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1.
BackgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) and stable coronary artery disease (SCAD) frequently coexist.HypothesisTo investigate the prognosis of catheter ablation versus drug therapy in patients with AF and SCAD.MethodsIn total, 25 512 patients with AF in the Chinese AF Registry between 2011 and 2019 were screened for SCAD. 815 patients with AF and SCAD underwent catheter ablation therapy were matched with patients by drug therapy in a 1:1 ratio. Primary end point was composite of thromboembolism, coronary events, major bleeding, and all‐cause death. The secondary endpoints were each component of the primary endpoint and AF recurrence.ResultsOver a median follow‐up of 45 ± 23 months, the patients in the catheter ablation group had a higher AF recurrence‐free rate (53.50% vs. 18.41%, p < .01). In multivariate analysis, there was no significant difference between the strategy of catheter ablation and drug therapy in primary composite end point (adjusted HR 074, 95%CI 0.54–1.002, p = .0519). However, catheter ablation was associated with fewer all‐cause death independently (adjusted HR 0.36, 95%CI 0.22–0.59, p < .01). In subgroup analysis, catheter ablation was an independent risk factor for all‐cause death in the high‐stroke risk group (adjusted HR 0.39, 95%CI 0.23–0.64, p < .01), not in the low‐medium risk group (adjusted HR 0.17, 95%CI 0.01–2.04, p = .17).ConclusionsIn the patients with AF and SCAD, catheter ablation was not independently associated with the primary composite endpoint compared with drug therapy. However, catheter ablation was an independent protective factor of all‐cause death  相似文献   

2.
IntroductionThere are no consistently confirmed predictors of atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence after catheter ablation. Therefore, we aimed to study whether left atrial appendage volume (LAAV) and function influence the long‐term recurrence of AF after catheter ablation, depending on AF type.MethodsAF patients who underwent point‐by‐point radiofrequency catheter ablation after cardiac computed tomography (CT) were included in this analysis. LAAV and LAA orifice area were measured by CT. Uni‐ and multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models were performed to determine the predictors of AF recurrence.ResultsIn total, 561 AF patients (61.9 ± 10.2 years, 34.9% females) were included in the study. Recurrence of AF was detected in 40.8% of the cases (34.6% in patients with paroxysmal and 53.5% in those with persistent AF) with a median recurrence‐free time of 22.7 (9.3–43.1) months. Patients with persistent AF had significantly higher body surface area‐indexed LAV, LAAV, and LAA orifice area and lower LAA flow velocity, than those with paroxysmal AF. After adjustment left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <50% (HR = 2.17; 95% CI = 1.38–3.43; p < .001) and LAAV (HR = 1.06; 95% CI = 1.01–1.12; p = .029) were independently associated with AF recurrence in persistent AF, while no independent predictors could be identified in paroxysmal AF.ConclusionThe current study demonstrates that beyond left ventricular systolic dysfunction, LAA enlargement is associated with higher rate of AF recurrence after catheter ablation in persistent AF, but not in patients with paroxysmal AF.  相似文献   

3.
BackgroundCardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) is widely used in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients and could impact rhythm stability.HypothesisWe aimed to identify predictors of sinus rhythm (SR) stability or AF progression in a real‐word cohort of CRT‐AF patients.MethodsFrom 330 consecutive implantable cardioverter‐defibrillator implantations due to ischemic or dilated cardiomyopathy, 65 (20%) patients with AF history (paroxysmal, n = 32) underwent a CRT implantation with an atrial electrode and were regularly followed every 4–6 months. Rhythm restoration was attempted for most AF patients based on symptoms, biventricular pacing (BP), and lack of thrombi.ResultsAfter 33 months, 18 (28%) patients progressed to permanent mode switch (MS≥99%) and 20 (31%) patients had stable SR (MS < 1%). Logistic regression showed that history of persistent AF (OR: 8.01, 95%CI: 2.0–31.7, p = .003) is associated with higher risk of permanent MS. In persistent AF patients, a bigger left atrium (OR: 1.2 per mm, 95%CI: 1.03–1.4, p = .025) and older age (OR: 1.15 per life‐year, 95%CI: 1.01–1.3, p = .032) were predictors of future permanent MS. Paroxysmal AF at implantation (OR: 5.96, 95%CI: 1.6–21.9, p = .007) and increased BP (OR: 1.4 per 1%, 95%CI: 1.05–1.89, p = .02) were associated with stable SR. In persistent AF patients, stable SR correlated with higher BP (98 ± 2 vs. 92 ± 8%, p < .001).ConclusionIn patients with AF undergoing CRT implantation, persistent AF, LA dilatation and advanced age relate to future permanent MS (AF), whereas high BP promotes SR stability. These findings could facilitate the management of CRT‐AF patients and guide therapy in order to maximize its effect on rhythm.  相似文献   

4.
BackgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac rhythm disturbance and leads to morbidity and mortality. Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is associated with atherosclerotic risk factors and always classified as a vascular disease and deemed to be a bad complication of AF. In patients with AF, the risk and prognostic value of PAD have not been estimated comprehensively.HypothesisPAD is associated with all‐cause mortality, cardiovascular (CV) mortality, and other outcomes in patients with AF.MethodsWe searched PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases for prospective studies published before April 2021 that provided outcomes data on PAD in confirmed patients with AF. Heterogeneity was estimated using the I 2 statistic. The fixed‐effects model was used for low to moderate heterogeneity studies, and the random‐effects model was used for high heterogeneity studies.ResultsEight prospective studies (Newcastle‐Ottawa score range, 7–8) with 39 654 patients were enrolled. We found a significant association between PAD and all‐cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.42; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25–1.62; p < .001), CV mortality (HR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.32–2.05; p < .001) and MACE (HR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.38–2.22; p < .001) in patients with AF. No significant relationship was found in major bleeding (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 0.95–1.57; p = 0.118), myocardial infarction (MI) (HR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.17–3.67; p = .038), and stroke (HR, 1.14; 95% CI, 0.87–1.50, p = 0.351).ConclusionsPAD is associated with an increased risk of all‐cause mortality, CV mortality, and MACE in patients with AF. However, no significant association was found with major bleeding, MI, and stroke.  相似文献   

5.
BackgroundMany studies have reported the predictors of atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence after persistent AF (peAF) ablation. However, the correlation between the atrial defibrillation threshold (DFT) for internal cardioversion (IC) and AF recurrence rate is unknown. Here we investigated the relationship between the DFT prior to catheter ablation for peAF and AF recurrence.HypothesisDFT prior to ablation was the predictive factor for AF recurrence after peAF ablation.MethodsFrom June 2016 to May 2019, we enrolled 82 consecutive patients (mean age, 65.0 ± 12.4 years), including 45 with peAF and 37 with long‐standing peAF, at Hamamatsu Medical Center. To assess the DFT, we performed IC with gradually increasing energy prior to radiofrequency application.ResultsForty‐nine and 33 patients showed DFT values less than or equal to 10 J (group A) and greater than 10 J or unsuccessful defibrillation (group B). During the mean follow‐up duration of 20.5 ± 13.1 months, patients in group B showed significantly higher AF recurrence rates than those in group A after the ablation procedure (p = .017). Multivariate analysis revealed that DFT was the only predictive factor for AF recurrence (odds ratio, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.00–1.13, p = .047).ConclusionsThe DFT for IC was among the strongest prognostic factors in the peAF ablation procedure.  相似文献   

6.
BackgroundThe optimal first‐line approach for patients with symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear. We compared the efficacy and safety of cryoballoon ablation (CBA) and antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs) in the initial management of symptomatic AF.HypothesisCBA is superior to AAD as initial therapy for symptomatic AF.MethodsWe searched the EMBASE, PubMed, and Cochrane Library databases for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that compared CBA with AAD as first‐line treatment for AF from the date of database establishment until March 18, 2021. The risk ratio (RR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) was used as a measure of treatment effect.ResultsThree RCTs that enrolled 724 patients in total were included in this meta‐analysis. Majority of the patients were relatively young and had paroxysmal AF. CBA was associated with a significant reduction in the recurrence of atrial arrhythmia compared with AAD therapy, with low heterogeneity (RR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.49–0.71; p < .00001; I 2  = 0%). There was a significant difference in the rate of symptomatic atrial arrhythmia recurrence (RR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.29–0.65; p < .0001; I 2  = 0%); however, the rate of serious adverse events was similar between the two treatment groups (RR: 1.18; 95% CI: 0.71–1.97, p = .53; I 2 = 0%). Transient phrenic nerve palsy occurred in four patients after the CBA procedure.ConclusionThe current meta‐analysis suggests that CBA is more effective than AAD as initial therapy in patients with symptomatic paroxysmal AF. Serious iatrogenic adverse events are uncommon in CBAs.  相似文献   

7.
BackgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence is common in the 3‐month blanking‐period after catheter ablation, during which electrical cardioversion (ECV) is usually performed to restore sinus rhythm. Whether ECV can affect the clinical outcome of post‐ablation AF patients is inconsistent, however. We aimed to explore the 1‐year effect of ECV on AF recurrence and rehospitalization in patients experienced recurrence within 3‐month after AF catheter ablation.MethodsPatients who experienced recurrence within 3‐month after AF catheter ablation procedure were enrolled from the China Atrial Fibrillation Registry (China‐AF). A 1:3 Propensity score matching (PSM) method was applying to adjust the confounders between patients who had been treated by ECV or not. Logistic regression models were conducted to evaluate the association of ECV with 1‐year AF recurrence and rehospitalization.ResultsIn this study, 2961 patients experienced AF recurrence within 3‐month after the procedure, and 282 of them underwent successful ECV, 2155 patients did not undergo ECV. One‐year AF recurrence rates were 56.4% in ECV group versus 65.4% in non‐ECV group (p = .003), and were 55.9% versus 65.9%, respectively, after PSM (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.66; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.49–0.88, p = .005). However, the difference of 1‐year rehospitalization rates between two groups were not statistically significant before (ECV group: 23.7% vs. non‐ECV group: 22.3%, p = .595) and after PSM (ECV group: 24.4% vs. non‐ECV group: 21.6%, adjusted OR1.14; 95% CI 0.81–1.62, p = .451).ConclusionsSuccessful ECV was associated with lower rate of one‐year recurrence in patients with early recurrent AF after catheter ablation.  相似文献   

8.
BackgroundReal‐world data on atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation outcomes in obese populations have remained scarce, especially the relationship between obesity and in‐hospital AF ablation outcome.HypothesisObesity is associated with higher complication rates and higher admission trend for AF ablation.MethodsWe drew data from the US National Inpatient Sample to identify patients who underwent AF ablation between 2005 and 2018. Sociodemographic and patients'' characteristics data were collected, and the trend, incidence of catheter ablation complications and mortality were analyzed, and further stratified by obesity classification.ResultsA total of 153 429 patients who were hospitalized for AF ablation were estimated. Among these, 11 876 obese patients (95% confidence interval [CI]: 11 422–12 330) and 10 635 morbid obese patients (95% CI: 10 200–11 069) were observed. There was a substantial uptrend admission, up to fivefold, for AF ablation in all obese patients from 2005 to 2018 (p < .001). Morbidly obese patients were statistically younger, while coexisting comorbidities were substantially higher than both obese and nonobese patients (p < .01) Both obesity and morbid obesity were significantly associated with an increased risk of total bleeding, and vascular complications (p < .05). Only morbid obesity was significantly associated with an increased risk of ablation‐related complications, total infection, and pulmonary complications (p < .01). No difference in‐hospital mortality was observed among obese, morbidly obese, and nonobese patients.ConclusionOur study observed an uptrend in the admission of obese patients undergoing AF ablation from 2005 through 2018. Obesity was associated with higher ablation‐related complications, particularly those who were morbidly obese.  相似文献   

9.
BackgroundThe effect of type of atrial fibrillation (AF) on adverse outcomes in Chinese patients without oral anticoagulants (OAC) was controversial.HypothesisThe type of AF associated with adverse outcomes in Chinese patients without OAC.MethodsA total of 1358 AF patients without OAC from a multicenter, prospective, observational study was included for analysis. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression models were utilized. Net reclassification improvement analysis was performed for the assessment of risk prediction models.ResultsThere were 896(66%) patients enrolled with non‐paroxysmal AF (NPAF) and 462(34%) with paroxysmal AF (PAF). The median age was 70.9 ± 12.6 years, and 682 patients (50.2%) were female. During 1 year of follow‐up, 215(16.4%) patients died, and 107 (8.1%) patients experienced thromboembolic events. Compared with the PAF group, NPAF group had a notably higher incidence of all‐cause mortality (20.2% vs. 9.4%, p < .001), thromboembolism (10.5% vs. 3.8%, p < .001). After multivariable adjustment, NPAF was a strong predictor of thromboembolism (HR 2.594, 95%CI 1.534–4.386; p < .001), all‐cause death (HR 1.648, 95%CI 1.153–2.355; p = .006). Net reclassification improvement analysis indicated that the addition of NPAF to the CHA2DS2‐VASc score allowed an improvement of 0.37 in risk prediction for thromboembolic events (95% CI 0.21–0.53; p < .001).ConclusionsIn Chinese AF patients who were not on OAC, NPAF was an independent predictor of thromboembolism and mortality. The addition of NPAF to the CHA2DS2‐VASc score allowed an improvement in the accuracy of the prediction of thromboembolic events.  相似文献   

10.
ObjectiveThe aim of this study was primarily to determine efficacy after alcohol septal ablation (ASA) in mildly symptomatic patients (NYHA class II) with hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy (HOCM), as compared to medical therapy.MethodsThis retrospective study included 163 mildly symptomatic patients with HOCM evaluated in Beijing Anzhen Hospital between March 2001 and August 2019, consisting of the medical group (n = 105) and the ASA group (n = 58). All‐cause mortality and HCM‐related death were mainly observed.ResultsFollow‐up was completed in 161 patients and the median follow‐up was 6.0 years. Compared to medically treated patients, patients post‐ASA had comparable survival free of all‐cause mortality (98.3% and 95.1% vs. 93.0% and 83.1% at 5 and 10 years, respectively; p = 0.374). Survival free of HCM‐related death was also similar between ASA and medical groups (98.3% and 95.1% vs. 94.3% and 86.2% at 5 and 10 years, respectively; p = 0.608). However, compared to medical therapy, ASA had advantages on the improvement of NYHA class (1.4 ± 0.6 vs. 2.1 ± 0.5, p = .000) and lower occurrence of new‐onset atrial fibrillation (AF) (7.8% vs. 20.4%, p = .048). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that resting LVOT gradient at the last clinical check‐up was an independent predictor of all‐cause mortality (HR = 1.021, 95%CI 1.002–1.040, p = .027).ConclusionThis registry suggests that mildly symptomatic patients with HOCM treated with ASA have comparable survival to that of medically treated patients, with the improvement of NYHA class and lower occurrence of new‐onset AF. All‐cause mortality is independently associated with resting LVOT gradient at the last clinical check‐up.  相似文献   

11.
BackgroundSeveral P‐wave indices are associated with the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, previous studies have been limited in their ability to reliably diagnose episodes of AF. Implantable loop recorders allow long‐term, continuous, and therefore more reliable detection of AF.HypothesisThe aim of this study is to identify and evaluate ECG parameters for predicting AF by analyzing patients with loop recorders.MethodsThis study included 366 patients (mean age 62 ± 16 years, mean LVEF 61 ± 6%, 175 women) without AF who underwent loop recorder implantation between 2010–2020. Patients were followed up on a 3 monthly outpatient interval.ResultsDuring a follow‐up of 627 ± 409 days, 75 patients (20%) reached the primary study end point (first detection of AF). Independent predictors of AF were as follows: age ≥68 years (hazard risk [HR], 2.66; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.668–4.235; p < .001), P‐wave amplitude in II <0.1 mV (HR, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.298–3.441; p = .003), P‐wave terminal force in V1 ≤ −4000 µV × ms (HR, 5.3; 95% CI, 3.249–8.636; p < .001, and advanced interatrial block (HR, 5.01; 95% CI, 2.638–9.528; p < .001). Our risk stratification model based on these independent predictors separated patients into 4 groups with high (70%), intermediate high (41%), intermediate low (18%), and low (4%) rates of AF.ConclusionsOur study indicated that P‐wave indices are suitable for predicting AF episodes. Furthermore, it is possible to stratify patients into risk groups for AF using simple ECG parameters, which is particularly important for patients with cryptogenic stroke.  相似文献   

12.
BackgroundLeft atrial (LA) function and mechanical dispersion changes in breast cancer patients treated with chemotherapy remain unclear.HypothesisLA function and LA mechanical dispersion in breast cancer patients would be impaired after chemotherapy.MethodsThis single‐center retrospective study included 91 consecutive breast cancer patients treated with chemotherapy and 30 controls. Patients were examined by echocardiography three times at intervals. Conventional parameters, left ventricular strain, LA strain, and LA mechanical dispersion were evaluated and compared.ResultsLA strain during reservoir phase (LASr), conduit phase (LAScd), and contraction phase (LASct) all decreased markedly after chemotherapy and were lower than those of the controls (all p < .01). The standard deviation of time to peak positive strain during LA reservoir phase corrected by R‐R interval (LA SD‐TPSr) was significantly increased after chemotherapy and was higher than that of the controls (p < .001). The change of LA function was expressed as Δ. Multivariate linear regression analyses showed that LAVIp (0.399, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.610, 1.756, p = .000) was independently associated with ΔLASr, LAPEF (−0.325, 95% CI: −45.123, −10.676, p = .002) and age (0.227, 95% CI: 0.021, 0.350, p = .027) were independently associated with ΔLAScd, and LAVImax (0.341, 95% CI: 0.192, 0.723, p = .001) was independently associated with ΔLASct. LAVImax (0.505, 95% CI: 0.000, 0.001, p = .039) and mitral E (−0.256, 95% CI: 0.000, 0.000, p = .024)were independently associated with ΔLA SD‐TPSr.ConclusionsMechanical function of LA declined after chemotherapy in breast cancer patients. With the decrease of LA mechanical function, LA mechanical dispersion assessed by two‐dimensional speckle‐tracking echocardiography increased significantly, and its clinical value needs to be further studied.  相似文献   

13.
BackgroundWe have previously reported that unilateral groin‐single transseptal (ST) ablation in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) was safe and significantly reduced patient discomfort compared with bilateral groin‐double transseptal (DT) ablation.HypothesisIn the present study, we hypothesized that ST ablation would be as effective and safe as DT ablation in real‐world practice like previous study. Among the 1765 consecutive patients in the Yonsei AF ablation cohort from October 2015 to January 2020, 1144 patients who underwent radiofrequency ablation were included for the analysis. Among them, 450 underwent ST ablation and 694 underwent DT ablation.ResultsThe total procedure time, ablation time, and fluoroscopy time were longer in the ST group than in the DT group (p < .05 for all). The hospital stay after catheter ablation was 1.3 ± 1.1 days which was longer in DT group than ST group (p = .001). No significant difference was observed in the complication rate (p = .263) and AF‐free survival rate (log‐rank p = .19) between the groups. However, after excluding patients who used antiarrhythmic drugs when AF recurred, the AF‐free survival rates were lower in the DT group than in the ST group before and after propensity score matching (log‐rank p = .026 and .047, respectively).ConclusionAlthough the ST approach increases the procedure time compared with the DT approach owing to the need for more frequent catheter exchanges, the ST approach is a feasible and safe strategy for AF ablation in terms of rhythm outcomes and risk of complications.  相似文献   

14.
ObjectiveTo identify the risk factors for postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence in nonvalvular AF patients undergoing radiofrequency catheter ablation (CA).MethodsWe retrospectively reviewed the data from 426 of 450 AF patients who underwent CA. Patients were divided into two groups according to recurrence after the operation; the risk factors for AF recurrence were analyzed. A stratification system for lesions was created based on the cutoff of the risk factors; the associations among the subgroups and the AF recurrence rate were analyzed.ResultsAF recurrence occurred in 98 (23.0%) patients. Univariate analysis demonstrated that AF type, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, left atrial diameter (LAD), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), serum albumin, and D‐dimer concentrations were associated with AF recurrence. AF type (OR =2.907, p < .001), serum albumin concentration (OR =1.112, < .05), and LAD (OR =1.115, p < .001) were independent risk factors for AF recurrence. The area under the ROC curve of LAD for the prediction of AF recurrence was 0.722 (95% CI: 0.664~0.779) and that of serum albumin for the prediction of AF recurrence was 0.608 (95% CI: 0.545~0.672). Further stratification revealed that patients with persistent or paroxysmal AF with LAD ≥43.5 mm and serum albumin concentration ≥42.2 g/L had a higher rate of AF recurrence than the reference group.ConclusionAtrial fibrillation type, LAD, and serum albumin concentration are risk factors for AF recurrence after CA in patients with nonvalvular AF. Patients with persistent AF with LAD ≥43.5 mm and serum albumin concentration ≥42.2 g/L have a higher risk of late AF recurrence after surgery.  相似文献   

15.
16.
BackgroundTo investigate the clinical value of acoustic cardiography in the diagnosis of coronary artery disease (CAD) and post‐percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) early asymptomatic left ventricular systolic dysfunction.MethodsInpatients in the department of cardiology were included in the research (n = 315); including 180 patients with angina pectoris and 135 patients with acute anterior wall myocardial infarction after emergency PCI did not present with signs and symptoms of heart failure. Color Doppler echocardiography, brain natriuretic peptide, acoustic cardiography examination were performed. The patients were divided into four groups: non‐CAD group (n = 60), CAD group (n = 120), MIREF group (EF% < 50%, n = 75), and MINEF group (EF% ≥ 50%, n = 60).ResultsAcoustic cardiography parameters EMATc, systolic dysfunction index, S3 strength and S4 strength in the MIREF group were higher than those in MINEF group (p < .05), and the MINEF group was higher than CAD group (p < .05). S3 strength (area under the curve [AUC] 0.67, 95% CI 0.585–0.755, p < .001) and S4 strength (AUC 0.617, 95% CI 0.536–0.698, p = .011) are useful in the diagnosis of CAD. S3 strength (AUC 0.942, 95% CI 0.807–0.978, p < .001) was superior to other indicators in the diagnosis of early left ventricular systolic dysfunction after myocardial infarction.ConclusionS4 combined with STT standard change can improve the diagnosis of CAD. Acoustic cardiography can be used as a non‐invasive, rapid, effective, and simple method for the diagnosis of asymptomatic left ventricular systolic dysfunction in the early stage after myocardial infarction.  相似文献   

17.
IntroductionAspiration pneumonia is a common problem among older adults; it has a high mortality rate and the prevalence is increasing. Reports on the risk factors for mortality in patients with aspiration pneumonia are limited. This study aimed to evaluate the risk factors for 90‐day survival in patients with aspiration pneumonia.MethodsThis retrospective observational study was conducted at Seirei Mikatahara General Hospital between 1 April 2015 and 31 March 2016. Patients with aspiration pneumonia who had dysphagia or aspiration confirmed by modified water swallow test or VideoEndoscopic examination of swallowing were included. The primary endpoint was 90‐day survival. We performed univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses with survival and non‐survival at 90 days as the independent variables.ResultsA total of 276 patients were recruited for this study. The A‐DROP score (odds ratio [OR] = 2.440; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.400–4.270; p < 0.01), Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index score (OR = 0.383; 95% CI, 0.178–0.824; p < 0.05) and sex (OR = 0.365; 95% CI, 0.153–0.869; p < 0.05) were independent early predictors of mortality.ConclusionThe results suggest that nutritional status and the severity of pneumonia are important factors that predict life expectancy in patients with aspiration pneumonia.  相似文献   

18.
BackgroundMachine learning (ML) has emerged as a promising tool for risk stratification. However, few studies have applied ML to risk assessment of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).HypothesisWe aimed to compare the performance of random forest (RF), logistic regression (LR), and conventional risk schemes in predicting the outcomes of AF.MethodsWe analyzed data from 7406 nonvalvular AF patients (median age 71 years, female 29.2%) enrolled in a nationwide AF registry (J‐RHYTHM Registry) and who were followed for 2 years. The endpoints were thromboembolisms, major bleeding, and all‐cause mortality. Models were generated from potential predictors using an RF model, stepwise LR model, and the thromboembolism (CHADS2 and CHA2DS2‐VASc) and major bleeding (HAS‐BLED, ORBIT, and ATRIA) scores.ResultsFor thromboembolisms, the C‐statistic of the RF model was significantly higher than that of the LR model (0.66 vs. 0.59, p = .03) or CHA2DS2‐VASc score (0.61, p < .01). For major bleeding, the C‐statistic of RF was comparable to the LR (0.69 vs. 0.66, p = .07) and outperformed the HAS‐BLED (0.61, p < .01) and ATRIA (0.62, p < .01) but not the ORBIT (0.67, p = .07). The C‐statistic of RF for all‐cause mortality was comparable to the LR (0.78 vs. 0.79, p = .21). The calibration plot for the RF model was more aligned with the observed events for major bleeding and all‐cause mortality.ConclusionsThe RF model performed as well as or better than the LR model or existing clinical risk scores for predicting clinical outcomes of AF.  相似文献   

19.
BackgroundData on the burden of atrial fibrillation (AF) associated with diabetes among hospitalized patients are scarce. We assessed the AF‐related hospitalizations trends in patients with diabetes, and compared AF outcomes in patients with diabetes to those without diabetes.HypothesisAF‐related health outcomes differ between patient with diabetes and without diabetes.MethodsUsing the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) 2004–2014, we studied trends in AF hospitalization rate among diabetic patients, and compared in‐hospital case fatality rate, length of stay (LOS), cost and utilization of rhythm control therapies, and 30‐day readmission rate between patients with and without diabetes. Logistic or Cox regression models were used to assess the differences in AF outcomes by diabetes status.ResultsOver the study period, there were 4 325 522 AF‐related hospitalizations, of which 1 075 770 (24.9%) had a diagnosis of diabetes. There was a temporal increase in AF hospitalization rate among diabetic patients (10.4 to 14.4 per 1000 hospitalizations among patients with diabetes; +4.4% yearly change, p‐trend < .0001). Among AF patients, those with diabetes had a lower in‐hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 0.68; 95% CI: 0.65–0.72) and LOS (aOR: 0.95; 95% CI: 0.94–0.96), but no difference in costs (aOR: 0.95; 95% CI: 0.94–0.96) and a higher 30‐day rate of readmissions compared with no diabetes (aHR 1.05; 95% CI: 1.01–1.08), compared to individuals without diabetes.ConclusionAF and diabetes coexist among hospitalized patients, with rising trends over the last decade. Diabetes is associated with lower rates in‐hospital adverse AF outcomes, but a higher 30‐day readmission risk.  相似文献   

20.
BackgroundLeft atrial appendage (LAA) is a potential source of atrial fibrillation (AF) triggers.HypothesisLAA morphology and dimensions are associated with AF recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI).MethodsFrom cardiac computed tomography angiography (CCTA), left atrial (LA), pulmonary vein (PV), and LAA anatomy were assessed in cryoballoon ablation (CBA) patients.ResultsAmong 1103 patients undergoing second‐generation CBA, 725 (65.7%) received CCTA with 473 (42.9%) qualifying for detailed LAA analysis (66.3 ± 9.5 years). Symptomatic AF reoccurred in 166 (35.1%) patients during a median follow‐up of 19 months. Independent predictors of recurrence were LA volume, female sex, and mitral regurgitation ≥°II. LAA volume and AF‐type were dependent predictors of recurrence due to their strong correlations with LA volume. LA volumes ≥122.7 ml (sensitivity 0.53, specificity 0.69, area under the curve [AUC] 0.63) and LAA volumes ≥11.25 ml (sensitivity 0.39, specificity 0.79, AUC 0.59) were associated with recurrence. LA volume was significantly smaller in females. LAA volumes showed no sex‐specific difference. LAA morphology, classified as windsock (51.4%), chicken‐wing (20.7%), cactus (12.5%), and cauliflower‐type (15.2%), did not predict successful PVI (log‐rank; p = 0.596).ConclusionsLAA volume was strongly correlated to LA volume and was a dependent predictor of recurrence after CBA. Main independent predictors were LA volume, female sex, and mitral regurgitation ≥°II. Gender differences in LA volumes were observed. Individual LAA morphology was not associated with AF recurrence after cryo‐PVI. Our results indicate that preprocedural CCTA might be a useful imaging modality to evaluate ablation strategies for patients with recurrences despite successful PVI.  相似文献   

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