Cancer incidence among the south Asian and non-south Asian population under 30 years of age in Yorkshire, UK

Background:

Few studies have examined epidemiological differences between ethnic groups for children and young adults with cancer.

Methods:

Subjects aged 0–29 years, diagnosed between 1990 and 2005 in the former Yorkshire Regional Health Authority, were included in the analysis. Ethnicity (south Asian or not) was assigned using name analysis program and Hospital Episode Statistics data. Differences in incidence (per 1 000 000 person-years) rates and trends were analysed using joinpoint and Poisson regression analysis.

Results:

Overall cancer incidence was similar for south Asians (12.1, 95% CI: 10.7–13.5; n=275) and non-south Asians (12.6, 95% CI: 12.2–13.1; n=3259). Annual incidence rates increased significantly by 1.9% per year on average (95% CI: 1.2–2.6%), especially for south Asians (7.0% 95% CI: 4.2–9.9%).

Conclusion:

If present trends continue, the higher rate of increase seen among south Asians aged 0–29 years in Yorkshire will result in three times higher cancer incidence than non-south Asians by 2020.     

Incidence trends of vestibular schwannomas in Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden in 1987-2007

Background:

The reported incidence rates of vestibular schwannomas (VS) vary substantially, but it is unclear as to what extent the variation reflects differences in risk or recording practices. Our aim was to describe the incidence rates of VS in Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden between 1987 and 2007.

Methods:

Comprehensive data were available from all registries only for the period from 1987 to 2007. An analysis of a longer time period (1965–2007) was conducted with the Norwegian and Swedish data.

Results:

The average age-standardised incidence rates during 1987–2007 varied from 6.1 per 1 000 000 person-years (95% confidence interval (CI), 5.4–6.7) among Finnish men to 11.6 (95% CI, 10.4–12.7) in Danish men, and from 6.4 per 1 000 000 person-years (95% CI, 5.7–7.0) among Swedish women to 11.6 (95% CI, 10.5–12.8) among Danish women. An overall annual increase of 3.0% (95% CI 2.1–3.9) was observed when all countries and both sexes were combined, with considerable differences between countries. However, the practices of both reporting and coding VS cases varied markedly between countries and over time, which poses a challenge for interpretation of the results.

Conclusion:

The overall incidence of VS increased in all the four Nordic countries combined between 1987 and 2007, with marked differences between countries. However, the incidence rates more or less stabilised in the late 1990s, showing relatively constant incidence rates and even some decline after 2000.     

A prospective study of lifetime physical activity and prostate cancer incidence and mortality

Background:

The possible benefit of lifetime physical activity (PA) in reducing prostate cancer incidence and mortality is unclear.

Methods:

A prospective cohort of 45 887 men aged 45–79 years was followed up from January 1998 to December 2007 for prostate cancer incidence (n=2735) and to December 2006 for its subtypes and for fatal (n=190) prostate cancer.

Results:

We observed an inverse association between lifetime (average of age 30 and 50 years, and baseline age) total PA levels and prostate cancer risk. Multivariate-adjusted incidence in the top quartile of lifetime total PA decreased by 16% (95% confidence interval (CI)=2–27%) compared with that in the bottom quartile. We also observed an inverse association between average lifetime work or occupational activity and walking or bicycling duration and prostate cancer risk. Compared with men who mostly sit during their main work or occupation, men who sit half of the time experienced a 20% lower risk (95% CI=7–31%). The rate ratio linearly decreased by 7% (95% CI=1–12%) for total, 8% (95% CI=0–16%) for localised and 12% (95% CI=2–20%) for advanced prostate cancer for every 30 min per day increment of lifetime walking or bicycling in the range of 30 to 120 min per day.

Conclusions:

Our results suggest that not sitting for most of the time during work or occupational activity and walking or bicycling more than 30 min per day during adult life is associated with reduced incidence of prostate cancer.     

Sorafenib and dacarbazine as first-line therapy for advanced melanoma: phase I and open-label phase II studies

Method:

The safety of oral sorafenib up to a maximum protocol-specified dose combined with dacarbazine in patients with metastatic, histologically confirmed melanoma was investigated in a phase I dose-escalation study and the activity of the combination was explored in an open-label phase II study.

Results:

In the phase I study, three patients were treated with sorafenib 200 mg twice daily (b.i.d.) plus 1000 mg m⁻² dacarbazine on day 1 of a 21-day cycle and 15 patients had the sorafenib dose escalated to 400 mg b.i.d. without reaching the maximum tolerated dose of the combination. In the phase II study (n=83), the overall response rate was 12% (95% CI: 6, 21): one complete and nine partial, with median response duration of 46.7 weeks. Stable disease was the best response in 37% median duration was 13.3 weeks. Median overall survival (OS) was 37.0 weeks (95% CI: 33.9, 46.0).

Conclusion:

Oral sorafenib combined with dacarbazine had acceptable toxicity and some antineoplastic activity against metastatic melanoma.     

Gemcitabine, oxaliplatin and 5-FU in advanced bile duct and gallbladder carcinoma: two parallel, multicentre phase-II trials

Background:

Gemcitabine, oxaliplatin and 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) are active in biliary tract cancer and have a potentially synergistic mode of action and non-overlapping toxicity. The objective of these trials was to determine response, survival and toxicity separately in patients with bile duct cancer (BDC) and gallbladder cancer (GBC) treated with gemcitabine/oxaliplatin/5-FU chemotherapy.

Methods:

Eligible patients with histologically proven, advanced or metastatic BDC (n=37) or GBC (n=35) were treated with gemcitabine (900 mg m⁻² over 30 min), oxaliplatin (65 mg m⁻²) and 5-FU (1500 mg m⁻² over 24 h) on days 1 and 8 of a 21-day cycle. Tumour response was the primary outcome measure.

Results:

Response rates were 19% (95% CI: 6–32%) and 23% (95% CI: 9–37%) for BDC and GBC, respectively. Median survivals were 10.0 months (95% CI: 8.6–12.4) and 9.9 months (95% CI: 7.5–12.2) for BDC and GBC, respectively, and 1- and 2-year survival rates were 40 and 23% in BDC and 34 and 6% in GBC (intention-to-treat analysis). Major grade III and IV adverse events were neutropenia, thrombocytopenia, elevated bilirubin and anorexia.

Conclusion:

Triple-drug chemotherapy achieves comparable results for response and survival to previously reported regimens, but with more toxicity.     

Differential trends in the rising incidence of endometrial cancer by type: data from a UK population-based registry from 1994 to 2006

Background:

Endometrial cancer is the most common gynaecological cancer in the western world, the incidence increasing in the United Kingdom by over 40% since 1993. Two types of endometrial cancer exist – oestrogen-dependent type 1 with good prognosis and non-oestrogen-dependent type 2 with poor prognosis. The histopathological distribution of the increase in endometrial cancer is unknown. This study investigates the observed incidence trends of the two types, the age, stage, and socioeconomic distribution of this increase and survival outcome.

Methods:

Data were analysed from 6867 women with endometrial cancer registered between 1994 and 2006, at a UK population-based cancer registry.

Results:

Increased endometrial cancer incidence is confined to type 1 cancers with a significant increase in age standardised incidence rate (ASR) from 12.0 per 100 000 (confidence interval (CI) 10.7–13.2) in 1994 to 16.3 per 100 000 (CI 14.9–17.7), P<0.001 in 2006, while ASR of type 2 cancer changed from 2.5 per 100 000 (CI 2.0–3.1) in 1994 to 2.2 per 100 000 (CI 1.7–2.7) in 2006, which was not statistically significant P>0.05. Increase in type 1 cancer is most marked in age groups 60–69 years (P<0.001) and 70–79 years (P<0.001) and distributed equally among socioeconomic quintiles. While outcome for type 1 cancer has improved, 1-year survival in type 2 cancer is unchanged from 73.1% in 1994 to 74.3%, P=0.089 and 5-year survival decreased from 55.1% to 40.9%, P=0.001.

Conclusion:

Increased incidence in endometrial cancer is confined to type 1 cancers, seen most in the 60–79 age groups and across all socioeconomic quintiles. Survival in type 2 cancer has decreased significantly. Urgent research is needed to investigate prevention strategies in type 1 and improve therapy in type 2 cancers.     

Central nervous system failure in melanoma patients: results of a randomised, multicentre phase 3 study of temozolomide- and dacarbazine- based regimens

Background:

This study compared the central nervous system (CNS) metastasis incidence between a temozolomide- and a dacarbazine-based regimen in untreated stage IV melanoma patients.

Methods:

A total of 150 patients were randomly assigned to receive either oral temozolomide (200 mg m⁻² per day; days 1–5) or intravenous dacarbazine (800 mg m⁻²; day 1), in combination with intravenous cisplatin (75 mg m⁻²; day 1) and subcutaneous interleukin-2 (3 MU twice daily; days 9–18), every 28 days (CTI and CDI).

Results:

A total of 149 patients were eligible for an intention-to-treat analysis (CTI: n=74, CDI: n=75). The 1-year cumulative CNS incidence failure was 20.6% for CTI and 31.1% for CDI (P=0.22). In all 24 patients in CTI (32%) and 34 (45%) in CDI developed CNS metastases; 31 patients died of early systemic progression, before CNS evaluation. Median survival time was 8.4 months in the CTI and 8.7 in the CDI arm; in patients with CNS metastases the median survival time was 13.5 months in the CTI and 11.5 in the CDI arm. No difference in toxicity was observed between the two arms.

Conclusion:

The incidence of CNS failures in metastatic melanoma was not significantly reduced and the clinical course was not modified substituting a dacarbazine-based regimen with a temozolomide–based regimen. Patients who developed CNS metastases did not have a worse prognosis than patients progressing in other sites and should not be excluded from new investigational studies.     

Cancer incidence in the United Kingdom: projections to the year 2030

Background:

Projections of cancer incidence are important for planning health services and to provide a baseline for assessing the impact of public health interventions.

Methods:

Rates estimated from smooth function age–period–cohort modelling of cancer incidence data from Great Britain 1975 to 2007 are extrapolated to 2030 and applied to UK population projections. Prostate and breast cancer projections take into account the effect of screening.

Results:

Overall rates of cancer are projected to be stable over the next 20 years, but this masks individual changes. In both sexes, age-standardised rates of cancers of the stomach, larynx, bladder and leukaemia are projected to fall by ⩾1% per year, whereas cancers of the lip, mouth and pharynx (ICD-10 C00-C14) and melanoma are projected to increase by ⩾1% per year. The growing and aging populations will have a substantial impact: numbers of cancers in men and women are projected to increase by 55% (from 149 169 to 231 026) and 35% (from 148 716 to 200 929), respectively, between 2007 and 2030. The model used yields similar results to those of Nordpred, but is more flexible.

Conclusion:

Without new initiatives for smoking and obesity reduction, the number of cancers in the United Kingdom will increase substantially reflecting the growing and aging populations.     

Phase II trial of sagopilone, a novel epothilone analog in metastatic melanoma

Background:

Sagopilone is a novel fully synthetic epothilone with promising preclinical activity and a favourable toxicity profile in phase I testing.

Methods:

A phase II pharmacokinetic and efficacy trial was conducted in patients with metastatic melanoma. Patients had measurable disease, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status 0–2, adequate haematological, and organ function, with up to 2 previous chemotherapy and any previous immunotherapy regimens. Sagopilone, 16 mg m⁻², was administered intravenously over 3 h every 21 days until progression or unacceptable toxicity.

Results:

Thirty-five patients were treated. Sagopilone showed multi-exponential kinetics with a mean terminal half-life of 64 h and a volume of distribution of 4361 l m⁻² indicating extensive tissue/tubulin binding. Only grade 2 or lower toxicity was observed: these included sensory neuropathy (66%), leukopenia (46%), fatigue (34%), and neutropenia (31%). The objective response rate was 11.4% (one confirmed complete response, two confirmed partial responses, and one unconfirmed partial response). Stable disease for at least 12 weeks was seen in an additional eight patients (clinical benefit rate 36.4%).

Conclusion:

Sagopilone was well tolerated with mild haematological toxicity and sensory neuropathy. Unlike other epothilones, it shows activity against melanoma even in pretreated patients. Further clinical testing is warranted.     

Cetuximab plus oxaliplatin/leucovorin/5-fluorouracil in first-line metastatic gastric cancer: a phase II study of the Arbeitsgemeinschaft Internistische Onkologie (AIO)

Background:

Cetuximab enhances the efficacy of chemotherapy in several cancer types. This trial assessed the activity of cetuximab and chemotherapy in advanced gastric cancer.

Methods:

Patients with previously untreated, metastatic, gastric cancer received cetuximab 400 mg m⁻² at first infusion followed by weekly infusions of 250 mg m⁻² combined with FUFOX (oxaliplatin 50 mg m⁻², 5-FU 2000 mg m⁻², and DL-folinic acid 200 mg m⁻² d1, 8, 15 and 22 qd36). The primary endpoint was tumour response.

Results:

Overall, 52 patients were enrolled. The most common grade 3/4 toxicities were diarrhoea (33%), and skin toxicity (24%). Efficacy was evaluable in 46 patients who showed a response rate of 65% (CI 95%: 50–79%) including four complete responses. Time to progression (TTP) was 7.6 months (CI 95%: 5.0–10.1 months) and overall survival (OS) was 9.5 months (CI 95%: 7.9–11.1 months). Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) was detectable in 60% of tumours but showed no correlation with treatment outcome. A KRAS mutation was found in only 1 of 32 (3%) tumour samples analysed.

Conclusion:

Cetuximab plus FUFOX showed an interesting high response rate in metastatic gastric cancer. Cetuximab plus platinum–fluoropyrimidine chemotherapy is at present being investigated in a phase III randomised controlled trial.     

Second cancer incidence and cancer mortality among chronic lymphocytic leukaemia patients: a population-based study

Background:

Patients with chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (CLL) are known to have increased risks of second cancer. The incidence of second cancers after CLL has not been reported in detail for Australia, a country with particularly high levels of ultraviolet radiation (UVR).

Methods:

The study cohort comprised of all people diagnosed with a primary CLL between 1983 and 2005 in Australia. Standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) and standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated using Australian population rates.

Results:

Overall, the risk of any second incident cancer was more than double that of the general population (SIR=2.17, 95% confidence interval (CI)=2.07, 2.27) and remained elevated for at least 9 years after CLL. Risks were increased for many cancers, particularly melanoma (SIR=7.74, 95% CI=6.85, 8.72). The risk of melanoma increased at younger ages, but was constant across >9 years of follow-up. Chronic lymphocytic leukaemia patients also had an increased risk of death because of melanoma (SMR=4.79, 95% CI=3.83, 5.90) and non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC; SMR=17.0, 95% CI=14.4, 19.8), suggesting that these skin cancers may be more aggressive in CLL patients.

Conclusion:

We speculate that a shared risk factor, such as general immune suppression, modulated by UVR exposure may explain the increased risk of melanoma and NMSC in CLL patients.     

Phase I clinical trial of the Src inhibitor dasatinib with dacarbazine in metastatic melanoma

Background:

Src inhibitors sensitise melanoma cells to chemotherapy in preclinical models. The combination of dasatinib and dacarbazine was tested in a phase I trial in melanoma.

Methods:

Patients had ECOG performance status 0–2 and normal organ function. Dacarbazine was administered on day 1 and dasatinib on day 2 through 19 of each 21-day cycle. Both were escalated from 50 mg b.i.d. of dasatinib and 800 mg m⁻² of dacarbazine. Available pre-treatment biopsies were sequenced for BRAF, NRAS, and C-Kit mutations.

Results:

Dose-limiting toxicity was reached at dasatinib 70 mg b.i.d./dacarbazine 1000 mg m⁻², and was predominantly haematological. In 29 patients receiving dasatinib 70 mg b.i.d., the objective response rate (ORR) was 13.8%, the clinical benefit rate (ORR+SD) was 72.4%, the 6-month progression-free survival (PFS) was 20.7%, and the 12-month overall survival (OS) was 34.5%. Two out of three patients who were wild type for BRAF, NRAS, and c-KIT mutations had confirmed partial responses, and one had a minor response.

Conclusion:

The recommended phase II dose is dasatinib70 mg b.i.d with dacarbazine 800 mg m⁻². PFS and OS data for dasatinib at 70 mg b.i.d. with dacarbazine compared favourably with historical controls. Preliminary data support evaluating tumour mutation status further as a biomarker of response.     

Bevacizumab in combination with biweekly capecitabine and irinotecan, as first-line treatment for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer

Background:

Combination of capecitabine and irinotecan (XELIRI regimen) is an active and well tolerated treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of this regimen in combination with bevacizumab (BV), as first-line treatment for mCRC.

Patients and methods:

A total of 46 consecutive patients received a combination of BV (5 mg kg⁻¹, day 1), irinotecan (175 mg m⁻², day 1) and capecitabine (1000 mg m⁻² twice daily on day 2–8), every 2 weeks. Patients were treated until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity. The primary objective was to determine the progression-free survival (PFS) and safety profile.

Results:

The overall response rate (ORR) was 67.4%, with a disease control rate (ORR+stable disease) of 93.5%. Median PFS and overall survival (OS) were 12.3 months (95% confidence interval (CI): 6.5–18.1 months) and 23.7 months (95% CI: 16.7–30.6 months), respectively. The most frequent grade 3/4 treatment-related adverse events were asthenia (7%), diarrhoea (7%), nausea (9%) and vomiting (7%).

Conclusion:

Bevacizumab combined with biweekly XELIRI is a highly active first-line regimen for mCRC treatment, showing encouraging PFS, ORR and OS with a good tolerability.     

Dietary cadmium exposure and prostate cancer incidence: a population-based prospective cohort study

Background:

Experimental data convincingly propose the toxic metal cadmium as a prostate carcinogen. Cadmium is widely dispersed into the environment and, consequently, food is contaminated.

Methods:

A population-based cohort of 41 089 Swedish men aged 45–79 years was followed prospectively from 1998 through 2009 to assess the association between food frequency questionnaire-based estimates of dietary cadmium exposure (at baseline, 1998) and incidence of prostate cancer (3085 cases, of which 894 were localised and 794 advanced) and through 2008 for prostate cancer mortality (326 fatal cases).

Results:

Mean dietary cadmium exposure was 19 μg per day±s.d. 3.7. Multivariable-adjusted dietary cadmium exposure was positively associated with overall prostate cancer, comparing extreme tertiles; rate ratio (RR) 1.13 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03–1.24). For subtypes of prostate cancer, the RR was 1.29 (95% CI: 1.08–1.53) for localised, 1.05 (95% CI: 0.87–1.25) for advanced, and 1.14 (95% CI: 0.86–1.51) for fatal cases. No statistically significant difference was observed in the multivariable-adjusted risk estimates between tumour subtypes (P_{heterogeneity}=0.27). For localised prostate cancer, RR was 1.55 (1.16–2.08) among men with a small waist circumference and RR 1.45 (1.15, 1.83) among ever smokers.

Conclusion:

Our findings provide support that dietary cadmium exposure may have a role in prostate cancer development.     

50 years of screening in the Nordic countries: quantifying the effects on cervical cancer incidence

Background:

Nordic countries'' data offer a unique possibility to evaluate the long-term benefit of cervical cancer screening in a context of increasing risk of human papillomavirus infection.

Methods:

Ad hoc-refined age-period-cohort models were applied to the last 50-year incidence data from Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden to project expected cervical cancer cases in a no-screening scenario.

Results:

In the absence of screening, projected incidence rates for 2006–2010 in Nordic countries would have been between 3 and 5 times higher than observed rates. Over 60 000 cases or between 41 and 49% of the expected cases of cervical cancer may have been prevented by the introduction of screening in the late 1960 s and early 1970 s.

Conclusions:

Our study suggests that screening programmes might have prevented a HPV-driven epidemic of cervical cancer in Nordic countries. According to extrapolations from cohort effects, cervical cancer incidence rates in the Nordic countries would have been otherwise comparable to the highest incidence rates currently detected in low-income countries.     

Phase II study of cetuximab in combination with cisplatin and docetaxel in patients with untreated advanced gastric or gastro-oesophageal junction adenocarcinoma (DOCETUX study)

Background:

The conventional treatment options for advanced gastric patients remain unsatisfactory in terms of response rate, response duration, toxicity, and overall survival benefit. The purpose of this phase II study was to evaluate the activity and safety of cetuximab combined with cisplatin and docetaxel as a first-line treatment for advanced gastric or gastro-oesophageal junction adenocarcinoma.

Methods:

Untreated patients with histologically confirmed advanced gastric or gastro-oesophageal adenocarcinoma received cetuximab at an initial dose of 400 mg m⁻² i.v. followed by weekly doses of 250 mg m⁻², cisplatin 75 mg m⁻² i.v. on day 1, docetaxel 75 mg m⁻² i.v. on day 1, every 3 weeks, for a maximum of 6 cycles, and then cetuximab maintenance treatment was allowed in patients with a complete response, partial response, or stable disease.

Results:

Seventy-two patients (stomach 81.9% and gastro-oesophageal junction 18.1%; locally advanced disease 4.2%; and metastatic disease 95.8%) were enrolled. The ORR was 41.2% (95% CI, 29.5–52.9). Median time to progression was 5 months (95% CI, 3.7–5.4). Median survival time was 9 months (95% CI, 7–11). The most frequent grades 3–4 toxicity was neutropenia (44.4%). No toxic death was observed.

Conclusions:

The addition of cetuximab to the cisplatin/docetaxel regimen improved the ORR of the cisplatin/docetaxel doublet in the first-line treatment of advanced gastric and gastro-oesophageal junction adenocarcinoma, but this combination did not improve the TTP and OS. The toxicity of cisplatin/docetaxel chemotherapy was not affected by the addition of cetuximab.     

Effects of annual vs triennial mammography interval on breast cancer incidence and mortality in ages 40-49 in Finland

Background:

The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of mammography screening invitation interval on breast cancer mortality in women aged 40–49 years.

Methods:

Since 1987 in Turku, Finland, women aged 40–49 years and born in even calendar years were invited for mammography screening annually and those born in odd years triennially. The female cohorts born during 1945–1955 were followed for up to 10 years for incident breast cancers and thereafter for an additional 3 years for mortality.

Results:

Among 14 765 women free of breast cancer at age 40, there were 207 incident primary invasive breast cancers diagnosed before the age of 50. Of these, 36 women died of breast cancer. The mean follow-up time for cancer incidence was 9.8 years and for mortality 12.8 years. The incidence of breast cancer was similar in the annual and triennial invitation groups (RR: 0.98, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.75–1.29). Further, there were no significant differences in overall mortality (RR: 1.20, 95% CI: 0.99–1.46) or in incidence-based breast cancer mortality (RR: 1.14, 95% CI: 0.59–1.27) between the annual and triennial invitation groups.

Conclusions:

There were no differences in the incidence of breast cancer or incidence-based breast cancer mortality between the women who were invited for screening annually or triennially.