Recent and past use of conjugated estrogens in relation to adenocarcinoma of the endometrium

It has been suggested that the reported association between estrogen use and endometrial cancer may have been biased because estrogens provoke uterine bleeding in women with otherwise asymptomatic disease. To evaluate this hypothesis we compared 149 patients with endometrial cancer and 402 control subjects with other conditions with reference to the time when they had last used conjugated estrogens. In women who had last used conjugated estrogens two or more years previously and who had taken them for at least five years, the rate-ratio estimate was 3.3 (95 per cent confidence interval, 1.4 to 8.0) relative to women who had never used them. Uterine bleeding, and hence the diagnosis of otherwise asymptomatic cancer, cannot be attributed to estrogen use that ceased in the distant past. Our results suggest that such use has a residual effect on the risk of endometrial cancer; this effect is not accounted for by biased selection of cases according to estrogen use.     

Cigarette smoking and the risk of endometrial cancer

Because of evidence of reduced estrogen excretion in the urine of women who smoke cigarettes and evidence linking estrogen levels to the risk of cancer of the female reproductive system, we evaluated the risk of endometrial cancer in relation to cigarette use in a hospital-based case-control study of 510 women with endometrial cancer (cases) and 727 women with other cancers (controls). The rate-ratio estimate (relative risk) for current smokers as compared with women who had never smoked was 0.7 (95 per cent confidence interval, 0.5 to 1.0), and for former smokers the estimate was 0.9 (0.6 to 1.2). For women currently smoking 25 or more cigarettes per day, the rate-ratio estimate was 0.5 (0.3 to 0.8). The effect of current smoking of at least 25 cigarettes per day appeared to be confined to postmenopausal women, among whom the estimate was 0.5 (0.2 to 0.9). Among premenopausal women the estimate was 0.9 (0.4 to 2.2), but the difference between these two estimates could have been due to chance. The data suggest that women who smoke heavily may have a lower risk of endometrial cancer than nonsmokers. The present findings do not have direct public health importance since cigarettes, overall, have serious deleterious effects. However, if these results are confirmed, elucidation of the underlying mechanisms whereby smoking reduces the risk would be of interest and might be useful in the development of strategies for preventing endometrial cancer.     

Estrogens and endometrial cancer in a retirement community.

All cases of endometrial cancer occurring among the residents of an affluent retirement community were compared with controls chosen from a roster of all women in the same community. Evidence of estrogen and other drug use and of selected medical conditions was obtained from three sources: medical records of the principal care facility, interviews, and the records of the local pharmacy. The risk ratio for any estrogen use was estimated from all available evidence to be 8.0 (95 per cent confidence interval, 3.5 to 18.1). and the for conjugated estrogen use to be 5.6 (95 per cent confidence interval, 2.8 to 11.1). Increased risk from estrogens was shown for invasive as well as noninvasive cancer, and a dose-response effect was demonstrated. For an estrogen user, the risk from endometrial cancer appeared to exceed by far the base-line risk from any other single cancer.     

Estrogen and endometrial carcinoma. An independent pathology review supporting original risk estimate.

Initial evidence suggested that estrogen therapy increases the risk of endometrial carcinoma. It was then suggested that some studies may have exaggerated the hazard of estrogen therapy by including patients with atypical endometrial hyperplasia among those having endometrial carcinoma. Three internationally recognized pathologists reviewed the histology slides available from the Ziel and Finkle study, which originally reported a risk ratio of 7.6 for estrogen users. At least one of the pathologists concurred with the original diagnosis in all but one case. Furthermore, all pathologists aggreed that 74 per cent (66/89) were correctly diagnosed. In the 66 patients with unanimous diagnosis, 61 per cent (40/66) had used conjugated estrogens, versus 57 per cent (54/94) in the original study. On the basis of 66 patients and 132 matched controls, the revised risk-ratio estimate is 8.1 (with a one-sided 95 per cent lower confidence limit of 4.5), validating the original estimate.     

Increased risk of endometrial carcinoma among users of conjugated estrogens.

The possibility that the use of conjugated estrogens increases the risk of endometrial carcinoma was investigated in patients and a twofold age-matched control series from the same population. Conjugated estrogens (principally sodium estrone sulfate) use was recorded for 57 per cent of 94 patients with endometrial carcinoma, and for 15 per cent of controls. The corresponding point estimate of the (instantaneous) risk ratio was 7.6 with a one-sided 95 per cent lower confidence limit of 4.7. The risk-ratio estimate increased with duration of exposure: from 5.6 for 1 to 4.9 years exposure to 13.9 for seven or more years. The estimated proportion of cases related to conjugated estrogens, the etiologic fraction, was 50 per cent with a one-sided 95 per cent lower confidence limit of 41 per cent. These data suggest that conjugated estrogens have an etiologic role in endometrial carcinoma.     

Risk factors for breast cancer in women with proliferative breast disease

To assess the importance of various risk factors for breast cancer in women with benign proliferative breast lesions, we reevaluated 10,366 consecutive breast biopsies performed in women who had presented at three Nashville hospitals. The median duration of follow-up was 17 years for 3303 women, 1925 of whom had proliferative disease. This sample contained 84.4 per cent of the patients originally selected for follow-up. Women having proliferative disease without atypical hyperplasia had a risk of cancer that was 1.9 times the risk in women with nonproliferative lesions (95 per cent confidence interval, 1.2 to 2.9). The risk in women with atypical hyperplasia (atypia) was 5.3 times that in women with nonproliferative lesions (95 per cent confidence interval, 3.1 to 8.8). A family history of breast cancer had little effect on the risk in women with nonproliferative lesions. However, the risk in women with atypia and a family history of breast cancer was 11 times that in women who had nonproliferative lesions without a family history (95 per cent confidence interval, 5.5 to 24). Calcification elevated the cancer risk in patients with proliferative disease. Although cysts alone did not substantially elevate the risk, women with both cysts and a family history of breast cancer had a risk 2.7 times higher than that for women without either of these risk factors (95 per cent confidence interval, 1.5 to 4.6). This study demonstrates that the majority of women (70 per cent) who undergo breast biopsy for benign disease are not at increased risk of cancer. However, patients with a clinically meaningful elevation in cancer risk can be identified on the basis of atypical hyperplasia and a family history of breast cancer.     

Heavy phenacetin use and bladder cancer in women aged 20 to 49 years

We investigated the use of analgesics containing phenacetin or acetaminophen in 173 young women with urinary bladder cancer and 173 matched controls. The cases, who were 20 to 49 years old at the time of diagnosis of cancer, were 6.5 times more likely to report regular use of analgesics containing phenacetin at least one year before diagnosis than were their matched controls (odds ratio, 6.5; 95 per cent confidence interval, 1.5 to 59.2). Among the 15 women (13 cases and 2 controls) reporting regular use of phenacetin-containing drugs, 8 of the cases and 1 of the controls reported daily use for over one year (P = 0.04). Excessive use of analgesics containing acetaminophen was not reported. The increased risk of bladder cancer in young women who regularly used phenacetin-containing products remained present after adjustments for all other identified risk factors.     

Letter: Myocardial infarction and estrogen therapy in premenopausal women.

This letter was written in response to the paper by Mann et al. (British Medical Journal 2: 241-245, 1975) which reported an association between oral contraceptive (OC) use and acute myocardial infarction. Rosenberg et al. found that among 34 patients with myocardial infarction, 4 were current users of OCs and 2 used other estrogen-containing drugs. Among 1213 reference women the use was 79 and 26, respectively. The "relative risk" for OC users was 1.9 (95% confidence interval) and for other estrogen users it was 2.8 as compared with nonusers. When standardized for age these estimates became 2.2 and 2.1 and when standardized for the effects of cigarette smoking, history of hypertension, angina, and/ or diabetes the summary rate-ratio estimate for OC users decreased to 1.3 and left essentially unchanged the estimate for other estrogen users. These results are compatible with a modest increase, if any, in risk of myocardial infarction in premenopausal women associated with estrogen use, such as that reported by Mann et al.     

The risk of myocardial infarction after quitting smoking in men under 55 years of age

We assessed the effect of quitting cigarette smoking on the incidence of nonfatal myocardial infarction in men under the age of 55 in a case-control study of 1873 men with first episodes of myocardial infarction and 2775 controls. For "current" smokers (men who had smoked in the previous year) as compared with those who had never smoked, the estimated relative risk of myocardial infarction, adjusted for age, was 2.9 (95 per cent confidence interval, 2.4 to 3.4). Among exsmokers (those who had last smoked at least one year previously), the relative-risk estimate declined to a value close to unity for those who had abstained for at least two years; the estimate was 2.0 (1.1 to 3.8) for men who had abstained for 12 to 23 months, and the estimates were about 1.0 for men who had abstained for longer intervals. The results were unchanged by allowance for multiple potential confounding factors. A similar pattern was apparent among exsmokers who had smoked heavily for many years; among those predisposed to a myocardial infarction because of family history, hypertension, or other risk factors; and among those with no apparent predisposition. The results suggest that the risk of myocardial infarction in cigarette smokers decreases within a few years of quitting to a level similar to that in men who have never smoked.     

Breast cancer and cigarette smoking

It has been suggested that cigarette smoking may reduce the incidence of breast cancer, perhaps by as much as 20 per cent. To evaluate the relation between breast-cancer risk and smoking, we studied 2160 women with breast cancer and 717 controls who had been admitted to the hospital for cancer of the ovary, cancer of the colon or rectum, malignant melanoma, or lymphoreticular cancers. As compared with women who had never smoked, the estimated relative risk of breast cancer was 1.1 for current smokers of any amount (95 per cent confidence interval, 0.9 to 1.3), and 1.0 (0.8 to 1.3) for heavy smokers (15 or more cigarettes per day). Allowance for all identified potential confounding factors did not materially alter the results. There was no indication that age at commencement of smoking was related to the risk, nor was there evidence of an effect of smoking within the categories of age at first pregnancy or age at menopause. The data provide evidence against the hypothesis that smoking may reduce the incidence of breast cancer by 20 per cent.     

Myocardial infarction and estrogen therapy in post-menopausal women.

Data obtained from two multipurpose surveys of hospitalized patients were examined to determine the risk of nonfatal acute myocardial infarction in post-menopausal women 40 to 75 years of age in relation to use of estrogen-containing drugs. Eight (2.4 per cent) of 336 myocardial infarction patients and 330 (4.9 per cent) of 6730 reference patients were regular estrogen users (crude rate ratio, 0.47) at the time of hospitalization. After control for confounding variables -- among them, age, past history of myocardial in farction, angina, diabetes, and hypertension (alone or in combination) and cigarette smoking -- the summary point estimate of rate ratio was 0.97 with 95 per cent confidence limits of 0.48 and 1.95. Thus, there was no evidence of a statistically significant association between current regular use of estrogens and nonfatal acute myocardial infarction.     

Postmenopausal estrogen therapy and cardiovascular disease. Ten-year follow-up from the nurses' health study

BACKGROUND. The effect of postmenopausal estrogen therapy on the risk of cardiovascular disease remains controversial. Our 1985 report in the Journal, based on four years of follow-up, suggested that estrogen therapy reduced the risk of coronary heart disease, but a report published simultaneously from the Framingham Study suggested that the risk was increased. In addition, studies of the effect of estrogens on stroke have yielded conflicting results. METHODS. We followed 48,470 postmenopausal women, 30 to 63 years old, who were participants in the Nurses' Health Study, and who did not have a history of cancer or cardiovascular disease at base line. During up to 10 years of follow-up (337,854 person-years), we documented 224 strokes, 405 cases of major coronary disease (nonfatal myocardial infarctions or deaths from coronary causes), and 1263 deaths from all causes. RESULTS. After adjustment for age and other risk factors, the overall relative risk of major coronary disease in women currently taking estrogen was 0.56 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.40 to 0.80); the risk was significantly reduced among women with either natural or surgical menopause. We observed no effect of the duration of estrogen use independent of age. The findings were similar in analyses limited to women who had recently visited their physicians (relative risk, 0.45; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.31 to 0.66) and in a low-risk group that excluded women reporting current cigarette smoking, diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, or a Quetelet index above the 90th percentile (relative risk, 0.53; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.31 to 0.91). The relative risk for current and former users of estrogen as compared with those who had never used it was 0.89 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.78 to 1.00) for total mortality and 0.72 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.55 to 0.95) for mortality from cardiovascular disease. The relative risk of stroke when current users were compared with those who had never used estrogen was 0.97 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.65 to 1.45), with no marked differences according to type of stroke. CONCLUSIONS. Current estrogen use is associated with a reduction in the incidence of coronary heart disease as well as in mortality from cardiovascular disease, but it is not associated with any change in the risk of stroke.     

Oral contraceptives and the risk of myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: An association between the use of oral contraceptives and the risk of myocardial infarction has been found in some, but not all, studies. We investigated this association, according to the type of progestagen included in third-generation (i.e., desogestrel or gestodene) and second-generation (i.e., levonorgestrel) oral contraceptives, the dose of estrogen, and the presence or absence of prothrombotic mutations METHODS: In a nationwide, population-based, case-control study, we identified and enrolled 248 women 18 through 49 years of age who had had a first myocardial infarction between 1990 and 1995 and 925 control women who had not had a myocardial infarction and who were matched for age, calendar year of the index event, and area of residence. Subjects supplied information on oral-contraceptive use and major cardiovascular risk factors. An analysis for factor V Leiden and the G20210A mutation in the prothrombin gene was conducted in 217 patients and 763 controls RESULTS: The odds ratio for myocardial infarction among women who used any type of combined oral contraceptive, as compared with nonusers, was 2.0 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.5 to 2.8). The adjusted odds ratio was 2.5 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.5 to 4.1) among women who used second-generation oral contraceptives and 1.3 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.7 to 2.5) among those who used third-generation oral contraceptives. Among women who used oral contraceptives, the odds ratio was 2.1 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.5 to 3.0) for those without a prothrombotic mutation and 1.9 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.6 to 5.5) for those with a mutation CONCLUSIONS: The risk of myocardial infarction was increased among women who used second-generation oral contraceptives. The results with respect to the use of third-generation oral contraceptives were inconclusive but suggested that the risk was lower than the risk associated with second-generation oral contraceptives. The risk of myocardial infarction was similar among women who used oral contraceptives whether or not they had a prothrombotic mutation.     

A prospective study of postmenopausal estrogen therapy and coronary heart disease

To clarify the possible role of postmenopausal estrogen use in coronary heart disease, we surveyed 121,964 female nurses, aged 30 to 55 years, with mailed questionnaires, beginning in 1976. Information on hormone use and other potential risk factors was updated and the incidence of coronary heart disease was ascertained through additional questionnaires in 1978 and 1980, with a 92.7 per cent follow-up. End points were documented by medical records. During 105,786 person-years of observation among 32,317 postmenopausal women who were initially free of coronary disease, 90 women had either nonfatal myocardial infarctions (65 cases) or fatal coronary heart disease (25 cases). As compared with the risk in women who had never used postmenopausal hormones, the age-adjusted relative risk of coronary disease in those who had ever used them was 0.5 (95 per cent confidence limits, 0.3 and 0.8; P = 0.007), and the risk in current users was 0.3 (95 per cent confidence limits, 0.2 and 0.6; P = 0.001). The relative risks were similar for fatal and nonfatal disease and were unaltered after adjustment for cigarette smoking, hypertension, diabetes, high cholesterol levels, a parental history of myocardial infarction, past use of oral contraceptives, and obesity. These data support the hypothesis that the postmenopausal use of estrogen reduces the risk of severe coronary heart disease.     

A clinical trial of estrogen-replacement therapy after ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND: Observational studies have suggested that estrogen-replacement therapy may reduce a woman's risk of stroke and death. METHODS: We conducted a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of estrogen therapy (1 mg of estradiol-17beta per day) in 664 postmenopausal women (mean age, 71 years) who had recently had an ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack. Women were recruited from 21 hospitals in the United States and were followed for the occurrence of stroke or death. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up period of 2.8 years, there were 99 strokes or deaths among the women in the estradiol group, and 93 among those in the placebo group (relative risk in the estradiol group, 1.1; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.8 to 1.4). Estrogen therapy did not reduce the risk of death alone (relative risk, 1.2; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.8 to 1.8) or the risk of nonfatal stroke (relative risk, 1.0; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.7 to 1.4). The women who were randomly assigned to receive estrogen therapy had a higher risk of fatal stroke (relative risk, 2.9; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.9 to 9.0), and their nonfatal strokes were associated with slightly worse neurologic and functional deficits. CONCLUSIONS: Estradiol does not reduce mortality orthe recurrence of stroke in postmenopausal women with cerebrovascular disease. This therapy should not be prescribed for the secondary prevention of cerebrovascular disease.     

Cigarette smoking and risk of stroke in middle-aged women

It is known that cigarette smoking is associated with increased risk of both thrombotic and hemorrhagic stroke among men. To test for such an association among women, we examined the incidence of stroke in relation to cigarette smoking in a prospective cohort study of 118,539 women 30 to 55 years of age and free from coronary heart disease, stroke, and cancer in 1976. During eight years of follow-up (908,447 person-years), we identified 274 strokes, comprising 71 subarachnoid hemorrhages, 26 intracerebral hemorrhages, 122 thromboembolic strokes, and 55 strokes about which information was insufficient to permit classification. The number of cigarettes smoked per day was associated positively with the risk of stroke. Compared with the women who had never smoked, those who smoked 1 to 14 cigarettes per day had an age-adjusted relative risk of 2.2 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.5 to 3.3), whereas those who smoked 25 or more cigarettes per day had a relative risk of 3.7 (95 percent confidence interval, 2.7 to 5.1). For women in this latter group, the relative risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage was 9.8 (95 percent confidence interval, 5.3 to 17.9), as compared with those who had never smoked. Adjustment for the effects of relative weight, hypertension, diabetes, history of high cholesterol, previous use of oral contraceptives, postmenopausal estrogen therapy, and alcohol intake did not appreciably alter the association between cigarette use and incidence of stroke. These prospective data support a strong causal relation between cigarette smoking and stroke among young and middle-aged women.     

Aspirin use and reduced risk of fatal colon cancer.

BACKGROUND AND METHODS. Experiments in animals and two epidemiologic studies in humans suggest that aspirin and other nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) may be protective against colon cancer. We tested this hypothesis in a prospective mortality study of 662,424 adults who provided information in 1982 on the frequency and duration of their aspirin use. Death rates from colon cancer were measured through 1988. The possible influence of other risk factors for colon cancer was examined in multivariate analyses for 598 case patients and 3058 matched control subjects drawn from the cohort. RESULTS. Death rates from colon cancer decreased with more frequent aspirin use in both men and women. The relative risk among persons who used aspirin 16 or more times per month for at least one year was 0.60 in men (95 percent confidence interval, 0.40 to 0.89) and 0.58 in women (95 percent confidence interval, 0.37 to 0.90). The risk estimates were unaffected when we excluded persons who reported at entry into the study that they had cancer, heart disease, stroke, or another condition that might influence both their aspirin use and their mortality. Adjustment for dietary factors, obesity, physical activity, and family history did not alter the findings significantly. No association was found between the use of acetaminophen and the risk of colon cancer. CONCLUSIONS. Regular aspirin use at low doses may reduce the risk of fatal colon cancer. Whether this is due to a direct effect of aspirin, perhaps mediated by the inhibition of prostaglandin synthesis, or to other factors indirectly associated with aspirin use is unclear.     

Green tea and the risk of gastric cancer in Japan

BACKGROUND: Although laboratory experiments and case-control studies have suggested that the consumption of green tea provides protection against gastric cancer, few prospective studies have been performed. METHODS: In January 1984, a total of 26,311 residents in three municipalities of Miyagi Prefecture, in northern Japan (11,902 men and 14,409 women 40 years of age or older), completed a self-administered questionnaire that included questions about the frequency of consumption of green tea. During 199,748 person-years of follow-up, through December 1992, we identified 419 cases of gastric cancer (in 296 men and 123 women). We used Cox regression to estimate the relative risk of gastric cancer according to the consumption of green tea. RESULTS: Green-tea consumption was not associated with the risk of gastric cancer. After adjustment for sex, age, presence or absence of a history of peptic ulcer smoking status, alcohol consumption, other dietary elements, and type of health insurance, the relative risks associated with drinking one or two, three or four, and five or more cups of green tea per day, as compared with less than one cup per day, were 1.1 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.8 to 1.6), 1.0 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.7 to 1.4), and 1.2 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.9 to 1.6), respectively (P for trend=0.13). The results were similar after the 117 cases of gastric cancer that were diagnosed in the first three years of follow-up had been excluded, with respective relative risks of 1.2 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.8 to 1.8) 1.0 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.7 to 1.5), and 1.4 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.0 to 1.9) (P for trend=0.07). CONCLUSIONS: In a population-based, prospective cohort study in Japan, we found no association between green-tea consumption and the risk of gastric cancer.