Physical and psychological factors predict outcome following whiplash injury

Predictors of outcome following whiplash injury are limited to socio-demographic and symptomatic factors, which are not readily amenable to secondary and tertiary intervention. This prospective study investigated the predictive capacity of early measures of physical and psychological impairment on pain and disability 6 months following whiplash injury. Motor function (ROM; kinaesthetic sense; activity of the superficial neck flexors (EMG) during cranio-cervical flexion), quantitative sensory testing (pressure, thermal pain thresholds, brachial plexus provocation test), sympathetic vasoconstrictor responses and psychological distress (GHQ-28, TSK, IES) were measured in 76 acute whiplash participants. The outcome measure was Neck Disability Index scores at 6 months. Stepwise regression analysis was used to predict the final NDI score. Logistic regression analyses predicted membership to one of the three groups based on final NDI scores (<8 recovered, 10-28 mild pain and disability, >30 moderate/severe pain and disability). Higher initial NDI score (1.007-1.12), older age (1.03-1.23), cold hyperalgesia (1.05-1.58), and acute post-traumatic stress (1.03-1.2) predicted membership to the moderate/severe group. Additional variables associated with higher NDI scores at 6 months on stepwise regression analysis were: ROM loss and diminished sympathetic reactivity. Higher initial NDI score (1.03-1.28), greater psychological distress (GHQ-28) (1.04-1.28) and decreased ROM (1.03-1.25) predicted subjects with persistent milder symptoms from those who fully recovered. These results demonstrate that both physical and psychological factors play a role in recovery or non-recovery from whiplash injury. This may assist in the development of more relevant treatment methods for acute whiplash.     

Physical and psychological factors maintain long-term predictive capacity post-whiplash injury

Higher initial levels of pain and disability, older age, cold hyperalgesia, impaired sympathetic vasoconstriction and moderate post-traumatic stress symptoms have been shown to be associated with poor outcome 6 months following whiplash injury. This study prospectively investigated the predictive capacity of these variables at a long-term follow-up. Sixty-five of an initial cohort of 76 acutely injured whiplash participants were followed to 2-3 years post-accident. Motor function (ROM; kinaesthetic sense; activity of the superficial neck flexors (EMG) during cranio-cervical flexion), quantitative sensory testing (pressure, thermal pain thresholds and brachial plexus provocation test), sympathetic vasoconstrictor responses and psychological distress (GHQ-28, TSK and IES) were measured. The outcome measure was Neck Disability Index (NDI) scores. Participants with ongoing moderate/severe symptoms at 2-3 years continued to manifest decreased ROM, increased EMG during cranio-cervical flexion, sensory hypersensitivity and elevated levels of psychological distress when compared to recovered participants and those with milder symptoms. The latter two groups showed only persistent deficits in cervical muscle recruitment patterns. Higher initial NDI scores (OR 1.00-1.1), older age (OR 1.00-1.13), cold hyperalgesia (OR 1.1-1.13) and post-traumatic stress symptoms (OR 1.03-1.2) remained significant predictors of poor outcome at long-term follow-up (r2=0.56). The robustness of these physical and psychological factors suggests that their assessment in the acute stage following whiplash injury will be important.     

The influence of prognostic factors on neck pain intensity, disability, anxiety and depression over a 2-year period in subjects with acute whiplash injury

The influence of potential prognostic factors (occupant- and crash-related factors, initial neck pain intensity and headache, whiplash injury severity, helplessness, locus of control, socioeconomic status) on neck pain intensity (VAS), disability (DRI), anxiety and depression (HADS) was estimated in a cohort of 3704 subjects with whiplash injury following a motor vehicle crash. Questionnaires were administered (baseline, 1-, 6-, 12-, 24-month follow-ups). VAS was trichotomized; "low" (0-30), "moderate" (31-54), "severe" (55-100). A cumulative logit model with a proportional odds assumption was applied. Results regarding depression differed somewhat from the other outcomes. Overall, initial neck pain intensity was an important prognostic factor, but acted also as an evident effect modifier. Females had slightly increased odds for all outcomes but depression, for which no gender differences were shown. Injury severity was associated with all outcomes, but was most pronounced regarding disability among those who perceived numbness/pain in arms/hands and also had severe initial neck pain (proportional odds ratio [OR] 6.5; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.5-17.0). Initial headache influenced all outcomes. Income was not related to any of the outcomes, whereas a lower level of education was associated with all outcomes but depression. Locus of control was not a factor of importance. In contrast, helplessness was related to all outcomes, but was most pronounced regarding neck pain intensity and depression for subjects with severe initial neck pain (OR 4.8; 95% CI 2.9-7.8; OR 6.6; 95% CI 2.6-17.0). Associations seem to be established early, and then to be relatively constant over time.     

Derivation of a clinical prediction rule to identify both chronic moderate/severe disability and full recovery following whiplash injury

Recovery following a whiplash injury is varied: approximately 50% of individuals fully recover, 25% develop persistent moderate/severe pain and disability, and 25% experience milder levels of disability. Identification of individuals likely to develop moderate/severe disability or to fully recover may help direct therapeutic resources and optimise treatment. A clinical prediction rule (CPR) is a research-generated tool used to predict outcomes such as likelihood of developing moderate/severe disability or experiencing full recovery from whiplash injury. The purpose of this study was to assess the plausibility of developing a CPR. Participants from 2 prospective, longitudinal studies that examined prognostic factors for poor functional recovery following whiplash injury were used to derive this tool. Eight factors, previously identified as predictor variables of poor recovery, were included in the analyses: initial neck disability index (NDI), initial neck pain (visual analogue scale), cold pain threshold, range of neck movement, age, gender, presence of headache, and posttraumatic stress symptoms (Posttraumatic Diagnostic Scale [PDS]). An increased probability of developing chronic moderate/severe disability was predicted in the presence of older age and initially higher levels of NDI and hyperarousal symptoms (PDS) (positive predictive value [PPV] = 71%). The probability of full recovery was increased in younger individuals with initially lower levels of neck disability (PPV = 71%). This study provides initial evidence for a CPR to predict both chronic moderate/severe disability and full recovery following a whiplash injury. Further research is needed to validate the tool, determine the acceptability of the proposed CPR by practitioners, and assess the impact of inclusion in practice.     

Prognostic factors in first-time care seekers due to acute low back pain.

There is limited knowledge on prognostic factors for developing chronic low back pain (LBP) at an early stage of LBP. The objectives of this study were to investigate the clinical course of pain and disability, and prognostic factors for non-recovery after 1-year, in patients seeking help for the first time due to acute LBP. An inception cohort study included 123 patients with acute LBP lasting less than 3 weeks and consulting primary care for the first time. Main outcome measures were pain intensity, Roland-Morris disability questionnaire (RMQ), and sickness absence. Eleven patients (9%) did not return for the 12-month follow-up. There were large and significant reductions in pain intensity (P<0.001) and RMQ scores (P<0.001) during follow-up. Patients with neurological signs showed significantly less improvement in pain (P=0.001) and RMQ (P=0.004) compared with those without neurological signs. The proportions with sickness absence due to LBP at 6, 9, and 12 months were 7%, 8%, and 9%, respectively. At 12 months, 17% of patients had not fully recovered. Multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that high scores on a psychosocial screening (acute low back pain screening questionnaire) and emotional distress (Hopkin's symptom check list) were significantly associated with non-recovery at 12 months, with odds ratios of 4.4 (95% confidence interval 1.1-17.4) and 3.3 (1.1-10.2), respectively.     

Differential development of sensory hypersensitivity and a measure of spinal cord hyperexcitability following whiplash injury

Widespread sensory hypersensitivity is present in acute whiplash and is associated with poor recovery. Decreased nociceptive flexion reflex (NFR) thresholds (spinal cord hyperexcitability) are a feature of chronic whiplash but have not been investigated in the acute to chronic injury stage. This study compared the temporal development of sensory hypersensitivity and NFR responses from soon after injury to either recovery or to transition to chronicity. It also aimed to identify predictors of persistent spinal cord hyperexcitability. Pressure and cold pain thresholds, NFR responses (threshold and pain VAS) were prospectively measured in 62 participants at <3 weeks, 3 and 6 months post whiplash injury and in 22 healthy controls on two occasions a month apart. Pain levels and psychological distress (GHQ-28; IES) were measured at baseline. Whiplash participants were classified at 6 months post-injury using the Neck Disability Index: recovered (?8%), mild pain and disability (10–28%) or moderate/severe pain and disability (?30%). All whiplash groups demonstrated spinal cord hyperexcitability (lowered NFR thresholds) at 3 weeks post-injury. This hyperexcitability persisted in those with moderate/severe symptoms at 6 months but resolved in those who recovered or reported lesser symptoms at 6 months. In contrast generalized sensory hypersensitivity (pressure and cold) was only ever present in those with persistent moderate/severe symptoms and remained unchanged throughout the study period. This suggests different mechanisms underlie sensory hypersensitivity and NFR responses. In multivariate analyses only initial NDI scores (p = 0.003) were a unique predictor of persistent spinal cord hyperexcitability indicating possible ongoing peripheral nociception following whiplash injury.     

Does Overall Cervical Spine Pathology Relate to the Clinical Heterogeneity of Chronic Whiplash?

Background and purposeThere remains limited evidence for the clinical importance of most imaging findings in whiplash. However, it is possible the type and number of findings on Computed Tomography (CT) may contribute to prognostic recovery models. The purpose is to interpret cervical spine pathologies in the context of known factors influencing recovery.Materials and methodsThis is a secondary analysis from a database of 97 acutely injured participants enrolled in a prospective inception cohort study. Thirty-eight participants underwent standard of care cervical spine CT in the emergency medicine department. All 38 participants were assessed at <1-week, 2-weeks, and 3-months post-injury and classified using percentage scores on the Neck Disability Index (recovered/mild (NDI of 0–28%) or moderate/severe (NDI ≥ 30%)). Between-group comparison of categorical variables (gender (male/female), presence of at least one CT finding (yes/no), and presence of ≥3 pathologies on CT (yes/no)) was conducted using 2-tailed Fisher's exact test.ResultsParticipants from both groups demonstrated at least one observable pathology. The group with persistent moderate/severe symptoms presented with significantly more pathology at baseline than those who later reported recovery or milder symptoms at 3-months post injury (p = 0.02).ConclusionsThis preliminary study, which needs replication in a larger cohort, provides foundation that the number of degenerative pathologies seen on initial post MVC CT may be associated with the subsequent clinical course of whiplash.     

Prognostication of critically ill patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure using the Chronic Liver Failure–Sequential Organ Failure Assessment: A Canadian retrospective study

PurposeWe evaluated the Chronic Liver Failure–Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (CLIF-SOFA) score to predict survival in a Canadian critically ill cohort with acute-on-chronic liver failure.MethodsWe retrospectively examined 274 acute-on-chronic liver failure patients admitted to a quaternary level intensive care unit (ICU) between April 1, 2000, and April 30, 2011. We evaluated severity of illness scores, including the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP), SOFA, and CLIF-SOFA.ResultsOn ICU admission, patients had the following median (interquartile range): APACHE II, 23 (19-28); MELD, 26 (19-35); CTP, 12 (10-13); SOFA, 15 (11-18); and CLIF-SOFA, 17 (13-21). In-hospital survival was 40%. There were no significant differences in survival for cirrhosis etiology, reason, or year of admission. The CLIF-SOFA score had the greatest area under receiver operating curve of 0.865 (95% confidence interval, 0.820-0.909) and outperformed the CTP, MELD, SOFA, and APACHE II scores. Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score performance improved on the third day of ICU admission (area under receiver operating curve, 0.935; 95% confidence interval, 0.895-0.975).ConclusionsThe CLIF-SOFA and SOFA scores during the first 3 days of ICU admission appear to be highly predictive of in-hospital mortality.     

The impact of non-injury-related factors on disability secondary to whiplash associated disorder type II: a retrospective file review

BACKGROUND: There is evidence to suggest that Whiplash Associated Disorders (WADs) are influenced by physical trauma and psychosocial factors, as well as by medicolegal and compensation systems. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of noninjury related variables on self-reported disability at initial assessment among patients presenting with WAD type II injuries. DESIGN AND SETTING: We reviewed a total of 1101 consecutive files of patients presenting to a single chiropractor's office in British Columbia, Canada. We included those who met the inclusion criteria. We extracted demographic variables and noninjury related information from 33 eligible patient files. We calculated correlations between variables and created a multivariable linear regression model to evaluate their relative associations with Neck Disability Index (NDI) scores on presentation. RESULTS: Higher NDI scores on initial assessment correlated with female sex (r = 0.40, P =.02), a greater number of subsequent treatments (r = 0.44, P =.01), a higher number of providers seen before presentation (r = 0.40, P =.02), and most strongly with the involvement of a lawyer (r = 0.73, P <.01). A multivariable linear regression model found that only female sex (P =.03) and the involvement of a lawyer (P =.01) remained significantly associated with higher NDI scores on presentation (adjusted R2 = 0.68 for the model). Female sex was associated with a 10-point increase in NDI scores on presentation (beta coefficient = 10.5; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.8-18.2), and involvement of a lawyer was associated with a 15-point increase in NDI scores on presentation (beta coefficient = 14.9; 95% CI 5.0-24.7). CONCLUSION: Our analysis of WAD type II patients in receipt of compensation found that higher self-reported disability on initial assessment was associated with female sex and in particular by retaining a lawyer. Large prospective studies are needed to establish the validity of these findings.     

Self-rated disability,fear-avoidance beliefs,nonorganic pain behaviors are important mediators of ranges of active motion in chronic whiplash patients

Abstract

Purpose: The influence of self-rated disability and fear-avoidance beliefs on whiplash sufferers in their performance of active ranges of motion has not been studied well. We undertook a cross-sectional study to determine this. Methods: Chronic whiplash subjects completed a standard clinical examination. They completed the Neck Disability Index (NDI), the Tampa Scale for Kinesiophobia (TSK) and pain visual analog scale (VAS). Active ranges of motion (goniometer) and cervical nonorganic simulation signs (C-NOSS) were obtained by the examiner. Univariate and multivariable analyses were conducted on these scores. Results: Sixty-four subjects (37 female) with a mean age of 41.4 (SD 16.1) years completed all scores. NDI, pain VAS and C-NOSS correlated significantly with ROM. In a multivariable model, only the NDI score contributed significantly to the variance of the ROM scores (14%). Conclusion: As chronic whiplash sufferers perform ROM in a clinical examination, these ranges are importantly influenced by their self-perceived disability. Cervical nonorganic simulation signs can be helpful in distinguishing high from very high levels of disability and motion restriction. The lack of correlation with the TSK may present a challenge to the Fear Avoidance Model in whiplash.

• Implications for Rehabilitation

• Self-ratings of disability in chronic whiplash sufferers are influenced by their fear-avoidance beliefs.

• While self-ratings of disability are known to predict chronicity of whiplash, there is less known about how these ratings affect impairment assessment during recovery.

• This study shows that self-ratings of disability influence the presentation of impairment by chronic whiplash sufferers with respect to their ranges of neck motion.

• Signs of nonorganic behavior also influence ranges of motion and self-ratings of disability.

• These findings should be incorporated into the interpretation of impairment findings in chronic whiplash sufferers in order to improve management.

     

Compensation claim lodgement and health outcome developmental trajectories following whiplash injury: A prospective study

This study aimed to identify distinctive trajectories for pain/disability and posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptoms following whiplash injury and to examine the effect of injury compensation claim lodgement on the trajectories. In a prospective study, 155 individuals with whiplash were assessed at <1 month, 3, 6 and 12 months post injury. Outcomes at each time point were Neck Disability Index (NDI) and the Posttraumatic Stress Diagnostic Scale (PDS). Group-based trajectory analytical techniques were used to identify outcome profiles. The analyses were then repeated after including third party compensation claim lodgment as a binary time-changing covariate. Three distinct NDI trajectories were determined: (1) Mild: mild or negligible pain/disability for the entire 12 months (45%), (2) Moderate: initial moderate pain/disability that decreased to mild levels by 3 months (39%) and (3) Chronic-severe: severe pain/disability persisting at moderate/severe levels for 12 months (16%). Three distinct PTSD trajectories were also identified: (1) Resilient: mild symptoms throughout (40%), (2) Recovering: initial moderate symptoms declining to mild levels by 3 months (43%) and (3) Chronic moderate-severe: persistent moderate/severe symptoms throughout 12 months (17%). Claim submission had a detrimental effect on all trajectories (p < 0.001) except for the Chronic-severe NDI trajectory (p = 0.098). Following whiplash injury, there are distinct pathways of recovery for pain/ disability and PTSD symptoms. Management of whiplash should consider the detrimental association of compensation claim with psychological recovery and recovery of those with mild to moderate pain/disability levels. However, claim lodgement has no significant association with a more severe pain and disability trajectory.     

Group cognitive behavioural interventions for low back pain in primary care: extended follow-up of the Back Skills Training Trial (ISRCTN54717854)

Group cognitive behavioural intervention (CBI) is effective in reducing low back pain and disability over a 12-month period, in comparison to best practice advice in primary care. The aim was to study the effects of this CBI beyond 12 months. We undertook an extended follow-up of our original randomised, controlled trial of a group CBI and best practice advice in primary care, in comparison to best practice advice alone. Participants were mailed a questionnaire including measures of disability, pain, health services resource use, and health-related quality of life. The time of extended follow-up ranged between 20 and 50 months (mean 34 months). Fifty-six percent (395 of 701) of the original cohort provided extended follow-up. Those who responded were older and had less disability and pain at baseline than did the original trial cohort. After 12 months, the improvements in pain and disability observed with CBI were sustained. For disability measures, the treatment difference in favour of CBI persisted (mean difference 1.3 Roland and Morris Disability Questionnaire points, 95% confidence interval 0.27 to 2.26; 5.5 Modified von Korff Scale disability points, 95% confidence interval 0.27 to 10.64). There was no between-group difference in Modified von Korff Scale pain outcomes. The results suggest that the effects of a group CBI are maintained up to an average of 34 months. Although pain improves in response to best practice advice, longer-term recovery of disability remains substantially less.     

Are altered smooth pursuit eye movements related to chronic pain and disability following whiplash injuries? A prospective trial with one-year follow-up

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the ability of early smooth pursuit testing to predict chronic whiplash-associated disorders, and to study whether the presence of abnormal smooth pursuit eye movements at one-year follow-up is associated with symptoms at that time. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study with one-year follow-up. SETTING: The study was carried out at a university research centre and participants were recruited from emergency units and general practitioners. SUBJECTS: In all, 262 participants were recruited within 10 days from a whiplash injury. MAIN MEASURES: Smooth pursuit eye movements were tested with electrooculography (EOG) an average of 12 days after a whiplash trauma and again after one year. Analyses of EOG recordings were computerized. Associations between test results both from baseline and one-year tests and self-reported neck pain, headache, neck disability and working ability one year after the car collision were determined. RESULTS: Results of early eye movement tests were not associated with the prognosis. Reduced smooth pursuit performance when tested in static cervical rotation at the one-year follow-up was significantly associated with higher neck pain intensity at that time (regression coefficient 0.8, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.04-1.5), but the association was too weak for the test to discriminate between recovered participants and those with lasting symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: Although reduced smooth pursuit performance at one-year follow-up was associated with persistent neck pain, smooth pursuit eye movement tests are not useful as predictive or diagnostic tests in whiplash-associated disorders.     

Association Between Red Cell Distribution Width and Hospital Mortality in Patients with Sepsis

ObjectiveSepsis is the leading cause of death in patients admitted to adult intensive care units (ICUs). We aimed to determine the predictive value of red blood cell distribution width (RDW) in patients with sepsis in a large cohort.MethodsThis retrospective observational study used data from the eICU Collaborative Research Database. The prognostic value of RDW was investigated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, multiple logistic regression model, integrated discriminatory index (IDI), and net reclassification index (NRI).ResultsIn total, 9743 patients were included. The area under the ROC curve of the RDW for predicting hospital mortality was 0.631 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.616–0.645). Based on the multiple logistic regression model, an RDW of ≥14.5% was correlated with hospital mortality, regardless of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation IV (APACHE IV) scores (odds ratio [OR]: 1.838, 95% CI: 1.598–2.119). Using SOFA and APACHE IV scores as reference, the IDI and continuous NRI of RDW for hospital mortality was about 0.3 and 0.014, respectively.ConclusionsThe RDW may be useful in predicting hospital mortality in patients with sepsis, offering extra prognostic value beyond SOFA and APACHE IV scores.     

Predictive value of fear avoidance in developing chronic neck pain disability: consequences for clinical decision making

OBJECTIVE: To improve clinical decision making in posttraumatic neck pain by investigating the additional value of fear-avoidance variables in predicting chronic neck pain disability. DESIGN: An inception cohort with baseline assessment 1 week posttrauma and outcome assessment 24 weeks posttrauma. Predictive factors include pain intensity, Neck Disability Index (NDI), catastrophizing, fear of movement (Tampa Scale for Kinesiophobia [TSK]), and avoidance muscle behavior. SETTING: Hospital emergency department of a general hospital. PARTICIPANTS: A consecutive sample of 90 people reporting of pain in neck or head region after a motor vehicle collision. Eighty-two subjects (91.1%) of the sample provided 24-week follow-up on the outcome. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: The NDI assessing physical disability of subjects with neck pain. RESULTS: By using a combination of the baseline NDI and TSK, it appears to be possible to predict chronic disability with a probability of 54.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 35.2%-72.3%) after entering the NDI (cutoff, 15) as a first test, and with a probability of 83.3% (95% CI, 70.3%-91.3%) after entering the TSK (cutoff, 40) in a second test. CONCLUSIONS: A simple rating of baseline neck pain disability within a week of the trauma, separately or in combination with a test for fear of movement, can be used to predict future outcome. Patients showing fear of movement can be offered an intervention that focuses on reduction of this fear.     

occupational physical activity and the development of impaired mobility: the 12-year follow-up of the Baltimore Epidemiologic Catchment Area sample

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between occupational physical activity and self-reported disability. DESIGN: Population-based case control analysis of a longitudinal population-based study in east Baltimore. Eligible participants were aged 18 to 29 yr in 1981, had complete information on occupation in 1981, no disability with tasks related to the domain of mobility in 1981, and complete information on mobility function in 1993 (n = 174). Occupations were divided into low, moderate, and high metabolic equivalents based on job category in 1981. The main outcome measure was disability defined by self-report of difficulty in one or more of five exercise mobility tasks in 1993. RESULTS: Of 174 eligible participants, 45 (26%) reported the onset of disability at follow-up in 1993. A crude odds ratio of 0.25 (95% confidence interval, 0.06, 0.82) was found for the association of moderate compared with low occupational physical activity and the risk of incident disability in mobility tasks. After adjustments to control for possible confounders, moderate job metabolic activity (1.8-2.9 Mets) was independently protective against disability in this cohort (odds ratio = 0.25; 95% confidence interval = 0.083, 0.783). CONCLUSION: In this cohort of people aged 18 to 29 yr, a moderate amount of occupational physical activity was protective against disability in mobility tasks.     

Psychologic factors are related to some sensory pain thresholds but not nociceptive flexion reflex threshold in chronic whiplash

OBJECTIVES: Sensory hypersensitivity, central hyperexcitability [lowered nociceptive flexion reflex (NFR) thresholds], and psychologic distress are features of chronic whiplash. However, relationships between these substrates are not clear. This study tested the hypothesis that psychologic distress and catastrophization are correlated with sensory hypersensitivity and NFR responses in chronic whiplash. METHODS: Pressure and thermal pain thresholds (mean values across 3 body sites), NFR threshold, and pain at threshold Visual Analog Scale were measured in 30 participants with chronic whiplash and 30 asymptomatic controls. Pain and disability levels Neck Disability Index, psychologic distress (GHQ-28), and catastrophization (PCS) were also measured in the whiplash group. RESULTS: Whiplash injured participants demonstrated lowered pain thresholds to pressure and cold (P<0.05); lowered NFR thresholds (P=0.003), and demonstrated above threshold levels of psychologic distress (GHQ-28) and levels of catastrophization comparable with other musculoskeletal conditions. There were no group differences for heat pain thresholds or pain at NFR threshold. In the whiplash group, PCS scores correlated moderately with cold pain threshold (r=0.51, P=0.01). In contrast, there were no significant correlations between GHQ-28 scores and pain threshold measures or between psychologic factors and NFR responses in whiplash participants. There were no significant correlations between psychologic factors and pain thresholds or NFR responses in controls. DISCUSSION: We have demonstrated that psychologic factors have some association with sensory hypersensitivity (cold pain threshold measures) in chronic whiplash but do not seem to influence spinal cord excitability. This suggests that psychologic disorders are important, but not the only, determinants of central hypersensitivity in whiplash patients.     

The impact of a neurointensivist-led team on a semiclosed neurosciences intensive care unit

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of a newly appointed neurointensivist on neurosciences intensive care unit (NICU) patient outcomes and quality of care variables. DESIGN: Observational cohort with historical controls. SETTING: Ten-bed neurointensive care unit in tertiary university hospital. PATIENTS: Mortality, length of stay (LOS), and discharge disposition of all patients admitted to the NICU were compared between two 19-month periods, before and after the appointment of a neurointensivist. Data regarding these patients were collected using the hospital database and the University Hospitals Consortium database. Individual patient medical records were reviewed for major complications and important prognostic variable documentation. INTERVENTIONS: Appointment of a neurointensivist. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We analyzed 1,087 patients before and 1,279 after the neurointensivist's appointment. The unadjusted in-hospital mortality decreased from 10.1% in the before to 9.1% in the after period (95% confidence interval, -1.3 to 3%, relative mortality reduction of 9.9%), but this decrease was significantly different than the expected increase of 1.4% in University Hospitals Consortium mortality during the same period (p = .048). The unadjusted mortality in the NICU decreased from 8% to 6.3% (95% confidence interval, -0.5 to 4, relative mortality reduction 21%) and mean NICU LOS from 3.5 to 2.9 days (95% confidence interval, 0.2 to 0.9, relative NICU LOS reduction 17%). A significant 42% reduction of the risk of death during the first 3 days of NICU admission (p = .003) and a 12% greater risk for NICU discharge (p = .02) were found in the after period in multivariate proportional hazard models. Discharge home increased from 51.7% in the before to 59.7% in the after period (95% confidence interval, 4 to 12, relative increase of 15%) and discharge to a nursing home decreased from 8.1% to 6.8% (95% confidence interval, -1 to 4, relative decrease of 16%). Although a higher total number of complications occurred in the after period, fewer of them occurred in the NICU (odds ratio, 0.2; 95% confidence interval, 0.08 to 0.54, p = .001); this may possibly be due to the better documentation by the NICU team in the after period. CONCLUSIONS: The institution of a neurointensivist-led team model was associated with an independent positive impact on patient outcomes, including a lower intensive care unit mortality, LOS, and discharge to a skilled nursing facility and a higher discharge home.     

Lung Assessment with Point-of-Care Ultrasound in Respiratory Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19): A Prospective Cohort Study

Lung ultrasound (LUS) has shown promising diagnostic potential in different pulmonary conditions. We evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of LUS for pulmonary COVID-19. In this prospective cohort study at a Swiss tertiary care center, patients hospitalized with suspected COVID-19 were scanned using a 12-zone protocol. Association of a summation score (0–36 points) with the final diagnosis was tested using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and sensitivity and specificity at different cutoff points. Of the 49 participants, 11 (22%) were later diagnosed with COVID-19. LUS score showed excellent diagnostic performance, with an odds ratio of 1.30 per point (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09–1.54, p = 0.003) and an area under the curve of 0.85 (95% CI, 0.71–0.99). At a cutoff of 8/36 points, 10 of 11 participants later diagnosed with COVID-19 were correctly predicted (sensitivity 91%, 95% CI, 59%–100%), and 29 of the 38 who were not diagnosed with COVID-19 were correctly ruled out (specificity 76%, 95% CI, 60%–89%). LUS demonstrated promising discriminatory potential in people hospitalized with suspected COVID-19.     

Operational performance of validated physiologic scoring systems for predicting in-hospital mortality among critically ill emergency department patients

OBJECTIVES: New Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II, Morbidity Probability Model at admission (MPM0 II), and Logistic Organ Dysfunction System (LODS) have all demonstrated high accuracy for predicting mortality in intensive care unit populations. We tested the prognostic accuracy of these instruments for predicting mortality among a cohort of critically ill emergency department patients. DESIGN: Secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial. SETTING: Urban, tertiary emergency department, census >100,000. PATIENTS: Nontrauma emergency department patients admitted to an intensive care unit, aged >17 yrs, with initial emergency department vital signs consistent with shock (systolic blood pressure <100 mm Hg or shock index >1.0), and with agreement of two independent observers for at least one sign and symptom of inadequate tissue perfusion. INTERVENTIONS: Emergency department variables needed for calculation of each scoring system were prospectively collected, and published formulas were used to calculate the probability of in-hospital death for each scoring system. The main outcome was actual in-hospital mortality. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the predictive ability of each scoring system. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Ninety-one of 202 patients (45%) were included. The mean age was 56 +/- 16 yrs, 42% were female, the mean initial systolic blood pressure was 84 +/- 13 mm Hg, and the average length of stay in the emergency department was 4.2 +/- 2.0 hrs. The in-hospital mortality rate was 21%. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for calculated probability of in-hospital mortality for SAPS II was 0.72 (95% confidence interval, 0.57-0.87), for MPM0 II 0.69 (95% confidence interval, 0.54-0.84), and for LODS 0.60 (95% confidence interval, 0.45-0.76). CONCLUSIONS: Using variables available in the emergency department, three previously validated intensive care unit scoring systems demonstrated moderate accuracy for predicting in-hospital mortality.