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There are currently no studies calculating the survival benefit of liver transplantation (LT) according to model for end‐stage liver disease‐sodium (MELD‐Na) and based on the competing risk (CR) method. We enrolled consecutive adult patients with chronic end‐stage liver disease entering the waiting list (WL) for primary LT (WL group = 337) and undergoing LT (LT group = 220) in the period 2006–2009. Two independent multivariable regressions (WL and LT models) were created to measure the prognostic power of MELD‐Na with respect to MELD. For the WL model, both Cox and CR multivariable analyses were performed. Estimates were finally included in a Markov model to calculate 3‐year survival benefit. WL Cox model: MELD‐Na (< 0.0001) and MELD (< 0.0001) significantly predicted survival. WL CR model: MELD‐Na (P = 0.0045) and MELD (P = 0.0109) significantly predicted survival. LT Cox model: MELD‐Na (P = 0.7608) and MELD score (P = 0.9413) had not correlation with survival. Benefit model: MELD and MELD‐Na had an overlapping significant impact on 3‐year survival benefit; CR method determined a significant decrease in 3‐year life expectancy (LE) estimations. MELD‐Na and MELD scores similarly predicted 3‐year LT survival benefit, but the gain in LE is significantly lower when a CR method is adopted.  相似文献   

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A decade ago, observations suggested that post‐transplant diabetes mellitus (PTDM) was linked to allograft loss and shorter patient survival. Increasing awareness, improvements in care, and changes in the immunosuppressive regimen may have modified this association. Single‐center analysis of 1990 (age>18; transplantation date 1996–2012) primary kidney recipients (KTR). Patients with <12 months follow‐up were excluded. Diabetes was diagnosed according to ADA criteria and characterized as follows: No diabetes, PTDM in the first post‐transplant year not treated with glucose‐lowering medications (GLM) at 12 months, PTDM in the first post‐transplant year treated with GLM at 12 months, and pretransplant diabetes. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the relationship of PTDM with allograft and patient survival. Mean follow‐up time was 6.8 years for allograft survival and 7.4 years for patient survival. PTDM treated with medication at year one was not associated with allograft survival (HR 1.28, 95% CI 0.97–1.69), but was significantly associated with overall mortality and death with functioning graft (DWFG) (HR overall: 1.81, 95% CI 1.36–2.39; HR DWFG: 1.59 95% CI 1.05–2.38). In this cohort, KTR with PTDM being treated with glucose‐lowering medication at 12 months experienced significantly shorter overall survival and survival with functioning graft.  相似文献   

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Outcomes of old‐donor simultaneous pancreas–kidney transplantation (SPKT) have not been thoroughly studied. Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data reported for SPKT candidates receiving dialysis wait‐listed between 1993 and 2008 (n = 7937) were analyzed for outcomes among those who remained listed (n = 3301) and of SPKT recipients (n = 4636) using multivariable time‐dependent regression models. Recipients were stratified by donor/recipient age (cutoff 40 years) into: young‐to‐young (n = 2099), young‐to‐old (n = 1873), old‐to‐young (n = 293), and old‐to‐old (n = 371). The overall mortality was 12%, 14%, 20%, and 24%, respectively, for those transplanted, and 50% for those remaining on the waiting list. On multivariable analysis, old‐donor SPKT was associated with significantly higher overall risks of patient death, death‐censored pancreas, and kidney graft failure in both young (73%, 53%, and 63% increased risk, respectively) and old (91%, 124%, and 85% increased risk, respectively) recipients. The adjusted relative mortality risk was similar for recipients of old‐donor SPKT compared with wait‐listed patients including those who subsequently received young‐donor transplants (aHR 0.95; 95% CI 0.78, 1.12) except for candidates in OPOs with waiting times ≥604 days (aHR 0.65, 95% CI 0.45–0.94). Old‐donor SPKT results in significantly worse graft survival and patient mortality without any waiting‐time benefit as compared to young‐donor SPKT, except for candidates with expected long waiting times.  相似文献   

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Aim Short‐term survival after emergency surgery for perforated diverticulitis is poor. Less is known about long‐term survival. The aims of this study were to evaluate long‐term survival after discharge from hospital and to identify factors associated with prognosis. Method All patients who underwent emergency surgery for perforated diverticulitis in five hospitals in Rotterdam, the Netherlands, between 1990 and 2005, were included. The association between type of surgery (Hartmann’s procedure or primary anastomosis) and long‐term survival was analysed using multivariate Cox regression analysis, taking into account age American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) classification, Hinchey score, Mannheim Peritonitis Index (MPI) and surgeon’s experience. In addition, survival of the patients was compared with that of the matched general Dutch population. Results Of 340 patients included in the study, 250 were discharged alive from hospital. The overall 5‐year survival was 53%. Survival was significantly impaired compared with the expected matched gender‐, age‐ and calendar time‐specific survival. Overall survival was significantly related to age and ASA classification. Hinchey score, MPI, number of re‐interventions, the surgeon’s experience and type of procedure did not influence long‐term survival, although a trend was found for Hartmann’s procedure to be a risk factor for poorer survival compared with primary anastomosis (hazard ratio for mortality: 1.88; 95% confidence interval, 0.96–3.67; P = 0.07). Conclusion Long‐term survival of patients after perforated diverticulitis is limited and mainly caused by the poor general condition of the patients, rather than by the severity of the primary disease or calendar‐time and type of procedure.  相似文献   

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Following heart transplantation, cardiac biomarkers remain elevated for several weeks eventually as a result of membrane leakage of the donor organ. We now test the predictive power of blood levels of troponin T (TNT) measured by the new hsTNT assay (Roche Diagnostics, Roche Diagnostics, Mannheim, Germany) early after heart transplantation. TNT was determined in 141 cardiac allograft recipients and 40 controls. Our findings demonstrate that patients who died within the first year after transplantation had significantly higher median hsTNT serum levels 6 weeks after transplantation (156 ng/l ± 203 vs. 29 ng/l ± 21, P = 0.0002). Using ROC analysis, a serum hsTNT concentration of 33.55 ng/l 6 weeks after transplantation was found to be the best cutoff to predict death at 1 year (HR 0.16, 95%CI:0.05–0.46, P = 0.001) with a sensitivity of 90.91% and a specificity of 70.97%. In addition, survival at 5 years (HR 0.15, 95% CI 0.06–0.35, P < 0.0001) was significantly better among patients below that cutoff value. In multivariate analysis, hsTNT serum level 6 weeks after transplantation emerged as an independent predictor for first‐year mortality (hsTNT–HR 0.90, 95% CI: 0.81–1.00, P = 0.03). Cardiac troponin T concentrations early after transplantation as measured with a highly sensitive assay represent a strong and independent risk predictor of death after heart transplantation.  相似文献   

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In heart transplantation, the clinical significance of pretransplant donor‐specific antibodies (DSA) detected by solid phase assay (SPA), which is more sensitive than the conventional complement‐dependent cytotoxicity (CDC) assays, is unclear. The aim was to evaluate SPA performed on pretransplant sera for survival after heart transplantation. Pretransplant sera of 272 heart transplant recipients were screened for anti‐HLA antibodies using CDC and SPA. For determination of pretransplant DSA, a single‐antigen bead assay was performed. The presence of anti‐HLA antibodies was correlated with survival. Secondary outcome parameters were acute cellular rejection, graft coronary vasculopathy and ejection fraction. In Kaplan–Meier analysis, SPA‐screening did not predict survival (P = 0.494), this in contrast to CDC screening (P = 0.002). However, the presence of pretransplant DSA against HLA class I was associated with decreased short‐term survival compared to non‐DSA (P = 0.038). ROC curve analysis showed a sensitivity of 76% and specificity of 73% at a cutoff of 2000 MFI. In contrast, the presence of anti‐HLA antibodies had no influence on long‐term survival, rejection incidence, and graft function. Thus, detection of DSA class I in pretransplant serum is a strong predictor of short‐term, but not long‐term survival and may help in the early management of heart transplant patients.  相似文献   

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Organ transplantation is often lifesaving, but the long‐term deleterious effects of combinatorial immunosuppression regimens and allograft failure cause significant morbidity and mortality. Long‐term graft survival in the absence of continuing immunosuppression, defined as operational tolerance, has never been described in the context of multiple major histocompatibility complex (MHC) mismatches. Here, we show that miR‐142 deficiency leads to indefinite allograft survival in a fully MHC mismatched murine cardiac transplant model in the absence of exogenous immunosuppression. We demonstrate that the cause of indefinite allograft survival in the absence of miR‐142 maps specifically to the T cell compartment. Of therapeutic relevance, temporal deletion of miR‐142 in adult mice prior to transplantation of a fully MHC mismatched skin allograft resulted in prolonged allograft survival. Mechanistically, miR‐142 directly targets Tgfbr1 for repression in regulatory T cells (TREG). This leads to increased TREG sensitivity to transforming growth factor – beta and promotes transplant tolerance via an augmented peripheral TREG response in the absence of miR‐142. These data identify manipulation of miR‐142 as a promising approach for the induction of tolerance in human transplantation.  相似文献   

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