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1.

Background

With the rapid pace of population ageing, tuberculosis in older people has become a public health challenge in China. However, the age-structured epidemiological transition and its impact on achieving the end tuberculosis targets by 2035 have not been understood well. We analysed the age-structured incidence and mortality of pulmonary tuberculosis reported in China to inform current and future control programmes.

Methods

In this longitudinal study, we compared the trends of age-specific reported incidence and mortality of pulmonary tuberculosis from 2005 to 2015 in China. In addition to crude rates, we calculated age-adjusted rates from 2006 to 2015 by taking the population in 2005 as reference. We determined the annual crude and age-adjusted rates of reduction by fitting an exponential linear regression model, and extrapolated up to 2035 given fixed decline rates. All data were collected from national Infectious Disease Reporting System and Diseases Surveillance System.

Findings

We noted overall downward trends of reported tuberculosis incidence and mortality in all age and sex groups since 2005, whereas the proportion of older people (aged 65 years and older) among reported patients with tuberculosis and deaths increased gradually. The total tuberculosis incidence and mortality were significantly higher in older people (193·0 cases per 100?000 people and 18·7 deaths per 100?000 people, respectively) than in younger groups (66·6 cases per 100?000 and 1·7 deaths per 100?000 people). The average annual decline in crude incidence was 4·2% (95% CI 3·5–4·9) and 5·1% (4·3–5·9%) in age-adjusted incidence; the annual decline in crude mortality was 9·7% (95% CI 8·4–10·9) and 12·4% (10·9–13·8) in age-adjusted mortality. Extrapolating this trend, by 2035, the crude incidence of tuberculosis was expected to reach 26·8 cases per 100?000 people and the age-adjusted incidence to reach 20·6 cases per 100?000 people, which would result in a total reduction of 57·8% and 65·0%, respectively, compared with the rates in 2015. By 2035, the crude mortality was expected to reach 0·33 deaths per 100?000 people and the age-adjusted mortality to reach 0·15 deaths per 100?000 people, which would result in a total reduction of 86·0% and 92·0%, respectively, compared with the rates in 2015.

Interpretation

These findings demonstrated an age transition of tuberculosis epidemic and the effects of population ageing on slowing down tuberculosis control progress made in China. An average 6–7% reduction would be cancelled out by 2035 given current tuberculosis decline trend and demographic change. An enhanced surveillance with age-sensitive analysis of patients with tuberculosis and a targeted response are needed.

Funding

None.  相似文献   

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Background

The level and pace of mortality, and causes of death in children and adolescents might vary across regions within China. We aimed to analyse the national and subnational mortality trends, and the principal causes of deaths among Chinese children and adolescents aged 1–19 years from 1953 to 2016.

Methods

Data were drawn from the Global Burden of Disease study, Chinese Population Census, and China Health Statistics Yearbooks. National mortalities from 1953 to 2016 and subnational mortalities from 1981 to 2010 were calculated on the basis of data from the Chinese Population Census and China Health Statistics Yearbooks. The causes of deaths were taken from the Global Burden of Disease data for 1990 to 2016.

Findings

Mortality of Chinese children and adolescents aged 1–19 years declined steadily from 1953 to 2016, and there was a marked decline in mortality rates in children aged 1– 4 years during this period. Large subnational disparities in mortality (from all causes) existed across the 31 provinces, with higher mortality in western regions (eg, Xinjiang, Guizhou, and Yunnan). and lower mortality in eastern regions (eg, Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei), but this gap narrowed with time from 1981 to 2010 (the period for which regional data were available). Injuries caused the highest number of deaths in children and adolescents (aged 1–19 years) each year from 1990 to 2016. Until 2016, the three factors that caused the highest numbers of deaths were road injuries (8·22 per 100?000 people), drowning (8·07 per 100?000 people), and congenital birth defects (3·22 per 100?000 people), but in 1990, they were drowning (31·21 per 100?000 people), lower respiratory infection (18·00 per 100?000 people), and road injuries (15·91 per 100 000 people). Drowning caused the most mortality in boys and in children aged 1–14 years, and road injury caused the most mortality in girls and in adolescents aged 15–19 years in 2016.

Interpretation

Remarkable improvements in the mortality rates of Chinese children and adolescents were observed from 1953 to 2016. There was also a reduction in the large subnational differences in mortality rates for this group in China, nevertheless disparities were still present in 2010. Our findings emphasise the need to strengthen measures to reduce the occurrence and severity of injuries, to establish subnational health systems across the nation, and to further reduce the subnational disparity in mortality rates across the provinces of China.

Funding

The study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation to JM (81673192).  相似文献   

7.

Background

Nationwide data on clinical diagnosis and treatment of lung cancer is scarce in China. The aim of this study was to investigate the 10-year profile of lung cancer on clinical characteristics and medical service use in China.

Methods

This study was a hospital-based multicentre retrospective survey. Patients diagnosed with primary lung cancer in tertiary hospitals during 2005–14 were selected from seven geographic regions of China. One month was randomly chosen to represent one year for each hospital by allocating a random number, and 100 cases were included for each month. Inclusion criteria included age 18 years or older, available data on pathological type, stage, and therapy regime. We used a structured questionnaire, designed by a multidisciplinary expert panel of the National Cancer Center of China, to extract information via medical records, including demographic and clinical characteristics and medical service use. To protect patients' privacy, we allocated an identical ID for each patient and filtered the private information. We applied Cochran-Armitage χ2 test to trend analyses and χ2 test to geographical variations. This study was approved by Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Ethics Committee.

Findings

Of 7184 included patients, mean age at diagnosis was 58·3 years (SD 10·2) and non-small cell lung cancer accounted for 6481 (90·2%) patients· Over the decade, the number of patients aged 60 years or older increased from 282 (41·2%) in 2005 to 460 (56·2%) in 2014 (p<0·0001; following data represented the year 2005 and 2014, respectively). The proportion of patients smoking decreased from 62·9% (418) to 51·1% (415; p<0·0001) and proportion of women increased from 23·5% (161) to 31·9% (261; p<0·0001). The proportion of advanced stage cancer (IIIb-IV) increased from 41·9% (279) to 47·4% (378; p<0·0001). Adenocarcinoma's proportion increased from 36·4% (236) to 53·5% (410; p<0·0001) while that of squamous carcinoma decreased from 45·4% (294) to 34·4% (264; p<0·0001). The application of chest X-ray dropped from 50·2% (343) to 31·0% (253; p<0·0001) but that of chest CT increased from 65·8% (450) to 81·4% (666; p<0·0001). As the most common used treatment options, chemotherapy (from 36·0% [246] to 36·4% [298]; p=0·2895) and surgery (from 28·8% [197] to 32·0% [262]; p=0·4970) remained stable. Significant difference of advanced stage cancer and chest CT usage were found among different geographical regions (p<0·0001), and more details will be reported elsewhere.

Interpretation

The sustaining high smoking exposure, increase of female patients, and upstaging cancer demonstrate potential challenges and future directions on lung cancer prevention and control in China. Despite substantial changes of clinical characteristics, main treatment options remained unchanged, which merits further investigation.

Funding

National Health and Family Planning Commission of China.  相似文献   

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Bian  Sainan  Wang  Li  Fei  Yunyun  Liu  Suying  Chen  Hua  Zhang  Fengchun 《Clinical rheumatology》2021,40(8):3311-3317
Clinical Rheumatology - To analyze the clinical and laboratory features of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) patients complicated with cancer, and explore the potential factors associated with...  相似文献   

10.
Liu  Jufen  Jin  Lei  Li  Zhiwen  Zhang  Yali  Zhang  Le  Wang  Linlin  Ren  Aiguo 《Metabolic brain disease》2018,33(3):837-842
Metabolic Brain Disease - Congenital hydrocephalus (CH) was a major birth defect of the central nervous system besides neural tube defects (NTDs). Few studies have focused on both the prevalence...  相似文献   

11.
ObjectivesLittle is known about the magnitude of catastrophic health expenditure (CHE) attributable to critical disease, especially in the middle-aged and elderly population. This research aimed to exploring the key aspects of how the health insurance fails to protect the middle-aged and elderly against CHE in the past five years. And propose corresponding measures to improve.MethodsData were obtained from the 2011 to 2015 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. The method was adapted from WHO to calculate the catastrophic health expenditure (CHE) and impoverishment by medical expense (IME), and use Generalized Linear Mixed Models (GLMMs) to comprehensively analyze the risk factors that cause middle-aged and elderly people to fall into CHE.ResultsThe incidence of CHE of China’s middle-aged and elderly population has been rose in the five years from 2011 (10.5 %) to 2013 (17.5 %) to 2015 (19.7 %). The CHE of richest families was almost 6 times from 2011 to 2015. Urban Employee Medical Insurance Scheme, the incidence of CHE was up 10 percentage from 2011 to 2015. According to the GLMMs, families have inpatient cares as the most important factor to CHE. The incidence of CHE increased by 2.25 times compared with those who did not use inpatient services.ConclusionsThe health system needs to control the irrational growth of health expenses and reduce residents’ overuse of health services. Government should take supplementary measures to comprehensively strengthen the advantages of health insurance. Raise residents' awareness of health care, enhance citizens' physical fitness, and avoid unnecessary waste of health resources.  相似文献   

12.
AIM:To study clinical characteristics and management ofpatients with early severe acute pancreatitis (ESAP).METHODS:Data of 297 patients with severe acutepancreatitis (SAP) admitted to our hospital within 72 h afteronset of symptoms from January 1991 to June 2003 werereviewed for the occurrence and development of early severeacute pancreatitis (ESAP).ESAP was defined as presence oforgan dysfunction within 72 h after onset of symptoms.Sixty-nine patients had ESAP,228 patients without organdysfunction within 72 h after onset of symptoms had SAP.The clinical characteristics,incidence of organ dysfunctionduring hospitalization and prognosis between ESAP and SAPwere compared.RESULTS:Impairment degree of pancreas (Balthazar CTclass) in ESAP was more serious than that in SAP (5.31±0.68vs 3.68±0.29,P<0.01).ESAP had a higher mortality thanSAP (43.4% vs 2.6%,P<0.01),and a higher incidence ofhypoxemia (85.5% vs 25%,P<0.01),pancreas infection(15.9% vs7.5%,P<0.05),abdominal compartment syndrome(ACS) (78.3% vs 23.2%,P<0.01) and multiple organdysfunction syndrome (MODS)(78.3% vs 10.1%,P<0.01).In multiple logistic regression analysis,the main predisposingfactors to ESAP were higher APACHE Ⅱ score,Balthazar CTclass,MODS and hypoxemia.CONCLUSION:ESAP is characterised by MODS,severepathological changes of pancreas,early hypoxemia andabdominal compartment syndrome.Given the poor prognosisof ESAP,these patients should be treated in specializedintensive care units with special measures such as closesupervision,fluid resuscitation,improvement of hypoxemia,reduction of pancreatic secretion,elimination of inflammatorymediators,prevention and treatment of pancreatic infections.  相似文献   

13.
《The Journal of asthma》2013,50(8):860-864
Background. Against the background of an increasing prevalence of allergies, the epidemiology of asthma in relation to age is still a matter of debate. To further clarify the prevalence of asthma, asthmatic symptoms, and their change over time within a population sample, we analyzed longitudinal data from the Study of Health in Pomerania (SHIP). Methods. Standardized questionnaires for asthma and asthmatic symptoms were available in 4310 individuals aged 20–75 years. The population sample underwent a 5-year follow-up with 3300 subjects reexamined. The questionnaire evaluated estimates to describe the prevalence in wheeze, chest tightness, shortness of breath, coughing, nocturnal symptoms, and asthma attacks in the past 12 months, current medications, current asthma, and nasal allergies at baseline and its longitudinal net change. Results. The prevalence of current asthma at the baseline study was 1.8% [95% confidence interval (CI 1.4–2.2)], those of nasal allergies 16.7% (95% CI 15.6–17.9). Sixteen percent of asthmatic individuals were not medically treated. The net changes in asthmatic symptoms per 60 months of follow-up ranged between a decrease by 2.0% (chest tightness at night) and an increase by 1.2% (nocturnal attack of coughing). The proportions of subjects with current asthma remained unchanged. The prevalence of current asthma and symptoms was higher in young individuals, whereas the net change over time was slightly increasing at the age of 36 and above. Conclusion. Despite the fact of a high prevalence of subjects complaining of nasal allergies, the overall prevalence of current asthma remained low over time. The prevalence in asthma and asthmatic symptoms as well as its net changes over 5 years were age dependent.  相似文献   

14.
BackgroundRecent evidences showed that the incidence of colorectal cancer decreased among older adults, yet this decline didn't appear in adults younger than 50 years. Our aim was to evaluate age-related incidence trends of colon and rectal cancers in China during 2005-2015.MethodsA retrospective study of colon and rectal cancers was conducted using population-based data from the Chinese Cancer Registry Annual Report. Age at diagnosis was analyzed in five sub-groups (0–19, 20–34, 35–49, 50–64 and 65 years). Data including new cases, incidence, and age-standardized rates (ASRs) were classified by sex and area. Temporal trends of ASRs were determined with Joinpoint regression analysis.ResultsFrom 2005 to 2015, colon cancer incidence decreased by -2.2% (95%CI: -3.1, -1.3) per year. A more steady decrease was seen in rectal cancer with AAPC of -0.9% (95%CI: -1.4, -0.4). Stratified by age at diagnosis, incidence trends followed a similar pattern, without age-related disparity. Females showed pronounced declines relative to males. The exception was that rural individuals showed opposite increasing trends, with 2.7% of AAPCs for colon cancer and 2.0% for rectal cancer.ConclusionA slight decline was observed in colon and rectal cancers during 2005–2015, regardless of age at diagnosis.  相似文献   

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Background

In 2009, China initiated health-care reforms, which aimed to provide affordable and accessible medical care for the country's entire population by 2020. We aimed to analyse the equity of the distribution of China's health resources since the health-care reform.

Methods

In this analysis of nationwide data, we obtained data about China's health resources and wealth by province for the years 2009–15 from the China Statistical Yearbooks and Chinese National Health and Family Planning Commission Yearbooks published by the Chinese Government. We calculated concentration indexes based on population size to evaluate the equity of resource allocation according to wealth (assessed by per-capita gross domestic product). Concentration index values range from ?1 to 1; 0 indicates absolute equity. A negative value means that resources are concentrated within poorer populations, whereas a positive value indicates that resources are concentrated within richer populations.

Findings

During 2009–15, hospital beds were concentrated in richer regions (concentration index range 0·0202 to 0·0587 [minimum to maximum values obtained during 2009–15]) and primary care sector beds were concentrated in poorer regions (?0·0955 to ?0·0581). The concentration index for hospitals changed from 0·0037 in 2009 to ?0·298 in 2015, indicating a trend in hospital concentration moving from richer to poorer areas. The primary care sector consistently concentrated in poorer regions (concentration index range ?0·0848 to ?0·0646). Total health expenditure (0·1201 to 0·1481), including paid by government (0·0285 to 0·0623), society (0·2048 to 0·2496), and individuals (0·0828 to 0·1170), concentrated in richer regions. Health workers (0·0325 to 0·0555) and physicians (0·0758 to 0·0909) also concentrated in the richer regions.

Interpretation

The distribution of China's health resources is equitable, but human health resources and financial health resources were more concentrated in richer regions. An increase in the concentration of well resourced hospitals in richer regions and poorly resourced primary care institutions in poorer regions might further enlarge the health-care utilisation gap between rich and poor populations.

Funding

National Key Research and Development Program of China (2016YFC1000102, 2016YFC1000307), and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (81602854).  相似文献   

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AIM: To study clinical characteristics and management of patients with early severe acute pancreatitis (ESAP). METHODS: Data of 297 patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) admitted to our hospital within 72 h after onset of symptoms from January 1991 to June 2003 were reviewed for the occurrence and development of early severe acute pancreatitis (ESAP). ESAP was defined as presence of organ dysfunction within 72 h after onset of symptoms. Sixty-nine patients had ESAP, 228 patients without organ dysfunction within 72 h after onset of symptoms had SAP. The clinical characteristics, incidence of organ dysfunction during hospitalization and prognosis between ESAP and SAP were compared. RESULTS: Impairment degree of pancreas (Balthazar CT class) in ESAP was more serious than that in SAP (5.31+/-0.68 vs 3.68+/-0.29, P<0.01). ESAP had a higher mortality than SAP (43.4% vs 2.6%, P<0.01), and a higher incidence of hypoxemia (85.5% vs 25%, P<0.01), pancreas infection (15.9% vs 7.5%, P<0.05), abdominal compartment syndrome (ACS) (78.3% vs 23.2%, P<0.01) and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS)(78.3% vs 10.1%, P<0.01). In multiple logistic regression analysis, the main predisposing factors to ESAP were higher APACHE II score, Balthazar CT class, MODS and hypoxemia. CONCLUSION: ESAP is characterised by MODS, severe pathological changes of pancreas, early hypoxemia and abdominal compartment syndrome. Given the poor prognosis of ESAP, these patients should be treated in specialized intensive care units with special measures such as close supervision, fluid resuscitation, improvement of hypoxemia, reduction of pancreatic secretion, elimination of inflammatory mediators, prevention and treatment of pancreatic infections.  相似文献   

20.

Background

Neuropsychiatric conditions have become the leading cause of disability in adolescents aged 11–24 globally. Higher neighbourhood economic status was found to be associated with lower incidence of neuropsychiatric conditions in children and adolescents in developed countries, but there is a lack of evidence in China. This study aims to examine the associations between neighbourhood poverty and psychological distress among adolescents in China.

Methods

We applied multilevel logistic regression to data from the 2014 China Family Panel Studies. 281 villages and 226 cities were randomly selected, and 1790 adolescents aged 11–15 were surveyed from 2178 households selected randomly. Severe psychological distress was defined as a score of 16 or over out of 24 in the K6 psychological disorder scale. Neighbourhood economic status was measured in two ways: using the log of median household monthly income within the community; and the percentage of residents receiving governmental subsistence allowance. Neighbourhood poverty was defined as more than 15% of residents receiving governmental subsistence allowance. We controlled for family-level economic conditions by ranking the households within each community by income. We also controlled for family structure and individual demographics. Rural and urban neighbourhoods were analysed separately.

Findings

Of the surveyed adolescents, 2·3% (41 of 1790) were at high risk of severe distress (a score of >16 out of 24). The percentages were substantially higher in villages (2·6%, 29 of 1107) than in cities (1·8%, 12 of 683). Multilevel regression demonstrated diverse risk factors of psychological distress between adolescents in rural and urban areas. In villages, neighbourhood poverty was a significant and positive predictor of psychological distress in adolescents (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 3·54, 95% CI 1·05–11·88, p=0·04), net of family-level and individual-level features. In cities, neighbourhood poverty had no significant effect on adolescents' mental health, but adolescents in families with higher income rankings within the community had a lower risk of psychological distress (0·81, 0·67–0·97, p=0·02). Median neighbourhood income and total household income were insignificant to adolescents' psychological distress in both rural and urban China.

Interpretation

Our findings highlight the serious issue of psychological distress in adolescents, and its influencing factors, in rural and urban China. The study focused on neighbourhood poverty. Further studies may consider other ecological characteristics.

Funding

No funding.  相似文献   

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