Fibrinogen and albumin levels and risk of atrial fibrillation in men and women (the Copenhagen City Heart Study)

Cross-sectional and limited prospective evidence has suggested that inflammatory markers may predict for the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). In a prospective cohort study, we studied the risk of incident AF among 8,870 women and men free of cardiovascular disease enrolled in the Copenhagen City Heart Study. We measured plasma fibrinogen and serum albumin levels at a study visit from 1991 to 1994. We identified 286 subsequent cases of AF during a mean of 7.5 years of follow-up by a validated nationwide registry of all hospitalizations. The fibrinogen levels at baseline were associated with a higher risk of AF, with a multivariate-adjusted hazard ratio for the highest versus lowest quartiles of 1.98 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.94 to 4.17) among men and 2.14 (95% CI 1.15 to 3.96) among women. The albumin levels were inversely associated with the risk of AF among women (hazard ratio 0.47, 95% CI 0.28 to 0.77) but not among men (hazard ratio 1.01, 95% CI 0.56 to 1.84). Additional adjustment for cases of coronary heart disease, congestive heart failure, and stroke that occurred during follow-up did not attenuate these associations. In conclusion, higher levels of fibrinogen and lower levels of albumin were prospectively associated with a higher risk of AF, even accounting for their relation with the risk of cardiovascular disease. These findings support the hypothesis that inflammation contributes to the etiology of AF.     

Importance of physical fitness on predictive effect of body mass index and weight gain on incident atrial fibrillation in healthy middle-age men

The incidence of both atrial fibrillation (AF) and obesity is increasing in the community, and lifestyle intervention is recommended. We aimed to test whether the predictive effect of body mass index (BMI) and weight change from age 25 years to midlife on incident AF were influenced by physical fitness. In 1972 to 1975, 2,014 healthy middle-age men conducted a bicycle exercise electrocardiographic test as a part of a cardiovascular survey program, defining physical fitness as work performed divided by body weight. During 35 years of follow-up, 270 men developed AF, documented by scrutiny of the health files in all Norwegian hospitals. Risk estimation was analyzed using Cox proportional hazard models and tested for age-adjusted physical fitness above and below the median. The mean BMI of 24.6 kg/m(2) defined a lean baseline cohort. The men with a baseline BMI of ≥28 kg/m(2) (11%) compared to a BMI <28 kg/m(2) had a 1.68-fold risk of AF (95% confidence interval 1.14 to 2.40) and men reporting weight gain of ≥10 kg (24%) compared to weight loss (11%) of 1.66-fold (95% confidence interval 1.00 to 2.89), respectively. The dichotomy into men with age-adjusted physical fitness above and below the median, demonstrated statistically significant risk associations only for men with low fitness. The overall risk of AF was reduced by 23% in the fit men. In conclusion, within our lean baseline cohort of healthy middle-age men, a BMI of ≥28 kg/m(2) and weight gain of ≥10 kg from age 25 to midlife were long-term predictors of incident AF in men with physical fitness below the population median. The fit men had an overall slightly reduced risk of AF.     

Valvular and Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to investigate the impact of valvular and nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR).BackgroundAF has been associated with adverse clinical outcomes after TAVR. However, the differential impact of valvular as opposed to nonvalvular AF has not been investigated.MethodsIn a retrospective analysis of a prospective registry, valvular AF was defined as AF in the setting of concomitant mitral stenosis or the presence of a mitral valve prosthesis. The presence of mitral stenosis was determined by pre-procedural echocardiography. The primary endpoint was a composite of cardiovascular death or disabling stroke at 1 year after TAVR.ResultsAmong 1,472 patients undergoing TAVR between August 2007 and June 2018, AF was recorded in 465 patients (31.6%) and categorized as nonvalvular in 376 (25.5%) and valvular in 89 (6.0%). AF scores including HAS-BLED, CHADS₂, and CHA₂DS₂-VASc were comparable between patients with nonvalvular and valvular AF. The primary endpoint occurred in 9.3% of patients with no AF, in 14.5% of patients with nonvalvular AF (hazard ratio: 1.57; 95% confidence interval: 1.12 to 2.20; p = 0.009), and in 24.2% of patients with valvular AF (hazard ratio: 2.75; 95% confidence interval: 1.71 to 4.41; p < 0.001). Valvular AF conferred an increased risk for cardiovascular death or disabling stroke compared with nonvalvular AF (hazard ratio: 1.77; 95% confidence interval: 1.07 to 2.94; p = 0.027).ConclusionsThe presence of valvular AF in patients undergoing TAVR increased the risk for cardiovascular death or disabling stroke compared with both no AF and nonvalvular AF. (SWISS TAVI Registry; NCT01368250)     

Doppler transmitral flow indexes and risk of atrial fibrillation (the Framingham Heart Study)

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is characterized by structural remodeling and atrial systolic failure. It is unclear if atrial filling abnormalities precede the onset of AF. We evaluated 942 Framingham Study subjects (587 women; mean age 75 years) who underwent Doppler echocardiographic evaluation at a routine examination and who did not have a history of AF. We used multivariable Cox regression models (stratified by gender and prevalent cardiovascular disease) to examine the relations of Doppler transmitral flow indexes (ratio of the velocity-time integrals of the early [E] and late [A] diastolic filling waves [VTI E/A], a correlate of atrial conduit function; E-wave deceleration time; the atrial filling fraction, an index of atrial systolic function; and peak A wave velocity) to the incidence of AF. At follow-up (mean 7 years), 85 subjects (41 women) developed AF. In models adjusting for established risk factors for AF (including left atrial size) at baseline, and for heart failure and myocardial infarction on follow-up, a 1 SD increment in VTI E/A was associated with a 28% increase in risk of AF (hazards ratio 1.28, 95% confidence interval 1.02 to 1.59). A 1 SD decrease in the atrial filling fraction was associated with a 28% higher risk of AF (hazards ratio 1.28, 95% confidence interval 0.98 to 1.67). There was a U-shaped relation between peak A-wave velocity and risk of AF. Thus, in our elderly community-based sample, increased VTI E/A and a low atrial filling fraction were markers of increased risk of AF, suggesting that altered atrial filling may antedate AF.     

Prognostic impact of prolonged ventricular repolarization in hypertension

BACKGROUND: QT interval prolongation on the surface electrocardiogram (ECG) predicts cardiovascular complications in high-risk subjects, but its prognostic role in uncomplicated hypertension has been understudied. METHODS: For up to 13 years (average, 5.3 years), we followed up 2110 white patients with initially untreated essential hypertension (mean +/- SD age, 49 +/- 12 years; 55% men) without prevalent cardiovascular or renal disease who underwent 12-lead ECG before therapy. We excluded patients with ECG abnormalities including ischemia, necrosis, complete bundle branch block, atrial fibrillation, arrhythmias, and ventricular preexcitation. RESULTS: Heart rate-corrected QT interval (QTc) showed a weak but significant direct association with systolic blood pressure (r = 0.07; P<.001), diastolic blood pressure (r = 0.11; P<.001), and Cornell voltage (r = 0.06; P = .006). During follow-up, 84 patients developed new-onset ischemic heart disease (0.75 event per 100 patient-years). After adjustment (Cox model) for the effects of age, sex, diabetes mellitus, serum cholesterol level, serum creatinine level, smoking, left ventricular hypertrophy, and 24-hour systolic blood pressure, patients with a prolonged QTc (>or=450 milliseconds in women and >or=440 milliseconds in men) had a nearly 2-fold increase in risks of coronary events (hazard ratio, 1.95; 95% confidence interval, 1.12-3.42; P = .02) and cardiovascular death (hazard ratio, 2.05; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-4.37; P = .04). Coronary heart disease risk was independently higher by 33% (95% confidence interval, +7% to +66%; P = .01) for each 32-millisecond increase in QTc. CONCLUSIONS: Prolonged ventricular repolarization is a risk factor for ischemic heart disease and cardiovascular mortality in subjects with uncomplicated hypertension. Its prognostic significance adds to that of several traditional cardiovascular risk factors, including left ventricular hypertrophy.     

Prolonged QTc interval and risk of sudden cardiac death in a population of older adults.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to investigate whether prolongation of the heart rate-corrected QT (QTc) interval is a risk factor for sudden cardiac death in the general population. BACKGROUND: In developed countries, sudden cardiac death is a major cause of cardiovascular mortality. Prolongation of the QTc interval has been associated with ventricular arrhythmias, but in most population-based studies no consistent association was found between QTc prolongation and total or cardiovascular mortality. Only very few of these studies specifically addressed sudden cardiac death. METHODS: This study was conducted as part of the Rotterdam Study, a prospective population-based cohort study that comprises 3,105 men and 4,878 women aged 55 years and older. The QTc interval on the electrocardiogram was determined during the baseline visit (1990 to 1993) and the first follow-up examination (1993 to 1995). The association between a prolonged QTc interval and sudden cardiac death was estimated using Cox proportional hazards analysis. RESULTS: During an average follow-up period of 6.7 years (standard deviation, 2.3 years) 125 patients died of sudden cardiac death. An abnormally prolonged QTc interval (>450 ms in men, >470 ms in women) was associated with a three-fold increased risk of sudden cardiac death (hazard ratio, 2.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.3 to 4.7), after adjustment for age, gender, body mass index, hypertension, cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein ratio, diabetes mellitus, myocardial infarction, heart failure, and heart rate. In patients with an age below the median of 68 years, the corresponding relative risk was 8.0 (95% confidence interval 2.1 to 31.3). CONCLUSIONS: Abnormal QTc prolongation on the electrocardiogram should be viewed as an independent risk factor for sudden cardiac death.     

Risk of incident atrial fibrillation after a prior critical illness: A retrospective cohort study

ObjectiveThis investigation aimed at assessing the issue of incident atrial fibrillation (AF) associated with acute critical illness.MethodsThe study came from Taiwan and used that nation's Longitudinal Health Insurance Database 2000. Using propensity score matching, multivariable adjustment and competing risk methods, the correlations between the new-onset AF and critical illness (septicemia/septic shock, acute myocardial infarction【AMI】, hemorrhagic stroke and ischemic stroke) were investigated.ResultsThis study consisted of 46470 patients in the critical illness cohort, 618998 persons in the general population cohort. Additionally, 37,060 critically ill patients were matched with 37060 control patients based on propensity score methods. Compared with general population cohort, patients with septicemia/septic shock were 3.12-fold more likely to develop AF (95% confidence interval 【CI】 = 2.88–3.39), followed by patients with ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio【aHR】 = 1.96, 95% CI = 1.80–2.14), patients with AMI (aHR = 1.62, 95% CI = 1.32–2.00) and patients with hemorrhagic stroke (aHR = 1.46, 95% CI = 1.13–1.88). In addition, after controlling for the confounding factors and the competing risk of death, the critical illness cohort still exhibited a significantly higher risk of AF than the general population cohort (adjusted subhazard ratio [aSHR] = 2.66, 95% CI = 2.49–2.84).ConclusionsOur study explored incident AF among patients with critical illness in their medical history. Patients with septicemia/septic shock were at the highest risk of developing new-onset AF among these critically ill patients.     

Ventricular arrhythmias and risk of death and acute myocardial infarction in apparently healthy subjects of age >or=55 years

Increased ventricular ectopic activity and even more complex arrhythmias are not uncommon in subjects without apparent heart disease. However, their prognostic significance has been controversial and not updated in recent years. The prevalence and prognostic significance of different ventricular arrhythmias were studied in a cohort of middle-aged and elderly subjects without apparent heart disease. Six hundred seventy-eight men and women aged 55 to 75 years without a history of heart disease or stroke were included. Baseline examinations included physical examinations, fasting laboratory testing, and 48-hour ambulatory electrocardiographic monitoring. All patients were followed for up to 5 years. Combined events were defined as all-cause mortality or acute myocardial infarction. A cardiovascular event was defined as cardiovascular death or acute myocardial infarction. In total, 84% had 0 to 10 ventricular premature complexes (VPCs)/hour, 8% had 11 to 30 VPCs/hour, and 8% had >30 VPCs/hour; 10.8% had >or=1 run of >or=3 VPCs. Frequent VPCs (>or=30/hour) was a significant predictor of combined (hazard ratio 2.47, 95% confidence interval 1.29 to 4.68, p = 0.006) and cardiovascular (hazard ratio 2.85, 95% confidence interval 1.16 to 7.0, p = 0.023) event rates, after adjustment for conventional risk factors. Runs of >or=4 VPCs/day or >or=2 doublets/day were also associated with a poor prognosis, but only in the presence of frequent VPCs. The detection of a single VPC on standard electrocardiography was a significant predictor of frequent VPCs and an independent predictor of events (hazard ratio 2.6, 95% confidence interval 1.02 to 6.66, p = 0.045). In conclusion, apparently healthy, middle-aged and elderly subjects with frequent VPCs (>or=30/hour) have a poor prognosis. According to current guidelines, strict risk-factor modification and primary prevention are justified in these high-risk subjects.     

Usefulness of proteinuria as a prognostic marker of mortality and cardiovascular events among patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (data from the Evaluation of Oral Xemilofiban in Controlling Thrombotic Events [EXCITE] trial)

Proteinuria was associated with cardiovascular events and mortality in community-based cohorts. The association of proteinuria with mortality and cardiovascular events in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) was unknown. The association of urinary dipstick proteinuria with mortality and cardiovascular events (composite of death, myocardial infarction, or nonhemorrhagic stroke) in 5,835 subjects of the EXCITE trial was evaluated. Dipstick urinalysis was performed before PCI, and proteinuria was defined as trace or greater. Subjects were followed up for 210 days/7 months after enrollment for the occurrence of events. Multivariate Cox regression analysis evaluated the independent association of proteinuria with each outcome. Mean age was 59 years, 21% were women, 18% had diabetes mellitus, and mean estimated glomerular filtration rate was 90 ml/min/1.73 m(2). Proteinuria was present in 750 patients (13%). During follow-up, 22 subjects (2.9%) with proteinuria and 54 subjects (1.1%) without proteinuria died (adjusted hazard ratio 2.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.65 to 4.84, p <0.001). The severity of proteinuria attenuated the strength of the association with mortality after PCI (low-grade proteinuria, hazard ratio 2.67, 95% CI 1.50 to 4.75; high-grade proteinuria, hazard ratio 3.76, 95% CI 1.24 to 11.37). No significant association was present for cardiovascular events during the relatively short follow-up, but high-grade proteinuria tended toward increased risk of cardiovascular events (hazard ratio 1.45, 95% CI 0.81 to 2.61).In conclusion, proteinuria was strongly and independently associated with mortality in patients undergoing PCI. These data suggest that such a relatively simple and clinically easy to use tool as urinary dipstick may be useful to identify and treat patients at high risk of mortality at the time of PCI.     

Overweight and obesity as risk factors for atrial fibrillation or flutter: the Danish Diet, Cancer, and Health Study

PURPOSE: We examined the association between the body mass index analyzed as a continuous variable and by categorization according to World Health Organization criteria (normal weight, overweight and obesity) and the risk of a hospital (inpatient as well as outpatient) diagnosis of atrial fibrillation or flutter. METHODS: Population-based prospective cohort study conducted from December 1993 to December 2001 among 47589 participants (22482 men and 25107 women) without preexisting cardiovascular or endocrine disease and with a mean age at baseline of 56 years (range 50-64 years) in the Danish Diet, Cancer, and Health Study. Subjects were followed up in the Danish National Registry of Patients and in the Danish Civil Registration System. RESULTS: During follow-up (mean, 5.7 years) atrial fibrillation or flutter developed in 553 subjects (372 men and 181 women). The adjusted hazard ratio for atrial fibrillation or flutter per unit of increase in the body mass index was 1.08 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05 to 1.11) in men and 1.06 (95% CI: 1.03 to 1.09) in women. When using normal weight as a reference, the adjusted hazard ratio for atrial fibrillation or flutter by overweight was 1.75 (95% CI: 1.35 to 2.27) in men and 1.39 (95% CI: 0.99 to 1.94) in women. The adjusted hazard ratio by obesity was 2.35 (95% CI: 1.70 to 3.25) in men and 1.99 (95% CI: 1.31 to 3.02) in women. CONCLUSION: Overweight and obesity are associated with an increased risk of a diagnosis of atrial fibrillation or flutter.     

Prognostic usefulness of free fatty acids in patients with stable coronary heart disease

Circulating nonesterified or free fatty acids (FFAs) may contribute to the development of cardiovascular pathology and correlate with ischemia in acute cardiovascular conditions. The aim of this study was to assess whether serum levels of FFAs are associated with long-term prognosis in subjects with stable coronary heart disease. This observational prospective cohort study included 1,206 participants in 3-weeks inpatient rehabilitation programs after acute myocardial infarction, coronary syndromes, or coronary intervention at 2 rehabilitation clinics in Germany (1999 to 2000). Eight-year prognosis (time to a secondary fatal or nonfatal cardiovascular disease event including myocardial infarction and stroke [n = 153] and time to death from any cause [n = 124]) was examined according to FFA quartiles and in spline regression. FFAs were correlated with established serum markers of cardiovascular risk and strongly related to secondary cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in age- and gender-adjusted analysis. When additionally controlling for multiple established risk factors and risk markers, the hazard ratio in the fourth versus first quartile was 1.34 (95% confidence interval 0.79 to 2.24) for secondary cardiovascular events and 1.09 (95% confidence interval 0.62 to 1.91) for all-cause mortality. Dose-response modeling suggested that very high FFAs might predict an increased risk for mortality (hazard ratio 1.98, 95% confidence interval 0.98 to 4.02, for 95th percentile vs first quartile). In conclusion, FFAs are closely correlated with cardiovascular risk markers, and in particular, very high FFA might identify patients with stable coronary heart disease with worse prognoses.     

Usefulness of fasting plasma glucose to predict mortality or coronary heart disease in persons > or = 60 years of age without diabetes mellitus or in those with undiagnosed diabetes mellitus (from The Dubbo Study)

The role of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) levels below diabetes "thresholds" in predicting mortality or coronary heart disease (CHD) is unclear. This study examines whether FPG predicts mortality or CHD in subjects without diabetes (historical or undiagnosed) or in those with undiagnosed diabetes (or lesser degrees of glucose intolerance). We have analyzed all-causes mortality and CHD incidence from a 16-year follow-up in a cohort of Australian senior citizens, 60 years and older, first examined in 1988-89. Diabetes was defined on historical grounds or by use of medication; undiagnosed diabetics were those without history but with FPG >124 mg/dl. Hazard ratio and 95% confidence intervals of the specified outcomes were obtained from Cox models, with FPG being entered as a continuous variable. Mortality and CHD incidence rates in subjects with previous cardiovascular disease (CVD) and diabetes were substantially higher than in nondiabetics, but CHD rates were disproportionately higher in diabetic women. FPG did not significantly predict any outcome in men in the absence of diabetes. In women, FPG was a significant predictor of death (hazard ratio = 1.30, 95% confidence interval 1.09 to 1.56) and CHD (hazard ratio 1.24, confidence interval 1.02 to 1.51) in the cohort, which included previous CVD but excluded all diabetes. In women with undiagnosed diabetes, FPG predicted death independently of previous CVD presence but did not predict CHD. In conclusion, FPG in the range of 95 to 108 mg/dl in a nondiabetic woman is still of prognostic importance for survival or CHD if she has previous CVD, whereas FPG is of prognostic importance for survival if she has undiagnosed diabetes. No similar findings were made in men.     

Hyperinsulinemia and the risk of cardiovascular death and acute coronary and cerebrovascular events in men: the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study

BACKGROUND: The role of hyperinsulinemia as a cardiovascular risk factor is controversial. We studied whether hyperinsulinemia is independently associated with increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. METHODS: Fasting serum insulin level and other cardiovascular risk factors were determined in 1521 men in eastern Finland aged 42 to 60 years with neither cardiovascular disease nor diabetes at baseline. Forty-five cardiovascular deaths, 110 acute coronary events, 48 strokes, and 163 any cardiovascular events occurred during an average follow-up of 9.5 years. A total of 163 cardiovascular events (45 cardiovascular deaths, 110 acute coronary events, and 48 strokes) occurred during an average follow-up of 9.5 years. RESULTS: In Cox regression analysis adjusting for age and examination years, fasting serum insulin level as a continuous variable was directly associated with the risk of cardiovascular death (P = .006), acute coronary events (P = .04), and stroke (P = .02). Men with insulin levels of 52 to 66 pmol/L, 67 to 89 pmol/L, and 90 pmol/L or more (3 highest quartiles) had 1.4-fold (95% confidence interval, 0.5-3.7), 1.4-fold (95% confidence interval, 0.5-3.7), and 2.5-fold (95% confidence interval, 1.0-5.9; P = .05) cardiovascular mortality, respectively, compared with men with insulin levels of less than 52 pmol/L (lowest quartile) (P = .04 for linear trend). Adjustment for serum lipid levels, blood pressure, and obesity reduced the excess cardiovascular mortality in the highest insulin quartile by 7%, 33%, and 67%, respectively. There were no statistically significant differences in the incidence of acute coronary events and stroke between the insulin quartiles. CONCLUSIONS: Hyperinsulinemia had a modest association with increased cardiovascular mortality in middle-aged men. This relationship was largely explained by obesity, hypertension, and dyslipidemia. Hyperinsulinemia had even weaker associations with the risk of acute coronary event and stroke.     

Comparison of frequency of major adverse events in patients with atrial fibrillation receiving bare-metal versus drug-eluting stents in their coronary arteries

In patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention with drug-eluting stent (DES) implantation, the available evidence from clinical trial data are inconclusive. We evaluated the safety and efficacy of the use of DESs versus bare-metal stents (BMSs) in a consecutive real-world cohort of patients with AF. Of 8,962 unselected patients with AF seen in our institution from 2000 through 2010, 833 (9%) had undergone percutaneous coronary intervention with stent implantation. BMSs were used for 678 patients (81%) and DESs for 155 (19%). During follow-up (median 688 days, interquartile range 1,114), all bleeding episodes, thromboembolism, and major adverse cardiac events (MACEs; i.e., death, acute myocardial infarction, target lesion revascularization) were recorded. Incidence of MACEs was similar in the 2 groups as was incidence of all-cause mortality. Results remained similar even after adjustment for age and other confounding factors. Factors independently associated with an increased risk of MACEs were older age (hazard ratio 1.024, 95% confidence interval 1.004 to 1.044, p = 0.02), implantation of stent during acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (hazard ratio 1.81, 95% confidence interval 1.10 to 2.99, p = 0.02), and stent diameter (hazard ratio 1.09, 95% confidence interval 1.01 to 1.18, p = 0.03). Implantation of DESs was not significantly associated with a higher risk of major bleeding and we observed a similar ratio of serious events at follow-up after DES compared to BMS implantation. In conclusion, in our cohort, systematic use of DESs does not seem to be justified in most patients with AF because it was not associated with any clear advantage compared to BMSs.     

Heart failure incidence and survival (from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study)

Heart failure (HF) is increasing in prevalence in the United States. Little data exists on race and gender differences in HF incidence rates and case fatality. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort is a population-based study from 4 United States communities (1987 to 2002). Prevalent HF cases (n = 750) were identified by self-report and were excluded. Incident HF was defined by the International Classification of Diseases codes for HF (428.0 to 428.9, I50) from a hospitalization (n = 1,206) or death certificate (n = 76). There were 1,282 incident HF cases over 198,417 person-years. The age-adjusted incidence rate (per 1,000 person-years) for Caucasian women, 3.4, was significantly less compared with all other groups (Caucasian men, 6.0; African-American women, 8.1; African-American men, 9.1). Age-adjusted HF incidence rates were greater for African-Americans than Caucasians, but adjustment for confounders attenuated the difference. The adjusted African-American-to-Caucasian hazard ratio was 0.86 (95% confidence interval, 0.70 to 1.06) for men, and similarly, 0.93 (95% confidence interval, 0.46 to 1.90) for women during the second half of follow-up. The hazard ratio for women during the first half of follow-up was 1.79 (95% confidence interval, 1.25 to 2.55). Thirty-day, 1-year, and 5-year case fatalities following hospitalization for HF were 10.4%, 22%, and 42.3%, respectively. African-Americans had a greater 5-year case fatality compared with Caucasians (p <0.05). In conclusion, heart failure incidence rates in African-American women were more similar to those of men than of Caucasian women. The greater HF incidence in African-Americans than in Caucasians is largely explained by African-Americans' greater levels of atherosclerotic risk factors.     

Atrial Fibrillation With and Without Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Stroke Mortality

Aim: The association between atrial fibrillation (AF) and risk of stroke mortality among men and women without traditional cerebrocardiovascular risk factors (TCVRFs) is unclear. This study aimed to determine whether AF was a risk factor for stroke and total cardiovascular disease mortality among individuals without TCVRFs.Methods: A total of 90,629 Japanese subjects from the Ibaraki Prefectural Health Study aged 40–79 years, with and without TCVRFs, were studied from 1993 to 2013. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using the Cox proportional hazard regression model stratified by sex and the presence of TCVRFs. Covariates were age, systolic blood pressure, anti-hypertensive medication use, and serum total cholesterol levels. A standard 12-lead electrocardiogram at rest was used to screen AF. Cause-specific mortality was classified according to the International Classification of Disease code.Results: Compared with participants without AF, multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (with 95% confidence intervals) for stroke mortality among participants without TCVRFs were 4.3 (1.1–17.8) and 15.0 (5.5–40.8) for men and women with AF, respectively. HRs for total cardiovascular disease mortality were 6.2 (2.8–14.2) for men and 10.7 (4.8–24.1) for women. For participants with TCVRFs, multivariable-adjusted HRs for stroke mortality were 3.1 (2.2–4.6) and 4.3 (2.6–7.3), whereas HRs for total cardiovascular disease mortality were 2.9 (2.2–3.8) and 3.5 (2.4–5.1) for men and women, respectively.Conclusions: AF was found to be an independent risk factor for stroke and total cardiovascular mortality even in individuals without other TCVRFs.     

Combined effect of blood pressure and physical activity on cardiovascular mortality

BACKGROUND: High blood pressure increases cardiovascular mortality, but whether the effect is counteracted by physical activity is not clear. METHODS: The combined association of blood pressure and physical activity on cardiovascular mortality was assessed in a cohort of 30 597 women and 30 508 men, using standardized blood pressure measurements and information on usual frequency, duration, and intensity of physical exercise. RESULTS: During 16 years of follow-up, 1942 women and 2824 men with no history of cardiovascular disease or diabetes, who had never used blood pressure medication, died from cardiovascular causes. Cardiovascular mortality increased continuously with increasing blood pressure, and, at each blood pressure level, risk was higher in men and women with no physical activity compared with those who reported high physical activity. High activity combined with increasing pressure, however, yielded higher risk than high activity combined with normotensive pressure. Compared with the reference (systolic pressure 120-129 mmHg and high activity), the relative risk of cardiovascular death for systolic pressure of 140-159 mmHg combined with high activity was 1.21 (95% confidence interval, 0.97-1.52), compared with a relative risk of 1.73 (95% confidence interval, 1.37-2.19) in men with no activity. For women, the corresponding relative risks were 1.47 (95% confidence interval, 1.04-2.09) in the high activity group and 1.93 (95% confidence interval, 1.39-2.69) for no activity. The combined results for diastolic pressure and physical activity displayed similar patterns. CONCLUSIONS: The results support the hypothesis that cardiovascular health of individuals with moderate hypertension will benefit from regular physical exercise.     

Association between serum uric acid levels and cardiovascular events in hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes

AimsThis study aimed to determine the association between serum uric acid (UA) levels and cardiovascular events in hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).MethodsA retrospective cohort study was conducted in 2227 hospitalized patients with T2DM. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess the association between serum UA and cardiovascular events, including cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, heart failure, unstable angina, and arrhythmias requiring hospitalization.ResultsAmong 1314 men, 143 (10.9%) experienced cardiovascular events. Serum UA level was not associated with the risk of cardiovascular events (hazard ratio [HR] per 100 μmol/L increase in serum UA: 1.12, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.90–1.40). Among 913 women, 96 (10.5%) experienced cardiovascular events. For every 100 μmol/L increase in serum UA level, the risk of experiencing a cardiovascular event increased by 27% (HR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.02–1.57).ConclusionsIn hospitalized patients with T2DM, baseline serum UA levels were positively associated with cardiovascular events in women, but not in men. Serum UA levels may be a significant independent risk factor for cardiovascular events in women with T2DM.     

Risk of Stroke in Patients with ESRD

Background and objectives

This study aimed to determine absolute and excess stroke risks in people with ESRD compared with the general population.

Design, setting, participants, & measurements

This cohort study used data linkage between the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry and hospital and death records for 10,745 people with ESRD in New South Wales from 2000 to 2010. For the general population, Australian Institute of Health and Welfare hospital usage records and Australian Bureau of Statistics census data were used. Rates and standardized incidence rate ratios of hospitalization with a stroke were calculated.

Results

People with ESRD had 640 hospitalizations with stroke in 49,472 person-years of follow-up (1294 per 100,000 person-years), and people in the general population had 338,392 hospitalizations with stroke (212 per 100,000 person-years), an incidence rate ratio of 3.32 (95% confidence interval, 3.31 to 3.33). Excess risk was greater for women (incidence rate ratio, 5.14; 95% confidence interval, 5.11 to 5.18) than men (incidence rate ratio, 2.52; 95% confidence interval, 2.51 to 2.54; P for interaction <0.001) and decreased with age. People ages 35–39 years old with ESRD had an 11 times increased risk of stroke (incidence rate ratio, 11.08; 95% confidence interval, 9.41 to 13.05), and risk in people ages ≥85 years old increased 2-fold (incidence rate ratio, 2.04; 95% confidence interval, 1.87 to 2.23; P for interaction <0.001). Excess risk was greater for intracerebral hemorrhage (incidence rate ratio, 4.18; 95% confidence interval, 4.11 to 4.26) than ischemic stroke (incidence rate ratio, 3.43; 95% confidence interval, 3.40 to 3.45; P for interaction <0.01).

Conclusions

People with ESRD have a substantially higher risk of stroke, particularly women and young people, and hemorrhagic stroke. Future work could investigate effective and safe interventions for primary and secondary prevention of stroke in people with ESRD.     

Patent foramen ovale and the risk of ischemic stroke in a multiethnic population.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to assess the risk of ischemic stroke from a patent foramen ovale (PFO) in the multiethnic prospective cohort of northern Manhattan. BACKGROUND: Patent foramen ovale has been associated with increased risk of ischemic stroke, mainly in case-control studies. The actual PFO-related stroke risk in the general population is unclear. METHODS: The presence of PFO was assessed at baseline by using transthoracic 2-dimensional echocardiography with contrast injection in 1,100 stroke-free subjects older than 39 years of age (mean age 68.7 +/- 10.0 years) from the Northern Manhattan Study (NOMAS). The presence of atrial septal aneurysm (ASA) also was recorded. Subjects were followed annually for outcomes. We assessed PFO/ASA-related stroke risk after adjusting for established stroke risk factors. RESULTS: We detected PFO in 164 subjects (14.9%); ASA was present in 27 subjects (2.5%) and associated with PFO in 19 subjects. During a mean follow-up of 79.7 +/- 28.0 months, an ischemic stroke occurred in 68 subjects (6.2%). After adjustment for demographics and risk factors, PFO was not found to be significantly associated with stroke (hazard ratio 1.64, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.87 to 3.09). The same trend was observed in all age, gender, and race-ethnic subgroups. The coexistence of PFO and ASA did not increase the stroke risk (adjusted hazard ratio 1.25, 95% CI 0.17 to 9.24). Isolated ASA was associated with elevated stroke incidence (2 of 8, or 25%; adjusted hazard ratio 3.66, 95% CI 0.88 to 15.30). CONCLUSIONS: Patent foramen ovale, alone or together with ASA, was not associated with an increased stroke risk in this multiethnic cohort. The independent role of ASA needs further assessment in appositely designed and powered studies.