Diabetes, mortality and coronary heart disease in the prospective Dubbo study of Australian elderly

Background: A prospective study of Australian elderly living in Dubbo has shown that diabetes is a significant predictor of all-causes mortality and coronary heart disease (CHD). Aim: To examine and contrast clinical and socio-demographic predictors of these outcomes in those with and without diabetes. Methods: The data are derived from a community-based sample of subjects 60 years and older followed over 62 months since 1988. Of 1155 men and 1472 women, 9.2% and 6.9% respectively manifested diabetes at baseline, based on history or fasting hyper-glycaemia. Results: In the presence of diabetes, all-causes mortality was increased twofold in both sexes, CHD incidence was increased twofold in men and threefold in women, stroke incidence was increased twofold in women but little changed in men. Proportional hazards models were derived separately for persons with and without diabetes and risk factors differentially predictive in diabetes were sought. Significant predictors of death in diabetes were old age and current smoking. Those factors differentially predictive were ‘being married’ (Relative Risk [RR] 1.60 with diabetes and 0.69 without diabetes) and higher body mass index (BMI) (RR 1.03 with diabetes and 0.79 without diabetes). Significant predictors of CHD in diabetes were old age, prior CHD, severe hypertension, low HDL cholesterol and self-rated health. Those factors differentially predictive were higher body mass index (RR 1.14 vs 0.83) and physical disability (RR 0.69 vs 1.55). Differential predictions with regard to BMI may relate in part to excess CHD and mortality at low BMI in non-diabetic subjects. Conclusion: The vascular disease burden of diabetes in the elderly has been confirmed, especially in women. A number of conventional risk factors are contributing to this burden and may be amenable to treatment.     

Gender differences in the impact of metabolic syndrome components on mortality in older people: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background and aimsThe influence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) on mortality may be influenced by age- and gender-related changes affecting the impact of individual MetS components. We investigated gender differences in the association between MetS components and mortality in community-dwelling older adults.Methods and resultsProspective studies were identified through a systematic literature review up to June 2019. Random-effect meta-analyses were run to estimate the pooled relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) of all-cause and cardiovascular (CV) mortality associated with the presence of MetS components (abdominal obesity, high triglycerides, low HDL cholesterol, high fasting glycemia, and high blood pressure) in older men and women. Meta-analyses considering all-cause (103,859 individuals, 48,830 men, 55,029 women; 10 studies) and CV mortality (94,965 individuals, 44,699 men, 50,266 women; 8 studies) did not reveal any significant association for abdominal obesity and high triglycerides in either gender. Low HDL was associated with increased all-cause (RR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.02–1.32) and CV mortality (RR = 1.34, 95% CI: 1.03–1.74) among women, while weaker results were found for men. High fasting glycemia was associated with higher all-cause mortality in older women (RR = 1.35, 95% CI: 1.22–1.50) more than in older men (RR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.13–1.30), and CV mortality only in the former (RR = 1.36, 95% CI: 1.04–1.78). Elevated blood pressure was associated with increased all-cause mortality (RR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.03–1.32) and showed marginal significant results for CV death only among women.ConclusionsThe impact of MetS components on mortality in older people present some gender differences, with low HDL cholesterol, hyperglycemia, and elevated blood pressure being more strongly associated to all-cause and CV mortality in women.     

Sex differences in the impact of diabetes on the risk of geriatric conditions

Aim: To examine whether sex differences exist in the relationship between diabetes and geriatric conditions. Methods: This was a cross‐sectional analysis of 2629 community‐dwelling older adults, drawn from the 2003 wave of the “Survey of Health and Living Status of the Elderly in Taiwan.” Selected geriatric conditions included cognitive impairment, depression, falls and urinary incontinence (UI). Diabetes and comorbid conditions (heart disease, hypertension, chronic lung disease, stroke, hip fracture, arthritis, chronic kidney disease and cancer) were assessed using questionnaires. Results: A greater proportion of older women, compared with men, had cognitive impairment (15.8% vs 7.3%), depression (22.6% vs 10.4%), falls (26.7% vs 16.3%), and UI (20.9% vs 15.1%). After adjustment for basic demographics and comorbid conditions, diabetes was associated with increased risk for cognitive impairment (RR 1.85 [CI 1.12–3.05], P = 0.017), depression (RR 2.03 [CI 1.39–2.97], P = 0.0003) and falls (RR 1.72 [CI 1.2–2.48], P = 0.003), but not UI (RR 1.4 [CI 0.9–2.1], P = 0.067) among older women. However, we did not find any associations in men. Conclusions: Diabetes was associated with excessive risk for geriatric conditions among older women, but not men. The effect of sex differences on the relationship between diabetes and geriatric conditions requires further exploration. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2013; 13: 116–122.     

The relationship between blood pressure and mortality in the oldest old

OBJECTIVES: To explore the relationship between systolic and diastolic blood pressure and risk of 6-year, all-cause mortality in men and women age 65 to 84 versus those 85 and older. DESIGN: A population-based longitudinal study. SETTING: This study was conducted at four different sites: East Boston, Massachusetts; New Haven, Connecticut; two rural counties in Iowa; and Piedmont, North Carolina. PARTICIPANTS: 12,802 community-dwelling persons age 65 and older. MEASUREMENTS: Baseline measurements collected include demographics, self-reported chronic medical conditions, blood pressure measurements, medications, health habits, and hospitalizations. RESULTS: Unadjusted actuarial survival analyses show that men age 65 to 84 years with systolic blood pressure < 130 mmHg have significantly lower mortality compared with those with systolic blood pressure > or = 180 mmHg (P < .0001). In contrast, men 85 and older with systolic blood pressure > or = 180 mmHg have significantly lower mortality compared with those with systolic blood pressure < 130 mmHg (P < .0001). In Cox proportional hazards analyses controlling for other predictors of survival, the hazard of death associated with each 10-mmHg increase in systolic blood pressure is positively associated among men age 65 to 84 years and negatively associated among men age 85 and older (Hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.04 (1.01, 1.07) for younger men vs 0.92 (0.86, 0.99) for older men). Among women age 65 to 84, the hazard of death significantly increased with increase in systolic blood pressure (P < .0001), while there was no relationship between level of systolic blood pressure and survival in women 85 and older. Both men 65 to 84 years old and those 85 and older showed a negative relationship between diastolic blood pressure and all-cause mortality (Hazard ratio 0.93, 95% CI (0.88-0.97) for men age 65-84 years, and Hazard ratio 0.90, 95% CI 0.80-1.02 for men 85 and older). CONCLUSION: In men age 85 and older, higher systolic blood pressure is associated with better survival.     

Incidence and predictors of drug-treated diabetes in elderly French subjects. The PAQUID Epidemiological Survey.

AIMS: To estimate the incidence and predictors of drug-treated diabetes in elderly subjects. METHODS: The PAQUID epidemiological survey, a population-based study, has followed up 3,777 subjects older than 65 years since 1988. At each visit (baseline, 1, 3, 5 and 8 years), treatment regimen was used to identify new drug-treated diabetic subjects. Potential predictors of drug-treated diabetes were collected during the baseline visit (body mass index (BMI), educational level, cigarette smoking and wine consumption, physical activity, depressive symptomatology, subjective health, treatment, and hypertension) and analysed by using a multivariate backward stepwise regression Cox model with delayed entry. RESULTS: The prevalence rate of drug-treated diabetes was 7.5% at baseline and 7.1% after 8 years' follow-up. The incidence rate of drug-treated diabetes was 3.8/1,000 person-years, 5.9/1,000 person-years in men and 2.4/1,000 person-years in women, with no significant variation according to age group. Male sex (relative risk (RR) 2.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.4-4.0, P < 0.001, attributable risk (AR) 0.36), elevated BMI (for one point increase, RR 1.1, 95% CI 1.1-1.1, P < 0.001, > or = 25 vs. < 25, RR 2.1, 95% CI 1.2-3.5, AR 0.33), thiazide diuretics used alone (RR 5.9, 95% CI 1.8-19.6, P = 0.02), and poorer subjective health ('the same' vs. 'better' RR 1.8, 95% CI 1.0-3.1, P = 0.04; 'worse' vs. 'better' RR 2.3, 95% CI 0.9-5.7, P = 0.06) were independent predictors of drug-treated diabetes in this population. CONCLUSIONS: In older French individuals, men seem to be particularly exposed to drug-treated diabetes although being overweight was found to be a strong predictor as in younger populations.     

Predictors of institutionalization in an older population during a 13-year period: the effect of urge incontinence

BACKGROUND: Longitudinal data on predictors of institutionalization in random older populations are limited. The aim here was to identify predictors of institutionalization in an unselected older population during a period of 13 years with a special focus on the prognostic value of urge incontinence. METHODS: A population-based prospective survey was conducted involving 366 men and 409 women aged 60 years and older. Age-adjusted and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the predictive association of urge incontinence, living arrangements, neurological, cardiovascular, musculoskeletal, and other chronic diseases, activities of daily living (ADL) disability, and depressive symptoms with institutionalization separately in men and women. RESULTS: Adjusted for age, ADL disability and other chronic diseases predicted institutionalization in both men and women. Urge incontinence and depressive symptoms in men and living alone and cardiovascular diseases in women were also significant predictors. In multivariate analyses where all potential predictors were included simultaneously, age (RR [relative risk] 1.15; 95% CI [confidence interval] 1.10-1.19), urge incontinence (RR 3.07; 95% CI 1.24-7.59), and depressive symptoms (RR 1.22; 95% CI 1.00-1.48) remained significant predictors of institutionalization in men. In women, age (RR 1.15; 95% CI 1.12-1.19) and living alone (RR 2.02; 95% CI 1.27-3.21) were independent predictors. CONCLUSIONS: In addition to age, urge incontinence and depressive symptoms in men and living alone in women are significant prognostic indicators of institutionalization. The greater prognostic value of urge incontinence in men compared with women emphasizes the importance of interventions aimed at promoting continence and coping with the problem both at the individual and caregiver levels especially among older men.     

Association between depression and mortality in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study

BACKGROUND: Studies of the association between depressive symptoms and mortality in elderly populations have yielded contradictory findings. To address these discrepancies, we test this association using the most extensive array of sociodemographic and physical health control variables ever studied, to our knowledge, in a large population-based sample of elderly individuals. OBJECTIVE: To examine the relation between baseline depressive symptoms and 6-year all-cause mortality in older persons, systematically controlling for sociodemographic factors, clinical disease, subclinical disease, and health risk factors. METHODS: A total of 5201 men and women aged 65 years and older from 4 US communities participated in the study. Depressive symptoms and 4 categories of covariates were assessed at baseline. The primary outcome measure was 6-year mortality. RESULTS: Of the 5201 participants, 984 (18.9%) died within 6 years. High baseline depressive symptoms were associated with a higher mortality rate (23.9%) than low baseline depression scores (17.7%) (unadjusted relative risk [RR], 1.41; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.22-1.63). Depression was also an independent predictor of mortality when controlling for sociodemographic factors (RR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.23-1.66), prevalent clinical disease (RR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.07-1.45), subclinical disease indicators (RR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.15-1.58), or biological or behavioral risk factors (RR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.22-1.65). When the best predictors from all 4 classes of variables were included as covariates, high depressive symptoms remained an independent predictor of mortality (RR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.06-1.46). CONCLUSIONS: High levels of depressive symptoms are an independent risk factor for mortality in community-residing older adults. Motivational depletion may be a key underlying mechanism for the depression-mortality effect.     

Predictors of congestive heart failure mortality in elderly people from the general population

Congestive heart failure (CHF) is highly prevalent in the elderly. The aim of this study was to identify the predictors of CHF mortality in patients over 65 years of age who were free of CHF at initial screening. A total of 3,282 elderly subjects were recruited in a population-based frame and 12-year events were recorded. Continuous items were divided into tertiles and for each tertile adjusted the relative risk (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) was derived in both genders from multivariate Cox analysis of CHF mortality. Age > or = 72 years ([RR]: 2.24; 95% CI 1.56 - 3.24), male gender ([RR]: 1.4; 95%CI 1.02 - 1.76), clinical history of coronary artery disease ([RR]: 1.25; 95% CI 1.02 - 1.76), pulse pressure > or = 79 mmHg ([RR]: 1.33; 95% CI 1.03 - 1.87), heart rate > or = 81 bpm ([RR]: 1.32; 95% CI 1.10 - 1.96), atrial fibrillation ([RR]: 1.82; 95% CI 1.18 - 2.81), left ventricular hypertrophy ([RR]: 1.42; 95% CI 1.01 - 2.02), diabetes ([RR]: 1.35; 95% CI 1.02 - 1.78), vital capacity < or = 81% of the theoretical value ([RR]: 2.50; 95% CI 1.88 - 3.32), forced expiratory volume in 1 second < or = 72% of the theoretical value ([RR]: 2.02; 95% CI 1.55 - 2.72) and serum sodium level < or = 139 mmol/L ([RR]: 1.95; 95% CI 1.44 - 2.63) predicted CHF mortality. This model is able to identify elderly people at increased risk of death from CHF.     

Blood pressure, smoking and body mass in relation to mortality from stroke and coronary heart disease in the elderly. A 10-year follow-up in Norway.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the association between blood pressure, smoking and body mass index (BMI) and cerebro- and cardiovascular mortality in a population of healthy elderly. DESIGN: Ten-year mortality follow-up of elderly men and women who participated in the Nord-Tr?ndelag Health Study 1984-86. SETTING: Nord-Tr?ndelag county, Norway. SUBJECTS: 3121 men and 3271 women aged 70 years and older, free from any diagnosed atherosclerotic diseases or diabetes at baseline. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Relative risk of cerebro- and cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality according to blood pressure, smoking and BMI. RESULTS: There was a consistent, positive association between systolic and diastolic blood pressure and cerebro- and cardiovascular mortality. The association persisted after adjustment for potential confounding factors, and was strongest for cerebrovascular mortality; the adjusted relative risks for systolic blood pressure categories 160-179 mmHg and > or = 180 mmHg in men were 1.63 (95% confidence interval, CI 1.06-2.53) and 2.19 (95% CI 1.39-3.44) compared to blood pressure < 140 mmHg. In women, the corresponding relative risks were 1.54 (95% CI 0.93-2.56) and 2.12 (95% CI 1.29-3.50). For diastolic blood pressure the adjusted relative risks in categories 100-109 and > or = 110 mmHg in men were 1.88 (95% CI 1.19-2.95) and 3.06 (95% CI 1.79-5.21) compared to pressure <90 mmHg. The corresponding relative risks in women were 1.75 (95% CI 1.05-2.91) and 2.02 (95% CI 1.04-3.93). Current smoking increased cardiovascular mortality in both men and women, and among women, BMI was negatively associated with all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: These findings add to the growing evidence that hypertension is a major risk factor for mortality from stroke and coronary heart disease among the elderly and the very old.     

Hypertension as a risk factor for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in an elderly German population; the prospective STEPHY II study. Starnberg Study on Epidemiology of Parkinsonism and Hypertension in the Elderly.

AIM: To prospectively study the relationship between blood pressure levels and subsequent cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in a population aged 65 years and older. METHODS: Participants of the 1992 baseline survey of the population-based Starnberg Study on Epidemiology of Parkinsonism and Hypertension in the Elderly (STEPHY, 394 men and 588 women above age 65) were followed up for 3 years. Total mortality was assessed by official death data. Cardiovascular morbidity, that is, the occurrence of non-fatal events (new cases of acute myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, and heart failure) could be assessed in 681 of the 863 survivors by a second interview and analysis of general practitioners' records. The mortality and morbidity risks were compared for hypertensives (baseline blood pressure > or = 160/95 mmHg or antihypertensive treatment) and non-hypertensives. RESULTS: During follow-up a total of 55 men and 64 women died resulting in a 2.7-year cumulative mortality in this population of 12%. Mortality was higher in men (14%) than in women (11%). Hypertensives had no increased risk of death compared to non-hypertensives (adjusted relative risk (RR)=0. 92; 95% CI: 0.48-1.76 for men and RR=1.36; 95% CI 0.67-2.78 for women). This was confirmed in age-stratified analyses. However, among survivors hypertension was associated with a significantly higher occurrence of non-fatal cardiovascular events. After controlling for potentially confounding baseline conditions, the relative risk for any event (RR=1.44; 95% CI: 1.04-2.0) and, in particular, of acute myocardial infarction (RR=5.5; 95% CI: 1.6-18. 7) was raised among hypertensives. Higher rates for angina pectoris (RR=1.4; 95% CI: 0.9-2.4) and heart failure (RR 1.7; 95% CI: 0.9-2. 9) were of borderline significance. Positive risk associations were confined to the age group 65 to 75 years and not detected at higher ages. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates for a Central European population older than 65 years the impact of hypertension as a risk factor for cardiovascular and cerebrovascular morbidity. To address the issue that risk of death showed no significant relationship to blood pressure, a longer follow-up period might be necessary.     

Relationship between plasma lipids and all-cause mortality in nondemented elderly

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the relationship between plasma lipids and risk of death from all causes in nondemented elderly. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Community-based sample of Medicare recipients, aged 65 years and older, residing in northern Manhattan. PARTICIPANTS: Two thousand two hundred seventy-seven nondemented elderly, aged 65 to 98; 672 (29.5%) white/non-Hispanic, 699 (30.7%) black/non-Hispanic, 876 (38.5%) Hispanic, and 30 (1.3%) other. MEASUREMENTS: Anthropometric measures: fasting plasma total cholesterol, triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and non-HDL-C, body mass index, and apolipoprotein E (APOE) genotype. clinical measures: neuropsychological, neurological, medical, and functional assessments; medical history of diabetes mellitus, heart disease, hypertension, stroke, and treatment with lipid-lowering drugs. Vital status measure: National Death Index date of death. Survival methods were used to examine the relationship between plasma lipids and subsequent mortality in younger and older nondemented elderly, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: Nondemented elderly with levels of total cholesterol, non-HDL-C, and LDL-C in the lowest quartile were approximately twice as likely to die as those in the highest quartile (rate ratio (RR)=1.8, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.3-2.4). These results did not vary when analyses were adjusted for body mass index, APOE genotype, diabetes mellitus, heart disease, hypertension, stroke, diagnosis of cancer, current smoking status, or demographic variables. The association between lipid levels and risk of death was attenuated when subjects with less than 1 year of follow-up were excluded (RR=1.4, 95% CI=1.0-2.1). The relationship between total cholesterol, non-HDL-C, HDL-C, and triglycerides and risk of death did not differ for older (>or=75) and younger participants (>75), whereas the relationship between LDL-C and risk of death was stronger in younger than older participants (RR=2.4, 95% CI=1.2-4.9 vs RR=1.6, 95% CI=1.02-2.6, respectively). Overall, women had higher mean lipid levels than men and lower mortality risk, but the risk of death was comparable for men and women with comparable low lipid levels. CONCLUSION: Low cholesterol level is a robust predictor of mortality in the nondemented elderly and may be a surrogate of frailty or subclinical disease. More research is needed to understand these associations.     

Why cardiovascular mortality is higher in treated hypertensives versus subjects of the same age,in the general population

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the present study was to assess whether increased cardiovascular mortality in treated hypertensives could be explained by high blood pressure levels, or by the presence of associated risk factors and/or associated diseases. DESIGN: The study sample consisted of 8893 treated hypertensive men and women from the Investigations Préventives et Cliniques cohort, and 25880 gender-matched and age-matched untreated subjects from the same cohort. Vital status was obtained for an 8-12 year period. RESULTS: Treated hypertensive subjects had higher systolic blood pressure (SBP) (+ 15 mmHg) and higher diastolic blood pressure (+ 9 mmHg), and a higher prevalence of associated risk factors and diseases. Treated hypertensives compared with untreated subjects presented a two-fold increase in the risk ratio (RR) for cardiovascular mortality [RR, 1.96; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.74-2.22] and coronary mortality (RR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.63-2.44). Adjustment for unmodifiable risk factors decreased the excess cardiovascular risk observed in treated subjects only slightly: RR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.56-2.00 for cardiovascular mortality; and RR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.44-2.16 for coronary mortality. After additional adjustment for modifiable associated risk factors, the increased mortality in treated subjects persisted: RR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.33-1.74 for cardiovascular mortality; and RR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.19-1.86 for coronary mortality. Only after additional adjustment for SBP were cardiovascular mortality and coronary mortality similar in the two groups of subjects: RR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.92-1.23; and RR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.85-1.35, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The increased cardiovascular mortality in treated hypertensive subjects as compared with untreated subjects is mainly due to high SBP levels under treatment. This result suggests that the excess risk found in treated hypertensives may be drastically reduced if SBP were brought under control.     

The association of body weight and anthropometry with mortality in elderly men: the Honolulu Heart Program.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the relationship of body weight and anthropometry to all-cause mortality in older men. DESIGN: A prospective cohort study of 3741 elderly Japanese-American men, enrolled in the Honolulu Heart Program. For this report, the follow-up began at baseline examinations (1991-1993), when the men were aged 71-93 y. MEASUREMENTS: Variables of interest were body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and the sum of the subscapular and triceps skinfold thickness. Possible confounders included age, education, physical activity index, smoking, alcohol consumption, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, cholesterol, glucose and insulin concentrations. RESULTS: After an average of 4.5 y of follow-up, 766 men (21%) had died. Higher BMI was associated with lower adjusted mortality risks (relative risk (RR)) highest vs lowest quintile-based category = 0.5, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.4-0.6, P-trend < 0.001). Results were independent of WHR, and did not change after excluding current and former smokers or those who died within one year of follow-up. The relation between WHR and mortality appeared to be U-shaped, but after adjustment for BMI, a higher WHR steadily increased the risk of dying (RR highest vs lowest category = 1.5, 95%CI: 1.1-2.0, P-trend=0.004). Especially in subjects with a high BMI, there was a positive association between WHR and mortality. The results for skinfold thickness were similar to the results for BMI, but less strong. CONCLUSIONS: In older men, BMI and skinfold thickness showed a consistent inverse association with mortality, even after accounting for early mortality. The WHR, on the other hand, was positively related to mortality, especially when BMI was high. Thus, excess abdominal fat mass (FM) warrants closer concern than being overweight, in terms of affecting mortality in the elderly.     

The relationship of fibrinogen and factors VII and VIII to incident cardiovascular disease and death in the elderly: results from the cardiovascular health study.

Little is known about the prospective associations of fibrinogen, factor VII, or factor VIII with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality in the elderly. At baseline in the Cardiovascular Health Study (5888 white and African American men and women; aged >/=65 years), we measured fibrinogen, factor VIII, and factor VII. We used sex-stratified stepwise Cox survival analysis to determine relative risks (RRs) for CVD events and all-cause mortality (up to 5 years of follow-up), both unadjusted and adjusted for CVD risk factors and subclinical CVD. After adjustment, comparing the fifth quintile to the first, fibrinogen was significantly associated in men with coronary heart disease events (RR=2.1) and stroke or transient ischemic attack (RR=1.3), and also with mortality within 2.5 years of follow-up (RR=5.8) and later (RR=1.7). Factor VIII was significantly associated in men with coronary heart disease events (RR=1.5) and mortality (RR=1.8), and in women with stroke/transient ischemic attack (RR=1.4). For both factors, values were higher in those who died, whether causes were CVD-related or non-CVD-related, but highest in CVD death. Factor VII exhibited associations with incident angina (RR=1.44) in men and with death in women (RR, middle quintile compared with first=0.66). However, in general, factor VII was not consistently associated with CVD events in this population. We conclude that, if confirmed in other studies, the measurement of fibrinogen and/or factor VIII may help identify older individuals at higher risk for CVD events and mortality.     

Risk factors for heart failure in the elderly: a prospective community-based study.

PURPOSE: The risk factors for the development of heart failure are not clearly defined, particularly for older adults. We undertook the current investigation to examine the associations of traditional cardiovascular risk factors, comorbidity, and psychosocial factors with the risk of heart failure during 10 years of follow-up in a community-based elderly population. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: We evaluated 1,749 subjects, 65 years of age or older, free of heart failure, myocardial infarction, and angina at baseline, who were participating in the New Haven, Connecticut cohort of the Established Population for Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly program. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to determine risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: During 13,811 person-years of follow-up, 173 subjects developed incident heart failure, as confirmed by chart review. Five factors were independent predictors of heart failure: male sex (RR = 1.7; CI, 1.3 to 2.4), older age (RR = 1.9; CI, 1.3 to 2.7 for age 75 to 84 years, RR = 3.0; CI, 1.7 to 5.5 for age 85 years and older, compared with < or = 74 years), diabetes (RR = 2.9; CI, 2.0 to 4.3), pulse pressure > or = 70 mm Hg (RR = 2.3; CI, 1.3 to 4.3, compared with <50 mm Hg), and body mass index > or = 28 kg/m2 (RR = 1.6; CI, 1.0 to 2.4, compared with <24 kg/ m2). Myocardial infarction occurred during follow-up in 8% of the cohort and was also an important predictor of heart failure (RR = 21; CI, 15 to 31). CONCLUSIONS: Age and traditional cardiovascular risk factors are associated with the development of heart failure in the elderly. Preventive strategies should focus on the management of diabetes, blood pressure, and weight, in addition to the prevention and management of myocardial infarction.     

Hypertension Control as Predictor of Mortality in Treated Men and Women,Followed for up to 30 Years

Purpose: To examine the prognosis of treated, hypertensive individuals in the Reykjavik StudyMethods: A population-based longitudinal study of 9328 men and 10 062 women. Subjects were included in the study during the period 1967-1996. Two groups of treated, hypertensive subjects were defined at baseline: with controlled blood pressure and with uncontrolled blood pressure. Main outcome measures were cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality and all-cause mortality.Results: Of the hypertensive men 24.8% were treated, and of those 38.3% were controlled, and of the hypertensive women 45.3% were treated, and of those 52.7% were controlled. Comparing treated and uncontrolled (systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≥160 mmHg and/or diastolic blood pressure (DBP) ≥95 mmHg) versus treated and controlled hypertensive subjects, followed for up to 30 years, the uncontrolled men and women were at significantly higher risk of CVD mortality, hazard ratio (HR) = 1.47 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06-2.02) and HR 1.70 (CI: 1.23–2.36), respectively, showing the benefit of hypertension control. The risk of all-cause mortality was increased for treated, uncontrolled men and women, compared with those who were treated and controlled, but did not reach significance. When analyzing blood pressure as a continuous variable among treated, hypertensive subjects, SBP was a better predictor than DBP of CVD mortality and all-cause mortality in women. This was not the case in men.Conclusions: Control of blood pressure among hypertensive-treated subjects at baseline was associated with a lower risk of CVD mortality during follow-up. SBP was the single best predictor of CVD mortality and all-cause mortality in treated women. The uncontrolled women were at a higher risk than the uncontrolled men.     

Weight loss and mortality among free-living frail elders: a prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Numerous studies of the elderly population have indicated that body weight and weight changes are related to mortality, but the one group at particularly high risk of nutritional inadequacies--frail elders receiving home help services--has not been studied. METHODS: A prospective cohort of 288 frail elders (81 men; 207 women; mean age: 78.2 +/- 7.6 yrs) receiving home support services was followed for 3-5 years. Nutritional variables included baseline body mass index (BMI), weight loss prior to baseline, and energy and protein intake. Covariates included age, gender, smoking, and health and functional status. Cox's multivariate survival analysis was used to identify independent predictors of mortality. RESULTS: There were 102 deaths (35.4%) over the follow-up period. Univariate predictors included age, sex, BMI, weight loss, and functional status. In multivariate analysis, weight loss at baseline was a significant predictor of mortality, RR = 1.76 (95% CI: 1.15-2.71), as was male gender, RR = 2.71 (95% CI: 1.73-4.24), and age at baseline, RR = 1.40 (95% CI: 1.06-1.86). CONCLUSION: Among free-living frail elders, weight loss is a predictor of early mortality after controlling for smoking, and functional and health status indicators. From our observations, however, we cannot conclude that prevention of weight loss would lead to increased survival. This needs to be explored in an intervention study.     

Lower standing systolic blood pressure as a predictor of falls in the elderly: a community-based prospective study.

OBJECTIVES: We investigated prospectively the relationships among falls, physical balance, and standing and supine blood pressure (BP) in elderly persons. BACKGROUND: Falls occur often and adversely affect the activities of daily living in the elderly; however, their relationship to BP has not been clarified thoroughly. METHODS: A total of 266 community-dwelling elderly persons age 65 years or over (123 men and 143 women, mean age of 76 years) were selected from among residents of Coop City, Bronx, New York. Balance was evaluated at baseline using computerized dynamic posturography (DPG). During a one-year follow-up, we collected information on subsequent falls on a monthly basis by postcard and telephone follow-up. RESULTS: One or more falls occurred in 60 subjects (22%) during the one-year follow-up. Women fell more frequently than men (28% vs. 16%, p < 0.03), and fallers were younger than nonfallers. Fallers (n = 60) had lower systolic BP (SBP) levels when compared with nonfallers (n = 206) (128 +/- 17 vs. 137 +/- 22 mm Hg for standing, p < 0.006; 137 +/- 16 vs. 144 +/- 22 mm Hg for lying, p < 0.02), whereas diastolic BP was not related to falls. Falls occurred 2.8 times more often in the lower BP subgroup (<140 mm Hg for standing SBP) than in the higher BP subgroup (> or =140 mm Hg, p < 0.0003), and gender-related differences were observed (p = 0.006): 3.4 times for women (p < 0.0001) versus 1.9 times for men (p = 0.30). Loss of balance, as detected by DPG, did not predict future falls and was also not associated with baseline BP levels. Multiple logistic regression analysis demonstrated that female gender (relative risk [RR] = 2.1, p = 0.02), history of falls (RR = 2.5, p = 0.008) and lower standing SBP level (RR = 0.78 for 10 mm Hg increase, p = 0.005) were independent predictors of falls during one year of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Lower standing SBP, even within normotensive ranges, was an independent predictor of falls in the community-dwelling elderly. Elderly women with a history of falls and with lower SBP levels should have more attention paid to the prevention of falls and related accidents.     

Sex Difference in Clinical and Management Outcomes in Patients With Takotsubo Syndrome: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) is being increasingly recognized globally with a female sex predilection. However, sex-related differences in clinical outcomes are yet to be identified. Therefore, we aim to investigate the sex differences in clinical outcomes in patients with TTS. We included cohort studies retrieved from the Web of Science, SCOPUS, EMBASE, PubMed, and Cochrane until September 14, 2022. The risk ratio (RR) for dichotomous outcomes with the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) was used. The study protocol was registered in PROSPERO with ID: CRD42022363349. Thirteen retrospective cohort studies, with a total of 104,410 patients were included. Men had a higher risk of in-hospital mortality (RR: 2.42 with 95% CI [1.53, 3.83], P = 0.0002), long-term mortality (RR: 1.59 with 95% CI [1.40, 1.80], P = 0.00001), cardiogenic shock (RR: 1.65 with 95% CI [1.52, 1.79], P = 0.00001), arrhythmia (RR: 1.70 with 95% CI [1.56, 1.86], P = 0.00001), and acute kidney injury (RR: 1.71 with 95% CI [1.50, 1.96]. P = 0.00001), as compared with women. However, no significant difference was observed in stroke (RR: 1.22 with 95% CI [0.78, 1.89], P = 0.39), left ventricular thrombus (RR: 0.96 with 95% CI [0.40, 2.33], P = 0.93), and TTS recurrence (RR: 1.11 with 95% CI [0.68, 1.82], P = 0.67) between men and women. Despite women having a higher incidence of TTS, men have higher morbidity and mortality rates. Hence, further studies are necessary to identify the pathophysiological factors of this sex difference in clinical outcomes, including hormonal and psychological variables.