The prognostic value of carcinoembryonic antigen in T1N1M0 and T2N1M0 non-small cell carcinoma of the lung.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the significance of preoperative clinicopathological factors, including serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), as well as postoperative clinicopathological factors in T1-2N1M0 patients with non-small cell lung cancer who underwent curative pulmonary resection. METHODS: Twenty T1N1M0 disease patients and 25 T2N1M0 patients underwent standard surgical procedures between September 1996 and December 2005, and were found to have non-small lung cancer. As prognostic factors, we retrospectively investigated age, sex, Brinkman index, histologic type, primary site, tumor diameter, clinical T factor, clinical N factor, pathological T factor, preoperative serum CEA levels, surgical procedure, visceral pleural involvement, and the status of lymph node involvement (level and number). RESULTS: The overall 5-year survival rate of all patients was 59.6%. In univariate analysis, survival was related to age (<70/>or=70 years, p=0.0079), site (peripheral/central, p=0.043), and CEA level (<5.0/>or=5.0 ng/ml, p=0.0015). However, in multivariate analysis, CEA (<5.0/>or=5.0 ng/ml) was the only independent prognostic factor; the 5-year survival of the patients with an elevated serum CEA level (>or=5.0 ng/ml) was only 33.2% compared to 79.9% in patients with a lower serum CEA level (<5.0 ng/ml). CONCLUSIONS: An elevated serum CEA level (>or=5.0 ng/ml) was an independent predictor of survival in pN1 patients except for T3 and T4 cases. Therefore, even in completely resected pN1 non-small cell lung cancer, patients with a high CEA level might be candidates for multimodal therapy.     

Serum carcinoembryonic antigen level in non-small-cell lung cancer patients with preoperative normal serum level

Objective  The prognostic significance of serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with a normal serum CEA level (<5.0 ng/ml) was examined. Methods  A total of 220 consecutive NSCLC patients with preoperative normal serum CEA levels were included. Patients were subdivided into two groups: preoperative serum CEA level ≥2.5 and <2.5 ng/ml. Results  The 5-year survival of patients with preoperative serum CEA level less and more than 2.5 ng/ml were 79.62% and 62.0%, respectively (P = 0.0036). Multivariate analysis indicated that a preoperative serum CEA level of ≥2.5 ng/ml was an independent prognostic factor. Similar results were found in patients with adenocarcinoma but not found in others. Conclusion  NSCLC patients with a high serum CEA level, especially adenocarcinoma patients, had poorer prognosis even if their serum CEA levels were within the normal upper limit.     

Prognostic value of carcinoembryonic antigen and CYFRA21-1 in patients with pathological stage I non-small cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this retrospective study was to assess the prognostic value of serum tumor markers (carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and CYFRA21-1) in patients with pathologic (p-) stage I non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) undergoing complete resection. METHODS: Two hundred and seventy-five patients (163 males, 112 females, mean age 67.1 years) with p-stage I NSCLC who underwent complete resection at our institution between April 1999 and October 2004 were examined. Patients who had received preoperative chemotherapy or radiotherapy were excluded, as were patients who had multiple malignancies including multiple lung cancer. The serum levels of tumor markers were measured using commercially available immunoassays within 1 month before surgical resection. Serum levels of CEA and CYFRA21-1 higher than 5.0 and 2.8 ng/ml, respectively, were considered as positive according to the manufacture's instructions. RESULTS: The histological classification was adenocarcinoma in 193 patients, squamous cell carcinoma in 71, large cell carcinoma in 5, and other histological type in 6. One hundred and fifty-seven patients had T1 disease and 118 patients had T2 disease. The positive ratio of CEA and CYFRA21-1 was 25.7% and 13.7%, respectively, and in relation to histological type was 27.8% and 7.8% in adenocarcinoma, and 20.6% and 28.4% in squamous cell carcinoma. The overall 5-year survival rate was 79.3%. With a median follow-up of 35.5 month for surviving patients, those with initial CYFRA21-1 serum levels higher than 2.8 ng/ml had a significantly worse prognosis (p=0.0041). Patients with an elevated preoperative CEA level exceeding 5.0 ng/ml had a shorter disease-free survival period (p=0.0003). In patients with adenocarcinoma, a CEA level above 5.0 ng/ml was associated with shorter survival and early recurrence, whereas CYFRA21-1 showed no such association. In patients with squamous cell carcinoma, elevated preoperative CEA was not related to survival and recurrence. In these patients, preoperative CYFRA21-1 level exceeding 2.8 ng/ml was associated with a poorer outcome, whereas preoperative CYFRA21-1 level was not associated with cancer recurrence. CONCLUSION: The patients with p-stage I adenocarcinoma whose preoperative CEA level was high might be considered as good candidates for adjuvant chemotherapy. The prognostic value of CYFRA21-1 could not be confirmed for stage I NSCLC, and preoperative CYFRA21-1 level was not useful in selecting the candidates for adjuvant chemotherapy.     

Prognostic significance of preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen level in lung adenocarcinoma but not squamous cell carcinoma.

OBJECTIVES: Clinical significance of measurement of preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level in patients with non-small cell lung cancer was investigated. METHODS: Consecutive 271 adenocarcinoma and 112 squamous cell carcinoma patients of non-small cell lung cancer referred to our institute were included in this study. There were 214 men and 169 women, ages ranged from 19 to 90 years, with an average of 64.46 years. Curative resection was performed for 220 adenocarcinoma and 93 squamous cell carcinoma patients. Serum level of CEA was measured before staging or resection of cancer. RESULTS: There is a trend toward a correlation between serum CEA level and stage of the diseases, however, serum CEA level was not always related to tumor node metastasis (TNM) status. In patients with adenocarcinoma, survival rate of patients with an elevated serum CEA level was significantly lower than that with a normal serum CEA level. Multivariate analysis showed that prognostic significance of serum CEA level was TNM staging independent in patients with adenocarcinoma. On the other hand, serum CEA level was not related to patients' survival in patients with squamous cell carcinoma. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated preoperative serum CEA level is a TNM staging independent prognostic factor for patients with adenocarcinoma but not for those with squamous cell carcinoma.     

Impact of the post/preoperative serum CEA ratio on the survival of patients with rectal cancer

Purpose

This study demonstrated the usefulness of the post/preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) ratio as a predictor of survival after surgery for stage III rectal cancer patients.

Methods

One hundred and four patients with stage III rectal cancer who underwent surgery between 1991 and 2000 were enrolled. The ratio of the postoperative serum CEA value divided by the preoperative serum CEA value was defined as post/preoperative serum CEA ratio, and the patients were separated into two groups: post/preoperative serum CEA ratio ≤1 (n = 86) and >1 (n = 18).

Results

The multivariate analyses demonstrated that the intraoperative blood loss, lack of a sphincter-saving procedure and a post/preoperative serum CEA ratio >1 were independent factors predicting a poor prognosis for the overall and disease-free survival. The overall and disease-free survival rates among patients with a high preoperative serum CEA level (>5 ng/ml) or patients with a high postoperative serum CEA (>5 ng/ml) were longer in patients with a post/preoperative serum CEA ratio ≤1, in comparison to those with a post/preoperative serum CEA ratio >1. Liver metastasis was observed more frequently in patients with a post/preoperative serum CEA ratio >1.

Conclusions

The post/preoperative serum CEA ratio may be a predictor of the prognosis after surgery for stage III rectal cancer patients.     

Plasma levels of CEA as a prognostic marker in carcinoma of urinary bladder.

Plasma carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels were performed preoperatively by radioimmunoassay in 124 patients with histologically proved bladder carcinoma. The level of CEA was used to determine its prognostic value in patients with bladder cancer. The correlation of CEA levels with the stage of the disease, histology, and resectability was also studied. Values above 2.5 ng/ml were taken as abnormal. Active disease was associated with high CEA levels. All patients with CEA levels greater than 10 ng/ml died in less than 1 1/2 years, while all patients who survived 1 1/2-3 years had preoperative CEA levels less than 10 ng/ml. There was a prognostic significance for patients with transitional cell or squamous cell carcinoma. All patients with squamous cell carcinoma had CEA levels less than or equal to 10 ng/ml, and all patients with transitional carcinoma had preoperative CEA values greater than 10 ng/ml. A correlation between CEA levels and resectability of the primary tumor was found. This study indicates that, in bladder carcinoma patients, preoperative CEA levels greater than 10 ng/ml are of prognostic value, since all of these patients have died and all of the long-term survivors had levels of less than or equal to 10 ng/ml.     

Prognostic significance of perioperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen in non-small cell lung cancer: analysis of 1,000 consecutive resections for clinical stage I disease

Background

The prognostic implication of serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) has yet to be comprehensively analyzed since the reports available so far have comprised small patient populations. We evaluated perioperative CEA values with regard to surgical results in a large number of patients to clarify its merit.

Methods

We measured serum CEA levels before and after surgery in 1,000 consecutive patients with clinical stage I non-small cell lung cancer who underwent resection of tumor. High CEA value was greater than 5.0 ng/mL.

Results

Three hundred and sixty-eight patients (36.8%) had high preoperative CEA levels. The CEA levels after surgery were normalized in 242 patients (24.2%) and persistently elevated in 126 patients (12.6%). High CEA levels were seen more frequently in patients with older age, male gender, larger size of tumor, incomplete resection, and advanced pathologic stage. Patients with a high preoperative CEA level had a poor survival. Among these patients, even worse survival was seen for those with a high postoperative CEA level. These prognostic trends were still observed for patients with pathologic stage I disease. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that both preoperative and postoperative CEA levels were independent prognostic determinants (p = 0.0243 and p < 0.0001, respectively).

Conclusions

Perioperative measurement of serum CEA concentrations yields information valuable for detecting patients at high risk of poor survival. Normalization of CEA levels after surgery was a significant favorable prognostic sign in patients with an elevated CEA level before surgery. Even after apparently successful surgical therapy, patients with a high CEA level should be carefully followed up, and might represent a suitable target for neoadjuvant clinical trials.     

Preoperative Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen Level as a Predictive Factor of Recurrence After Curative Resection of Colorectal Cancer

Background  We evaluated the prognostic value of the preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). Patients and Methods  The study group comprised 638 patients. The optimal cutoff value for the preoperative serum CEA level was determined. Predictive factors of recurrence were evaluated using multivariate analyses. The relapse-free time was investigated according to the CEA level. Results  All patients underwent potentially curative resection for CRC without distant metastasis, classified as stage I, II, or III. The optimal cutoff value for preoperative serum CEA level was 10 ng/ml. Elevated preoperative serum CEA level was observed in 92 patients. Multivariate analysis identified tumor–node–metastasis (TNM) stage and preoperative serum CEA level as independent predictive factors of recurrence. The relapse-free survival between CEA levels >10 ng/ml and <10 ng/ml significantly differed in patients with stage II and III. However, there was no significant difference in relapse-free survival between CEA levels >10 ng/ml and <10 ng/ml in patients with stage I. Conclusion  Preoperative serum CEA is a reliable predictive factor of recurrence after curative surgery in CRC patients and a useful indicator of the optimal treatment after resection, particularly for cases classified as stage II or stage III.     

CEA levels of draining venous blood and draining-peripheral CEA gradient in colorectal cancer patients: correlation with postoperative survival

Correlation between preoperative CEA levels in draining venous blood (d CEA) and draining-peripheral (d-p) CEA gradient, and postoperative survival of 94 patients with colorectal cancer patients was examined. The positive rates of d CEA and d-p CEA gradient greater than 5 ng/ml (55.9% and 37.2%) in 59 alive patients were significantly (p less than 0.05) lower than those (77.1% and 57.1%) in 35 patients died of cancer recurrence within 4 years. Survival curve of the patients with positive d CEA and d-p CEA gradient were significantly (p less than 0.01) lower than those of the patients with negative d CEA and d-p CEA gradient. Survival curve of the patients with d-p CEA gradient greater than 10 ng/ml was significantly (p less than 0.001) lower than that of the gradient less than 10 ng/ml, and 4-year survival rates were 37.5% in the former patients and 68.3% in the latter patients. These results suggest that d CEA and d-p CEA gradient may be used as prognostic indicators of colorectal cancer patients. Clinically, the patients with positive d-p CEA gradient greater than 10 ng/ml are necessary to be treated as patients having very poor prognosis.     

Serum CEA levels in patients with gastric carcinoma correlate with the tumorigenicity of their xenografts in nude mice

We examined the correlation among preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels, staining properties of the tumors by CEA immunohistochemistry and the tumorigenicity of their xenografts in nude mice, in 28 patients with gastric cancer. Eleven (40 per cent) of them were positive for serum CEA (greater than or equal to 2.5 ng/ml) and seven (25 per cent) of the xenografts were tumorigenic in nude mice. All the tumorigenic cases were positive for serum CEA (p less than 0.001) and the mean value of the serum CEA level in the patients with tumorigenic neoplasms was 20.8 ng/ml, being significantly higher than that (1.4 ng/ml) in the patients with non-tumorigenic neoplasms (p less than 0.001). Twenty-five of the 28 carcinomas (89 per cent) were positive for CEA staining in their cancer cells by the ABC method and CEA localization correlated with tumorigenicity (p less than 0.05). These results suggest that the serum CEA level in patients is correlated with the tumorigenicity of their gastric carcinoma xenografts in nude mice and may account for the poor prognosis of patients with high serum CEA.     

Serum CEA levels in patients with gastric carcinoma correlate with the tumorigenicity of their xenografts in nude mice

We examined the correlation among preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels, staining properties of the tumors by CEA immunohistochemistry and the tumorigenicity of their xenografts in nude mice, in 28 patients with gastric cancer. Eleven (40 per cent) of them were positive for serum CEA (≧2.5 ng/ml) and seven (25 per cent) of the xenografts were tumorigenic in nude mice. All the tumorigenic cases were positive for serum CEA (p<0.001) and the mean value of the serum CEA level in the patients with tumorigenic neoplasms was 20.8 ng/ml, being significantly higher than that (1.4 ng/ml) in the patients with nontumorigenic neoplasms (p<0.001). Twenty-five of the 28 carcinomas (89 per cent) were positive for CEA staining in their cancer cells by the ABC method and CEA localization correlated with tumorigencity (p<0.05). These results suggest that the serum CEA level in patients is correlated with the tumorigenicity of their gastric carcinoma xenografts in nude mice and may account for the poor prognosis of patients with high serum CEA.     

CEA Monitoring Among Patients in Multi-institutional Adjuvant G.I. Therapy Protocols

The Gastrointestinal Tumor Study Group (GITSG) has since 1975 included protocols for monitoring carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels in its colorectal cancer adjuvant trials. Among the 563 patients on the colon cancer study (GI 6175) and the 207 patients on the rectal cancer study (GI 7175), one third had preoperative CEA determinations and more than 90% had some postoperative CEA monitoring. Colon cancer patients whose preoperative CEA was greater than 5 ng/ml had a greater probability of recurring than those whose values were lower (33% versus 18% recurrence with 21 months minimum follow-up; p < 0.05). The prognostic value of preoperative CEA was apparent only in patients with Dukes' C1 colon tumors. Preoperative CEA values were not of prognostic significance among the rectal adenocarcinoma patients. Although elevated levels of CEA after resection of either colon or rectum cancers were strongly associated with subsequent tumor recurrence, no single CEA value, arbitrarily defined as “elevated”, provided an adequate screening test with both high sensitivity and high specificity. Postoperative CEA elevations were more strongly predictive of recurrence when part of a steadily rising trend. In the colon cancer study, the median monthly increase in CEA for disease-free patients was estimated to be zero, and for the relapsed patients 5.8%. The corresponding estimates for patients on the rectal cancer protocol were zero and 7.8%. Only 36 of the 344 disease-free patients on the colon protocol and 14 of the 94 disease-free patients on the rectal protocol (15%) exhibited a rate of increase of CEA as high as 3% per month over the entire period of observation. Two thirds of the relapsed patients on both studies showed a rate of increase this high or higher. The patterns of CEA rise in individual patients were quite varied, however, and monthly rates of increase as established in our study are not to be used as guidelines in patient management.     

Carcinoembryonic antigen as a predictive factor for postoperative tumor relapse in early-stage lung adenocarcinoma.

OBJECTIVES: To clarify the usefulness of measuring serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) preoperatively to detect patients who will have a poor outcome after surgery, and who cannot be selected by conventional staging modalities. METHODS: One hundred patients with adenocarcinoma of the lung underwent standard surgical procedures between 1994 and April 2001 at our institution. Preoperative staging was assessed according to the TNM classification of the International Union Against Cancer. The associations between preoperative serum CEA level and the postoperative recurrence or lymph node metastasis were examined. The serum CEA level was classified into two groups according to concentration of CEA level: low (normal) CEA (5.0 ng/ml). RESULTS: The high CEA level was associated with tumor relapse (P=0.01). According to the preoperative staging, the increased CEA was associated with tumor relapse only in stage C-IA (P=0.001). Stage C-IB and more advanced stages did not show an association between increased CEA and tumor relapse. In C-IA, risk for lymph node involvement was significantly higher in the high CEA group (4/9; 44.4%) than in the low CEA group (6/47; 12.8%, P=0.03). Furthermore, the rate of tumor relapse in C-IA-pN0 was significantly higher in the high CEA group (4 of the 5, 80%) than in the low CEA group (9 of the 41, 22.0%, P=0.018). The 5-year disease-free survival rate for patients with a high serum CEA level (N=9) was 22.2%, and 75.0% for patients with a normal CEA (N=47) level (P=0.0004). CONCLUSIONS: Increased serum CEA is an important predictive factor for poor outcome after surgery in early-stage (C-IA) lung adenocarcinoma.     

Analysis of Prognostic Factors Influencing Long-term Survival After Hepatic Resection for Metastatic Colorectal Cancer

Background The aim of this study was to analyze the prognostic factors associated with long-term outcome after liver resection for colorectal metastases. The retrospective analysis included 297 liver resections for colorectal metastases. Methods The variables considered included disease stage, differentiation grade, site and nodal metastasis of the primary tumor, number and diameter of the lesions, time from primary cancer to metastasis, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level, adjuvant chemotherapy, type of resection, intraoperative ultrasonography and portal clamping use, blood loss, transfusions, complications, hospitalization, surgical margins status, and a clinical risk score (MSKCC-CRS). Results The univariate analysis revealed a significant difference (p < 0.05) in overall 5-year survival rates depending on the differentiation grade, preoperative CEA >5 and >200 ng/ml, diameter of the lesion >5 cm, time from primary tumor to metastases >12 months, MSKCC-CRS >2. The multivariate analysis showed three independent negative prognostic factors: G3 or G4 grade, CEA >5 ng/ml, and high MSKCC-CRS. Conclusions No single prognostic factor proved to be associated with a sufficiently disappointing outcome to exclude patients from liver resection. However, in the presence of some prognostic factors (G3–G4 differentiation, preoperative CEA >5 ng/ml, high MSKCC-CRS), enrollment of patients in trials exploring new adjuvant treatments is suggested to improve the outcome after surgery.     

Intralobar pulmonary sequestration with high level of serum CEA; report of a case

We reported a case of intralobar pulmonary sequestration with a high level of the serum CEA. A 53-year-old woman whose chief complaint was cough was admitted to our hospital. Enhanced chest computed tomography (CT) revealed the mass in the left lower lung, lymph-nodes swelling, and the aberrant artery. Magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) conformed the aberrant artery from the descending aorta. The level of serum CEA elevated at 9.6 ng/ml. Left lower lobectomy was performed. A diagnosis of intralobar pulmonary sequestration (Pryce type II) was established in this case. Histopathologically, the peribronchial epithelial cells in pulmonary sequestration showed weak positive for anti-CEA monoclonal antibody. Postoperative course was uneventful and the serum CEA level was 3.5 ng/ml in the normal range at the postoperative 17th day.     

Effect of histologic type and smoking status on interpretation of serum carcinoembryonic antigen value in non-small cell lung carcinoma

Background

Serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) has all of the properties desired for a biologic measure to be used as a prognostic indicator in the clinical evaluation of lung cancer. Carcinoembryonic antigen value appears to be related to tumor histologic type and patients' smoking status, which has yet to be intensively analyzed as reports available thus far have consisted of a limited number of patients. This study was undertaken to determine whether the prognostic value of CEA differs according to histologic type in a large group of patients with clinical early-stage lung cancer, and how smoking influences its value.

Methods

Two series of 694 and 260 consecutive patients who underwent resection for clinical stage I lung adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma, respectively, were evaluated. We measured serum CEA before and after surgery, and analyzed its prognostic significance in relation to histologic type and its correlation with smoking status.

Results

We found significantly higher CEA levels in patients with adenocarcinomas than in those with squamous cell carcinomas (7.8 versus 5.5 ng/mL; p = 0.0018), but a higher percentage of CEA-positive patients among those with squamous cell carcinoma (109 of 260, 41.9%) than those with adenocarcinoma (245 of 694, 35.3%). Clinical stage I patients with a high preoperative CEA level had a poor prognosis, and for pathologically confirmed stage I patients with a high postoperative CEA level the prognosis was worse. The prognostic value of serum CEA level was thus significantly greater for adenocarcinoma than for squamous cell carcinoma. This was probably because of a much higher proportion of smokers among patients with squamous cell carcinoma. In adenocarcinoma, the growth of which was generally less influenced by smoking, the proportion of CEA-positive smokers (49.3%, 170 of 345) was greater than that of CEA-positive nonsmokers (21.5%, 75 of 349, p < 0.0001). Additionally, in patients with adenocarcinoma, survival of nonsmokers was more greatly influenced by CEA level than that of smokers.

Conclusions

Although serum CEA values measured before and after surgery are important in identifying patients at high risk of poor survival, its specificity is higher for adenocarcinoma than for squamous cell carcinoma. When serum CEA levels are checked, smoking status of patients, particularly of those with squamous cell carcinoma, should be taken into account.     

Identifying patients at risk of early postoperative recurrence of lung cancer: a new use of the old CEA test

BACKGROUND: In the current study, we report the carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) capability to predict early tumor relapses after a pulmonary resection for nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC). METHODS: We studied 118 consecutive NSCLC patients who were clinically judged operable and were eventually operated upon. Anthropometric, clinical, and CEA data along with the results of both preoperative and postoperative stage classifications were recorded. All patients were followed up for at least 1 year after surgery and the time to the first clinical recurrence recorded. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves and diagnostic formulas were used for data analysis. RESULTS: In this series the CEA test was among the most accurate methods to predict an early postoperative recurrence (ROC area: 0.72, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.60 to 0.85, p = 0.001; accuracy rate for CEA at the threshold of 10 ng/mL: 83%, CI: 76% to 90%). Also predictive was the postoperative pathologic stage of disease (ROC area: 0.68, CI: 0.56 to 0.80, p = 0.007). In tumors pathologically classified in stage Ia to IIb, a preoperative CEA level higher than 10 ng/mL was associated with a 67% probability of tumor relapse. In the same stages of disease, a CEA level less than 10 ng/mL increased the baseline probability of no recurrence from 80% to 88%. CONCLUSIONS: In operable patients with NSCLC the frequency of abnormal serum concentrations of CEA is low (17% in our series). However, it is important to identify such a small group of high-risk patients as many of them (in our study, 55% and 70% of those with a CEA value in excess of, respectively, 5 and 10 ng/mL) will develop an early postoperative recurrence. Such patients should be investigated preoperatively by mediastinoscopy or positron emission tomography in even in the absence of suspicious symptoms and signs. Then after an apparently successful operation, they should be carefully followed up. These patients could represent a suitable target for neoadjuvant clinical trials of selected high-risk groups.     

Prognostic factors for long-term outcome of hepatic resection for colorectal liver metastases

The aim of the study was to analyse the prognostic factors for long-term outcome of liver resections for metastases from colorectal cancer. The retrospective analysis included 297 liver resections for colorectal carcinoma liver metastases. The following prognostic factors were considered: age, gender, stage and grade of differentiation of the primary tumour, node metastases, site of the primary colorectal cancer, number and diameter of the hepatic lesions, time interval from primary cancer to liver metastases, preoperative CEA level, adjuvant chemotherapy after hepatic resection, type of hepatic resection, use of intraoperative ultrasound and portal triad clamping, blood loss and transfusions, postoperative complications and hospital stay, tumour-free surgical margins, clinical risk score (as defined by the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Centre group, MSKCC-CRS). Overall survival rates were estimated according to the Kaplan-Meier method and were compared at univariate analysis using the log-rank test. Multivariate analysis was performed including significant variables at univariate analysis using the Cox regression model. Differences were considered significant at p < 0.05. The 1, 3, 5 and 10-year overall survival rates were 90.6%, 51%, 27.5%, and 16.9%, respectively. The univariate analysis revealed a statistically significant difference (p < 0.05) in overall survival in relation to: grade of differentiation of the primary cancer (5-year survival of grades G1-G2 vs grades G3-G4: 30.7% vs 14.4%, p = 0.0016), preoperative CEA level > 5 and > 200 ng/ml (5-year survival of CEA < 5 ng/ml vs CEA > 5 ng/ml: 51.1% vs 15.5%, p = 0.0016; 5-year survival of CEA < 200 ng/ml vs CEA > 200 ng/ml: 27.9% vs 17.4%, p = 0.0001), diameter of major lesions > 5 cm (5-year survival of diameter < or = 5 cm vs > 5 cm: 30.0% vs 18.8%, p = 0.0074), disease-free interval between primary tumour and liver metastases longer than 12 months (5-year survival of patients with disease-free interval < or = 12 months vs > 12 months: 23.0% vs 36.1%, p = 0.042), high MSKCC-CRS (5-year survival of MKSCC-CRS 0-1-2 vs 3-4-5: 36.4% vs 1 6.3%, p = 0.017). The multivariate analysis showed three independent negative prognostic factors: G3-G4 primary cancer, CEA level > 5 ng/ml, and high MSKCC-CRS class. No single prognostic factor turned out to be associated with such disappointing outcomes after hepatic surgery for colorectal liver metastases as to permit the identification of specific subgroups of patients to be excluded on principle from undergoing liver resection. However, in the presence of a number of specific prognostic factors (G3-G4 grade of differentiation of the primary tumour, preoperative CEA level > 5 ng/ml, high MSKCC-CRS) enrolment of the patient in trials exploring new diagnostic tools or new adjuvant treatments may be suggested to improve the preoperative staging of the disease and reduce the incidence of tumour recurrence after liver resection.     

Clinicopathological analysis of prognostic factors in clinical IA peripheral adenocarcinoma of the lung

BACKGROUND: The clinical IA (C-IA) lung cancer patient shows a 5-year survival rate of approximately 70% after surgical therapy alone. We have tried to clarify the prognostic factors in C-IA adenocarcinoma of the lung to identify those candidates who might benefit from preoperative or postoperative adjuvant therapy. METHODS: Between 1994 and June 2001, 54 patients were diagnosed with C-IA adenocarcinoma of the lung and underwent lobectomy and hilar and mediastinal node dissection. The clinicopathological records of the patients were examined for age, gender, nodal status, tumor size, serum CEA level, and histologic subtype (replacing vs nonreplacing type). Localized bronchioloalveolar carcinoma (LBAC; noninvasive cancer) was excluded from this study. RESULTS: Nodal involvement, high serum CEA level (> or = 4.0 ng/mL), and nonreplacing type were significant (p < 0.05) prognostic factors for poor outcome in univariate analyses. Nodal involvement, larger tumor size (> or = 20 mm), and nonreplacing type were significant (p < 0.05) prognostic factors for poor outcome in multivariate analyses. High serum CEA level and nonreplacing type were significant (p < 0.01) risk factors for lymph node involvement both in univariate and multivariate analyses. Up to 71.5% of patients with both factors showed lymph node metastases. Furthermore, based on histologic subtype and tumor size, the 4-year survival rate was 33% for patients with both of these factors, and 34.3% even if they were pN0. CONCLUSIONS: C-IA patients, both with the larger tumor size (> or = 20 mm) and nonreplacing type, show poor outcome after surgery, and patients with both high serum CEA level and nonreplacing type are at high risk for lymph node metastases.     

Prognostic value of postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen concentration and extent of invasion of resection margins after hepatic resection for colorectal metastases.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prognostic value of postoperative concentration of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and extent of surgical margins after resection of liver metastases from colorectal cancer. DESIGN: Retrospective study. SETTING: Teaching hospital, Switzerland. SUBJECTS: 49 patients with hepatic metastases after primary colorectal cancer. INTERVENTIONS: Resection of hepatic metastases MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Assessment of prognostic value of variables by univariate and multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Median survival was 24 months (range 5-86 months). Resection margins were clear (> 1-cm) in 10, close (< 1-cm) in 25 and invaded in 9 patients. On univariate analysis, a postoperative concentration of CEA of <4ng/ml was correlated with prolonged survival (p < 0.001), but the width of the resection margin was not of prognostic importance. There was no correlation between width of resection margins and postoperative concentration of CEA (p = 0.5). On multivariate analysis, postoperative concentrations of CEA of 4 ng/ml or more were associated with increased risk of death (relative risk 7.3; 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.8-18.7, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Postoperative CEA offers better prognostic discrimination than the width of resection margins after resection of liver metastases from colorectal tumours. Some patients with invaded resection margins did survive for 3 years, but no patient did whose CEA concentration was 4 ng/ml or more. The definition of a potentially curative hepatic resection should include a postoperative CEA concentration of <4 ng/ml (within the reference range).