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1.

Background  

Prison populations are known to be at high risk of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) and blood borne viruses (BBVs). In accordance with State health guidelines, the Western Australian Department of Correctional Services' policy is to offer testing for STIs and BBVs to all new prison entrants. This audit was undertaken to assess the completeness and timeliness of STI and BBV testing among recent prison entrants in Western Australia, and estimate the prevalence of STIs and BBVs on admission to prison.  相似文献   

2.
Cryptosporidiosis is a diarrhoeal illness caused by the protozoan parasite Cryptosporidium. In Australia, very little is known about the epidemiology of cryptosporidiosis in Aboriginal peoples. The present study analysed long-term cryptosporidiosis patterns across Western Australia (WA) (2001  2012), combined with genotyping and subtyping data at the 18S and glycoprotein 60 (gp60) loci respectively. Comparison of cryptosporidiosis notifications between Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal people in WA, revealed that notification rates among Aboriginal people were up to 50 times higher compared to non-Aboriginal people, highlighting the burden of the disease in this population. More than 90% of notifications were in Aboriginal children aged 00–04 years, who had a notification rate 20.5 times higher than non-Aboriginal children in the same age group. Cryptosporidium hominis was the predominant species infecting both Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal people. However, Aboriginal people were mainly infected with the C. hominis IdA15G1 subtype, whereas non-Aboriginal people were predominantly infected with the IbA10G2 subtype. To control cryptosporidiosis in Aboriginal populations in Australia, effective health interventions/promotions need to be a priority for public health research and action.  相似文献   

3.

Background

Significant variation exists in published Aboriginal mortality and life expectancy (LE) estimates due to differing and evolving methodologies required to correct for inadequate recording of Aboriginality in death data, under-counting of Aboriginal people in population censuses, and unexplained growth in the Aboriginal population attributed to changes in the propensity of individuals to identify as Aboriginal at population censuses. The objective of this paper is to analyse variation in reported Australian Aboriginal mortality in terms of LE and infant mortality rates (IMR), compared with all Australians.

Methods

Published data for Aboriginal LE and IMR were obtained and analysed for data quality and method of estimation. Trends in reported LE and IMR estimates were assessed and compared with those in the entire Australian population.

Results

LE estimates derived from different methodologies vary by as much as 7.2 years for the same comparison period. Indirect methods for estimating Aboriginal LE have produced LE estimates sensitive to small changes in underlying assumptions, some of which are subject to circular reasoning. Most indirect methods appear to under-estimate Aboriginal LE. Estimated LE gaps between Aboriginal people and the overall Australian population have varied between 11 and 20 years. Latest mortality estimates, based on linking census and death data, are likely to over-estimate Aboriginal LE. Temporal LE changes by each methodology indicate that Aboriginal LE has improved at rates similar to the Australian population overall. Consequently the gap in LE between Aboriginal people and the total Australian population appears to be unchanged since the early 1980s, and at the end of the first decade of the 21st century remains at least 11–12 years. In contrast, focussing on the 1990–2010 period Aboriginal IMR declined steeply over 2001–08, from more than 12 to around 8 deaths per 1,000 live births, the same level as Australia overall in 1993–95. The IMR gap between Aboriginal people and the total Australian population, while still unacceptable, has declined considerably, from over 8 before 2000 to around 4 per 1,000 live births by 2008.

Conclusions

Regardless of estimation method used, mortality and LE gaps between Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal people are substantial, but remain difficult to estimate accurately.  相似文献   

4.
Objectives: Testing is the first step in treatment and care for blood‐borne viruses (BBVs) and sexually transmitted infections (STIs). As new treatments for viral hepatitis emerge, it is important to document effective models for BBV/STI testing. A nurse‐led intervention was implemented across three prisons in Victoria to improve BBV/STI testing. We evaluated the impact of the intervention on BBV/STI testing rates and hepatitis B (HBV) vaccination for reception prisoners. Methods: BBV/STI testing and HBV vaccination data were collected from the medical files of 100 consecutive reception prisoners at three prisons (n=300) prior to and after the intervention was implemented. Results: BBV testing increased significantly from 21% of prisoners to 62% post‐intervention. Testing for some STIs increased significantly, but remained low: 5% to 17% for chlamydia and 1% to 5% for gonorrhoea. HBV vaccination increased significantly from 2% to 19%. Conclusions: The nurse‐led intervention resulted in substantially increased testing and vaccination, demonstrating the benefits of a concerted effort to improve BBV and STI management in correctional settings. Implications: The availability of new treatments for hepatitis C has precipitated expansion of treatment in prisons. Improving the testing rate of prisoners, the first step in the treatment cascade, will maximise the benefits.  相似文献   

5.
OBJECTIVE: To describe the lifetime and recent history of STIs and BBV, including place of seeking treatment, in a representative sample of Australian adults. METHODS: Computer-assisted telephone interviews were completed by a representative sample of 10,173 men and 9,134 women aged 16-59 years from all States and Territories. The overall response rate was 73.1% (69.4% among men and 77.6% among women). RESULTS: Overall, 20.2% of men and 16.9% of women had ever been diagnosed with an STI or BBV, and 2.0% and 2.2% respectively had been diagnosed in the past year. The participant's usual general practitioner was the most common location of treatment. Sexual health clinics accounted for a small proportion of treatment locations. Predictors of recent STI or BBV diagnosis in men included homosexual or bisexual identity, a history of sex work as a worker or client, a history of injecting drugs and having more than one partner in the past year. In women, predictors included bisexual identity, history of sex work as a worker, injecting drug use, and having more than one partner in the past year. Around 40% of men and women had been tested for HIV and in homosexually identified men, 77% had been tested. CONCLUSION: STIs and BBVs are common infections in Australia and care is mostly received from general practitioners. Although a variety of predictors, including homosexual or bisexual identity, injecting drug use and sex work were related to STI diagnosis, STIs were not uncommon among people without these risk factors. IMPLICATIONS: General practitioners in Australia require a high level of expertise to recognise, offer testing, and manage common STIs and BBVs.  相似文献   

6.

Background

Sexually transmitted infection (STI) prevention programs can mitigate the health and economic burden of STIs. A tool to estimate the economic benefits of STI programs could prove useful to STI program personnel.

Methods

We developed formulas that can be applied to estimate the direct medical costs and indirect costs (lost productivity) averted by STI programs in the United States. Costs and probabilities for these formulas were based primarily on published studies.

Results

We present a series of formulas that can be used to estimate the economic benefits of STI prevention (in 2006 US dollars), using data routinely collected by STI programs. For example, the averted sequelae costs associated with treating women for chlamydia is given as (Cw)(0.16)(0.925)(0.70)($1,995), where Cw is the number of infected women treated for chlamydia, 0.16 is the absolute reduction in the probability of pelvic inflammatory disease (PID) as a result of treatment, 0.925 is an adjustment factor to prevent double-counting of PID averted in women with both chlamydia and gonorrhea, 0.70 is an adjustment factor to account for the possibility of re-infection, and $1,995 is the average cost per case of PID, based on published sources.

Conclusion

The formulas developed in this study can be a useful tool for STI program personnel to generate evidence-based estimates of the economic impact of their program and can facilitate the assessment of the cost-effectiveness of their activities.  相似文献   

7.

Background

Current routine surveillance schemes for sexually transmitted infections (STIs) in the United Kingdom (UK) are not designed for outbreak identification. Recognising STI outbreaks, therefore, depends almost entirely on the alertness of health professionals. The objective of this study was to explore health professionals' knowledge of, and attitudes towards, identification and investigation of STI outbreaks in Wales.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional survey in Wales in June 2005, and sent a questionnaire to consultants of genitourinary medicine (GUM, n = 11), a consultant microbiologist from each laboratory (n = 14), all consultants in communicable disease control (n = 5), and to epidemiologists of the National Public Health Service (n = 4).

Results

26 (76%) of 34 survey recipients responded. Of these, 17 (65%) ranked the investigation of STI outbreaks as important or very important, and 19 (73%) perceived participation in the investigation of an STI outbreak as part of their responsibility. Only six (25%) respondents had actively searched their computer system or patient records for a possible STI outbreak in the previous twelve months, and 15 (63%) had never looked for an outbreak. Of seven GUM physicians who said they had identified at least one STI outbreak, three had never informed public health authorities.

Conclusion

Prompt identification and coordinated investigation of outbreaks, usually through a multidisciplinary outbreak control team, is central to the control of many infectious diseases. This does not appear to be the case for STIs, which we believe represents a lost opportunity to reduce transmission. Besides improved surveillance methods, a change in culture towards STI outbreaks is needed among health professionals in Wales.  相似文献   

8.

Background

Control of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) is an important part of the effort to reduce the risk of HIV/AIDS. STI clinics in the government hospitals in India provide services predominantly to the poor. Data on the cost and efficiency of providing STI services in India are not available to help guide efficient use of public resources for these services.

Methods

Standardised methods were used to obtain detailed cost and output data for the 2003–2004 fiscal year from written records and interviews in 14 government STI clinics in the Indian state of Andhra Pradesh. The economic cost per patient receiving STI treatment was calculated, and the variations of total and unit costs across the STI clinics analysed. Multivariate regression technique was used to estimate incremental unit costs. The optimal number of STIs that could be handled by the clinics was estimated.

Results

18807 STIs were diagnosed and treated at the 14 STI clinics in fiscal year 2003–2004 (range 323–2784, median 1199). The economic cost of treating each STI varied 5-fold from Indian Rupees (INR) 225.5 (US$ 4.91) to INR 1201.5 (US$ 26.15) between 13 clinics, with one other clinic having a very high cost of INR 2478.5 (US$ 53.94). The average cost per STI treated for all 14 clinics combined was INR 729.5 (US$ 15.88). Personnel salaries made up 76.2% of the total cost. The number of STIs treated per doctor full-time equivalent and cost-efficiency for each STI treated had a significant direct non-linear relation (p < 0.001, R2 = 0.81; power function). With a multiple regression model, apart from the fixed costs, the incremental cost for each STI detected and cost of treatment was INR 55.57 (US$ 1.21) and for each follow-up visit was INR 3.75 (US$ 0.08). Based on estimates of optimal STI cases that could be handled without compromising quality by each doctor full-time equivalent available, it was projected that at 8 of the 14 clinics substantially more STI cases could be handled, which could increase the total STI cases treated at the 14 clinics combined by 38% at an additional cost of only 3.5% for service provision.

Conclusion

There is un-utilised capacity in the public sector STI clinics in this Indian state. Efforts to facilitate utilisation of this capacity would be useful, as this would enable more poor patients with STIs to be served at minimal additional cost, and would also reduce the cost per STI treated leading to more efficient use of public resources.  相似文献   

9.

Background

Since the mid-1990s an increase in sexually transmitted infections (STIs) has been reported among adolescents aged 16–19 years in Europe. Lack of knowledge of STIs may play a role in this. The aim of the study was to assess knowledge of STIs among school-going adolescents with Turkish migrant background and without a migrant background attending the 8th grade and above.

Methods

Between October and December 2011, 12–20 year old students attending eight schools in the state of Bremen participated in a written survey. Analyses were conducted using uni- and multivariate methods.

Results

1148 students (28?%) completed the questionnaire; 90 students with a Turkish migrant background and 776 without a migrant background. Overall, low level of STI knowledge was observed. A higher STI knowledge was associated with non-migrant background, female sex, higher age, attending a school to Abitur and sexual experience.

Conclusion

There is an increased need for sexual education with a focus on STIs, especially for male, younger and sexually inexperienced students, particularly those with Turkish migrant background.  相似文献   

10.
OBJECTIVE: To assess the completeness of data describing Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander status in NSW invasive meningococcal disease notifications and determine the relative risk for invasive meningococcal disease among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples in NSW. METHODS: Surveillance data from the NSW Notifiable Diseases Database was reviewed for 5-year periods between 1991 and 2005. RESULTS: Invalid and missing data on Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander status decreased from 42% to 8% during the study period. Higher rates of disease were found in young children and significantly higher rates in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children aged 0-4 years compared with their non-Aboriginal counterparts. CONCLUSION: Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children in NSW experience higher rates of notified invasive meningococcal disease than non-Aboriginal children.  相似文献   

11.

Objective

To compare mortality patterns for urban Aboriginal adults with those of urban non-Aboriginal adults.

Methods

Using the 1991–2001 Canadian census mortality follow-up study, our study tracked mortality to December 31, 2001, among a 15% sample of adults, including 16 300 Aboriginal and 2 062 700 non-Aboriginal persons residing in urban areas on June 4, 1991. The Aboriginal population was defined by ethnic origin (ancestry), Registered Indian status and/or membership in an Indian band or First Nation, since the 1991 census did not collect information on Aboriginal identity.

Results

Compared to urban non-Aboriginal men and women, remaining life expectancy at age 25 years was 4.7 years and 6.5 years shorter for urban Aboriginal men and women, respectively. Mortality rate ratios for urban Aboriginal men and women were particularly elevated for alcohol-related deaths, motor vehicle accidents and infectious diseases, including HIV/AIDS. For most causes of death, urban Aboriginal adults had higher mortality rates compared to other urban residents. Socio-economic status played an important role in explaining these disparities.

Conclusion

Results from this study help fill a data gap on mortality information of urban Aboriginal people of Canada.

Keywords

Aboriginal people, First Nations, Métis, Inuit, North American Indians, age-standardized mortality rates, mortality rate, life expectancy  相似文献   

12.

Background

Having a preterm (<37 weeks' gestation) birth may increase a woman's risk of early mortality. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander (hereafter Aboriginal) women have higher preterm birth and mortality rates compared with other Australian women.

Objectives

We investigated whether a history of having a preterm birth was associated with early mortality in women and whether these associations differed by Aboriginal status.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study used population-based perinatal records of women who had a singleton birth between 1980 and 2015 in Western Australia linked to Death Registry data until June 2018. The primary and secondary outcomes were all-cause and cause-specific mortality respectively. After stratification by Aboriginal status, rate differences were calculated, and Cox proportional hazard regression was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for all-cause and cause-specific mortality.

Results

There were 20,244 Aboriginal mothers (1349 deaths) and 457,357 non-Aboriginal mothers (7646 deaths) with 8.6 million person-years of follow-up. The all-cause mortality rates for Aboriginal mothers who had preterm births and term births were 529.5 and 344.0 (rate difference 185.5, 95% CI 135.5, 238.5) per 100,000 person-years respectively. Among non-Aboriginal mothers, the corresponding figures were 125.5 and 88.6 (rate difference 37.0, 95% CI 29.4, 44.9) per 100,000 person-years. The HR for all-cause mortality for Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal mothers associated with preterm birth were 1.48 (95% CI 1.32, 1.66) and 1.35 (95% CI 1.26, 1.44), respectively, compared with term birth. Compared with mothers who had term births, mothers of preterm births had higher relative risks of mortality from diabetes, cardiovascular, digestive and external causes.

Conclusions

Both Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal women who had a preterm birth had a moderately increased risk of mortality up to 38 years after the birth, reinforcing the importance of primary prevention and ongoing screening.  相似文献   

13.

Aim

Partner notification (PN) is a key public health intervention aimed at preventing re-infection and controlling the spread of STIs. However, only limited research has been conducted to investigate factors associated with PN in Ethiopia.

Subject and methods

A nested case-control study was undertaken within a cohort of individuals being treated for STIs in public health facilities in Ethiopia. Hierarchical binary logistic regression was used to identify socio-demographic, behavioral and psychosocial factors associated with PN.

Results

A total of 250 patients on STI treatment who notified their partners (cases) were compared with 185 patients who did not notify their partners (controls). STI patients were less likely to notify their partner if they were single [AOR = 0.33, 95% CI: (0.15–0.73)], in a casual partnership [adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 0.33, 95% CI: (0.15–73)], not knowledgeable about a partner’s sexual behavior [AOR = 0.43, 95% CI: (0.24–0.77)], had poor knowledge of risky sexual behavior [AOR = 0.23, 95% CI: (0.12–0.43)] and had no intention of notifying partners [AOR = 0.19, 95% CI: (0.10–0.36)]. The odds of PN were higher among highly educated respondents [AOR = 5.16; 95% CI: (1.83–14.54)].

Conclusion

Capturing STI cases through patient referral partner notification is less likely to be successful among patients who are single and in a casual relationship.
  相似文献   

14.
Objective: To assess the sensitivity of the recording of Aboriginality in the Western Australia Linked Data.
Methods: This was a follow-up study using record linkage. Demographic data was obtained from 993 adult, urban-dwelling Aboriginal Australian participants in the Perth Aboriginal Atherosclerosis Risk study (PAARS). These were linked to the Western Australian Linked Data (State-wide hospital admissions and discharges, and deaths) to provide the number of admissions and Indigenous status coding from 1980 to 2006.
Results: There were 14,413 admissions for PAARS participants in the study period. The sensitivity of coding of Indigenous status in hospital admissions data significantly improved over time, exceeding 0.9 in every year since 2002. Prior to 2002 sensitivity was around 0.8, but poorer for males, with some anomalous years.
Conclusions: The coding of Indigenous status in the Western Australia Hospital Morbidity Database since 2002 has improved. The data from earlier decades must be approached with more caution.
Implications: The improved accuracy of identification of Indigenous status in the Western Australia Hospital Morbidity Database allows comparative studies of adult Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal population health outcomes to be undertaken with confidence.  相似文献   

15.
《Vaccine》2022,40(9):1376-1382
BackgroundPertussis hospitalisation is more common among infants born prematurely, who have significant comorbidities, or are Indigenous, but acellular pertussis (aP) vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates in these sub-groups are lacking. We measured aP VE by Indigenous status, and policy-relevant categories of prematurity and comorbidity, in a population-based Australian cohort.MethodsPerinatal, disease notification, hospitalisation, mortality, and vaccination data were linked to birth records in two Australian states (Western Australia and New South Wales) 2001–2012, with follow-up to the end of 2013. Children followed to 18 months of age were stratified by Aboriginality, prematurity (<32 vs 32–<37 weeks gestation) and comorbidities identified from hospital discharge coding. Rates, rate ratios and VE were calculated for first episode of hospitalised and non-hospitalised pertussis notifications using adjusted Cox proportional hazards models.ResultsAmong >1,300,000 children, 63,867 (4·9%) were Aboriginal, 47,721 (3·6%) had at least one comorbidity and 3,771 first episodes of notified pertussis occurred <18 months of age; of these, 1,207 (32.0%) had an associated pertussis-coded hospitalisation. For hospitalised pertussis in Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal children, there was significant protection post dose 1 (VE 51% v 25%), 2 (VE 69% v 74%) and 3 (VE 76% v 80%). For children with co-morbidities, VE for hospitalised pertussis was low and non-significant post dose 1 (0%) and 2 (30%). Post dose 3, VE was significant for hospitalised pertussis (70%; 95% CI 29–87) but not for non-hospitalised pertussis (24%; 95% CI ?49 to 61).ConclusionsFor most Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal children, improved timeliness of current infant doses and higher antenatal coverage should further improve protection against pertussis of any severity. For children at highest risk of severe pertussis (born <32 weeks gestation or with significant medical comorbidities), our data suggest that additional measures-such as extra doses of pertussis-containing vaccines and/or vaccines with improved immunogenicity–are needed for protection.  相似文献   

16.

Aim

The paper aims to study whether (1) abusive husbands demonstrate higher sexually transmitted infection (STI) infection prevalence compared with non-abusive husbands and (2) women’s risk is due to their exposure to IPV as the predictor of adverse reproductive health outcomes including use of contraceptives and treatment seeking pattern.

Subject and methods

A multi-centric study with analytical cross-sectional design was applied, covering 18 states in India including 14,507 women respondents. Multi-stage sampling and probability proportion to size was done.

Results

STI has a significant association with women who have survived physical and sexual assaults. Interpersonal violence increases the risk of STI, less use of contraceptives and low treatment-seeking behavior. The reason for not seeking treatment in women with STIs was found to be stigma, embarrassment and lack of knowledge.

Conclusion

Inspite of the Domestic Violence Act in India, the public health system in India is not accessible to the women subjected to violence for the treatment required. Similar research results would enable the creation of an environment where violence would be acknowledged and referral networks between healthcare providers and legal/government organizations would provide further redressal where needed.  相似文献   

17.

Background

This is the first study to describe the geographical and temporal distribution of notifiable gastrointestinal illness (NGI) in the Northwest Territories (NWT), Canada. Understanding the distribution of NGI in space and time is important for identifying communities at high risk. Using data derived from the Northwest Territories Communicable Disease Registry (NWT CDR), a number of spatial and temporal techniques were used to explore and analyze NGI incidence from the years 1991 to 2008. Relative risk mapping was used to investigate the variation of disease risk. Scan test statistics were applied to conduct cluster identification in space, time and space-time. Seasonal decomposition of the time series was used to assess seasonal variation and trends in the data.

Results

There was geographic variability in the rates of NGI with higher notifications in the south compared to the north. Incidence of NGI exhibited seasonality with peaks in the fall months for most years. Two possible outbreaks were detected in the fall of 1995 and 2001, of which one coincided with a previously recognized outbreak. Overall, incidence of NGI fluctuated from 1991 to 2001 followed by a tendency for rates to decrease from 2002 to 2008.

Conclusions

The distribution of NGI notifications varied widely according to geographic region, season and year. While the analyses highlighted a possible bias in the surveillance data, this information is beneficial for generating hypotheses about risk factors for infection.  相似文献   

18.

Introduction

We investigated ethnic and geographic variations in major chronic diseases and risk factors in northern Canada, an area that is undergoing rapid changes in its social, cultural, and physical environments.

Methods

Self-report data were obtained from the population-based Canadian Community Health Survey in 2000-2001 and 2005-2006 for Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal respondents from the 3 regions of northern Canada: Yukon, Northwest Territories, and Nunavut. Crude prevalence estimates, adjusted odds ratios (AORs), and confidence intervals were calculated for multiple chronic diseases and risk factors.

Results

The percentage of Aboriginal respondents who reported having any chronic health condition increased between the 2 cycles of data collection, but did not change for non-Aboriginal respondents. AORs for heart disease, arthritis, and asthma varied by ethnicity or region. AORs for overweight, obesity, daily smoking, regular and binge drinking, and infrequent physical/leisure activity were also substantially different for Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal respondents or among respondents from the 3 northern regions.

Conclusion

The changing profile of health in northern Canada suggests a need for action on health policy about the delivery of community-based primary prevention interventions and further research about the determinants of health and health care use.  相似文献   

19.
OBJECTIVE: To examine death data for Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal persons in Western Australia (WA) in 1985-89 and 1990-94. METHODS: Population estimates were provided by the Health Information Centre of the WA Health Department based on data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Death data came from the WA Registrar-General's Office. Standard methods were used to obtain rates and levels of significance. RESULTS: Main causes of deaths among Aboriginal males in 1990-94 were circulatory conditions, respiratory, injury and poisoning, neoplasms and endocrine diseases; in Aboriginal females they were circulatory, neoplasms, endocrine diseases, respiratory diseases, and injury and poisoning. From 1985-89 to 1990-94, the Aboriginal male all-cause age-standardised death rates fell 3% (ns) while the non-Aboriginal male rate fell 11% (p < 0.05). The Aboriginal female all-cause death rate rose 11% (ns) while the non-Aboriginal rate fell 5% (p < 0.05). The all-cause death rate ratio (Aboriginal:non-Aboriginal) changed from 2.4 to 2.6 (males) and 2.5 to 2.9 (females). There was a major increase in deaths from endocrine diseases among Aborigines and non-Aborigines. This increase was proportionally much greater among Aborigines. In non-Aborigines there was a significant decrease in deaths from circulatory diseases (mainly ischaemic heart disease); this did not occur among Aborigines. CONCLUSIONS: Over the study period, Aboriginal health standards, as reflected by death rates, apparently worsened relative to non-Aboriginal standards. IMPLICATIONS: Better health promotion, disease prevention and disease care are required to help achieve acceptable health standards among Aboriginal peoples.  相似文献   

20.

Objectives

To investigate the possibility of using HIV- and syphilis-related web queries to predict incident diagnosis rates of sexually transmitted infections in Russia.

Methods

The regional volume of HIV/syphilis queries, normalized to the total number of queries submitted to the most popular search engine, was used to predict the notification rates of HIV/syphilis in each region by applying both global non-spatial and spatial statistics.

Results

Nationwide, both search volumes and regional HIV/syphilis diagnosis rates were positively spatially auto-correlated, indicating a clustered pattern of spatial distribution. A high positive correlation between notification rates and search volume was observed. Compared with linear models, spatially explicit geographically weighted models adjusted for broadband Internet diffusion proved superior in predicting the regional level of the HIV/syphilis epidemic on the basis of their search volume.

Conclusions

Timeliness, easy availability, low cost, and transparency make HIV- and syphilis-related web queries a promising addition to traditional methods of disease surveillance in Russia. Geographically weighted regression provides useful insights, as it is able to capture the spatial heterogeneity of the relationship between search volume and disease incidence.  相似文献   

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