The relation of C-reactive protein levels to total and cardiovascular mortality in older U.S. women

PURPOSE: To determine whether serum C-reactive protein levels, a sensitive indicator of inflammation, are associated with the risk of cardiovascular mortality among older women. METHODS: We conducted a case-cohort study within the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures, a population-based study involving 9,704 women aged > or = 65 years from four U.S. centers. We randomly selected 400 women from the entire cohort plus an additional random sample of 92 women from the 1,125 women in the cohort who had died during the first 6 years of follow-up. Baseline serum C-reactive protein levels were measured using a high-sensitivity immunoassay. Cause-specific mortality was ascertained by review of death certificates and hospitalization records. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to determine the association between C-reactive protein levels and cardiovascular mortality. RESULTS: During 6 years of follow-up, 150 of the 492 women died, including 52 who died of cardiovascular disease. After adjusting for potential confounders, women with C-reactive protein levels in the highest quartile (>3.0 mg/L) had a 8.0-fold (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.2 to 29) greater risk of cardiovascular mortality than those in the lowest quartile (< or = 1.0 mg/L). The association remained strong in women who did not smoke or take estrogen, and when early deaths were excluded. Women who smoked and whose C-reactive protein levels were above the first quartile had a very high risk of cardiovascular mortality (relative risk [RR] = 13; 95% CI: 3.4 to 47). C-reactive protein levels were not associated with noncardiovascular mortality (RR = 0.92; 95% CI: 0.4 to 2.1). CONCLUSION: C-reactive protein level was an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality in older women.     

Association of ankle-brachial index and plaques in the carotid and femoral arteries with cardiovascular events and total mortality in a population-based study with 13 years of follow-up.

AIMS: Peripheral arterial occlusive disease is associated with a high risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. We prospectively examined the association of the ankle-brachial index (ABI) and arterial plaques in carotid and femoral arteries with incident myocardial infarctions (MIs) and cardiovascular and total mortality in 1325 participants of the population-based MONICA Augsburg Survey 1989/90. METHODS AND RESULTS: At baseline, 6.1% of men and 2.6% of women had an ABI < or =0.9. At least one plaque in the carotid or femoral arteries was identified in 51.8% of men and 36.3% of women. During a 13-year follow-up, 58 persons (4.4%) suffered a MI before age 75 and 189 persons (14.3%) died, 86 (6.5%) of them from cardiovascular causes. Kaplan-Meier curves confirmed both measurements as strong predictors for all three endpoints (P<0.0001). Cox regression analysis revealed an increase of the risk for MI and cardiovascular and total mortality of 22 (P=0.012), 35, and 32% (P<0.00001), respectively, per 0.1 unit decrease in ABI. Correction for measurement error in ABI increased these estimates. The increase in risk for MI and cardiovascular and total mortality was 52, 70, and 45%, respectively, for each increase in the number of plaque-affected arteries (P<0.0001). CONCLUSION: Both ABI and number of plaque-affected arteries are strong predictors for incident MI and cardiovascular and total mortality.     

Coronary artery calcification and total mortality in elderly men

OBJECTIVES: To examine the relationship between coronary artery calcification (CAC) and mortality in a sample of elderly men.
DESIGN: Prospective cohort study.
SETTING: The Honolulu Heart Program.
PARTICIPANTS: A population-based sample of 224 men aged 84 to 96 with good cognitive function.
METHODS: From 2004 to 2005, subjects received physical examinations including CAC determinations. Participants were followed for up to 3 years for all-cause mortality.
RESULTS: In the course of follow-up, there were 17 deaths (28.0/1,000 person-years). Risk of death rose consistently and significantly as CAC scores increased ( P =.001). For CAC scores less than 10, no deaths were observed. For scores of 10 or higher, risk of death rose from 13.2 per 1,000 person-years for CAC scores of 10 to 100 to 48.6 per 1,000 person-years for CAC scores greater than 1,000. Findings persisted after adjusting for age and traditional risk factors. In this sample of elderly men, CAC was the only factor with a significant relationship with total mortality.
CONCLUSION: Higher CAC scores in elderly men are associated with greater risk of death. Screening for CAC could be important for developing strategies to improve longevity in elderly people, particularly at an age when associations between mortality and traditional risk factors are weak.     

Hyperkyphotic posture predicts mortality in older community-dwelling men and women: a prospective study

OBJECTIVES: To determine the association between hyperkyphotic posture and rate of mortality and cause-specific mortality in older persons. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Rancho Bernardo, California. PARTICIPANTS: Subjects were 1,353 participants from the Rancho Bernardo Study who had measurements of kyphotic posture made at an osteoporosis visit between 1988 and 1991. MEASURES: Kyphotic posture was measured as the number of 1.7-cm blocks that needed to be placed under the participant's head to achieve a neutral head position when lying supine on a radiology table. Demographic and clinical characteristics and health behaviors were assessed at a clinic visit using standard questionnaires. Participants were followed for an average of 4.2 years, with mortality and cause of death confirmed using review of death certificates. RESULTS: Hyperkyphotic posture, defined as requiring one or more blocks under the occiput to achieve a neutral head position while lying supine, was more common in men than women (44% in men, 22% of women, P<.0001). In age- and sex-adjusted analyses, persons with hyperkyphotic posture had a 1.44 greater rate of mortality (95% confidence interval (CI)=1.12-1.86, P=.005). In multiply adjusted models, the increased rate of death associated with hyperkyphotic posture remained significant (relative hazard=1.40, 95% CI=1.08-1.81, P=.012). In cause-specific mortality analyses, hyperkyphotic posture was specifically associated with an increased rate of death due to atherosclerosis. CONCLUSION: Older men and women with hyperkyphotic posture have higher mortality rates.     

Association of dietary calcium with mortality from all causes,cardiovascular disease and cancer in people with hypertension

Association between calcium intake and premature mortality in the general population has been well studied, but little is known about the association among specific populations. The authors aim to evaluate the association among people with hypertension and to provide a proper reference range of dietary calcium intake. This prospective cohort study included 8534 US adults with hypertension from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey cycles 2003–2014. Dietary calcium intakes were self-reported and mortality status was ascertained by National Death Index records. During a median follow-up of 5.9 years, 1357 death occurred. Compared with participants of dietary calcium intake in quintile 1, participants in quintiles 2 and 4 had a 27% (HR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.60–0.89) and a 29% lower risk (HR: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.57–0.88) of all-cause mortality respectively. The authors also observed a 34% lower risk (HR: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.45–0.97) of CVD death among participants in quintile 3 and a 37% lower risk (HR: 0.63, 95% CI: 0.40–0.99) of cancer-related death in participants in quintile 4 respectively. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression revealed a consistent protective effect of dietary calcium in participants with a daily intake of over 1000 mg, but a daily intake over 1200 mg fails to show further protective effect. Our findings suggest that elevated dietary calcium was associated with lower mortality risk from all-causes, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer, and supplying sufficient dietary calcium intake, between 1000 and 1200 mg per day, in people with hypertension may be considered cost-effective to decrease risk of premature death.     

Obesity as a risk factor for COVID-19 mortality in women and men in the UK biobank: Comparisons with influenza/pneumonia and coronary heart disease

Obesity is associated with severe COVID-19 outcomes, yet, it is unclear whether the risk of COVID-19 mortality associated with obesity is similar between the sexes. We used data from the UK Biobank to assess the risk of COVID-19 mortality associated with various anthropometric measures in women and men. To put these results in context, we also compared these estimates with those for mortality from influenza/pneumonia and coronary heart disease (CHD). The analyses included 502 493 individuals (54% women), of whom 410 (36% women) died from COVID-19, 549 (36% women) died from influenza/pneumonia and 3355 (19% women) died from CHD. A higher body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio and waist-to-height ratio were each associated with a greater risk of death from COVID-19, influenza/pneumonia and CHD in both sexes, with the exception of the association between higher BMI and the risk of influenza/pneumonia death in men. A higher BMI was associated with a stronger risk of COVID-19 mortality in women than men; the women-to-men ratio of hazard ratios was 1.20 (95% confidence interval 1.00; 1.43). This study demonstrates the role of obesity in COVID-19 mortality and shows that the relative effects of a higher BMI on COVID-19 mortality may be stronger in women than men.     

Functional tooth number and 15-year mortality in a cohort of community-residing older people

Background:   To study how dental status can become a predictor of overall mortality risk.
Methods:   Community residents ( n  = 5730) over 40 years old in the Miyako Islands, Okinawa Prefecture, Japan were followed up for 15 years, 1987–2002. Functional tooth numbers were examined by dentists and overall mortalities of subjects with functional tooth numbers of <10 and ≥10 were compared in the age groups 40–49, 50–59, 60–69, 70–79 and 80 years or more in both males and females.
Results:   Groups of 80 years or more showed a significantly higher rate of overall mortality in subjects with functional tooth numbers of less than 10 than 10 or more, and there was no significant difference in the other age groups.
Conclusion:   The present study suggests that systemic attention to dental status should be recommended in older males.     

Association between body mass index and mortality in an 80-year-old population

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the association between body mass index (BMI) and all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in an 80-year-old population. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: Community-based. PARTICIPANTS: Six hundred ninety-seven of 1,282 (54.4%) 80-year-old candidate individuals. MEASUREMENTS: The dates and causes of all deaths were followed up for 4 years. RESULTS: The relative hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality were lower in overweight subjects (BMI > or= 25.0) than in underweight (BMI<18.5) or normal-weight (BMI 18.5-24.9) subjects. Similarly, the HRs for mortality due to CVD in overweight subjects were 78% less (HR=0.22, 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.06-0.77) than those in underweight subjects, and those in normal weight subjects were 78% less (HR=0.22, 95% CI=0.08-0.60) than those in underweight subjects. Mortality due to CVD was 4.6 times (HR 4.64, 95% CI=1.68-12.80) as high in underweight subjects as in normal-weight subjects, and mortality due to cancers was 88% lower (HR=0.12, 95% CI=0.02-0.78) in the overweight group than in the underweight group. There were no differences in mortality due to pneumonia. CONCLUSION: Overweight status was associated with longevity and underweight with short life, due to lower and higher mortality, respectively, from CVD and cancer.     

Alcohol consumption and cardiovascular mortality accounting for possible misclassification of intake: 11-year follow-up of the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study

AIMS: To investigate the relationship between usual daily alcohol intake, beverage type and drinking frequency on cardiovascular (CVD) and coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality, accounting for systematic misclassification of intake. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study with mean follow-up of 11.4 years. Setting The Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study, Australia. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 38 200 volunteers (23 044 women) aged 40-69 years at baseline (1990-1994). MEASUREMENTS: Self-reported alcohol intake using beverage-specific quantity-frequency questions (usual intake) and drinking diary for previous week. FINDINGS: Compared with life-time abstention, usual daily alcohol intake was associated with lower CVD and CHD mortality risk for women but not men. For women, the hazard ratio [HR (95% CI)] for CVD for those drinking > 20 g/day alcohol was 0.43 (0.19-0.95; P trend = 0.18), and for CHD, 0.19 (0.05-0.82; P trend = 0.24). Male former drinkers had over twice the mortality risk for CVD [HR = 2.58 (1.51-4.41)] and CHD [HR = 2.91 (1.59-5.33)]. Wine was the only beverage associated inversely with mortality for women. Compared with drinkers who consumed no alcohol in the week before baseline, drinking frequency was associated inversely with CVD and CHD mortality risk for men but not women. HR for men drinking 6-7 days/week was 0.49 (0.29-0.81; P trend = 0.02) for CVD, and 0.49 (0.26-0.92: P trend = 0.23) for CHD. CONCLUSIONS: Usual daily alcohol intake was associated with reduced CVD and CHD mortality for women but not men. This benefit appeared to be mainly from wine, although comparison of beverages was not possible. Drinking frequency was associated inversely with CVD and CHD death for men but not women.     

No consistent association between birthweight and parental risk of diabetes and cardiovascular disease.

INTRODUCTION: The fetal insulin hypothesis proposes that the inverse relationship between birthweight and risk of diabetes and cardiovascular disease is partly as a result of inherited factors which influence the effect of insulin and insulin-like growth factors. It has been proposed that an inverse relationship between birthweight and parental risk of diabetes and cardiovascular disease is evidence in support of this hypothesis. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data from a prospective birth cohort study, followed up to age 50, was used to assess the relationship between birthweight and reported parental diabetes, hypertension, angina and stroke using logistic regression. RESULTS: Of the 832 cohort members traced at age 50, 574 (69%) returned questionnaires that included questions on parental illness. Complete data was available for 541 (94%) of these on maternal illness and for 531 (92%) on paternal illness. Birthweight, standardized for sex and gestational age and adjusted for social class at birth, was inversely associated with maternal stroke (odds ratio = 0.75, 95% confidence intervals 0.60-0.95). There were no other statistically significant associations between birthweight and risk of parental illness. DISCUSSION: We found little evidence of a consistent inverse relationship between birthweight and parental risk of diabetes or cardiovascular disease. This may be because of the quality of our data--which is limited by the problems of collecting robust data over two generations.     

Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and mortality in older people

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the role of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) as a predictor of mortality in elderly subjects. DESIGN: Population-based prospective cohort study. SETTING: Two communities in northern Italy. PARTICIPANTS: Three thousand one hundred twenty Caucasian subjects aged 65 and older recruited in for the Cardiovascular Study in the Elderly and followed up for 12 years. MEASUREMENTS: Anthropometric measures: fasting plasma total cholesterol, triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, LDL-C, glucose, creatinine, and body mass index. Clinical measures: medical assessment, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, stroke, coronary disease, heart failure, and smoking and drinking habits. Vital status measures: death certificates from the Registry Office and causes of death according to the International Classification of Diseases. After plotting mortality rates using quartiles of LDL-C, relative hazard rates (RHRs) were calculated using multivariate Cox regression analyses. When the trend was nonlinear, the RHRs were further calculated for the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles of the distribution to confirm curvilinearity. RESULTS: The distribution of risk of total mortality in women and of fatal heart failure in all subjects was curvilinear (non J-shaped), decreasing nonlinearly with LDL-C. For total mortality in men and cardiovascular mortality in both sexes, the relationship with LDL-C was J-shaped. The risk of fatal myocardial infarction was J-shaped in men, whereas it increased linearly with higher LDL-C in women. In both sexes, the association between stroke mortality and LDL-C was not significant. CONCLUSION: This study adds to the uncertainty of the role of elevated levels of LDL-C as a risk factor for mortality in old people.