Reliability of CD4 Quantitation in Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Positive Children: Implications for Definition of Immunologic Response to Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy

Our objective was to develop data-based algorithms for definition of immunologic response to AIDS therapies in pediatric patients, taking account of T-cell subset measurement errors. The study design involved cross-protocol analysis of 2,148 enrollees in six completed Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group trials. We used standard quantitation of T-cell subsets; linear modeling with mean-dependent measurement error variance was used to develop 95% tolerance limits for change in CD4%. For individuals with a CD4% of approximately 25%, the measurement error-based 95% tolerance interval ranges from 15% to 35%, whereas for individuals with a CD4% of approximately 5%, the tolerance interval ranges from 3% to 7%. When pairs of CD4% measures taken within a time interval of less than 30 days are averaged to estimate steady-state CD4%, tolerance interval width decreases by approximately 30%. A simple graphical tool that provides a data-based criterion for immunologic response over and above variation ascribable to T-cell measurement error is provided. Variability in CD4% due to measurement error is substantial, increases with level of CD4%, and complicates assessment of immunologic response to therapy. Replicates of CD4% measures could be used to improve precision of interpretation of CD4% measures.     

Surrogate markers for disease progression in treated HIV infection.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize the relationships among highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), HIV-1 RNA levels, immune system markers, and clinical outcome in a cohort of HIV-1-infected homosexual men. PATIENTS: A total of 123 men enrolled in the Amsterdam cohort study of HIV-1 infection and AIDS with a documented seroconversion for HIV-1 antibodies and known date of seroconversion were included in this study. METHODS: CD4 + /CD8 + T-cell counts and HIV-1 RNA levels in plasma were measured approximately every 6 months. Dates of starting and stopping antiretroviral therapy were also recorded. The relationship between HIV-1 RNA in plasma, CD4 + /CD8 + T-cell counts and HAART and their influence on clinical outcome were examined using a graphical chain modeling approach. Generalized estimating equations were used to examine correlations among the three disease markers. Hazards models with time-dependent covariates were used to examine the influence of HAART and the disease markers on progression to AIDS. RESULTS: HAART was significantly associated with reduced disease progression (relative hazard [RH] of AIDS, 0.20;, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.05-0.85). The most recent HIV-1 RNA measurement and CD4 + T-cell count are independently associated with disease progression (adjusted RH for HIV-1 RNA 1.8 per log 10 increase; 95% CI, 1.2-2.6, p =.002; adjusted RH for CD4 + 0.48 per 100 x 10(6)/L increase; 95% CI, 0.40-0.58; p <.001). Depending on these measurements, HAART was no longer significantly associated with AIDS (adjusted RH, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.18-3.6; p =.78). CONCLUSIONS: HIV-1 RNA levels in plasma and CD4 + T-cell counts are currently considered as effective surrogate markers for the effect of HAART on disease progression in this cohort.     

The role of suppressor T cells in regulation of immune responses

Suppressor T cells play important roles in the regulation of immune responses and the mediation of dominant immunologic tolerance. Studies of suppressor T-cell function have been hampered until their recent identification as a minor fraction (approximately 10%) of CD4 ( +) T cells that coexpress CD25. CD4(+)CD25(+ ) T cells have been shown to play a critical role in the prevention of organ- specific autoimmunity and allograft rejection. Because tumor antigens are self- antigens, it is not surprising that CD4(+)CD25(+) T cells also inhibit the induction of tumor immunity. The spectrum of activity of CD4(+ ) CD25(+) cells extends to non-self-antigens, including infectious agents. Indeed, T cell-mediated suppression might be responsible for the low level of chronic infection seen with many pathogens. Interestingly, however, this persistent level of infection might be beneficial to the host and needed for maintenance of immunologic memory. Although CD4(+ ) CD25(+) T cells are capable of inhibiting T(H)2 responses, their role in the suppression of allergic responses has not been firmly established. Depending on the desired immune response, enhancement or restraint of suppressor T-cell function might be required. Therefore immunologic or pharmacologic manipulation of regulatory T-cell populations represents an important future approach to immunotherapy of a wide range of immune responses.     

Increased CD4+ T-lymphocyte senescence fraction in advanced human immunodeficiency virus type 1 infection

Human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection is accompanied by peripheral CD4+ T-cell losses. CD4+ T-cell numbers often increase during antiviral treatment of acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS), however, alterations in the CD4+ T-cell repertoire have not been completely corrected for these patients. Such individuals remain at increased risk of infection. Although senescence of the CD4+ T cells has not been adequately evaluated for advanced HIV-1 infection, hypothetically, replicative senescence could complicate therapeutic reconstitution of the CD4+ T cells in AIDS. In this study, correlates of replicative senescence, terminal restriction fragment (TRF) length and percentage short (< 5.0 kb) telomeric DNA (senescence fraction), were measured for the CD4+ T cells of HIV-1-infected patients with peripheral CD4+ T-cell counts of < 200/mm3. The results show that for advanced HIV-1 infection the TRF length of the CD4+ T cells is decreased (P < 0.01), and the senescence fraction increased (P < 0.05), when compared with uninfected controls. These findings suggest that cellular senescence may contribute to disruption of CD4+ T-cell diversity observed following the therapeutic, immunologic reconstitution of AIDS.     

Long-term CD4+ T-cell response to highly active antiretroviral therapy according to baseline CD4+ T-cell count

Current treatment guidelines for HIV infection recommend a relatively late initiation of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). Nevertheless, there is still a concern that immune recovery may not be as complete once CD4+ T cells have decreased below a certain threshold. This study addressed the long-term response of CD4+ T-cell counts in patients on HAART and analyzed the influence of baseline CD4+ T-cell counts, baseline viral load, and age. An observational analysis of evolution of CD4+ T cells in 861 antiretroviral therapy-naive chronic HIV-1-infected patients who started treatment consisting of at least 3 drugs in or after 1996 was performed. Patients were classified in 4 groups according to baseline CD4+ T cells: <200 cells/mm3, 200-349 cells/mm3, 350-499 cells/mm3, and >or=500 cells/mm3. The main outcome measures were proportion of patients with CD4+ T cells <200/mm3 and >500/mm3 at last determination and rate of CD4+ T-cell recovery. Patients were followed-up for a median of 173 weeks (interquartile range [IQR], 100-234). There were no differences in follow-up between the 4 groups. CD4+ T cells increased in the whole cohort from a median of 214 cells/mm3 (IQR, 90-355) to 499 cells/mm3 (IQR, 312-733) (P<0.001). Compared with the group with a baseline CD4+ T-cell count of >or=500/mm3, the relative risk of having a last determination of CD4+ T-cell counts >200 cells/mm3 was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.75-0.83), 0.92 (95% CI, 0.89-0.96) and 1 for baseline CD4+ T cells <200 cells/mm3, 200-349 cells/mm3, and 350-499 cells/mm3, respectively. The relative risk of having a last determination of CD4+ T-cell counts >500 cells/mm3 was 0.32 (95% CI, 0.27-0.39, P<0.001), 0.69 (95% CI, 0.60-0.79, P<0.001), and 0.94 (95% CI, 0.83-1.06, P=0.38) for baseline CD4+ T-cell counts <200 cells/mm3, 200-349 cells/mm3, and 350-0499 cells/mm3, respectively, compared with a baseline CD4+ T-cell count of >or=500 cells/mm3. The increase in CD4+ T cells from baseline was statistically significant and was maintained for up to 4 years of follow-up. This increase seemed to slow down after approximately 3 years and reached a plateau after 4-5 years of follow-up even in patients who achieved and maintained viral suppression in plasma. Long-term immune recovery is possible regardless of baseline CD4+ T-cell count. However, patients who start therapy with a CD4+ T-cell count <200 cells/mm3 have poorer immunologic outcome as measured by the proportion of patients with CD4+ T cells <200/mm3 or >500/mm3 at last determination. It seems that the immune recovery slows down after approximately 3 years of HAART and reaches a plateau after 4-5 years of HAART.     

The relationship of CCR5 antagonists to CD4+ T-cell gain: a meta-regression of recent clinical trials in treatment-experienced HIV-infected patients

Purpose: Lower CD4+ T-cell counts are related to increased morbidity and mortality despite virologic suppression. CCR5 antagonists are associated with robust CD4+ T-cell responses. We examined the relationship of CCR5 antagonists to CD4+ T-cell gains. Design: Meta-regression of recent phase 2-3 trials evaluating new antiretroviral agents in treatment-experienced subjects. Methods: We analyzed the relationship of CCR5 antagonists to CD4+ T-cell count increase 24 weeks after initiating the new regimen using a linear model with generalized estimating equations controlling for differing rates of virologic suppression. Each treatment group was treated as a data point weighted by sample size. Results: We included 46 treatment groups from 17 trials (11 groups from 5 trials used CCR5 antagonists). Controlling for average baseline HIV-1 RNA and proportion of subjects achieving HIV-1 RNA <50 copies/mL, use of a CCR5 antagonist was associated with an additional significant CD4+ T-cell gain of +30/μL (95% CI, 19-42) at 24 weeks compared to treatment groups not using a CCR5 antagonist. Conclusions: Use of a CCR5 antagonist was associated with an enhanced CD4+ T-cell count response independent of virologic suppression. This observation supports further evaluation of CCR5 antagonists in patients with discordant immunologic and virologic responses to ART.     

A reliable and inexpensive EasyCD4 assay for monitoring HIV-infected individuals in resource-limited settings

Serial measurements of absolute CD4+ T-lymphocyte counts are required to initiate and gauge response to therapy and monitor disease progression. Hence, there is an urgent need to evaluate the accuracy and validity of low-cost CD4+ T-cell count assays. Tripotassium EDTA blood specimens from HIV-infected individuals were studied using a novel flow cytometric assay (EasyCD4 assay; Guava Technologies, Hayward, CA) in comparison with standard flow cytometry (FACSCount; Becton Dickinson Immunocytometry Systems, San Jose, CA). The sensitivity, specificity value by EasyCD4 assay in enumerating absolute CD4+ T-cell counts of less than 200 cells/microL were 95% and 100%, respectively. Bland-Altman analysis showed close agreement, with the EasyCD4 assay yielding CD4+ T-cell counts a mean difference of -26 cells/microL (95% confidence interval, -96 to 44 cells/microL) higher than by flow cytometry. Our data suggest that EasyCD4 assay could be a useful alternative assay to conventional flow cytometry, may be appropriate for use in resource-limited settings.     

Response to highly active antiretroviral therapy at 6 months and long-term disease progression in HIV-1 infection

OBJECTIVE: To compare the long-term prognostic significance of different definitions of immunologic and virologic responses to highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) at 6 months. METHODS: This was a prospective study conducted in 68 French hospitals. HAART was initiated in 2236 protease inhibitor-naive patients included in the French Hospital Database on HIV. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models measuring time from 6 months after starting HAART were used to compare the strength of the association between different definitions of immunologic and virologic responses at 6 months and subsequent progression to AIDS or death. The Akaike's Information Criteria were used to identify the most appropriate model. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 58 months, 325 patients experienced an AIDS-defining event or died. The model that fitted best was the model in which the CD4 cell count and plasma HIV-1 RNA values attained at 6 months were considered. The risk of clinical progression at 5 years ranged from 7% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4-10) in patients whose CD4 cell count at 6 months was >or=350 cells/microL and whose HIV-1 RNA concentration was <3 log10 copies/mL to 63% (95% CI: 52-75) in patients whose CD4 cell count at 6 months was <100 cells/microL and whose HIV-1 RNA concentration was >or=5 log10. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma HIV-1 RNA concentration and CD4 cell count should be taken into account independently when evaluating early response to treatment. The persistent impact of early response on clinical progression at 5 years emphasizes the major importance of the success of first-line HAART.     

Effects of depression and selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor use on adherence to highly active antiretroviral therapy and on clinical outcomes in HIV-infected patients

OBJECTIVES: To determine the impact of depression on highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) adherence and clinical measures and investigate if selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) improve these measures. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. METHODS: In 2 large health maintenance organizations, we measured the effects of depression (with and without SSRI use) on adherence and changes in viral and immunologic control among HIV-infected patients starting a new HAART regimen. HAART adherence, HIV RNA levels, and changes in CD4 T-cell counts through 12 months were measured. RESULTS: A total of 3359 patients were evaluated; 42% had a depression diagnosis, and 15% used SSRIs during HAART. Depression without SSRI use was associated with significantly decreased odds of achieving > or =90% adherence to HAART (odds ratio [OR] = 0.81, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.70 to 0.98; P = 0.03). Depression was associated with significantly lower odds of an HIV RNA level <500 copies/mL (OR = 0.77, 95% CI: 0.62 to 0.95; P = 0.02). Depressed patients compliant with SSRI medication (>80% adherence to SSRI) had HAART adherence and viral control statistically similar to nondepressed HIV-infected patients taking HAART. Comparing depressed with nondepressed HIV-infected patients, CD4 T-cell responses were statistically similar; among depressed patients, those compliant with SSRI had statistically greater increases in CD4 cell responses. CONCLUSIONS: Depression significantly worsens HAART adherence and HIV viral control. Compliant SSRI use is associated with improved HIV adherence and laboratory parameters.     

The Relationship of CCR5 Antagonists to CD4+ T-Cell Gain: A Meta-Regression of Recent Clinical Trials in Treatment-Experienced HIV-Infected Patients

Abstract

Purpose: Lower CD4+ T-cell counts are related to increased morbidity and mortality despite virologic suppression. CCR5 antagonists are associated with robust CD4+ T-cell responses. We examined the relationship of CCR5 antagonists to CD4+ T-cell gains. Design: Meta-regression of recent phase 2–3 trials evaluating new antiretroviral agents in treatment-experienced subjects. Methods: We analyzed the relationship of CCR5 antagonists to CD4+ T-cell count increase 24 weeks after initiating the new regimen using a linear model with generalized estimating equations controlling for differing rates of virologic suppression. Each treatment group was treated as a data point weighted by sample size. Results: We included 46 treatment groups from 17 trials (11 groups from 5 trials used CCR5 antagonists). Controlling for average baseline HIV-1 RNA and proportion of subjects achieving HIV-1 RNA <50 copies/mL, use of a CCR5 antagonist was associated with an additional significant CD4+ T-cell gain of +30/μL (95% CI, 19–42) at 24 weeks compared to treatment groups not using a CCR5 antagonist. Conclusions: Use of a CCR5 antagonist was associated with an enhanced CD4+ T-cell count response independent of virologic suppression. This observation supports further evaluation of CCR5 antagonists in patients with discordant immunologic and virologic responses to ART.     

Clinical outcome of HIV-infected antiretroviral-naive patients with discordant immunologic and virologic responses to highly active antiretroviral therapy

BACKGROUND: The prognostic significance of a response to highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) that is immunologically and virologically discordant is not well understood. METHODS: Four hundred four antiretroviral-naive patients initiating HAART at an urban HIV outpatient clinic in 1995 to 2004 were analyzed. The association of treatment responses at 3 to 9 months after HAART initiation with time to development of an opportunistic infection (OI) or death was determined using Cox proportional hazards modeling. Logistic regression modeling was used to examine the association between discordant responses and patient characteristics. RESULTS: Of 404 patients, 70.5% experienced favorable concordant responses (CD4 cell count [CD4]+/viral load [VL]+: increase in CD4 count of >or=50 cells/microL and achievement of undetectable plasma HIV RNA level), 15.8% an immunologic response only (CD4+/VL(-)), 8.7% a virologic response only (CD4(-)/VL+), and 5.0% a concordant unfavorable response (CD4(-)/VL(-)). Both types of discordant responses (CD4+/VL(-) and CD4(-)/VL+), nonresponse (CD4(-)/VL(-)), and baseline CD4 cell count were significantly associated with earlier development of an OI or death (relative hazard [RH] = 2.81, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.31 to 3.97; RH = 4.83, 95% CI: 2.10 to 11.12; and RH = 0.93, 95% CI: 0.88 to 0.99, respectively). CD4+/VL(-) and CD4(-)/VL(-) were associated with nonwhite race in multivariate logistic regression models (adjusted OR = 2.83, 95% CI: 1.46 to 5.47 and adjusted OR = 6.50, 95% CI: 1.65 to 25.69, respectively). CONCLUSION: Discordant immunologic and virologic responses at 3 to 9 months after HAART initiation play important roles in predicting long-term clinical outcomes in treatment-naive patients.     

Phenotypic and functional analysis of T-cell recovery after anti-CD3 immunotoxin treatment for tolerance induction in rhesus macaques

T-cell reduction utilizing specific antibody has been widely used in human transplantation, and is a cornerstone of several tolerance induction strategies in nonhuman primates. We have established a population of long-term tolerant rhesus macaques induced with an anti-CD3epsilon immunotoxin (IT). This treatment effects transient, specific and profound ablation of T cells in blood and lymphoid tissues. In most instances the IT was used in combination with the NF-kappaB inhibitor, 15-Deoxyspergualin. This 2-week long protocol produces a "window of opportunity" for tolerization in which the animal exhibits an enduring quiescent state of unresponsiveness to the allograft, all accomplished without maintenance immunosuppressive drugs. During this induction period, the treated immune system bears some resemblance to that of the neonate, in that T cell numbers are abnormally low and antigen presentation by dendritic cells is precluded by an arrest in their NF-kappaB dependant maturation. In addition, IL-4 production is prominent during and after the tolerance induction interval. For this study we focused on measuring the monkey's ability to repopulate T cells with particular emphasis on the memory T-cell phenotype. Three "memory" phenotypes were utilized; CD3(+)CD45RO(+), CD3(+)CRTH2(+), and CD3(+)CD4(+)CD8(+). All three phenotypes exhibited different patterns of recovery, all of which included transient bursts in their numbers during repopulation. We also estimated thymic activity after T-cell ablation with the use of a newly-described RTE or recent thymic émigré phenotype (a na?ve CD8(+)CD103(+) T cell). This marker revealed production of RTE cells including supranormal levels at approximately 6 months post-transplant, implicating thymic function in the repopulation of T-cells. Finally, we measured antibody responses to a panel of antigens (vaccines, environmental antigen, and foreign proteins) that indicated there was no apparent loss of immunologic function during or after the tolerance induction period. Results of studies of T-cell receptor repertoire expression suggest preservation of the pretreatment repertoire, which is consistent with rapid recovery of immune competence to the test antigens. Taken together, these results suggest that while aggressive, this tolerance induction protocol does not appear to incur a prolonged immunologically-compromised state, if at all.     

Mechanisms preventing allergen-induced airways hyperreactivity: role of tolerance and immune deviation

BACKGROUND: Aeroallergens continuously enter the respiratory tract of atopic individuals and provoke the development of asthma characterized by airway hyperreactivity (AHR) and inflammation. By contrast, nonatopic individuals are exposed to the same aeroallergens, but airway inflammation does not develop. However, the mechanisms that prevent allergen-induced respiratory diseases in nonatopic subjects are poorly characterized. OBJECTIVE: In this study we compared the role of allergen-specific T-cell tolerance and immune deviation in conferring protection against the development of allergen-induced AHR. METHODS: We exposed mice to intranasal ovalbumin (OVA) to induce T-cell tolerance and examined its effects on the subsequent development of AHR and inflammation. RESULTS: We demonstrated that exposure of mice to intranasal OVA resulted in peripheral CD4(+) T-cell unresponsiveness that very efficiently prevented not only the development of AHR but also greatly inhibited airway inflammation and OVA-specific IgE production. The induction of peripheral T-cell tolerance and protection against AHR were not dependent on the presence of IFN-gamma or IL-4. The development of AHR was also prevented by an OVA-specific T(H)1-biased immune response induced by inhalation of OVA in the presence of IL-12. However, the OVA-specific T(H)1 response was associated with a significant degree of pulmonary inflammation. CONCLUSION: These results indicate that both allergen-specific T-cell tolerance and T(H)1-biased immune deviation prevent the development of AHR, but T(H)1 responses are associated with significantly greater inflammation in the lung than is associated with T-cell unresponsiveness. Therefore CD4(+) T-cell unresponsiveness critically regulates immune responses to aeroallergens and protects against the development of allergic disease and asthma.     

Usefulness of Route of Transmission, Absolute CD8+ T-Cell Counts, and Levels of Serum Tumor Necrosis Factor Alpha as Predictors of Survival of HIV-1-Infected Patients with Very Low CD4+ T-Cell Counts

 Potential cofactors of survival in HIV-1-infected patients with CD4+ T-cell counts of ≤100 cells/μl were investigated. All 132 patients with CD4+ T-cell counts of ≤100 cells/μl were selected from 416 patients included in an antiretroviral therapy cohort (1989–1999). Fifty of 54 deaths were due to AIDS. There were significant associations (P<0.05) between survival and CD8+ T-cell counts, clinical AIDS stage, risk group, and antiretroviral drug regimen after baseline, but only the use of protease inhibitors had an independent effect on survival (hazard ratio [HR], 0.096; 95% confidence interval [95%CI], 0.094–0.097). A substudy restricted to the cohort of 108 patients never exposed to PIs detected independent associations between survival and CD8+ T-cell counts (P=0.0016), experience with antiretroviral therapy before baseline (HR, 2.52; 95%CI, 1.31–4.82), sexual risk group for HIV infection (HR, 3.7; 95%CI, 1.92–7.12), and levels of serum tumor necrosis factor alpha (P=0.02). This study confirms that the use of PI-containing antiretroviral regimens strongly predicts survival of HIV-1-infected patients with very low CD4+ T-cell counts. When the study was restricted to patients never exposed to PIs, the parenteral route of disease transmission, high absolute CD8+ T-cell counts, and low serum levels of tumor necrosis factor alpha were independent predictors of survival in extremely advanced HIV-1 disease.     

Impact of inducible co-stimulatory molecule (ICOS) on T-cell responses and protection against Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection

Even though Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) remains one of the top microbial killers, more than 90% of the 2 billion infected individuals never develop active tuberculosis (TB), indicating efficient immune control of infection in these individuals. Immune mechanisms promoting either control or reactivation of TB are incompletely understood. Kinetic analyses of T-cell responses against Mtb in C57BL/6 mice revealed surface expression of inducible co-stimulatory molecule (ICOS) on >30% of all CD4(+) T cells, suggesting a pivotal role of this costimulatory molecule of the CD28 family in TB control. Surprisingly, Mtb-infected ICOS(-/-) mice showed lower bacterial burden during the late chronic stage of infection as compared to WT controls. ICOS deficiency resulted in a reduced Mtb-specific CD8(+) T-cell response during late-stage infection. In contrast, the polyclonal CD4(+) Th1 response against Mtb was increased, most likely caused by diminished numbers and frequencies of Tregs. Thus, by altering effector T-cell populations differentially, ICOS signaling modulates TB control in the late stage of infection.     

Increased expression of regeneration and tolerance factor in individuals with human immunodeficiency virus infection

Regeneration and tolerance factor (RTF) plays a pivotal role in successful pregnancy outcome and has potent immunomodulating properties. During pregnancy, it is abundantly expressed in the placenta and on peripheral B lymphocytes. Several lines of evidence suggest that both successful pregnancy outcome and progression from human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection to AIDS are associated with a Th2-type response. As a result, we hypothesized that the cellular expression of RTF may also be increased during infection with HIV. Using flow cytometric analysis, we showed a significantly (P < 0.01) increased expression of RTF on CD3(+) cells obtained from individuals with HIV over that for individuals without HIV. On average, 32.1% of the CD3(+) cells from individuals with HIV expressed high levels of RTF. In contrast, an average of only 6.7% of the CD3(+) cells from individuals without HIV expressed high levels of RTF. Similar results were obtained when CD19(+) cells from individuals with (mean, 44.1%) and without (mean, 25.8%) HIV were evaluated. Linear regression analysis suggested that high levels of RTF expression by CD3(+) cells correlated better with viral load (r value, 0.46) than with absolute CD4 count (r value, 0.09). While additional experiments are necessary to delineate the precise immunologic role of RTF, our current data suggest that RTF expression during HIV infection may be a useful marker of immune activation.     

Immunologic and clinical stages in HIV-1-infected Ugandan adults are comparable and provide no evidence of rapid progression but poor survival with advanced disease

Clear understanding of the natural history of HIV-1 disease is critical for planning and developing appropriate therapeutic strategies for HIV-1-infected populations in the developing world. Present knowledge about Africa is based on very limited data that largely use clinical staging as the prognostic marker; this approach has not been prospectively validated. Our objectives were to compare clinical staging and CD4+ T-cell counts as prognostic tools and to describe survival and cause of death in seroprevalent HIV-1-infected Ugandan adults by means of a prospective cohort study. Consecutive HIV-1-infected adults registering with a community HIV/AIDS clinic in Entebbe, Uganda were enrolled between October 1994 to January 1995 and observed during follow-up until the end of December 1997. Baseline CD4+ T-cell count distribution showed clear and appropriate associations with clinical stage in the 201 participants. Both provided equivalent prognostic information: median survival with CD4+ T-cell count <200 cells/microl was 9 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 7-15 months) compared with 19 and 7 months (95% CI, 10-28 and 0-8 months, respectively) in clinical stages 3 and 4, respectively; survival at 3 years with CD4+ T-cell count > or =200 cells/microl was 68% and for clinical stage 1 and 2, 80% and 60%, respectively. Clinical stage 3 and 4 were 76% sensitive and 65% specific for predicting a CD4+ T-cell count <200 cells/microl, positive predictive value of 56%, negative predictive value 78%. In all, 82 participants died (41%; mortality rate 216 of 1000 person-years) and was strongly associated with low CD4+ T-cell counts. In conclusion, clinical staging is valid and comparable with staging by CD4 T-cell counts for epidemiologic measurements. Mortality with early disease in Entebbe appears equivalent to that found in the developed world but there is poor survival with advanced disease.     

Low T-cell responsiveness to activation via CD3/TCR is a prognostic marker for acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) in human immunodeficiency virus-1 (HIV-1)-infected men

In a cohort of 300 HIV-1-infected homosexual men, studied longitudinally, the prognostic value of T-cell proliferative responses for development of AIDS was analyzed. In 15 persons we observed that, at seroconversion, T-cell reactivity to anti-CD3 monoclonal antibody (Mab) and phytohemagglutinin (PHA) was decreased to 20 and 60% of the normal values, respectively. After seroconversion, within 3 months, the response to anti-CD3 Mab and PHA returned to 60 and 80%, respectively, of the normal magnitude and declined thereafter. To investigate whether low T-cell reactivity correlated with progression to AIDS, groups of progressors and nonprogressors were compared. In individuals who progressed to AIDS, already 12 months before diagnosis, responses to anti-CD3 Mab were virtually absent, whereas at that time CD4+ cell numbers and reactivity to horse anti-human lymphocyte serum and PHA were still comparable to values observed for nonprogressors and the asymptomatic population as a whole. In a disease-free survival analysis, low anti-CD3 Mab reactivity predicted progression to AIDS. Our findings demonstrate that low T-cell responsiveness to anti-CD3 Mab is an early marker of progression toward AIDS in HIV-1 infected individuals.     

Prognostic factors of combined viral load and CD4+ cell count responses under triple antiretroviral therapy, Aquitaine cohort, 1996-1998

OBJECTIVE: To describe the viroimmunologic response and its prognostic factors 6 months after initiating triple antiretroviral therapy in a cohort of HIV-1-infected patients. METHODS: Positive virologic response during follow-up (VL+) was defined as plasma HIV RNA level <500 copies/ml and positive immunologic response (CD4+) as an increase of CD4+ count of at least 50 cells/mm3. Four categories of response were defined: VL+/CD4+; VL+/CD4-; VL-/CD4+ and VL-/CD4-. Prognostic factors were studied through a polytomous logistic regression (VL-/CD4-, as reference). RESULTS: Baseline characteristics of the 478 studied patients were: 22% at AIDS stage, 77% pretreated, median CD4+ cell count 195/mm3 and HIV RNA level 4.42 log. At 6 months 37.5% were VL+/CD4+; 15.7% VL+/CD4-; 23.8% VL-/CD4+ and 23.0% VL-/CD4-. Baseline HIV RNA level was associated to a higher risk of VL-/CD4+ response. More advanced age was associated with a higher risk of isolated immunologic failure (VL+/CD4-), whereas pretreatment and saquinavir therapy were associated with a lower frequency of positive virologic response independently of immunologic response. CONCLUSION: HIV-RNA level, pretreatment, and saquinavir therapy were already known to be linked to therapeutic response. Based on our results, a high baseline HIV-RNA level is associated with isolated immunologic response; moreover, age should be of importance in treatment decision.     

Efficacy of low-dose interferon with antiretroviral therapy in Kaposi's sarcoma: a randomized phase II AIDS clinical trials group study.

We wished to evaluate the efficacy and safety of a low and an intermediate daily dose of interferon-alpha2b (IFN-alpha2b) with didanosine in patients with acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)-associated Kaposi's sarcoma (KS). HIV-seropositive subjects with biopsy-confirmed cutaneous KS were randomized to receive either a low (1 million IU) or an intermediate (10 million IU) dose of IFN-alpha2b once daily with twice daily doses of didanosine. Treatment assignment was stratified by CD4 count. Response, toxicity, changes in CD4 counts, and survival were evaluated. Sixty-eight eligible subjects were accrued, 35 to low-dose and 33 to intermediate-dose IFN-alpha2b. The response rate was 40% in the low-dose group (95% CI, 24-58) and 55% in the intermediate-dose group (95% CI, 36-72) (p = 0.338). The median response duration was approximately 110 weeks in both groups. Intermediate-dose IFN induced grade 3/4 neutropenia more often (21% vs. 3%, p = 0.048) and grade 3/4 toxicity faster (p = 0.0231) and necessitated treatment discontinuation earlier for drug-related toxicities (p = 0.0416) than low-dose IFN. There were no significant differences in survival between the treatment groups. Baseline CD4 count was the only significant factor predicting response. Once-daily low-dose and intermediate-dose IFN-alpha2b induced similar response rates, which were achieved without optimal antiretroviral therapy. The slightly higher response rate in the intermediate-dose group was offset by its significantly poorer tolerance. These findings justify the use of lower, well-tolerated IFN doses for treatment of KS with currently used antiretroviral regimens.