5–9) after symptom onset. The most common presenting symptoms were shortness of breath, fever, dry cough, and myalgias. One hundred percent of patients received invasive mechanical ventilation for a median time of 11 days (IQR 6–14). A total of 139 of 164 patients (89.4%) received vasopressors, and 24 patients (14.6%) received renal replacement therapy during hospitalization. Eighty-five (51.8%) patients died at or before 30 days, with a median survival of 25 days. Age (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.02–1.08; p<0.001) and C-reactive protein levels upon ICU admission (1.008; 95% CI, 1.003–1.012; p<0.001) were associated with a higher risk of in-hospital death. ICU length of stay was associated with reduced in-hospital mortality risk (OR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.84–0.94; p<0.001).ConclusionsThis observational study of critically ill patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 who were admitted to the ICU in Mexico demonstrated that age and C-reactive protein level upon ICU admission were associated with in-hospital mortality, and the overall hospital mortality rate was high.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04336345.     

Eosinopenia and post-hospital outcomes in critically ill non-cardiac vascular surgery patients

Background and aimsEosinopenia is a marker for acute inflammation. We hypothesized that eosinopenia at Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission in vascular surgery patients who receive critical care, would be associated with increased mortality following hospital discharge.Methods and resultsWe performed a two-center observational cohort study of critically ill, non-cardiac adult vascular surgery patients who received treatment in Boston between 1997 and 2012 and survived hospital admission. The consecutive sample included 5083 patients (male 57%, white 82%, mean age [SD] 61.6 [17.4] years). The exposure was Absolute eosinophil count measured within 24 h of admission to the ICU and categorized as ≤10 cells/μL, 11–50 cells/μL, 51–100 cells/μL, 101–350 cells/μL (normal range), and >350 cells/μL.The primary outcome was all-cause mortality within 90 days of hospital discharge. The secondary outcome was discharge to home following hospitalization. 90-day post-discharge mortality was 6.7%, and 12.9% of patients were readmitted within 30 days. After multivariable adjustment, patients with eosinopenia (≤10 cells/μL) have a 90-day post-discharge mortality OR of 1.97 (95%CI 1.42, 2.73; P < 0.001) relative to patients with an absolute eosinophil count of 101–350 cells/μL. Further, after multivariable adjustment, patients with eosinopenia (≤10 cells/μL) have a 25% lower odds of discharge to home compared to patients with an absolute eosinophil count of 101–350 cells/μL [OR = 0.71 (CI 95% 0.59–0.85); P < 0.001].ConclusionEosinopenia at ICU admission is a robust predictor of increased mortality and lower likelihood of discharge to home in vascular surgery patients treated with critical care who survive hospitalization.     

Synergistic impact of low serum albumin on intensive care unit admission and high blood urea nitrogen during intensive care unit stay on post‐intensive care unit mortality in critically ill elderly patients requiring mechanical ventilation

Aims: To identify intensive care unit (ICU) risk factors for post‐ICU 6‐month (PI6M) mortality in critically ill elderly patients requiring mechanical ventilation (MV). Methods: The present study was a retrospective observational study carried out in a respiratory ICU from December 2008 to December 2009. Medical records of patients aged ≥70 years and receiving MV were reviewed. Risk factors of PI6M mortality were assessed by multivariate Cox regression. Results: Of 120 patients enrolled, 46 (38%) died in the PI6M period. As compared with survivors, non‐survivors had lower serum albumin levels on ICU admission, lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, higher peak blood urea nitrogen (BUN) levels during ICU stay (ICU‐peak BUN), a higher ratio of prolonged steroid use and longer MV length in ICU. Independent risk factors of PI6M mortality were low albumin on admission (hazard ratio [HR] 3.53 per g/dL decrease, 95% CI [1.97–6.33], P < 0.001) and high ICU‐peak BUN (HR 1.11 per 10‐mg/dL increase, [1.04–1.18], P = 0.001). The HR for PI6M mortality was 7.88 [2.97–20.91] for patients with both risk factors (albumin ≤2.8 g/dL and ICU‐peak BUN >72 mg/dL) as compared with those without. For patients with high ICU‐peak BUN (>72 mg/dL), PI6M survival was better for those with a reduction in BUN level to ≤72 mg/dL at ICU discharge than those without. Conclusions: Low serum albumin level on ICU admission and high BUN level during ICU stay are two independent risk factors, especially their combination, of PI6M mortality in critically ill elderly patients requiring MV. Furthermore, patients with a reduction in high BUN have a better PI6M survival. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2013; 13: 107–115 .     

Does Pulmonary Embolism in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients Worsen the In-Hospital Mortality: A Meta-Analysis

BackgroundMortality in critically ill COVID (coronavirus disease) patients secondary to pulmonary embolism (PE) has conflicting data. We aim to evaluate the mortality outcomes of critically ill patients with and without PE (WPE).MethodsThree studies were identified after a digital database search on PE in ICU (intensive care unit) patients until September 2020. The primary outcome was mortality. Outcomes were compared using a random method odds ratio and confidence interval of 95%.ResultsA total of 439 patients were included in the study. Diabetes, hypertension, and renal replacement requirement had no statistically significant association between PE and WPE, p = 0.39, p = 0.23, and p = 0.29 respectively. The study revealed that males have higher odds of PE, OR-1.98, 95%CI-1.01-3.89; p = 0.05. In-hospital mortality results were comparable between PE and WPE after subgroup analysis and correction of heterogeneity, p = 0.25.ConclusionPE in critically ill COVID patients had similar in-hospital mortality outcomes as WPE patients. The findings are only hypotheses generated from observational studies and need future randomized, prospective clinical trials for a definitive conclusion.     

Cardiovascular disease in the homeless: a systematic review of observational and interventional studies

BackgroundCardiovascular disease causes excess mortality and morbidity in socially excluded (inclusion health) populations. However, no specific guidelines exist for the treatment of cardiovascular disease in these individuals, including homeless populations. We aimed to better understand the disease burden and to identify evidence-based interventions in this setting by reviewing studies examining targeted interventions and prevalence of cardiovascular disease in homeless individuals.MethodsIn this systematic review, we searched Embase for observational and interventional studies of cardiovascular disease in homeless populations published on or before Dec 19, 2018, using the keywords “heart diseases”, “adrenergic beta-antagonists”, “cardiotonic agents”, “cardiovascular diseases”, “cardio-renal syndrome”, “hypertension” and “homeless [population]”. Two independent reviewers selected eligible articles and extracted relevant data, and used the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale to grade the quality of studies. The main outcome, assessed by a random-effects meta-analysis, was prevalence of cardiovascular disease (International Classification of Diseases-10 definition).FindingsOf 273 full-text articles that were retrieved, 17 (six case-control, 11 cohort) met the inclusion criteria, none of which considered interventions for cardiovascular disease. 13 (76%) of 17 were high quality, and all were based in Europe or North America, including 765 459 individuals, of whom 32 721 were homeless. 12 (71%) of 17 studies were published before 2011. Homeless individuals were more likely to have cardiovascular disease than were non-homeless individuals (pooled odds ratio [OR] 2·96 [95% CI 2·80–3·13]; p<0·0001; p_{heterogeneity}<0·0001). North American homeless individuals were more likely to have cardiovascular disease (pooled OR 3·07 [2·90–3·25]; p<0·0001; p_{heterogeneity}=0·0070) than their European counterparts (pooled OR 2·15 [1·81–2·54]; p<0·0001; p_{heterogeneity}=0·125). Compared with non-homeless individuals, hypertension was more likely in homeless people (pooled OR 1·38–1·09, 1·75; p=0·0070; heterogeneity p=0·94.InterpretationHomeless populations are at increased risk of cardiovascular disease. However, studies to-date are limited in number, geography and contemporary relevance with no interventional studies and considerable heterogeneity between existing studies. The increased burden of cardiovascular disease in homeless populations requires better characterisation and interventions need to be designed and tested urgently. Cardiovascular disease needs to be studied further in this setting if integrated care in homeless individuals is to become a reality.FundingNational Institute of Health Research Programme Development Grant (RP-DG-0117–10003).     

Long-term outcomes of postoperative atrial fibrillation following non cardiac surgery: A systematic review and metanalysis

BackgroundNew-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in non-cardiac postoperative setting is common and is associated with a high risk of in-hospital mortality and morbidity. The long-term risks of stroke, mortality and AF recurrence rate in patients with postoperative AF (POAF) are unclear.MethodsWe performed a systematic literature review in electronic databases from inception to March 5th, 2020 of studies reporting the incidence of stroke, mortality and AF recurrence in patients with POAF. We confined our analysis to studies with a cohort of at least 150 patients with POAF and with a median follow-up of 12 months as a minimum. Odds Ratios (OR) were pooled using a random-effects model.ResultsQualitative analysis included 8 studies (7 observational cohort studies and 1 randomized controlled trial) enrolling 3,718,587 patients. Six studies underwent metanalysis comprising 17,684 postoperative patients with POAF and 2,169,248 postoperative patients without POAF. The development of POAF conferred a four-fold increased risk of stroke in the long-term [OR 4.05; 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.91–5.62]. Mortality in the two studies reporting long-term data was higher in patients with POAF compared to those without POAF (OR 3.59; CI 95% 2.84–4.53). Data about recurrence were too heterogeneous to undergo metanalysis.ConclusionsPOAF is associated with a greater risk of stroke and mortality over the long-term period. Studies focusing on AF recurrence are needed to address the perception of POAF as a benign transient entity. The increased mortality risk following POAF should encourage systematic detection and prevention of this arrhythmia.     

Association between comorbid cardiomyopathy and composite endpoints of patients with congestive heart failure in the intensive care unit: a retrospective cohort study

BackgroundCongestive heart failure (HF) is a common condition in the intensive care unit (ICU). Cardiomyopathy is an important etiological factor in HF. However, few studies have explored the effect of cardiomyopathy on the prognosis of HF. This study explored the association between comorbid cardiomyopathy and the outcomes of critically ill patients with congestive HF.MethodsA retrospective cohort study was performed using data extracted from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. All adult patients with the first ICU admission were enrolled as participants but those diagnosed with cardiomyopathy alone were excluded. The demographics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory tests, scoring systems, and treatments of patients were extracted to further analyze. The composite endpoints included in-hospital mortality, cardiac arrest, and re-admission to the ICU. The association between cardiomyopathy comorbidity and the composite endpoints was assessed using propensity-score matching (PSM) and multivariable logistic regression models.ResultsA total of 27,901 critically ill patients were enrolled, including 1,023 patients diagnosed with cardiomyopathy and congestive HF. The average age of the cohort was 64.37±17.36 years, and 58.13% of the patients were men. The ethnicity of patients was mainly white (64.67%). Multivariable logistic regression analyses found the risk of composite endpoints in patients with cardiomyopathy was higher than other groups [odds ratio (OR) =1.87; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.62–2.15; P<0.001]. Compared to patients with congestive HF alone (OR =1.43; 95% CI: 1.26–1.62; P<0.001), patients with cardiomyopathy had a similar risk of in-hospital death (OR =1.35; 95% CI: 1.06–1.71; P=0.014). Moreover, the risks of cardiac arrest (OR =1.53; 95% CI: 1.01–2.34; P=0.029) and re-admission to the ICU (OR =1.74; 95% CI: 1.39–2.17; P<0.001) were both higher in patients with cardiomyopathy than other groups. After PSM, the risk of composite endpoints was still higher in patients with cardiomyopathy (OR =1.64; 95% CI: 1.33–2.02; P<0.001). The association was consistent among patients admitted to the coronary care unit (CCU) and medical ICU (MICU)/surgical ICU (SICU).ConclusionsComorbid cardiomyopathy increased the risk of composite endpoints in patients with congestive HF admitted to the ICU. Cardiomyopathy is related to the poor outcomes of critically ill patients with congestive HF.     

The prognosis of acute respiratory failure in critically ill cancer patients

Acute respiratory failure (ARF) in patients with cancer is frequently a fatal event. To identify factors associated with survival of cancer patients admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) for ARF, we conducted a prospective 5-year observational study in a medical ICU in a teaching hospital in Paris, France. The patients were 203 cancer patients with ARF mainly due to infectious pneumonia (58%), but also noninfectious pneumonia (9%), congestive heart failure (12%), and no identifiable cause (21%). We measured clinical characteristics and ICU and hospital mortality rates.ICU mortality was 44.8% and hospital mortality was 47.8%. Noninvasive mechanical ventilation was used in 79 (39%) patients and conventional mechanical ventilation in 114 (56%), the mortality rates being 48.1% and 75.4%, respectively. Among the 14 patients with late noninvasive mechanical ventilation failure (>48 hours), only 1 survived. The mortality rate was 100% in the 19 noncardiac patients in whom conventional mechanical ventilation was started after 72 hours. By multivariable analysis, factors associated with increased mortality were documented invasive aspergillosis (odds ratio [OR], 2.13; 95% confidence intervals [CI], 1.05-14.74), no definite diagnosis (OR, 3.85; 95% CI, 1.26-11.70), vasopressors (OR, 3.19; 95% CI, 1.28-7.95), first-line conventional mechanical ventilation (OR, 8.75; 95% CI, 2.35-35.24), conventional mechanical ventilation after noninvasive mechanical ventilation failure (OR, 17.46; 95% CI, 5.04-60.52), and late noninvasive mechanical ventilation failure (OR, 10.64; 95% CI, 1.05-107.83). Hospital mortality was lower in patients with cardiac pulmonary edema (OR, 0.16; 95% CI, 0.03-0.72).Survival gains achieved in critically ill cancer patients in recent years extend to patients requiring ventilatory assistance. The impact of conventional mechanical ventilation on survival depends on the time from ICU admission to conventional mechanical ventilation and on the patient's response to noninvasive mechanical ventilation.     

An observational study on bloodstream extended-spectrum beta-lactamase infection in critical care unit: incidence, risk factors and its impact on outcome

BackgroundThe incidence of nosocomial infections caused by extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL) producing microbes is increasing rapidly in the last few years. However, the clinical significance of infections caused by ESBL-producing bacteria in ICU patients remains unclear. We did a prospective study to look for incidence, risk factors and outcome of these infections in ICU patients.MethodsConsecutive isolates of Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae in blood cultures were included for the analysis. Patients were divided into two groups based on the production of ESBL. Primary outcome measure was ICU mortality. Logistic regression analysis was done to identify risk factors for ESBL production.ResultsAmong the 95 isolates tested, 73 (76.8%) produced ESBL. Transfer from other hospitals or wards (OR 3.65; 95% CI: 1.3–10.1 and RR 1.35; 95% CI: 1.05–1.73) and previous history of antibiotics usage (OR 3.54; 95% CI: 1.04–11.97 and RR 1.5; 95% CI: 0.89–2.5) were risk factors for ESBL production. There was no significant difference in ICU mortality (p = 0.588), need for organ support between two groups.ConclusionThere is a high incidence of ESBL producing organisms causing blood stream infections in critically ill patients. Transfer from other hospitals and previous antibiotic usage are important risk factors for ESBL production. However ESBL production may not be associated with a poorer outcome if appropriate early antibiotic therapy is instituted.     

Bicarbonate therapy in the treatment of septic shock: a second look

The use of supplemental sodium bicarbonate for the treatment of patients with septic shock and elevated blood lactate levels remains a controversial therapy. We conducted a retrospective study between March 2004 and February 2009 of 36 consecutive patients diagnosed with septic shock who received continuous infusion of bicarbonate therapy. A control group was matched 1:1 for age, site of infection, and predicted mortality by APACHE II. All patients were managed according to standard protocols. The median time until reversal of shock did not achieve statistical significance between the bicarbonate group (44.5 h [95% confidence interval [CI] 34–54] and the control group (55.0 h [95% CI 39–60] (p = 0.09). The median time to liberation of mechanical ventilation was significantly reduced in the bicarbonate group (10 days [95% CI 5.0–13.0] compared to the control group (14 days [95% CI 9.0–19.0], p = 0.02). The length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay was also shorter in the surviving patients who received bicarbonate compared to controls (median 11.5 days (95% CI 6.0–16.0) vs. 16.0 days (95% CI 13.5–19.0), respectively; p = 0.01). However, there was no difference in 28-day mortality between the two study groups (28%; 95% CI 14–45% vs. 33%; 95% CI 19–51%, respectively; p = 0.79). Infusion of sodium bicarbonate in septic patients with arterial hyperlactatemia may facilitate weaning from mechanical ventilation and reduce length of ICU stay.     

Comparison of prognosis predictive value of 4 disease severity scoring systems in patients with acute respiratory failure in intensive care unit: A STROBE report

Various disease severity scoring systems were currently used in critically ill patients with acute respiratory failure, while their performances were not well investigated.The study aimed to investigate the difference in prognosis predictive value of 4 different disease severity scoring systems in patients with acute respiratory failure.With a retrospective cohort study design, adult patients admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) with acute respiratory failure were screened and relevant data were extracted from an open-access American intensive care database to calculate the following disease severity scores on ICU admission: acute physiology score (APS) III, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (SOFA), quick SOFA (qSOFA), and Oxford Acute Severity of Illness Score (OASIS). Hospital mortality was chosen as the primary outcome. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to analyze the association of each scoring system with the outcome. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were conducted to evaluate the prognosis predictive performance of each scoring system.A total of 4828 patients with acute respiratory failure were enrolled with a hospital mortality rate of 16.78%. APS III (odds ratio [OR] 1.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02–1.03), SOFA (OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.12–1.18), qSOFA (OR 1.26, 95% CI 1.11–1.42), and OASIS (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.05–1.08) were all significantly associated with hospital mortality after adjustment for age and comorbidities. Receiver operating characteristic analyses showed that APS III had the highest area under the curve (AUC) (0.703, 95% CI 0.683–0.722), and SOFA and OASIS shared similar predictive performance (area under the curve 0.653 [95% CI 0.631–0.675] and 0.664 [95% CI 0.644–0.685], respectively), while qSOFA had the worst predictive performance for predicting hospital mortality (0.553, 95% CI 0.535–0.572).These results suggested the prognosis predictive value varied among the 4 different disease severity scores for patients admitted to ICU with acute respiratory failure.     

No association between alcohol consumption and risk of atrial fibrillation: A two-sample Mendelian randomization study

Background and aimsAlthough many observational studies have suggested that alcohol intake was associated with incident atrial fibrillation (AF), controversy remains. This study aimed to examine the causal association of alcohol intake with the risk of AF.Methods and resultsTwo-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was performed to estimate the causal effects of alcohol consumption, alcohol dependence, or alcohol use disorder identification test (AUDIT) scores on AF. Summary data on single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with AF were obtained from a genome-wide association study (GWAS) with up to 1,030,836 participants. The fixed- and random-effect inverse-variance weighted (IVW) methods were used to calculate the overall causal effects. MR analysis revealed nonsignificant association of genetically predicted alcohol consumption with risk of AF using fixed- and random-effect IVW approaches (odds ratio (OR) [95% confidence interval (CI)] = 1.004 [0.796–1.266], P = 0.975; OR [95% CI] = 1.004 [0.766–1.315], P = 0.979). Genetically predicted alcohol dependence was also not causally associated with AF in the fixed- and random-effect IVW analyses (OR [95% CI] = 1.012 [0.978–1.048], P = 0.490; OR [95% CI] = 1.012 [0.991–1.034], P = 0.260). There was no significantly causal association between AUDIT and AF in the fixed- and random-effect IVW analyses (OR [95% CI] = 0.889 [0.433–1.822], P = 0.748; OR [95% CI] = 0.889 [0.309–2.555], P = 0.827). Sensitivity analyses indicated no evidence of pleiotropy and heterogeneity in statistical models.ConclusionsThis MR study did not find evidence of a causal association between alcohol intake and AF.     

Outcome of critically ill patients with hematological malignancies

The prognosis for patients with hematological malignancies (HMs) admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) is poor. The objective of this study was to evaluate the clinical characteristics and hospital outcomes of critically ill patients with HMs admitted to an oncological ICU. This is a prospective, observational cohort study. A total of 102 patients with HMs admitted to ICU from January 2008 to April 2011 were included. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were used to identify factors associated with hospital mortality. During the study period, 3,776 patients with HM were admitted to the Department of Hematology of the Instituto Nacional de Cancerología located in Mexico City, Mexico. After being evaluated by the intensivist, 102 (2.68 %) patients were admitted to the ICU. The ICU mortality rates for patients who had two or less organ system failures and for those with three or more organ system dysfunctions were 20 % (5/25) and 70.1 % (54/77), respectively (P?<?0.0001). A multivariate analysis identified independent prognostic factors of inhospital death as neutropenia at the time of ICU admission (odds ratio (OR), 4.24; 95 % confidence interval (CI), 1.36–13.19, P?=?0.012), the need for vasopressors (OR, 4.49; 95 % CI, 1.07–18.79, P?=?0.040), need for invasive mechanical ventilation (OR, 4.49; 95 % CI, 1.07–18.79, P?=?0.040), and serum creatinine >106 μmol/L (OR, 3.21; 95 % CI, 1.05–9.85, P?=?0.041). The ICU and hospital mortality rates were 46.1 and 57.8 %, respectively. The independent prognostic factors of inhospital death were the need for invasive mechanical ventilation, the need for vasopressors, serum creatinine >106 μmol/L, and neutropenia at the time of ICU admission.     

Deficiency of fat-soluble vitamins in chronic pancreatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background and aimsChronic pancreatitis (CP) patients are at risk for fat-soluble vitamins (A, D, E, K) deficiency, but available studies are small and heterogeneous. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the prevalence of fat–soluble vitamins deficiency in CP patients.MethodsMedline was searched up to January 2016 for case series and case-control studies reporting prevalence of fat-soluble vitamin deficiency in CP patients. The prevalent deficiency rate was pooled for included studies, and deficiency rate between CP and controls, with relative odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) calculated for case-control studies.ResultsTwelve studies including 548 patients included. With a random-effect model, the pooled prevalence rate of vitamin A, D and E deficiency were 16.8% (95%CI 6.9–35.7), 57.6% (95%CI 43.9–70.4) and 29.2% (95%CI 8.6–64.5) respectively, with considerable heterogeneity (I² = 75%, 87.1% and 92%). Only one study evaluated vitamin K deficiency. The pooled OR for vitamin D deficiency in CP cases compared with controls was 1.17 (95% CI 0.77–1.78). Sensitivity analyses showed lower prevalence of vitamin A and E, and higher prevalence of vitamin D deficiency in high-quality studies. The rate of pancreatic exocrine insufficiency did not seem affect the deficiency rates, while the use of different cut-offs influences results and heterogeneity for vitamin E, but not A.ConclusionsFat-soluble vitamins deficiency is frequent in CP patients, with considerable heterogeneity. There is, however, no apparent increased risk of vitamin D deficiency in CP compared to controls. Larger, high-quality studies are necessary to better estimate the prevalence of fat-soluble vitamins deficiency, including vitamin K.     

AKI Complications in Critically Ill Patients: Association with Mortality Rates and RRT

Background and objectives

AKI is associated with short- and long-term mortality. However, the exact contribution of AKI complications to the burden of mortality and whether RRT has any beneficial effect on reducing mortality rates in critically ill AKI patients are unknown.

Design, setting, participants, & measurements

This was a retrospective analysis using data from the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care II project. A total of 18,410 adult patients were enrolled from four intensive care units from a university hospital from 2001 to 2008.

Results

Overall, 10,245 patients developed AKI. After adjustments, the odds ratios (ORs) for hospital mortality were 1.73 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.52 to 1.98) for AKI stage 1, 1.88 (95% CI, 1.57 to 2.25) for stage 2, and 2.89 (95% CI, 2.41 to 3.46) for stage 3. Totals of 33%, 59%, and 70% of the excess mortality rates associated with AKI stages 1, 2, and 3, respectively, were attenuated by the inclusion of each AKI-related complication in the model. The main burden of excess hospital mortality associated with AKI was attenuated by metabolic acidosis and cumulative fluid balance. Long-term mortality was not attenuated by any of the associated complications. Next, we used two different approaches to explore the associations between RRT, AKI complications, and hospital mortality: multivariate analysis and propensity score matching. In both approaches, the sensitivity analysis for RRT was associated with a better hospital survival in only the following AKI-related subgroups: hyperkalemia (OR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.35 to 0.85), metabolic acidosis (OR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.53 to 0.92), cumulative fluid balance >5% of body weight (OR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.40 to 0.88), and azotemia (OR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.40 to 0.81).

Conclusions

A majority of the excess risk of mortality associated with AKI was attenuated by its fluid volume and metabolic complications, particularly in severe AKI. In addition, this study demonstrated that RRT is associated with a better outcome in patients with AKI-related complications.