Duration of end-stage renal disease and kidney transplant outcome.

BACKGROUND: Patients nearing end-stage renal disease (ESRD) increasingly choose pre-emptive renal transplant (PRT) to avoid pre-transplant dialysis and to minimize ESRD. Compared with long-term dialysis, PRT has been shown to increase allograft survival. However, the merit of short-term dialysis is not well characterized, and it may be the better medical choice in some patients. The goal of the study was to characterize the relationship between the duration of dialysis vs allograft and patient survival. METHODS: We performed a retrospective nationwide cohort study of all kidney transplants (Tx) between January 1, 1990 and December 31, 1999, with a follow-up period through December 31, 2000. Participants were identified using the United States Renal Data System (USRDS), which tracks all ESRD cases in the nation including patients on dialysis and with kidney Tx. Patients with the history of more than one kidney Tx were excluded. Allograft survival and recipient survival were the primary outcomes of this study. Duration of ESRD as a continuous variable as well as divided into categories (14 days, 15-60 days, 61-180 days, 181-365 days, 1-2 years, 2-3 years, 3-5 years and >5 years) was the primary risk factor of interest. Models were adjusted for multiple donor and recipient factors, including demographics and co-morbidities, as well as for Tx procedure characteristics. RESULTS: A total of 81,130 patient records were used for analysis (age 44.1+/-14.3 years, 61% males, 24% black, 29% diabetic, pre-transplant ESRD duration 27.1+/-26.4 months, 26% living donors). ESRD duration, as a continuous variable, is associated with a modest increase in the risk of graft failure over time [hazard ratio (HR) 1.02 per year of ESRD duration, P<0.001]. When ESRD is studied as a categorical variable (duration of 0-14 days vs longer durations), the increased risk of allograft failure reached statistical significance only when the time on dialysis was > or =181 days. The duration of ESRD was a significant risk for recipient death (HR 1.04 per year, P<0.001); however, mortality risk reached statistical significance only when the patient had been on dialysis for > or =1 year. CONCLUSIONS: This study of USRDS records suggests that a short (<6 months) dialysis course has no detrimental effect on graft and patient survival, and should not be deferred if medically indicated.     

The impact of employment status on recipient and renal allograft survival

Abstract: Background:  With the improved median survival of kidney transplant recipients, there has been an increased focus on quality of life after transplantation. Employment is a widely recognized component of quality of life. To date, no study has demonstrated a link between post-transplant employment status and recipient and allograft survival after transplant.
Methods:  The records from the United States Renal Data System (USRDS) and the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) from January 1, 1995, through December 31, 2002, were examined in this retrospective study. Two outcomes, allograft survival time (time between the transplantation and allograft failure or censor) and recipient survival time (time between the transplantation and recipient death or censor), were analyzed using Cox models adjusted for potential confounding factors.
Results:  Compared to patients working full time at the time of transplantation, those not working by choice have a greater risk to graft [hazard ratio (HR) 1.27, p < 0.001] but not to recipient survival. A similar trend was observed in patients not working at 12 months post-transplant (HR 1.30, p < 0.001 for graft survival but not for recipient survival). However, at five-yr post-transplant not working by choice was protective to the graft (HR 0.47, p < 0.01) as compared to working full time. Results of the analysis in the patient subgroups based on the comorbidities and the overall health status were similar.
Conclusion:  Employment status at the time of transplantation and in post-transplant period has a strong and independent association with the graft and recipient survival. Full time employment at the time of transplant and at one-yr post-transplant is associated with lower risk for graft failure and recipient mortality. However, working beyond the time covered by Medicare might be associated with potential risk for graft survival.     

Retroactive application of the new kidney allocation system to renal transplants performed in the ECD/SCD era

The kidney allocation system (KAS) aims to improve deceased donor kidney transplant outcomes by matching of donor allografts and kidney recipients using the kidney donor risk index (KDRI) and recipient estimated post‐transplant survival (EPTS) indices. In this single‐center study, KAS was retroactively applied to 573 adult deceased donor kidney transplants (2004–2012) performed in the extended criteria/standard criteria donor (ECD/SCD) era. Donor KDRI and recipient EPTS were calculated, and transplants were analyzed to identify KAS fits. These were defined as allocation of top 20% allografts to top 20% recipients and bottom 80% allografts to bottom 80% recipients. On retroactive calculation, 70.2% of all transplants fit the KAS. Transplants that fit the KAS had inferior 1‐ and 5‐yr patient survival (95.5% vs. 98.8%, p = 0.048, and 83.4% vs. 91.7%, p = 0.018) and similar 1‐ and 5‐yr graft survival compared to transplants that did not fit the KAS (91.3% vs. 94.1%, p = 0.276, and 72.7% vs. 73.9%, p = 0.561). While EPTS correlated with recipient survival (HR = 2.96, p < 0.001), KDRI correlated with both recipient (HR = 3.56, p < 0.001) and graft survival (HR = 3.23, p < 0.001). Overall, retroactive application of the KAS to transplants performed in the ECD/SCD era did not identify superior patient survival for kidneys allocated in accordance with the KAS.     

Factors affecting kidney-transplant outcome in recipients with lupus nephritis

Abstract: Background: Factors associated with outcome in renal transplant recipients with lupus nephritis have not been studied. Methods: Using the data from the United States Renal Data System of patients transplanted between January 1, 1995 through December 31, 2002 (and followed through December 31, 2003) (n = 2882), we performed a retrospective analysis of factors associated with long‐term death‐censored graft survival and recipient survival. Results: The number of pretransplant pregnancies incrementally increased the risk of graft failure [hazard ratio (HR) 1.54, p < 0.05] in the entire subgroup of females and in the subgroup of recipients aged 25–35 yr. Recipient and donor age had an association with both the risk of graft failure (HR 0.96, p < 0.001; HR 1.01, p < 0.005) and recipient death (HR 1.04, p < 0.001; HR 1.01, p < 0.05). Greater graft‐failure risk accompanied increased recipient weight (HR 1.01, p < 0.001); African Americans compared with whites (HR 1.55, p < 0.001); greater Charlson comorbidity index (HR 1.17, p < 0.05); and greater panel reactive antibody (PRA) levels (HR 1.06, p < 0.001). Pretransplant peritoneal dialysis as the predominant modality had an association with decreased risk of graft failure (HR 0.49, p < 0.001), while prior transplantation was associated with greater risk of graft failure and recipient death (HR 2.29, p < 0.001; HR 3.59, p < 0.001, respectively) compared with hemodialysis (HD). The number of matched human leukocyte antigens (HLA) antigens and living donors (HR 0.92, p < 0.05; HR 0.64, p < 0.001, respectively) was associated with decreased risk of graft failure. Increased risk of graft failure and recipient death was associated with nonuse of calcineurin inhibitors (HR 1.89, p < 0.005; HR 1.80, p < 0.005) and mycophenolic acid (MPA) (including mycophenolate mofetil and MPA) or azathioprine (HR 1.41, p < 0.05; HR 1.66, p < 0.01). Using both cyclosporine and tacrolimus was associated with increased risk of graft failure (HR 2.09, p < 0.05). Using MPA is associated with greater risk of recipient death compared with azathioprine (HR 1.47, p < 0.05). Conclusion: In renal transplant recipients with lupus nephritis, multiple pregnancies, multiple blood transfusions, greater comorbidity index, higher body weight, age and African American race of the donor or recipient, prior history of transplantation, greater PRA levels, lower level of HLA matching, deceased donors, and HD in pretransplant period have an association with increased risk of graft failure. Similarly, higher recipient and donor age, prior transplantations, and higher rate of pretransplant transfusions are associated with greater risk of recipient mortality. Using neither cyclosporine nor tacrolimus or using both (compared with tacrolimus) and neither MPA nor azathioprine (compared with azathioprine) was associated with increased risk of graft failure and recipient death. Using MPA is associated with greater risk of recipient death compared with azathioprine. Testing these results in a prospective study might provide important information for clinical practice.     

The association between recipient alcohol dependency and long-term graft and recipient survival.

BACKGROUND: The causative role of alcohol consumption in renal disease is controversial, and its effect on renal graft and recipient survival has not been previously studied. METHODS: We analysed the association between pre-transplant [at the time of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) onset] alcohol dependency and renal graft and recipient survival. The United States Renal Data System (USRDS) records of kidney transplant recipients 18 years or older transplanted between 1 January 1995 and 31 December 2002 were examined. We used Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression models adjusted for covariates to analyse the association between pre-transplant alcohol dependency and graft and recipient survival. RESULTS: In an entire study cohort of 60 523, we identified 425 patients with a history of alcohol dependency. Using Cox models, alcohol dependency was found to be associated with increased risk of death-censored graft failure [hazard ratio (HR) 1.38, P < 0.05] and increased risk of transplant recipient death (HR 1.56, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis demonstrated an association of alcohol-dependency with recipient survival and death-censored graft survival in males (but not in females), and in both white and non-white racial subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: We concluded that alcohol dependency at the time of ESRD onset is a risk factor for renal graft failure and recipient death.     

Kidney Transplant Rejection in Australia and New Zealand: Relationships Between Rejection and Graft Outcome

Although acute rejection rates have fallen over time, how this relates to graft outcomes is not known. Using data from the ANZDATA Registry, we examined associations of rejection within six months of transplantation with graft and patient outcomes among kidney-only transplants performed between April 1997 and December 2004 in Australia and New Zealand. Associations of biopsy histology with outcomes of the rejection episode were also examined. Outcomes were examined among 4325 grafts with 1961 rejection episodes in total. Crude rejection rates have fallen by one-third over that time, but rates of graft survival are constant. The occurrence of acute rejection was associated with an increased risk of graft loss after 6 months (HR, adjusted for donor and recipient characteristics, 1.69 [1.36-2.11], p<0.001). Late rejection (first rejection >or=90 days) was associated with higher risk of graft loss (adjusted HR 2.46 [1.70-3.56], p<0.001). Vascular rejection was also associated with a higher risk of graft loss 2.07 [95% CI 1.60-2.68], p<0.001. The occurrence of acute rejection is associated with an ongoing increased risk of graft loss, particularly if that episode occurred late or included vascular rejection. The reduced rates of rejection have not been associated with improved graft survival.     

The Survival Benefit of Liver Transplantation

Demand for liver transplantation continues to exceed donor organ supply. Comparing recipient survival to that of comparable candidates without a transplant can improve understanding of transplant survival benefit. Waiting list and post-transplant mortality was studied among a cohort of 12 996 adult patients placed on the waiting list between 2001 and 2003. Time-dependent Cox regression models were fitted to determine relative mortality rates for candidates and recipients. Overall, deceased donor transplant recipients had a 79% lower mortality risk than candidates (HR = 0.21; p < 0.001). At Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) 18-20, mortality risk was 38% lower (p < 0.01) among recipients compared to candidates. Survival benefit increased with increasing MELD score; at the maximum score of 40, recipient mortality risk was 96% lower than that for candidates (p < 0.001). In contrast, at lower MELD scores, recipient mortality risk during the first post-transplant year was much higher than for candidates (HR = 3.64 at MELD 6-11, HR = 2.35 at MELD 12-14; both p < 0.001). Liver transplant survival benefit at 1 year is concentrated among patients at higher risk of pre-transplant death. Futile transplants among severely ill patients are not identified under current practice. With 1 year post-transplant follow-up, patients at lower risk of pre-transplant death do not have a demonstrable survival benefit from liver transplant.     

Outcomes of Simultaneous Heart–Kidney Transplant in the US: A Retrospective Analysis Using OPTN/UNOS Data

Simultaneous heart–kidney transplantation (SHK) remains uncommon in the US. We examined outcomes of SHK compared to heart transplant alone (HTA) and deceased donor kidney transplant (DDKT).
Data from OPTN/UNOS heart and kidney data bases were used to identify 16 710 HTA, 263 SHK transplants and 68 833 DDK transplants between 1998 and 2007. Outcomes included patient survival (PS), acute cardiac and renal rejection and renal graft survival (rGS).
The adjusted risk of death was 44% lower with SHK compared to HTA. Over half of SHK were performed in cases where pretransplant dialysis was not initiated. In these cases, there was no significant difference in the risk of death between SHK and HTA (HR 1.01; 95% CI 0.67–1.50).
Recipients of SHK had worse 1-year rGS and PS and had a higher relative risk of overall renal graft loss compared to DDKT recipients. One-year rates of cardiac (14.5%) and renal (6.5%) rejection were lower in SHK compared to HTA and DDKT, respectively.
Recipients of SHK had a lower adjusted risk of death compared to HTA recipients, particularly in patients who required pretransplant dialysis. These data suggest that SHK should be considered in heart transplant candidates with renal failure requiring dialysis, whereas the utility of SHK in cases of renal failure not requiring dialysis warrants further study.     

The role of the economic environment in kidney transplant outcomes

Abstract:  The relationship between global economic indicators and kidney allograft and patient survival is unknown. To investigate possible relationships between the two, we analyzed kidney transplant recipients receiving transplants between January of 1995 and December of 2002 (n = 105 181) in the USA using Cox regression models. We found that: The Dow Jones Industrial Average had a negative association with outcome at one year post-transplant (HR 1.03 and 1.06, p < 0.001 for graft and recipient survival, respectively) but changed to a protective effect in the late period (HR 0.77, p < 0.001, and HR 0.83, p < 0.001 for graft and recipient survival, respectively, five yr after transplantation). Unemployment rate had a protective effect at the time of transplantation (HR 0.97, p < 0.005) and at one year after transplantation (HR 0.95, p < 0.005) but changed to the opposite in the late period at the fifth post-transplant year (HR 1.35, p < 0.001, and HR 1.20, p < 0.001, for graft and recipient survival respectively). The Consumer Price Index measured at different post-transplant time points seems to have had a protective effect on the graft (HR 0.77, p < 0.001 at five yr) and recipient (HR 0.83, p < 0.001 at five yr) survival. Beyond three yr after transplantation, when some of the recipients lose Medicare benefits, economic downturns might have a negative association with the kidney graft and recipient survival.     

Ways to Boost Kidney Transplant Viability: A Real Need for the Best Use of Older Donors

Using kidneys from expanded criteria donors (ECD) increased transplant activity but resulted in a reduced graft survival. The relatively poor long-term outcome of ECD grafts may be the consequence of an imbalance between the number of viable nephrons supplied and the metabolic demand of the recipient. Providing more nephrons by dual transplants may improve outcomes but fails, per se, to confer the same benefit of single transplants from young donors. A biopsy-based score system has been presented by a panel of pathologists to assess whether kidneys from donors older than 60 years still contain enough viable nephrons to be made available for transplantation, and whether single or dual transplantation should be used. Allocating kidneys from older donors to a single or dual transplant on the basis of this scoring system allowed achieving a graft survival similar to that of single transplants from ideal donors and remarkably superior to that of single transplants from older donors not evaluated histologically before implantation. Thus, preimplantation histologic evaluation maximizes the success of ECD transplants and protects recipients from receiving organs at increased risk of premature failure. This may limit the number of patients who eventually must resume dialysis and need second transplants.     

Role of pre-transplant marital status in renal transplant outcome

BACKGROUND: End-stage renal disease is associated with illness-induced disruptions that challenge patients and their families to accommodate and adapt. However, the impact of patients' marital status on kidney transplant outcome has never been studied. This project, based on data from United States Renal Data System (USRDS), helps to answer how marriage affects renal transplant outcome. METHODS: Data have been collected from USRDS on all kidney/kidney-pancreas allograft recipients between January 1, 1995 and June 30, 2002, who were 18 yr old or older and had information about their marital status prior to the kidney transplantation (n = 2061). Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards modeling to control for confounding variables. RESULTS: Overall findings of this study suggest that being married has a significant protective effect on death-censored graft survival [Hazard Ratio (HR) 0.80, p < 0.05] but a non-significant effect on recipient survival (HR 0.85, p = 0.122). When stratified by gender, the effect was still present in males for death-censored graft survival (HR 0.75, p < 0.05), but not for recipient survival (HR 0.86, p = 0.24). The effect was not observed in females, where neither graft (HR 0.90, p = 0.55) nor recipient (HR 0.8, p = 0.198) survival had an association with marital status. In subgroup analysis similar association was found in the recipients of a single transplant. CONCLUSION: Based on our analysis, being married in the pre-transplant period is associated with positive outcome for the graft, but not for the recipient survival. When analyzed separately, the effect is present in male, but not in female recipients.     

Effect of waiting time on renal transplant outcome

BACKGROUND: Numerous factors are known to impact on patient survival after renal transplantation. Recent studies have confirmed a survival advantage for renal transplant patients over those waiting on dialysis. We aimed to investigate the hypothesis that longer waiting times are more deleterious than shorter waiting times, that is, to detect a "dose effect" for waiting time. METHODS: We analyzed 73,103 primary adult renal transplants registered at the United States Renal Data System Registry from 1988 to 1997 for the primary endpoints of death with functioning graft and death-censored graft failure by Cox proportional hazard models. All models were corrected for donor and recipient demographics and other factors known to affect outcome after kidney transplantation. RESULTS: A longer waiting time on dialysis is a significant risk factor for death-censored graft survival and patient death with functioning graft after renal transplantation (P < 0.001 each). Relative to preemptive transplants, waiting times of 6 to 12 months, 12 to 24 months, 24 to 36, 36 to 48, and over 48 months confer a 21, 28, 41, 53, and 72% increase in mortality risk after transplantation, respectively. Relative to preemptive transplants, waiting times of 0 to 6 months, 6 to 12 months, 12 to 24 months, and over 24 months confer a 17, 37, 55, and 68% increase in risk for death-censored graft loss after transplantation, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Longer waiting times on dialysis negatively impact on post-transplant graft and patient survival. These data strongly support the hypothesis that patients who reach end-stage renal disease should receive a renal transplant as early as possible in order to enhance their chances of long-term survival.     

Kidney Transplantation Outcome Predictions (KTOP): A Risk Prediction Tool for Kidney Transplants from Brain-dead Deceased Donors Based on a Large European Cohort

BackgroundEuropean kidney donation shortages mandate efficient organ allocation by optimizing the prediction of success for individual recipients.ObjectiveTo develop the first European online risk tool for kidney transplant outcomes on the basis of recipient-only and recipient plus donor characteristics.Design, setting, and participantsWe used individual recipient and donor risk factors and three outcomes (death, death with functioning graft [DWFG], and graft loss) for 32 958 transplants within the Eurotransplant kidney allocation system and the Eurotransplant senior program between January 2006 and May 2018 in eight European countries to develop and validate a risk tool.Outcome measurements and statistical analysisCox proportional-hazards models were used to analyze the association of risk factors with overall patient mortality, and proportional subdistribution hazard regression models for their association with graft loss and DWFG. Prediction models were developed with recipient-only and recipient-donor risk factors. Sensitivity analyses based on time-specific area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) with leave-one-country-out validation were performed and calibration plots were generated.Results and limitationsThe 10-yr cumulative incidence rate was 37% for mortality, 12% for DWFG, and 41% for graft loss. In recipient-donor models the leading risk factors for mortality were recipient diabetes (hazard ratio [HR] 10.73), retransplantation (HR 3.08 per transplant), and recipient age (HR 1.08). Effects were similar for DWFG. For graft loss, diabetes (subdistributional HR [SHR] 1.32), increased donor age (SHR 1.02), and prolonged cold ischemia time (SHR 1.02) had increased SHRs. All p values were <0.001.ConclusionsPreviously identified risk factors for outcomes following kidney transplants allow for outcome prediction with 10-yr AUC values of up to 0.81.Patient summaryUsing European data, we estimated individual risks to predict the success of kidney transplants and support physicians in decision-making. An online tool is now available (https://riskcalc.org/ktop/) for predicting kidney transplant outcomes both before and after a donor has been identified.     

Associations between EBV serostatus and organ transplant type in PTLD risk: an analysis of the SRTR National Registry Data in the United States

In a prior multiorgan transplant database study, recipient Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) seronegativity was not associated with increased risk for posttransplant lymphoproliferative disorders (PTLD) in liver transplants (LTX), at variance with prior single center reports and with data from kidney and heart transplants (KTX and HTX). The Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) in the United States is the only other registry with data on the required variables for comparison.Our study set comprised 112 756 KTX (580 PTLDs; 0.51%), 13 937 HTX (140 PTLDs; 1.0%) and 40 437 LTX (383 PTLDs; 0.95%) performed January 2003 onward. The unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) for PTLD if recipient EBV seronegative was 5.005 for KTX, 6.528 for HTX and 2.615 for LTX (p < 0.001 for all). In models adjusted for multiple covariates, the adjusted HR was 3.583 (p < 0.001) for KTX, 4.037 (p < 0.001) for HTX, 1.479 (p = 0.03) for LTX. Interaction models using EBV seropositive KTX as reference group showed significantly higher risk for all other EBV seronegative organ transplant groups and also for EBV seropositive LTX (AHR 2.053, p < 0.0001).Recipient EBV seronegativity is still significantly associated with risk for PTLD in LTX, though less so because of higher baseline risk in the EBV seropositive LTX group.     

Comparison of recipient outcomes following transplant from local versus imported pancreas donors

The shortage of deceased donor organs for solid organ transplantation continues to be an ongoing dilemma. One approach to increase the number of pancreas transplants is to share organs between procurement regions. To assess for the effects of organ importation, we reviewed the outcomes of 1014 patients undergoing deceased donor pancreas transplant at a single center. We performed univariate and multivariate analyses of the association of donor, recipient and surgical characteristics with patient outcomes. Organ importation had no effect on graft or recipient survival for recipients of solitary pancreas transplants. Similarly, there was no effect on technical failure rate, graft survival or long-term patient survival for simultaneous kidney-pancreas (SPK) recipients. In contrast, there was a significant and independent increased risk of death in the first year in SPK recipients of imported organs. SPK recipients had longer hospitalizations and increased hospital costs. This increased medical complexity may make these patients more susceptible to short-term complications resulting from the longer preservation times of import transplants. These findings support the continued use of organ sharing to reduce transplant wait times but highlight the importance of strategies to reduce organ preservation times.     

Whole liver versus split liver versus living donor in the adult recipient: an analysis of outcomes by graft type

BACKGROUND: We studied patient and graft survival rates in adult liver transplant recipients, analyzing outcomes based on donor source (deceased donor [DD] vs. living donor [LD]) and graft type (whole liver vs. partial liver). METHODS: A retrospective database analysis of all adult liver transpants performed at our center over a 7-year period of time. RESULTS: Between 1999 and 2005, 384 liver transplants were performed in adult recipients, either as a whole liver from a deceased donor (DD-WL, n=284), split liver from a DD (DD-SL, n=31), or a partial transplant from a living donor (LD, n=69). DD-SL transplants were performed with a full right or left lobe graft, while LD transplants used the right lobe. Demographic differences in the three groups were most noticeable for lower model for end-stage liver disease scores in LD recipients (P<0.001) and younger donor age in DD-SL recipients (P<0.001). Superior graft survival results were seen in LD recipients versus either DD-WL recipients or DD-SL recipients (P=0.02 and P=0.05, respectively). Multivariate analysis showed hepatitis C (HR=1.53, P=0.05) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HR=1.74, P=0.03) to be significant risk factors for patient survival. Hepatitis C (HR=1.61, P=0.03) and donor age more than 50 (HR=1.64, P=0.04) were significant risk factors for graft survival. However, neither graft type nor donor source were significant independent risk factors for patient or graft survival. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggests that the status of the recipient is probably a more important determinant of outcome than graft type or donor source.     

Pre‐existing diabetes significantly increases the risk of graft failure and mortality following renal transplantation

The aim of this study was to examine the impact of pre‐existing diabetes mellitus (DM) on acute rejection, graft loss, and mortality following kidney transplant and whether glycemic control or cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk control with medications influenced outcomes. This was a cohort study of 1002 renal transplants conducted between 2000 and 2008. Patients were included if they received a kidney transplant within the allotted time and were at least 18 yr of age. Cox regression was used to assess acute rejection, graft failure, or death controlling for relevant sociodemographic, clinical, and post‐transplant variables. Five‐yr patient survival (83% vs. 93%, p < 0.001) and graft survival (74% vs. 79%, p = 0.005) were significantly lower in patients with pre‐existing DM. Sequential Cox regression models demonstrated that pre‐existing DM was consistently associated with a higher risk of death (HR 2.3–3.0, p < 0.01) and graft failure (HR 1.5–1.8, p < 0.04) in all models except after adjusting for CVD medication use (HR 1.9, p = 0.174 and HR 1.5, p = 0.210, respectively). These data suggest pre‐existing DM is a significant risk factor for graft failure and death following renal transplantation and aggressive CVD risk reduction with medications may be an important strategy to reduce mortality and graft failure.     

Dynamic changes in MELD score not only predict survival on the waiting list but also overall survival after liver transplantation

The predictive value of MELD score for post‐transplant survival has been under constant debate since its implementation in 2001. Aim of this study was to assess the impact of alterations in MELD score throughout waiting time (WT) on post‐transplant survival. A single‐centre retrospective analysis of 1125 consecutive patients listed for liver transplantation between 1997 and 2009 was performed. The impact of MELD score and dynamic changes in MELD score (DeltaMELD), as well as age, sex, year of listing and WT were evaluated on waiting list mortality and post‐transplant survival. In this cohort, 539 (60%) patients were transplanted, 223 (25%) died on list and 142 (15%) were removed from the waiting list during WT. One‐, three‐ and five‐year survival after liver transplantation were 83%, 78% and 76% respectively. DeltaMELD as a continuous variable proved to be the only significant risk factor for overall survival after liver transplantation (hazard ratio (HR): 1.06, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02–1.1, P = 0.013). The highest risk of post‐transplant death could be defined for patients with a DeltaMELD > 10 (HR: 4.87, 95% CI 2.09–11.35, P < 0.0001). In addition, DeltaMELD as well as MELD at listing showed a significant impact on waiting list mortality. DeltaMELD may provide an easy evaluation tool to identify patients on the liver transplant waiting list with a high mortality risk after transplantation in the current setting. Temporarily withholding and re‐evaluating these patients might improve overall outcome after liver transplantation.     

Predictors and outcomes of delayed graft function after living‐donor kidney transplantation

Delayed graft function (DGF) following deceased donor kidney transplantation is associated with inferior outcomes. Delayed graft function following living‐donor kidney transplantation is less common, but its impact on graft survival unknown. We therefore sought to determine risk factors for DGF following living‐donor kidney transplantation and DGF's effect on living‐donor kidney graft survival. We analyzed living‐donor kidney transplants performed between 2000 and 2014 in the UNOS dataset. A total of 64 024 living‐donor kidney transplant recipients were identified, 3.6% developed DGF. Cold ischemic time, human leukocyte antigen mismatch, donor age, panel reactive antibody, recipient diabetes, donor and recipient body mass index, recipient race and gender, right nephrectomy, open nephrectomy, dialysis status, ABO incompatibility, and previous transplants were independent predictors of DGF in living‐donor kidney transplants. Five‐year graft survival among living‐donor kidney transplant recipients with DGF was significantly lower compared with graft survival in those without DGF (65% and 85%, respectively, P < 0.001). DGF more than doubled the risk of subsequent graft failure (hazard ratio = 2.3, 95% confidence interval: 2.1–2.6; P < 0.001). DGF after living‐donor kidney transplantation is associated with inferior allograft outcomes. Minimizing modifiable risk factors may improve outcomes in living‐donor kidney transplantation.     

A Composite Risk Model for Predicting Technical Failure in Pancreas Transplantation

Technical failure (TF) continues to have a significant impact on the success of pancreas transplantation. We assessed risk factors for TF in 1115 pancreas transplants performed at a single center between 1998 and 2011. The overall TF rate was 10.2%. In a multivariable model, donor BMI ≥30 (HR 1.87, p = 0.005), donor Cr ≥2.5 (HR 3.16, p = 0.007), donor age >50 (HR 1.73, p = 0.082) and preservation time >20 h (HR 2.17, p < 0.001) were associated with TF. Bladder drainage of exocrine secretions was protective (HR 0.54, p = 0.002). We incorporated these factors in a Composite Risk Model. In this model the presence of one risk factor did not significantly increase risk of TF (HR 1.35, p = 0.346). Two risk factors in combination increased risk greater than threefold (HR 3.65, p < 0.001) and three risk factors increased risk greater than sevenfold (HR 7.66, p = <0.001). The analysis also identified many factors that were not predictive of TF, including previous transplants, immunosuppressive agent selection, and almost all recipient demographic parameters. While the model suggests that two or more risk factors predict TF, strategies to reduce preservation time may mitigate some of this risk.