Vital exhaustion as a risk factor for ischaemic heart disease and all-cause mortality in a community sample. A prospective study of 4084 men and 5479 women in the Copenhagen City Heart Study

BACKGROUND: Vital exhaustion, a psychological measure characterized by fatigue and depressive symptoms, has been suggested to be an independent risk factor for ischaemic heart disease (IHD) but the generality of the phenomenon remains in question. The aim of this study is to describe prevalence of these symptoms in a community sample and determine whether they prospectively predict increased risk of IHD and all-cause mortality in men and women. METHODS: The study base was 4084 men and 5479 women aged 20-98 free of IHD examined in 1991-1993 in the Copenhagen City Heart Study. Events were ascertained through record linkage until 1998 for IHD and September 2000 for all-cause mortality. There were 483 first hospital admissions and deaths caused by IHD and 1559 deaths from all causes during follow-up. RESULTS: The 17 items on the vital exhaustion questionnaire were frequently endorsed with prevalence ranging from 6 to 47 per cent, higher in women. All but 4 of the 17 items were significantly associated with IHD with significant relative risks (RR) ranging between 1.36 (95% CI: 1.08, 1.72) and 2.10 (95% CI: 1.63, 2.71). Associations with all-cause mortality were also observed, but were weaker. RR of both IHD and all-cause mortality increased with increasing item sum score and were similar in men and women. For IHD, RR reached a maximum of 2.57 (95% CI: 1.65, 4.00) for subjects endorsing >9 items. The similar RR for all-cause mortality was 2.50 (95% CI: 2.09, 2.99). Multivariate adjustment for biological, behavioural, and socioeconomic risk factors did not substantially affect the association for IHD but attenuated the association with all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Measures of fatigue and depression were common symptoms in this population sample and convey increased risk of IHD and of all-cause mortality. We propose this knowledge begin to be implemented in risk assessment in clinical practice.     

Plant-Based Dietary Patterns and Breast Cancer Recurrence and Survival in the Pathways Study

Plant-based diets are recommended for cancer survivors, but their relationship with breast cancer outcomes has not been examined. We evaluated whether long-term concordance with plant-based diets reduced the risk of recurrence and mortality among a prospective cohort of 3646 women diagnosed with breast cancer from 2005 to 2013. Participants completed food frequency questionnaires at diagnosis and 6-, 25-, and 72-month follow-up, from which we derived plant-based diet indices, including overall (PDI), healthful (hPDI), and unhealthful (uPDI). We observed 461 recurrences and 653 deaths over a median follow-up of 9.51 years. Using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models, we estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals for breast cancer recurrence and all-cause, breast-cancer-specific, and non-breast-cancer mortality. Increased concordance with hPDI was associated with a reduced hazard of all-cause (HR 0.93, 95% CI: 0.83–1.05) and non-breast-cancer mortality (HR 0.83, 95% CI: 0.71–0.98), whereas increased concordance with uPDI was associated with increased hazards (HR 1.07, 95% CI: 0.96–1.2 and HR 1.20, 95% CI: 1.02–1.41, respectively). No associations with recurrence or breast-cancer-specific mortality were observed. In conclusion, healthful vs. unhealthful plant-based dietary patterns had differing associations with mortality. To enhance overall survival, dietary recommendations for breast cancer patients should emphasize healthful plant foods.     

Mortality in a historical cohort of bus drivers

In an attempt to address previously reported excesses of ischaemic heart disease (IHD), lung cancer and bladder cancer among professional drivers, the mortality (SMR) of 2134 Montreal city bus drivers employed for at least five years as of January 1962 and followed until 31 December 1985 was compared with that of the male population of greater Montreal. The vital status of 94% of the cohort was ascertained. The number of deaths observed was 804. The overall mortality was somewhat lower than expected (SMR = 97). A small, non-significant excess mortality was found for ischaemic heart disease (IHD) (O/E = 313/295, SMR = 106, 95% CI: 95-118) and circulatory system diseases (O/E = 441/405, SMR = 109, 95% CI: 99-119). However, no excesses were observed for lung cancer (O/E = 78/84.4, SMR = 92, 95% CI: 73-114) or bladder cancer (O/E = 4/7.4, SMR = 54, 95% CI: 15-138). These results are compatible with other studies which have found a small risk of IHD for bus drivers.     

Does the occupational structure of the Hunter Region explain the high rates of ischaemic heart disease among its men?

To compare rates of ischaemic heart disease (IHD) among men in occupation groups defined by the new Australian Standard Classification of Occupations (ASCO) and to investigate whether their high mortality rates from IHD in the Hunter Region of New South Wales (NSW) could be explained by its occupational structure, we used official death records and data from the World Health Organization MONICA Project conducted in Newcastle. The study population consisted of men aged 25 to 64 years in NSW and in the Hunter Region for whom occupational information was available. For deaths from IHD between 1984 and 1988 in NSW, indirectly standardised mortality and morbidity ratios (SMRs) were: significantly low for professionals, 66 (95% confidence interval (CI) 60-71) and managers and administrators, 79 (95% CI 74-83); intermediate for paraprofessionals (92), clerks (94) and salesmen and personal service workers (97); and significantly high for tradesmen, 113 (95% CI 107-118), labourers and related workers, 118 (95% CI 113-124) and plant and machine operators and drivers, 125 (95% CI 118-133). Broadly similar patterns were found for IHD deaths and for fatal and nonfatal myocardial infarction in the Hunter Region. When occupation- and age-specific mortality rates from IHD were used to calculate SMRs for the Hunter Region, SMRs for all ASCO groups except paraprofessionals were over 100. Mortality rates for occupational groups classified by ASCO were consistent with well-established differences associated with socioeconomic status.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Changes in physical activity in leisure time and the risk of myocardial infarction, ischemic heart disease, and all-cause mortality

Physical activity is associated to a lower risk of mortality from all-causes and from coronary heart disease. The long-term effects of changes in physical activity on coronary heart disease are, however, less known. We examined the association between changes in leisure time physical activity and the risk of myocardial infarction (MI), ischemic heart disease (IHD), and all-cause mortality as well as changes in blood pressure in 4,487 men and 5,956 women in the Copenhagen City Heart Study. Physical activity was measured in 1976–1978 and 1981–1983 and participants were followed in nation-wide registers until 2009. Men who decreased physical activity by at least two levels and women who decreased by one level had a higher risk of MI relatively to an unchanged physical activity level (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.74, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.17–2.60 and HR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.03–1.65). Similar associations were found for IHD although only significant in women. In all-cause mortality, men who increased physical activity had a lower risk and both men and women who reduced physical activity had a higher risk compared to an unchanged physical activity level. No association between changes in physical activity and blood pressure was observed. Findings from this prospective study suggest that changes in physical activity affect the risk of MI, IHD and all-cause mortality. A decrease in physical activity was associated to a higher risk of coronary heart disease.     

体重指数与死亡的前瞻性研究

目的：探讨不同体重指数（BMI）水平与总死亡及不同死因死亡的关系。方法;1982－1985年在我国不同地区的10组人群中（年龄35－39岁）进行心血管病危险因素调查,并对研究对象中无脑卒中、无心肌梗死及无恶性肿瘤史的30560人（男性15723人,女性14837人）,随访至1999－2000年,登记各种死亡的发生情况。结果：在平均15．2年的随访中,共死亡3212例,其中冠心病和脑卒中共死亡676例,恶性肿瘤死亡1281例,其他原因死亡1255例。用Cox比例风险回归模型（调整年龄、性别0估计低BMI组（BMI＜18．5）、正常BMI组（BMI为18．5－23．9）、超重组（BMI为24－27．9）和肥胖组（BMI≥28）总死亡的相对危险分别为1．21,1．00,0．901,1．12,呈“U”形关系,当同时剔除前5年死亡病例及吸烟者后,低BMI组死亡的相对危险降低,而肥胖组增加,正常BMI组的相对危险最小。 随着BMI水平的上升,冠心病和脑卒中死亡的相对危险增加,恶性肿瘤死亡的相对危险降低,其他原因死亡的相对危险与BMI水平呈“U”形关系,当剔除早期死亡病例及吸烟者后,这些趋势依然存在。结论：BMI在正常范围内,总死亡的相对危险较低,且冠心病和脑卒中死亡,恶性肿瘤死亡及其它原因死亡的 综合风险也处于相对较低水平,有着重要的公共卫生学意义。     

Zinc, copper, and magnesium and risks for all-cause, cancer, and cardiovascular mortality

BACKGROUND: Experimental data suggest that zinc, copper, and magnesium are involved in carcinogenesis and atherogenesis. Few longitudinal studies have related these minerals to cancer or cardiovascular disease mortality in a population. METHODS: Data from the Paris Prospective Study 2, a cohort of 4035 men age 30-60 years at baseline, were used to assess the association between serum zinc, copper, and magnesium and all-cause, cancer, and cardiovascular disease mortality. Serum mineral values measured at baseline were divided into quartiles and classified into low (1st quartile, referent group), medium (2nd-3rd quartiles), and high (4th quartile) values. During 18-year follow up, 339 deaths occurred, 176 as a result of cancer and 56 of cardiovascular origin. Relative risks (RRs) for each element were inferred using Cox's proportional hazard model after controlling for various potential confounders. RESULTS: High copper values (4th quartile) were associated with a 50% increase in RRs for all-cause deaths (RR = 1.5; 95% confidence interval = 1.1-2.1), a 40% increase for cancer mortality (1.4; 0.9-2.2), and a 30% increase for cardiovascular mortality (1.3; 0.6-2.8) compared with low values (1st quartile). High magnesium values were negatively related to mortality with a 40% decrease in RR for all-cause (0.6; 0.4-0.8) and cardiovascular deaths (0.6; 0.2-1.2) and by 50% for cancer deaths (0.5; 0.3-0.8). Additionally, subjects with a combination of low zinc and high copper values had synergistically increased all-cause (2.6; 1.4-5.0) and cancer (2.7; 1.0-7.3) mortality risks. Similarly, combined low zinc and high magnesium values were associated with decreased all-cause (0.2; 0.1-0.5) and cancer (0.2; 0.1-0.8) mortality risks. CONCLUSIONS: High serum copper, low serum magnesium, and concomitance of low serum zinc with high serum copper or low serum magnesium contribute to an increased mortality risk in middle-aged men.     

Effects of annual influenza vaccination on mortality and hospitalization in elderly patients with ischemic heart disease: a nationwide population-based study

Objective

The effects of influenza vaccination on ischemic heart disease (IHD) patients remain controversial. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effects of influenza vaccination on all-cause mortality and hospitalization for cardiovascular disease in elderly IHD patients.

Methods

Elderly patients (> 65 years old) with IHD, including ischemic heart failure and coronary artery disease between January 1997 and September 2002 were identified by using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. The association between influenza vaccination and all-cause mortality and hospitalization due to cardiovascular disease was analyzed.

Results

We included 5048 patients. During the influenza season, influenza vaccination was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR), 0.42; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.35-0.49] and hospitalization for cardiovascular disease (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.76-0.93). During the non-influenza season, vaccination was associated with a reduced risk of mortality (HR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.68-0.90) in elderly IHD patients.

Conclusion

Influenza vaccination was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality in elderly IHD patients throughout the whole year, as well as a reduced risk of hospitalization during the influenza season.     

Original article underweight, overweight and obesity: relationships with mortality in the 13-year follow-up of the Canada Fitness Survey

The purpose of this study was to determine the risk of all-cause mortality in the Canadian population across the new WHO/NIH BMI categories for the classification of overweight and obesity. The sample includes 10,725 adult participants (20-69 years) in the 1981 Canada Fitness Survey. A total of 593 deaths occurred during 13 years of follow-up. Hazard ratios (HR) for mortality were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. Compared to normal weight individuals, there is an increased risk of mortality in the underweight category (HR 1.63, 95% CI 0.93-2.85) in addition to increasing levels of risk across the overweight (HR 1.16, 95% CI 0.96-1.39), obese class I (HR 1.25, 95% CI 0.96-1.65) and obese class II and III (HR 2.96, 95% CI 1.39-6.29) categories. Similar patterns were observed in sex-specific analyses. Underweight, overweight and obese Canadians are all at increased risk of mortality compared to those who are normal weight.     

Dietary and antismoking advice and ischemic heart disease mortality in men with normal or high fasting triacylglycerol concentrations: a 23-y follow-up study

BACKGROUND: In the Oslo Diet and Antismoking Trial, 1232 high-risk men aged 40-49 y were randomly assigned to either a lifestyle intervention group or a control group for 5 y. The study showed a significant reduction in ischemic heart disease (IHD) events in the intervention group. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to examine this cohort 23 y after the start of the trial. DESIGN: We examined the effect of group assignment on IHD mortality in subjects with a normal (below the median; range: 0.69-2.00 mmol/L; n = 615) or a high (at or above the median; range: 2.01-13.80 mmol/L; n = 617) fasting triacylglycerol concentration in 1972-1973 (at inclusion into the study). We recorded vital status on 31 December 1996 and ascertained causes of death by linkage to Statistics Norway. RESULTS: In the men with a high triacylglycerol concentration, IHD death occurred in 25 (8.13%) subjects in the intervention group and in 44 (14.2%) subjects in the control group (relative risk: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.36, 0.91; P = 0.02). An adjusted Cox proportional hazards model yielded a hazard ratio of 0.56 (95% CI: 0.34, 0.93; P = 0.027). In the men with a normal triacylglycerol concentration, the intervention had no detectable effect on IHD mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.10; 95% CI: 0.66, 1.83; P = 0.7). CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that advice to change diet and smoking habits reduced the relative risk of IHD mortality after 23 y in men with high triacylglycerol concentrations. Men with normal triacylglycerol concentrations did not appear to achieve this long-term benefit of lifestyle intervention.     

Plasma total homocysteine and cardiovascular and noncardiovascular mortality: the Hordaland Homocysteine Study.

BACKGROUND: Few population-based studies have assessed relations between plasma or serum total homocysteine (tHcy) and all-cause mortality. OBJECTIVE: Our goal was to study associations between plasma tHcy and all-cause, cardiovascular, and noncardiovascular mortality. DESIGN: This was a prospective cohort study of 2127 men and 2639 women aged 65-67 y in 1992-1993 when they were recruited as part of a population-based national cardiovascular screening program carried out in Hordaland County, Norway. RESULTS: During a median of 4.1 y of follow-up, 162 men and 97 women died. A strong relation was found between plasma tHcy and all-cause mortality. The association was highly significant for noncardiovascular and for cardiovascular causes of death. In a comparison of individuals having tHcy concentrations of 9.0-11.9, 12.0-14.9, 15.0-19.9, or > or = 20 micromol/L with individuals having a tHcy concentration < 9 micromol/L, adjusted mortality ratios were 1.4, 1.9, 2.3, and 3.6 (P for trend = 0.0002) for noncardiovascular and 1.3, 2.1, 2.6, and 3.5 (P for trend = 0.0002) for cardiovascular causes of death. A tHcy increment of 5 micromol/L was associated with a 49% (95% CI: 28%, 72%) increase in all-cause mortality, a 50% (95% CI: 21%, 85%) increase in cardiovascular mortality (121 deaths), a 26% (95% CI: -2%, 63%) increase in cancer mortality (103 deaths), and a 104% (95% CI: 44%, 289%) increase in noncancer, noncardiovascular mortality (33 deaths). CONCLUSION: Plasma tHcy is a strong predictor of both cardiovascular and noncardiovascular mortality in a general population of 65-72-y-olds. These results should encourage studies of tHcy in a wider perspective than one confined to cardiovascular disease.     

Active and passive cigarette smoke and breast cancer survival

PURPOSE: The association between active and passive cigarette smoking before breast cancer diagnosis and survival was investigated among a cohort of invasive breast cancer cases (n = 1273) participating in a population-based case-control study. METHODS: Participants diagnosed with a first primary breast cancer between August 1, 1996, and July 31, 1997, were followed-up until December 31, 2002, for all-cause mortality (n = 188 deaths), including breast cancer-specific mortality (n = 111), as reported to the National Death Index. RESULTS: In Cox models, the adjusted hazards ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality were slightly higher among current and former active smokers, compared with never smokers (HR, 1.23; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.83-1.84) and 1.19 (95% CI, 0.85-1.66), respectively). No association was found between active or passive smoking and breast cancer-specific mortality. All-cause and breast cancer-specific mortality was higher among active smokers who were postmenopausal (HR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.03-2.60 and HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 0.78-2.70, respectively) or obese at diagnosis (HR, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.03-4.27 and HR, 1.97; 95% CI, 0.89-4.36, respectively). Associations between smoking and all-cause and breast cancer-specific mortality did not differ by cancer treatment. CONCLUSIONS: These data do not provide strong evidence for an association between smoking and all-cause or breast cancer-specific mortality, although smokers who are postmenopausal or obese at diagnosis may be at higher risk.     

Social inequalities in mortality in a retrospective cohort of civil servants in Barcelona

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study is to describe the inequalities in mortality by occupational category and sex in a retrospective cohort of civil servants working in the city council of Barcelona (Spain). METHODS: The cohort was followed for the period 1984-1993. There were 11 647 men and 9001 women. Age-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) of death for occupational categories and manual versus non-manual groups and 95% CI were derived from Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: For total deaths in males, compared with high-level professionals, auxiliary workers (HR = 1.30, 95% CI: 0.96-1.77), skilled manual workers (HR = 1.29, 95% CI: 0.95-1.77), unskilled manual workers (HR = 1.46, 95% CI: 1.07-1.98) and police and fire manual workers (HR = 1.42, 95% CI: 1.08-1.87) had higher risk of death. Among women, for all causes of mortality, only police manual workers had higher mortality (HR = 5.63, 95% CI: 1.89-16.7) whereas auxiliary workers had the lowest HR (HR = 0.51, 95% CI: 0.25-1.05). The HR comparing manual and non-manual categories for all causes of death was 1.29 for males (95% CI: 1.09-1.52) and 1.07 for females (95% CI: 0.77-1.49). Among males, whereas manual workers had lower cardiovascular mortality (HR = 0.85, 95% CI: 0.63-1.15), cancer mortality was higher in the manual category. No association between manual category and mortality was found among women. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides an analysis of social inequalities in mortality in a cohort from a Southern European urban area.     

Age at natural menopause and cause-specific mortality

Several studies have suggested that a young age at menopause may be associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality. Few studies have examined the influence of age at menopause on specific causes of death other than coronary heart disease. Data from a prospective cohort study of US adults were used to examine the relation between age at natural menopause and all-cause and cause-specific mortality among women who never used hormone replacement therapy, who never smoked, and who experienced natural menopause between the ages of 40 and 54 years. After 20 years of follow-up between 1982 and 2002, 23,067 deaths had occurred among 68,154 women. Results from Cox proportional hazards models showed that all-cause mortality rates were higher among women who reported that menopause occurred at age 40-44 years compared with women who reported that menopause occurred at age 50-54 years (rate ratio (RR) = 1.04, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.00, 1.08). This increased risk was largely due to higher mortality rates from coronary heart disease (RR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.18), respiratory disease (RR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.39), genitourinary disease (RR = 1.39, 95% CI: 1.07, 1.82), and external causes (RR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.21, 2.02). These findings suggest that mortality from other diseases, as well as coronary heart disease, may contribute to the increased mortality associated with a younger age at menopause.     

Latino risk-adjusted mortality in the men screened for the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial

Latinos are now the largest minority in the United States, but their distinctive health needs and mortality patterns remain poorly understood. Proportional hazards regressions were used to compare Latino versus White risk- and income-adjusted mortality over 25 years' follow-up from 5,846 Latino and 300,647 White men screened for the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial. Men were aged 35-57 years and residing in 14 states when screened in 1973-1975. Data on coronary heart disease risk factors, self-reported race/ethnicity, and home addresses were obtained at baseline; income was estimated by linking addresses to census data. Mortality follow-up through 1999 was obtained using the National Death Index. The fully adjusted Latino/White hazard ratio for all-cause mortality was 0.82 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.77, 0.87), based on 1,085 Latino and 73,807 White deaths; this pattern prevailed over time and across states (thus, likely across Latino subgroups). Hazard ratios were significantly greater than one for stroke (hazard ratio = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.68), liver cancer (hazard ratio = 2.02, 95% CI: 1.21, 3.37), and infection (hazard ratio = 1.69, 95% CI: 1.24, 2.32). A substudy found only minor racial/ethnic differences in the quality of Social Security numbers, birth dates, soundex-adjusted names, and National Death Index searches. Results were not likely an artifact of return migration or incomplete mortality data.     

Psychological distress and premature mortality in the general population: a prospective study

PURPOSE: To determine whether higher rates of mortality are observed in people reporting psychological distress, to establish the nature of any excess, and to examine the possible existence of a dose response relationship. METHODS: We conducted a prospective follow-up study of mortality over an eight-year period in the North West of England. A total of 4,501 adults were recruited from two general practices during a population-based survey conducted at the start of 1992. At baseline psychological distress was assessed using the General Health Questionnaire (12-item version, GHQ-12). The relationship between levels of distress and subsequent mortality was examined using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Risk of all-cause mortality was greatest in subjects reporting the highest levels of distress (hazard ratio (HR) 1.71, 95% CI 1.32-2.23) but was also raised in subjects reporting intermediate distress (HR 1.38 95% CI 1.06-1.79) when compared to those reporting no distress. Increased risk of mortality in subjects reporting distress appeared to be due largely to an excess of deaths from ischaemic heart disease (high distress, HR 1.90, 95% CI 1.08-3.35; intermediate distress, HR 1.58, 95% CI 0.90-2.76) and respiratory diseases (high distress, HR 5.39, 95% CI 2.70-10.78; intermediate distress, HR 2.33, 95% CI 1.12-4.22). CONCLUSIONS: The association between mortality and psychological distress observed in this study seems to arise largely because of premature deaths from ischaemic heart disease and respiratory diseases. The existence of a dose-response effect between distress and mortality provides further evidence to support the existence of a casual relationship.     

Grip strength, body composition, and mortality

BACKGROUND: Several studies in older people have shown that grip strength predicts all-cause mortality. The mechanisms are unclear. Muscle strength declines with age, accompanied by a loss of muscle mass and an increase in fat, but the role that body composition plays in the association between grip strength and mortality has been little explored. We investigated the relation between grip strength, body composition, and cause-specific and total mortality in 800 men and women aged 65 and over. METHODS: During 197374 the UK Department of Health and Social Security surveyed random samples of men and women aged 65 and over living in eight areas of Britain to assess the nutritional state of the elderly population. The survey included a clinical examination by a geriatrician who assessed grip strength and anthropometry. We used Cox proportional hazards models to examine mortality over 24 years of follow-up. RESULTS: Poorer grip strength was associated with increased mortality from all-causes, from cardiovascular disease, and from cancer in men, though not in women. After adjustment for potential confounding factors, including arm muscle area and BMI, the relative risk of death in men was 0.81 (95% CI 0.700.95) from all-causes, 0.73 (95% CI 0.600.89) from cardiovascular disease, and 0.81 (95% CI 0.660.98) from cancer per SD increase in grip strength. These associations remained statistically significant after further adjustment for fat-free mass or % body fat. CONCLUSION: Grip strength is a long-term predictor of mortality from all-causes, cardiovascular disease, and cancer in men. Muscle size and other indicators of body composition did not explain these associations.     

Serum carotenoids, alpha-tocopherol and mortality risk in a prospective study among Dutch elderly

BACKGROUND: Although beta-carotene has shown inverse associations with chronic diseases involving free radical damage in observational epidemiological studies less attention has been paid to five other major carotenoids also showing antioxidant activity in vitro. METHODS: We studied the associations between 7.2-year mortality and serum levels of six carotenoids, and alpha-tocopherol, measured in stored serum, sampled in 1991/1992 during a health survey among 638 independently living elderly subjects aged 65-85 years. Proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios of all-cause mortality for the lowest tertiles of serum vitamins with the highest tertiles, adjusting for possible confounding effects. RESULTS: During a follow-up period of 7.2 years 171 elderly died. The adjusted hazard ratios for all-cause mortality for the lowest tertiles of vitamins compared with the highest tertiles were between 1.02 and 1.73. The strongest increase in mortality risk was seen for beta-cryptoxanthin (1.52, 95% CI : 1.00, 2.32), lutein (1.56, 95% CI : 1.05, 2.31) and zeaxanthin (1.32, 95% CI : 0.89, 1.97) and their sum (oxygenated carotenoids: 1.73, 95% CI : 1.12, 2.67). Tests for trend were significant (P < 0.05) for all-cause mortality risk and serum levels of total carotenoids, oxygenated carotenoids and beta-cryptoxanthin. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that serum levels of individual carotenoids, particularly the oxygenated species are inversely associated with all-cause mortality and should be considered as candidates for further investigations.     

Association of medical, physiological, behavioural and socio-economic factors with elevated mortality in men of Irish heritage in West Scotland.

BACKGROUND: Men with patrilineal Irish descent from the immigrations of the nineteenth and twentieth centuries have higher death rates from 'all-causes' and, specifically, cardiovascular disease (CVD) than the general population of the West of Scotland. METHODS: A total of 5766 male employees from 27 workplace settings were examined between 1970 and 1973. Surname analysis identified 15 per cent of these men as of patrilineal Irish heritage. For those who have since died, the date and cause of death was obtained. Cox's proportional hazards model was used to compare the mortality risk of those with Irish and non-Irish surnames, and to investigate established medical, physiological, behavioural and socio-economic risk factors (acting in early and later life) as possible explanations for this excess mortality. RESULTS: The relative risk of death from all causes for the Irish of 1.26 (95 per cent confidence interval (CI) (1.12, 1.43)) was reduced to 1.12 (95 per cent CI (0.99, 1.26)) by including established risk factors in the model. The relative risk of CVD mortality of 1.51 (95 per cent CI (1.29, 1.77)) for the Irish was reduced to 1.35 (95 per cent CI (1.14, 1.58)) by the same adjustments. The elevated all-cause mortality of the Irish was mainly attributable to cardiovascular deaths. CONCLUSIONS: Cigarette smoking was only able to 'explain' a small amount of the excess all-cause and CVD mortality of men with patrilineal Irish descent. Relative deprivation during childhood and adulthood contributed to the high Irish mortality. However, there remains a substantial excess of premature deaths among Irish men which is unaccounted for by established risk factors.     

Lifestyle and ethnicity play a role in all-cause mortality

The Israeli population is characterized by its marked ethnic diversity. These ethnic groups (originating mainly from Yemen/Aden, the Middle East, North Africa and Europe/America) have kept traditional distinct lifestyle habits and exhibit different morbidity and mortality trends. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the associations among ethnic background, lifestyle patterns and 18-y all-cause mortality. A subgroup of 632 individuals aged 41-70 y, drawn from a larger stratified cohort from the Israel Glucose Intolerance, Obesity and Hypertension study, were personally interviewed, using a quantified food-frequency questionnaire, including most food items consumed by the different subpopulations in Israel. Physical activity was also evaluated, as well as smoking status. Weight, height and blood pressure (BP) measurements were taken. Predictors of mortality were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models. Over the 18-y follow-up period, 151 deaths occurred (24%). In comparison with Yemenites, the adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for all cause mortality were HR = 1.77 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-3.09] for Europeans/Americans; HR = 1.63 (95% CI: 0.89-2.99) for those from a Middle Eastern background; and HR = 1.56 (95% CI: 0.82-2.97) for North Africans. Mortality risk was 43% lower among those consuming > or =25 g of dietary fiber daily [HR = 0.57 (95% CI: 0.41-0.72)], and 42% lower for those consuming <300 mg/d of cholesterol [HR = 0.58 (95% CI: 0.34-0.96)]. Accumulating an average of 0.5 h/d of moderate physical activity reduced mortality by 47% [HR = 0.53 (95% CI: 0.29-0.97)]. Smoking, increased systolic BP, older age and male sex increased mortality risk. We conclude that in our study, although ethnic origin and lifestyle habits are interrelated, each affects mortality independently.