Risk factors for continued illness among Gulf War veterans: a cohort study

BACKGROUND: There are no prospective cohort studies of prognostic factors on the outcome of Gulf War veterans. We aimed to test the hypotheses that Gulf War veterans who were older; had more severe symptoms; had more exposures during deployment; had increased psychological distress and believed they had 'Gulf War syndrome' would experience greater fatigue and poorer physical functioning at follow-up. METHOD: Gulf War veterans who responded to an earlier retrospective cohort study were followed with a postal survey. More symptomatic individuals were oversampled. Outcome was measured on the Chalder fatigue questionnaire, the General Health Questionnaire and the Medical Outcome Study Short-Form 36. RESULTS: Of those surveyed, 73.8% responded. We found some evidence for four of the five hypotheses. More self-reported exposures at baseline were not associated with poorer outcome, but older people, those with more severe symptoms at baseline, those with psychological distress and who believed they were suffering from 'Gulf War syndrome' had more fatigue at follow-up. Officer status was associated with a better outcome. A similar lack of association was found for exposures and physical functioning and GHQ-12 score. 'Gulf War syndrome' attribution was associated with a worse outcome for GHQ-12 and physical functioning even after controlling for severity of symptoms at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that while multiple vaccination and military exposures are important risk factors for the onset of symptoms in Gulf War veterans, these are not important risk factors for persistence of such symptoms. Instead the severity of the initial symptoms; psychological distress and attributions may be more important determinants of outcome.     

Risk of invasive meningococcal disease in children and adults with HIV in England: a population-based cohort study

Background

Recent studies have identified HIV infection as a potential risk factor for invasive meningococcal disease (IMD), suggesting that HIV-infected individuals could benefit from meningococcal vaccination to reduce their risk of this rare, but severe and potentially fatal infection. In the United Kingdom, as in most industrialised countries, HIV is not considered a risk factor for IMD.

Methods

IMD incidence and relative risk by age group and meningococcal capsular group in HIV-positive compared with HIV-uninfected individuals was estimated through data linkage of national datasets in England between 2011 and 2013.

Results

IMD incidence among persons diagnosed with HIV was 6.6 per 100,000 compared to 1.5 per 100,000 among HIV-negative individuals, with a relative risk of 4.5 (95 % CI, 2.7–7.5). All but one case occurred in adults aged 16–64 years, who had a 22.7-fold (95 % CI, 12.4–41.6; P <0.001) increased risk compared with the HIV-negative adults. IMD risk by capsular group varied with age. HIV-positive children and adolescents had a higher risk of meningococcal group B disease, while adults were at increased risk of groups C, W and Y disease. Most HIV-positive individuals had been born in Africa, had acquired HIV through heterosexual contact, and were known to be HIV-positive and receiving antiretroviral treatment at IMD diagnosis. The most common clinical presentation was septicemia and, although intensive care admission was common, none died of IMD.

Conclusions

HIV-positive children and adults are at significantly increased risk of IMD, providing an evidence base for policy makers to consider HIV as a risk factor for meningococcal vaccination.

     

Risk factors for recurrence and death after bacteraemia: a population-based study

Although most bacteraemic outcome studies have focused on mortality, a repeated episode(s) is another important outcome of bacteraemia. We sought to characterize patient factors and microbial species associated with recurrence and death from bacteraemia. Population-based surveillance for bacteraemia was conducted in a Canadian health region during 2000–2008. Episodes of bacteraemia were extracted and characterized. Transition intensities of both recurrence and death were estimated by separate multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. We identified 9713 patients with incident episodes of bacteraemia. Within 1 year: 892 (9.2%) had recurrent bacteraemia, 2401 (24.7%) had died without a recurrent episode and 330 (3.4%) had died after a recurrent episode. Independent risk factors for recurrence within 1 year (hazard ratio; 95% confidence interval) were: increasing Charlson comorbidity scores (score 1–2: 2.2; 1.8–2.7 and score 3+: 3.4; 2.8–4.2), origin of infection (nosocomial: 2.1; 1.8–2.6 and healthcare-associated: 2.4; 2.0–2.8), microorganism (polymicrobial: 1.5; 1.2–2.0 and fungal: 2.8; 1.9–4.2) and focus of infection (verified urogenital: 0.4; 0.3–0.6). Independent risk factors for death within 1 year included: a recurrent bacteraemic episode 3.6 (3.1–4.0), increasing age and different foci of infection. This study identifies patient groups at risk of having a recurrent episode and dying from these infections. It adds recurrent bacteraemia as an independent risk factor of death within 1 year and may help to target patients for prevention or changes in management.     

Risk of schizophrenia in second-generation immigrants: a Danish population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND: Urban birth, a risk factor for schizophrenia, is more frequent among second-generation immigrants. The aim of the current study was to determine whether the increased risk for schizophrenia found in second-generation immigrants is explained by the degree of urbanization of birthplace and/or factors related to parentage, such as geographic origin or history of residence abroad during upbringing. METHOD: Using data from the Danish Civil Registration System (CRS), we established a population-based cohort of 2.0 million Danes (persons born in Denmark). Schizophrenia in cohort members was identified by cross-linkage with the Danish Psychiatric Central Register. RESULTS: The relative risk of developing schizophrenia was 1.93 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.79-2.08] and 2.96 (95% CI 2.49-3.51) among persons with one or both parents foreign-born respectively compared to native Danes. Adjustment for urbanization of birthplace and parental characteristics reduced these risks slightly. However, urbanization had a lesser effect in second-generation immigrants than in Danes. History of residence abroad was a risk factor for schizophrenia, regardless of whether parents were foreign-born or native Danes. CONCLUSION: The increased risk found in second-generation immigrants cannot be explained by urbanization or parental characteristics pertaining to age, mental illness, geographic origin or residence abroad during a child's upbringing.     

Risk factors for cytogenetically normal holoprosencephaly in California: a population-based case-control study

Holoprosencephaly is a developmental field defect manifested by a spectrum of abnormalities of the forebrain and midface. Approximately 50% of holoprosencephaly cases are associated with a cytogenetic abnormality or a monogenic syndrome. Suggested risk factors for the remaining 50% of cases have been described in case reports, but have not been confirmed in systematically conducted studies. We report the results of a population-based case-control study of holoprosencephaly. Live births, fetal deaths, and terminations with a diagnosis of cytogenetically normal holoprosencephaly were identified by the California Birth Defects Monitoring Program. Telephone interviews were conducted with the mothers of 58 cases and 107 live born, nonmalformed controls. Women were questioned about their health and reproductive histories, family demographics, and exposures occurring during their pregnancies. Among nonsyndromic cases, increased risks were observed for females (OR=1.8, 95% C.I. 0.9-3.9), foreign-born vs. U.S. or Mexico-born women (OR=3.1, 95% C.I. 1.1-8.6), and women with early menarche (OR=2.3, 95% C.I. 0.9-5.7). Maternal periconceptional exposures associated with increased risks for nonsyndromic holoprosencephaly included alcohol consumption (OR=2.0, 95% C.I. 0.9-4.5), cigarette smoking (OR=4.1, 95% C.I. 1.4-12.0), and combined alcohol and smoking (OR=5.4, 95% C.I. 1.4-20.0), insulin-dependent diabetes (OR=10.2, 95% C.I. 1.9-39.4), medications for respiratory illnesses (OR=2.3, 95% C.I. 0.9-6.0), and salicylate-containing medications (OR=2.5, 95% C.I. 0.8-7.9). These findings are consistent with risk factors identified in some previous reports, and identify several new potential risk factors that require confirmation in future studies.     

Staphylococcus aureus sensitization and allergic disease in early childhood: population-based birth cohort study

BACKGROUND: Staphylococcus aureus-secreted enterotoxins (SEs) may be involved in the pathophysiology of atopic diseases. OBJECTIVE: We investigated the role of SEs in allergic diseases during early childhood (using the mixture of SE-specific IgEs [SE-mix] as a marker). METHODS: Children (N = 510) were followed from birth to age 5 years (repeated questionnaires, IgE to inhalant and food allergens, lung function [spirometry, plethysmography], airway reactivity [dry air challenge]). We measured SE-mix specific IgE (SE-A, SE-C, toxic shock syndrome toxin 1) by using fluorescence immunoassay. RESULTS: We found no association between rhinitis and SE-mix sensitization. Children with eczema were more frequently SE-mix-sensitized than children without (17.4% vs 8.3%; P = .02). SE-mix sensitization rate increased significantly with increasing eczema severity (no eczema, mild, moderate/severe: 8.3%, 14.8%, 42.9%; P = .003) and remained independently associated with eczema in a multivariate model adjusting for total IgE (adjusted odds ratio, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.05-4.56; P = .04). SE-mix sensitization was associated with current wheeze in the univariate but not the multivariate model. Among wheeze phenotypes, persistent wheezers were most commonly sensitized to SE-mix (never, transient, late-onset, persistent: 8.5%, 3.8%, 7.7%, 17.6%; P = .05). Among wheezers, those SE-mix-sensitized had significantly higher airway reactivity compared with those nonsensitized (mean FEV(1) change, mL [95% CI]: -59 [-121, 3] vs 19 [-10.2, 48.9]; P = .04), with little difference after adjusting for atopy. CONCLUSION: We found differences in SE-mix IgE antibodies between healthy 5-year-old children and children with eczema and wheeze. The proportion of patients sensitized to SE-mix increases with increasing disease severity. CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: Staphylococcal enterotoxins are potential modifiers of childhood wheeze and eczema.     

Risk factors for asthma in young adults: a co-twin control study

Background: The liability to asthma is influenced both by genetic and environmental factors. The objective of this study was to identify risk factors for asthma in young adult twin pairs during an 8‐year period. Methods: From the birth cohorts 1953–1982 of the Danish Twin Registry, 6090 twin pairs who were initially unaffected with respect to asthma at a nationwide questionnaire‐based study in 1994 participated in a similar follow‐up study in 2002. Subjects were regarded incident asthma cases when responding affirmatively to the question ‘Do you have, or have you ever had asthma'? in 2002. Pairs in which only one twin developed asthma – discordant pairs – were identified and conditional logistic regression was applied to detect effects of risk factors. Results: A total of 126 monozygotic (MZ) and 273 dizygotic (DZ) discordant twin pairs were identified. In MZ twins hay fever (OR = 3.16, 95% CI: 1.29–7.73, P = 0.007) and exercise (OR for inactivity = 0.35, 95% CI: 0.13–0.91, P = 0.023) were significantly associated with asthma, whereas in DZ twins, hay fever (OR = 2.44, 95% CI: 1.44–4.13, P = 0.001), eczema (OR = 1.96, 95% CI: 1.02–3.78, P = 0.040), female sex (OR between males and females = 0.54, 95% CI: 0.36–0.80, P = 0.002), and increasing levels of body mass index (BMI; OR per unit = 1.11, 95% CI: 1.02–1.20, P = 0.009) were significant predictors of asthma. Conclusions: Hay fever, eczema, female sex, exercise and increasing levels of BMI were risk factors for asthma in young adults. The different risk profile observed in MZ twins compared with DZ twins may reflect an underlying genetic vulnerability shared between those risk factors and asthma.     

Prognostic factors of asthma severity: a 9-year international prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND: The natural history of asthma severity is poorly known. OBJECTIVE: To investigate prognostic factors of asthma severity. METHODS: All current patients with asthma identified in 1991 to 1993 in the European Community Respiratory Health Survey were followed up, and their severity was assessed in 2002 by using the Global Initiative for Asthma categorization (n = 856). Asthma severity (remittent, intermittent, mild, moderate, severe) was related to potential determinants evaluated at baseline and during the follow-up by a multinomial logistic model, using the intermittent group as the reference category for relative risk ratios (RRRs). RESULTS: Asthma severity measured at baseline was a determinant of a patient's severity at the end of the follow-up. At baseline, severe persistent had a poorer FEV1% predicted, a poorer symptom control, higher IgE levels (RRR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.38-3.06), and a higher prevalence of chronic cough/mucus hypersecretion (RRR, 4.90; 95% CI, 2.18-11.02) than patients with intermittent asthma. Moderate persistent showed the same prognostic factors as severe persistent, even if the associations were weaker. Mild persistent had a distribution of prognostic factors that was similar to patients with intermittent asthma, although the former showed a poorer symptom control than the latter. Remission mainly occurred in patients with less severe asthma and was negatively associated with a change in body mass index (RRR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.75-0.97). Allergic rhinitis, smoking, and respiratory infections in childhood were not associated with asthma severity. CONCLUSION: Patients with moderate and severe persistent asthma are characterized by early deterioration of lung function. High IgE levels and persistent cough/mucus hypersecretion are strong markers of moderate/severe asthma, which seems to be a different phenotype from mild persistent or intermittent asthma. CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: Our results suggest that the evolution of asthma severity is to a large extent predictable.     

Risk factors for enterococcal urinary tract infections: a multinational,retrospective cohort study

European Journal of Clinical Microbiology & Infectious Diseases - Complicated urinary tract infection (cUTI) is a frequent cause of morbidity. In this multinational retrospective cohort study,...     

Major depressive episode among Brazilian adults: A cross-sectional population-based study

Background

Despite the fact that there is extensive scientific research on depression very few population-based studies have been conducted in Brazilian cities.

Methods

A sampling design of two-stage conglomerates with probability proportional to size. All adults aged 20 or more living in the selected households were invited to participate in the study. Depression was assessed using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) with a cutoff ≥9.

Results

The study sample comprised 2925 respondents. The prevalence of depression in the sample studied was 20.4% (95% CI 18.9;21.8). After adjustment for confounding factors according to a conceptual analysis model the following variables were associated with a higher prevalence of depression: female gender; younger age; white skin color; lower socioeconomic condition; lower education; smoking; being single or separated; being unemployed; and reporting a heart condition. Alcohol use, arterial hypertension, and diabetes mellitus were not found to be associated with depression.

Limitations

The difference in the proportion of males among losses and refusals compared to that in the sample analyzed. Another limitation is reverse causality bias that is a problem inherent to cross-sectional studies.

Conclusions

Our findings support the relevance of depression as a prevalent condition among adults. It also provided evidence of the factors associated with depression, and that some are potentially modifiable risk factors may have implications for policy and health service planning.     

Risk factors for onset of menopausal symptoms: results from a large cohort study

OBJECTIVES: Menopause, the permanent cessation of ovarian activity, is part of normal aging, resulting in climacteric symptoms for most women, particularly in Western countries. The objective of the present study was to analyse risk factors for onset of menopausal symptoms. METHODS: Analyses were based on the 28,118 women participating in the French E3N cohort study who reached menopause between 1990 and 2000. Questionnaires were sent every 2 years, and specifically enquired about use of hormonal treatments, reproductive factors, smoking status, anthropometric measurements, dietary habits and personal medical history, including onset of menopausal symptoms. Hazard ratios were computed from multivariable Cox proportional hazard models with age as the time-scale. RESULTS: The risk of onset of menopausal symptoms was negatively associated with education level and with some hormonal and reproductive factors (usual duration of menstrual cycles, parity and current use of oral contraceptives). A decrease in risk was found in those with underweight, overweight and obesity, but only in post-menopause. The risk was positively associated with smoking and alcohol consumption; it was also positively related to certain frequent medical conditions (depression, migraine, benign thyroid disease, atopy), possibly due to underlying common mechanisms such as the influence of vaso-active substances. Among dietary factors, rapidly absorbed sugars and snacking were positively associated with the risk of onset of menopausal symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: Onset of menopausal symptoms seems to be affected by various reproductive, hormonal and environmental factors. Some of them are modifiable, which may allow suggesting recommendations.     

Risk factors for sensitization to furred pets

The risk factors for sensitization to pets was investigated in 169 male pupils. A recent or former contact with cats, dogs, and guinea pigs in own home was reported in 52 (30.8%), 42 (24.9%), and 20 (11.8%) study subjects, respectively. Clinically manifested allergy was found in two probands to cats and in two others to guinea pigs, three of them had formerly had pets and one proband with allergic rhinitis to cats had never had any pet. Sensitization to animals and aeroallergens was investigated with Phadezym-RAST. Only owners of cats had a higher incidence of cat sensitization than probands without direct contact (26.9% versus 10.3%, P less than 0.01). No statistically significant difference in sensitization to dogs and guinea pigs was found in groups with and without these pets. A strong correlation existed between sensitization to pets and other aeroallergens (house dust mite: P less than 0.025, birch pollen: P less than 0.0001, mugwort: P less than 0.0001, and grass pollens: P less than 0.0001). No association was found between sensitization to pets and smoking history, bronchial hyperreactivity to methacholine or radiological findings of the paranasal sinus.     

Risk factors for falls among older adults: A review of the literature

Falls are one of the major causes of mortality and morbidity in older adults. Every year, an estimated 30–40% of patients over the age of 65 will fall at least once. Falls lead to moderate to severe injuries, fear of falling, loss of independence and death in a third of those patients. The direct costs alone from fall related injuries are a staggering 0.1% of all healthcare expenditures in the United States and up to 1.5% of healthcare costs in European countries. This figure does not include the indirect costs of loss of income both to the patient and caregiver, the intangible losses of mobility, confidence, and functional independence. Numerous studies have attempted to define the risk factors for falls in older adults. The present review provides a brief summary and update of the relevant literature, summarizing demographic and modifiable risk factors. The major risk factors identified are impaired balance and gait, polypharmacy, and history of previous falls. Other risk factors include advancing age, female gender, visual impairments, cognitive decline especially attention and executive dysfunction, and environmental factors. Recommendations for the clinician to manage falls in older patients are also summarized.     

Evaluating pancreatitis in primary care: a population-based cohort study

Background

Pancreatitis is an important condition with significant mortality. Primary care may have an important role to play in its prevention, early diagnosis, and ongoing management.

Aim

To evaluate incidence, case fatality, and clinical features of acute and chronic pancreatitis in a large population.

Design and setting

Population-based cohort study using a primary care database in the UK from 1990 to 2013.

Method

Use of general practice records from 16 491 patients diagnosed with pancreatitis. Age-standardised incidence rates and case fatality were estimated. Clinical features, aetiology, and patterns of recurrence were evaluated.

Results

Incidence of pancreatitis increased from 14.8 in 100 000 (1990–1994) to 31.2 in 100 000 (2010–2013) in males, and from 14.5 to 28.3 in 100 000 in females (2010–2013). Overall case fatality after diagnosis was 4.3% (95% CI = 4.0% to 4.6%) at 90 days and 7.9% (95% CI = 7.5% to 8.4%) at 365 days. In 1990–1994, 10% of patients with acute pancreatitis were recorded as heavy drinkers, increasing to 12% in 2010–2012; for patients with chronic pancreatitis the proportions were 13%, rising to 21%. Among patients who died in the 90 days after diagnosis, 92% consulted with their general practice in the 2 months before first diagnosis.

Conclusion

The incidence of pancreatitis is increasing over time. Alcohol abuse may now account for at least one in eight cases of acute, and one in five cases of chronic pancreatitis. Consultations among those who subsequently died may have offered potential for earlier diagnosis and intervention.