Prognostic value of Ki-67 immunolabelling in primary operable breast cancer.

The prognostic value of Ki-67 immunohistochemical labelling was evaluated in 327 operable primary carcinomas of the breast. The follow-up time was up to 4 years (mean 2.7 years). The disease-free survival in Ki-67 positive patients was shorter than in Ki-67 negative patients (P < 0.005). By combining the Ki-67 expression with ER receptors and stage, subgroups with a different disease-free survival were identified. In stage II patients there was a significant difference (P < 0.005) in disease-free survival between Ki-67 positive/ER negative and Ki-67 negative/ER positive patients. In node negative patients there was no such difference. The disease-free survival according to different prognostic factors, stage, ER and node status, were separately examined using a Cox''s proportional hazards model. ER (P < 0.0001), the Ki-67 (P < 0.02), tumour size (P < 0.0001) and nodal status (P < 0.006) were independent prognostic factors. We conclude that the potential value of Ki-67 labelling for prognostic evaluation of patients with breast carcinoma is good.     

Number of negative lymph nodes should be considered for incorporation into staging for breast cancer

This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of the number of involved lymph nodes (pN), number of removed lymph nodes (RLNs), lymph node ratio (LNR), number of negative lymph nodes (NLNs), and log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) in breast cancer patients. The records of 2,515 breast cancer patients who received a mastectomy or breast-conserving surgery were retrospectively reviewed. The log-rank test was used to compare survival curves, and Cox regression analysis was performed to identify prognostic factors. The median follow-up time was 64.2 months, and the 8-year disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were 74.6% and 82.3%, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that pN stage, LNR, number of RLNs, and number of NLNs were significant prognostic factors for DFS and OS (all, P < 0.05). LODDS was a significant prognostic factor for OS (P = 0.021). Multivariate analysis indicated that pN stage and the number of NLNs were independent prognostic factors for DFS and OS. A higher number of NLNs was associated with higher DFS and OS, and a higher number of involved lymph nodes were associated with poorer DFS and OS. Patients with a NLNs count > 9 had better survival (P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed that the NLNs count had a prognostic value in patients with different pT stages and different lymph node status (log-rank P < 0.05). For breast cancer, pN stage and NLNs count have a better prognostic value compared to the RLNs count, LNR, and LODDS. Number of negative lymph nodes should be considered for incorporation into staging for breast cancer.     

A 27 kDa heat shock protein that has anomalous prognostic powers in early and advanced breast cancer.

This paper describes a prospective immunohistochemical analysis of 27 kDa heat shock protein (HSP27) in 361 patients with primary breast cancer in relation to disease-free survival (DFS) and survival from first relapse (SR). Oestradiol (ER) and progesterone (PR) receptors were also quantitated and related to the HSP27 data. While ER positively predicted a good outcome for both DFS and SR, HSP27 positivity predicted a prolonged SR but short DFS. The association between HSP27 and DFS only attained statistical significance in node-negative patients. Subgroup analysis reinforced the complementary relationship of HSP27 and ER for SR and opposing influences for DFS. In both node-negative and node-positive women, ER+ HSP27- patients had a longer DFS than ER- HSP27+ counterparts. There was no relationship between HSP27 and overall survival. HSP27 staining was highly correlated with ER but not PR, patient age, tumour size or menstrual status. There was a marginal correlation (P = 0.04) with histological grade with well-differentiated tumours having the highest HSP27. Cox multivariate regression analysis of the contribution of HSP27 in the presence of data on ER, PR, stage, nodal status and histological grade indicated that HSP27 was not of independent prognostic importance for DFS or overall survival and was only of borderline significance for OS (P < 0.07). However, in the absence of ER and PR data, HSP27 staining is an effective way of getting the same prognostic information. HSP27 staining appears to correlate with different biological features in early and advanced breast, high HSP27 being linked with short DFS in node-negative patients but with prolonged survival from first recurrence.     

Progesterone receptor is a significant factor associated with clinical outcomes and effect of adjuvant tamoxifen therapy in breast cancer patients

Estrogen receptor status in breast cancer is associated with response to hormonal therapy and clinical outcome. The additional value of progesterone receptor (PR) has remained controversial. We examine the value of PR for prognosis and response to tamoxifen on a population-based series of 4,046 invasive early stage breast cancer patients. Clinical information for age at diagnosis, stage, pathology, treatment and outcome was assembled for the study cohort; the median follow-up was 12.4 years. PR status was determined by immunohistochemistry using a rabbit monoclonal antibody on tissue microarrays built from breast tumor surgical excisions. Survival analyses, Kaplan–Meier functions and Cox proportional hazards regression models were applied to assess the associations between PR and breast cancer specific survival. Progesterone receptor was positive in 51% of all cases and 67% of estrogen receptor positive (ER+) cases. Survival analyses for both the whole cohort and ER+ cases given tamoxifen therapy showed that patients with PR+ tumors had 24% higher relative probability for breast cancer specific survival as compared to PR− patients, adjusted for ER, HER2, age at diagnosis, grade, tumor size, lymph node status and lymphovascular invasion covariates. Higher PR expression showed stronger association with patient survival. Log-likelihood ratio tests of multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models demonstrated that PR was an independent statistically significant factor for breast cancer specific survival in both the whole cohort and among ER+ cases treated with tamoxifen. PR adds significant prognostic value in breast cancer beyond that obtained with estrogen receptor alone.     

Prognostic value of the ratio of carcinoembryonic antigen concentration to maximum tumor diameter in patients with stage II colorectal cancer

BackgroundRecently, a study from our center indicated that the ratio of preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) concentration to maximum tumor diameter (DMAX) may be a prognostic marker for patients with rectal cancer. Therefore, the study aimed to evaluate whether this ratio (CEA/DMAX) has prognostic value for patients with stage II colorectal cancer (CRC).MethodsA prospectively maintained database was searched for patients with pathologically confirmed stage II CRC who underwent surgery between January 2010 and March 2019. Patients were stratified according to the mean CEA/DMAX value into low and high CEA/DMAX groups. Kaplan-Meier, univariable, and multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate whether the CEA/DMAX could predict overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Nomograms were constructed in terms of the results of multivariable Cox regression analyses.ResultsThe study included 2,499 patients with stage II CRC. The mean CEA/DMAX value was 2.33 (ng/mL per cm). Kaplan-Meier analyses revealed that, relative to the low CEA/DMAX group, the high CEA/DMAX group had significantly poorer OS (67.31% vs. 85.02%, P<0.001) and DFS (61.41% vs. 77.10%, P<0.001). The multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that CEA/DMAX independently predicted OS (hazard ratio: 2.58, 95% confidence interval: 1.51–4.38, P<0.001) and DFS (hazard ratio: 1.97, 95% confidence interval: 1.38–2.83, P<0.001). Two simple-to-use nomograms comprising CEA/DMAX, age, T stage, and lymphovascular invasion were developed to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year rates of OS and DFS among patients with stage II CRC. The nomograms had good performance based on the concordance index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, and calibration curves. Subgroup analyses further confirmed that a high CEA/DMAX was associated with poor OS and DFS among patients with stage II colon cancer and among patients with stage II rectal cancer (both P<0.05).ConclusionsAmong patients with stage II CRC, a high CEA/DMAX independently predicted poor OS and DFS, and the predictive abilities were also observed in subgroup analyses of patients with stage II colon cancer or rectal cancer. Furthermore, we developed two nomograms that had good accuracy for predicting the prognosis of stage II CRC.     

Significance of estrogen and progesterone receptors, disease-free interval, and site of first metastasis on survival of breast cancer patients

Estrogen and progesterone receptors (ER/PR) were measured in primary tumors and metastases of 397 breast cancer patients. Survival following mastectomy was significantly longer in patients with ER and PR positive tumors, as was survival after first recurrence. The prognostic value of ER and PR was compared with such clinical factors as disease-free interval (DFI) and the dominant site of first metastasis by Cox's regression analysis. With all the different therapy modalities long DFI was the best prognostic indicator. However, in the patient group treated with endocrine therapy, ER and PR positivity was the best prognostic indicator, suggesting that longer survival in receptor positive patients was related to the response to endocrine treatment.     

Predictive value of pretreatment lymphocyte count in stage II colorectal cancer and in high-risk patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy

Pretreatment lymphocyte count (LC) has been associated with prognosis and chemotherapy response in several cancers. The predictive value of LC for stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) and for high-risk patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) has not been determined. A retrospective review of prospectively collected data from 1332 consecutive stage II CRC patients who underwent curative tumor resection was conducted. A pretreatment LC value <1.3 Giga/L(28.1%, 373/1332) was defined as low LC. A total of 738 patients (55.4%) were considered high-risk, 459 (62.2%) of whom received AC. Patients with low LCs had significantly worse 5-year OS (74.6% vs. 90.2%, p < 0.001) and DFS (61.3% vs. 84.6%, p < 0.001). High-risk patients with low LCs had the poorest DFS (p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis indicated that low LC value or combined with high-risk status were both independent prognostic factors(p <0.001). High-risk, AC-treated patients with high LCs had significantly longer DFS than untreated patients (HR, 0.594; 95% CI, 0.364–0.970; p = 0.035). There was no difference or trend for DFS or OS in patients with low LCs, regardless of the use of AC (DFS, p = 0.692; OS, p = 0.522). Low LC was also independently associated with poorer DFS in high-risk, AC-treated patients (HR, 1.885; 95% CI, 1.112–3.196; p = 0.019). CONCLUSIONS: Pretreatment LC is an independent prognostic factor for survival in stage II CRC. Furthermore, pretreatment LC reliably predicts chemotherapeutic efficacy in high-risk patients with stage II CRC.     

Survival Comparisons between Breast Conservation Surgery and Mastectomy Followed by Postoperative Radiotherapy in Stage I–III Breast Cancer Patients: Analysis of the Surveillance,Epidemiology, and End Results (Seer) Program Database

Background: This study aims to evaluate the overall and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) after breast-conserving surgery (BCS) plus radiotherapy (RT) compared with mastectomy plus RT in resectable breast cancer. Moreover, the aim is to also identify the subgroups who benefit from BCS plus RT and establish a predictive nomogram for stage II patients. Methods: Stage I–III breast cancer patients were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 1990 and 2016. Patients with available clinical information were split into two groups: BCS plus RT and mastectomy plus RT. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis, univariate and multivariate regression analysis, and propensity score matching were used in the study. Hazard ratio (HR) was calculated based on stratified Cox univariate regression analyses. A prognostic nomogram by multivariable Cox regression model was developed for stage II patients, and consistency index (C-index) and calibration curve were used to evaluate the accuracy of the nomogram in the training and validation set. Results: A total of 24,590 eligible patients were enrolled. The difference in overall survival (OS) and BCSS remained significant in stage II patients both before and after PSM (after PSM: OS: HR = 0.8536, p = 0.0115; BCSS: HR = 0.7803, p = 0.0013). In stage II patients, the survival advantage effect of BCS plus RT on OS and BCSS was observed in the following subgroups: any age, smaller tumor size (<1 cm), stage IIA (T2N0, T0–1N1), ER (+), and any PR status. Secondly, the C-indexes for BCSS prediction was 0.714 (95% CI 0.694–0.734). The calibration curves showed perfect agreement in both the training and validation sets. Conclusions: BCS plus RT significantly improved the survival rates for patients of stage IIA (T2N0, T0–1N1), ER (+). For stage II patients, the nomogram was a good predictor of 5-, 10-, and 15-year BCSS. Our study may help guide treatment decisions and prolong the survival of stage II breast cancer patients.     

Prognosis of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after esophagectomy using the log odds of positive lymph nodes

To compare the log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) with the number of positive lymph nodes (pN), lymph node ratio (LNR), removed lymph node (RLN) count, and negative lymph node (NLN) count in determining the prognosis of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) after esophagectomy. The records of patients with ESCC who received esophagectomy were retrospectively reviewed. The log-rank test was used to compare curves for overall survival (OS), and Cox regression analysis was performed to identify prognostic factors. The prognostic performance of the different lymph node staging systems were compared using the linear trend chi-square test, likelihood ratio chi-square test, and Akaike information criterion. A total of 589 patients were enrolled. Univariate Cox analysis showed that pN stage, LNR, RLN count, NLN count, and the LODDS were significantly associated with OS (p < 0.05 for all). Multivariate Cox analysis adjusted for significant factors indicated that LODDS was independent risk factor on overall survival (OS), and a higher LODDS was associated with worse OS (hazard ratio = 3.297, 95% confidence interval: 2.684–4.050, p < 0.001). The modified Tumor-LODDS-Metastasis staging system had better discriminatory ability, monotonicity, and homogeneity, and better optimistic prognostic stratification than the Tumor-Node-Metastasis staging system in determining the prognosis of patients with ESCC. The LODDS staging system was superior to other lymph node classifications in determining the prognosis of patients with ESCC after esophagectomy. LODDS may be incorporated into esophageal staging system if these results are eventually confirmed by other studies.     

男性乳腺癌患者的预后影响因素分析

目的：分析有关男性乳腺癌的预后因素以及适合的治疗方式。方法：提取 SEER 数据库2010年有完整随访资料的男性乳腺癌患者的数据。应用 Log －rank 检验并绘制生存曲线分析男性乳腺癌的预后影响因素。结果：475例乳腺癌患者中,111例死亡,其平均生存时间为40．468月。大多数患者为 II －III 期,已经有了恶变的趋势。多数患者 ER（92．4％）,PR（85．1％）为阳性,HER －2（76．4％）阴性。发生远处转移的患者仅有42人（8．8％）。22．5％的患者选择了放射治疗,88．2％的患者选择了手术治疗。Log －rank 检验显示不同肿瘤大小、淋巴结情况、远处转移、分期、是否手术、ER、PR、HER －2等的男性乳腺癌患者生存期不同。而是否放射治疗对生存的影响没有统计学意义（P ＞0．05）。COX 回归显示 PR、ER 为生存期的影响因素（P ＜0．05）。结论：ER、PR 均为保护因素,男性乳腺癌患者 HER －2阳性率较低为其调控提供了新的线索。应给予淋巴结浸润的患者更加积极的综合治疗方式;放射治疗不能带来更好的生存期,因此不推荐临床应用。     

Metastasis-Free Interval Is Closely Related to Tumor Characteristics and Has Prognostic Value in Breast Cancer Patients with Distant Relapse

Purpose

We investigated the relationships between metastasis-free interval (MFI) and tumor characteristics, and assessed the prognostic value of MFI for survival after metastasis in patients with metastatic breast cancer. Furthermore, we compared MFI among the subtypes.

Methods

We identified 335 patients with postoperative tumor recurrence at distant site(s). All patients underwent curative resection and had a MFI of at least 6 months. MFI was categorized as short (<2 years), intermediate (≥2 years and <5 years), or long (≥5 years). Overall survival after metastasis (OSM) was estimated.

Results

Patients with a shorter MFI were younger, more likely to have initial metastasis to visceral organs, and had a larger tumor with a higher stage and grade as well as a higher rate of nodal involvement at initial diagnosis. Among 136 patients with known disease subtypes, shorter MFI was associated with the triple-negative subtype while longer MFI was associated with the hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative subtype. Mortality after metastasis declined sharply with increasing MFI up to approximately 2 years, and continued gradually declining between 2 and 5 years. An MFI longer than 5 years did not add any survival benefit. MFI was a significant prognostic factor for OSM independent of nodal status, stage, metastatic site, and hormone receptor status of the metastasized cancer.

Conclusion

MFI is closely related to biological characteristics of both primary tumors and their metastases, and has a prognostic value for survival after metastasis. We therefore suggest investigation into treatments targeting improvement of MFI as a potential novel strategy.     

Prognostic factors of survival time after hematopoietic stem cell transplant in acute lymphoblastic leukemia patients: Cox proportional hazard versus accelerated failure time models

Background

The aim of this study is to evaluate the prognostic factors of overall survival (OS) after haematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) in acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) patients using accelerated failure time (AFT), Cox proportional hazard (PH), and Cox time-varying coefficient models.

Methods

206 patients were enrolled after HSCH in Shariati Hospital between 1993 and 2007. There was evidence of marked departures from the proportional hazards assumption with two prognostic factors, relapse and chronic graft-versus-host disease (cGVHD) (P < .001). Performance among AFT and Cox''s models was assessed using explained variation and goodness of fit methods. Discrimination among the exponential, Weibull, generalized gamma (GG), log-logistic, and lognormal distributions was done using maximum likelihood and Akaike information criteria.

Results

The 5-year OS was 52% (95%CI: 47.3–56.7). Peak mortality hazard occurred at months 6–7 after HSCT followed by a decreasing trend. In univariate analysis, the data was better fitted by GG distribution than by other distributions. Univariate analysis using GG distribution showed a positive association between OS with acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) (P = .021), no relapse (P < .001), cGVHD (P < .001), neutrophil recovery (P < .001) and platelet recovery (P < .001). Based on Cox PH models; however cGVHD and relapse were the predictive factors of OS (P < .001). Multivariate analysis indicated that, OS is related to relapse (P < .001) and platelet recovery (P = .037), where predictive power of Weibull AFT models was superior to Cox PH model and Cox with time-varying coefficient (R² = 0.46 for AFT, R² = .21 for Cox PH and R² = .34 for Cox time-varying coefficient). Cox-Snell residual shows Weibull AFT fitted to data better than other distributions in multivariate analysis.

Conclusion

We concluded that AFT distributions can be a useful tool for recognizing prognostic factors of OS in acute lymphoblastic leukemia patients.     

Social determinants of health associated with poor outcome for rural patients following resected pancreatic cancer

BackgroundThe impact of rurality on outcome for patients who had resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is unclear. We hypothesize that poor outcomes for rural patients are associated with adverse social determinants of health (SDoH). The objective of this study is to assess the difference in overall survival (OS) of PDAC patients between rural, urban, and contributing factors.MethodsA cohort of 25,536 patients diagnosed with stage I–III pancreatic adenocarcinoma from 2003 to 2011 and underwent resection were evaluated from the National Cancer Database. Socioeconomic/demographic, clinicopathological, and treatment variables were compared between rural and urban residences. The 5-year OS was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The Cox regression model was used to assess factors associated with OS. P value <0.05 was considered significant.ResultsIn univariate analysis, the rural residence was a predictor of poor OS. The 5-year OS for rural (N=4,389) and urban (N=21,147) was 18.8% (95% CI: 17.4–20.2%) and 22.3% (95% CI: 21.6–22.9%; P<0.0001), respectively. The risk of all causes of death was 10.3% higher (P<0.0001) in rural than urban patients. In multivariable analysis, rurality was not an independent predictor of OS (P=0.407). Independent predictors of worse OS included adverse social determinants of health associated with the rural population and these included a low income (P<0.0001), low education level (P<0.01), low insurance status (P<0.01), and treatment at a low-volume facility (P<0.0001).ConclusionsRural/urban outcome disparities for resected stage I–III pancreatic cancer outcome can be explained by adverse social determinants of health associated with rural population.     

Prognosis of metastatic breast cancer: are there differences between patients with de novo and recurrent metastatic breast cancer?

Background:

We aimed to determine the prognostic impact of time between primary breast cancer and diagnosis of distant metastasis (metastatic-free interval, MFI) on the survival of metastatic breast cancer patients.

Methods:

Consecutive patients diagnosed with metastatic breast cancer in 2007–2009 in eight hospitals in the Southeast of the Netherlands were included and categorised based on MFI. Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine the prognostic impact of de novo metastatic breast cancer vs recurrent metastatic breast cancer (MFI ⩽24 months and >24 months), adjusted for age, hormone receptor and HER2 status, initial site of metastasis and use of prior (neo)adjuvant systemic therapy.

Results:

Eight hundred and fifteen patients were included and divided in three subgroups based on MFI; 154 patients with de novo metastatic breast cancer, 176 patients with MFI <24 months and 485 patients with MFI >24 months. Patients with de novo metastatic breast cancer had a prolonged survival compared with patients with recurrent metastatic breast cancer with MFI <24 months (median 29.4 vs 9.1 months, P<0.0001), but no difference in survival compared with patients with recurrent metastatic breast cancer with MFI >24 months (median, 29.4 vs 27.9 months, P=0.73). Adjusting for other prognostic factors, patients with MFI <24 months had increased mortality risk (hazard ratio 1.97, 95% CI 1.49–2.60, P<0.0001) compared with patients with de novo metastatic breast cancer. When comparing recurrent metastatic breast cancer with MFI >24 months with de novo metastatic breast cancer no significant difference in mortality risk was found. The association between MFI and survival was seen irrespective of use of (neo)adjuvant systemic therapy.

Conclusion:

Patients with de novo metastatic breast cancer had a significantly better outcome when compared with patients with MFI <24 months, irrespective of the use of prior adjuvant systemic therapy in the latter group. However, compared with patients with MFI >24 months, patients with de novo metastatic breast cancer had similar outcome.     

Decreased albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio predicted poor survival of resectable gastric cancer patients

BackgroundThe albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) is an innovative prognostic index for various cancer patients, the clinical significance of the AAPR in patients with GC is unknown.MethodsWe retrospectively reviewed 227 resectable GC patients in our center. The Kaplan–Meier method and the Cox proportional hazards model were used to analyze the disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). The Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) and Akaike information criterion (AIC) were used to compare the prognostic abilities of the TNM and AAPR-TNM staging systems in DFS and OS predictionResultsThe AAPR was significantly decreased in GC patients, and the optimal cut-off value for resectable and benign gastric disease was 0.437 as determined by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The correlation analysis revealed that decreased AAPR in GC was associated with T stage (P=0.004) and TNM stage (P=0.013). Decreased preoperative AAPR correlated with both unfavorable disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Cox regression analysis showed that the TNM stage (DFS: P=0.001, OS: P=0.002) and differential levels of AAPR (DFS: P<0.001, OS: P<0.001) were independent risk factors of DFS and OS. ROC analysis showed that the AAPR-TNM system was more superior than the TNM staging system for DFS (z=1.91, P=0.028) and OS (z=1.937, P=0.026) prediction. The likelihood ratio test (LRT) analysis indicated that the AAPR-TNM system had a significantly larger χ² for both DFS (35.58 vs. 34.51, P<0.001) and OS (32.92 vs. 30.07, P<0.001), and a lower Akaike information criterion (AIC) value both for DFS (1,032 vs. 1,065, P<0.001) and OS (869 vs. 898, P<0.001) compared to the TNM system.ConclusionsThe AAPR level significantly decreased in patients with GC, and impacted the prognosis of patients.     

Post-treatment plasma EBV-DNA positivity predicts early relapse and poor prognosis for patients with extranodal NK/T cell lymphoma in the era of asparaginase

Circulating Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA is a biomarker of EBV-associated malignancies. Its prognostic value in early stage NK/T-cell lymphoma (NKTCL) in the era of asparaginase was investigated. 68 patients were treated with a median of 4 cycles of asparaginase-based chemotherapy followed by a median of 54.6Gy (range 50–60Gy) radiation. The amount of EBV-DNA was prospectively measured in both pretreatment and post-treatment plasma samples by real-time quantitative PCR. At the end of treatment, complete response (CR) rate was 79.4%, and overall response rate (ORR) was 88.2%. Patients with negative pretreatment EBV-DNA had a higher CR rate (96.0% vs. 69.8%, p = 0.023). The 3-year progression-free survival (PFS) rate and overall survival (OS) rate was 71% and 83%, respectively. In multivariate survival analysis, post-treatment EBV-DNA positivity and treatment response (non-CR) were prognostic factors for both worse PFS and OS (p < 0.05). Local tumor invasion was also a prognostic factor for worse OS (p = 0.010). In patients with CR, post-treatment EBV-DNA positivity correlated with inferior PFS and OS (both p < 0.0001). In patients with positive pretreatment EBV-DNA, negative post-treatment EBV-DNA correlated with better PFS and OS (both p < 0.0001). These findings indicate that post-treatment EBV-DNA positivity can predict early relapse and poor prognosis for patients with early stage NKTCL in the era of asparaginase, and may be used as an indicator of minimal residual disease.     

The Predictive Significance of Prognostic Nutritional Index and Serum Albumin/Globulin Ratio on the Overall Survival of Penile Cancer Patients Undergoing Penectomy

Objective: To assess the value of using the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and serum albumin/globulin ratio (AGR) in predicting the overall survival (OS) of patients with penile cancer (PC) undergoing penectomy. Materials and methods: A retrospective analysis of 123 patients who were admitted to our hospital due to PC from April 2010 to September 2021 and who underwent penectomy were included in the study. The optimal cut-off value of the PNI and AGR was determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Kaplan–Meier analysis and the Cox proportional hazard model were used to evaluate the correlation between the PNI, AGR, and OS in patients with PC. Results: A total of 16 of the 123 patients died during the follow-up period, and the median follow-up time was 58.0 months. The best cut-off values of the PNI and AGR were set to 49.03 (95% confidence interval 0.705–0.888, Youden index = 0.517, sensitivity = 57.9%, specificity = 93.7%, p < 0.001) and 1.28 (95% confidence interval 0.610–0.860, Youden index = 0.404, sensitivity = 84.1%, specificity = 56.2%, p = 0.003). The Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that the OS of the patients in the high PNI group and the high AGR group was significantly higher than that of the patients in the low PNI group and the low AGR group (p < 0.001). The univariable analysis showed that the aCCI, the clinical N stage, the pathological stage, and the PNI, AGR, SII, and PLR are all predictors of OS in patients with PC (p < 0.05). The multivariable analysis showed that the PNI (risk rate [HR] = 0.091; 95% CI: 0.010–0.853; p = 0.036) and the AGR (risk rate [HR] = 0.171; 95% CI: 0.043–0.680; p = 0.012) are independent prognostic factors for predicting OS in patients with PC undergoing penectomy. Conclusions: Both the PNI score and the serum AGR are independent prognostic factors for predicting OS in patients with PC undergoing penectomy.     

Effect of tumor size on breast cancer-specific survival stratified by joint hormone receptor status in a SEER population-based study

Background & Aims

The prognostic value of tumor size is variable. We aimed to characterize the interaction between tumor size and hormone receptor (HoR) status to determine breast cancer-specific mortality (BCSM).

Methods

We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) registry to identify 328, 870 female patients diagnosed with invasive breast cancer from 1990 through 2010. Primary study variables included tumor size, joint HoR status and their corresponding relationship. Kaplan-Meier and adjusted Cox proportional hazards models with interaction terms were utilized.

Results

The multivariable analysis revealed a significant interaction between tumor size and HoR status (P < 0.001). Using tumors 61–70 mm in size as the reference for estrogen receptor-negative (ER−) and progesterone receptor-negative (PR−) disease, the hazard ratio (HR) for BCSM increased with increasing tumor size across nearly all categories. In the ER-positive (ER+) and PR-positive (PR+) group, however, patients with tumors > 50 mm had nearly identical BCSM rates (P = 0.127, P = 0.099 and P = 0.370 for 51–60 mm, 71–80 mm and > 80 mm tumors, respectively), whereas BCSM was positively correlated with tumors < 51 mm.

Conclusions

The observation of identical HRs for BCSM among patients with ER+ and PR+ tumors >50 mm underscores the importance of individualized treatment. Our findings may contribute to a better understanding of breast cancer biology.     

2342例乳腺癌患者临床病理学特征及预后分析

  目的  分析可手术的浸润性乳腺癌患者临床及病理学资料, 探讨其预后的影响因素。  方法  收集2002年1月至2004年12月间天津医科大学附属肿瘤医院收治的2 342例可手术的浸润性乳腺癌患者的临床病理学资料, 回顾性分析其临床病理学特征、复发转移及生存情况, 并利用诺丁汉预后指数(Nottingham Prognostic Index, NPI)进行预后生存分析。  结果  2342例乳腺癌患者平均年龄为51.56岁。临床分期Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ期分别为571例(24.38%), 1143例(48.8%), 628例(26.82%)。NPI评分低、中、高危组分别为521例(22.25%)、1151例(49.15%)、670例(28.6%)。ER阳性1271例(54.3%), 阴性1071例(45.7%)。PR阳性1698例(72.5%), 阴性644例(27.5%)。C-erbB-2阳性787例(33.6%), 阴性1 555例(66.4%)。单因素分析结果显示, 影响患者5年无瘤生存期(disease-free survival, DFS)及总生存期(overall survival, OS)的因素包括: 临床分期、肿瘤大小、淋巴结状态、组织学分级、家族史、NPI评分、ER、PR及C-erbB-2状态。另外年龄也是影响5年DFS的因素之一。多因素分析结果显示, 影响5年DFS及OS的因素包括: NPI评分、ER、PR及C-erbB-2。  结论  本研究通过分析大宗可手术的浸润性乳腺癌患者临床病理学资料, 证实NPI评分、ER、PR及C-erbB-2为判断浸润性乳腺癌预后较好的临床病理学指标。      

18FDG-PET/CT for prognostic stratification of patients with multiple myeloma relapse after stem cell transplantation

The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography–computed tomography (18F-FDG-PET/CT) in 37 patients with a history of multiple myeloma (MM) and suspected or confirmed recurrence after stem cell transplantation (SCT). All patients had been heavily pretreated. Time to progression (TTP) and overall survival (OS) were correlated to a number of different PET-derived as well as clinical parameters. Impact on patient management was assessed.Absence of FDG-avid MM foci was a positive prognostic factor for both TTP and OS (p<0.01). Presence of >10 focal lesions correlated with both TTP (p<0.01) and OS (p<0.05). Interestingly, presence of >10 lesions in the appendicular skeleton proved to have the strongest association with disease progression. Intensity of glucose uptake and presence of extramedullary disease were associated with shorter TTP (p=0.037 and p=0.049, respectively). Manifestations in soft tissue structures turned out to be a strong negative predictor for both, TTP and OS (p<0.01, respectively). PET resulted in a change of management in 30% of patients.Our data underline the prognostic value of 18F-FDG-PET/CT in MM patients also in the setting of post-SCT relapse. PET/CT has a significant impact on patient management.