1990年与2013年中国70岁及以上老年人跌倒疾病负担分析

目的 分析1990年与2013年中国≥ 70岁人群跌倒的疾病负担,为制定老年人跌倒预防控制策略措施提供依据。方法 利用2013年全球疾病负担研究结果,采用因跌倒死亡数/标化死亡率、过早死亡损失寿命年（YLL）/标化YLL率、伤残损失寿命年（YLD）/标化YLD率、伤残调整寿命年（DALY）/标化DALY率等指标,对中国≥ 70岁老年人跌倒疾病负担进行描述,通过比较1990年与2013年相应指标的变化,描述疾病负担变化情况。结果 2013年中国≥ 70岁人群因跌倒造成的死亡人数、YLL、YLD和DALY分别为4.88万人年、43.96万人年、29.58万人年和73.54万人年;标化死亡率、YLL率、YLD率和DALY率分别为561.71/10万、55.87/10万、373.98/10万和929.85/10万。随着年龄增加,因跌倒造成的疾病负担加重。与1990年相比,2013年跌倒造成的死亡数量、YLL、YLD和DALY分别增加308.80%、161.01%、54.67%和104.47%;男性增幅高于女性。与1990年相比,2013年≥ 70岁人群因跌倒标化死亡率、标化YLL率和DALY率分上升为63.67%、38.54%和73.08%;而标化YLD率下降17.90%。结论 跌倒给中国≥ 70岁人群造成沉重的疾病负担,与1990年相比,2013年跌倒对中国≥ 70岁人群造成疾病负担有所增加。     

Burden of Cervical Cancer in the Eastern Mediterranean Region During the Years 2000 and 2017: Retrospective Data Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study

BackgroundCervical cancer is a growing health concern, especially in resource-limited settings.ObjectiveThe objective of this study was to assess the burden of cervical cancer mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) and globally between the years 2000 and 2017 by using a pooled data analysis approach.MethodsWe used an ecological approach at the country level. This included extracting data from publicly available databases and linking them together in the following 3 steps: (1) extraction of data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study in the years 2000 and 2017, (2) categorization of EMR countries according to the World Bank gross domestic product per capita, and (3) linking age-specific population data from the Population Statistics Division of the United Nations (20-29 years, 30-49 years, and >50 years) and GBD’s data with gross national income per capita and globally extracted data, including cervical cancer mortality and DALY numbers and rates per country. The cervical cancer mortality rate was provided by the GBD study using the following formula: number of cervical cancer deaths × 100,000/female population in the respective age group.ResultsThe absolute number of deaths due to cervical cancer increased from the year 2000 (n=6326) to the year 2017 (n=8537) in the EMR; however, the mortality rate due to this disease decreased from the year 2000 (2.7 per 100,000) to the year 2017 (2.5 per 100,000). According to age-specific data, the age group ≥50 years showed the highest mortality rate in both EMR countries and globally, and the age group of 20-29 years showed the lowest mortality rate both globally and in the EMR countries. Further, the rates of cervical cancer DALYs in the EMR were lower compared to the global rates (2.7 vs 6.8 in 2000 and 2.5 vs 6.8 in 2017 for mortality rate per 100,000; 95.8 vs 222.2 in 2000 and 86.3 vs 211.8 in 2017 for DALY rate per 100,000; respectively). However, the relative difference in the number of DALYs due to cervical cancer between the year 2000 and year 2017 in the EMR was higher than that reported globally (34.9 vs 24.0 for the number of deaths and 23.5 vs 18.1 for the number of DALYs, respectively).ConclusionsWe found an increase in the burden of cervical cancer in the EMR as per the data on the absolute number of deaths and DALYs. Further, we found that the health care system has an increased number of cases to deal with, despite the decrease in the absolute number of deaths and DALYs. Cervical cancer is preventable if human papilloma vaccination is taken and early screening is performed. Therefore, we recommend identifying effective vaccination programs and interventions to reduce the burden of this disease.     

Global burden of injuries attributable to alcohol consumption in 2004: a novel way of calculating the burden of injuries attributable to alcohol consumption

Background

Alcohol consumption is a major risk factor for injuries; however, international data on this burden are limited. This article presents new methods to quantify the burden of injuries attributable to alcohol consumption and quantifies the number of deaths, potential years of life lost (PYLL), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) lost from injuries attributable to alcohol consumption for 2004.

Methods

Data on drinking indicators were obtained from the Comparative Risk Assessment study. Data on mortality, PYLL, and DALYs for injuries were obtained from the World Health Organization. Alcohol-attributable fractions were calculated based on a new risk modeling methodology, which accounts for average and heavy drinking occasions. 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using a Monte Carlo simulation method.

Results

In 2004, 851,900 (95% CI: 419,400 to 1,282,500) deaths, 19,051,000 (95% CI: 9,767,000 to 28,243,000) PYLL, and 21,688,000 (95% CI: 11,097,000 to 32,385,000) DALYs for people 15?years and older were due to injuries attributable to alcohol consumption. With respect to the total number of deaths, harms to others were responsible for 15.1% of alcohol-attributable injury deaths, 14.5% of alcohol-attributable injury PYLL, and 11.35% of alcohol-attributable injury DALYs. The overall burden of injuries attributable to alcohol consumption corresponds to 17.3% of all injury deaths, 16.7% of all PYLL, and 13.6% of all DALYs caused by injuries, or 1.4% of all deaths, 2.0% of all PYLL, and 1.4% of all DALYs in 2004.

Conclusions

The novel methodology described in this article to calculate the burden of injuries attributable to alcohol consumption improves on previous methodology by more accurately calculating the burden of injuries attributable to one??s own drinking, and for the first time, calculates the burden of injuries attributable to the alcohol consumption of others. The burden of injuries attributable to alcohol consumption is large and is entirely avoidable, and policies and strategies to reduce it are recommended.     

Alcohol consumption and burden of disease in the Americas: implications for alcohol policy.

OBJECTIVES: To describe patterns of alcohol consumption in the Americas, to estimate the burden of disease attributable to alcohol in the year 2000, and to suggest implications for policies to reduce alcohol-related disease burden. METHODS: Two dimensions of alcohol exposure were included in this secondary data analysis: average volume of alcohol consumption and patterns of drinking. There were two main outcome measures: mortality (number of deaths) and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) lost (number of years of life lost due to premature mortality and disability). Separate estimates were obtained for different sexes, age groups and WHO regions. RESULTS: Despite regional variations, alcohol consumption in the Americas averaged more than 50% higher than worldwide consumption. Patterns of irregular heavy drinking prevailed. Alcohol consumption caused a considerable disease burden: 4.8% of all the deaths and 9.7% of all DALYs lost in the year 2000 were attributable to drinking, with most of the burden occurring outside North America. Intentional and unintentional injuries accounted for 59.8% of all alcohol-related deaths and 38.4% of the alcohol-related disease burden. Of all risk factors compared here, alcohol accounted for the greatest proportion of risk, followed by smoking. CONCLUSIONS: Interventions should be implemented to reduce the high burden of alcohol-related disease in the Americas. Given the epidemiological structure of this burden, injury prevention including, but not restricted to, prevention of traffic injuries, as well as appropriate treatment options, should play an important role in comprehensive plans to reduce the alcohol-related public health burden.     

1990年与2017年中国0~19岁人群跌倒疾病负担分析

目的 分析和比较1990年和2017年中国0~19岁人群跌倒疾病负担,为制定该人群的跌倒预防控制策略措施提供依据。方法 利用全球疾病负担2017研究结果,选取因跌倒死亡数、死亡率、过早死亡损失寿命年（YLL）、YLL率、伤残损失寿命年（YLD）、YLD率、伤残调整寿命年（DALY）和DALY率等指标,对中国0~19岁人群跌倒疾病负担进行描述,通过比较1990年和2017年相应指标的变化,描述疾病负担变化情况。结果 2017年中国0~19岁人群因跌倒造成的死亡人数、YLL、YLD和DALY分别是5 321人、42.86万人年、14.24万人年和57.10万人年;死亡率、YLL率、YLD率和DALY率分别为1.76/10万、141.49/10万、46.99/10万和188.48/10万。男童跌倒疾病负担大于女童,年龄越低跌倒造成的疾病负担越重。与1990年相比,2017年0~19岁人群中各年龄组的男童、女童跌倒导致的疾病负担均有不同程度下降,死亡数、死亡率、YLL率和DALY率分别下降65.08%、46.63%、47.38%和36.33%;低年龄组疾病负担下降幅度较大。2017年YLD率较1990年增加了73.31%。YLL占DALY比例由1990年的90.84%下降为2017年的75.07%,下降幅度17.36%。结论 与1990年相比,中国0~19岁人群疾病负担有一定幅度下降;跌倒仍然给中国0~19岁人群造成一定的疾病负担,以0~4岁人群为重点人群,应继续开展预防跌倒相关研究和工作。     

Burden of Disease Associated with Dietary Exposure to Aflatoxins in China in 2020

Aflatoxins (AFTs), as a group 1 carcinogen, could lead to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Dietary intake is the primary way of AFT exposure in humans. However, the contribution of foodborne AFT intake to the HCC burden remains unknown in recent years in China. Hence, the present study was conducted to estimate the burden of HCC attributed to foodborne AFT exposure by using disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The risk assessment was used to estimate the incidence of HCC related to AFT exposure. Concentrations of AFTs in peanuts, peanut oil, corn, and corn products were retrieved from literature published between 2010 and 2020 in China. Corresponding daily food consumption data were obtained from two nationwide Chinese surveys. A direct approach was used to calculate DALY and DALY rates to quantify the HCC burden attributed to dietary AFT exposure. The total amount of AFT intake through peanut, peanut oil, corn, and corn products was 4.018 ng/kg bw/day resulting in 0.125 extra HCC cases per year/100,000 persons, corresponding to a DALY number and DALY rate of 21,625.08 and 1.53 per 100,000 population, respectively. Regionally, DALYs were high in Guangxi and Guangdong provinces, corresponding to 5948 and 5595 DALYs. A total of 1.5 DALYs/100,000 were lost due to the AFT exposure. DALYs per 100,000 population were higher in several coastal areas. Though the disease burden of HCC caused by dietary AFTs was low in the Chinese population, a high health risk was found in the residents of some areas with high AFT exposure. AFTs are still a health challenge for the Chinese people.     

Alcohol Use and the Risk of Communicable Diseases

The body of knowledge on alcohol use and communicable diseases has been growing in recent years. Using a narrative review approach, this paper discusses alcohol’s role in the acquisition of and treatment outcomes from four different communicable diseases: these include three conditions included in comparative risk assessments to date—Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV)/AIDS, tuberculosis (TB), and lower respiratory infections/pneumonia—as well as Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) because of its recent and rapid ascension as a global health concern. Alcohol-attributable TB, HIV, and pneumonia combined were responsible for approximately 360,000 deaths and 13 million disability-adjusted life years lost (DALYs) in 2016, with alcohol-attributable TB deaths and DALYs predominating. There is strong evidence that alcohol is associated with increased incidence of and poorer treatment outcomes from HIV, TB, and pneumonia, via both behavioral and biological mechanisms. Preliminary studies suggest that heavy drinkers and those with alcohol use disorders are at increased risk of COVID-19 infection and severe illness. Aside from HIV research, limited research exists that can guide interventions for addressing alcohol-attributable TB and pneumonia or COVID-19. Implementation of effective individual-level interventions and alcohol control policies as a means of reducing the burden of communicable diseases is recommended.     

Assessing the burden of disease and injury in Los Angeles County using disability-adjusted life years

OBJECTIVE: This study was designed to assess the burden of disease and injury in the Los Angeles County population using Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), a composite measure of premature mortality and disability that equates to years of healthy life lost. METHODS: DALYs, stratified by gender and race/ethnicity, were calculated for 105 health conditions and aggregated groups of conditions for the Los Angeles County population for 1997. Years of Life Lost (YLLs) were calculated using 1997 county mortality statistics and published life tables. Years Lived with Disability (YLDs) were derived from age- and gender-specific disease incidence and disability data from the Global Burden of Disease Study. RESULTS: DALYs produced a substantially different ranking of disease and injury burden than did mortality rates alone. The leading five causes of DALYs for males in the county were ischemic heart disease, violence, alcohol dependence, drug overdose and other intoxications, and depression. For females, the leading five causes were ischemic heart disease, alcohol dependence, diabetes, depression, and osteoarthritis. Differences in the rank order were also observed by race/ethnicity. The age-adjusted rate of DALYs for all health conditions combined was highest in African Americans (190 per 1,000), followed by American Indians (149 per 1,000), whites (113 per 1,000), Latinos (94 per 1,000), and Asians/Pacific Islanders (77 per 1,000). CONCLUSIONS: The DALYs measure is a promising new tool to improve the capacity of local health departments and other health agencies to assess population health and establish an evidence base for public health decisions.     

1990—2019年江苏省非霍奇金淋巴瘤疾病负担研究

目的 分析1990—2019年江苏省非霍奇金淋巴瘤疾病负担变化情况,为非霍奇金淋巴瘤的防控提供科学依据。方法 利用2019年全球疾病负担数据库江苏省非霍奇金淋巴瘤的发病数、发病率、死亡数、死亡率、伤残调整寿命年(disability adjusted life years, DALYs)、DALYs率,分析1990—2019年江苏省非霍奇金淋巴瘤的性别、年龄分布及其变化趋势。结果 2019年江苏省非霍奇金淋巴瘤发病数为7 299例,标化发病率为5.92/10万,死亡数为3 182例,标化死亡率为2.45/10万,DALYs为85 328人年,标化DALYs率为71.79/10万。与1990年相比,各指标均呈上升趋势。不同性别人群非霍奇金淋巴瘤年龄别发病率、死亡率和DALYs率均随年龄的增长而升高,但男性发病率、死亡率和DALYs率高于女性,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。结论 1990—2019年江苏省非霍奇金淋巴瘤疾病负担呈加重的趋势,男性和高龄人群是其疾病负担的高危人群,应针对非霍奇金淋巴瘤制定综合防控措施,减轻患者疾病负担。     

Moderate alcohol consumption is associated with lower chronic disease burden expressed in disability-adjusted life years: a prospective cohort study

The relation of alcohol consumption with disease burden remains debated partly due to opposite associations with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer. The relation of alcohol consumption with disease burden expressed in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) summarizes opposing associations of alcohol consumption on chronic diseases. This study aimed to investigate the association of alcohol consumption with chronic disease burden expressed in DALYs based on individual-participant data. The study was a prospective study among 33,066 men and women from the EPIC-NL cohort. At baseline, alcohol consumption was assessed with a validated food-frequency questionnaire. Participants were followed for occurrence of and mortality from chronic diseases and DALYs were calculated. After 12.4 years follow-up, 6647 disease incidences and 1482 deaths were documented, resulting in 68,225 healthy years of life lost (6225 DALYs). Moderate drinkers (women 5–14.9 g/day, men 5–29.9 g/day) had a lower chronic disease burden (mean DALYs ?0.27; 95% CI ?0.43; ?0.11) than light drinkers (0–4.9 g/day), driven by a lower disease burden due to CVD (?0.18: ?0.29; ?0.06) but not cancer (?0.05: ?0.16; 0.06). The associations were most pronounced among older participants (≥50 years; ?0.32; ?0.53; ?0.10) and not observed among younger women (?0.08; ?0.43; 0.35), albeit non-significant (p_interaction > 0.14). Substantial drinking (women 15–29.9 g/day, men 30–59.9 g/day) compared to light drinking was not associated with chronic disease burden. Our results show that moderate compared to light alcohol consumption was associated with living approximately 3 months longer in good health. These results were mainly observed among older participants and not seen among younger women.     

The global burden due to occupational injury

BACKGROUND: Occupational injuries are a public health problem, estimated to kill more than 300,000 workers worldwide every year and to cause many more cases of disability. We estimate the global burden of fatal and non-fatal unintentional occupational injuries for the year 2000. METHODS: The economically active population (EAP) of about 2.9 billion workers was used as a surrogate of the population at risk for occupational injuries. Occupational unintentional injury fatality rates for insured workers, by country, were used to estimate WHO regional rates. These were applied to regional EAP to estimate the number of deaths. In addition to mortality, the disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) lost, which measure both morbidity and mortality, were calculated for 14 WHO regions. RESULTS: Worldwide, hazardous conditions in the workplace were responsible for a minimum of 312,000 fatal unintentional occupational injuries. Together, fatal and non-fatal occupational injuries resulted in about 10.5 million DALYs; that is, about 3.5 years of healthy life are lost per 1,000 workers every year globally. Occupational risk factors are responsible for 8.8% of the global burden of mortality due to unintentional injuries and 8.1% of DALYs due to this outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Occupational injuries constitute a substantial global burden. However, our findings greatly underestimate the impact of occupational risk factors leading to injuries in the overall burden of disease. Our estimates could not include intentional injuries at work, or commuting injuries, due to lack of global data. Additional factors contributing to grave underestimation of occupational injuries include limited insurance coverage of workers and substantial under-reporting of fatal injuries in record-keeping systems globally. About 113,000 deaths were probably missed in our analyses due to under-reporting alone. It is clear that known prevention strategies need to be implemented widely to diminish the avoidable burden of injuries in the workplace.     

The Burden of Stroke in Kurdistan Province,Iran From 2011 to 2017

ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to calculate the burden of stroke in Kurdistan Province, Iran between 2011 and 2017.MethodsIncidence data extracted from the hospital information system of Kurdistan Province and death data extracted from the system of registration and classification of causes of death were used in a cross-sectional study. The World Health Organization method was used to calculate disability-adjusted life years (DALYs).ResultsThe burden of stroke increased from 2453.44 DALYs in 2011 to 5269.68 in 2017, the years of life lost increased from 2381.57 in 2011 to 5109.68 in 2017, and the years of healthy life lost due to disability increased from 71.87 in 2011 to 159.99 in 2017. The DALYs of ischaemic stroke exceeded those of haemorrhagic stroke. The burden of disease, new cases, and deaths doubled during the study period. The age-standardised incidence rate of ischaemic stroke and haemorrhagic stroke in 2017 was 21.72 and 20.72 per 100 000 population, respectively.ConclusionsThe burden of stroke is increasing in Kurdistan Province. Since health services in Iran are based on treatment, steps are needed to revise the current treatment services for stroke and to improve the quality of services. Policy-makers and managers of the health system need to plan to reduce the known risk factors for stroke in the community. In addition to preventive interventions, efficient and up-to-date interventions are recommended for the rapid diagnosis and treatment of stroke patients in hospitals. Along with therapeutic interventions, preventive interventions can help reduce the stroke burden.     

Tuberculosis DALY-Gap: Spatial and Quantitative Comparison of Disease Burden Across Urban Slum and Non-slum Census Tracts

To quantitatively assess disease burden due to tuberculosis between populations residing in and outside of urban informal settlements in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, we compared disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), or “DALY-gap.” Using the 2010 Brazilian census definition of informal settlements as aglomerados subnormais (AGSN), we allocated tuberculosis (TB) DALYs to AGSN vs non-AGSN census tracts based on geocoded addresses of TB cases reported to the Brazilian Information System for Notifiable Diseases in 2005 and 2010. DALYs were calculated based on the 2010 Global Burden of Disease methodology. DALY-gap was calculated as the difference between age-adjusted DALYs/100,000 population between AGSN and non-AGSN. Total TB DALY in Rio in 2010 was 16,731 (266 DALYs/100,000). DALYs were higher in AGSN census tracts (306 vs 236 DALYs/100,000), yielding a DALY-gap of 70 DALYs/100,000. Attributable DALY fraction for living in an AGSN was 25.4 %. DALY-gap was highest for males 40–59 years of age (501 DALYs/100,000) and in census tracts with <60 % electricity (12,327 DALYs/100,000). DALY-gap comparison revealed spatial and quantitative differences in TB burden between slum vs non-slum census tracts that were not apparent using traditional measures of incidence and mortality. This metric could be applied to compare TB burden or burden for other diseases in mega-cities with large informal settlements for more targeted resource allocation and evaluation of intervention programs.     

Mortality by external causes among residents of Barcelona (1983-1987)]

Mortality due to external causes (EC) is an increasing problem among young people in Spain, with little epidemiologic knowledge available at the small-area level in urban settings. The objective of the present study is the assessment of the magnitude and distribution of EC-related mortality among residents in Barcelona during the 1983-1987 time period. The main EC-related deaths were traffic injuries (9.3 deaths per 100,000), suicides (7.2 deaths per 100,000), and falls (6.9 deaths per 100,000). EC have been the main cause of death up to 35 years of age, contributing to 19% of the total number of years of potential life lost. Traffic-related deaths occurred mainly in the 15-24 age group for vehicle occupants (11.7 deaths per 100,000), while deaths among pedestrians occurred primarily among people older than 75 years (16.4 deaths per 100,000). The largest share of deaths due to suicide also occurred in this same group (19.6 deaths per 100,000), followed by people 25-34 years old. Expectedly, the higher death rates due to falls occurred among elderly people, older than 75 years of age (71.8 deaths per 100,000). These results indicate that patterns of mortality due to external causes in Barcelona are rather similar to those in European countries, suggesting that the strategies to achieve the prevention and control of such deaths among Barcelona residents should presumably be close to those presently being implemented in those countries.     

The burden of disease and injury in Serbia

BACKGROUND: In the last decade of the 20th century, a considerable effort has been put into the development of summary measures of population health that combine information on mortality and non-fatal health outcomes. We used the DALYs (Disability adjusted life years) method to assess the burden of disease and injury in the population of Serbia. METHODS: Our study, largely based on the methods developed for the Global burden of disease study, was conducted between October 2002 and September 2003. DALYs, stratified by gender and age, were calculated for 18 selected health conditions for the population of Serbia, Serbia and Montenegro for 2000. Years of life lost (YLL) were calculated using country mortality statistics, while years lived with disability (YLD) were calculated using different sources of information. Also, the YLD/YYL ratio and age-adjusted rates of DALYs were calculated. RESULTS: Ischaemic heart disease, cerebrovascular diseases, lung cancer, unipolar depressive disorders, and diabetes mellitus were responsible for almost two-thirds (70%) of the total burden of 18 selected disorders in Serbia 2000. The leading five causes for males were ischaemic heart disease (26.1 DALY per 1000), stroke (17.9), lung cancer (12.7), road traffic accidents (6.5), and self-inflicted injuries (5.5). For females, the leading five causes were stroke (18.1 DALY per 1000), ischaemic heart disease (14.1), depression (8.7), breast cancer (6.1), and diabetes mellitus (5.2). CONCLUSIONS: The final results of the study have shown that the national health priority areas should cover cardiovascular diseases, cancers, and mental health.     

Disease burden due to vaccinable diseases in the Spanish population aged less than 15 years old

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the burden of disease due to vaccinable diseases and the relative importance of these diseases in the health of the Spanish population aged less than 15 years old. METHODS: Disease burden was measured in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). DALYs were computed by adding years of life lost (YLL) to years lived with disability (YLD). The DALYs of the Spanish population aged less than 15 years old were estimated for 1999 and were stratified by diseases according to the classification system of the Global Burden of Disease (adapted to the aim of the study), age group and gender. Diseases included in the childhood vaccination schedule, varicella, and pneumococcal disease were targeted for this study. The sources used were: the national mortality register to compute YLL, the Epidemiologic Surveillance National Network, hospital discharge data (CMBD) and the scientific literature to compute YLD due to vaccinable diseases, and World Health Organization estimates (Euro-A) or, when these were lacking, morbidity hospital data (Hospital Morbidity Survey) to compute the YLD due to non-vaccinable diseases. RESULTS: The burden of disease due to vaccinable diseases was 1.2% of global DALYS (the overall DALYs rate was 46,57/1,000 habitants): excluding meningococcal disease (0.5% to 3.3%), diseases included in the vaccination schedule represented 0.00% to 0.03%, depending on age groups, except meningococcal infection (between 0.5% and 3.3%). Pneumococcal meningitis represented 0.06% to 0.65% and varicella 0.00% to 0.15%, also depending on age groups. CONCLUSIONS: Disease burden due to vaccinable diseases is a good indicator of the health of the young population in Spain. This measure summarizes and combines information on mortality, morbidity and disability caused by diseases. The DALYs attributable to diseases included in the vaccination schedule demonstrate that immunization programs have achieved their goals.     

National disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 257 diseases and injuries in Ethiopia, 1990–2015: findings from the global burden of disease study 2015

Background

Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) provide a summary measure of health and can be a critical input to guide health systems, investments, and priority-setting in Ethiopia. We aimed to determine the leading causes of premature mortality and disability using DALYs and describe the relative burden of disease and injuries in Ethiopia.

Methods

We used results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 (GBD 2015) for non-fatal disease burden, cause-specific mortality, and all-cause mortality to derive age-standardized DALYs by sex for Ethiopia for each year. We calculated DALYs by summing years of life lost due to premature mortality (YLLs) and years lived with disability (YLDs) for each age group and sex. Causes of death by age, sex, and year were measured mainly using Causes of Death Ensemble modeling. To estimate YLDs, a Bayesian meta-regression method was used. We reported DALY rates per 100,000 for communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) disorders, non-communicable diseases, and injuries, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UI) for Ethiopia.

Results

Non-communicable diseases caused 23,118.1 (95% UI, 17,124.4–30,579.6), CMNN disorders resulted in 20,200.7 (95% UI, 16,532.2–24,917.9), and injuries caused 3781 (95% UI, 2642.9–5500.6) age-standardized DALYs per 100,000 in Ethiopia in 2015. Lower respiratory infections, diarrheal diseases, and tuberculosis were the top three leading causes of DALYs in 2015, accounting for 2998 (95% UI, 2173.7–4029), 2592.5 (95% UI, 1850.7–3495.1), and 2562.9 (95% UI, 1466.1–4220.7) DALYs per 100,000, respectively. Ischemic heart disease and cerebrovascular disease were the fourth and fifth leading causes of age-standardized DALYs, with rates of 2535.7 (95% UI, 1603.7–3843.2) and 2159.9 (95% UI, 1369.7–3216.3) per 100,000, respectively. The following causes showed a reduction of 60% or more over the last 25 years: lower respiratory infections, diarrheal diseases, tuberculosis, neonatal encephalopathy, preterm birth complications, meningitis, malaria, protein-energy malnutrition, iron-deficiency anemia, measles, war and legal intervention, and maternal hemorrhage.

Conclusions

Ethiopia has been successful in reducing age-standardized DALYs related to most communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional deficiency diseases in the last 25 years, causing a major ranking shift to types of non-communicable disease. Lower respiratory infections, diarrheal disease, and tuberculosis continue to be leading causes of premature death, despite major declines in burden. Non-communicable diseases also showed reductions as premature mortality declined; however, disability outcomes for these causes did not show declines. Recently developed non-communicable disease strategies may need to be amended to focus on cardiovascular diseases, cancer, diabetes, and major depressive disorders. Increasing trends of disabilities due to neonatal encephalopathy, preterm birth complications, and neonatal disorders should be emphasized in the national newborn survival strategy. Generating quality data should be a priority through the development of new initiatives such as vital events registration, surveillance programs, and surveys to address gaps in data. Measuring disease burden at subnational regional state levels and identifying variations with urban and rural population health should be conducted to support health policy in Ethiopia.

     

Sensitivity analysis in summary measure of population health in France

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study is to provide estimates of the French burden of disease, using the WHO Global Burden of Disease methodology and to perform sensitivity analysis on different set of mortality data. METHODS: The burden of disease is measured by disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) that take into account both mortality and morbidity data. Results were obtained using French mortality data for the years 2000 and 2001 and morbidity data estimated by WHO for France. Sensitivity analyses were conducted using different mortality data sets and various life tables as mortality norms. Calculations were also performed with and without discounting and age-weighting. RESULTS: In France, the annual burden of disease was about 12.4 million DALYs. Depending on the mortality data set and the choice of social values used for calculation, results could be quite different. The use of WHO estimates for mortality resulted in an underestimation of 2.6% of total DALYs with respect to French data. Changes of the mortality norm imply changes in the number of years of life lost (YLLs), whereas the use of discounting and age-weighting mainly modifies the ranking of diseases. CONCLUSION: DALYs constitute a summary measure of population health, which is a powerful tool for the grading of health problems, allowing to compare fatal and non-fatal diseases. Nevertheless, the validity of results obtained depends primarily on the validity of the input data. Collecting morbidity data (mainly incidence) at the national level is hence an important step in order to assess more accurately the specific burden of diseases in France.     

Re-evaluating the burden of rabies in Africa and Asia

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the public health and economic burden of endemic canine rabies in Africa and Asia. METHODS: Data from these regions were applied to a set of linked epidemiological and economic models. The human population at risk from endemic canine rabies was predicted using data on dog density, and human rabies deaths were estimated using a series of probability steps to determine the likelihood of clinical rabies developing in a person after being bitten by a dog suspected of having rabies. Model outputs on mortality and morbidity associated with rabies were used to calculate an improved disability-adjusted life year (DALY) score for the disease. The total societal cost incurred by the disease is presented. FINDINGS: Human mortality from endemic canine rabies was estimated to be 55 000 deaths per year (90% confidence interval (CI) = 24 000-93 000). Deaths due to rabies are responsible for 1.74 million DALYs lost each year (90% CI = 0.75-2.93). An additional 0.04 million DALYs are lost through morbidity and mortality following side-effects of nerve-tissue vaccines. The estimated annual cost of rabies is USD 583.5 million (90% CI = USD 540.1-626.3 million). Patient-borne costs for post-exposure treatment form the bulk of expenditure, accounting for nearly half the total costs of rabies. CONCLUSION: Rabies remains an important yet neglected disease in Africa and Asia. Disparities in the affordability and accessibility of post-exposure treatment and risks of exposure to rabid dogs result in a skewed distribution of the disease burden across society, with the major impact falling on those living in poor rural communities, in particular children.     

Estimating the burden of road traffic injuries among children and adolescents in urban South Asia

Over a million people died from road traffic injuries (RTI) globally in the year 2000 and as many as 50 million were injured. Yet there has been little work focused on the South Asia region, let alone the vulnerable segments of population such as children and adolescents. This study aims at measuring the burden of disease caused by urban road traffic injuries among children and adolescents in South Asia. This study selected 26 studies for review and data extraction out of 1505 published articles. Data from the studies were pooled to calculate the proportion and characteristics of child and adolescent RTI, regional RTI incidence and mortality rates, and an estimate of the burden of disease caused by these injuries through the use of the healthy life years lost (HeaLY) composite measure. Our findings showed that the majority of injuries occurred in males (67-80%) and the most frequent age group injured was between ages 0 and 9 representing 40% of cases. Children and adolescents represent an average of 22% of all those with RTI whom seek care. Children and adolescents represented an average of 13% of all RTI deaths. Regional RTI incidence rate was calculated at 880 per 100,000 urban persons aged 0-19. Mortality due to RTI was at 17 deaths per 100,000 urban persons aged 0-19 in South Asia. Burden of disease was calculated 16 HeaLYs per 1000 general population from road traffic mortality alone. With disability data added, then 27.7 HeaLYs per 1000 general population are lost from road traffic injuries in South Asia. The increasing burden of RTI in young persons in South Asia is a call for considering appropriate research and effective interventions. This relatively high loss of healthy life from RTI needs to be addressed by public health systems in South Asia.