A two center 320 slice CT study for evaluating coronary arteries in subjects with chronic atrial fibrillation: A comparison of prospective and retrospective ECG-gating acquisition

Purpose

To compare diagnostic-accuracy of prospective and retrospective-ECG-gated acquisition in 320-slice-CT for detecting coronary-artery stenosis in subjects with chronic-atrial-fibrillation (CAF) in a two-center study.

Materials and methods

53 CAF subjects who underwent 320-slice-CT, and invasive-coronary-angiogram (ICA) within 6-months (43 male; 69 ± 9 years; CHADS2 score 2.2 ± 1.3; CHA2DS2-VASc score 3.5 ± 1.6) in the two institutes were analyzed. In Institute-1, prospective-ECG-gated acquisition was routinely performed (N = 33). In Institute-2, retrospective-ECG-gated acquisition was routinely performed (N = 20). CT and ICA data were transferred to the analysis center and were analyzed by cardiologists blinded to the clinical-data.

Results

Prevalence of > 50 and > 75% on ICA was 79 and 61% in Institute-1, and 30 and 15% in Institute-2, respectively. In a patient-by-patient analysis, Institute-2 had higher negative-predictive-value (NPV) and accuracy of > 75% stenosis on CT in predicting > 75% stenosis on ICA. In a vessel-by-vessel analysis, there were no significant-differences of sensitivity, specificity, positive-predictive-value (PPV) and NPV of > 50% stenosis on CT in predicting > 50% stenosis on ICA between both institutes. But sensitivity, specificity, and NPV of > 75% stenosis on CT in predicting > 75% stenosis on ICA were significantly higher in Institute-2 than in Institute-1. This is mainly because of more severe coronary-artery disease including calcification in Institute-1; there might also have been an influence of differences in scanning and reconstruction methods.

Conclusions

320-slice-CT shows relatively high diagnostic-accuracy for the detection of significant coronary-artery stenosis compared with ICA even in CAF subjects, in a two-center analysis. Retrospective-ECG-gated acquisition in 320-slice-CT shows significantly higher diagnostic-accuracy than prospective-ECG-gated acquisition for detection of > 75% coronary-artery stenosis.     

CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores as predictors of platelet reactivity in acute coronary syndrome

BackgroundPlatelet function testing (PFT) in patients treated with P2Y₁₂ inhibitors has been widely evaluated for the prediction of stent thrombosis, myocardial infarction, and bleeding events following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Thus, PFT-guided treatment could positively affect patient outcomes. Data regarding clinical parameters for predicting platelet reactivity in ACS patients are limited. Therefore, our study aims to evaluate CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores as predictors for platelet reactivity in ACS patients.MethodsTwo hundred and ninety-one consecutive patients who underwent PCI and were treated with aspirin and clopidogrel due to ACS were tested for their CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc scores and platelet reactivity using adenosine diphosphate (ADP)-induced aggregation (conventional aggregometry). Patients were classified into groups according to their CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores. Low-risk group (0–1 score) for CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores and high-risk group (2–6, 2–9) for CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, respectively. Furthermore, platelet reactivity in each group were compared (low CHADS2 group vs high CHADS2 group, and low CHA2DS2-VASc vs high CHA2DS2-VASc). Platelet reactivity was defined as low platelet reactivity (<19 U), optimal platelet reactivity [(OPR); 19–46 U], and high on-treatment platelet reactivity [(HPR); >46 U]. Thereafter receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was conducted to verify whether CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores could predict platelet reactivity.ResultsLow CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were significantly correlated with lower mean platelet ADP-induced aggregation as compared with high CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores [45.5 U (± 16) vs. 54.8 U (±15) and 44.2 U (±16) vs. 51.0 U (±17), respectively, p = 0.01 for both].ConclusionIn ACS patients treated with clopidogrel following PCI, high CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores correlated with HPR and lower scores correlated with OPR. Further studies are needed to evaluate our findings’ clinical implications.     

CHADS2及CHA2DS2-VASc评分在冠心病外科治疗中的应用

目的：评价CHADS2及CHA2DS2-VASc评分系统在冠心病外科治疗中的意义。 方法：选择2006年1月至2010年1月行不停跳冠状动脉旁路移植术的768个病人,术后新发房颤患者97例,回顾病人的围术期及随访资料,应用CHADS2及CHA2DS2-VASc评分系统,进行分析。 结果：分为术后新发房颤组与非房颤组。术后新发房颤发生率12.6%。平均年龄70.74±8.21岁和65.90±9.83岁,围术期脑卒中8例和9例,CHADS2评分值分别为3.2±1.26和2.13±0.94,CHA2DS2-VASc评分值分别为4.2±1.50和3.23±1.07,CHADS2和CHA2DS2-VASc评分是术后新发房颤的预测因素,与围术期脑卒中显著相关,P < 0.01。 结论：冠心病外科治疗中应用CHADS2及CHA2DS2-VASc评分系统可预测术后新发房颤及围术期脑卒中,对冠心病术后新发房颤的抗凝及抗血小板治疗决策提供了依据,对卒中风险及预后有一定的评估价值。     

Assessment of the charlson comorbidity index score,CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores in predicting death in patients with thoracic empyema

Background

Patients with thoracic empyema have an increased risk of mortality, but their absolute rate of mortality depends on age and comorbidities.

CHA2DS2-VASc score as a novel predictor for contrast-induced nephropathy after percutaneous coronary intervention in acute coronary syndrome

BackgroundCHA2DS2-VASc score, used for atrial fibrillation to assess the risk of embolic complications, have shown to predict adverse clinical outcomes in acute coronary syndrome (ACS), irrespective of atrial fibrillation. This study envisaged to assess the predictive role of CHA2DS2-VASc score for contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) in patients with ACS undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).MethodsA total of 300 consecutive patients with ACS undergoing PCI were enrolled in this study. CHA2DS2-VASc score was calculated for each patient. These patients were divided into two groups as Group 1 (with CIN) and Group 2 (without CIN). CIN was defined as increase in serum creatinine level ≥0.5 mg/dL or ≥25% increase from baseline within 48 h after PCI. After receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the study population was again classified into two groups: CHA2DS2-VASc score ≤3 group (Group A) and score ≥4 group (Group B).ResultsCIN was reported in 41 patients (13.6%). Patients with CIN had a higher frequency of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and had a lower left ventricular ejection fraction and baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed good predictive value of CHA2DS2-VASc score for CIN (area under the curve 0.81, 95% CI 0.73–0.90). Patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of ≥4 had a higher frequency of CIN as compared with patients with score ≤3 (56.8% vs 4.8%; p = 0.0001) with multivariate analysis demonstrating CHA2DS2-VASc score of ≥4 to be an independent predictor of CIN.ConclusionIn patients with ACS undergoing PCI, CHA2DS2-VASc score can be used as a novel, simple, and a sensitive diagnostic tool for the prediction of CIN.     

Usefulness of transesophageal echocardiography to confirm clinical utility of CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2 scores in atrial flutter

The CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc and CHADS(2) risk stratification schemes are used to predict thromboembolism and ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation. However, limited data are available regarding the utility of these risk stratification schemes for stroke in patients with atrial flutter. A retrospective analysis of 455 transesophageal echocardiographic studies in patients with atrial flutter was performed to identify left atrial (LA) thrombi and/or spontaneous echocardiographic contrast (SEC). The CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc (Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age ≥75 years [doubled risk weight], Diabetes mellitus, previous Stroke/transient ischemic attack [doubled risk weight], Vascular disease, Age 65 to 74 years, Sex) and CHADS(2) (Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age ≥75 years, Diabetes mellitus, previous Stroke/transient ischemic attack [double risk weight]) scores were calculated to stratify the risk of stroke or transient cerebrovascular ischemic events. Transesophageal echocardiography revealed LA thrombi in 5.3% and SEC in 25.9% of patients. Using CHADS(2), LA thrombus was found in 2.2% of the low-intermediate-risk group and 8.3% of the high-risk group (p = 0.005). SEC was found in 19.8% of the low-intermediate-risk group and 32% of the high-risk group (p = 0.004). Using CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc, LA thrombus was found in 1.7% of the low-intermediate-risk group and 6.5% of the high-risk group (p = 0.053). SEC was found in 11.8% of the low-intermediate-risk group versus 30.9% of the high-risk group (p = 0.004). The sensitivity for LA thrombus/SEC with a high CHADS(2) and CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc score was 64.8% and 88.7%, respectively (p = 0.0001). The specificity for LA thrombus/SEC with high CHADS(2) and CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc scores was 52.6% and 28.9%, respectively (p = 0.0001). In conclusion, both CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc and CHADS(2) scores are useful for stroke risk stratification in patients with atrial flutter. CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc had greater sensitivity for LA thrombus and SEC detection at the cost of reduced specificity.     

Using the CHA2DS2-VASc Score for Refining Stroke Risk Stratification in ‘Low-Risk’ Asian Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

Background

A new scoring system, the anticoagulation and risk factors in atrial fibrillation (ATRIA) score, was proposed for risk stratification in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Whether the ATRIA scheme can adequately identify patients who are at low risk of ischemic stroke remains unknown.

Objectives

The goal of the present study was to compare the performance of ATRIA to that of CHA₂DS₂-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75, diabetes mellitus, prior stroke or transient ischemic attack, vascular disease, age 65 to 74, female) scores for stroke prediction.

Methods

This study used the National Health Insurance research database in Taiwan. A total of 186,570 AF patients without antithrombotic therapy were selected as the study cohort. The clinical endpoint was the occurrence of ischemic stroke.

Results

During the follow-up of 3.4 ± 3.7 years, 23,723 patients (12.7%) experienced ischemic stroke. The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score performed better than ATRIA score in predicting ischemic stroke as assessed by c-indexes (0.698 vs. 0.627, respectively; p < 0.0001). The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score also improved the net reclassification index by 11.7% compared with ATRIA score (p < 0.0001). Among 73,242 patients categorized as low-risk on the basis of an ATRIA score of 0 to 5, the CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores ranged from 0 to 7, and annual stroke rates ranged from 1.06% to 13.33% at 1-year follow-up and from 1.15% to 8.00% at 15-year follow-up. The c-index of CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (0.629) was significantly higher than that of the ATRIA score (0.593) in this “low-risk” category (p < 0.0001).

Conclusions

Patients categorized as low-risk by use of the ATRIA score were not necessarily low-risk, and the annual stroke rates can be as high as 2.95% at 1-year follow-up and 2.84% at 15-year follow-up. In contrast, patients with a CHA₂DS₂-VASc score of 0 had a truly low risk of ischemic stroke, with an annual stroke rate of approximately 1%.     

Neutrophil lymphocyte ratio significantly improves the Framingham risk score in prediction of coronary heart disease mortality: Insights from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey-III

Background

Neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been shown to predict cardiovascular events in several studies. We sought to study if NLR predicts coronary heart disease (CHD) in a healthy US cohort and if it reclassifies the traditional Framingham risk score (FRS) model.

Methods

We performed post hoc analysis of National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey-III (1998–94) including subjects aged 30–79 years free from CHD or CHD equivalent at baseline. Primary endpoint was death from ischemic heart disease. NLR was divided into four categories: < 1.5, ≥ 1.5 to < 3.0, 3.0–4.5 and > 4.5. Statistical analyses involved multivariate Cox proportional hazards models as well as discrimination, calibration and reclassification.

Results

We included 7363 subjects with a mean follow up of 14.1 years. There were 231 (3.1%) CHD deaths, more in those with NLR > 4.5 (11%) compared to NLR < 1.5 (2.4%), p < 0.001. Adjusted hazard ratio of NLR > 4.5 was 2.68 (95% CI 1.07–6.72, p = 0.035). There was no significant improvement in C-index (0.8709 to 0.8713) or area under curve (0.8520 to 0.8531) with addition of NLR to FRS model. Model with NLR was well calibrated with Hosmer–Lemeshow chi-square of 8.57 (p = 0.38). Overall net reclassification index (NRI) was 6.6% (p = 0.003) with intermediate NRI of 10.1% (p < 0.001) and net upward reclassification of 5.6%. Absolute integrated discrimination index (IDI) was 0.003 (p = 0.039) with relative IDI of 4.3%.

Conclusions

NLR can independently predict CHD mortality in an asymptomatic general population cohort. It reclassifies intermediate risk category of FRS, with significant upward reclassification. NLR should be considered as an inflammatory biomarker of CHD.     

Prognostic Value of the CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc Score after Endovascular Therapy for Femoral Popliteal Artery Lesions

Aim: Originally developed for predicting the risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), the CHA ₂ DS ₂ -VASc score also has the potential to predict the risk of other cardiovascular disease. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of the CHA ₂ DS ₂ -VASc score in patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) requiring Femoral popliteal (FP) endovascular therapy (EVT). Methods: This multicenter, retrospective study analyzed the clinical database of 2190 patients who underwent FP EVT for symptomatic PAD (Rutherford categories 2–4) between January 2010 and December 2018. We calculated the CHA ₂ DS ₂ -VASc score and then investigated the association between the score, as well as AF, and their prognosis. Outcome measures were major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) and major adverse limb events (MALEs). Results: During a median follow-up of 3.0 years (interquartile range, 1.5–5.0 years), 532 MACEs and 562 MALEs occurred. The CHA ₂ DS ₂ -VASc score and AF were independently associated with an increased risk of MACEs; their adjusted hazard ratios [95% confidence intervals] were 1.28 [1.20–1.36] ( P ＜0.001) per 1-point increase and 1.49 [1.06–2.09] ( P =0.022), respectively. The CHA ₂ DS ₂ -VASc score was almost linearly associated with MACEs, without any clear threshold point. On the other hand, these variables were not associated with MALEs risk ( P =0.32 and 0.48). Conclusion: The CHA ₂ DS ₂ -VASc score and AF were independently associated with the increased risk of MACEs but not of MALEs in patients with symptomatic PAD who underwent FP EVT. The score might be useful in stratifying the MACEs risk in this type of patients.     

Impact of epicardial fat volume on coronary artery disease in symptomatic patients with a zero calcium score

Background

This study sought to evaluate the prevalence of coronary artery disease (CAD) and the impact of epicardial fat volume (EFV) on CAD in symptomatic patients with a zero calcium score (CS) using multislice computed tomography (MSCT).

Methods

In this study, 1308 consecutive symptomatic patients who underwent 64-slice MSCT with a zero CS were evaluated. EFV was quantified with CS data sets. Presence of an obstructive plaque (diameter stenosis > 50%) and a CT-derived vulnerable plaque, which was defined as a plaque with remodeling index > 1.10 and mean CT density value < 30 HU, was assessed with a CT coronary angiography.

Results

Obstructive plaques were detected in 86 patients (7%) and CT-derived vulnerable plaques in 63 (5%). EFV was larger in patients with obstructive plaques than no plaque (124.3 ± 43.2 cm³ vs. 95.1 ± 40.3 cm³; p < 0.01). Patients with CT-derived vulnerable plaques had a greater amount of EFV than no plaque (133.0 ± 40.2 cm³ vs. 95.1 ± 40.3 cm³; p < 0.01). Multivariate analysis revealed EFV as a predictor of the presence of an obstructive and a CT-derived vulnerable plaque (per 10 cm³; Odds ratio (OR) 1.10; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.04-1.16; p < 0.01 and OR 1.19; 95% CI, 1.12-1.27; p < 0.01). The combination of EFV and Framingham risk score (FRS) resulted in an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve for prediction of obstructive and CT-derived vulnerable plaque of 0.75 and 0.75, which was significantly higher than 0.68 and 0.64 for FRS alone (p = 0.02 and p < 0.01).

Conclusions

A zero CS doesn't exclude CAD and EFV can be a useful marker of CAD in symptomatic zero CS patients.     

Preventive effect of statin pretreatment on contrast-induced acute kidney injury in patients undergoing coronary angioplasty: Propensity score analysis from a multicenter registry

Background

The prophylactic benefit of statins in reducing the incidence of contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI) has been investigated in several studies with conflicting results. We sought to investigate whether statin pretreatment prevents CI-AKI in coronary artery disease (CAD) patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

Methods

A total of 2198 CAD patients who underwent PCI, except for those undergoing dialysis or who died within 7 days after angioplasty, were analyzed from the ICAS (Ibaraki Cardiovascular Assessment Study) multicenter registry. Analyzed subjects were divided into 2 groups according to statin pretreatment: statin pretreatment (n = 839) and non-statin pretreatment (n = 1359). Selection bias of statin pretreatment was adjusted by propensity score-matching method: pretreatment statin (n = 565) and non-statin pretreatment (n = 565). CI-AKI was defined as an increase in serum creatinine of ≥ 25% or 0.5 mg/dl from baseline within 1 week of contrast medium exposure.

Results

A total of 192 (8.7%) patients developed CI-AKI. No significant differences were observed in baseline patient characteristics between the statin and non-statin pretreatment groups after propensity score matching. In the propensity score-matched groups, the incidence of CI-AKI was significantly lower in patients with statin pretreatment than in those without statin pretreatment (3.5% vs.10.6%, odds ratio [OR]: 0.31, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.18–0.52, P < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that statin pretreatment remained an independent negative predictor of CI-AKI (OR: 0.31, 95% CI: 0.18–0.53, P < 0.001) among propensity score-matched subjects.

Conclusions

Statin pretreatment was associated with a significant decrease in the risk of CI-AKI in CAD patients undergoing PCI in the ICAS Registry.     

Incremental prognostic value of coronary artery calcium score versus CT angiography among symptomatic patients without known coronary artery disease

Objective

To evaluate the prognostic value and test characteristics of coronary artery calcium (CAC) score for the identification of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) in comparison with coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) among symptomatic patients.

Methods

Retrospective cohort study at two large hospitals, including all symptomatic patients without prior CAD who underwent both CCTA and CAC. Accuracy of CAC for the identification of ≥50% and ≥70% stenosis by CCTA was evaluated. Prognostic value of CAC and CCTA were compared for prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE, defined as non-fatal myocardial infarction, cardiovascular death, late coronary revascularization (>90 days), and unstable angina requiring hospitalization).

Results

Among 1145 included patients, the mean age was 55 ± 12 years and median follow up 2.4 (IQR: 1.5–3.5) years. Overall, 406 (35%) CCTA were normal, 454 (40%) had <50% stenosis, and 285 (25%) had ≥50% stenosis. The prevalence of ≥70% stenosis was 16%. Among 483 (42%) patients with CAC zero, 395 (82%) had normal CCTA, 81 (17%) <50% stenosis, and 7 (1.5%) ≥ 50% stenosis. 2 (0.4%) patients had ≥70% stenosis. For diagnosis of ≥50% stenosis, CAC had a sensitivity of 98% and specificity of 55%. The negative predictive value (NPV) for CAC was 99% for ≥50% stenosis and 99.6% for ≥70% stenosis by CCTA. There were no adverse events among the 7 patients with zero calcium and ≥50% CAD. For prediction of MACE, the c-statistic for clinical risk factors of 0.62 increased to 0.73 (p < 0.001) with CAC versus 0.77 (p = 0.02) with CCTA.

Conclusion

Among symptomatic patients with CAC zero, a 1–2% prevalence of potentially obstructive CAD occurs, although this finding was not associated with future coronary revascularization or adverse prognosis within 2 years.     

Hyperuricemia and the risk of ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation — Could it refine clinical risk stratification in AF?

Background

Although hyperuricemia has been reported to be a risk factor of stroke, the relationship between hyperuricemia and stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains uncertain. The goal of the present study was to investigate whether hyperuricemia could potentially refine clinical risk stratification in AF.

Methods

This study used the “National Health Insurance Research Database” in Taiwan. A total of 7601 AF patients who did not receive antiplatelet agents or oral anticoagulants were identified as the study population. Hyperuricemia was defined as having at least one episode of gout attack necessitating long-term treatment with uric acid-lowering agents. The association between hyperuricemia and ischemic stroke was analyzed.

Results

During the follow up of 3.0 ± 2.7 years, 1116 patients (14.7%) experienced ischemic stroke with an annual rate of around 4.9%. Hyperuricemia significantly predicts stroke, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.280 after adjusting for CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and other comorbidities. Among the 376 patients with a CHA₂DS₂VASc score of 0, hyperuricemia can further stratify them into 2 groups with different stroke rates (7.1% versus 1.3%, p = 0.020). The adjusted HR of hyperuricemia in predicting ischemic stroke diminished from 7.491 for patients with a CHA₂DS₂-VASc score of 0 to 1.659 for those with a score of 3, and became insignificant for patients with a score ≥ 4.

Conclusions

Hyperuricemia was a significant risk factor of stroke which could potentially refine the clinical risk stratification in AF. It deserves a prospective trial to investigate whether it would change the current strategy for stroke preventions using oral anticoagulants.     

The predictive value of CHADS2 risk score in post myocardial infarction arrhythmias — A Cardiac Arrhythmias and RIsk Stratification after Myocardial infArction (CARISMA) substudy

Background

Previous studies have shown substantially increased risk of cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death in post-myocardial infarction (MI) patients. However it remains difficult to identify the patients who are at highest risk of arrhythmias in the post-MI setting. The purpose of this study was to investigate if CHADS₂ score (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75 years, diabetes and previous stroke/TCI [doubled]) can be used as a risk tool for predicting cardiac arrhythmias after MI.

Methods

The study included 297 post-MI patients from the CARISMA study with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤ 40%. All patients were implanted with an implantable cardiac monitor (ICM) within 5 to 21 days post-MI and followed every three months for two years. Atrial fibrillation, bradyarrhythmias and ventricular tachycardias were diagnosed using the ICM, pacemaker or ICD. Patients were stratified according to CHADS₂ score at enrollment. Congestive heart failure was defined as LVEF ≤ 40% and NYHA class II, III or IV.

Results

We found significantly increased risk of an arrhythmic event with increasing CHADS₂ score (CHADS₂ score = 1–2: HR = 2.1 [1.1–3.9], p = 0.021, CHADS₂ score ≥ 3: HR = 3.7 [1.9–7.1], p < 0.001). This pattern was identical when dividing the arrhythmias into subgroups of atrial fibrillation, ventricular tachycardias and bradyarrhythmias. CHADS₂ score was similarly associated with the development of major cardiovascular events defined as reinfarction, stroke, and hospitalization for heart failure or cardiovascular death.

Conclusion

In the post-MI setting, CHADS₂ score efficiently identifies populations at high risk for cardiac arrhythmias.     

Validation of contemporary stroke and bleeding risk stratification scores in non-anticoagulated Chinese patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

Risk stratification schemes assessing stroke and thromboembolism (stroke/TE) and bleeding relating to atrial fibrillation (AF) have largely been derived and validated in Western populations. We assessed risk factors that constitute scores for assessing stroke/TE (CHADS₂, CHA₂DS₂-VASc) and bleeding (HAS-BLED), and the predictive value of these scores in a large cohort of Chinese patients with AF.

Methods and results

We studied 1034 AF patients (27.1% female, median age 75; 85.6% non-anticoagulated) with mean follow-up of 1.9 years. On multivariate analysis, vascular disease was independently associated with stroke/TE in non-anticoagulated patients (p = 0.04). In patients with a CHADS₂ or CHA₂DS₂-VASc score = 1, the rate of stroke/TE was 2.9% and 0.9% respectively, but in patients at “high risk” (scores ≥ 2), this rate was 4.6% and 4.5%, respectively. The c-statistics for predicting stroke/TE with CHADS₂ and CHA₂DS₂-VASc were 0.58 (p = 0.109) and 0.72 (p < 0.001), respectively. Compared to CHADS₂, the use of CHA₂DS₂-VASc would result in a Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) of 16.6% (p = 0.009) and an Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) of 1.1% (p = 0.002). Cumulative survival of the patients with a CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥ 2 was decreased compared to those with a CHA₂DS₂-VASc score 0–1 (p < 0.001), but the CHADS₂ was not predictive of mortality. There was an increased risk of major bleeding with increasing HAS-BLED score (c-statistic 0.61, 95% CI: 0.51–0.71, p = 0.042).

Conclusions

Vascular disease was a strong independent predictor of stroke/TE in Chinese patients with AF. The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score performed better than CHADS₂ in predicting stroke/TE in this Chinese AF population. Cumulative survival of the patients at high risk with the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (but not using CHADS₂) was significantly decreased.     

Assessment of coronary artery disease using coronary computed tomography angiography in patients with aortic valve stenosis referred for surgical aortic valve replacement

Background

In patients referred for aortic valve replacement (AVR) a pre-surgical assessment of coronary artery disease is mandatory to determine the possible need for additional coronary artery bypass grafting. The diagnostic accuracy of coronary computed tomography angiography (coronary CTA) was evaluated in patients with aortic valve stenosis referred for surgical AVR.

Methods

Between March 2008 and March 2010 a total of 181 consecutive patients were included. All patients underwent pre-surgical coronary CTA (64- or 320-detector CT scanner) and invasive coronary angiography (ICA). The analyses were performed blinded to each other.

Results

The mean ± SD age of the included patients was 71 ± 9 years and 59% were male. The prevalence of significant coronary artery stenosis > 70% by ICA was 36%. Average heart rate during coronary CTA was 65 ± 16 bpm. In a patient based analysis 94% of the patients (171/181) were considered fully evaluable. Coronary CTA had a sensitivity of 68%, a specificity of 91%, a positive predictive value of 81%, and a negative predictive value of 83%. Advanced age, obstructive lung disease, NYHA function class III/IV, and high Agatston score were found to be significantly associated with disagreement between ICA and coronary CTA in univariate analysis.

Conclusion

In patients with aortic valve stenosis referred for surgical AVR the diagnostic accuracy of coronary CTA to identify significant coronary artery disease is moderate. Coronary CTA may be used successfully in a subset of patients with low age, no chronic obstructive lung disease, NYHA function class < III and low coronary Agatston score.     

CHA2DS2-VASc Score Is Directly Associated with the Risk of Pulmonary Embolism in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

Background

The risk stratification score, which includes Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age ≥75 [doubled], Diabetes, Stroke [doubled]- Vascular disease, Age 65-74, and Sex category [female] (CHA₂DS₂-VASc), is used to predict stroke in atrial fibrillation. However, whether high CHA₂DS₂-VASc score carries a higher risk of pulmonary embolism remains unknown. We aimed to investigate the association between the severity of CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and the incidence of pulmonary embolism.

Methods

A total of 73,541 adults with atrial fibrillation diagnosed before January 1, 2012, and no history of pulmonary embolism, were retrospectively identified from the computerized database of the Clalit Health Services, which is the largest not-for-profit health maintenance organization in Israel. The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was calculated for each subject at study entry. The cohort was followed for the first occurrence of pulmonary embolism until December 31, 2012 (70,210 person-years).

Results

Pulmonary embolism developed in 158 subjects, representing an incidence of 225.0 per 100,000 person-years. The incidence of pulmonary embolism increased with increasing CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (P < .001). On Cox proportional analysis, CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was significantly associated with pulmonary embolism (hazard ratio, 1.22; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-1.32) for a 1-point increase in CHA₂DS₂-VASc score. The results were similar after adjusting for anticoagulants and antiplatelet use (hazard ratio, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.14-1.34), and remained unchanged after further adjustment for active malignancy. The predictive values for pulmonary embolism were similar for CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and the classic risk stratification score which includes Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age >75 years, Diabetes, and Stroke [doubled] (CHADS₂); the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves were 0.619 (95% CI, 0.579-0.660) and 0.616 (95% CI, 0.575-0.656), respectively.

Conclusions

CHA₂DS₂-VASc score is directly associated with the incidence of pulmonary embolism in atrial fibrillation.     

CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc risk factors to predict first cardiovascular hospitalization among atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter patients

Limited data exist concerning risk factors for cardiovascular (CV) hospitalization in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) or atrial flutter (AFL). The aim of this retrospective cohort evaluation was to assess whether patient characteristics and risk factors, including CHADS(2) (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, type 2 diabetes, and previous stroke or transient ischemic attack [doubled]) and CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc (congestive heart failure; hypertension; age ≥75 years [doubled]; type 2 diabetes; previous stroke, transient ischemic attack, or thromboembolism [doubled]; vascular disease; age 65 to 75 years; and sex category) scores, identified patients with AF or AFL at risk for CV hospitalization. Claims data (January 2003 to June 2009) were evaluated to identify patients aged ≥40 years with ≥1 inpatient or ≥2 (within 30 days of each other) outpatient diagnoses of AF or AFL and an absence of diagnosis codes related to cardiac surgery within 30 days of AF or AFL diagnosis. Risk factors for first CV hospitalization in the 2-year period after diagnosis were assessed using univariate and multivariate analyses. Overall, 377,808 patients (mean age 73.9 ± 12.1 years) were identified, of whom 128,048 had CV hospitalizations. CHADS(2) and CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc scores were the top 2 predictors of first CV hospitalization after AF or AFL diagnosis. Hospitalization risk was increased 2.3- to 2.7-fold in patients with CHADS(2) scores of 6 and approximately 3.0-fold in patients with CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc scores of 9 compared to patients with a score of 0. These increases were maintained essentially unchanged throughout the 2-year follow-up period. In conclusion, CHADS(2) and CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc scores were predictive of first CV hospitalization in patients with AF or AFL and may be helpful in identifying "at-risk" patients and guiding therapy.     

D-二聚体联合CHA2DS2-VASc评分对老年急性心肌梗死患者介入术后无复流的预测价值

目的探讨血浆D-二聚体水平联合CHA2DS2-VASc评分对老年急性ST段抬高型心肌梗死(STEMI)患者PCI术后无复流的预测价值。方法选择2018年1月~2019年8月大连市友谊医院心内科接受直接PCI的老年STEMI患者117例,根据TIMI血流和心肌呈色分级分为复流组92例,无复流组25例。又根据D-二聚体水平分为高D-二聚体组75例(D-二聚体>1.01 mg/L),低D-二聚体组42例(D-二聚体≤1.01 mg/L)。比较复流组和无复流组血浆D-二聚体水平及CHA2DS2-VASc评分,分析两者对无复流现象的预测价值。结果无复流组D-二聚体及CHA2DS2-VASc评分明显高于复流组(1.72 mg/L vs 0.48 mg/L,P=0.001;4.00分vs 3.00分,P=0.002)。ROC曲线分析显示,D-二聚体联合CHA2DS2-VASc评分预测无复流的曲线下面积为0.777(95%CI:0.683~0.870,P=0.001),较两者单独预测无复流效果更好。高D-二聚体组血栓抽吸和无复流比例明显高于低D-二聚体组,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05,P<0.01)。多元logistic回归分析显示,血浆D-二聚体及CHA2DS2-VASc评分是无复流的独立预测因素(P<0.05,P<0.01)。结论血浆D-二聚体水平联合CHA2DS2-VASc评分预测无复流现象较单用D-二聚体水平或CHA2DS2-VASc评分更敏感。     

A peripheral blood gene expression score is associated with atherosclerotic Plaque Burden and Stenosis by cardiovascular CT-angiography: Results from the PREDICT and COMPASS studies

Objective

We previously validated a gene expression score (GES) based on age, sex and peripheral blood cell expression levels of 23 genes measured by quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR) for diagnosis of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) (≥50% luminal diameter stenosis). In this study we sought to determine the association between the GES and coronary arterial Plaque Burden and Stenosis by CT-angiography.

Methods

A total of 610 patients (mean age: 57 ± 11; 50% male) from the PREDICT and COMPASS studies from 59 centers were analyzed. Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring, CT angiography (CTA)-based plaque and stenosis and GES measurements were performed. CAC was expressed as Agatston score and CTA evaluated for stenosis severity: 0. None; 1. Minimal, 2. Mild, 3. Moderate, 4. Severe and 5. Occluded. Correlation analysis, one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analyses were performed.

Results

GES was significantly associated with plaque burden by CAC (r = 0.50; p < 0.001) and CTA (segment involvement score index: r = 0.37, p < 0.001); a low score (≤15) had sensitivity of 0.71 and a high score (≥28) a specificity of 0.97 for the prediction of zero vs. non-zero CAC. Increasing GES was associated with a greater degree of categorical stenosis by ANOVA (p < 0.001); GES significantly correlated with maximum luminal stenosis (r = 0.41; p < 0.01) and segment stenosis score index (r = 0.38; p < 0.01). A low score had sensitivity of 0.90 and a high score a specificity of 0.87 for ≥70% stenosis.

Conclusions

A previously validated GES is significantly associated with Plaque Burden and Stenosis by CT.

Clinical trial registration.

(PREDICT [NCT00500617] and COMPASS [NCT01117506]), www.clinicaltrials.gov