Blood transfusion is an independent predictor of increased mortality in nonoperatively managed blunt hepatic and splenic injuries

BACKGROUND: Management strategies for blunt solid viscus injuries often include blood transfusion. However, transfusion has previously been identified as an independent predictor of mortality in unselected trauma admissions. We hypothesized that transfusion would adversely affect mortality and outcome in patients presenting with blunt hepatic and splenic injuries after controlling for injury severity and degree of shock. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed records from all adults with blunt hepatic and/or splenic injuries admitted to a Level I trauma center over a 4-year period. Demographics, physiologic variables, injury severity, and amount of blood transfused were analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analysis with logistic and linear regression were used to identify predictors of mortality and outcome. RESULTS: One hundred forty-three (45%) of 316 patients presenting with blunt hepatic and/or splenic injuries received blood transfusion within the first 24 hours. Two hundred thirty patients (72.8%) were selected for nonoperative management, of whom 75 (33%) required transfusion in the first 24 hours. Transfusion was an independent predictor of mortality in all patients (odds ratio [OR], 4.75; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.37-16.4; p = 0.014) and in those managed nonoperatively (OR, 8.45; 95% CI, 1.95-36.53; p = 0.0043) after controlling for indices of shock and injury severity. The risk of death increased with each unit of packed red blood cells transfused (OR per unit, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.10-1.24; p < 0.0001). Blood transfusion was also an independent predictor of increased hospital length of stay (coefficient, 5.45; 95% CI, 1.64-9.25; p = 0.005). CONCLUSION: Blood transfusion is a strong independent predictor of mortality and hospital length of stay in patients with blunt liver and spleen injuries after controlling for indices of shock and injury severity. Transfusion-associated mortality risk was highest in the subset of patients managed nonoperatively. Prospective examination of transfusion practices in treatment algorithms of blunt hepatic and splenic injuries is warranted.     

Obesity is an independent risk factor of mortality in severely injured blunt trauma patients

HYPOTHESIS: Obesity is associated with increased morbidity and mortality in critically injured blunt trauma patients. DESIGN: Case-control study of all critically injured blunt trauma patients between January 2002 and December 2002. SETTING: Academic level I trauma center at a county referral hospital. PATIENTS: Two hundred forty-two consecutive patients admitted to the intensive care unit following blunt trauma. Patients were divided into 2 groups by body mass index. The obese group was defined as having a body mass index of 30 kg/m2 or higher, and the nonobese group was defined as having a body mass index lower than 30 kg/m2. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify risk factors for mortality. Complications and length of stay were also evaluated. RESULTS: Of the 242 patients, 63 (26%) were obese, and 179 (74%) were nonobese. The obese and nonobese groups were similar with regard to age (mean +/- SD, 49 +/- 18 years vs 45 +/- 22 years), male sex (63% vs 72%), Glasgow Coma Scale score (mean +/- SD, 11 +/- 5 vs 11 +/- 5), and injury severity score (mean +/- SD, 21 +/- 13 vs 20 +/- 14). The obese group had a higher body mass index (mean +/- SD, 35 +/- 7 vs 24 +/- 3; P<.001). Mechanisms of injury and injury patterns were similar between groups. The obese group had a higher incidence of multiple organ failure (13% vs 3%; P =.02) and mortality (32% vs 16%; P=.008). Obesity was an independent predictor of mortality with an adjusted odds ratio of 5.7 (95% confidence interval, 1.9-19.6; P=.003). CONCLUSIONS: Critically injured obese trauma patients have similar demographics and injury patterns as nonobese patients. Obesity is an independent predictor of mortality following severe blunt trauma.     

Self harm is an independent predictor of mortality in trauma and burns patients admitted to ICU

BackgroundPatients with mental illness or depression may sustain self-inflicted injuries that require admission to an Intensive Care Unit (ICU). It is unknown whether the intent of injury leads to a greater likelihood of dying over and above the severity of the initial injury.Given the economic and societal burden of injury of self-harm, we designed this study to compare hospital outcomes of intentionally injured patients presenting to a tertiary ICU compared to unintentional injuries.MethodsThe regional trauma database was interrogated to produce two datasets that included all adult trauma patients admitted to the Alfred Intensive Care Unit between 01/07/2002 and 30/06/2007. The first included patients that sustained intentional injuries, the second comprised un-intentional injuries and acted as a control group. Logistic regression was used to model factors associated with mortality.ResultsIntentionally injured patients made up 4.17% of the total burns, blunt and penetrating trauma admissions to the Alfred ICU over the five-year study period. There was a trend towards higher mortality overall and in all subgroups of patients with intentional injuries when compared to those with un-intentional mechanisms of injury. After adjusting for injury severity and age, a mechanism of injury involving intentional injury was independently associated with a doubling of the odds of death.ConclusionsOur study is the first paper in the literature to describe an increased the risk of death within a group of patients admitted to a trauma and burns ICU following deliberate self-harm.     

Fibrinogen is an independent predictor of mortality in major trauma patients: A five-year statewide cohort study

IntroductionFibrinogen may be reduced following traumatic injury due to loss from haemorrhage, increased consumption and reduced synthesis. In the absence of clinical trials, guidelines for fibrinogen replacement are based on expert opinion and vary internationally. We aimed to determine prevalence and predictors of low fibrinogen on admission in major trauma patients and investigate association of fibrinogen levels with patient outcomes.Patients and methodsData on all major trauma patients (January 2007–July 2011) identified through a prospective statewide trauma registry in Victoria, Australia were linked with laboratory and transfusion data. Major trauma included any of the following: death after injury, injury severity score (ISS) >15, admission to intensive care unit requiring mechanical ventilation, or urgent surgery for intrathoracic, intracranial, intra-abdominal procedures or fixation of pelvic or spinal fractures. Associations between initial fibrinogen level and in-hospital mortality were analysed using multiple logistic regression.ResultsOf 4773 patients identified, 114 (2.4%) had fibrinogen less than 1 g/L, 283 (5.9%) 1.0–1.5 g/L, 617 (12.9%) 1.6–1.9 g/L, 3024 (63.4%) 2–4 g/L and 735 (15%) >4 g/L. Median fibrinogen was 2.6 g/L (interquartile range 2.1–3.4). After adjusting for age, gender, ISS, injury type, pH, temperature, Glasgow Coma Score (GCS), initial international normalised ratio and platelet count, the lowest fibrinogen categories, compared with normal range, were associated with increased in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio [OR] for less than 1 g/L 3.28 [95% CI 1.71–6.28, p < 0.01], 1–1.5 g/L adjusted OR 2.08 [95% CI 1.36–3.16, p < 0.01] and 1.6–1.9 g/L adjusted OR 1.39 [95% CI 0.97–2.00, p = 0.08]). Predictors of initial fibrinogen <1.5 g/L were younger age, lower GCS, systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg, chest decompression, penetrating injury, ISS >25 and lower pH and temperature.ConclusionsInitial fibrinogen levels less than the normal range are independently associated with higher in-hospital mortality in major trauma patients. Future studies are warranted to investigate whether earlier and/or greater fibrinogen replacement improves clinical outcomes.     

Hypothermia is an independent predictor of mortality in ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms

Hypothermia is known to significantly increase mortality in trauma patients, but the effect of hypothermia on outcomes in ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (RAAA) has not been evaluated. The authors reviewed their experience from 1990 to 1999 in 100 consecutive patients who presented with RAAA and survived at least to the operating room for surgical treatment. There were 70 men and 30 women, with a mean overall age of 74 +/-8 years. Overall mortality was 47%. Univariate ANOVA (analysis of variants) showed significant correlation with mortality for decreased intraoperative temperature, decreased intraoperative systolic blood pressure, increased intraoperative base deficit, increased blood volume transfused, increased crystalloid volume (all p < 0.001); decreased preoperative hemoglobin (p = 0.015); and increased age (p = 0.026). Patient sex, initial preoperative temperature, preoperative systolic blood pressure, and operating room time were not correlated with mortality in the univariate analysis. Using these same clinical variables, multiple logistic regression analysis showed only 2 factors independently correlated with mortality: lowest intraoperative temperature (p = 0.006) and intraoperative base deficit (p = 0.009). The mean lowest temperature for survivors was 35 +/-1 degrees C and for nonsurvivors 33 +/-2 degrees C (p < 0.001). When patients were grouped by lowest intraoperative temperature, those whose temperature was < 32 degrees C (n = 15) had a mortality rate of 91%, whereas patients with a temperature between 32 and 35 degrees C (n = 50) had a mortality rate of 60%. In the group that remained at or > 35 degrees C (n = 35) the mortality rate was only 9%. A nomogram of predicted mortality versus temperature was constructed from these data and showed that for temperatures of 36, 34, and 32 degrees C the predicted mortality was 15%, 49%, and 84%, respectively. The authors conclude that hypothermia is a strong independent contributor to mortality in patients with ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms and that very aggressive measures to prevent hypothermia are warranted during the resuscitation and treatment of these patients.     

Acquired hypernatraemia is an independent predictor of mortality in critically ill patients

This study reports the incidence and associated mortality of acquired hypernatraemia (Na > 150 mmol.l⁻¹) in a general medical/surgical intensive care unit. Patients admitted over a 5-year period with normal sodium values were eligible for inclusion; exclusions were made for burn/neurosurgical diagnoses and for hypertonic saline therapy. From 3475 admissions (3317 patients), 266 (7.7%) episodes of hypernatraemia were observed. Hospital mortality was 33.5% in the hypernatraemic group and 7.7% in the normonatraemic group (p < 0.001). Acquired hypernatraemia was an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality (OR 1.97, 95% CI 1.37–2.82, p < 0.001). Intermediate sodium levels (145–150 mmol.l⁻¹) were associated with increased mortality (OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.02–1.98). Uncorrected sodium at discharge (p = 0.001) and peak sodium (p = 0.001) were better predictors of mortality than time to onset (p = 0.71) and duration of hypernatraemia (p = 1.0). Hypernatraemia avoidance is justified, but determinants of hypernatraemia and benefits of targeted treatment strategies require further elucidation.     

Blood transfusion,independent of shock severity,is associated with worse outcome in trauma

BACKGROUND: We have previously shown that blood transfusion in the first 24 hours is an independent predictor of mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and increased ICU length of stay in the acute trauma setting when controlling for Injury Severity Score, Glasgow Coma Scale score, and age. Indices of shock such as base deficit, serum lactate level, and admission hemodynamic status (systolic blood pressure, heart rate) and admission hematocrit were considered potential confounding variables in that study. The objectives of this study were to evaluate admission anemia and blood transfusion within the first 24 hours as independent predictors of mortality, ICU admission, ICU length of stay (LOS), and hospital LOS, with serum lactate level, base deficit, and shock index (heart rate/systolic blood pressure) as covariates. METHODS: Prospective data were collected on 15,534 patients admitted to a Level I trauma center over a 3-year period (1998-2000) and stratified by age, gender, race, Glasgow Coma Scale score, and Injury Severity Score. Admission anemia and blood transfusion were assessed as independent predictors of mortality, ICU admission, ICU LOS, and hospital LOS by logistic regression analysis, with base deficit, serum lactate, and shock index as covariates. RESULTS: Blood transfusion was a strong independent predictor of mortality (odds ratio [OR], 2.83; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.82-4.40; p < 0.001), ICU admission (OR, 3.27; 95% CI, 2.69-3.99; p < 0.001), ICU LOS (p < 0.001), and hospital LOS (Coef, 4.37; 95% CI, 2.79-5.94; p < 0.001) when stratified by indices of shock (base deficit, serum lactate, shock index, and anemia). Patients who underwent blood transfusion were almost three times more likely to die and greater than three times more likely to be admitted to the ICU. Admission anemia (hematocrit < 36%) was an independent predictor of ICU admission (p = 0.008), ICU LOS (p = 0.012), and hospital LOS (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Blood transfusion is confirmed as an independent predictor of mortality, ICU admission, ICU LOS, and hospital LOS in trauma after controlling for severity of shock by admission base deficit, lactate, shock index, and anemia. The use of other hemoglobin-based oxygen-carrying resuscitation fluids (such as human or bovine hemoglobin substitutes) in the acute postinjury period warrants further investigation.     

Troponin T is an independent predictor of mortality in renal transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: Numerous reports have demonstrated an association between elevated Troponin T levels and adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease. However, whether raised Troponin T levels are an independent predictor of mortality in renal transplant recipients has not yet been established. The aim of this study was, therefore, to assess the use of Troponin T as a prognostic marker in a population of renal transplant recipients. METHODS: Three hundred and seventy-two asymptomatic renal transplant recipients were recruited between June 2000 and December 2002. Troponin T was measured at baseline and prospective follow-up data were collected at a median of 1739 days. RESULTS: In Kaplan-Meier analysis a Troponin T level > or = 0.03 microg/l was a significant predictor of mortality (P < 0.001). In Cox Regression analysis, an elevated Troponin T level remained a significant predictor of mortality following adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors (P < 0.001) and following adjustment for estimated glomerular filtration rate and high sensitivity C reactive protein (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated Troponin T level is a strong independent predictor of all cause mortality in patients with a renal transplant. Troponin T, therefore, represents a promising biochemical marker that identifies those renal transplant recipients who are most likely to benefit from aggressive cardiovascular risk factor modification.     

Hematuria as a predictor of abdominal injury after blunt trauma.

Among the 1,484 patients included in the Renal Trauma Project with evidence of blunt trauma and hematuria, 160 patients were found to have both hematuria and a significant intra-abdominal injury not related to the genitourinary system. The incidence of abdominal injury generally increased with the degree of hematuria, approaching 24% in patients with gross hematuria. For each category of degree of hematuria, patients with shock had a significantly higher incidence of abdominal injury (p < 0.05) than patients without shock. The incidence of abdominal injury in patients with microscopic hematuria and shock was 29%, and it was 65% for patients with both gross hematuria and shock. All patients with gross hematuria after blunt abdominal trauma and all patients with microscopic hematuria and a history of shock should be evaluated for both urologic and extra-renal abdominal injuries.     

High bone turnover is an independent predictor of mortality in the frail elderly.

Osteoporotic fractures are associated with accelerated bone turnover and excess mortality. In a prospective study of 1112 frail subjects (79% female; mean age, 86 years), high bone turnover was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality. This association seemed to be mainly manifested in deaths from cardiovascular causes. INTRODUCTION: Osteoporotic fractures are associated with accelerated bone turnover and excess mortality. In a prospective cohort study of elderly men and women, we assessed whether the rate of bone turnover measured by markers of bone remodeling is a direct predictor of mortality. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We measured serum concentrations of the aminoterminal propeptide of type I collagen (PINP), a marker of bone formation, and of the carboxyterminal telopeptide of type I collagen (CTX-I), a marker of bone resorption, along with serum PTH and 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] levels in 1112 subjects (79% female; mean age, 86 years) living in residential care. Co-morbidity was measured using the Implicit Illness Severity Scale. Fracture data were validated by a radiology report. Mortality and causes of death were ascertained from death certificates. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 817 days, 559 (50.3%) subjects died. In univariate analyses, time to death from all causes was significantly (p < 0.01) associated with age (HR = 1.62 per 10 years), male sex (HR = 1.33), immobility (HR = 1.94), co-morbidity (HR = 0.31, mild versus severe), lower weight (HR = 0.83 per 10-kg increase), impaired cognitive function (HR = 2.14, severe versus normal), number of medications (HR = 1.05 each), hip fracture (HR = 2.26), log serum creatinine (HR = 1.67), log PTH (HR = 1.29), CTX-I (HR = 1.70, highest 25% versus lowest 75%), and PINP (HR = 1.46, highest 25% versus lowest 75%). In multivariate analysis adjusting for age, sex, immobility, co-morbidity, weight, cognitive function, number of medications, PTH, and hip fracture status, the highest quartile was significantly more likely to die than the rest for both serum CTX-I (HR = 1.39; 95% CI: 1.14-1.70; p = 0.002) and PINP (HR = 1.25; 95% CI: 1.02-1.52; p = 0.03). For individual causes of death, CTX-I was significantly associated with deaths from cardiac causes (HR = 1.78: 95% CI: 1.27-2.50; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that in the frail elderly, high bone turnover is associated with all cause mortality independently of age, sex, health status, serum PTH levels, and hip fracture status. The mechanism of the effect of bone turnover on mortality seems to be mainly manifested in deaths from cardiovascular causes.     

Interleukin-6 is an independent predictor of mortality in patients starting dialysis treatment.

BACKGROUND: The mortality rate is high among end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients, and recent evidence suggests that this may be linked to inflammation. The activity of interleukin-6 (IL-6) and its soluble receptor (sIL-6R) are markedly up-regulated in ESRD patients, and plasma IL-6 levels predict outcome in haemodialysis (HD) patients. However, it has not been established whether elevated plasma IL-6 also predicts outcome in ESRD patients treated by peritoneal dialysis (PD), and how it relates to the data on HD patients. The predictive power of sIL-6R levels on outcome is also unknown in this patient population. METHODS: To determine whether or not plasma IL-6 and sIL-6R predict patient survival, we studied 173 ESRD patients (62% males, 53+/-1 years of age) near the initiation of dialysis treatment (99 PD, 74 HD patients). The patients were followed for a mean period of 3.1+/-0.1 years (range 0.1-7.1 years) and were stratified at the start of dialysis treatment according to age, gender, presence of cardiovascular disease, malnutrition (determined by subjective global assessment), diabetes mellitus, and IL-6 and sIL-6R plasma levels. RESULTS: A significantly different (P<0.0001) mortality rate was observed in different groups when patients were divided into quartiles according to IL-6 levels. Furthermore, the same differences were observed, less notably however, for sIL-6R (P<0.05). When patients were stratified according to IL-6 quartiles and analysed separately according to the different initial treatment groups, a similar profile of survival was observed for PD (P<0.01) and HD (P<0.05) patients. In a Cox proportional hazard model adjusting for the impact of age, malnutrition, diabetes mellitus and male gender, log IL-6 values were independently associated with poor outcome (P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The present study demonstrates that the strong predictive value of elevated IL-6 levels for poor outcome in ESRD patients is similar in both HD and PD patients starting treatment.     

Body habitus as a predictor of injury pattern after blunt trauma.

The records of obese and nonobese victims of blunt trauma were compared to determine if obese individuals are predisposed to a specific injury pattern. Prospectively collected data on 6368 adults admitted to a level I trauma center over a 4-year period were analyzed. Twelve percent (743 patients) met Body Mass Index (weight/height2) criteria for obesity (greater than or equal to 30 kg/m2). The obese group was older (p less than 0.01) and had lower ISSs (p less than 0.05) and higher GCS scores (p less than 0.01). More obese patients were injured in vehicular crashes (62.7% vs. 54.1% [p less than 0.01]). The obese victims were more likely to have rib fractures, pulmonary contusions, pelvic fractures, and extremity fractures and less likely to have incurred head trauma and liver injuries (p less than 0.05). Obese people injured in vehicular crashes had a similar injury pattern with no difference in seating position, direction of impact, seat belt use, and ejection.