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1.

Background

Previous reports have indicated an excess of leukaemia in Broome County, New York, particularly in the Town of Union. Surveillance of cancer incidence data indicates that a large proportion of these cases occurred among males ages 65 and older. Shoe and boot manufacturing has been the largest single industry in this area throughout much of the past century. Occupational studies from Europe suggest a link between leukaemia and employment in the shoe and boot manufacturing industry. However, researchers have not found a positive association between leukaemia and employment in the shoe industry among workers in the United States.

Methods

A matched case-control study was conducted to investigate the association between leukaemia incidence among males 65 and older and employment in the shoe and boot manufacturing industry. Thirty-six cases of leukaemia occurring between 1981–1990; among males age 65 and older; residing in the town of Union met the study case criteria. Death certificates were obtained for each of the cases. These were matched to death certificates of 144 controls on date of death and date of birth +/- 1 year. Death certificates were then examined to determine the employer and occupation of each study subject. Conditional logistic regression was used to determine the risk of leukaemia among those working in the industry.

Results

The risk of both leukaemia (OR = 1.47; 95% CI 0.70, 3.09) and acute myeloid leukaemia (OR = 1.19; 95% CI 0.33, 4.28) were elevated among those employed in the shoe and boot manufacturing industry, however neither was statistically significant.

Conclusion

The results, though suggestive of an association between leukaemia and employment in the shoe and boot manufacturing industry, were not statistically conclusive due mainly to limited study power. Several additional limitations may also have prevented the observance of more conclusive findings. Better exposure assessment, information on length of exposure and types of job held, control of confounding factors and information on chemicals used by this company would strengthen any future investigation.
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2.

Objective

To assess the predictive value of gait speed for early death in older outpatients with cancer.

Design

Prospective bicentric observational cohort study.

Setting

The Physical Frailty in Elder Cancer patients (PF-EC) study (France).

Participants

One hundred and ninety outpatients with cancer during the first 6 months of follow up in the PF-EC study.

Measurements

The association between usual gait speed over 4 m alone (GS) or included in the short physical performance battery (SPPB) and overall survival within 6 months following a comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA). A Cox proportional-hazard regression model was performed in non-survivors for clinical factors from the CGA, along with c reactive protein (CRP). Two models were created to assess GS alone and from inclusion in the SPPB.

Results

The mean age was 80.6 years, and 50.5% of the participants were men. Death occurred in 11% (n=22) of the participants within the 6 month follow up period. Of these participants, 98% had solid cancers, and 33% had a metastatic disease. A GS < 0.8 m/s (HR=5.6, 95%CI=1.6-19.7, p=0.007), a SPPB < 9 (HR=5.8, 95%CI=1.6-20.9, p=0.007) and a CRP of 50 mg/l or greater (p<0.0001) were significantly associated with early death in the two multivariate analyses. Cancer site and extension were not significantly associated with early death.

Conclusion

Walking tests are associated with early death within the 6 month follow up period after a CGA independent of cancer site and cancer extension. GS alone < 0.8 m/s is at least as efficacious as the SPPB in predicting this outcome. GS alone could be used routinely as a marker of early death to adapt oncologic therapeutics. Further studies are needed to validate these preliminary data.
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3.
4.
5.

Objective

To explore whether nutritional risk is associated with poor outcomes independent of complicated clinical status in older patients with coronary artery disease (CAD).

Design

Cohort study.

Setting

Patients referred for coronary angiography in West China Hospital, Sichuan University, China.

Participants

1772 patients with angiographic documented CAD whose age was above 65 years.

Measurements

Nutritional state was appraised using geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI). Nutritional risk was defined as the GNRI below 98. The event rate of all-cause death was observed among patients with nutritional risk and those without.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 27 months, 224 patients died. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that nutritional risk was associated with all-cause death (adjusted hazard ratio 1.99; 95% confidence interval 1.35–2.95; P=0.001). Subgroup analysis verified the association between nutritional risk and death among patients with distinct clinical features, comorbidities, and medication. There was no interaction between nutritional risk and clinical characteristics with regard to all-cause death.

Conclusion

Nutritional state is independently associated with the risk of all-cause death in geriatric patients with CAD. Whether nutritional support in appropriate patients improves clinical outcomes deserves further investigation.
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6.

Background

Suicide is a leading cause of death among youth. Suicide screening programs aim to identify mental health issues and prevent death by suicide.

Objective

The present study evaluated outcomes of a multi-stage screening program implemented over 3 school years in a moderately-sized Midwestern high school.

Methods

One hundred ninety-three 9th-grade students were screened in the program. Students who screened positive were referred to mental health services and followed. Suicide-related thoughts and behaviors among 9th-grade students in the school with screening were compared to those of students in a similar school without screening.

Results

There was a significant increase in utilization of mental health services among students who screened positive and a decrease in rates of suicidal ideation and attempts among 9th-grade students at the school with screening.

Conclusions

This multi-stage screening program shows promise in addressing suicide-related behaviors in schools. Randomized trials are needed to confirm program efficacy.
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7.

Aim

Child Death Review (CDR) is a method in which every child death is systematically and multidisciplinary examined to (1) improve death statistics, (2) identify factors that give direction for prevention, (3) translate the results into possible interventions, and (4) support families. The aim of this study was to determine to what extent procedures of organizations involved in the (health) care for children in The Netherlands cover these four objectives of CDR.

Subject and methods

Organizations in the Eastern part of The Netherlands and Dutch umbrella organizations involved in child (health) care were asked to provide their protocols, guidelines or other working agreements that describe their activities and responsibilities in case of a child’s death. Eighteen documents and nine interview reports were made available. For the analyses we used scorecards for each CDR objective.

Results

The procedures of Perined, the National Cot Death Study Group, Dutch Cot Death Foundation and Child Protection Service cover the largest part of the objectives of CDR. Organizations pay most attention to the translation of results into possible interventions. Family support gets the least attention in protocols, guidelines and other working agreements.

Conclusion

Dutch organizations separately cover parts of CDR. When the procedures of organizations are combined, all CDR objectives are covered in the response to only specific groups of child deaths, i.e., perinatal deaths, Sudden Unexpected Deaths in Infants and fatal child abuse cases. Further research into the conditions that are needed for an optimal implementation of CDR in The Netherlands is necessary. This research should also evaluate the recently implemented NODOK procedure (Further Examination of the Causes of death in Children), directed to investigate unexplained deaths in minors 0–18 years old.
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8.

Background

Medical certificates of cause of death (MCCOD) issued by hospital physicians are a key input to vital registration systems. Deaths certified by hospital physicians have been implicitly considered to be of high quality, but recent evidence suggests otherwise. We conducted a medical record review (MRR) of hospital MCCOD in the Philippines and compared the cause of death concordance with certificates coded by the Philippines Statistics Authority (PSA).

Methods

MCCOD for adult deaths in Bohol Regional Hospital (BRH) in 2007–2008 and 2011 were collected and reviewed by a team of study physicians. Corresponding MCCOD coded by the PSA were linked by a hospital identifier. The study physicians wrote a new MCCOD using the patient medical record, noted the quality of the medical record to produce a cause of death, and indicated whether it was necessary to change the underlying cause of death (UCOD). Chance-corrected concordance, cause-specific mortality fraction (CSMF) accuracy, and chance-corrected CSMF were used to examine the concordance between the MRR and PSA.

Results

A total of 1052 adult deaths were linked between the MRR and PSA. Median chance-corrected concordance was 0.73, CSMF accuracy was 0.85, and chance-corrected CSMF accuracy was 0.58. 74.8% of medical records were deemed to be of high enough quality to assign a cause of death, yet study physicians indicated that it was necessary to change the UCOD in 41% of deaths, 82% of which required addition of a new UCOD.

Conclusions

Medical records were generally of sufficient quality to assign a cause of death and concordance between the PSA and MRR was reasonably high, suggesting that routine mortality statistics data are reasonably accurate for describing population level causes of death in Bohol. While overall agreement between the PSA and MRR in major cause groups was sufficient for public health purposes, improvements in death certification practices are recommended to help physicians differentiate between treatable (immediate) COD and COD that are important for public health surveillance.
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9.

Objectives

To explore the relationship of general health decline assessed by frailty and risk of dementia and Alzheimer’s disease (AD).

Design

A seven-year prospective cohort study.

Setting

Secondary analysis of data from the Beijing Longitudinal Study on Aging.

Participants

Urban and rural communitydwelling people aged 60 and older at baseline.

Measurements

Frailty was quantified using the deficit accumulation-based frailty index (FI), constructed from 40 health deficits at baseline. Dementia was diagnosed by DSM-IIIR. AD and vascular dementia (VaD) were diagnosed by NINCDS-ADRDA and NINDS-AIREN. The relationships between frailty and the risk of dementia, AD and death were evaluated through multivariable models.

Results

Of 2788 participants at baseline (1997), 171 (11.1%) reported a history of dementia. In seven years, 351 people developed dementia (13%: 223 AD and 128 other types of dementia) and 813 died (29%). After adjustment for age, sex, education, and baseline cognition, baseline frailty status significantly associated with Alzheimer’s disease and dementia and death. For each deficit accumulated, the odds ratio of death increased by 5.7%, and the odds ratio of dementia increased by 2.9% (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Frailty was associated with Alzheimer’s disease and dementia over a seven years period. Frailty index might facilitate the identification of older adults at high risk of dementia for the application of the most effective, targeted prevention strategies.
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10.

Objectives

To investigate the effect of a long-term fatty fish intervention on a pure cognitive mechanism important for self-regulation and mental health, i.e. working memory (WM), controlling for age and IQ.

Design

A randomized controlled trial.

Setting

A forensic facility.

Participants

Eighty-four young to middle aged male forensic inpatients with psychiatric disorders.

Intervention

Consumption of farmed salmon or control meal (meat) three times a week during 23 weeks.

Measurement

Performance on WM tasks, both accuracy and mean reaction time, were recorded pre and post intervention.

Results

Performance on a cognitive functioning tasks taxing WM seemed to be explained by age and IQ.

Conclusion

Fatty fish consumption did not improve WM performance in a group of young to middle aged adults with mental health problems, as less impressionable factors such as aging and intelligence seemed to be the key components. The present study improves the knowledge concerning the interaction among nutrition, health and the aging process.
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11.

Objective

To explore the perceptions of healthcare professionals’ (HCPs) in a South East Asian nation towards percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (PEG) feeding.

Design

Semi-structured, qualitative interviews.

Settings

A teaching hospital in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Participants

A total of 17 healthcare professionals aged 23-43 years, 82% women.

Results

Thematic analysis revealed five themes that represent HCPs’ perceptions in relation to the usage of PEG feeding: 1) knowledge of HCPs, 2) communication, 3) understanding among patients, and 4) financial and affordability.

Conclusion

The rationale for reluctance towards PEG feeding observed in this regions was explained by lack of education, knowledge, communication, team work, and financial support. Future studies should assess the effects of educational programmes among HCPs and changes in policies to promote affordability on the utilization of PEG feeding in this region.
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12.

Objective

To compare various strategies for antibacterial administration in terms of patient outcomes, overall costs and quality of care provided.

Design

Prospective, nonblind, randomized, clinical study.

Setting

Tertiary care hospital in Greece from November 1995 to June 1996.

Patients and participants

458 patients admitted to the internal medicine department who received antibacterial therapy for infectious diseases.

Methods

Patients were randomized into 4 different antibacterial administration policies defined by various levels of restriction control. Efficacy and resource use data were obtained from clinical study case report forms, the hospital financial database and physician expert opinion. Outcomes included complete infection control, disease improvement, unchanged patient condition, infection needing surgical treatment, and death. Direct medical costs were estimated. The perspective adopted was that of the healthcare system (hospital budget; third-party payor). Cost-minimisation analysis was based on cost per patient treated.

Results

382 eligible patient records examined showed no significant difference in clinical outcomes among patient groups. Baseline analysis showed the strict antibacterial control policy to produce statistically significant differences (p < 0.05) in various resource parameters. Accordingly, compared with all other patient groups, total cost per patient for that strategy was reduced by 26 to 30%. Also, patients in that group received fewer drug doses and underwent fewer treatment days, and antibacterial treatment was modified in fewer cases for these patients.

Conclusion

Strict control of antibacterial administration in this hospital setting achieved lower direct medical costs with no harmful effect on patient outcomes or quality of care provided. Such a policy appears to be a useful option for both physicians and administrators.
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13.

Background

For injury deaths, the underlying cause of death is defined as the circumstances leading to the injury. When this information is missing, the ICD-10 code X59 (Exposure to unspecified factor) is used. Lack of knowledge of factors causing injuries reduces the value of the cause of death statistics. The aim of this study was to identify predictors of X59-coded deaths in Norway, and to assess methods to identify the true underlying cause of injury deaths.

Methods

We used data from the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry from 2005 to 2014. We used logistic regression to identify determinants of X59-coded deaths. For redistribution of the X59 deaths, we used a multinomial logistic regression model based on the cases where injury circumstances were known. The data were divided into training and test sets. The model was developed on the training set and assessed on the test set before it was applied to the X59 deaths. The models used death certificate information on the nature of injury and demographic characteristics as predictor variables. Furthermore, we mailed a query to the certifying physicians of X59 deaths reported in the year 2015, where we asked for additional information on the circumstances leading to the fatal injury.

Results

There were 24,963 injury deaths reported to the Cause of Death Registry of Norway 2005–2014. Of these, 6440 (25.8%) lacked information on the circumstances leading to the death. The strongest predictor for a X59 death was the nature of injury (hip fracture), followed by lack of information on the scene of injury. Applying our redistribution algorithm, we estimated that 97% of the X59-coded deaths were accidental falls. The strongest covariate was the nature of injury, followed by place of death and age at death. In 2015, there were 591 X59-coded deaths. Queries were sent to the certifying doctors in 559 cases. Among the informative replies to the query, 88% of the deaths were reclassified to accidental falls.

Conclusions

A large proportion of injury deaths in Norway lack information on the circumstances leading to the fatal injury. Typically, these deaths represent accidental falls causing hip fracture in elderly individuals.
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14.

Purpose

Population studies of the association between zinc intake and mortality yield inconsistent findings. Using data from Jiangsu Nutrition Study, we aimed to assess the association between zinc intake and mortality among Chinese adults.

Methods

We prospectively studied 2832 adults aged 20 years and older with a mean follow-up of 9.8 years. At baseline, food intake was measured by 3-day weighed food record (WFR) between September and December in 2002. Death occurrence was assessed in 2012 during a household visit as well as by data linkage with the regional death registry. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CI were calculated using competing risks regression (CVD and cancer mortality) and Cox proportional hazards analysis (all-cause mortality).

Results

During 27,742 person-years of follow-up, there were 184 deaths [63 cancer deaths and 70 cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths]. Dietary zinc to energy ratio was positively associated with cancer and all-cause mortality. Across quartiles of the zinc to energy ratio from low to high, the HR (95% CI) for all-cause mortality was 1.00, 1.80 (95% CI 1.10–2.95), 1.55 (95% CI 0.96–2.50), and 1.85 (95% CI 1.11–3.07), respectively. Comparing the extreme quartiles of the zinc to energy ratio, the HR for cancer mortality was 2.28 (95% CI 1.03–5.04).

Conclusion

Zinc intake was positively related to all-cause mortality and cancer mortality.
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15.

Objectives

To investigate the association between stroke and incident dementia in the presence of a competing risk of death.

Methods

This study used the National Health Insurance Service–Senior (NHIS-Senior) claim database from 2002 to 2013 (n = 22,792). Stroke (I69.0-I69.9) and dementia (F01-F03, G30, G31.1) patients were defined by the International Classification of Disease 10th revision. The association of stroke with dementia or death was assessed with Cox proportional hazards model and competing-risk model.

Results

During the 10-year follow-up period, there were 1,307 dementia events (5.7%) and 9,272 deaths (40.7%). In the Cox model, the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for dementia was 2.37 times higher in those who experienced strokes, compared with the non-stroke group (95% CI: 2.23, 2.51). In the presence of death as competing event, stroke was associated with an elevated dementia incidence (HR = 2.06, 95% CI: 1.92, 2.20).

Conclusion

Stroke was significantly associated with an increased risk of incident dementia, with the magnitude of the association being attenuated in the competing risk model.
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16.

Aim

The purpose of the present study was to measure the frequency of CVDs and some of the risk factors and to familiarize people with information on the high rates of mortality and morbidity due to CVDs in the studied areas of Punjab, Pakistan.

Subjects

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading cause of sudden death. CVDs are a major health problem in Pakistan, and the number of patients is increasing daily.

Aim

The purpose of the present study was to measure the frequency of CVDs and some of the risk factors and to familiarize people with information on the high rates of mortality and morbidity due to CVDs in the studied areas of Punjab, Pakistan.

Method

A cross-sectional study was conducted to investigate the prevalence of cardiovascular diseases in the local population of 53 cities in Punjab, Pakistan. A total of 6351 individuals were contacted to collect data using a questionnaire from October 2014 to September 2015. Data were collected directly by meeting the participants or indirectly through relatives and friends.

Results

Of the participants, 49.2% (3127/6351) were male and 50.8% (3224/6351) female. The data showed that 17.5% (1109/6351) of the population had CVDs with 16.6% (519/3127) being male and 18.3% (590/3224) female.

Conclusion

This study concluded that CVDs are a serious problem for both genders and affected 17.5% of the studied population. Diseases are more common in females than males with young age of onset. An inactive lifestyle, low level of activity and family history of disease could be disease risk factors in the study area.
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17.

Objective

In a pilot single centre study we found that treatment of undernourished older, community dwelling people for one year with oral testosterone (placebo-controlled) and a nutritional supplement (no control) was associated with a significant reduction in hospitalizations. A larger, multicentre study was conducted to investigate further this potentially important finding.

Design

One year, randomized, placebo-controlled, multicentre, double-blind, trial.

Setting

Community.

Participants

53 undernourished men and women aged 65 years and older.

Intervention

Oral testosterone undecanoate (40 mg/day women, 160 mg/day men) and high energy oral nutritional supplement (2108-2416 kJ/day) or placebo medication and low energy (142–191 kJ/day) “placebo” oral nutritional supplementation.

Measurements

Hospital admissions, falls and other variables were assessed.

Results

53 subjects were recruited (64% male and mean age 77 years), which was substantially less than planned. Sixteen subjects (30%) were admitted to hospital at least once, with a total of 29 admissions. Eight subjects (32%) in the placebo arm were admitted to hospital, whilst in the intervention group also there were eight (29%) subjects admitted to hospital during the study period. There was no difference in the number of hospitalisations (P = 0.842), length of hospitalization (P=0.645) or quality of life [mental health P=0.195 and physical health P=0.451) between the treatment arms.

Conclusions

In undernourished older people, treatment with testosterone and a nutritional supplementation did not reduce the number and length of hospitalisations or improve quality of life.
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18.

Background

Selenium has a wide range of pleiotropic effects, influencing redox homeostasis, thyroid hormone metabolism, and protecting from oxidative stress and inflammation. Serum selenium levels are reduced in the older population.

Objectives

to investigate the association of serum selenium levels with all-cause mortality in a sample of community-dwelling older adults.

Design and Setting

Data are from the ‘Invecchiamento e Longevità nel Sirente’ (Aging and Longevity in the Sirente geographic area, ilSIRENTE) study, a prospective cohort study that collected information on individuals aged 80 years and older living in an Italian mountain community (n=347). The main outcome was risk of death after ten years of follow-up.

Participants and measurements

Participants were classified according to the median value of selenium (105.3 μg/L) in two groups: high selenium and low selenium.

Results

A total of 248 deaths occurred during a 10-year follow-up. In the unadjusted model, low levels of selenium was associated with increased mortality (HR, 0.66; 95% CI 0.51-0.85). After adjusting for potential confounders the relationship remained significant (HR, 0.71; 95% CI 0.54-0.92).

Conclusions

Low serum levels of selenium are associated with reduced survival in elderly, independently of age and other clinical and functional variables.
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19.

Objectives

Variation in repeated blood pressure measurements may represent a decline in homeostatic mechanisms in blood pressure regulation in response to various internal or external stressors, indicating a frail state. We tested this hypothesis by examining the association between variability in repeated blood pressure measurements (BPV) and frailty status, adjusting for other confounding factors.

Design

A longitudinal cohort study.

Setting

Community centres in all three regions of Hong Kong.

Participants

1156 community-living older adults aged 60 years and over participated in a community geriatric screening program with blood pressure measurements three times a week over one year. Participants were divided into three groups based on variability of repeated blood pressure measurements (low, medium, high) using machine learning methods.

Measurements

Frailty status was assessed using the FRAIL scale. Logistic regression was used to examine cross sectional association between frailty status and BPV adjusting for confounding factors, and also frailty transition with BPV.

Results

In multi-variate models adjusting for co-variates, high BPV was associated with frailty (OR 1.57; 95% CI 1.05-2.37) among all participants; however, this was only significant in women in subgroup analysis. Similar findings were observed when transition to a more frail state was examined over a twelve month period.

Conclusions

The findings of this study support the concept of physiological dysregulation underlying the frail state, and that BPV calculated using machine learning methods may be used as a biomarker of such dysregulation.
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20.

Objectives

To examine the association between nutritional status and frailty in older adults.

Design

Cross-sectional study.

Setting

Community-dwelling older adults were recruited from 10 study sites in South Korea.

Participants

1473 volunteers aged 70–84 years without severe cognitive impairment and who participated in the Korean Frailty and Aging Cohort Study (KFACS) conducted in 2016.

Measurements

Nutritional status was measured using the Mini Nutritional Assessment Short Form (MNA-SF). Frailty was assessed with the Fried’s frailty index. The relationship between nutritional status and frailty was examined using the multinomial regression analysis, adjusting for covariates.

Results

Of the respondents 14.3% had poor nutrition (0.8% with malnutrition, 13.5% at risk of malnutrition). There were 10.7% who were frail, with 48.5% being prefrail, and 40.8% robust. Poor nutrition was related to a significantly increased risk of being prefrail (odds ratio [OR]: 1.59, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.09–2.32) and frail (OR: 3.30, 95% CI: 1.96–5.54).

Conclusion

Poor nutritional status is strongly associated with frailty in older adults. More research to understand the interdependency between nutritional status and frailty may lead to better management of the two geriatric conditions.
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