Underappreciated predictors for postdischarge mortality in acute hospitalized oldest-old patients

BACKGROUND: Although oldest-old, those aged 85 years and older, patients are the fastest growing segment, clinical evidences regarding the acute care of oldest-old patients are still lacking. Because acute medical conditions requiring emergent hospitalization is frequently followed by high rate of progressive physical decline and increased mortality after discharge in oldest-old patients, prognostic information collected during hospitalization can provide the basis for discussion about the goals of care and therapy. The aim of our study was to identify predictive factors for postdischarge mortality in oldest-old patients. METHODS: The study included 403 oldest-old patients discharged from the acute care setting of a general hospital, who were followed-up for 1 year. Predictive values of the patients' characteristics collected during their hospitalization for 1-year mortality were identified utilizing Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. RESULTS: During 1-year follow-up, 104 patients (25.8%) died. The variables independently associated with 1-year mortality in multivariate analysis were the Charlson Comorbidity Index equal or greater than 2 [HR (hazard ratio) 4.71, 95%CI (confidence interval) 1.09-20.42], six or more prescribed medications at discharge (HR 3.12, 95% CI 1.39-6.99), benzodiazepines use (HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.04-2.60), nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs use (HR 1.70, 95% CI 1.10-2.63), albumin less than or equaling 3.4 g/dl (HR 2.16, 95% CI 1.13-4.14), hemoglobin 10-12 g/dl (HR 2.32, 95% CI 1.22-3.56), hemoglobin less than 10 g/dl (HR 2.67, 95% CI 1.43-4.95), the presence of pressure sores (HR 1.84, 95% CI 1.14-2.97), and a history of delirium (HR 2.24, 95% CI 1.32-3.79). Functional impairment assessed by the Katz Index was only weakly associated with mortality (HR 1.24, 95% CI 0.53-2.91). CONCLUSION: Although often underappreciated, polypharmacy, particular medication use, anemia, the presence of pressure sores, and a history of delirium were important predictors for postdischarge mortality in oldest-old patients.     

Elevated NT-proBNP levels should be interpreted in elderly patients presenting with dyspnea

Background

B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) assay is a useful tool in order to diagnose dyspnea due to congestive heart failure (CHF). On the other hand many other diseases could affect BNP levels. The aim of this study was to investigate a group of elderly patients admitted to an Internal Medicine unit because of dyspnea.

Patients and methods

NT-proBNP was assessed in 132 consecutive patients aged 80 ± 6 years because of dyspnea. History data, anthropometric, clinical and biochemical parameters were collected. Renal function was assessed by the CKD-EPI formula. Diagnosis of pulmonary disease such as infections and chronic obstructive disease was considered and was analyzed as a single parameter. Statistical analysis was carried out dividing patients with high NT-proBNP from those with normal NT-proBNP according to the Januzzi cut-off.

Results

NT-proBNP was higher than the normal reference values in 68.7% of patients and its levels increased in the 5 different stages of chronic kidney disease. Subjects with high NT-proBNP had lower haemoglobin levels (11.6 ± 2.1 vs 12.8 ± 1.9 g/dl, p = 0.003), higher prevalence of atrial fibrillation (54.3 vs 25%, p = 0.001), and lower prevalence of pulmonary diseases (29.7 vs 57.5%, p = 0.005). Logistic regression analysis showed that NT-proBNP levels were independently associated with haemoglobin (OR 1.307 95% CI 1.072-1.593, p = 0.008) and pulmonary diseases (OR 3.069 95% CI 1.385-6.801, p = 0.006).

Conclusions

A disease different from CHF appears to affect NT-proBNP plasma levels. Therefore, determination of its levels does not seem to help clinicians in the definition of dyspnea in elderly people with different comorbidities.     

NT-proBNP在伴肾功能不全老年患者急性心衰诊断中的应用价值

【】 目的：探讨氨基末端脑钠肽前体(NT-proBNP)在伴有肾功能不全老年患者急性心衰中的诊断价值。方法 选取2015年1月至2016年3月在我院诊治的120例伴有肾功能不全的老年急性心衰患者(肾衰心衰组)、60例不伴有肾功能不全的老年急性心衰患者(单纯心衰组)、60例单纯肾功能不全患者(单纯肾衰组),对比三组患者的血清NT-proBNP水平,并探讨其与心功能的关系。结果肾衰心衰组的血清NT-proBNP水平显著高于单纯心衰组和单纯肾衰组(P<0.05),单纯肾衰组的血清NT-proBNP水平显著高于单纯心衰组(P<0.05);肾衰心衰组患者随着心功能分级升高,血清NT-proBNP水平显著升高(P<0.05);肾衰心衰组患者随着肾功能恶化程度加重,血清NT-proBNP水平显著升高(P<0.05);绘制ROC曲线,当灵敏度为79.84%、特异度为84.92%、漏诊率20.16%、误诊率为15.08,ROC曲线下面积AUC值为0.833,对应的诊断临界值为3581.7pg/ml。结论 检测NT-proBNP水平对于鉴别诊断肾功能不全老年急性心衰中患者具有一定的临床参考价值。     

Concealed renal insufficiency and adverse drug reactions in elderly hospitalized patients

BACKGROUND: Adverse drug reactions (ADRs) are common causes of in-hospital complications for elderly people. The purpose of the present study is to verify whether concealed renal insufficiency, that is, reduction of the estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in people with normal serum creatinine levels, is a risk factor for ADRs in elderly hospitalized patients. METHODS: We used data on 11,687 hospitalized patients enrolled in the Gruppo Italiano di Farmacovigilanza nell'Anziano study. The outcomes of the study were any ADR, ADR to hydrosoluble drugs, and ADR to any other drug during the hospital stay. We compared 3 groups: normal renal function (normal serum creatinine levels and normal estimated GFRs), concealed (normal serum creatinine levels and reduced estimated GFRs), or overt (increased creatinine levels and reduced estimated GFRs) renal insufficiency. The relationship between renal function and ADR was evaluated using contingency tables and multiple regression analysis including potential confounders. RESULTS: Concealed renal insufficiency was detected in 1631 (13.9%) patients and was frequently associated with male sex and poor nutritional status. Hydrosoluble drugs were responsible for 301 of the 941 recorded ADRs. After adjusting for potential confounders, both concealed (odds ratio [OR], 1.61; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.15-1.25) and overt (OR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.54-2.65) renal failure were associated with ADR to hydrosoluble drugs, but not with ADR to other drugs (OR, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.65-1.08], and OR, 1.01 [95%CI, 0.83-1.23], respectively). CONCLUSION: Older hospitalized patients frequently have impaired renal function despite normal serum creatinine levels and are exposed to an increased risk of ADRs to hydrosoluble drugs.     

Characteristics, outcomes, and predictors of 1-year mortality in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure.

AIMS: Acute heart failure (AHF) is associated with poor prognosis and requires recurrent hospitalizations. However, studies on AHF characteristics, treatment, and prognostic factors are few. Our aim was to investigate the characteristics, treatment, and 1-year prognosis of AHF and identify prognostic factors in different clinical groups. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted a prospective multicentre study with 620 patients hospitalized due to AHF; mean age 75.1 (10.4) years, 50% male. Half of the patients had new-onset heart failure. Acute congestion (63.5%) and pulmonary oedema (26.3%) were the most common clinical presentations. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was reported in two-thirds of patients. Half of these had preserved systolic function (LVEF> or =45%). At discharge, 86% of patients had beta-blockers and 76% either ACE-inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers in use. The 12-month all-cause mortality was 27.4%. We identified several clinical and biochemical prognostic risk factors in univariate analysis. Independent predictors of 1-year mortality were older age, male gender, lower systolic blood pressure (SBP) on admission, C-reactive protein, and serum creatinine >120 micromol/L. CONCLUSION: We present the characteristics and prognosis of an unselected population of AHF patients. One-year mortality is high, and independent clinical risk factors include age, male gender, lower SBP on admission, C-reactive protein, and renal dysfunction.     

Hypoglycemia as a predictor of mortality in hospitalized elderly patients

BACKGROUND: Hypoglycemia during hospitalization occurs in patients with and without diabetes. The aims of this study were to determine the incidence, associated risk factors, and short- and long-term outcome of hypoglycemia among hospitalized elderly patients. METHODS: This is a case-control study conducted at geriatric and medicine departments. All patients 70 years or older with documented hypoglycemia hospitalized within 1 year (n = 281) were compared with a nonhypoglycemic group of 281 elderly, randomly selected patients from the same hospitalized population. RESULTS: Among 5404 patients 70 years or older, 281 (5.2%) had documented hypoglycemia. Compared with the nonhypoglycemic group, we found the following characteristics to be true in the hypoglycemic group: there were more women than men (58% vs 44%, P =.001); sepsis was 10 times more common (P<.001); malignancy was 2.8 times more common (P =.04); the mean serum albumin level was lower (2.8 g/dL vs 3.4 g/dL, P<.001); and the mean serum creatinine and alkaline phosphatase levels were higher (P<.001 for both). Diabetes was known in 42% of the hypoglycemic group and in 31% of the nonhypoglycemic group (P =.03); 70 patients in the hypoglycemic group were taking sulfonylureas or insulin. Multivariate logistic analysis showed that sepsis, albumin level, malignancy, sulfonyurea and insulin treatment, alkaline phosphatase level, female sex, and creatinine level were all independent predictors of developing hypoglycemia. In-hospital mortality and 3-month mortality were about twice as high in the hypoglycemic group (P<.001). Multivariate analysis of mortality found that sepsis, low albumin level, and malignancy were independent predictors, while hypoglycmia was not. CONCLUSIONS: Hypoglycemia was common in elderly hospitalized patients and predicted increased in-hospital 3- and 6-month cumulative mortality. However, in a multivariate analysis, hypoglycemia was not an independent predictor for mortality, implying that it is only a marker.     

N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide and renal insufficiency as predictors of mortality in pulmonary hypertension

BACKGROUND: N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is a byproduct of the brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) that was shown to be of prognostic value in pulmonary hypertension (PH). The role of NT-proBNP in PH has to be determined, especially under the influence of renal impairment that might lead to an accumulation of the peptide, and may be a sign of increased mortality per se. METHODS: We assessed NT-proBNP, BNP, renal function, and hemodynamic parameters (during right-heart catheterization) in 118 consecutive patients with isolated PH, excluding left-heart disease. Depending on the calculated creatinine clearance, patients were classified into different groups of renal function. Correlation analysis was performed on all key parameters. Results were then compared between the levels of renal function. The prognostic value of each parameter was assessed during a mean follow-up period of 10 months. RESULTS: Twenty-two patients (approximately 19%) had significantly impaired renal function (creatinine clearance < 60 mL/min). Although the overall levels of NT-proBNP were correlated with hemodynamics, we observed no correlation in the group with significant renal dysfunction. Moreover, NT-proBNP was related to creatinine clearance. Finally, NT-proBNP and renal insufficiency were independent predictors of death during univariate and multivariate analysis, whereas BNP only predicted mortality in univariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The diagnostic accuracy of NT-proBNP as a parameter of the hemodynamic status is diminished by renal function. However, NT-proBNP could be superior to BNP as a survival parameter in PH because it integrates hemodynamic impairment and renal insufficiency, which serves as a sign of increased mortality per se.     

Early predictors of mortality for hospitalized patients suffering cardiopulmonary arrest

Few if any prearrest or intraarrest variables have been identified as highly predictive of inhospital mortality following cardiopulmonary arrest. A total of 310 consecutive patients requiring advanced cardiac life support during the calendar years 1985 and 1986 were reviewed with respect to eight specific variables. These included age, diagnosis, location, mechanism of the event, duration of resuscitation, whether the event was witnessed or unwitnessed, the initial observed rhythm and medications administered. A total of 37.1 percent of the patients were successfully resuscitated, but only 9.7 percent survived until discharge. Factors strongly associated with inhospital mortality included unwitnessed events (p = 0.0316), the need for epinephrine (p = 0.0003), identification of electromechanical dissociation or asystole as initial rhythms (p = 0.0000), and cardiac vs respiratory mechanism of arrest (p = 0.0000).     

Admission C-reactive protein levels and 30-day mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND: Elevated C-reactive protein levels are associated with an increased risk of subsequent cardiovascular events in patients with unstable angina. However, limited information is available concerning the value of C-reactive protein levels in patients with acute myocardial infarction. METHODS: We prospectively studied 448 consecutive patients (mean [+/- SD] age, 60 +/- 12 years) with acute myocardial infarction. Serum C-reactive protein levels were measured within 12 to 24 hours of symptom onset, and divided into tertiles. Infarct size was determined by echocardiographic examination that was performed on day 2 or 3. Patients were followed for 30 days for mortality and subsequent cardiac events. RESULTS: At 30 days, 4 deaths (3%) occurred in patients in the lowest C-reactive protein tertile, 15 (10%) in patients in the middle tertile (P = 0.02 vs. the lowest tertile), and 33 (22%) in patients in the highest tertile (P <0.001 vs. the lowest tertile). In a multivariate analysis, C-reactive protein in the upper tertile was associated with 30-day mortality (relative risk = 3.0; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.3 to 7.2; P = 0.01) and the development of heart failure (odds ratio = 2.6; 95% CI: 1.5 to 4.6; P = 0.0006). C-reactive protein levels were not associated with the development of postinfarction angina, recurrent myocardial infarction, or the need for revascularization. CONCLUSION: Plasma C-reactive protein level obtained within 12 to 24 hours of symptom onset is an independent marker of 30-day mortality and the development of heart failure in patients with acute myocardial infarction. These findings suggest that C-reactive protein levels may be related to inflammatory processes associated with infarct expansion and postinfarction ventricular remodeling.     

Apolipoprotein E-related all-cause mortality in hospitalized elderly patients

The most common apolipoprotein E (APOE) allelic variation is implicated in many age-related diseases and human longevity with controversial findings. We investigated the effect of APOE gene polymorphism on all-cause mortality in elderly patients taking into consideration the functional disability, cognitive impairment, malnutrition, and the occurrence of common age-related diseases. APOE genotypes were determined in 2,124 geriatric hospitalized patients (46.5% men and 53.5% women; mean age, 78.2 ± 7.1 years; range, 65–100 years). At hospital admission, all patients underwent a comprehensive geriatric assessment to evaluate functional disability, cognitive status, nutritional status, and comorbidity. The main and secondary diagnoses at hospital discharge were also recorded. Mortality status was evaluated in all patients after a maximum follow-up of 5 years (range, from 1.26 to 5.23 years; median, 2.86 years). During the study period, 671 patients died (32.0%). At hospital admission, these patients showed a significant higher prevalence of cardiovascular diseases (56.3% vs 53.4%; p = 0.007), neoplasias (32.3% vs 13.7%; p < 0.001), and lower prevalence of neurodegenerative diseases (17.7% vs 20.7%; p < 0.001) than survived patients. Moreover, they also showed an higher prevalence of disability (52.0% vs 25.6%; p < 0.001), cognitive impairment (31.0% vs 18.8%; p < 0.001), and malnutrition (74.0% vs 46.1%; p < 0.001) than survived patients. In the overall study population, the APOE ε2 allele was significantly associated to neurodegenerative diseases (odds ratio = 0.59; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.37–0.94). No significant association between the APOE polymorphism and disability, malnutrition, co-morbidity status, and with all-cause mortality was observed. In patients with cardiovascular diseases, however, a decreased risk of all-cause mortality was found in the ε2 allele carriers (hazard ratio = 0.56; 95% CI, 0.36–0.88). In this population, APOE allele variants might play a role on cardiovascular disease-related mortality.     

Atherosclerosis in elderly patients with renal insufficiency

Introduction 　　As people age,cardiovascular structure and function change and this is superimposed on by specific pathophysiologic disease mechanism.In addition to lipid levels,diabetes,sedentary lifestyle,and genetic factors that are known risks for coronary disease,hypertension,and stroke - the quintessential cardiovascular (CV) diseases related to atherosclerosis within our society - advancing age unequivocally confers the major risk.(Fig.1) Mortality due to cardiovascular disease is more than any other disease and creates enormous costs for the health care system.The main underlying problem in cardiovascular disease is atherosclerosis,a process that obstructs major arteries with lipid deposits and cell accumulation.1 Decreased kidney function (estimated GFR＜70 mL/min/1.73 m2) is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in the general population.2……     

血浆N末端B型利钠肽原水平对急诊呼吸困难病人的应用价值

目的分析并评价血浆N末端B型利钠肽原(NT-proBNP)含量对急诊呼吸困难病人鉴别的应用价值。方法将我院急诊科自2012年3月至2013年11月期间收治的194例受检者分为心源性呼吸困难组110例与肺源性呼吸困难组84例。对两组患者的血浆NT-proBNP水平进行检测并检查心脏超声,对比分析两组患者的血浆NT-proBNP水平与左室射血分数;对心源性呼吸困难患者的血浆NT-proBNP水平与左室射血分数之间的相关性进行分析。结果心源性呼吸困难组患者的血浆NT-proBNP含量显著高于肺源性呼吸困难组患者(t=21.093,P=0.001),具有统计学意义;心源性呼吸困难组患者的LVEF水平显著低于肺源性呼吸困难组(t=18.093,P=0.001),具有统计学意义。心源性呼吸困难组患者的血浆NT-proBNP水平与LVEF之间呈负相关关系(r=-0.59,P0.01)。结论血浆NT-proBNP水平在急性呼吸困难患者的诊断方面具有重要的应用价值。     

Inflammation and disability as risk factors for mortality in elderly acute care patients

Although the role of inflammation has been studied in specific diseases or in community living elderly, data in hospitalized acute care elderly patients are scarce. The present study was designed to determine the predictive value of sociodemographic, clinical and biological factors for mortality in acute care geriatric wards. Retrospective study was conducted in two acute care wards in a university-based geriatric hospital with elderly patients (n=224) consecutively admitted to acute care wards with available medical files. Sociodemographic variables, primary medical diagnosis and number of associated conditions, dementia, depression, pressure sores, functional status (measure by the activities of daily living=ADL scale), weight, and plasma levels of albumin, transthyretin, C-reactive protein (CRP) and orosomucoid were recorded at admission. Patients who died in the acute care wards were compared to those who survived. The mean length of stay was 16+/-13 days; mortality was 12%. Univariate analysis revealed that disability, no anti-depressant drug, pressure ulcers, a higher number of associated conditions, living with another person, and biological markers of malnutrition (albumin <35g/l, transthyretin <200mg/l) and inflammation (CRP < or =30mg/l, orosomucoid > or =1.25g/l) were significantly associated with an increase in the risk of death. The logistic regression model retained CRP > or =30mg/l (odds ratio (OR)=3.72, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.34-10.31; p=0.009) and disability for at least one ADL item (OR=2.16, 95% CI=1.55-2.99; p<0.001) as independent risk factors for death. We conclude that CRP and disability are strong independent risk factors for death in this population, and special attention should be paid to these patients in an integrated therapeutic approach to geriatric care.